TRIMS TRIMS Technical Risk Technical Risk Identification Identification and Mitigation System and Mitigation System Presented By: Ralph Sickinger Ralph Sickinger PMWS Development Manager PMWS Development Manager [email protected][email protected]25 August, 2008 25 August, 2008
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TRIMS Technical Risk Identification and Mitigation System
TRIMS Technical Risk Identification and Mitigation System. Ralph Sickinger PMWS Development Manager [email protected] 25 August, 2008. Presented By:. The BMP Program. History of the BMP Program. Many programs failing or suffering cost/schedule overruns - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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TRIMSTRIMS
Technical Risk Identification Technical Risk Identification and Mitigation Systemand Mitigation System
Presented By:
Ralph SickingerRalph SickingerPMWS Development ManagerPMWS Development [email protected]@bmpcoe.org
25 August, 200825 August, 2008
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 2
The BMP ProgramThe BMP Program
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 3
Many programs failing or suffering cost/schedule overruns
Defense Science Board studies the problem; publishes findings in
DOD 4245.7-M (The “Willoughby Templates”)
Best Manufacturing Practices Program established to help the U.S. Defense
Industrial Base - BMP conducts first Survey (Texas Instruments)
BMP publishes NAVSO P-6071 (Best Practices Book)
BMP contracts with Bell Labs to write more detail on each Template
First version of PMWS is created
BMP Center of Excellence established in College Park, MD
BMP conducts 100th Survey (Northrop Grumman)
1960-1980
1983-1984
1985
1986
1987
1991
1993
2000
History of the BMP ProgramHistory of the BMP Program
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 4
Many programs failing or suffering cost/schedule overrunsMany programs failing or suffering cost/schedule overruns
Defense Science Board studies the problem; publishes findings in
DOD 4245.7-M (The “Willoughby Templates”)
Best Manufacturing Practices Program established to help the U.S. Defense
Industrial Base - BMP conducts first Survey (Texas Instruments)
BMP publishes NAVSO P-6071 (Best Practices Book)
BMP contracts with Bell Labs to write more detail on each Template
First version of PMWS is created
BMP Center of Excellence established in College Park, MD
BMP conducts 100th Survey (Northrop Grumman)
1960-19801960-1980
1983-1984
1985
1986
1987
1991
1993
2000
History of the BMP ProgramHistory of the BMP Program
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 5
Many programs failing or suffering cost/schedule overruns
Defense Science Board studies the problem; publishes findings in Defense Science Board studies the problem; publishes findings in
DOD 4245.7-M (The “Willoughby Templates”)DOD 4245.7-M (The “Willoughby Templates”)
Best Manufacturing Practices Program established to help the U.S. Defense
Industrial Base - BMP conducts first Survey (Texas Instruments)
BMP publishes NAVSO P-6071 (Best Practices Book)
BMP contracts with Bell Labs to write more detail on each Template
First version of PMWS is created
BMP Center of Excellence established in College Park, MD
BMP conducts 100th Survey (Northrop Grumman)
1960-1980
1983-19841983-1984
1985
1986
1987
1991
1993
2000
History of the BMP ProgramHistory of the BMP Program
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 6
Money Phasing
Design Reference Mission Profile
Design Requirements
Trade Studies
Design Policy
Design Process
Design Analysis
Parts & Material Selection
Software Design
Computer-Aided Design (CAD)
Design for Testing
Built-In Test (BIT)
Configuration Control
Design Reviews
Design Release
Integrated Test
Failure Reporting System
Uniform Test Report
Software Test
Design Limit
Life
Test, Analyze & Fix (TAAF)
Field Feedback
Manufacturing Plan
Qualify Manufacturing Process
Piece Part Control
Subcontractor Control
Defect Control
Tool Planning
Special Test Equipment (STE)
Computer-Aided Manufacturing (CAM)
Manufacturing Screening
Transition Plan
Modernization
Factory Improvements
Productivity Center
Logistics Support Analysis
Manpower & Personnel
Support & Test Equipment
Training Materials & Equipment
Spares
Technical Manuals
Manufacturing Strategy
Personnel Requirements
Data Requirements
Technical Risk Assessment
Production Breaks
Problem Areas Identified by DSBProblem Areas Identified by DSB
