Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ©2012-2018 • Tucson, Arizona www.ConnectTheDotsUSA.com TM Saves Lives Saves Money So Simple Saves Lives Saves Money So Simple © © © 2012
Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ©2012-2018 • Tucson, Arizona
www.ConnectTheDotsUSA.comTM
Saves LivesSaves Money
So Simple
Saves LivesSaves Money
So Simple
©
©
© 2012
More on framing: The Little Blue Book: The Essential Guide to Thinking and Talking Democratic, Lakoff & Wehling, 2012©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/2/18
MEDICARE-FOR-ALL
Everyone’s life and freedom depends on having access to quality healthcare, regardless of a person’s ability to pay. The most efficient
and effective way to guarantee this right is to expand and enhance our existing
Medicare program to all Americans.
Healthcare is a human right.
Healthcare is a human right.
Quote: Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 4/19/18
“Of all the formsof inequality,
injustice inhealth care is the
most shockingand inhumane.”
Martin Luther King, Jr.
Source: George Lakoff’s The Little Blue Book, 2012, pgs 38-41©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 4/19/18
You are not truly free if you have a serious illness or accident
and cannot afford the treatment because private insurance premiums and
out-of-pocket costs are too high.
You are not truly free if you have to sell your home or go bankrupt
to keep a family member alive.
©2012
©2012
©2012
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation (kff.org) based on Census Bureau March 2016 CPS-ASEC (census.gov)Hierarchy for sorting multi-covered people into only one category: Medicaid, Medicare, Employer, VA/Tricare, Non-Group
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/11/18
“Crazy-Quilt” metaphor by T.R. Reid, 2009
Med
icaid
/CH
IP
19% 62 Mil
Med
icare
14%
=45 M
illion
7% =
22 MilMilPlan
s
The
UninsuredThe
Uninsured28
Million28
Million9% =
1%
Veterans
Non-G
roup
Employer Plans
49% = 157 Million
2016
Tricare1%
U.S. Healthcare
System
Skilled Providers
State-Of-The-Art
Technology
Accessible
Affordable
Efficient
©2012
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation (kff.org) based on Census Bureau CPS-ASEC (census.gov)Hierarchy for sorting multi-covered people into only one category: Medicaid, Medicare, Employer, VA/Tricare, Non-Group
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/8/18
Despite Improvements,ACA Still Leaves 28 Million Uninsured
And Millions More Underinsured
Despite Improvements,ACA Still Leaves 28 Million Uninsured
And Millions More Underinsured
VA & Tricare
2016
Medicare14% =
45 Million
Non-Gro
up
7% = 22 Mil
Un
insu
red
9% =
28
Mil
Medicaid/CHIP
19% =62 Million
Employer Plans49% =
157 Million
VA & Tricare
2010
Medicare13%
Non Group
5%
Medicaid/CHIP16%
Uninsured16%
Employer Plans49%
Total Population: 306 Million
Total Population:320 Million
Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation Development, Health at a Glance 2017, Feb 2018Fig 7.3 on pg 135 and Fig 7.1 on pg 133 (oecd.org) and OECD Health Expenditures and Financing (stats.oecd.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated12/4/18
Health Spending By Country 2016Health Spending By Country 2016
Japan
10.9%$4,519
Austra
lia
9.6%$4,708
Finla
nd
9.3%$4,033
OECD Avg
9.0%$4,003
Norway
10.5%$6,647
United
Kingdom
9.7%$4,192
Denmark
10.4%$5,205
Switzerla
nd
12.4%$7,919
Canada
10.6%$4,753
Germany
11.3%$5,551
Sweden
11.0%$5,488
France
11.0%$4,600
USA
8.5%
8.7%
17.2%$9,892
Private Expenditure
Public (Govt) Expenditure
$ Spending Per Capita (USD PPP)
U.S. spends far more overall($3.5 trillion in 2017), spends fargreater % on private, but still leaves 28 million uninsured and many underinsured.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%% of GDP
Sources: International Federation of Health Plans, “2015 Comparative Price Report,” July 19, 2016 (ifhp.com)“The U.S. Pays a Lot More for Top Drugs than Other Countries,” Bloomberg News, Dec 18, 2015 (bloomberg.com)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/13/18
••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••$78,318$78,318
avgUSA
$24,059U.K.
$32,480NEW ZEALAND
$765AUSTRALIA
$2,142NEW ZEALAND
HIP REPLACEHIP REPLACE
$29,067$29,067avgUSA
$6,757SPAIN
$16,335U.K.
MRI SCANMRI SCAN
$1,119$1,119avg
USA$503
AUSTRALIA$215
SWITZERLAND
BABY DELIVERYBABY DELIVERY
$10,808$10,808avg
USA
$1,950SPAIN
$5,312AUSTRALIA
HOSPITALSTAY (1-DAY) HOSPITALSTAY (1-DAY)
CORONARY BYPASSCORONARY BYPASS
Because U.S. has a wide range of prices for same procedures, average prices are shown here; Dollars are $US
$155USA $155USA
$74CANADA
$74CANADA
$38GERMANY
$38GERMANY
ADVAIRADVAIR (30-DAY SUPPLY)
$5,220$5,220avgUSA
U.S. Prices Are Too Darn High!U.S. Prices Are Too Darn High!
©2012
Quote: Chris Rock, “Bigger & Blacker,” 1999Also see: “Wall Street Admits Curing Diseases Is Bad For Business,” Lee Camp, April 24, 2018 (truthdig.com)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Created 5/25/18
— Chris Rock
“There ain’t no money in the cure; the money’s in the medicine.
That’s how you get paid — on the comeback. That’s how a drug dealer makes his money — on the comeback.”
Curing Diseases Is Bad For BusinessCuring Diseases Is Bad For Business
Source: Explanation of Benefits from Traditional Medicare (CMS) and Private Medicare Supplement Plan N for three-hour ER visit for kidney stone treatment in Tucson, Arizona, 2017
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 9/5/18
The Tale Of Two Kidney StonesThe Tale Of Two Kidney Stones
Charged Amountfor Uninsured orOut-of-Network
EmergencyService
HO
SPIT
AL
DO
CS
MedicareNegotiated
RateMedicare
PaidMedigapPlan Paid
PatientCost
$ 235331345
0
89
174
$1,174
$ 187264275
0
71
139
$936
$ 135
18
35
$188
$50
0
0
$50
ER Copay
Medicare NegotiatesFair Prices, While
Protecting PatientsThe Most
No ProtectionFrom Medical Price-Gouging
$ 7,3501,9462,258
904
180
1,529
$14,167
CT ScanIV HydrationER VisitHospital Misc
Radiologist
ER Doctor
TOTAL
Quotes: Steven Brill, “The Bitter Pill: Why Medical Bills Are Killing Us,” Time Special Report, March 4, 2013 ©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/9/14
U.S. Healthcare Is No MarketplaceU.S. Healthcare Is No Marketplace“(We) are powerless buyers in a seller’s market
where the only sure thing is the profit of the sellers.”
