Top Banner

of 21

RAJA PAVAN

Apr 08, 2018

Download

Documents

maniapjc1
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    1/21

    CONSTRUCTION OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT

    FOR SELECTED COMPANIES IN THE

    PHARMACEUTICAL, AUTOMOTIVE & OIL & GAS

    INDUSTRIES

    A MINI PROJECT REPORT

    Submitted by

    RAJA PAVAN KUMAR J (09AC31)

    In partial fulfillment of the requirements of Anna University for the

    award of the degree of

    Master of Business Administration

    PSG INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

    MARCH 2010

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    2/21

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    3/21

    Executive summary

    Investing in securities has become a growing trend in India with more number of

    investors growing every day. The aim of the investor being getting high return at a low risk,

    analyzing and predicting of the stock market is very tough. With information and knowledge

    on investments more investors approach the fund managers for allocating and investing in thestock market. The objective of this project is to find the optimal investment opportunity for

    an investor by directing them to invest in more optimal portfolio in the selected industries.

    Background of study

    The Indian pharmaceutical industry is the world's second-largest by volume and is

    likely to lead the manufacturing sector of India. India's bio-tech industry clocked a 17 percent

    growth with revenues of Rs.137 billion ($3 billion) in the 2009-10 financial year over the

    previous fiscal. The sector is highly fragmented with more than 20,000 registered units. It has

    expanded drastically in the last two decades. The leading 250 pharmaceutical companies

    control 70% of the market with market leader holding nearly 7% of the market share. It is an

    extremely fragmented market with severe price competition and government price control.

    The Automotive industry in India is one of the largest in the world. The country is

    manufacturing over 11 million vehicles and exporting about 1.5 million every year ever year.

    It is the world's second largest manufacturer of motorcycles, with annual sales exceeding 8.5

    million in 2009. India's passenger car and commercial vehicle manufacturing industry is the

    seventh largest in the world, with an annual production of more than 2.6 million units in

    2009.

    The oil and gas industry has been instrumental in fuelling the rapid growth of the Indianeconomy. India has total reserves of 775 million metric tonnes (MMT) of crude oil and 1074

    billion cubic metres (BCM) of natural gas as on April 1, 2009, according to the basic

    statistics released by the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas. Petroleum exports during

    2008-09 were US$ 26.2 billion.

    CONSUMPTION GROWTH DURING 2009-10

    There is a significant growth ofPharmaceutical market in 2010, which indicates amarket growth of about 4 - 6% in 2010. As of 2009, India is home to 40 million passenger vehicles and more than 1.5 million

    cars were sold in India in 2009 (an increase of 26%), making the country the second

    fastest growing automobile market in the world.

    The consumption of petroleum products during 2008-09 were 133.4 MMT (includingsales through private imports), according to the Ministry of Petroleum. The sale ofoil

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    4/21

    & gas products in the country rose 3.8 per cent in April 2010 to 12.13 million tonne

    year-on-year.

    FUTURE PROSPECTS:

    If present industry overview is taken into consideration then the pharmaceutical market in2010 is projected to grow 4 - 6% exceeding $825 billion. The pharmaceutical market sales are

    expected to grow at a 4 - 7% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) through 2013.

    The Automotive Mission Plan (AMP) 2006-2016, aims at doubling the contributionof automotive sector in GDP by taking the turnover to USD 145 billion and providing

    additional employment to 25 million people by 2016 with special emphasis on export

    of small cars, MUVs, two and three wheelers and auto components. By 2050, the

    country is expected to top the world in car volumes with approximately 611 million

    vehicles on the nation's roads.

    As per the Ministry of Petroleum, demand for oil and gas is likely to increase from186.54 million tonnes of oil equivalent (mmtoe) in 2009-10 to 233.58 mmtoe in 2011-

    12.

    The demand for Pharmaceutical, Automotive & Oil & Gas industries is in the growthstage till 2010 as mentioned in the CONSUMPTION GROWTH DURING 2009-10

    and this trend is expected to continue in the near future.

