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Quo basis? The changing landscape of scholarly communication 23 February 2015 Keith Webster Dean of University Libraries @cmkeithw
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The changing landscape of scholarly communication: presentation to the NFAIS 2015 annual conference

Jul 15, 2015

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Page 1: The changing landscape of scholarly communication: presentation to the NFAIS 2015 annual conference

Quo basis? The changing landscape of scholarly communication

23 February 2015

Keith WebsterDean of University Libraries

@cmkeithw

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TODAY’s WORLD

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Students crowd libraries - without using libraries

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Open Science

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The success of e-journals has driven the researcher from the library

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Growth of web-based knowledge and research tools - often outside the institution

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Open access has shaped policy agenda

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Library budgets under pressure

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Shareholders and VCs expect ROI

Industry

Company

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Customer pressure

Investor pressure

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What is happening in the world is bypassing university libraries

Peter Murray-Rust The scientist’s view JISC Libraries of the future debate, April 2009

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“…contact with librarians and information professionals is rare”

“…researchers are generally confident in their [self-taught] abilities.., librarians see them as..relatively unsophisticated”

“…librarians see it as a problem that they are not reaching all researchers with formal training, whereas most researchers don’t think they need it”

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Where do library clients go?

Specific e-resource

General search engine

Library catalogue

Library building1

18

38

47

13

28

21

37

2003 2012

Search engine

Wikipedia

SNS

Email

Online database

Virtual reference

Library website 0

0

1

1

2

7

83

Where do student start a search? Where do academics begin research?

Perceptions of libraries 2010, OCLC

Faculty study 2012: key insights for libraries and publishers, Ithaka

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Faculty study 2012: key insights for libraries and publishers, Ithaka

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http://mystory.gale.com/watch/

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WHERE HAVE WE COME FROM?

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1 - The Library

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Collection-centric - 1st generation

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Client-focused - 2nd generation

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Experience-centered - 3rd generation

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Connected Learning Experiences - 4th generation

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Collaborative knowledge, media and fabrication facilities - 5th generation

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In-library expert - 1st generation

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Library instruction - 2nd generation

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Information specialist - 3rd generation

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Library technology - 1st generation

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Library technology - 2nd generation

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Library technology - 3rd generation

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Library technology - 4th generation

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Library technology - 5th generation

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• Each of those is additive, not a substitute

• As libraries have added new formats, these have not led to disposal of old materials

• Libraries are increasingly pursuing important - but niche - technology projects

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2. The scholarly journal

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The growth of global scientific output in the last 30 years

Thomson Reuters, Journal Citation Reports

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http://sciencewatch.com/grr/china

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http://sciencewatch.com/grr/china

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https://royalsociety.org/policy/projects/knowledge-networks-nations/report/

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The big deal• Access to vast quantities of content for researchers

• Bundles bought on basis of package rather than titles

• Difficult to select/remove individual titles

• Pricing structures change

• Incentives to launch new titles? Incentives to use M&A?

• Majority of bundle use is by top 10% of titles - a lifeline for lesser-used titles

• Citations were currency of print world - usage is today’s measure

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3. Media consumption

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W(h)ither the Library?

Local distribution 1990s

Global digital 2000s

Cloud-based models 2010s

Convergent media services

Adapted from http://www.eab.com/Research-and-Insights/Academic-Affairs-Forum/Studies/2011/Redefining-the-Academic-Library

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4. Researchers & communication

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Ever talk with citizens about science, research

Ever talk with reporters about research findings

Ever use social media to discuss or follow science

Ever blog about science and research

0 25 50 75 100

% of AAAS scientists who ever do each of the activities

How scientists engage the public http://www.pewinternet.org/files/2015/02/PI_PublicEngagementbyScientists_021515.pdf

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http://archive.sciencewatch.com/newsletter/2012/201207/multiauthor_papers/

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5. The learned society

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• In-house journals ‘sold off’

• GMIs have brought essential revenue

• Open access financially challenging

• Newer generations of researchers less interested in membership

• Conferences under threat?