— Steven Brill, “The Bitter Pill”
“Unless you are protected by Medicare,
the health care market is not a market at all.
It’s a crapshoot. People fare differently
according to circumstances they can neither
control nor predict... (T)hey have little
visibility into pricing, let alone control of it...
They have no idea what their bills mean,
and those who maintain the chargemasters
couldn’t explain them if they wanted to.”
Source: Kaiser/HRET Employer Health Benefits Survey, Oct 3, 2018, Figures 5 & 2 (kff.org)Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/7/18
Runaway Health Premiums Eat AwayAt Wages & Burden Employers
Runaway Health Premiums Eat AwayAt Wages & Burden Employers
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 2018
+ 68%+ 51%34%
29%
Cumulative IncreasesTotal Avg Family Premium(Employer Plan)
Worker Contribution
Employer Contribution
Workers’ Earnings
Overall Inflation
+ 239%+ 259%
119%1999 Total: $5,791Worker: $1,543Employer: $4,247
2018 Total: $19,616
Worker: $5,547Employer: $14,069
+ 231%
117%
120%
In 2018, avg Total Health Spending for
Family of 4was $28,166!
(Premiums &Out-of-Pocket)
Source for 1995-2013: Blue Cross Rate Sheets for Preferred PPO, Pima County AZ, $1,000 Deductible & 20% CoinsuranceSource for 2014-2018: Healthcare.gov for Pima County AZ, Gold Plan: $1,000 to $1,400 Deductible
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/30/18
$170
100
$ 0
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1995 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 2019
Monthly Premiums(Based on “Gold Level Plan”:approx $1,000 to $1,400 Deductible& 20% coinsurance)
64 yr Male54 yr Female Female Aging 31 to 55 yrs Overall Inflation
ACA Marketplaces Open 2014:Pre-existing conditions & essential benefits must now be covered;No annual or lifetime caps; 80% of enrollees get tax credits that greatly defray these retail prices.
$382$382$403
$140
$457
$215
$587$587
$1,078$1,078
$696
$300
$120$120$121
Projectio
n w/o
ACA
$73 8 in
sure
rs &
119
pla
ns
On
ly 1
insu
rer
& 4
pla
ns
3 in
sure
rs &
16
pla
ns
AC
A P
asse
sM
arch
201
0
80/2
0 R
ule
Take
s Ef
fect
$73 On
ly 1
insu
rer
& 2
pla
ns
$418$418
$801$801
$767$767
ACA Did Little To Control Overall CostsAnd Too Vulnerable To Sabotage
ACA Did Little To Control Overall CostsAnd Too Vulnerable To Sabotage
Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group (cms.gov)Jan 2018; Note: Sum of pieces may not equal 100% due to rounding.
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 8/7/18
U.S. Health Dollar 2016:Where It Came From & Where It Went
U.S. Health Dollar 2016:Where It Came From & Where It Went
$3.3 Trillion
Recipients
DirectPayers
by Typeof Entity:
Fed Govt: 28%State/Local Govts: 17%
Households: 28%Private Businesses: 20%
Other Private: 7%Many Payers
Medicare20%
Out of Pocket11%
MedicaidFederal
11%
OtherThird Party
Payers &Programs
8%
Medicaid
State & Local 6%
VA, DOD, CHIP 4%
Inve
stm
ent 5
%
PrivateHealth Insurance
34%
Public Hlth Activity 2%
Nursing Facility 5%
Dental 4%
Medical Equip 4%
& Products
Investment 5%
Other P
rof.
Service
s 3%
Other Residential &Personal Care 5%
Private Insurance 6.5%
Adm
in, Profits
Marketing
Publ
ic H
lth
Act
ivit
y 2
%
Hom
e H
ealth
3%
Hospital Care32%
Physicians & Clinical Services
20%
RxDrugs10%
Govt Admin 1.3%
Source: “The Current and Projected Taxpayer Shares of US Health Costs,” Himmelstein & Woolhandler, American Journal of Public Health, March 2016, pgs 449-452, Tables 1 & 2 (ajph.aphapublications.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/19/18
Taxpayers Already Finance 65% Of All U.S. Healthcare Spending
Taxpayers Already Finance 65% Of All U.S. Healthcare Spending
Billions $Total 2015 Health Spending = $3,244 B % of Total
1. Direct Govt Health Spending 48.5%
Medicare (Federal)
Medicaid & CHIP (Federal & State)
Other Health Progs (ACA, VA, NIH, Public Health)
$ 646560366
19.9 %17.311.3
2. Govt Spending for Public Employees’ Health Benefits 6.5%
Federal GovtState & Local Govts
$ 34177
1.0 % 5.5
3. Tax Subsidies for Private Health Insurance & Care 10.0%Federal GovtState & Local Govts
$ 27650
8.5 % 1.5
Total Tax-Financed Health Spending $ 2,109 65%
Source: ”Mapping the Terrain of the Single Payer Discourse,” Matt Bruenig, Sept 6, 2017 (PeoplesPolicyProject.org)©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/16/18
Financing Our Current Heathcare “Crazy Quilt” Is Way Too Complicated
Financing Our Current Heathcare “Crazy Quilt” Is Way Too Complicated
Federal Taxes
State Taxes
Premiums
Premiums
PremiumsCost Sharing / Out-of-Pocket
Premiums
Tax Subsidies
Premiums
Foregone Wages
Tax ExclusionHou
seh
old
sH
ouse
hol
ds
FederalGovt
StateGovt
ACAExchanges
Employers
Medicare
Medicaid
IndividualInsurance
EmployerInsurance
Hea
lth
care
Prov
ider
s &
Rx
Hea
lth
care
Prov
ider
s &
Rx
DeliveryMainly Private,
Some Public
Public Insurance
For-Profit Insurance
For-ProfitAdvantage &Drugs Plans
Medigap Plans
HMO Plans
Private PlansOtherPublic
Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation Development, Health at a Glance 2017, pg 49 (oecd.org)©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/15/18
U.S. Spends The Most, But Has Lower Life Expectancy Than Peers