    INDIAN STOCK MARKET A DYNAMIC MARKET:

    The global financial markets are trading at a reasonable value after sharp fall from the

    2007 highs. From the beginning of this year, lot of money has poured into the markets around

    the world as the investors are optimistic about the economy. Developed economies would

    take more than two years to recover however the Asian economies will lead the overall

    economic recovery.

    Companies around the world has posted better than expected earnings in the last couple of

    quarters and showing the signs of recovery in their operations, nevertheless the growth in

    their earnings was ushered by cost cutting measures such as layoff and restructuring of their

    businesses. In general, their growth would be sustainable once the consumer confidence

    revives in the developed economies.Thus based on the above analyzed facts and economic analysis, the industries

    Pharmaceutical, Automotive & Oil & Gas has been selected for the utmost benefit of the

    investors.

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    5/21

    STATEMENT OF PROBLEM

    Even during the economic slowdown in 2008-09, growth of demand in thePharmaceutical, Automotive & Oil & Gas industries remained at a healthy (as

    discussed before) when compared with all the other industries.

    Many of the analyzed facts and economic analysis estimates indicate thatPharmaceutical, Automotive & Oil & Gas industries will perform well in the future

    because of growing trend of the industry and also increased potential users .

    So the investors were highly willing to invest in the above selected industries ratherthan investing in other industries.

    The aim of the investor being getting high return at a low risk, analyzing andpredicting of the stock market is very tough.

    So the problem for an investor lies in finding the optimal investment opportunity inthe Pharmaceutical, Automotive & Oil & Gas industries.

    OBJECTIVES

    Primary Objective:

    Construction of optimal portfolio using Sharpe Index Model To analyze the risk and return of three sectors of Industries in India.

    Secondary Objectives:

    To understand the Sharpe's Portfolio Selection Model over the Standardized IndexPortfolio called Market portfolio in respect of stock market operations in India.

    It also involves the estimation of Beta for each potential asset; these estimations areobtained based on past data and using statistical methods in order to obtain future

    Beta.

    To understand the current scenario and best return with minimum risk for the selectedindustries.

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    6/21

    Significance of Study

    SCOPE & LIMITATIONS

    Scope:

    1. To get overview about the selected Industries in India, their performance comparison,market share, potential and their volatility.

    2. Serves as a source of information for investors in identifying the risk averse and risk

    seeking shares (more return and less risk) of selected industries.

    3. To get insight about the application of Sharpe index model in risk and return analysis of

    portfolio management.

    4. It also helps to know the stability or the growth rate of various companies in the selected

    period. This can be included for the future analysis.

    Limitations:

    1. The study covers a period of five years only

    2. The data obtained and collected are only from secondary data so values are approximate

    and not more accurate.

    3. Market fluctuations in share price of the selected industries.

    4. Application of Sharpie index model alone.

    Theoretical framework

    Literature Reviews

    ARTICLE 1

    Portfolio Construction: Allocating risk, allocating time

    By Martin Steward

    Publication: Investment and Pension Europe (IPE Magazine) June 2 2010

    One of the biggest risks a long-term investor faces is of severe short-term losses. A robust

    strategic asset allocation is the best defence against that eventuality, but the process

    underlying most pension funds' approach makes them more vulnerable to those short-term

    shocks. "Implied volatility on the S&P500 for the past 25 years suggests that risk is clearly

    not constant over time, and you have successive periods of high levels of risk - Vix levels of

    25-35, say - and low levels of 10-20," . "It is astonishing to see how regular these regimes are

    in terms of length - about four or five years." "The asset allocation with 60% in equities

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    7/21

    would stand for a very different level of risk in this new regime than it did when the strategic

    allocation was decided"

    If the decision is framed as a risk allocation (to both global risk and the risk of individual

    asset classes), the strategic management of that benchmark consists in rebalancing the

    portfolio not in terms of asset allocation weights, but in terms of risk contribution -

    maintaining the initial risk budget by buying assets whose volatilities are falling below their

    strategic assumptions (often long term levels) and selling those whose volatilities are rising

    above those levels.