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 7
FUNDING:FUNDING:
Money Phasing
DESIGN:DESIGN:
Design Reference Mission Profile
Design Requirements
Trade Studies
Design Policy
Design Process
Design Analysis
Parts & Material Selection
Software Design
Computer-Aided Design (CAD)
Design for Testing
Built-In Test (BIT)
Configuration Control
Design Reviews
Design Release
TEST:TEST:
Integrated Test
Failure Reporting System
Uniform Test Report
Software Test
Design Limit
Life
Test, Analyze & Fix (TAAF)
Field Feedback
PRODUCTION:PRODUCTION:
Manufacturing Plan
Qualify Manufacturing Process
Piece Part Control
Subcontractor Control
Defect Control
Tool Planning
Special Test Equipment (STE)
Computer-Aided Manufacturing (CAM)
Manufacturing Screening
TRANSITION:TRANSITION:
Transition Plan
FACILITIES:FACILITIES:
Modernization
Factory Improvements
Productivity Center
LOGISTICS:LOGISTICS:
Logistics Support Analysis
Manpower & Personnel
Support & Test Equipment
Training Materials & Equipment
Spares
Technical Manuals
MANAGEMENT:MANAGEMENT:
Manufacturing Strategy
Personnel Requirements
Data Requirements
Technical Risk Assessment
Production Breaks
Problem Areas Identified by DSBProblem Areas Identified by DSB
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 8
“Willoughby Templates”
DoD 4245.7-MDoD 4245.7-M
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 9
NAVSO P-6071NAVSO P-6071
“Best Practices Book”
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 10
Understanding The Future Effects Of Today's Decisions
Risk Assessment
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 18
TRIMS Identifies the Root Causes of Cost & Schedule Problems
Proactive vs. ReactiveProactive vs. Reactive
Technical Issues
Schedule Slippage
Cost Overruns
Process Risks
Reactive
Proactive
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 19
Process Risks Problems
Product Risks
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6
“A ‘Problem’ Is A Risk Whose Time Has Come”
Evolution of RisksEvolution of Risks
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 20
Time
Cos
t to
Miti
gate
Design Test Production
$1
$100
$10
Cost To Mitigate Increases ExponentiallyCost To Mitigate Increases Exponentially
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 21
Process Risks
Product Risks
Problems
Risk Management or Damage Control?
Cost To Mitigate Increases ExponentiallyCost To Mitigate Increases Exponentially
Time
Cos
t to
Miti
gate
Design Test Production
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 22
PRODUCT TQM
FUNDING MoneyPhasing
DESIGN TEST PRODUCTION FACILITIES LOGISTICS MANAGEMENT
TRANSITION PLAN
• Design Refer. Mission Profile
• Design Requirements
• Trade Studies
• Design Policy
• Design Process
• Design Analysis
• Parts & Mater. Selection
• Software Design
• Computer-Aided Design (CAD)
• Design for Testing
• Built-In Test (BIT)
• Configuration Control
• Design Reviews
• Design Release
• Integrated Test
• Failure Reporting System
• Uniform Test Report
• Software Test
• Design Limit
• Life
• Test, Analyze & Fix (TAAF)
• Field Feedback
• Manufacturing Plan
• Qualify Manufacturing Process
• Piece Part Control
• Subcontractor Control
• Defect Control
• Tool Planning
• Special Test Equipment (STE)
• CAM
• Manufacturing Screening
• Modernization
• Factory Improvements
• Productivity Center
• Logistics Support Analysis
• Manpower & Personnel
• Support & Test Equipment
• Training Materials & Equipment
• Spares
• Technical Manuals
• Manufacturing Strategy
• Personnel Requirements
• Data Requirements
• Technical Risk Assessment
• Production Breaks
TRIMS Baseline TemplatesTRIMS Baseline Templates
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 23
PRODUCT TQM
FUNDING MoneyPhasing
DESIGN TEST PRODUCTION FACILITIES LOGISTICS MANAGEMENT
TRANSITION PLAN
• Design Refer. Mission Profile
• Design Requirements
• Trade Studies
• Design Policy
• Design Process
• Design Analysis
• Parts & Mater. Selection
• Software Design
• Computer-Aided Design (CAD)
• Design for Testing
• Built-In Test (BIT)
• Configuration Control
• Design Reviews
• Design Release
• Integrated Test
• Failure Reporting System
• Uniform Test Report
• Software Test
• Design Limit
• Life
• Test, Analyze & Fix (TAAF)
• Field Feedback
• Manufacturing Plan
• Qualify Manufacturing Process
• Piece Part Control
• Subcontractor Control
• Defect Control
• Tool Planning
• Special Test Equipment (STE)
• CAM
