Regional Land Use Planning Progress Update Tac 071708

Homework Assignment

Technical Advisory CommitteeJuly 17, 2008

Martin Kim, Director of Regional Planning

Public and Stakeholder Outreach

Publicizing Going Places Initiative (since January 2007) Number of presentations given - 59 Number of organizations presentation was given to - 53 Number of audiences – 1,100 Number of GP business cards distributed – 1,750 Number of GP information brochures distributed – 1,700

What else could and/or should we do to make this initiative successful?

We ask you to discuss this question with at least three of your colleagues and/or staff at your organization and submit our

homework assignment via email to [email protected]

What would the Going Places Initiative need to have or do in order for your organization to consider formally

endorsing it and incorporating it into your planning activities?

Website UpdatesMike Lucas,

IT/ Web Manager

Presented to TAC and MVRPC

Overview

Overall GP website design and launch Updates on main page Updates chronologically Sections for different topics – colors/ icons

New Features Sign up for email updates MV Favorite Places

Going Places Website

Launched August 2007 - www.mvrpc.org/rlu

Centralized site for updates and information on the regional planning process. Study reports and

presentations Information brochure Meeting announcement

and materials and much more

Main page has updates for entire project Project updates are added chronologically GP website includes background information about the project

General Information

Topic Area

Phase 1 – Existing Condition Assessment

Data collection and analysis delivered for multiple topic areas

E-mail Updates

Going Places updates delivered to your inbox

Web-based registration GP Committees, MVRPC

Board and TAC automatically registered

Favorite Places

Focus on what we want the Region to be in the Future Find the examples that inspire us in the present Collect varied places from interested participants as well as

staff Remind us all of why this Region is special and how we hope to

improve

Miami Valley Favorite Places

Map based photo gallery Visitors can submit photos

and location via Photo Uploader

Staff reviews for appropriateness, and loads to web with geo-location

Miami Valley Industrial Development Assessment

Katryn Bowman,

Research Associate

Presented to TAC and MVRPC

Purpose

To examine the Region’s industrial development status as part of “Going Places: An Integrated Land Use Vision for the Miami Valley Region”

To provide a comprehensive overview of the current industrial development conditions in the Region

To estimate future industrial development requirements for the Region

Data Sources

Greene, Miami, Montgomery, and Warren counties The cities of Franklin, Carlisle, and Springboro in

Warren County United States Postal Service Gem Real Estate Group Woods and Poole, Inc. Ohio Department of Jobs and Families MVPRC

Introduction Industrial Land Use – Regional Overview Industrial Land Use – Land-Based Analysis Industrial Land Use – Building-Based Analysis Market Assessment Industrial Employment Conclusion

Report Structure

Definition

Industrial land use is defined as “the land and improvements to land used for manufacturing, processing, or refining foods and materials, and warehouses used in connection therewith.” (State of Ohio Classification of Real Property)

Definition

Industrial Land Categories Food and Drink Processing Plants and Storage Foundries and Heavy Manufacturing Plants Light to Medium Manufacturing and Assembly Plants Industrial Warehouses and Truck Terminals Small Shops (Machine, Tool & Die, Etc.) Other Industrial Structures Vacant – Unbuilt Unclassified Industrial Land

MIAMI

MONTGOME RY

GREENE

WARREN

§̈¦I 75

§̈¦I 675

§̈¦I 70

§̈¦I 71

§̈¦I 75

Dayton

Troy

Xenia

1950 Urbanized Area

2000 Urbanized Area*

Source: Census 1950, 2000* The concept of "Urban Clusters" began in theU.S. Census from the year 2000. The UrbanizedArea shown here for the year 2000 also includesUrban Clusters.