    ARTICLE 2

    Portfolio concentration and the fundamental law of active management

    Jeroen Derwall, Tilburg University, Joop Huij Rotterdam School of Management

    17 Nov 2009

    ABSTRACT

    Concentrated funds with higher levels of tracking error display better performance than their

    more broadly diversified counterparts. We show that the observed relation between portfolio

    concentration and performance is mostly driven by the breadth of the underlying fund

    strategies; not just by fund managers willingness to take big bets. Our results indicate that

    when investors strive to select the best performing funds, they should not only consider fund

    managers tracking error levels. It is of greater importance that they take into account the

    extent to which fund managers carefully allocate their risk budget across multiple investment

    strategies and have concentrated holdings in multiple market segments simultaneously.

    ARTICLE 3

    Portfolio Construction: Broaden your horizons

    By Martin Steward

    Publication: Investment and Pension Europe (IPE Magazine) June 3 2010

    A pension fund can have liabilities stretching out for decades but it regularly and frequently

    buys the assets that it will hold to meet those liabilities out of incoming cash flows - cost

    averaging is the most basic form of time horizon diversification. Similarly, most will make

    strategic asset allocation decisions on a 3-5 year horizon, rather than a liability duration-related multi-decade horizon. Within that, portfolios may be rebalanced once a year or so and

    active tactical asset allocation decisions might be made every 6-12 months. There would be

    practical difficulties associated with implementing a truly diversified portfolio of time

    horizons. Latency costs can be crippling at the very, very short end; and both the shorter and

    longer ends push investors into higher fees than they pay for either the buy-and-hold or the

    active management strategies into which they are currently bunched. But most long-term

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    8/21

    institutional investors can go a long way before running up against these issues: time horizon

    remains a hugely under-examined and under-exploited source of portfolio risk management.

    ARTICLE 4

    Portfolio Construction: A question of skill

    By Martin Steward

    Publication: Investment and Pension Europe (IPE Magazine) June 2 2010

    "Performance from those managers is driven more by risk management than by the nature of

    the positions they have got on - but that remains a skill."

    However, these skills - two bottom-up, one top-down - are about extracting the highest

    information ratio from an underlying systematic risk. They arguably remain fundamentally

    either risk-on or risk-off, so while they can manage cyclicality they cannot capitalise on it.

    There would appear to be little advantage in the fund of funds delegating any top-down

    decision making to these strategists - as opposed to long/short equity managers with highly-

    variable net exposures or multi-strategy macro managers. Dispersion of performance between

    managers in the more cyclical strategists might be quite high, that dispersion will be greatest

    during the periods when their underlying systematic risk is delivering return, and as a result,

    over the entire cycle the return to the fund of funds is likely to be dominated by the top-down

    decision of whether to be allocated to the systematic risk or not. Furthermore, it also suggests

    that the contribution of manager and strategy selection to the risk and return of the diversified

    fund of funds will itself be cyclical.

    ARTICLE 5

    Performance Evaluation of Two Optimal Portfolios by Sharpes Ratio

    Global Journal of Finance and Management Volume 2, Number 1 (2010),

    Asmita Chitnis

    Abstract

    A ratio developed by William Sharpe measures risk-adjusted performance. It tells us whether

    a portfolios return is due to smart investment decisions or a result of excess risk. This paper

    attempts to construct two optimal portfolios from two different samples using Sharpes Single

    Index Model of Capital Asset Pricing and further to compare the performance of these twoportfolios by Sharpes Ratio. For the analysis purpose, NIFTY 50 has been considered as the

    market index. Stocks listed on the National Stock Exchange constitute the population. Two

    samples each comprising of 26 stocks (most of them being large caps) have been selected.

    Monthly indices as well as monthly stock prices for the period from 1st April, 2004 to 31st

    March, 2009 are being considered. Using Sharpes Single Index Model a unique cut off point

    is defined and the optimal portfolio of stocks having excess of their expected return over risk-

    free rate of return greater than this cut-off point is generated for both the samples separately.

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    9/21

    Percentage of investment in the respective portfolios is further decided by the standard

    procedure outlined by Sharpes Model. Finally, performance of these two optimal portfolios

    is evaluated by Sharpes Ratio.

