SfTiiPbliOiiSurvey of Tunisian Public Opinion

S f T i i P bli O i iSurvey of Tunisian Public OpinionMarch 5-18, 2011

Willi d A i tWilliams and AssociatesSalem, Massachusetts

www.WilliamsPolls.com

Survey Specifications

• The International Republican Institute (IRI) conducted a national survey of adult Tunisians (18+ years) from March 5-18, 2011.

• Data was collected in the field by a Tunisian owned and operated marketing research firm, ELKA l i d h i i f id illi f illi d i f lConsulting, under the supervision of David Williams from Williams and Associates of Salem,

Massachusetts. • Interviewing was collected using the in-person, face-to-face methodology by trained professional

interviewers using a multistage stratification proportionate to population sample distribution, with random selection of households and respondents using the Kish method.

• A total of 1,293 interviews were completed yielding an overall margin of error of ± 2.78 percent at the midrange of the 95 percent confidence level.

• The male-to-female ratio of respondents was 51 percent male to 49 percent femaleThe male to female ratio of respondents was 51 percent male to 49 percent female.• The urban-to-rural ratio of respondents was 60 percent urban to 40 percent rural. • The geographic and demographic distributions conform to the most recent generally accepted

official statistics available. • Stratification is based on population distribution according to the latest census.• The information in this report has been compiled in accordance with international standards for

market and social research methodologies.• Figures in charts and tables may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding

Williams and Associates ● Salem, Massachusetts ● www.WilliamsPolls.com

Figures in charts and tables may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding.• This poll was conducted with support from the National Endowment for Democracy.

2

How would you say that things are going in Tunisia these days, are things going in the right direction or the wrong direction?

79%8 %

90%

79%

60%

70%

80%

40%

50%

60%

20%

30%

40%

14%

7%

0%

10%

20%

0%Right Direction Wrong Direction DK/REF

Williams and Associates ● Salem, Massachusetts ● www.WilliamsPolls.com 3

How would you describe the current economic situation in Tunisia?

Very Good Somewhat Good Somewhat Bad Very Bad DK/REFe y Good So e at Good So e at ad e y ad /

4% 25% 46% 20% 5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%


Has your household’s financial situation gotten better or worse over the last year?

Much Better Somewhat Better Somewhat Worse Much Worse Same DK/REF

8% 27% 18% 18% 31% 1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Thinking ahead to next year, do you expect your household’s financial situation to be better or worse?

2%

Much Better Somewhat Better Somewhat Worse Much Worse Same DK/REF

35% 49% 4% 6% 4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%


4

5

Which answer best describes your current economic situation?

3%

1% I have trouble feeding myself andmy family and buying even themost essential things for3% gsurvival.

I have enough means forsurvival, but I do not haveenough money for extra things.

32%22%g y g

I am able to afford things likenew clothes and eating atrestaurants, but not very often.restaurants, but not very often.

I am able to afford things likenew clothes and eating out andalso support other members of

43%

also support other members ofmy family who cannot.

DK/REF


Thinking about the current government, which of the following should be a top priority?p p y

Issue First Second Third TotalIssue Mention Mention Mention Total

Provide Jobs for the Unemployed 35% 32% 25% 92%

Stimulate the Economy 20% 31% 21% 72%

Organize Free and Fair Elections 30% 15% 27% 72%

Decrease the Price of Basic Goods 14% 22% 25% 61%

Don’t Know — — 2% 2%

Refused to Answer — 1% — 1%


Have you heard of the three commissions created to address the issues of corruption, political reform, and human rights violations

d i th i i ?during the uprisings?

22%22%

Yes

No

78%

No


If you have heard of the commissions, how confident are you that each will work for the benefit of Tunisia? (n=1,011)

Political Reform Commission

Very Confident Somewhat Confident Not Very ConfidentNot Confident at All DK/REF

27% 29% 10% 17% 17%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Human Rights CommissionVery Confident Somewhat Confident Not Very ConfidentNot Confident at All DK/REF

27% 25% 11% 21% 16%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Corruption Commission

% % % % %

Corruption Commission

Very Confident Somewhat Confident Not Very ConfidentNot Confident at All DK/REF


21% 23% 14% 29% 14%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

9

Now, I am going to read you a list of different types of individuals. Please tell me if that individual’s opinion has a strong influence, some influence or

has no influence on you and your opinion on current events and politics.