U.S. Spends The Most, But Has Lower Life Expectancy Than Peers
2015 Health Spending Per Person(U.S. dollars, purchasing power parity)
Life
Exp
ecta
ncy
201
5
$2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,00070
YEARS
75
80
85
USA
©2012
HUNGARYBRAZIL LITHUANIA
COLUMBIALATVIA
RUSSIA
SLOVAKIAPOLAND
ESTONIA CZECH REPUBLIC
DENMARK
AUSTRIA
NORWAY SWITZERLANDFRANCE
AUSTRALIA
BELGIUM
NETHERLANDS LUXEMBOURG
IRELANDFINLAND
CANADAUK
JAPANITALYSPAIN
NEW ZLD
ICELAND
PORTUGALCOSTA RICA SLOVENIA
GREECEKOREA
ISRAEL
MEXICO
TURKEY
CHILE
CHINA
SWEDEN
GERMANY
Sources: Health Financing – stats.oecd.org; Uninsured Rate and Employer Plan Premium – kff.org Deaths – Extrapolated from Amer. Journal of Public Health, Dec 2009; Bankruptcies – Amer. Journal of Medicine, Aug 2009
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/24/18
Current U.S. Heathcare “Crazy Quilt”Is Complex, Costly And Cruel
Current U.S. Heathcare “Crazy Quilt”Is Complex, Costly And Cruel
31MILLIONUNINSUREDand millions more
underinsured (2017)
600THOUSANDGO BANKRUPT
per year due to medical bills
500BILLIONPAPERWORKwaste per year due to too many payers
28THOUSANDUNINSURED DIE
per year due to lack of insurance
3.3TRILLIONSPENT IN 2016
= 18% of economy; 2/3 is tax-financed
$ 10THOUSANDPER PERSON= more than twice
the OECD avg
$ 19.6THOUSAND2018 PREMIUMemployer family plan(employee paid 28%)
$ 50TRILLION
2019-2028estimated cost
over next decade
$
$©2012
Sources: ”Mapping the Terrain of the Single Payer Discourse,” Matt Bruenig, Sept 6, 2017 (PeoplesPolicyProject.org)and “Funding HR 676,” Gerald Friedman, PhD, Dept of Economics, Univ of Massachusetts, July 13, 2013 (pnhp.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/13/18
Simplicity & Bargaining Power OfSingle-Payer Saves Money (~$600B/yr)
Simplicity & Bargaining Power OfSingle-Payer Saves Money (~$600B/yr)
Hea
lth
care
Prov
ider
s &
Rx
Hea
lth
care
Prov
ider
s &
Rx
Federal Taxes
HouseholdOut-of-Pocket =
~2% of Total Healthcare Spending(Over-the-counter meds
& some elective procedures continue not covered)
98% of Total
Healthcare Spending
Hou
seh
old
s&
Em
plo
yers
Hou
seh
old
s&
Em
plo
yers
Med
icar
eM
edic
are
Fed
eral
Gov
tFe
der
al G
ovt
PrivateDelivery
w/Some Public
PublicFinancing
Cagle Cartoon: © 2017 Copyright Dave Fitzsimmons. All rights reserved. Used here with permission.©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Created 1/15/18
♥ ♥
Sources: “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act” (congress.gov) and “What You Need to Know About the Bill for Improved Medicare for All,” Margaret Flowers, June 15, 2017 (HealthOverProfit.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/3/18
National Improved Medicare for All
Hooray
for NIMA!also called:
The Expanded & ImprovedMedicare for All Act
LOVE IT!
IMPROVE IT!
MEDICARE
FOR ALLNational Nurses United
©2012
Sources: “2018 Annual Report of Medicare Board of Trustees,” June 5, 2018, pg 11 (cms.gov) *2017 Part B premiums higher for household incomes over $85,000 single & $170,000 married (medicare.gov)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/11/18
If Medicare passes “...you and I are
going to spend our sunset years
telling our children and our
children’s children what it once was
like in America when men were free.”
– Ronald Reagan for AMA’s 1961
“Operation Coffee Cup” recordings
to kill Medicare bill.
♥ Medicare = ♥ Govt-Paid Healthcare♥ Medicare = ♥ Govt-Paid Healthcare
Oops,My Bad!
• Signed by President Johnson in 1965 after fierce opposition from insurance co’s, AMA & Repubs.
• Covers seniors 65+ and the disabled. Original Medicare isa single-payer system.
• Very cost efficient program: Operates at < 2% overhead.
Payroll tax funds only Part A (inpatient). Part B (doctor/outpatient) $109–$134/mo.* premium covers just ~25% of costs. Balance paid through general revenues.
©2012
♥ ♥
$0remium$0
Copay
AARP
nroll Now
EnrollNow!
HumanaHealthNet
UnitedHealthcar
CareMore
$0Deduct
Sources: Kaiser Family Foundation, “Medicare Advantage Fact Sheet,” May 2016 & “Plans in 2017,” Dec 2016, (kff.org) Center for Public Integrity, “Medicare Advantage Money Grab,” May 9, 2016 (PublicIntegrity.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 9/30/18
• In 1997, private insurance companies promised to insure for 5% LESS than Original/ Traditional Medicare. Instead MA plans cost taxpayers MORE on avg (= extra ~$16 Billion/yr). ACA tried to rein this in.
• 33% of beneficiaries (19 mil) enroll in MA plans. You still pay Part B premium. Network is much narrower than in Original Medicare.
• Insurance co. gets paid avg $850 – $900/mo per enrollee from Federal govt — even more for sicker enrollees. $210 B/yr boondoggle!
Medicare Advantage (MA):Big Gimme To Big InsuranceMedicare Advantage (MA):Big Gimme To Big Insurance
Sources: David Sirota, Hostile Takeover, 2007, pgs 154-204; Part D Costs: Medicare Trustees Report 2018 (cms.gov) Bruce Bartlett, “Republican Deficit Hypocrisy,” Nov 20, 2009 (Forbes.com); Avg Part D premium 2017 = $36/mo
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/11/18
• Passed by Bush II, Repubs (and some Corporate Dems!) in Dec 2003 as a Big Gimme to Big Pharma & Big Insurance and an election campaign ploy. Benefits started Jan 2006.