    ARTICLE 6

    The Art and Science of Portfolio Construction

    By Anna Morrell

    March 04, 2010

    ABSTRACT

    Rather too many of us, I suspect, have portfolios that are just collections of haphazardly

    acquired shares. As with asset allocation, so with portfolio construction, you need to sit down

    first and do some thinking. What is your preferred level of risk? It has to be moderately high

    for you to consider getting involved in equity investment, but are you willing to take larger

    risks - for instance, investing in AIM companies - for greater gains, or do you take a more

    conservative approach?

    That's a balance between how many stocks you can research and keep on top of, and how

    many stocks you need to achieve the benefit of diversification reducing your overall risk.

    That will differ from person to person, and it will also be different depending on whether you

    use funds and ETFs to gain broader exposure, or whether your portfolio is entirely equity

    focused.

    ARTICLE 7

    Portfolio construction and performance measurement when returns are non-normal

    By Karen Benson, Philip Gray, Egon Kalotay, Judy Qiu, March 2008

    ABSTRACT

    The foundation of popular approaches to portfolio construction and performance

    measurement lies in the mean-variance framework of Markowitz (1952, 1959). However, the

    suitability of such approaches in practice is questionable in light of considerable evidence of

    non-normalities in returns. This explores the potential usefulness of a non-parametric

    approach to portfolio construction and performance measurement recently proposed by

    Stutzer (2000). The Portfolio Performance Index (PPI) is based on the notion that investorsassociate risk with the failure to achieve a target return. Stutzer proposes that portfolio

    construction and performance measurement be approached by calculating the decay rate in

    the probability that a given portfolio will underperform its designated benchmark. By

    comparing the PPI and Sharpe ratio metrics, this paper presents preliminary evidence of the

    economic significance of non-normalities in Australian equity returns, and documents the

    impact of such on portfolio construction and performance evaluation practice.

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    10/21

    ARTICLE 8

    Abu Hassan Md Isa, Chin-Hong Puah and Ying-Kiu Yong

    Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Malaysia Sarawak, 94300 Kota Samarahan,

    Sarawak, Malaysia.

    ABSTRACT

    There had been extensive theoretical and empirical studies on asset pricing model, which

    trying to establish factors that contribute to the expected return of capital asset. These studies

    contributed towards the development and improvement of the models to explain pricing of

    capital asset under an equilibrium market. Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965) developed the

    earliest model trying to estimate the expected return of capital assets in the 1960s, which is

    the extension of the one period mean variance model of Tobin (1958) and Markowitz (1959).

    The Sharpe-Lintner model links return to risk. It uses beta, the risk free rate, and the market

    return to estimate the expected return. Early studies were largely supportive of the Sharpe-

    Lintner CAPM, that is, the unconditional model stating a linear relationship between returnand market risk, beta which is a constant. For example, Fama and Macbeth (1973) found that

    on average there is a positive tradeoffs between risk and return for New York Stock

    Exchange (NYSE) common stocks using monthly average data from 1926-1968. They found

    no measure of risk, other than beta, systematically affecting the average return. Ball et

    al.(1976) revealed that there is evidence that the cross sectional relationship between beta risk

    and the average return is linear in the Australian Industrial equity market over the period of

    1958-1970. Ariff and Johnson (1990) also reported that the Singapore stock market was in

    favour of the linear and positive return to risk relation during 1973-1988. In addition, Chen

    (2003) found evidence supporting the use of CAPM in Taiwan stock market. The relationship

    between stock returns and beta is significant and the coefficient of determination of theregression is high for all the sectors under study.

    ARTICLE 9

    Uncovering the Risk-Return Relation in the Stock Market

    Hui Guo, Robert F. Whitelaw

    ABSTRACT

    There is an ongoing debate in the literature about the apparent weak or negative relation

    between risk (conditional variance) and return (expected returns) in the aggregate stockmarket. We develop and estimate an empirical model based on the ICAPM to investigate this

    relation. Our primary innovation is to model and identify empirically the two components of

    expected returns--the risk component and the component due to the desire to hedge changes

    in investment opportunities. We also explicitly model the effect of shocks to expected returns

    on ex post returns and use implied volatility from traded options to increase estimation

    efficiency. As a result, the coefficient of relative risk aversion is estimated more precisely,

    and we find it to be positive and reasonable in magnitude. Although volatility risk is priced,

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    11/21

    as theory dictates, it contributes only a small amount to the time-variation in expected returns.

