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The Carrot and Heuristic ..the big problem with big data Scott D. McArthur
24

UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

Apr 12, 2017

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Page 1: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

The Carrot and Heuristic..the big problem with big data

Scott D. McArthur

Page 2: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

…reading

Magic...

Page 3: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

...Denmark

Page 4: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

Milgram

The power of authority…

…and the dangers of abstraction

Page 5: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data
Page 6: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

Win, Win, Win

Page 7: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

..bigData“The Devil hath power to assume a pleasing shape.” 

Page 8: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

Detail…we all have, on average, 1 testicle and 1 ovary!

Page 9: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

The distinction between correlation

and causation

Page 10: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

From: Spurious Correlations website

Page 11: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

From: Spurious Correlations website

Page 12: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

From: Spurious Correlations website

Page 13: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

From: Spurious Correlations website

Page 14: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

 "All models are wrong;

some models are useful".

George Box

Page 15: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

Why does all this happen?

Page 16: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

Heuristics : mental shortcuts that ease decision making

Page 17: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

...Denmark

Page 18: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

Perfect storm

Page 19: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

Professor Teddy HallArchaeometry

“...like being a detective, looking for clues with the hope of confirming or uncovering reality…”

Page 20: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

Consequences

Page 21: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

“Imagine how much harder physics would be

if electrons had feelings!”

Page 22: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

Big Data

+ Behaviour Science

=Magic

Page 23: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

Birhan Woldu

400,000

Page 24: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

”Imagine how much more effective big data would be if we remember that people have feelings!”