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SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Jan 12, 2016

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Page 1: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

SEA at ASUStudent Economics AssociationStudent Economics Association

Page 3: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

What is Economics?Economics is a social science

concerned with the logic of scarcity, cost, value, and

choice

Page 5: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Do you want the government deciding…..

Who gets a hot dog at a football game?

Who gets seats to a sold out concert?

Obviously not ….

Markets respond to individual choice

But environmental matters are different…

Or are they ???

Page 6: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Economic Food for Thought

Ever wonder why your school textbooks have highlighting,

scribbling, torn pages, and random

comments from other people in them?

What do you think?

Page 7: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

In-Class ActivityRound 1

Please form groups of four

The candy belongs to the first person who takes it

Every 20 seconds or so, your candy supply will be increased

… Until someone takes it

Page 8: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

In-Class ActivityRound 2

Please keep the same groups of four

The candy in each quadrant is yours; only you may take it

Every 20 seconds or so, your candy supply will be increased

… Until you take it or eat it

Page 9: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Discussion of Activity Economics is about incentives and how incentives

can be used to influence people’s choices:

• What were your incentives to

take/leave the candy

in the first round ?

• What were your incentives to

take/leave the candy

in the second round ?

Page 10: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Back to the Books

What are the

incentives involved

with the books?

Page 11: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Private Property

The puzzle for the noneconomist is why anything is private property. The puzzle for economists is why anything is not. Having found such an elegant solution to the problem of producing and allocating things, why notapply it universally? ... David Friedman

Page 12: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Pollutionion and and EcoEconomics

Page 15: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Not always… Not always…

In the early 1970’s, CFCs from aerosolcans threatened the ozone layer

The federal government imposed a tax onCFCs, which raised production costs

Higher costs were partially shifted to consumers who searched for substitutes

Enterprising businesses developed, And switched to, pump sprays

Page 16: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.
Page 17: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Acid Rain: Let’s talk about SO2

Page 18: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

The U.S. Acid Rain Program

Title IV of the 1990 Clean Air Act

Objective: Reduce annual SO2 emissions

by 10 million tons below 1980 levels.

Two-phase (1995, 2000) tightening of restrictions

“Allowance trading” system: free-market

incentives to reduce pollution

Page 19: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Affected utility units were allocated allowances

based on their historic fuel consumption.

Each allowance permits a unit to emit 1 ton

of SO2 during or after a specified year.

Allowances may be bought, sold, or banked

For future years.

Tradable Property Rights

Page 20: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

SO2 Caps and Forecasts for Phase I Units

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Years

SO

2 in

mil

lion

ton

s

EPA's forecast of "No Title IV"

Ttile IV Emission Limits

Page 21: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

SO2 Allowance Prices, 1992-2000 (1995 or Current Vintage)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

7/31

/92

10/3

1/92

1/31

/93

4/30

/93

7/31

/93

10/3

1/93

1/31

/94

4/30

/94

7/31

/94

10/3

1/94

1/31

/95

4/30

/95

7/31

/95

10/3

1/95

1/31

/96

4/30

/96

7/31

/96

10/3

1/96

1/31

/97

4/30

/97

7/31

/97

10/3

1/97

1/31

/98

4/30

/98

7/31

/98

10/3

1/98

1/31

/99

4/30

/99

7/31

/99

10/3

1/99

1/31

/00

Date

Cu

rren

t P

rice

($/

ton

)

Emissions Exchange

Cantor Fitzgerald EBS

Fieldston Publications

Private Trades

EPA Spot Auction

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Page 22: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Looks a little like pork belly futures contracts ….

Page 23: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Number of Allowances Sold in the EPA Auction and the Private Market

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

Through March1993

April 1993-March1994

April 1994-March1995

April 1995-March1996

Period

Qu

anti

ty

EPA Auction

Private Market

Total

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

Quantity

(millions)

Trading Volume:EPA Auctions and Private Markets

Page 24: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

SO2 Emissions, Caps, and Forecasts for Phase I Units

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Years

SO

2 in

mil

lion

ton

s

Actual SO2 emissions

EPA's forecast of "No Title IV"

Ttile IV Emission Limits* 1995 COUNTERFACTUAL

*

Sulphur Dioxide After Phase I:Forecasts, Caps, and Actual Emissions

Page 25: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Program ResultsProgram Results

• 100% compliance (!)

• Emissions reduced

• No “hot spots” (!)

• Lower cost than expected (!)

• Firms traded allowances (!)

• Al Gore claimed to have

invented the program

Note: (!) denotes outcome was a surprise to industry participants, government, and New York Times reporters.

Page 26: SEA at ASU Student Economics Association. Economics and the Environment.

Markets generate prices; more specifically, prices and costs of alternative quantities.

Prices generate information about costs and benefits.

Information is key to effective social choice about pollution control.

Command and control tends to stifle Meaningful choice and to cause higher costs of obtaining comparable outcomes.

The Social Value of Markets