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Created with Haiku Deck

CURRENT TRENDS

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RESEARCHER WORKFLOWS

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Discover

Share Gather

Create

Structured Finding

Data Sharing

Reviewing & Rating

Writing Annotating

Rights

Publishing

Analyzing

Serendipitous Finding Keeping Current

Collaborative Finding

Collecting

Organizing

AcquiringTeaching

Describing

www.umn.edu

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Grant-­‐wri)ng

Compliance

Data  management

Data  analysis

Resource  management

Networking

IP  protec)on

Publica)on

Compe))ve  intelligence

IDEATION EXPERIMENTATION

PLANNING

DISSEMINATION

Protocols

RESEARCH  WORKFLOW

Research  planningLiterature  interac)on

Insight  and  decision  support

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Grant-­‐wri)ng

Compliance

Data  management

Data  analysis

Resource  management

Networking

IP  protec)on

Publica)on

Compe))ve  intelligence

IDEATION EXPERIMENTATION

PLANNING

DISSEMINATION

Protocols

Research  planningLiterature  interac)on

Insight  and  decision  support

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Grant-­‐wri)ng

Compliance

Data  management

Data  analysis

Resource  management

Networking

IP  protec)on

Publica)on

Compe))ve  intelligence

IDEATION EXPERIMENTATION

PLANNING

DISSEMINATION

Protocols

Research  planningLiterature  interac)on

Insight  and  decision  support

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Grant-­‐wri)ng

Compliance

Data  management

Data  analysis

Resource  management

Networking

IP  protec)on

Publica)on

Compe))ve  intelligence

IDEATION EXPERIMENTATION

PLANNING

DISSEMINATION

Protocols

Research  planningLiterature  interac)on

Insight  and  decision  support

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http://figshare.com/articles/101_Innovations_in_Scholarly_Communication_the_Changing_Research_Workflow/1286826

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Traditional workflow

All of these tools licensed by institution

http://figshare.com/articles/101_Innovations_in_Scholarly_Communication_the_Changing_Research_Workflow/1286826

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Open Science

All of these tools accessible by researcher

http://figshare.com/articles/101_Innovations_in_Scholarly_Communication_the_Changing_Research_Workflow/1286826

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FUNDING

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http://scimaps.org/mapdetail/chemical_rd_powers_t_89

http://scimaps.org/mapdetail/chemical_rd_powers_t_89

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www.arl.org

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THE LIBRARY

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Size doesn’t matter any more

Traditional library metrics

• Number of volumes

• Number of serials subscriptions

• Reference requests

• Gate count

• Number of issues

• Anything else that moves and is easy to count

Evolving library metrics

• Impact on student recruitment and retention

• Impact on student learning outcomes

• Contribution to research excellence

• Impact on broader economic, social and health outcomes

• Return on investment

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The need to understand

• Dubious about some studies which make claims about the value of libraries

• Commissioned a study to assess the value library-provided information resources deliver to their research communities

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Personal expenditure on information resources

Nothing 15.4

$1-250 33.4

$251-500 23.9

$501-1000 16.3

$1001-1250 4.3

$1251-1500 1.7

Over $1500 5.1

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Where else would you go for stuff?

Obtain  from  colleagues/authors 183

Other  universiBes  to  which  I  have  no  affiliaBon 173

Purchase  from  publishers  or  document  delivery  intermediaries 172

InsBtuBonal  and  open  access  repositories 160

State  libraries 149

NaBonal  Library  of  Australia 113

Another  university  to  which  I  am  also  affiliated 106

Overseas  universiBes 97

Specialist  subject-­‐focused  research  insBtuBons 73

Other  public  libraries 58

Learned  SocieBes 36

Other   23

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Medium-long term effect on research

Volume of research outputsVolume will increase 16

Volume will remain unchanged 37Volume will decrease 326

Total responses: 379Quality of research

Quality will increase 15Quality will remain unchanged 62

Quality will decrease 302Total responses: 379

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Funding scenarios

• Current spent on information resources across the three sites is $2,496 per capita