    Expected returns are driven primarily by the desire to hedge changes in investment

    opportunities. It is the omission of this hedge component that is responsible for the

    contradictory and counter-intuitive results in the existing literature.

    ARTICLE 10

    The risk and return characteristics of developed and emerging stock markets: the recent

    evidence

    Authors: Gerald Kohers a; Ninon Kohers b; Theodor Kohers c

    Published in: Applied Economics Letters, Volume 13, Issue 11 September 2006 , pages 737

    743

    ABSTRACT

    Finance theory suggests that the higher volatility typically associated with emerging stock

    market returns translate into higher expected returns in those markets. This study compares

    the risk and return profile of emerging and developed stock markets over the period from

    1988 through April 2003. Specifically, this study investigates whether a difference in risk

    characteristics exists between the two markets and whether the realized rates of return in

    these two types of markets reflect these risk characteristics. The results show that the risk

    associated with emerging markets, as measured by the standard deviation of returns, is higher

    than the risk in developed markets in most periods. Also, the returns in emerging markets

    have been higher than those in developed markets for most of the time frames examined. The

    findings suggest that risk-averse investors seeking higher returns in emerging markets have

    been compensated for assuming the higher risk associated with these markets.

    ARTICLE 11

    Oil price risk and emerging stock markets

    Syed A. Bashera Department of Economics, York University, 4700 Keele Street, Toronto,

    Ontario, Canada, M3J 1P3 &

    Perry Sadorskyb, Schulich School of Business, York University, 4700 Keele Street, Toronto,

    Ontario, Canada, M3J 1P3

    Abstract

    The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the literature on stock markets and energy prices

    by studying the impact of oil price changes on a large set of emerging stock market returns.

    The approach taken in this paper uses an international multi-factor model that allows for both

    unconditional and conditional risk factors to investigate the relationship between oil price risk

    and emerging stock market returns. This paper, thus, represents one of the first

    comprehensive studies of the impact of oil price risk on emerging stock markets. In general

    we find strong evidence that oil price risk impacts stock price returns in emerging markets.

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    12/21

    Results for other risk factors like market risk, total risk, skewness, and kurtosis are also

    presented. These results are useful for individual and institutional investors, managers and

    policy makers.

    Research Methodology

    RESEARCH DESIGN:

    It is the conceptual structure within which research is conducted. It constitutes the

    blueprint for the collection, measurement and analyses of data. The study aims at narration of

    existing facts and figures regarding financial position of five selected companies from the

    energy industry and the research design adopted in the study has been analytical in nature.

    PERIOD OF THE STUDY:

    The study covers a period of 5 years i.e.) from 2005-06 to 2009-10.

    DATA COLLECTION METHOD:

    The study is based on the secondary data collected from various resources.

    SOURCES OF DATA:

    Websites like Nse india, RBI and other informational sites.

    Sampling Technique:

    The sampling technique used was purposive sampling. In this technique the company

    is selected based on the requirement of the study.

    SAMPLE SPACE:

    In this project, sample of five companies and their performance over five years are

    used to calculate portfolio and overall financial status of the chosen companies. The

    companies are chosen randomly and there is no formal procedure for having chosen such

    companies. The companies exhibit the expected diversity during the period of study.

    STATISTICAL TOOLS USED:

    The secondary data collected was analysed and interpreted using trend analysis and

    inter firm comparisons.

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    13/21

    PORTFOLIO

    Certain formulae are used to study on the risk and return of the companies and

    the portfolio management based on the Sharpe Index model.

    The formulae of the elements used in the spread sheet are as follows:1. Sum of Individual Stock returns - Ri and Market return - Rm.2. Stock return Y and Market return X:

    = ((Todays price Yesterdays price) / Yesterdays price)*100.