• Manufacturing Screening
• Modernization
• Factory Improvements
• Productivity Center
• Logistics Support Analysis
• Manpower & Personnel
• Support & Test Equipment
• Training Materials & Equipment
• Spares
• Technical Manuals
• Manufacturing Strategy
• Personnel Requirements
• Data Requirements
• Technical Risk Assessment
• Production Breaks
TRIMS Baseline TemplatesTRIMS Baseline Templates
CAM•Manufacturing Screening
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 24
PRODUCT TQM
FUNDING MoneyPhasing
CostAssessment
DESIGN TEST PRODUCTION FACILITIES LOGISTICS MANAGEMENT
TRANSITION PLAN
New PMWSTemplatesNew PMWSTemplates
• Design Refer. Mission Profile
• Design Requirements
• Trade Studies
• Design Policy
• Design Process
• Design Analysis
• Parts & Mater. Selection
• Software Design
• Computer-Aided Design (CAD)
• Design for Testing
• Built-In Test (BIT)
• Configuration Control
• Design Reviews
• Design Release
• Concept Studies & Analysis
• Bread Board Development
• Brass Board Development
• Specification Dev/Allocation/ Validation
• Design for Assembly
• Prototype Development & Review
• Integrated Test
• Failure Reporting System
• Uniform Test Report
• Software Test
• Design Limit
• Life
• Test, Analyze & Fix (TAAF)
• Field Feedback
• TEMP Development/ Execution
• Software Simulator
• Manufacturing Plan
• Qualify Manufacturing Process
• Piece Part Control
• Subcontractor Control
• Defect Control
• Tool Planning
• Special Test Equipment (STE)
• CAM
• Manufacturing Screening
• Production Fabrication
• Environmental Issues
• Modernization
• Factory Improvements
• Productivity Center
• Field Visits/Site Surveys
• Logistics Support Analysis
• Manpower & Personnel
• Support & Test Equipment
• Training Materials & Equipment
• Spares
• Technical Manuals
• Logistics Analysis Documentation
• Manufacturing Strategy
• Personnel Requirements
• Data Requirements
• Technical Risk Assessment
• Production Breaks
• Determining Defining Need for System
• Prepare Requirement Documents
• Quality Assurance
• Design/Milestone Review Planning
• Make or Buy Decisions
• Technology Base Analysis
• Schedule & Planning
• Dim. Manuf. Sources & Mat. Shortage (DMSMS)
TRIMS Baseline TemplatesTRIMS Baseline Templates
CAM•Manufacturing Screening
•Production Fabrication•Environmental Issues
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 25
UserAdded
Templates
UserAdded
TemplatesUser
AddedQuestions
UserAdded
Questions
3 Tiers: Category
Template
Knowledge
Base
Question
4.0 Design
4.6 Design Analysis
4.6.1 Do the contractor's corporate standards identify design analysis as an integral part of the design process?
TRIMS Hierarchy
Design Test Production Facilities LogisticsManagementFunding TransitionPlan
User Added
Categories
User Added
Categories
TRIMS TailoringTRIMS Tailoring
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 26
3 Tiers: Category
Template
Knowledge
Base
Question
4.0 Design
4.6 Design Analysis
4.6.1 Do the contractor's corporate standards identify design analysis as an integral part of the design process?
TRIMS TailoringTRIMS Tailoring
User CreatedModel
User CreatedModel
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 27
• Identify Risks Before they Become Problems
• Build YOUR Knowledge into TRIMS– Use the Systems Engineering Knowledge Base as a Starting Point for
A Good Engineering Process
• Create a Concrete, Repeatable Process for Evaluating & Comparing Programs & Contractors
• Ease the Learning Curve for New Employees
• Retain Knowledge of Lost Employees
• Share Knowledge
• To Maximize Benefits of Using TRIMS– Apply as Early as Possible in Program Life– Apply to All Subcontractors, Divisions & Vendors Involved– Use Tool Regularly to Prioritize Resources & Make Decisions
Tailoring TRIMS To Your NeedsTailoring TRIMS To Your Needs
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 28
TRIMS Has Many Applications
• Existing (Released) Models– Systems Engineering
– Software Risk Engineering (Carnegie Mellon)
– Circuit Card Testability
– Interoperability and Integration
• Existing (Beta) Models– Human Factors Engineering
• Development (Prototype) Models– Management
– Port Security/Force Protection
– SBIR ◄ ◄ ◄
TRIMS Knowledge ModelsTRIMS Knowledge Models
www.bmpcoe.org Technical Risk Identification & Mitigation System 29
TRIMS Version 4TRIMS Version 4
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TRIMS - Total Risk ManagementTRIMS - Total Risk Management