• Private insurance policies subsidized (~75%) by Federal govt, which is prohibited from negotiating down the prices. The taxpayer must pay top dollar = $73 Billion in 2017.
• Fiscally irresponsible: No additional taxes collected. Added $649 Billion to debt in 12 yrs.
Medicare Part D: Drug Program Big Gimme To Big PharmaMedicare Part D: Drug Program Big Gimme To Big Pharma
•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
“...any Republican who voted for the
Medicare drug benefit has no right to criticize anything
the Democrats have done in terms
of adding to the national debt.”
— Bruce BartlettConservative Economist
Rx $$
Source: “The Medicare Part D Prescription Drug Benefit” Kaiser Family Foundation, Oct 2017, Figure 5, pg 2 (kff.org)Note: By 2020, ACA closes donut hole so you pay 25% on Brand-name Rx in the coverage gap.
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/16/17
$0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000
$405
Ded
uct
ible
Initial Coverage Period:
You pay 25% Plan pays 75%
Ends when you & your plan
pay $3,750 total Rx Costs.
CatastrophicCoverage:You pay 5%
Plan pays 15%Fed Govt pays 80%
Coverage GapBrand-name Rx:
You pay 35% Plan pays 15%
50% Pharma discountGeneric Rx:
You pay 44%Plan pays 56%
Before ACA,You had to pay100% of costs
in donut hole =~ $4,700
Donut hole endswhen you &
Pharma discounttotal $5,000
(Plan paymentsdo not count).
Starts overevery year!
Medicare Part D Benefit
2018
Medicare Part D Benefit
2018
$8,4
18
$3,7
50
$8,4
18
$3,7
50
Who DesignedSuch a
Complicated,Skimpy
Benefit Planwith a $4,700
Hole in it?Republicans
in Congress –That’s Who!
Who DesignedSuch a
Complicated,Skimpy
Benefit Planwith a $4,700
Hole in it?Republicans
in Congress –That’s Who!
Rx $$
Sources: “2018 Annual Report of Medicare Board of Trustees,” June 5, 2018, pg 11 (2017 data) (cms.gov)and “An Overview of Medicare,” Kaiser Family Foundation, Nov 2017, Figure 7, pg 5 (2016 data) (kff.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/13/18
Only Half Medicare Funded By Payroll Tax& Premiums; Half From General Revenue
Part A (Hospital)
$299 Billion
87%
8%3%
<1%
1%
<1%
TOTAL$705 Billion
41%= $292 B
37%= $262 B
14%= $101 B3% = $24 B
2%1%
<1%
General Revenue
Payroll Taxes
Enrollee Premiums
Transfers from States
Taxation of Social Security Benefits
Interest
Other
Sources ofMedicare Revenue
2017
Part B (Doctor)
$306 Billion
71%
<1%2%
27%
Part D (Rx Drugs)
$100 Billion
73%
16%
11%
••••
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••••
••••
••••
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Source: “Medicare’s Income-Related Premiums Under Current Law and Proposed Changes,” Kaiser Family Foundation, Nov 2017 (kff.org); *National avg monthly premium across all Part D plans plus surcharges of $13–$75 for higher incomes.
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/13/18
Medicare Part B & D Hidden General Revenue = $291 Billion/yr (2017)
Medicare Part B & D Hidden General Revenue = $291 Billion/yr (2017)
Income (MAGI) for Single Person(x2 for Married)
Share of Cost Paid
by Enrollee
25%
35%
50%
65%
80%
Up to $85,000
••••
••••
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Dedicated payroll tax funds only Part A (Hospital Insurance).
Part B (Doc/Outpatient) Monthly Premium 2018(Projected Avg Cost ~$536/mo)
Enrollee pays $109 -$134
Enrollee pays $188Govt pays $348
Enrollee pays $268Govt pays $268
Enrollee pays $348Govt pays $188
Enrollee pays $429Govt pays $107
Part D (Rx) Avg*
Monthly Premium 2018 (Projected Avg Cost* ~ $140/mo)
Enrollee pays $36
Enrollee pays $49Govt pays $91
Enrollee pays $70Govt pays $70
Enrollee pays $90Govt pays $50
Enrollee pays $111 Govt pays $29
STANDARD PREMIUMS (paid by 94% of beneficiaries)
INCOME-RELATED PREMIUMS (paid by top 6% of beneficiaries)
$85,001 to $107,000
$107,001to $133,500
$133,501to $160,000
over $160,000
Govt pays $427-$402Govt pays $427-$402 Govt pays $1Govt pays $10404Govt pays $427-$402 Govt pays $104
Source: “2018 Annual Report of Medicare Board of Trustees,” June 5, 2018, pg 11 (cms.gov)Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding to nearest billion
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/11/18
Part B (Doctor) Part D (Rx Drug)
SM ISupplementary Medical Insurance
HIHospital Insurance
Part A
Medicare: A Look At The BooksMedicare: A Look At The BooksEXPENSESPayments to Providers or Private Rx Plans ($ 199) ($ 194) ($ 100)Payments to Private Advantage Plans (Part C) (95) (115) NoneAdministrative Expenses (3) (5) (<1)
TOTAL EXPENSES 2017 = $710 ($ 297) ($ 314) ($ 100)
INCOMEPayroll Taxes (Funds ONLY Part A) $ 262 None NoneInterest on Trust Fund 7 $ 2 <1Taxation of Benefits 24 None NoneEnrollee Premiums 4 82 $ 16General Tax Revenues 1 217 73Other or Transfer from States 2 5 11
TOTAL INCOME 2017 = $705 $ 300 $ 306 $ 100
Trust Fund Assets (end of 2016) $ 199 $ 88 $ 8Net increase/decrease in assets (2017) + 3 – 8 + <1
Trust Fund Assets (end 2017) = $290 $ 202 $ 80 $ 8Avg Benefit /Enrollee 2017 = $13,087 $ 5,055 $5,780 $2,252($421/mo) ($482/mo) ($188/mo)
50%50%EARNED
BENEFIT
©2012
2017 (in $ Billions)
Source: “An Overview of Medicare,” Kaiser Family Foundation, Nov 2017, Figure 5, pg 4 (kff.org)Based on analysis of “Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey 2013 Cost & Use” (includes traditional Medicare enrollees only)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/16/18
Out-Of-Pocket & Premium SpendingStill Too High In Existing Medicare.
