Satisfaction with the local grocery store mix: A consumer perspective Harmen Oppewal (Monash University) Ian Clarke (University of Edinburgh) Malcolm Kirkup (University of Exeter) Supermarket Power in Australia Symposium, Melbourne, 1 August 2013 Department of Marketing
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Satisfaction with the local grocery store mix: A consumer perspective Harmen Oppewal (Monash University) Ian Clarke (University of Edinburgh) Malcolm Kirkup.
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Satisfaction with the local grocery store mix: A consumer perspectiveSatisfaction with the local grocery store mix: A consumer perspective
UK grocery sector issues similar but further UK grocery sector issues similar but further developed and more debated than in Australiadeveloped and more debated than in Australia
– Concerns over increasing concentration
– Supply chain issues & accusations of abuse of power
– Town centre v out of town locations
– Role of the small store & supermarkets moving into the convenience sector
– Homogenisation of high street
– Food deserts debate
– Overseas entrants incl ALDI and Walmart
– Private labels
– Loyalty cards
– Unit pricing
– Organic and local products
– Online channel
– Consumer concern and activism
Aim and approach of this researchAim and approach of this research
● Aim
– Explore what it means to have variety in the retail setting, what influences it, and how it affects consumer perceptions of choice
– Assess how concentration, format diversity and proximity to stores influence satisfaction with the local store mix
● Approach
– Consumer satisfaction survey among consumers from different neigbourhoods, across different cities
– Respondents rated their current neighbourhood’s provision and then completed a set of ‘stated preference’ tasks.
Some relevant literatureSome relevant literature
● Consumer perceptions of local choice
– Quality of consumers’ lives affected by neighbourhoods in which they live, including retail provision
– Clarke et al., 2006; Jackson et al., 2006
● Perception of assortments within stores
– Effects of assortment reductions and extensions– Botti & Iyengar, 2006; Broniarczyk et al, 1998; Iyengar & Lepper, 1999;
Oppewal & Koelemeijer, 2005
● Access and disadvantage– Benefits of co-location
– Arentze et al., 2005; Dellaert et al., 1998, Oppewal et al, 1997
– Role of location and distance– Dawson et al 2008; Talukdar 2008; Wrigley et al 2003
Stated preference study Stated preference study (Clarke et al 2012)(Clarke et al 2012)
● Personal interviews across the population in one ‘average’ town in Mid England (Worcester) (n=288)
● Respondents evaluate hypothetical store mixes for their local area
– Local parade of shops within 5 minutes– Location at 15 minutes but near the town centre– Location at 15 minutes towards the edge of town
● Presence/absence of 8 individual stores varied across the three locations– Tesco (3x); Sainsbury; ASDA; Morrison; Somerfield– Tesco Express; Independent small retailer
● Satisfaction with store mix – 1=very unsatisfied, .., 5 = very satisfied
Stated preference taskStated preference task
● “Imagine your neighbourhood has a completely different range of food store available…”
● “How satisfied or dissatisfied would you be with this mix of stores” (1= very dissatisfied, 5 = very satisfied)
Store presence effects Store presence effects (regression parameters)(regression parameters)
FindingsFindings
● Supermarkets at 5 minutes have largest contribution
– Tesco more than Sainsbury
– If both present then joint effect is reduced
● Only minimal contribution of small stores
– Small effect for independent, does not depend on presence of other retailers; mainly reduces dissatisfaction
– No effect for Tesco Express at 15 minutes
● Effects at 15 minutes vary by brand and location
– ASDA and Morrison larger effects than (second) Tesco
– If Tesco at 5 minutes then smaller effects of ASDA/Morrison
Main findingsMain findings
1. Consumers are more satisfied if they have more grocery stores available
2. Consumers are more satisfied if they have a greater variety of brands and formats available
Published as:
Clarke I., M. Kirkup and H. Oppewal (2012), “Consumer satisfaction with local retail diversity in the UK: effects of supermarket access, brand variety, and social deprivation” Environment and Planning A, 44: 1896- 1911
Extension Extension (similar approach, separate sample)(similar approach, separate sample)
● Role of online shopping
– Extra condition varied presence of online channel
– No significant effect: online is no substitute for brick and mortar store access
● Role of discounters
– ALDI adds significant benefit, but only if a main supermarket is also present
● Role of premium stores
– Waitrose adds only modest amount
Store presence effects Store presence effects (study 2)(study 2)
Next steps in the researchNext steps in the research
● Real neighbourhood evaluations
● Effect of actual store mix and access levels
● Comparison across two towns
– With different levels of concentration
Study Areas
Milton Keynes
Telford
Retail supply in the two townsRetail supply in the two towns
● Town A = Telford:
– Low level of concentration of main supermarket brands (HHI<1500) and a Tesco market share of only 17%,
● Town B = Milton Keynes:
– High level of concentration (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index >3000) and a high Tesco market share of 52% (at time of surveying)
● Approximately 20 supermarkets and 50 small local supermarkets and convenience stores in each town
– All main competitors present
– Similar presence of discounters and of high end luxury supermarkets
MethodologyMethodology
● Careful selection of nine local areas in each town
● 60 face to face interviews in each area to collect consumer evaluations of the retail supply
● Location data for all supermarkets combined with travel time data for all area postcodes.
● Resulted in each respondent’s available set of stores, including their brands and travel times.
● Selected nearest six supermarkets for each respondent
Descriptive statisticsDescriptive statistics
Analysis: mixed linear regression Analysis: mixed linear regression (18 groups; 1129 respondents)(18 groups; 1129 respondents)
Results (1)Results (1)
● Distance to nearest supermarket: no effect
– But negative effect of distance to next nearest
– So it is the access to multiple supermarkets in the vicinity that is important
● Variety: Presence of a discount store increases satisfaction
– No effect of the presence of a high end store
– So the effect is due to discounter availability, not mere variety
Results (2)Results (2)
● Proportion of Tesco’s negatively affects satisfaction
– Consumers are more satisfied when there is more brand variety among the main supermarkets
● Respondents in Low Concentration town more satisfied than those in HC town
– The High Concentration town also included more Tesco branded convenience stores
● Higher satisfaction if car available
– No interaction with distance variables
ConclusionsConclusions
● Consumers in the town less dominated by Tesco significantly more satisfied with their local mix
● Satisfaction does not depend on distance to the nearest supermarket; instead it depends on the combined distances to the set of nearest stores
● Consumers value brand variety and discounter
● Policy makers should focus on variety, not just on providing ‘minimal’ access levels
– But there may be vulnerable subgroups who need access
– No indication that online can provide a substitute
Do these findings transfer to the Do these findings transfer to the Australian context?Australian context?