Presentation resakss-wa

ReSAKSS–Africa Lead Project Strengthening Capacity for Strategic Agricultural

Policy and Investment Planning and Implementation in Africa

Safari Park Hotel, Nairobi 11-13 April 2012

Overview of the CAADP Agenda and ReSAKSS in West Africa

By M. Yade

Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 2

OUTLINE

• SOME BASIS TARGETS AND PRINCIPLES OF CAADP

• RESAKSS AS PART OF CAADP IMPLEMENTATION

• STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

• ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)

Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System – West Africa

Some basic Targets and Principles of CAADP

• CAADP as a strategic framework by which to guide country development efforts and partnerships in the agricultural sector:

• agriculture led growth for poverty reduction;

• increased funding of agriculture (10%) and

•at least 6% agriculture growth – all targeted at achieving MGD1 and other welfare targets

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– (1) mobilize existing expertise , capacities and knowledge and provide first-rate analytical and advisory services to countries and Regional Economic Communities in the design, implementation, and evaluation of CAADP programs.

– (2) provide assistance to countries in the establishment of national knowledge system nodes to support CAADP implementation



• Work with the national nodes to provide relevant and timely information to guide: – Mutual review at the continental level to

review overall progress in the implementation of CAADP

– Peer review at the regional level to promote dialogue and mutual learning around the review of progress and performance

– Progress review at the national level to ensure that country level policies and programs are aligned with CAADP principles and on track to meet the country-specific targets and objectives


ReSAKSS as Part of CAADP Implementation

• National Nodes:

– pursuing the same objectives at national level

– ensuring the mobilisation and coordination of knowledge generating and dissemination networks

– Comprising of:

• An analytical node bringing together National Agricultural Research Institutes, universities, statistics offices, the technical arms of professional organisations, etc.

• A framework for review, dialogue and advocacy coordinated at high level (Permanent Secretary of Director) including all stakeholders: government institutions, Professional associations,TFP, etc.


STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

• CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP DESIGN WITH:

– STOCK TAKING EXERCICE

–MODELING WORK

–Review of the consistency of the NAIP’s vis a vis their growth, poverty and funding targets


STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

• TREND SCENARIO FOR GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION;

• COMPARE TRENDS WITH CAADP AND MDG-1 TARGETS

• ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS TO MEET CAADP AND MDG-1 TARGETS ;

• ASSESS FUNDING REQUIREMENTS


STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

CONTRIBUTION OF AG GROWTH TO POVERTY REDUCTION

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

BENIN BURKINA FASO

CAPE VERT

GAMBIE GHANA GUINEE CONAKRY

LIBERIA MALI NIGER NIGERIA SENEGAL TOGO

Agriculture Non Agriculture sectors


STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

LONG TERM LINKAGES (=> 2015) BETWEEN AGRICULTURAL GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Benin Burkina

Faso

Cape Verde The Gambia Ghana Guinea Liberia Mali Niger Senegal Togo

Ag

GD

P (

Mill

ion

s U

S$

)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Po

ve

rty

re

du

cti

on

(%

)

Growth in Agricultural GDP Reduction in national poverty rate


STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

STRATEGIC CROPS FOR AG GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION

BENIN Filières vivrières (Racines et tubercules)

BURKINA FASO Filière bovine et mil/sorgho

CAP-VERT Filières vivrières

GAMBIE Céréales (mil/sorgho)* et filière bovine

GHANA Racines et tubercules et pêcheries

GUINEE Riz

LIBERIA Filières vivrières

MALI Filières vivrières (Riz; Mil/Sorgho)*

NIGER Elevage

NIGERIA Manioc, Riz

SENEGAL Elevage et Filières vivrières (mil/sorgho Riz)*

SIERRA LEONE Manioc

TOGO Filières vivrières


STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

EXPECTED AG GROWTH IN 2015* UNDER DIFFERENT SCENARIOS

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

Ben

in

Bur

kina

Fas

o

Cape

Verd

e

Gam

bia

Gha

na

Gui

nea

Libe

riaM

ali

Nig

er

Nig

eria

Sen

egal

Sie

rra L

eone

Togo

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

bau national strategies CAADP

*For Nigeria, the time horizon was extended to 2017 when the country is expected to halve the poverty rate compared to its 1996 level.


STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

EXPECTED POVERTY REDUCTION BY 2015 UNDER DIFFERENT SCENARIOS

-100.0

-80.0

-60.0

-40.0

-20.0

0.0

20.0

40.0

Benin

Burk

ina

Faso

Cape

Ver

de

Gam

bia

Ghan

a

Guin

ea

Liber

iaM

ali

Nig

er

Nig

eria

Sen

egal

Sie

rra

Leone

Togo

bau national strategies CAADP MDG1


STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

CURRENT AG EXPENDITURE RATIOS REQUIRED AG EXPENDITURE

TO TOTAL EXPENDITURES (%) GROWTH TO MEET 6%

AGRICULTURAL GROWTH


STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

CURRENT FUNDING EFFICIENCY: ELASTICITY VIS-À-VIS AG GROWTH


STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

• SPATIAL ANALYSIS OF CHILD NUTRITION IN WEST AND CENTRAL AFRICA

• MARKET ANALYSIS IN WEST AFRICA: VERTICAL INTEGRATION AND INSTABILITY

• MONITORING OF THE MILLENIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL 1 (MDG1) IN WEST AFRICA

Page 16


STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

• Study on the dynamics of food consumption in West Africa conducted jointly with MSU in 7 West African countries:

– ANALYSIS OF HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE SURVEYS

– ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL FOOD BALANCES

– REGRESSION ANALYSIS => MARGINAL BUDGET SHARES/DEMAND ELASTICITIES

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Trends and Outlook Reports

• FRAMEWORK – (POLICY/PRIMARY FACTOR ENDOWMENT)

– FUNDING

– PERFORMANCE

– LIVELIHOODS

– NO OR LIMITED PRIMARY DATA COLLECTION

– CHALLENGES:

• DATA QUALITY

• CONTINUITY

• DATA FORMAT COMPATIBILITY

• SUSTAINABILITY



• TEAM: CORE COUNTRY ACTORS – Planning and statistics unit of MINAGRI (PSU) as

coordinator

– National Institute of Statistics (poverty unit, national accounting unit)

– Budget unit in Ministries of Finance

– Professional think tanks

– Market information systems

– M&E units in other relevant ministries such as livestock, environment, fisheries, trade, etc

– NARS including Universities

– Poverty Reduction Strategy (PRSP) unit



• TEAM: REGIONAL

– ReSAKSS WA EXPERTS

– LEAD EXPERTS FOR EACH COMPONENT:

• ENABLING ENVIRONMENT AND CAADP STATUS

• FUNDING,

• MACRO PERFORMANCE,

• AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE,

• AGRICULTURAL TRADE

• LIVELIHOODS



• ACTIVITIES: REGIONAL – Drafting of terms of reference: list and

specification of indicators, rationale, definitions, computation, sources and links to policy targets; profile of collaborators

– Methodology workshops , quality review, technical backstopping

– Regional synthesis of each component by ReSAKSS in collaboration with lead experts

– Regional validation and dissemination workshop

– Finalization of regional trends and outlook report



• ACTIVITIES AT NATIONAL LEVEL – PSU as coordinator develops operational plan and

monitors execution

– Data collection and analysis by different subgroups following the components

– Subgroup reports submitted to the planning unit with data sheets as annexes

– Planning unit consolidates subgroup reports and submits to ReSAKSS with all data sheets for review

– Technical meetings and national validation workshops

– Finalization of national trends and outlook report


Country

CAADP Compact

[date signed]

NAIP

[Date drafted, reviewed and validated]

Benin 15-Oct-09 Draft: Sept-10 Review: 13 June -2010

Burkina Faso 22-Jul-10 Draft: Sept-10

Cape Verde 10-Dec-09 Draft: undated

Cote d'Ivoire 27-Jul-10

Gambia, The 27-Oct-09 Draft: Sept-10 Review: 13-Sept-10

Ghana 27-Oct-09 Draft: Sept-10 Review: 13-June-10

Guinea 6-Apr-10 Draft: 14-Sept-10

Guinea Bissau 18-Jan-11

Liberia 5-Oct-09 Draft: 20-Sept-2010 Review: 13-June-10

Mali 12-Oct-09 Draft: Aug-10 Review: 27-Sept-10

Niger 29-Sep-09 Draft: June-10 Review: 27-Sept-10

Nigeria 12-Oct-09 Draft: Sept-10 Review: 13 June-10

Senegal 9-Feb-10 Draft: June-10 Review: 13-June-10

Sierra Leone 17-Sep-09 Draft: May-2010 Review: 13-June-10

Togo 19-Jul-09 Draft: June-10 Review: 13-June-10 Validate: 4-Feb-10


MERCI

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Presentation resakss-wa

Business

strategic agriculturalpolicy

strategic framework

national level

regional level

principles of caadp

capacitiesand knowledge

west africaby

agriculture growth