Medicare-For-All (HR 676) Fixes This.
Out-Of-Pocket & Premium SpendingStill Too High In Existing Medicare.
Medicare-For-All (HR 676) Fixes This.
HealthServices
= 53%Avg $3,257
HealthPremiums
= 47%Avg $2,893
(Parts B & D,Supplemental
Insurance)
Long-Term Care
Medical Providers/Supplies
Rx Drugs
Dental
Hospital
Skilled Nursing& Home Health
Share of Spending by Type of Service
18%
12%
9%
5%4%4%2013
Source: “An Overview of Medicare,” Kaiser Family Foundation, Nov 2017, Figure 4, pg 3 (kff.org)and “Medicare Advantage 2017 Spotlight,” Kaiser Family Foundation, June 2017, Figure 1, pg 1 (kff.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/16/18
Medicare Enrollees Buy Private PlansTo Limit Out-Of-Pocket (OOP).
No Need With Medicare-For-All (HR 676)
Medicare Enrollees Buy Private PlansTo Limit Out-Of-Pocket (OOP).
No Need With Medicare-For-All (HR 676)
Type of Supplemental
Coverage
2017
Traditional(= Original)Medicare
67% =38.6 mil
MedicareAdvantageEnrollees
33% =19.0 mil
Employer-Sponsored
Medigap
Medicaid
NoneOther
+ Rx Drug Planor MA-PD
Rx DrugPlan
(PDP)+Max OOP:< $6,700
No LimitOOP
Sources: Analysis of “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” by HealthOverProfit.org and Physicians for a National Health Program (pnhp.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/29/17
3
1
2©2012
Eliminates gaps and cost-sharing in existing Medicare: No need for supplemental, Advantage, dental, LTC plans. So current Medicare enrollees are big winners, too!
Covers inpatient, outpatient, ER care, Rx drugs, mental, dental, vision, hearing, chiropractic, rehab, podiatry, medical devices, prenatal and longterm care.
No co-pays, deductibles or co-insurance: Eliminates financial barriers to care and ends scourge of medical debt/ bankruptcy.
Medicare-For-All (HR 676) IsMedicare-For-All (HR 676) Is
Sources: Analysis of “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” by HealthOverProfit.org and Physicians for a National Health Program (pnhp.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/28/17
3
1
2
Medicare-For-All (HR 676) IsMedicare-For-All (HR 676) Is
©2012
©2012
Extends improved Medicare to every person living in U.S. Gets young and healthy into same risk pool as older and sicker. That’s insurance 101!
Single-payer system has bargaining power to negotiate lowest prices.
Significantly reduces bureaucracy and paperwork for providers and patients. Current Medicare operatesat only < 2% overhead.
Sources: Analysis of “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” by HealthOverProfit.org and Physicians for a National Health Program (pnhp.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/28/17
3
1
2
Medicare-For-All (HR 676) EnhancesMedicare-For-All (HR 676) Enhances
Real Choice: Go to nearly any doctor or hospital in the entire country. No more worries about provider networks.
Portable: Coverage follows you when you move, change jobs, retire, etc. Frees entrepreneurs from job lock.
Eliminates stress of worrying about deductibles, co-pays, and surprise balance bills from out-of-network providers. ©2012
©2012
Sources: Analysis of “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” by HealthOverProfit.org and Fix It: Healthcare at the Tipping Point (documentary), 2016 (FixitHealthcare.com)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/28/17
3
4
1
2
Gets insurance burden and cost off backs of businesses.They can expand without worry and uncertainty of skyrocketing healthcare costs.
Businesses can compete on a level playing field locally, nationally and internationally.
Workers and consumers have more discretionaryfunds to spend in the economy.
Single-payer negotiating power can control runaway healthcare costs and medical inflation.
Medicare-For-All (HR 676) IsMedicare-For-All (HR 676) Is
FOR
Sources: “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act” (congress.gov) and “What You Need to Know About the Bill for Improved Medicare for All,” Margaret Flowers, June 15, 2017 (HealthOverProfit.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 9/30/18
The Expanded & ImprovedMedicare for All Act
LOVE IT!
IMPROVE IT!
MEDICARE
FOR ALLNational Nurses United
©2012
Universal: Extends improved Medicare to every person in the U.S.
Comprehensive: Inpatient, outpatient, ER, Rx, mental, dental, vision, hearing, rehab, chiropractic, podiatry, devices, prenatal & longterm care.
Simple & Cost-Effective: Say goodbye to maze of predatory, for-profit health insurance, and all premiums, deductibles, co-pays & medical bills.
Freedom & Choice: Go to nearly any doctor or hospital in the U.S. Coverage follows you when you move, change jobs, retire, etc.
Good for Business: Gets insurance burden and cost off backs of businesses. Frees entrepreneurs from job lock.
Big Savings for 95% of Americans: 3% to 6% payroll tax (on employer side) replaces all premiums and out-of-pocket costs.
©2012
©2012
70% of Americanssupport
Medicare-For-AllJune & July 2018 Reuters/Ipsos Poll
Cagle Cartoon: © 2011 Copyright Dave Granlund. All rights reserved. Used here with permission.©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/13/18
Source: “Premium Support Is the Wrong Direction for Medicare,” AARP Public Policy Institute, Oct 2017 (aarp.org) Note: See cartoon on this theme on the color slides
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/15/18
“It’s a vision that says America can’t afford to keep the promise we’ve made to care
for our seniors. It says that ten years from now, if you’re a 65-year-old who’s eligible
for Medicare, you should have to pay nearly $6,400 more than you would today.
It says instead of guaranteed health care, you will get a voucher. And if that voucher
isn’t worth enough to buy insurance, tough luck — you’re on your own.”