    3. Mean of stock return Y, Mean of market return X.Y = (sum of Y)/ total number of days

    X = (sum of X)/ total number of days

    4. Standard deviation of Stock return y, Standard deviation of marketreturn x.

    5. Correlation = Covariance/(y * x)6. Risk factor = Covariance *(y / x)7. Return indicator = Y - (X).8. Unsystematic risk - ei.9. Cut off point Ci10.Z value = Zi/

    Where, Zi =

    - Ci

    11.X value = Zi / Z. Tables and bar graphs are drawn for average values of important parameters

    like , x, y, X, Y, for each company for all five years.(Outcomes are

    represented diagrammatically)

    A table for all companies cut-off point, Z value, X value is also drawn.

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    14/21

    ANALYSIS & INTERPRETATION

    Three sectors are selected for the construction and selection of optimum companies for

    investing the following table shows the companies selected and the industries chosen.

    INDUSTRY Pharmaceuticals Automotive Oil and Gas

    1

    Cipla Ashok Leyland

    ONGC

    2

    Drreddy

    Mahindra &

    Mahindra

    Limited

    Reliance

    Industries Ltd

    3 PiramalHealthcare Tata Motors

    Essar oil

    4Aurobindo

    Pharma

    Maruti Suzuki

    India Limited

    BPCL

    5

    GlaxoSmithKline

    Hero Honda

    Motors Ltd.

    Hindusthan

    petroleum

    The sharpe index procedure is followed step by step and the companies are shortlisted

    according to the cut-off point and the percentage of investment of the selected companies is

    found out at the end.

    The following table shows the calculated values of the respected companies and their

    correlation and beta. Analysis and interpretation is made on the values mentioned in the table

    step by step.

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    15/21

    Company (Stock) Return Vs Market Return

    INTERPRET TION:

    From t above anal i table, Essar oil has the hi h market share since it has the hi her

    val e of company ret rn than other companies. Since company share val e is increasing day

    by day from the above data. Allthe companies have optimistic share val e in the market with

    a positive share val e. From the above given data we can come to a concl sion that

    Aurobindo Pharma has a very optimistic share val e in the market and has a positive share

    val e.

    Hero Honda motors, AshokLeylandshare val e is in a positive number showing that the

    companys shares has the faith ofthe investors in the market and has remained the same in

    spite ofthe increase in the points in the market.

    Maruti also has won the confidence of the share holders this can be found from the table

    which shows that while some companys share prices have declined and are in a negative

    figure Maruti has maintained a positive share value when the market points have increased.

    M&M has also kept up with the recent market fluctuations and while the current market

    points have increased the share prices ofthe company have not declined but on the contrary

    have maintained a positive figure which shows thatthe company is healthy and has attracted

    the confidence ofits share holders.

    In the case ofHindustan petroleumit mightlose the confidence ofits share holders which is

    shown by the companys low share price. This can be because the company must have been

    0

    0.05

    0.1

    0.15

    0.2

    0.25

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    16/21

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    17/21

    BET ()

    INTERPRET TION:

    Reliance and Hindustan petroleum shows a negative beta value indicating that when the

    market return is positive then the asset value will decrease and vice versa.

    Tata Motors has a highest positive beta value indicating thatthe companys asset value will

    more closely follow the market return.

    Ashok Leyland & ONGChas next highest positive beta values after Tata Motors indicatingthatthe companys asset value will closely follow the market return.

    In the rest of the other companies has a positive beta value indicating that the companys

    asset value will closely follow the market return.

    Finally, from the above table and graph it clearly shows thatTata Motors & Ashok Leyland

    has high risk and high return which shows it gives more profit when compared to other

    companies.

    -0.2

    0

    0.2

    0.

    0.6

    0.8

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    18/21

    INVESTMENTS

    COMPANY Z X (%)

    ASHOKLEY 0.60626 22.09215

    AUROPHARMA 1.502483 54.75058

    BPCL -0.34057

    CIPLA -0.05879

    DRREDDY 0.63549 23.15728

    INTERPRETATION:

    From the above table we can invest 54.75% in AUR BINDO PHARMA, 23.15% in DR

    R DDY, 22.09% in ASHOKLEYLAND. Among these companies investment in

    AUROBINDO PHARMA only have very high return when compared to other companies in

    the three selected industries.