0 2 4 6 8Miles

Industrial Land Use – Regional Overview

Industrial Land Use – Regional Overview

1975 2000 % Change 1975 2000 % ChangeRegion 8,551 10,428 22.0% 102,234 168,107 64.4%

Greene 2,344 2,094 -10.7% 26,188 53,500 104.3%Miami 1,411 2,565 81.8% 9,893 22,694 129.4%Montgomery 4,796 5,769 20.3% 66,152 91,913 38.9%

Industrial Land Non-Industrial Developed Land

Industrial Land Use – Regional Overview

MIAMI

MONTGOME RY

GREENE

WARREN

Dayton

Troy

Xenia

§̈¦I 75

§̈¦I 675

§̈¦I 70

§̈¦I 71

§̈¦I 75

0 4 82Miles

Industrial Land Non-Industrial Land Total AcresGreene 2,469 (0.9%) 263,720 (99.1%) 266,189Miami 3,069 (1.2%) 259,212 (98.8%) 262,281Montgomery 7,474 (2.5%) 289,747 (97.5%) 297,221Warren* 1,083 (7.5%) 13,271 (92.5%) 14,355

Non-Industrial Acres825,950 (98.3%)

Industrial Acres14,095 (1.7%)

Industrial Land Use – Regional Overview

MIAMI

MONTGOME RY

GREENE

WARREN

§̈¦I 75

§̈¦I 675

§̈¦I 70

§̈¦I 71

§̈¦I 75

Dayton

Troy

Xenia

0 4 82Miles

Business Vacancy Rateby Census Tract - 2008

Tracts with Regionally and LocallySignificant

Total GFA Total Vacant GFA Percent VacantGem Survey 18,983,087 3,655,962 19.3%MVRPC Estimate 137,444,866 26,470,574 19.3%Source: Gem Real Estate Group

Source: United States Postal Service

Industrial Land Use – Land Based AnalysisOther Industrial

Structures1,655 (12%)

Small Shops (Machine,Tool & Die, Etc.)

881 (6%)

Industrial Warehousesand Truck Terminals

1,882 (13%)

Light to MediumManufacturing andAssembly Plants

3,429 (25%)

Foundries and HeavyManufacturing Plants

790 (6%)

Food and DrinkProcessing Plants and

Storage126 (1%)

Vacant - Unbuilt4,213 (30%)

Unclassified973 (7%

Industrial Land Use – Land-Based Analysis

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Greene Miami Montgomery Warren*

Unclassified IndustrialLand

Food and DrinkProcessing Plants andStorageFoundries and HeavyManufacturing Plants

Small Shops

Other IndustrialStructures

Industrial Warehousesand Truck Terminals

Vacant - Unbuilt

Light to MediumManufacturing andAssembly Plant

Industrial Land Use – Land-Based Analysis

MIAMI

MONTGOME RY

GREENE

WARREN

Dayton

Troy

Xenia

§̈¦I 75

§̈¦I 675

§̈¦I 70

§̈¦I 71

§̈¦I 75

0 4 82Miles

Manufacturing Acreage as aPercent of TAZ Acreage

80th to 90th Percentile (21.3% - 30.9%)

Industrial Land Use – Building-Based AnalysisFood and Drink

Processing Plants andStorage

1,416,948 (1%)

Light to MediumManufacturing andAssembly Plants

48,113,840 (35%)Industrial Warehousesand Truck Terminals28,059,237 (20%)

Small Shops12,528,905 (9%)

Other IndustrialStructures

5,751,701 (4%)

Unclassified IndustrialLand

21,429,134 (16%) Foundries and HeavyManufacturing Plants

20,145,100 (15%)

Industrial Land Use – Building-Based Analysis

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Greene County Miami County Montgomery County Warren County*

Unclassified IndustrialLand

Food and DrinkProcessing Plants andStorageOther IndustrialStructures

Small Shops

Foundries and HeavyManufacturing Plants

Industrial Warehousesand Truck Terminals

Light to MediumManufacturing andAssembly Plant

Industrial Land Use – Market Analysis

MIAMI

MONTGOME RY

GREENE

WARREN

Dayton

Troy

Xenia

§̈¦I 75

§̈¦I 675

§̈¦I 70

§̈¦I 71

§̈¦I 75

0 4 82Miles

Industrial Parcel Categories

Vacant - Unbuil t

Food and Drink Processing Plants and Storage

Foundries and Heavy Manufacturing Plants

Medium to Light Manufacturing and Assembly Plants

Industrial Warehouses and Truck Terminals

Small Shops (Machine , Tool and Die, Etc.)

