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Diabetes Atlas:What behind numbers Nam H. Cho, MD,PhD,CCD Professor & Chairman of Preventive Medicine Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon Korea President - Elect, International Diabetes Federation Chairman of IDF Diabetes Atlas Committee
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Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas - nam cho

Apr 15, 2017

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Page 1: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Diabetes Atlas:What behind numbers

Nam H. Cho, MD,PhD,CCD

Professor & Chairman of Preventive Medicine

Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon Korea

President - Elect, International Diabetes Federation

Chairman of IDF Diabetes Atlas Committee

Page 2: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

There are three

main types of diabetes: Type 1 diabetes, type 2 diabetes

and gestational diabetes

Poorly managed

diabetes

leads to serious

complications and early death

With good self-management and

health professional

support, people with diabetes can

live a long, healthy life

Page 3: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Diabetes: A global emergency

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Estimated number of people with diabetes worldwide and per region in 2015 and 2040 (20-79 years)

Page 4: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Diabetes around the world

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Page 5: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Men and women with diabetes

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

≈52

Page 6: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Diabetes in urban and rural environments

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

65%74.5%

Page 7: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Diabetes prevalence by IDF region

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

IDF regions by age-adjusted comparative prevalence (%) of diabetes (20-79 years), 2015 and 2040

AFR – Africa regionEUR – European regionMENA – Middle East and North African regionWP – West Pacific region

NAC – North American and Caribbean regionSACA – South and Central American regionSEA – South East Asia region

Page 8: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Middle East and North Africa

Page 9: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

One in 7 adults have diabetes in Egypt

Diabetes (20-79 years)2015 2040

Number of people with diabetes

(diagnosed and undiagnosed)

7.8 million

(3.8-9.0 million)

15.1 million

(7.3-17.3 million)

Raw country prevalence14.8%

(7.2-17.1%)

17.8%

(8.6-20.4%)

Mean diabetes-related expenditure per person

with diabetesUSD 219 USD 218

Number of adults with undiagnosed diabetes3.2 million

(1.5-3.7 million )

6.2 million

(3-7.1 million)

Percent of undiagnosed diabetes 41.20%

Number of deaths due to diabetes78,200

(42,000-87,800)

Percent of deaths before age 60 43.60%

Page 10: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Top 10 countries

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Top ten countries/territories for number of people with diabetes (20-79 years), 2015 and 2040

Page 11: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

One in two adults with

diabetes is

undiagnosed

Page 12: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Undiagnosed diabetes

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Page 13: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Undiagnosed diabetes

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Proportion and number of people (20-79 years)living with diabetes who are undiagnosed, 2015

IDF region Proportion undiagnosed Number of undiagnosed people with diabetes

Page 14: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Methodology

How the number was calculated?

Page 15: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Methodology

Page 16: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Methodology

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Number of data sources reviewed

Countries and territories where data sources were reviewed with information on diabetes and impaired glucose tolerance in adults (20-79 years)

Page 17: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Methodology

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Number of data sources selected

Countries and territories for which data sources were selected for diabetes estimates in adults (20-79 years)

Page 18: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Methodology

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Countries and territories with data sources that used oral glucose tolerance tests to estimate diabetes and impaired glucose tolerance prevalence (20-79 years)

Number of data sources selected

Page 19: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Methodology

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Number of data sources selected

Countries and territories with data sources less than five years old used for estimating diabetes and impaired glucose tolerance prevalence (20-79 years)

Page 20: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Poorly managed

diabetes leads to

serious

complications and

early death

Page 21: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

5.0 million people

died from diabetes

in 2015

Equivalent to one

death every six

seconds

Page 22: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Diabetes around the world

Page 23: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Diabetes accounted

for 14.5% of global

all-cause mortality

among people aged

20 to 79

46.6% of

deaths were

in people

under the

age of 60

Page 24: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Diabetes around the world

Page 25: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Africa

Page 26: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

South East Asia

Page 27: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Middle East and North Africa

Page 28: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Western Pacific

Page 29: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

South and Central America

Page 30: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

North America and Caribbean

Page 31: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Europe

Page 32: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Diabetes and Economy

Page 33: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Estimating diabetes-related health expenditures

To estimate the health expenditures due to diabetes, the following

inputs were used:

1. IDF Diabetes Atlas estimates of diabetes prevalence

2. United Nations population estimates

3. WHO annual health expenditures

4. WHO mortality rates

5. The ratios of healthcare expenditures for people with

diabetes compared to people without diabetes

The ‘R=2’ estimates assume that health care expenditures for

people with diabetes are on average two-fold higher than people

without diabetes

Page 34: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

12% of global

health

expenditure is

spent on

diabetes

Page 35: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Proportion of total health expenditure estimated to be spent on diabetes (20-79 years), R=2*, 2015

*The R=2 estimates assume that healthcare expenditures for people with diabetes are on average two-fold higher than people without diabetes

AFR – Africa regionEUR – European regionMENA – Middle East and North African regionWP – West Pacific region

NAC – North American and Caribbean regionSACA – South and Central American regionSEA – South East Asia region

Health Expenditure on diabetes

Page 36: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Page 37: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Page 38: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

An estimated

average of

1,622 USD per

person with

diabetes was

spent on

diabetes-related

health

expenditures in

2015

Page 39: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Page 40: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Health Expenditure on diabetes

Global health spending to treat diabetes

55%

673

802

415

642

Page 41: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Global estimates of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy

Page 42: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Hyperglycaemia is the most common metabolic condition in pregnant women

Can affect both mother and child with potentially serious complications

Page 43: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

Complications

Birth complications

post partum haemorrhage

hypertensive disorders

obstructed labour and caesarean section

preeclampsia

infant macrosomia

Mother

An increased lifetime risk of

developing T2DM

Child

An increased risk of developing

T2DM later in life

Page 44: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

GDM diagnostic criteria

Table can be found in: Linnenkamp U, Guariguata L, Beagley J, Whiting DR, Cho NH. The IDF Diabetes Atlas methodology for estimating global prevalence of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2014;103:186–96.

Page 45: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

No studies

1 study2 studies3-7 studies

>7 studies

• 108 studies from 55 countries included

Studies selection

Page 46: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

20.9 million of women worldwide

85.1%

7.4%7.5%

other diabetes detectedprior to pregnancy

other diabetes detectedin pregnancy

GDM

Global burden of HIP

Page 47: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

16.2% of live births

Global burden of HIP

Page 48: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

-

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

AFR EUR MENA NAC SACA SEA WP

Age

-ad

just

ed

pre

vale

nce

, %

Ab

solu

te n

um

be

r o

f ca

ses

Mill

ion

s

Regional estimates of HIP in women age 20-49 years by IDF region, 2015

Cases of hyperglycaemia in preganancy Age-adjusted regional prevalence

Age-adjusted global prevalence

South-East Asia6.7 million (32% of all cases globally)

the highest prevalence - 26.3% (24.2% crude)

Regional figures

AFR – African regionEUR – European regionMENA – Middle East and North African regionWP – West Pacific regionNAC – North American and Caribbean regionSACA – South and Central American regionSEA – South East Asia region

Page 49: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

-

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

Pre

vale

nce

of

hy[

erg

lyca

em

ia in

pre

gnan

cy

Cas

es

of

hyp

erg

lysa

em

ia in

pre

gnan

cy/m

illio

n

Woman's age in pregnancy

Absolute and relative number of hyperglycaemia cases globaly, 2015

Cases of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy Prevalence of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy

Age-dependent prevalence

Page 50: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

50.2%

41.3%

8.5%

20-29 30-39 40-49

50.2% cases in women aged 20-29 years

Distribution of cases of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy in women by age groups, 2015

Age-dependent prevalence

Page 51: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

88% cases in middle- and low-income countries

Regional figures

LIC 9.9%

MIC 78.1%

HIC 12.0%

Distribution of cases of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy in women aged 20-49 by World Bank

country income groups, 2015

LIC MIC HIC

LIC – Low-income countriesMIC – Middle-income countriesHIC – High-income countries

Page 52: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

5 million people died

from diabetes Every 2 seconds 1 new DM

Page 53: Ueda 2016 diabetes atlas  - nam cho

IDF Diabetes Atlas, 7th edition

Conclusion

• No disease has impacted human life stronger than Diabetes

• Costs are greater than any other disease

• Threaten more life than any other disease

• Diabetes is currently unstoppable

• Early Diagnosis and management is the best remedy