4%6% 6% 6%

100%

Strong Influence Some Influence No Influence DK/REF

50%

26%

70%

80%

90%

17%

5

58% 58%

50%

60%

70%

52%

22%

24% 22%30%

40%

24%

13% 14%

4

0%

10%

20%

0%Religious Leader Union Leader Political Party Leader Head of Household


Do you approve or disapprove of Prime Minister Mohammed Ghannouchi’s resignation?Ghannouchi s resignation?

6%

S l

44%

22% Strongly approve

Approve

Disapprove

Strongly disapprove

14%

Strongly disapprove

DK/REF

14%


Thinking of Tunisia’s political life, would you prefer that politics be based on religion or on secularism?

And would you say you strongly prefer (religion/secularism) or only somewhat prefer (religion/secularism)?

9%90%

100%

17%

27%

%

60%

70%

80%

Strongly on Religion

Somewhat on Religion

Somewhat on Secularism

27%

20%

30%

40%

50%Strongly on Secularism

DK/REF

21%

0%

10%

20%


Thinking of Tunisia’s political life, would you prefer that politics be based on religion or on secularism?

(Urban vs Rural Areas Comparison)(Age Comparison) (Urban vs. Rural Areas Comparison)(Age Comparison)


Some would define secularism as the view that religious considerations or beliefs should be excluded from government

affairs or public education. Taking into account this definition, doesaffairs or public education. Taking into account this definition, does your answer to the previous question change? (n=216)

83% 3%

6%

2%17%

No

Strongly on Religion

Somewhat on Religion

Somewhat on Secularism

3%2%

2% Somewhat on Secularism

Strongly on Secularism

DK/REF


What is the single biggest problem facing Tunisia as a whole?

IssueFirst

MentionSecond

MentionThird

MentionTotal

Unemployment 32% 28% 15% 75%

Internal Security 37% 19% 14% 70%

Living Standards 7% 13% 22% 42%

Government Corruption 7% 10% 10% 27%Government Corruption 7% 10% 10% 27%

Political Reform 8% 10% 7% 25%

Lack of Direct Foreign Investment 2% 6% 7% 15%

Health Care 1% 3% 6% 10%

Lack of Independent Media 2% 3% 4% 9%

Current Constitution 2% 2% 4% 8%Cu e t Co st tut o % % 4% 8%

Legal System 1% 3% 3% 7%

Lack of Independent Civil Society 1% 1% 3% 5%

Don’t Know 1% 1% 4% 6%


How much do you trust each of the following to protect your neighborhood?

3%5%

8%1% 1%100%

A Great Deal Fair Amount Only a Little Not at All DK/REF

12%

14%

3

6%

32%

70%

80%

90%

15%

50%

60%

70%

80%72%

23%

30%

40%

30%

0%

10%

20%

0%National Army Citizen Security Groups National Police


Now I am going to read a list of issues and for each one please tell me whether you feel that the situation has gotten better, gotten

worse or stayed the same over the last year.

29% 23% 25% 8% 7% 8%Development of Independent Civil Society

Much Better Somewhat Better Same Somewhat Worse Much Worse DK/REF

6%

27%

9

14%

38%

3

47%

15%

5

18%

10%

13%

7%

7

2%

3%

Living Standards

Development of Independent Media

12%

12%

9%

30%

23%

21%

28%

32%

45%

8%

7%

9%

5%

5%

9%

17%

21%

8%

Legal Reform

Constitutional Reform

Health Care

15%

10%

29%

17%

25%

21%

11%

19%

7%

19%

%

13%

15%

l

Government Corruption

Direct Foreign Investment

19%

15%

6%

40%

38%

15%

20%

17%

36%

7%

18%

19%

5%

11%

22%

9%

2%

2%

Political Reform

Security

Unemployment

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%


How likely is the current government to address these issues facing Tunisia?

5%3%

11%

5%

Very Likely

Somewhat Likely

43%

Somewhat Likely

Not Very Likely

Not Likely at All

39%

DK/REF


I am going to read you some ideological terms; I’d like you to please tell me the political figures that come to mind.

