James M. Shannon IEC President IEVE 20 March 2017 Jeju, Korea IEC, the electric car and beyond
James M. ShannonIEC President
IEVE20 March 2017Jeju, Korea
IEC, the electric car and beyond
• Rapid urbanization requires sustainable transport
• Paris climate agreement • IEC International
Standards published• New battery technologies
EV: broad adoption?
Adoption slower than expected• 2016: 2 million electric cars (from 6 000 in 2009)• Total 2016 sales = 0.86% of 90 million new cars/
trucks• 2040 EV sales projections: 6 % to 40%
Traditional car: self-contained, proprietary – full controlEVs directly impact existing electricity grids:• Add flexibility (slow
power transfer)• Add strain (fast power
transfer)
EVs: part of a bigger world
Many different chargers • Charging
infrastructure underdeveloped – different proprietary systems
• 162 000 public slow power transfer outlets
• 28 000 public fast power transfer outlets – 65% in China and Japan
Fast power transfer issuesReinforcements of electricity grid neededBattery technologies Focus on minimal charging time: hinders peak demand management IEC Standards for DC charging are availableBattery exchange = good alternative – strong opposition by car makers
EV = expensiveBatteries: 1/3 of total cost of ownership of electric vehicleBy 2022: unsubsidized electric car will be less expensive than traditional car
How far will it drive?Battery autonomy + charging time = range anxiety2015: Significant battery improvements to 295 Wh/l from 60Wh/l (2008)= EV ranges of >350 km/single charge
Path to mass marketInternational Standards for infrastructure, electricity supply, electric vehicle = investment securitySystems approach within Smart Energy, Smart Grid IEC expertise for EV safety; new technologies
Far beyond the carGrowing opportunity for electrification of many types of vehicles• Manufacturing• Warehouses• Airports• Mines• Public transportation
Sustainable mobility solutions neededUrban transport focussed on private vehicles = limited value for developing countries (World Bank)
High travel demand = extremely fast infrastructure development
Congestion: loss of millions of person hours – severe impact on economic development and health
Drivers for sustainable solutions• Rapid urbanization +
increased motorization
• Low quality public transportation
• Lack of hierarchical road and street systems – little road space
• Pollution
Peter O’Neill, Lead Infrastructure Specialist, World Bank
More expected
• Developing country megacities: today two-thirds of trips are by foot or bicycle
• Increased economic development = explosion in additional traffic demand
Peter O’Neill, Lead Infrastructure Specialist, World Bank
Electrification of transport• 2050: 70% of people
will live in cities• Asia 4.7 billion
population: crucial role in planning and implementing sustainable transport
• Buses, light rails, subways, cable cars need to be electrified
China to increase public transport• 40% in megacities• 30% in big cities• 20% in medium and small cities• Majority of 173 000 electric buses are in China (IEA)• 2020: 200 000 electric buses and 4000 charging
stations
Battery exchange: buses
• Jeju and Korea pioneering
Underpinning traffic infrastructure
• Transportation technologies by land, sea and air
• Smart Grid• Integration of
renewable energy • Energy storage• Battery and fuel
cell technology
James M. ShannonIEC President
IEVE20 March 2017Jeju, Korea
IEC, the electric car and beyond