Other Industrial Structures

Unclassified

WARREN

¨̈̈̈̈̈̈̈¦¦̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§

MIAMI

MONTGOME RY

GREENEGREENE

Xenia

¨̈̈̈̈̈¦¦¦̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§Troy

¨̈¦¦¦¦̈̈̈̈§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§

¨̈̈¦¦¦¦¦̈̈̈̈̈̈§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§

Dayton

¦̈¦̈̈§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§̈̈̈§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§

DaytonDayton

¨̈̈̈̈¦¦¦¦¦¦̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§

DaytonDayton

¨̈̈̈̈̈̈¦¦¦¦¦¦̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§̈̈̈̈̈̈̈̈§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§§

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Industrial Land Use – Market Analysis

Unclassified Vacant - Unbuilt

Food and Drink Processing Plants

and StorageFoundries and Heavy Manufacturing Plants

Light to Medium Manufacturing and Assembly Plants

Industrial Warehouses and Truck Terminals Small shops

Other Industrial Structures

Fairborn 0.00 (0%) 1,063.51 (89.47%) 0.00 (0%) 3.66 (0.31%) 10.96 (0.92%) 43.96 (3.70%) 0.00 (0%) 66.65 (5.61%)

Franklin 0.24 (0.05%) 207.74 (40.48%) 0.00 (0%) 24.68 (4.81%) 208.02 (40.53%) 31.59 (6.15%) 22.05 (4.30%) 18.92 (3.69%)Montgomery

County/North I-75 9.89 (1.31%) 386.00 (51.06%) 0.00 (0%) 0.00 (0%) 177.95 (23.54%) 98.91 (13.08%) 69.10 (9.14%) 14.10 (1.87%)

North Dayton 134.43 (14.94%) 53.90 (5.99%) 0.00 (0%) 60.61 (6.74%) 210.86 (23.44%) 284.07 (31.58%) 94.19 (10.47%) 61.50 (6.84%)

East Dayton 288.86 (27.84%) 29.68 (2.86%) 11.41 (1.10%) 45.32 (4.37%) 170.45 (16.43%) 193.54 (18.65%) 106.04 (10.22%) 192.25 (18.53%)

Piqua 0.04 (0%) 314.69 (30.86%) 1.10 (0.11%) 52.33 (5.13%) 433.90 (42.55%) 82.51 (8.09%) 48.86 (4.79%) 86.30 (8.46%)

South Dayton/Moraine 407.17 (27.19%) 117.78 (7.87%) 0.12 (0.01%) 394.80 (26.37%) 216.98 (14.49%) 170.13 (11.36%) 66.03 (4.41%) 124.27 (8.30%)

Springboro 0.00 (0%) 135.00 (29.35%) 1.56 (0.34%) 0.00 (0%) 170.82 (37.14%) 88.16 (19.17%) 21.04 (4.57%) 43.33 (9.42%)

Tipp City 0.00 (0%) 85.65 (16.66%) 1.58 (0.31%) 0.00 (0%) 101.15 (19.67%) 194.66 (37.86%) 22.62 (4.40%) 108.46 (21.10%)

Troy 1.83 (0.16%) 368.67 (33.04%) 29.83 (2.67%) 0.00 (0%) 348.38 (31.22%) 210.42 (18.86%) 66.11 (5.92%) 90.72 (8.13%)

Xenia 0.00 (0%) 121.42 (31.07%) 51.41 (13.15%) 4.51 (1.15%) 109.90 (28.12%) 19.90 (5.09%) 10.13 (2.59%) 73.54 (18.82%)