• Respondents were asked to recommend a budget for the purchase of single-user access to the resources they need - average $3,511 per capita

• Respondents were also asked to estimate the costs if they had to be self-sufficient (purchases, travel to libraries etc) - average $5,894 per capita

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Summary finding

• The final scenario would result in total costs to the institution of $81.4m compared to actual spend of $34.5m - a financial return of 136 percent

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OPEN ACCESS

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An  Impacts  Framework

http://www.humanities.org.au/Events/NSCF/NSCF2007/PowerPoints/NSCF2007-Houghton.ppt

RESEARCH Most/Many  served,   but  not  all

CONSUMERS/SOCIETY Few  served

INDUSTRY/GOVERNMENTPart  served,  but  not  all

SUBSCRIPTION PUBLISHINGCurrent reach

OPEN ACCESSPotentially serves all

RESEARCH Access  for  all,  research  participation  based  on  merit,  not  means.  Potential benefits:Speeding  up  discovery. Reduction  of  duplicative  research. Fewer  blind  alleys. New  research  possibilities.  Better  educational  outcomes  &  enhanced  research  capabilities.

SOCIETY Access  as  needed,  informed  consumers  (e.g.  health  and  education).  Potential benefits:Contribution  to  the  'informed  citizen'  and  'informed  consumer',  with  implications  for  better  use  of  health  and  education  services,  better  consumption  choices,  etc.  leading  to  greater  welfare  benefits,  which  in  turn  may  lead  to  productivity  improvements.  

INDUSTRY(1)  Access  as  needed,  

more  informed  producers  &  policy.  

(2)  New  businesses  add  value  to  content  (e.g.  Weather  Derivatives).

Potential benefits:Accelerate  and  widen  

opportunities  for  collaboration,  

commercialisation    &  adoption.    

The  potential  for  much  wider  access  for  GPs/

nurses,  teachers/students,  and  small  firms  

in  consulting,  engineering,  ICT,  nanotechnology,  

biotechnology,  etc.  

The  potential  for  the  emergence  of  new  

industries  based  upon  the  open  access  content.

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“The Holdren Memo”

To achieve the Administration’s commitment to increase access to federally funded published research and digital scientific data, Federal agencies investing in research and development must have clear and coordinated policies for increasing such access.

Memo on Increasing Access to the Results of Federally Funded Scientific Research

White House Office of Science and Technology Policy

February 22, 2013

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Pinfield et al (2015) http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/81227/

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OPEN SCIENCE

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Useful  knowledge

Sharable  knowledge

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WHERE ARE WE GOING?

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THE LIBRARY

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Current directions in academic libraries

1. Continue the migration from print to electronic and realign service operations

2. Review location of lesser-used collections3. Continue to repurpose library as primary

learning space4. Reposition library expertise and resources

to be more closely embedded in research and teaching enterprise outside library

5. Extend focus of collection development from external purchase to local curation

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The role of librariansCurrent state

Many libraries retain large numbers of librarians to catalogue and count

Even more librarians wait at service desks ‘just in case’

Few librarians leave the library building

Future state

Librarians embedded in research and teaching activities

Librarians become campus specialists in areas such as e-science, academic technology and research evaluation

Librarians have meaningful impact

Current barriersMany librarians lack skills and useful qualificationsMany librarians are resistant to changeAcademics do not believe librarians are useful or credible partners

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cilip.org.uk

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THE JOURNAL

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http://www.scilogs.com/eresearch/pages-of-history/

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UNIVERSITY FUNDING

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Science funding

• Ever-increasing expenditure on healthcare in most nations will support continued expansion of the medical subsegment of the STM market

• Publishers will look to offset the decline in print revenues through new solutions - eg workflow, performance measurement and cool ‘toys’

• R&D growth in Asia and the US will continue to underpin the STM market

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uqkeithw

Keith Webster

[email protected]

[email protected]

cmkeithw

Keith Webster