“Put simply, it ends Medicare as we know it.”— President Obama (April 2011)
Cost Shifting Is No Solution
Source: “Funding HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” Gerald Friedman, PhD, Dept of Economics, Univ of Massachusetts, July 13, 2013 (pnhp.org); Medicare-For-All calculator (hcfat.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 9/4/18
Medicare-For-All (HR 676): FinancingMedicare-For-All (HR 676): Financing
Cost of Existing U.S. Health System $ 3,162
Savings with Medicare-For-All = $592:Administrative Efficiencies – (476)Negotiate Lower Rx Drug Prices – (116)
Added Spending for Better Care = $343:Enhance & Expand Coverage to All +110Increased Utilization of Healthcare +144Increase Medicaid Payment Rate + 89
Transition Costs = $51:Support & Retrain Displaced Workers + 31Capital Buy-Out of For-Profit,
Investor-Owned Facilities + 20
TOTAL COST OF H.R. 676 $ 2,964
Apply Current Fed Health Spending $ 1,391Medicare, Medicaid, CHIP, ACA, VA, DoD,Public Employees, Public Health, NIH
Limited Household Out-of-Pocket + 63Over-the-counter drugs & some elective/cosmetic procedures continue not covered (~2% of total)
Tax Expenditure Savings + 260
Replacement Revenues = $1,404:3% Payroll Tax (< $53,000 income) + 276% Payroll Tax (> $53,000 income) + 3466% Surtax on Income >$225,000 + 2796% Tax on Capital Gains, Divs, Rents + 310Financial Transaction Tax (.01%- 0.5%) + 442
TOTAL REVENUES FOR H.R. 676 $ 3,118
Net Savings: $ 198 B/yrCompared to Current System
Net Surplus: $ 154 B/yrRevenues Minus Cost of H.R. 676
COSTS & SAVINGS(in Billions/Year, 2014)
REVENUE SOURCES(in Billions/Year, 2014)
Source: “Funding HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” Gerald Friedman, PhD, Dept of Economics, Univ of Massachusetts, July 13, 2013 (pnhp.org); Medicare-For-All calculator (hcfat.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/25/17
Private Business = $450:Employer Contrib. Private Premiums $ 414Workers Comp & Worksite Health 36
Households = $633:Private Insurance Premiums 312Medicare Supplement Premiums 6780% of Out-of-Pocket Spending 254
Other Private Spending = $167 167
Federal Gov’t = $35:Employer Contrib. Private Premiums 35
State & Local Gov’t = $438:Employer Contrib. Private Premiums 158Health Programs (incl. Medicaid) 125Other 155
TOTAL THAT GETS REPLACED $ 1,723
Obsolete Funding Sources(in Billions/Year, 2014, H.R. 676)
Replacement Funding(in Billions/Year, 2014, H.R. 676)
Medicare-For-All (HR 676) REPLACES Regressive Expenses With Progressive Taxes
Medicare-For-All (HR 676) REPLACES Regressive Expenses With Progressive Taxes
Employer-Side Payroll Tax = $373:3% Payroll Tax (< $53,000 income) $ 276% Payroll Tax (> $53,000 income) 346
Upper Income Households = $589:6% Surtax on Income >$225,000 2796% Tax on Capital Gains, Divs, Rents 310
Does not apply to retirement accts.
Wall Street = $442:Financial Transaction Tax (.01%- 0.5%) 442
TOTAL REPLACEMENT FUNDING $ 1,404
20% of Current Out-of-Pocket 63Over-the-counter meds/vitamins & some elective procedures continue not covered.
Tax Expenditure Savings 260
Source: “Funding HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” Gerald Friedman, PhD, Dept of Economics, Univ of Massachusetts, July 13, 2013 (pnhp.org); Medicare-For-All calculator (hcfat.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/25/17
95% Of Americans Get BIG SavingsWith Medicare-For-All (HR 676)
95% Of Americans Get BIG SavingsWith Medicare-For-All (HR 676)
Avg HouseholdIncome
$25,720
$57,350
$87,730
$128,440
$216,920
$462,950
$2,994,820
IncomeGroup
ApproxSAVINGS
$4,600
$6,900
$7,900
$9,000
$6,500
N/A
N/A
% Change inAfter-Tax Income
+18%
+12%
+9%
+7%
+3%
– 8%
– 14%
ApproxHigher Cost
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$37,000
$419,000% change reflects difference between share of income spent on healthcare now and share under the progressive taxes proposed under H.R. 676, which replace the current regressive funding system.
BO
TT
OM
95
%
TOP5%
Sources: Congressional Budget Office, Cost Estimate of AHCA, Mar 13, 2017, Table 4 (pg 34); Cost Estimate of BCRA, June 26, 2017, Table 5 (pg 48) (cbo.gov); Medicare-For-All calculator (hcfat.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • www.ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/13/18
The
Bes
t Pla
n Is
So
Sim
ple!
The
Bes
t Pla
n Is
So
Sim
ple!
*GOP Plans allow insurance co. to charge 64yr old 5x more than 21yr old (ACA capped this at 3x more).**GOP Plans end ACA cost-sharing subsidies that lower deductibles, co-pays, co-insur. for 100% to 250% FPL.
House GOP Plan = AHCA (aka Ryan/TrumpCare)21 yr old40 yr old64 yr old
$3,900$6,050
$19,500*
$2,450$3,650$4,900
$1,450 (= 5.5%)
$2,400 (= 9.1%) $14,600 (= 55.1%)
65% = Bronze**
HIGH deductible,co-pays, co-insur.)
Senate GOP Plan = BCRA (aka McConnell/TrumpCare)21 yr old40 yr old64 yr old
$4,100$6,400
$20,500*
$1,900$3,400
$14,000
$2,200 (= 8.3%)
$3,000 (= 11.3%)
$6,500 (= 24.5%)
70% = Silver**
MEDIUM deductible,co-pays, co-insur.
Current Law = ACA (aka ObamaCare)21 yr old40 yr old64 yr old
$5,100$6,500
$15,300*
$3,400$4,800
$13,600
87% = Gold**
LOW deductible,co-pays, co-insur.