Industrial Land by Category by Market

Industrial Land Use – Market Analysis

Unclassified

Food and Drink Processing Plants

and StorageFoundries and Heavy Manufacturing Plants

Light to Medium Manufacturing and Assembly Plants

Industrial Warehouses and Truck Terminals Small shops

Other Industrial Structures

Fairborn 0.00 (0%) 0.00 (0%) 48,706 (6.62%) 355,129 (48.24%) 286,986 (38.98%) 0.00 (0%) 45,419 (6.17%)

Franklin 0.00 (0%) 0.00 (0%) 52,920 (9.30%) 312,849 (55.01%) 19,850 (3.49%) 95,908 (16.86%) 87,203 (15.33%)Montgomery

County/North I-75 21,901 (0.37%) 0.00 (0%) 0.00 (0%) 3,947,397 (66.74%) 1,776,492 (30.04%) 151,444 (2.56%) 17,077 (0.29%)

North Dayton 1,515,673 (9.21%) 0.00 (0%) 808,040 (4.91%) 4,090,520 (24.85%) 7,964,935 (48.39%) 1,999,165 (12.14%) 82,923 (0.50%)

East Dayton 6,138,608 (32.21%) 214,090 (1.12%) 1,345,576 (7.06) 3,914,618 (20.54%) 3,632,195 (19.06%) 2,401,361 (12.60%) 1,411,706 (7.41%)

Piqua 0.00 (0%) 2,688 (0.06%) 338,685 (7.98%) 2,661,776 (62.71%) 578,503 (13.63%) 395,265 (9.31%) 267,847 (6.31%)

South Dayton/Moraine 6,683,610 (21.33%) 5,210 (0.02%) 13,341,889 (42.58%) 3,316,158 (10.58%) 5,503,059 (17.56%) 1,585,452 (5.06%) 895,041 (2.86%)

Springboro 0.00 (0%) 8,080 (1.27%) 0.00 (0%) 229,068 (35.93%) 371,781 (58.31%) 28,690 (4.50%) 0.00 (0%)

Tipp City 0.00 (0%) 0.00 (0%) 0.00 (0%) 1,043,338 (63.63%) 129,864 (7.92%) 195,413 (11.92%) 270,961 (16.53%)

Troy 0.00 (0%) 80,295 (1.91%) 0.00 (0%) 1,671,190 (39.73%) 1,781,179 (42.34%) 513,199 (12.20%) 160,599 (3.82%)

Xenia 0.00 (0%) 76,187 (2.61%) 58,949 (2.61%) 782,930 (34.63%) 758,076 (33.53%) 46,924 (2.08%) 537,542 (23.78%)

Industrial GFA by Category by Market

Industrial Employment1980 1990 2000 2005

Greene 3,852 4,248 5,343 5,384Miami 14,390 13,700 15,323 14,727Montgomery 65,461 59,865 59,165 52,454Warren* 3,287 3,271Regional Total** 83,703 77,813 79,831 72,565

2010 2020 2030 2040Greene 4,055 4,157 4,189 4,125Miami 11,318 11,368 11,142 10,742Montgomery 40,553 39,390 37,900 34,890Warren* 3,741 4,449 5,331 6,097Regional Total 59,667 59,363 58,562 55,854

Upper Level Projection

Lower Level Projection

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

2010 2020 2030 2040

2010 2020 2030 2040Greene 4,329 4,057 3,845 3,642Miami 12,084 11,095 10,228 9,484Montgomery 43,295 38,446 34,789 30,804Warren* 3,741 4,449 5,331 6,097Regional Total 63,448 58,046 54,193 50,027

Historic Industrial Employment

Upper Level Projection

Lower Level Projection

Conclusions

The Region’s most prominent industrial category is Light to Medium Manufacturing and Assembly Plants

High levels of Vacant - Unbuilt industrial land are also present, especially in Greene County

Industrial development has been, and is expected to continue to be, on the decline in the Miami Valley Region

Projected decreases in industrial employment could result in further decreases in the share of developed land that has been allocated for industrial use

For More Information

Contact Katy Bowman, Research Associate, at [email protected]