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Social Media footprint : Developing a Key performance indicator based on word - of - mouse A CASE STUDY OF NOKIA Supervised by: Prof. Dr. Annouk Lievens Prepared by: Osama Dukhan
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Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

May 12, 2015

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Marketing

Osama Dukhan

This study uses content analysis to develop a key performance indicator based on customers’ word-of-mouse, collected randomly from three different social networking and user review sites. Using LIWC text-based analysis software, we conducted a content analysis of over 420 customers’ reviews and comments containing a reference to one of Nokia smartphones models. Our results show that each of Nokia smartphones models has a unique sentiment multi-dimensional profile. Thus, there are differences in customers’ attitudes toward Nokia products. Later, we based on this fact to build consumers’ attitudes index to measure Nokia’s performance from customers’ perspectives over time. Moreover, we go further by using this index to build an early warning system, which could lead Nokia to identify any potential improvements or even to predict potential future developments.
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Page 1: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Social Media footprint:Developing a Key performance indicator based on word-of-mouse

A CASE STUDY OF NOKIA

Supervised by: Prof. Dr. Annouk Lievens

Prepared by: Osama Dukhan

Page 2: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Outlines:

- Aim of study

- Research questions and answers

- Limitations

- Suggestions for future researches

- Conclusions

Page 3: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Aim of study:

The main goal in this research is finding a tool could help firms to see more through the eyes of customer, thereby act faster.

Page 4: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Aim of study:

“See More Act Faster”

Page 5: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Automated Sentiment Analysis

Performance management

Social MediaField of

Study

Figure (1) Field of study

Page 6: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Research Questions:

How we can use word-of-mouse to generate an accurate quantitative indicator?

Is it possible to measure the performance of the firm based on this KPI?

To what extent can we use this KPI to drive the Firm’s performance?

Page 7: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Research Questions:

How we can use word-of-mouse to generate an accurate quantitative indicator?

Is it possible to measure the performance of the firm based on this KPI?

To what extent can we use this KPI to drive the Firm’s performance?

Page 8: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Using WOM to generate an accurate quantitative indicator.

• Facebook

• Amazon.com

• C|net

Data Collection

Data Cleansing

Data Testing

KPI Developing

Page 9: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Using WOM to generate an accurate quantitative indicator.

Data Collection

• Misspelling.

• The quality of reviews/comments

Data Cleansing

Data Testing

KPI Developing

Page 10: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Using WOM to generate an accurate qualitative indicator.

Data Collection

Data Cleansing

• Consumer’s feelings and attitudes toward different products

Data Testing

KPI Developing

Data Testing

Page 11: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Multi-dimensional profiles of Nokia Smartphones

Anger

Page 12: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Using WOM to generate an accurate qualitative indicator.

Data Collection

Data Cleansing

Data Testing

• \PA\ Positive attitudes index

• \NA\ Negative attitudes Index

KPI Developing

Data Testing

Page 13: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Moving from Qualitative data to Quantitative data

• Facebook

• Amazon.com

• C|net

Data Collection

• Misspelling.

• The quality of reviews/comments

Data Cleansing

• Consumer’s feelings and attitudes toward different products

Data Testing

• Positive attitudes \PA\index

• Negative attitudes \NA\Index

KPI Developing

Page 14: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Research Questions:

How we can use word-of-mouse to generate an accurate quantitative indicator?

Is it possible to measure the performance of the firm based on this KPI?

To what extent can we use this KPI to drive the Firm’s performance?

Page 15: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

• Facebook

• Amazon.com

• C|net

Data Collection

• Misspelling.