    22.0921 612

    5.7505776

    23.15727628

    X(%)

    ASHOKLEY

    AUROPHARMA

    DRREDDY

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    19/21

    FINDINGS

    From the above obtained data we can come to a conclusion that

    1.) A i

    has a very optimistic share value in the market and has a positive

    share value.

    2.)ONGChas shown a high degree of positive correlation indicating that when the market

    return increases the companys return will also increase.

    3.) Tata M t has a highest positive beta value indicating that the companys asset value

    will more closely follow the market return.

    But when compared to all the companies for selecting optimum investment it is found that

    The investment best suited goes like this as 54.75% in AUROBINDO PHARMA, 23.15% in

    DR REDDY, 22.09% in ASHOKLEYLAND.Among these companies investment in

    AUROBINDO PHARMA only have very high return when compared to other companies in

    the three selected industries.

    Suggestions

    In the investment decision it is suggested that to keep AUROBINDO PHARMA, DR

    REDDY & ASHOKLEYLAND stocks LONGand to keep BPCL and CIPLA stocks SHORT

    in those five selected companies from the cut-off.

    Conclusion

    Thus based on the above analyzed study of the selected industries, companies have been

    selected for the utmost benefit of the investors. In this study the investor can select the stock

    in those five selected companies. The two companies BPCL and CIPLA stocks should be

    sold short where as the other three companies stocks can be held long.

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    20/21

    References

    1. http://www.gailonline.com/gailnewsite/mediacenter/pressrelease-aug-1-09.html

    2. Hard lessons from the primary market fiasco financial scene - The Hindu

    3. ONGC: Investor Centre:: Profile

    4. Alexander's Gas & Oil Connections - India to build up storage of crude oil

    5. The Hindu Business Line: Strategic oil reserves to come directly under Govt

    6. 'India to form crude oil reserve of 5 mmt'- Oil & Gas-Energy-News by Industry-News-The

    Economic Times

    7. "Indian biotech industry grew 17 percent in 2009-10: Survey". Economic Times.

    http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/healthcare/biotech/biotech/Indian-

    biotech-industry-grew-17-percent-in-2009-10-Survey/articleshow/6075713.cms . 21 Jun 2010.

    8. "Understanding the WTO - Intellectual property: protection and enforcement". WTO.http://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/agrm7_e.htm .2010-07-27.

    9."Serum Institute of India | Manufacturer of Vaccines & immuno-biologicals - GMP Vaccine

    Manufacturer". Seruminstitute.com. http://www.seruminstitute.com.2010-07-27.

    10."Nectar Life sciences Ltd.: Nurturing. Enriching. Caring". Neclife.com. http://www.neclife.com

    2010-07-27.

    11.India industry: Desperate for quality healthcare services. Economist Intelligence Unit: Country

    ViewsWire. 24 June 2005.

    12. Indiainfoonline.com. Indian Pharmaceutical Sector: Big Pharma Opportunity. By Atul Rastogi

    and Abhimanyu Verma. 28 August 2003.

    13. Joshi, Hemant N. Analysis of the Indian pharmaceutical industry: with emphasis on opportunities

    in 2005. Pharmaceutical Technology 27:1 (2003): 74-84.

    14. http://macleodspharma.com

    15 ."Bharat Serums and Vaccines - plasma, pharma and biotechnology products". Bharatserums.com.

    http://www.bharatserums.com/. 2010-07-27.

    16. "India : Pharmaceuticals Business, pharmaceutical company india, pharma outsourcing india,

    pharmaceuticals brand, pharmaceuticals intellectual property, pharmaceutical formulations, vaccines,

    natural products". Panacea Biotec. http://www.panacea-biotec.com/. Retrieved 2010-07-27

    17. http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/312502/

    18. www.hindustanpetroleum.com

    19. http://www.cygnusindia.com

    20. http://www.google.com

  • 8/7/2019 RAJA PAVAN

    21/21

    21. http://www.hindu.com

    22. http://moneycontrol.com

    23. http://nseindia.com

    24. http://rediffmoney.com