Name Moderate (54%) Islamist (47%) Liberal (11%) Socialist (17%) Loyal to the people (46%) Corrupt (49%)

Beji Kaid Sebsi 27% 1% 1% 2% 18% —

Mohammed Ghanouchi 7% — 1% 1% 5% 2%

Ah d N jib Ch bi % % % %Ahmed Nejib Chebi 2% — 2% 1% 1% —

Mohamed Jegham — — 1% — — —

Abdelsalem Jerad — — — — — 8%

Iyadh Ben Achour — — — — — —

Ahmed Ibrahim — — 1% 1% — 1%Ahmed Ibrahim — — 1% 1% — 1%

Moncef Marzouki — — 1% 1% — 1%

Rached Ghanouchi 2% 44% — — 1% 1%

Kamel Morjane — — 1% — — 2%

Mustapha Ben Jaafar 1% — — — — —p

Sihem Ben Sedrine 1% — 1% — — —

Hamma Hammami — — 2% 7% — —

Rachid Ammar 5% — — 1% 11% —

Farhat Rajhi 4% — 1% 1% 4% —

Ahmed Mestiri 1% — 1% 1% 1% —

Foued Mebazaa — — — — 1% 1%

Maya Jeribi — — — — — —

Ahmed Friaa — — — — — —

Habib Bourguiba 1% — — — — —

Other 1% 1% — 1% 2% 32%*

* Ben Ali’s family 24%, Trabelsi’s family 4%Williams and Associates ● Salem, Massachusetts ● www.WilliamsPolls.com 19

When do you believe that the presidential election will be held?

53%

50%

60%

40%

50%

20%

30%

5% 5%8%

6%

1% 1%2%

5%

<1%

6% 5%3%

10%

1% <1%0%


*The questionnaire was finalized prior to the announcement of constituent assembly elections, and at a time when most Tunisians expected a presidential election.

Is the date that you’ve identified to organize the presidential election too soon or not soon enough?

14%11%

17%Too Soon

Not Soon Enough

Th Ri h A

58%

The Right Amount

DK/REF


How likely are you to vote in the upcoming presidential election scheduled for later in the year?

89%90%

100%

70%

80%

50%

60%

%

30%

40%

6%1% 3% 2%

0%

10%

20%

Very Likely Somewhat Likely Not Very Likely Not Likely at All DK/REF


Do you have a national identification card? If no, why not? (n=26)

98%

1%

2%

Yes

No, Lost It

N N H d O

1%

No, Never Had One


Do you have a national identification card?(Age Comparison)


Your ID card includes your registered address. Would you be happy to vote at a polling place near that address?

If no, why would you wish to vote somewhere else? (n=47)

Yes

83%

10%

3%4%

I Don't Care Where I Vote

No, Registered Address is

1%

Not Where I Live

No, Consider Myself From Another District


Do you believe that Tunisia’s next president will be someone you’ve already heard of or someone you’ve never heard of?

54%

60%

37%40%

50%

Heard Of

Never Heard Of37%

30%

40%

DK/REF

%

20%

9%

0%

10%


Do you support further integration of Tunisia with the Union for the Mediterranean?

19%90%

100%

%

2%4%

8%

70%

80%

DK/REF

Have Not Heard Of10%

40%

50%

60%Strongly Oppose

Oppose

Support

57%

20%

30%

40%Strongly Support

0%

10%


What languages can you read?

12%Other

73%French 73%French

37%English

96%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Arabic

4


Where are you most likely to get your local news and information?

(Allowed Three Responses)

Issue First Second Third TotalIssue Mention Mention Mention Total

Tunisian Television 69% 20% 5% 94%Radio 5% 33% 18% 56%Newspaper 3% 14% 25% 42%Internet 17% 10% 6% 33%R t P bli Pl 3% 10% 13% 26%Rumors at Public Places 3% 10% 13% 26%SMS — 1% 1% 2%Mosque — — 1% 1%Other 2% 1% 1% 4%Don’t know 1% 11% 29% 41%


Where are you most likely to get your local news and information?

(Age Comparison)(Age Comparison)


Which national newspaper do you read to get your news? (Multiple Response) n=1062

Williams and Associates●Salem, Massachusetts● www.WilliamsPolls.com 31

Which national radio station do you listen to to get your news? (Multiple Response) n=1133


Which national television station do you watch to to get your news? (Multiple Response) n=1281


Which national television station do you watch to get your news? (Age Comparison)(Age Comparison)


Do you have access to the Internet? If yes, when you do use the Internet, from where do you access it

most often? (n=625)most often? (n=625)(First Mention)

2%

No

50%

28%

49%

DK/REF

Home

Work

School50%

4%1%

2%

49% School

Mobile Phone

Other

DK

REF11%

3%1%

REF


SfTiiPbliOiiSurvey of Tunisian Public Opinion

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