$1,700 (= 6.4%)
$1,700 (= 6.4%)
$1,700 (= 6.4%)
Medicare-For-All (= Single-Payer)Household pays 3.0% of income (employer payroll tax) $795 (= 3.0%)
100% CoveredNo cost-sharing
Single Individual With Annual Income of $26,500 in 2026Annual Retail
PremiumAge Premium
Tax Credit
Net PremiumPaid by Enrollee(and as % of income)
Actuarial Valueof Plan
(higher % is better)
Sources: “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act” (congress.gov and pnhp.org) and “Medicare For All Act of 2017,” introduced by Senator Bernie Sanders, Sept 13, 2017 (sanders.senate.gov)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/13/18
Everyone covered January 1st of first full year after passage
Prolonged 4-year rollout:Gradually lowers eligibility age
Includes Long-Term Careunder improved Medicare
Leaves Long-Term Care understate-administered Medicaid
Eliminates/converts for-profit,investor-owned health facilities
No co-pays Small co-pays on some brand Rx
Still allows for-profit,investor-owned health facilities
Keeps VA independent for 10 yrsand IHS for 5 yrs; then reevaluate
whether to integrate into MFA
Maintains independent Veterans’ Affairs (VA) and
Indian Health Services (IHS)
HR 676120 Co-sponsors in House
Bernie’s S-180416 Co-sponsors in Senate
Medicare-For-All Comparison:Why HR 676 Is Better
Medicare-For-All Comparison:Why HR 676 Is Better
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
••
Source: “Medicare For All Act of 2017,” introduced by Senator Bernie Sanders, Sept 13, 2017 (sanders.senate.gov) *Replaces spending on private insurance premiums, deductibles, co-pays, etc. by households, businesses & state/local govts
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/26/17
Medicare-For-All: Bernie’s Plan 2017$16 T Options For Replacement Financing*
Medicare-For-All: Bernie’s Plan 2017$16 T Options For Replacement Financing*
7.5% Employer-Side Payroll Tax (Avg Employer SAVES $9,000/yr*)
4.0% of Taxable Household Income (Avg Family SAVES $4,400/yr*)
Savings from Health-Related Tax ExpendituresMore Progressive Income Taxes on High Incomes (> $250,000)
More Progressive Estate Tax (45%-65% on >$3.5 M exemption)
Annual 1% Wealth Tax on Top 0.1% (on amount >$21M net worth)
Close Wealthy S-Corp Payroll & Medicare Tax Loophole
Tax Corporate Offshore Profits (currently $2.6T held offshore)
Fee on Large Financial Institutions (>$50 B in assets)
Repeal Corporate Accounting Gimmicks (LIFO on inventory)
$3,900
$3,500
$4,200
$1,800
$ 249
$1,300
$ 247
$ 767
$ 117
$ 112
in Billions over 10 Years
Add 40–52% Marginal Rates; Tax Cap Gains & Divs Same as Work; Limit Deductions to 28% Rate
Source: “Economic Analysis of Medicare for All” (analysis of Bernie Sanders’ S1804) by Political Economy Research Instituteat Univ of Massachusetts, Nov 2018, see pgs 7, 9, 10, 15, 71, 118, 126 (peri.umass.edu)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Created 12/7/18
2018 UMass Study: Medicare-For-AllSaves 9.5% Compared To Current System
2018 UMass Study: Medicare-For-AllSaves 9.5% Compared To Current System
Existing Health Consumption Costs $3,240Excludes Public Health Activities ($85) andInvestments – Research/Structures ($164)
Increased Health Demand (+12%) + 389Enhanced & Expanded Coverage to All
Savings under M4A (19.2% of 3,629) – (697)Administrative Efficiencies (9% = $327)Negotiate Lower Drug Prices (5.9% = $214)Apply Uniform Medicare Rates (2.8% = $102)Improve Delivery, Reduce Fraud (1.5% = $54)
Total Cost of Medicare-For-All $ 2,932
Transition Costs ($62/yr for 2 yrs) + 62Support & Retrain Displaced Workers
Apply Current Govt Health Spending $1,552Medicare, Medicaid, CHIP, ACA, VA, DoD, Fed Employees; includes “maintenance of effort” revenue transfers from state & local govts to fed govt (~$230)
Tax Expenditure Savings + 332Replacement Revenue ($1,081)
• Existing Biz Health Spending with 8% Cut + 623Later replace with 8.2% payroll tax
• Sales Tax of 3.75% on Non-necessities + 196Excludes food, housing, utilities, educationCredited back to low-income families
• Net Worth Tax of 0.38% after first $1 Million + 193• Tax Capital Gains as Ordinary Income + 69
Total Revenues for M4A $ 2,965
COSTS & SAVINGS(in Billions/Year, 2017)
REVENUE SOURCES(in Billions/Year, 2017)
Over 10 yrs, M4A Saves $5 Trillion!: $38 T vs $43 T for Existing System (2017-2026)
Sources: “Costs of a National Single-Payer Healthcare System,” Blahous, Mercatus Center, GMU, July 2018, Table 2, pg 7 (mercatus.org)*$10 T More Savings: Himmelstein & Woolhandler, Physicians for a National Health Program, Aug 2, 2018 (pnhp.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Created 8/8/18
Libertarian, Koch-Funded Study AdmitsMedicare-For-All SAVES $2 Trillion/10 yrs
Libertarian, Koch-Funded Study AdmitsMedicare-For-All SAVES $2 Trillion/10 yrs
Covers Everybody, Better Benefits, No Cost-Sharing
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
$93 B $106 B $168 B $186 B $202 B $219 B $239 B $258 B $280 B $303 B
$4 T
$5 T
$6 T
$7 T
$8 T
(in
$ T
rilli
on
s )
National HealthExpenditures (NHE)Current U.S. System:
$59.7 T over 10 Years National HealthExpenditures UnderMedicare-For-All:$57.6 T over 10 Years
But Wait! There’s $10 Trillion More Savings with Medicare-For-All
that’s Missing from this Study*(per Physicians for a National Health Program)
M4ASavings
($ Billions)
10 yr TotalM4A Savings
$2,054 B
Sources: “The Mercatus Medicare-for-All Report in One Graph,” Matt Bruenig, Aug 13, 2018 (PeoplesPolicyProject.org)Based on Table 2, pg 7 of Mercatus report, July 2018 (mercatus.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/24/18
Of Course Federal Health Spending Goes UpUnder Single-Payer (Duh!)
But Total Health Spending Goes Down
Of Course Federal Health Spending Goes UpUnder Single-Payer (Duh!)
But Total Health Spending Goes Down
$0 T
$10 T
$20 T
$30 T
$40 T
$50 T
$60 T
2022
–20
31 (i
n $
Tri
llio
ns)
Bernie’s Medicare-For-All(as analyzed by Koch-funded Mercatus)
Total = $57.6 T$3.1 T
$54.5 T$54.5 T
Current System(the “Crazy Quilt”)
Total = $59.7 T
$21.9 T$21.9 T
$32.6 T increase
in Federal
Spending
$37.8 T
Federal Health Spending Other Health Spending (by Households, Businesses, State & Local Govts)
Additional federal spendingis merely REPLACING other spending — premiums,deductibles, copays, etc — that people must do in our current system.
