DECODING IN THE 21 ST CENTURY SPICES Jan 21 st – 24 th , 2016 Hotel Grand Hyatt Goa, India Turmeric Crop Report Mr. Sanjeev Bisht, ITC Ltd.
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DECODING
IN THE 21ST CENTURYSPICES
Jan 21st – 24th, 2016Hotel Grand Hyatt Goa, India
Turmeric Crop ReportMr. Sanjeev Bisht, ITC Ltd.
Crop Reports 2016
Content
2
PRICE TRENDS
MARKET SITUATION
FOOD SAFETY & SUSTAINABILITY
Crop Reports 2016
Turmeric World Scenario
3
Supply
Demand
83
CHINA
INDIA
1
3
98 (000 MT)
ETHIOPIA
4
INDONESIA
MYANMAR2
More than 80% world import catered to by India
*Source: UN Comtrade
Crop Reports 2016
Turmeric World Scenario
4
Supply
Demand
USA16
SOUTH AFRICA
6
5
EU
4
98 (000 MT)
3
MALAYSIA
7
JAPAN
*Source: UN ComTrade
Crop Reports 2016
Indian Growing Landscape
5
ASSAM
ORISSA
AP & TELENGANA
TAMIL NADU
KARNATAKA
MAHARASHTRA
304,000 MT Production in India in 2015
TAMILNADU
AP & TELENGANA
MAHARASHTRA
KARNATAKA
OTHERS
15%
43%
26%
4%
12%
STATE CONTRIBUTION
Crop Reports 2016
Crop Status
6
TAMIL NADU (ERODE)
20%
Sowing Area
10-15%
Productivity
High rainfall resulting in water logging
Rhizome rot & yield reduction
AP & TS (NIZAMABAD)
3%
Sowing Area
45%
Productivity
Very less rainfall & low ground water table
Loss in crop & yield
15% Share
25% Share
*Source: Trade Estimates
Crop Reports 2016
Crop Status
7
AP & TS (DUGIRALA)
15%
Sowing Area
0%
Productivity
Good rainfall received
Good crop condition
AP & TS (WARANGAL)
3%
Sowing Area
15%
Productivity
Less rainfall
Yield Reduction
12% Share
6% Share
*Source: Trade Estimates
Crop Reports 2016
Crop Status
8
KARNATAKA
25%
Sowing Area
0%
Productivity
Sufficient Rainfall
Good crop condition
MAHARASHTRA
15%
Sowing Area
40%
Productivity
Sangli Crop average Nanded crop poor as compared to
last year. 40% yield reduction
4% Share
26% Share
*Source: Trade Estimates
Crop Reports 2016
Crop Status
9
Region % Contribution Area Trend Productivity
Trend
Tamil Nadu 15 20% up -15%
AP & TELANGANA 43 3% up -45%
KARNATAKA 4 25% up 0%
Maharashtra 26 15% up -40%
Others 12 Marginal Increase 0%
Overall production for India less by 20% as compared to last year
*Source: Trade Estimates
Crop Reports 2016
Production Estimate
10
0 0
112
216183 184
140320
462
574
378 358
304 243
320 462
686
594541 488
383
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (E)
In M.Kg
C/F Stock Production Total Supply
PARTICULARS
(000 MT)2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (E)
C/F Stock - - 112 216 183 184 140Production 320 462 574 378 358 304 243
Total Supply 320 462 686 594541
(-12.5%)488
(-9.8%)383
(-23%)
*Source: Trade Estimates
Crop Reports 2016
Production Estimate
11*Source: Trade Estimates
PARTICULARS
(000 MT)2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (E)
C/F Stock - - 112 216 183 184 140Production 320 462 574 378 358 304 243
Total Supply 320 462 686 594541
(-12.5%)488
(-9.8%)383
(-23%)
Crop Reports 2016
Turmeric Food Safety Trends
12
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Ochratoxin Aflatoxin Pathogen Additives
Nu
mb
er o
f n
oti
fica
tio
ns
Number of notifications in last 12 years
Over 40% of port notifications related to food safety is due to Aflatoxin
*Source: RASFF
Crop Reports 2016
Turmeric Cost of Cultivation
13
Particulars % Contribution
Field Preparation 24
Seed and Sowing 23
Intercultural Operation 25
Harvesting and Post harvesting 28
Total Cost 100
3 major issues specific in turmeric for sustainability & farmer returns–Fuel, Labour and Rhizome Rot
Crop Reports 2016
Turmeric Sustainability
14
Mechanized harvestingEnergy PlantationsRhizome Treatment & Tray
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