Top Banner

of 27

Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

Jun 03, 2018

Download

Documents

Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    1/27

    Information from

    Samples

    Alliance Class

    January 17, 2012Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    2/27

    Agenda

    Lessons for Student

    Posters

    CCSS Grade 7 StatisticsTypes of Sampling

    Sampling Activities

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    3/27

    Lesson Plans for Student Posters

    Day 1: Brainstorming 2/17

    Day 2: Sort and Classify Questions 2/17

    Day 3: Planning 2/17

    Day 4: Data Collecting 3/17

    Day 5: Graphs 3/17

    Day 6: Poster 4/1 or spring breakMath

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    4/27

    WALT

    1. Develop an understanding of 7.SP.1 and 2.

    2. Understand the different methods of collecting a

    sample from a population.

    3. Understand the need for random selection of asample.

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    5/27

    Success Criteria

    When I am able to clearly explain and provide an

    example for CCSS standard 7.SP. 1and 2.

    When I am able to identify the different methods of

    sampling and explain why random sampling isimportant.

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    6/27

    CCSS 7thGrade Statistics

    Domain

    Use random sampling to draw inferencesabout a population.

    1.Understand that statistics can be used to gaininformation about a population by examining asample of the population; generalizationsabout a population from a sample are validonly if the sample is representative of thatpopulation. Understand that random samplingtends to produce representative samples andsupport valid inferences.

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    7/27

    CCSS Grade 7 Statistics Domain

    2. Use data from a random sample to drawinferences about a population with anunknown characteristic of interest. Generatemultiple samples (or simulated samples) ofthe same size to gauge the variation inestimates or predictions. For example,estimate the mean word length in a book by

    randomly sampling words from the book;predict the winner of a school election basedon randomly sampled survey data. Gaugehow far off the estimate or prediction might

    be.Math

    AllianceProject

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    8/27

    Standard 7.SP.1

    Read Standard 7.SP.1

    Divide your paper in

    half. On one side,rephrase this standard

    and on the other side,

    provide an example.

    Share with your

    partner.

    Standard 7.SP.1

    Rephrased: Example:

    Math

    AllianceProject

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    9/27

    Standard 7.SP.2

    Read standard 7.SP.2

    Divide your paper in

    half. On one side,rephrase this standard

    and on the other side,

    provide an example.

    Share with your

    partner. MathAlliance

    Project

    Standard 7.SP.2

    Rephrased: Example:

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    10/27

    Types of Sampling

    Simple Random Sample

    Stratified Random Sample

    Cluster sampling

    Systematic

    Convenience

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    11/27

    Simple Random Sample

    Every subset of a specified size n from the

    population has an equal chance of being selected

    Math

    AllianceProject

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    12/27

    Stratified Random Sample

    The population is divided into two or more groups

    called strata, according to some criterion, such as

    geographic location, grade level, age, or income,

    and subsamples are randomly selected from eachstrata.

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    13/27

    Cluster Sample

    The population is divided into subgroups (clusters)

    like families. A simple random sample is taken of

    the subgroups and then all members of the cluster

    selected are surveyed.

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    14/27

    Systematic Sample

    Every kth member ( for example: every 10th

    person) is selected from a list of all population

    members.

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    15/27

    Convenience Sample

    Selection of whichever individuals are easiest to

    reach

    It is done at the convenience of the researcher

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    16/27

    Errors in Sampling

    Non-Observation Errors

    Sampling error: naturally occurs

    Coverage error: people sampled do not match the

    population of interest Underrepresentation

    Non-response: wont or cant participate

    Math

    AllianceProject

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    17/27

    Errors of Observation

    Interview error- interaction between interviewerand person being surveyed

    Respondent error: respondents have difficult time

    answering the question Measurement error: inaccurate responses when

    person doesnt understand question or poorlyworded question

    Errors in data collection

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    18/27

    Random Rectangles

    1. When given the cue turn the paper over.

    Within 5 seconds make a guess for the

    average area of the rectangles.2. When given the cue turn the paper over.

    Select 5 rectangles you think are

    representative of the rectangles on the page.

    Write the rectangle numbers and their areas.Compute the average of the 5 rectangles.

    Math

    AllianceProject

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    19/27

    Random Rectangles

    3. Use the random-number generator on the

    graphing calculator to select five different

    numbers from 1 to 100.

    Write down the five numbers and the area ofeach of the five rectangles.

    Find the area of the five rectangles.

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    20/27

    Random Rectangles

    Report the three answers that you found for the

    average of the rectangles.

    1.Guess

    2.Representative sample

    3.Random sample

    At your table construct 3 box plots

    Math

    AllianceProject

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    21/27

    Random Rectangles

    Compare the three box plots. Describe any

    similarities and differences.

    Compare the medians of the three box plots to theactual area of all 100 rectangles.

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    22/27

    racticeAt your table explain how you would conduct:

    A simple random sample of teachers in our class

    A stratified random sample of teachers in our

    class

    A systematic sample of teachers in our class

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    23/27

    Practice

    To conduct a survey of long-distance calling patterns, a researcheropens a telephone book to a random page, closes his eyes, putshis finger down on the page, and then reads off the next 50names. Which of the following are true statements?

    I. The survey design incorporates chance

    II. The procedure results in a simple random sampleIII. The procedure could easily result in selection bias

    a) I and II

    b) I and III

    c) II and IIId) I, II and III

    e) None of the above gives the complete set of true responses

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    24/27

    Practice

    A large elementary school has 15

    classrooms, with 24 children in each

    classroom. A sample of 30 children is

    chosen by the following procedure:

    Each of the 15 teachers selects 2children from his or her classroom to

    be in the sample by numbering the

    children from 1 to 24, using a random

    digit table to select two different

    random numbers between 01 and 24.

    The 2 children with those numbers are

    in the sample.

    Did this procedure give a simple random

    sample of 30 children from the

    elementary school?

    a) No, because the teacherswere not selected randomly

    b) No, because not all possiblegroups of 30 children had thesame chance of being

    chosenc) No, because not all children

    had the same chance ofbeing chosen

    d) Yes, because each child hadthe same chance of being

    chosene) Yes, because the numbers

    were assigned randomly tothe children

    Math

    AllianceProject

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    25/27

    Visual Bias

    Pull the slide until the line on the slide looks as if it

    is the same length as the line on the face of the

    card.

    Turn the card over and read the length

    Record this length and report it when asked.

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    26/27

    Bias Experiment

    Report your length.

    Construct a box plot of the class data.

    Compare the box plot to the actual length.

    Do the reported lengths tend to be the same? Do

    they appear to be systematically too long or too

    short?

    Math

    Alliance

    Project

  • 8/12/2019 Sampling_S3-12_01-17-2012

    27/27

    Homework

    CMP Samples and Population (Handout)

    Read pp. 26 to 32.

    Do Problem 2.3 page 32

    Use the spinners on page 31 and a paper clip as

    the spinner to generate the random numbers that

    are needed for A1 and 2.

    Math

    Alliance

    Project