• The quality of reviews/comments

Data Cleansing• Consumer’s feelings

and attitudes toward

different products

Data Testing

• \PA\ Index

• \NA\ Index

KPI Developing

• Time variable as a moderator

Performance Measurement

# 1st Step # 2nd Step

Page 16: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Nokia – Smartphones released over one year

# Name of product (Model) Announce date Release date

1 Lumia 925 May, 2013 June, 2013

2 Lumia 928 April, 2013 May, 2013

3 Lumia 720 Feb, 2013 April, 2013

4 Lumia 520 Feb, 2013 April, 2013

5 Lumia 505 Dec, 2012 Jan,2013

6 Lumia 620 Dec, 2012 Jan,2013

7 Lumia 822 Oct,2012 Nov,2012

8 Lumia 510 Oct,2012 Nov,2012

9 Lumia810 Oct,2012 Nov,2012

10 Lumia 920 Sep,2012 Nov,2012

11 Lumia 820 Sep,2012 Nov,2012

12 Lumia 610 NFC April, 2012 Sep,2012

13 800C Mar, 2012 Sep,2012

14 808 Pure view Feb, 2012 June, 2012

15 Lumia 900 Feb, 2012 May,2012

Nokia - Smartphone

Page 17: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Nokia – Smartphones released over one year

# Name of product (Model) Announce date Release date

1 Lumia 925 May, 2013 June, 2013

2 Lumia 928 April, 2013 May, 2013

3 Lumia 720 Feb, 2013 April, 2013

4 Lumia 520 Feb, 2013 April, 2013

5 Lumia 505 Dec, 2012 Jan,2013

6 Lumia 620 Dec, 2012 Jan,2013

7 Lumia 822 Oct,2012 Nov,2012

8 Lumia 510 Oct,2012 Nov,2012

9 Lumia810 Oct,2012 Nov,2012

10 Lumia 920 Sep,2012 Nov,2012

11 Lumia 820 Sep,2012 Nov,2012

12 Lumia 610 NFC April, 2012 Sep,2012

13 800C Mar, 2012 Sep,2012

14 808 Pure view Feb, 2012 June, 2012

15 Lumia 900 Feb, 2012 May,2012

Nokia - Smartphone

Page 18: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Nokia – Smartphones released over one year

# Name of product (Model) Announce date Release date

1 Lumia 925 May, 2013 June, 2013

2 Lumia 928 April, 2013 May, 2013

3 Lumia 720 Feb, 2013 April, 2013

4 Lumia 520 Feb, 2013 April, 2013

5 Lumia 505 Dec, 2012 Jan,2013

6 Lumia 620 Dec, 2012 Jan,2013

7 Lumia 822 Oct,2012 Nov,2012

8 Lumia 510 Oct,2012 Nov,2012

9 Lumia810 Oct,2012 Nov,2012

10 Lumia 920 Sep,2012 Nov,2012

11 Lumia 820 Sep,2012 Nov,2012

12 Lumia 610 NFC April, 2012 Sep,2012

13 800C Mar, 2012 Sep,2012

14 808 Pure view Feb, 2012 June, 2012

15 Lumia 900 Feb, 2012 May,2012

Nokia - Smartphone

Page 19: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Figure 9: The volatility of PA index and NA index over one year

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13

Positive Attitudes or \PA\ index Negative Attitudes or \NA\ Index

Page 20: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Figure 7: NOKIA's Customers attitudes over one year

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

May-12 June-12 July-12 August-12 September-12

October-12 November-12

December-12

January-13 February-13 March-13 April-13 May-13 June-13

Positive attitudes index Negeative Attitudes Index

Page 21: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Research Questions:

How we can use word-of-mouse to generate an accurate quantitative indicator?

Is it possible to measure the performance of the firm based on this KPI?

To what extent can we use this KPI to drive the Firm’s performance?

Page 22: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

• Time variable as a moderator

Performance Measurement

• Developing early warning system

Performance Drivers

# 2nd Step # 3rd Step

Page 23: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Warning System:

We identified many alarm signals during the study period.

We conducted a simple comparison between Nokia’ stock performance

(NOK), as a one of financial KPI, and consumers’ attitudes index as a non-

financial KPI.

We found that it could reflect to what extent both financial and non-

financial indicators can work together harmoniously.

