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Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing Bryan M. Minor, Ph.D. Chief Scientist, Acquisio Performance Media Platform
17

Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Jul 02, 2015

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Marketing

Acquisio

While most of us spend our days toiling away in the deepest details of paid search campaigns, scientists of paid search are running experiments, testing regression models and analyzing larger trends to unlock the fundamental secrets of paid search auctions, attribution, economics and search behaviors. Distinguished marketing scientist, Bryan Minor, presents his latest discoveries, insights and knowledge.

Slide notes:

Slide 2
1. Constantly using the best current information to adjust current Bid.
2. Produces superior precision to native AdWords daily budget control.

Slide 3
Compared to a canon with fire and wait model.

Slide 5
This is CPC per day for the Budget Group on x axis, and Clicks/day for BG on y axis

Slide 6
True for clicks or conversions, all campaigns in Budget Group with same goal, either maximize clicks or conversions.

Slide 7
Ellipse points are B, Hexagon are C, with time stamp numbers sequencing up on each.

Slide 8
Easily seen that with BBM (big dot centroid) is more clicks at a cheaper CPC.

Slide 9-12
Yellow date is the first dates with BBM.

Slide 13
Yellow are all cases where obey CPC constraint, Red they are disobeying. Middle graph good statistical significance, right graph poor statistical significance.

Slide 14
Budget Survival is the percentage of the day the Budget Group is running. Red are below 80%, yellow higher. Right graph has good statistical significance, Left graph has very poor.

Slide 15
Budget Spend = (Spend/(Planned spend)) for Budget Group. Yellow are good cases, red poor. Right graph has good statistical significance, Left has poor.

Slide 16
86% of money spent well obeying the constraints, while 14% does not.
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Transcript
Page 1: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Bryan M. Minor, Ph.D.Chief Scientist, Acquisio

Performance Media Platform

Page 2: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Continuous SEM Optimization

Performance Media Platform

Features:

1. Examination and adjustment of Bids in regular intervals many times per day

2. Examination of Budget spend precision many times per day with hyper accurate control

3. Updating of modeling parameters in algorithms on a longer characteristic time scales

4. Auto detection and dealing with anomalies

Results in accelerated learning and optimization

Page 3: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Algorithm Model

• Cruise missile model

• Dynamic Non-linear optimization

• Small steps more often

Performance Media Platform

Page 4: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Problem statement:

Performance Media Platform

• For a fixed Budget for budget period (month)

– With a group of Campaigns (Budget Group)

• Make Daily Budget last whole Day

• Maximum Average CPC per day limit

• Fairly compete Campaigns based on value of Clicks (conversions)

• Maximize Clicks (conversions)

Page 5: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Performance Media Platform

Theoretical ABC graph

C B

A

A

A

minCPC

0 2 4 6 8 100

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

CPC

Cli

cks

day

Page 6: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

ABC graph explanation:

Performance Media Platform

• B graph – Daily Budget spent

• C graph – Daily Budget not spent

• A – location of maximum number of Clicks for a fixed Daily Budget obeying constraints

• minCPC – Lowest value of CPC produces Clicks

Constantly searching for Optimal solution

Page 7: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Performance Media Platform

Experimental ABC data #1

Page 8: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

ABC Data Analysis

Performance Media Platform

Page 9: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

• BBM start: 24 May 2014

Performance Media Platform

Results: X-graphs #1

Start Clicks Start CPC End Clicks End CPC

1,066 $0.51 1,848 $0.27

Page 10: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

• BBM start: 26 May 2014

Performance Media Platform

Results: X-graphs #2

Start Clicks Start CPC End Clicks End CPC

490 $2.07 892 $1.21

Page 11: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

• BBM start: 23 Apr 2014

Performance Media Platform

Results: X-graphs #3

Start Clicks Start CPC End Clicks End CPC

29 $1.24 56 $0.63

Page 12: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

• BBM start: 23 Apr 2014

Performance Media Platform

Results: X-graphs #4

Start Clicks Start CPC End Clicks End CPC

23 $2.08 76 $0.64

Page 13: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

CPC Constraint Obedience

Performance Media Platform

Page 14: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Budget Survival

Performance Media Platform

Page 15: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Budget Spend

Performance Media Platform

Page 16: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Spend CPC Constraint Obedience

Performance Media Platform

Page 17: Technical Revolution of Digital Marketing

Conclusions

Performance Media Platform

• ABC theory validated – A exists!

• Continuous updating of Bids produces superior results

• Precise Budget spend control over Budget Period (2%)

• Statistical Significance matters (143 issue)

• Constraint matters

• Ability to deal well with dynamic changes Budgets

Constraints

Creative changes

Google Settings changes

Google algorithm changes