While fed spending (yellow)goes up by $32.6 T, red goesdown by even more ($34.7 T).Hence $2.1 T in SAVINGS.
Sources: Blahous, Mercatus Center, July 2018, Table 2, pg 7 (mercatus.org); Himmelstein & Woolhandler, Aug 2, 2018 (pnhp.org);Matt Bruenig, Aug 13, 2018 (PeoplesPolicyProject.org); Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Created 10/25/18
“But How Are You Going To Pay For It?”Responding To Medicare-For-All “Deficit Concern Trolls”
“But How Are You Going To Pay For It?”Responding To Medicare-For-All “Deficit Concern Trolls”
2022– 2031 (in $ Trillions)
Bernie’s Medicare-For-All(as analyzed by Koch-funded Mercatus)
Total = $57.6 T$3.1 T
$54.5 T
Current System(the “Crazy Quilt”)
Total = $59.7 T
$21.9 T
$37.8 T
Federal Health Spending
All Other Health Spending (by Households, Biz, State/Local Govts)
$32.6 T INCREASE
in Federal
Spending
$34.7 T DECREASEin Other
Spending
2012
Challenge the Bias in the Question“Why is it you never ask the pay-for question when it comes to trillions for endless wars, bank bailouts or tax cuts for the wealthy? But somehow ‘our pockets are always empty’ for everyday Americans.”
Cost of Status Quo & Savings Under M4A “We can’t afford our current system! Even a Koch-funded study had to admit M4A net saves $2.1 T over 10 yrs ($59.7 T versus $57.6 T under M4A). Others estimate $12 T savings. We can afford to spend LESS!”
$32.6 T Increase Is Offset by $34.7 T Decrease “You’re only telling half the story. $32.6 T additional federal spending is merely REPLACING $34.7 T in other health spending — premiums, deductibles, copays — that people must do in our current system.”
Huge Savings for 95% of Americans “Modest 3% to 7.5% employer-side payroll tax REPLACES all premiums and out-of-pocket costs, which currently add up to a whopping $28,000 for a typical family of four — that’s a 46% corporate gouging on employers and workers (based on median income of $61,000).”
1
2
3
4
Sources: Reuters/Ipsos poll, June & July 2018 (reuters.com); also, Politico/Morning Consult poll, June 7-10, 2018showed support from 64% of Independents and even 43% of Trump voters (politico.com)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 9/4/18
Supported by:70% of All Americans
including85% of Democrats
and even52% of Republicans!
©2012
Hoorayfor M4A!
Medicare-For-All IsMedicare-For-All Is
Cagle Cartoon: © 2009 Copyright Dave Fitzsimmons. All rights reserved. Used here with permission.©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Created 2012
Further Reading: “Can We Pay for Single Payer?” by Economist Dean Baker,Sept 14, 2017, reprinted at Center for Economic and Policy Research (cepr.net)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/12/18
Medicare-For-All:Political Challenges Medicare-For-All:
Political Challenges 1
2
3
4
5
The American Oligarchy:Legalized Bribery & Corruption
Disruption: Shifts 8% To 10% Of U.S. Economy From Private & State/Local To Federal Spending
Transition Losers: Insurance Company Workers/Brokers / Investors; Big Pharma
Fear Of Change / Status Quo Bias:“Stick-With-The-Devil-You-Know” Crowd
aMErica: Lack Of Empathy & Social Responsibility
©2012
Source: “These Are 3 of the Most Dangerous Opponents of Universal Healthcare” (Concern Trolls) by Adam Johnson, Sept 22, 2017, Los Angeles Times, reprinted at Alternet (alternet.org)
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/11/18
1234
Incrementalists: Public Option, Medicaid-For-All
Nuance Trolls: “We Need More Details!”
Deficit Trolls: “How Are You Going To Pay For It?”
Feasibility Trolls: “What About The GOP?”
Time For A (Peaceful) REVOLUTION !Time For A (Peaceful) REVOLUTION !
Medicare-For-All:Beware Fake Friends
Medicare-For-All:Beware Fake Friends
LOVE IT!
IMPROVE IT!
MEDICARE
FOR ALL
Instead, Let’s Fight ForWhat We Really Want
Hoorayfor MFA!
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More on framing: The Little Blue Book: The Essential Guide to Thinking and Talking Democratic, Lakoff & Wehling, 2012©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/2/18
MEDICARE-FOR-ALL
Everyone’s life and freedom depends on having access to quality healthcare, regardless of a person’s ability to pay. The most efficient
and effective way to guarantee this right is to expand and enhance our existing
Medicare program to all Americans.
Healthcare is a human right.
Healthcare is a human right.
Other Resources: Compare health care systems around the world: international.commonwealthfund.org T.R. Reid, The Healing of America: A Global Quest for Better, Cheaper, and Fairer Health Care, 2010
©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 4/19/18
Medicare-For-All: Action Plan!Medicare-For-All: Action Plan!Learn More: ResourcesHealthOverProfit.org and hcfat.org (HR 676 Calculator)Physicians for a National Health Program: pnhp.org Kaiser Family Foundation: kff.org (general health data)FixItHealthcare.comConnectTheDotsUSA.com
Show Up: Push Medicare-For-All Into The Debate
Litmus Test: Must Pledge To Co-Sponsor Medicare-For-All For Your Vote; Support JusticeDemocrats.com Candidates
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Former Rep. Alan Grayson quote from email of Jan 4, 2012©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/13/18
“For God’s sake — every single other industrialized country in the entire world has universal health care. Why can’t we?
How many more people have to die? How many more sacrifices on the altar of Almighty Greed?
Any health care system that denies necessary care on the basis of wealth is evil. It doesn’t matter how
you micromanage it, or tinker with it. It’s evil... End of story.”
— Former U.S. Representative Alan Grayson
PEOPLEOver ProfitsOver Profits
©2012
©2012
©2012
ConnectTheDotsUSA.com
CIVICS AND POLICY BASICS F O R T H E B U S Y M A J O R I T Y ™
“Busy Majority” said by Jon Stewart, Sept 2010 ©2010-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com
Presentation updated 12/7/18
©2010
JOBSWAGESECONOMY
HEALTHCARE
©2012
BUDGETTAXES
©2011
VOTING
FRAMING
TheConnectThe Dots Lady™
Graphic Updated 2/26/18