Page 24: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Figure 7: NOKIA's Customers attitudes over one year

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

May-12 June-12 July-12 August-12 September-12

October-12 November-12

December-12

January-13 February-13 March-13 April-13 May-13 June-13

Positive attitudes index Negeative Attitudes Index

Page 25: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Figure 7: NOKIA's Customers attitudes over one year

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

May-12 June-12 July-12 August-12 September-12

October-12 November-12

December-12

January-13 February-13 March-13 April-13 May-13 June-13

Positive attitudes index Negeative Attitudes Index

Page 26: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

NOKIA’s Stock performance during the period (1st of June, 2012 till 15th of August, 2013)

Page 27: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Early warning system

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

Positive attitudes index Negeative Attitudes Index

Page 28: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Early warning system

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

Positive attitudes index Negeative Attitudes Index

Page 29: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Pros and Cons:

We used word-of-mouse to generate an accurate quantitative indicator.

We measured the performance of Nokia based on this KPI.

We used this KPI to build a warming system.

Page 30: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Limitations:

We can classify these limitations into Three different categories :

Limitations related to data.

Limitations related to the selected sample.

Limitations related to the methodology.

Page 31: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Limitations:

We can classify these limitations into three different categories :

Limitations related to data.

Limitations related to the selected sample.

Limitations related to the methodology.

Page 32: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Limitations related to data:

Example :

“Dropped it from a two feet high and the screen broke, too sad that I have been using it for only one month :( ”

Reason of ignore:

Based on LIWC2007 dictionaries, this text will be considered as anegative review, but in fact, the implicit feeling refers to high loyalty andpositive attitudes toward this Smart phone.

Page 33: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Limitations:

We can classify these limitations into three different categories :

Limitations related to data.

Limitations related to selected sample.

Limitations related to the methodology.

Page 34: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Limitations related to the selected sample.

Not all online discussion groups or user review sites have reviews

regard all set of products (models) which were selected in our

sample.

Furthermore, this research was conducted only on a small size of

population. Therefore, to generalized the result, the bigger size of

sample, the better.

Page 35: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Limitations:

We can classify these limitations into three different categories :

Limitations related to data.

Limitations related to selected sample.

Limitations related to the methodology.

Page 36: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Limitations related to the methodology.

we used the release date of products as a milestone over the study

period. However, these milestones were not always divided by

equal time lags because launching products to the market was not

conducted based on a regular time base. This point could generate

a bit of confusion, especially when we conducted a comparison

between Nokia’ stock performance (NOK) and consumers’

attitudes index.

Page 37: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Figure 9: The volatility of PA index and NA index over one year

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13

Positive Attitudes or \PA\ index Negative Attitudes or \NA\ Index

Page 38: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Suggestion for the future researches:

it becomes to invest these techniques to assess customer opinions and toidentify what topics customers are talking about, and that will be useful tocharacterize the opinions that they express about those topics.

It is a due time to identify a wide range of opinion expressions, includingmotivations, recommendations and speculations.

It is a due time to use word-of-mouse as a tool to driving firms’performance not just use it as a performance measurement.

Page 39: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Conclusion:

• In contrast with many studies, this research mainly focused on the‘second way’ of social media as a communication channel, by trying toanswer the question; to how extent we can use the data collectedthrough customers’ review and comments to develop a KPI.

• this indicator could be an easy, timely, and inexpensive source ofinformation for many stakeholders, like the management, customers,competitors, shareholders, consumer protection funds and so on.

Page 40: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Conclusion:

• Finally, we have to admit that developing KPI through the eyes ofcustomer could be a more promising investment for:

• performance-focused companies which have Business-to-Customer(B2C) business model and their products have a plenty amount ofcustomers’ reviews and comments over various online discussiongroups and user review sites.

Page 41: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Thanks for your attention !

Page 42: Social media footprint: Developing KPI based on Word-of-Mouse

Social Media footprint:Developing a Key performance indicator based on word-of-mouse

A CASE STUDY OF NOKIA

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