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Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

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Page 1: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ©2012-2018 • Tucson, Arizona

www.ConnectTheDotsUSA.comTM

Saves LivesSaves Money

So Simple

Saves LivesSaves Money

So Simple

©

©

© 2012

Page 2: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

More on framing: The Little Blue Book: The Essential Guide to Thinking and Talking Democratic, Lakoff & Wehling, 2012©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/2/18

MEDICARE-FOR-ALL

Everyone’s life and freedom depends on having access to quality healthcare, regardless of a person’s ability to pay. The most efficient

and effective way to guarantee this right is to expand and enhance our existing

Medicare program to all Americans.

Healthcare is a human right.

Healthcare is a human right.

Page 3: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Quote: Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 4/19/18

“Of all the formsof inequality,

injustice inhealth care is the

most shockingand inhumane.”

Martin Luther King, Jr.

Page 4: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: George Lakoff’s The Little Blue Book, 2012, pgs 38-41©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 4/19/18

You are not truly free if you have a serious illness or accident

and cannot afford the treatment because private insurance premiums and

out-of-pocket costs are too high.

You are not truly free if you have to sell your home or go bankrupt

to keep a family member alive.

©2012

©2012

©2012

Page 5: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: Kaiser Family Foundation (kff.org) based on Census Bureau March 2016 CPS-ASEC (census.gov)Hierarchy for sorting multi-covered people into only one category: Medicaid, Medicare, Employer, VA/Tricare, Non-Group

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/11/18

“Crazy-Quilt” metaphor by T.R. Reid, 2009

Med

icaid

/CH

IP

19% 62 Mil

Med

icare

14%

=45 M

illion

7% =

22 MilMilPlan

s

The

UninsuredThe

Uninsured28

Million28

Million9% =

1%

Veterans

Non-G

roup

Employer Plans

49% = 157 Million

2016

Tricare1%

U.S. Healthcare

System

Skilled Providers

State-Of-The-Art

Technology

Accessible

Affordable

Efficient

©2012

Page 6: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: Kaiser Family Foundation (kff.org) based on Census Bureau CPS-ASEC (census.gov)Hierarchy for sorting multi-covered people into only one category: Medicaid, Medicare, Employer, VA/Tricare, Non-Group

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/8/18

Despite Improvements,ACA Still Leaves 28 Million Uninsured

And Millions More Underinsured

Despite Improvements,ACA Still Leaves 28 Million Uninsured

And Millions More Underinsured

VA & Tricare

2016

Medicare14% =

45 Million

Non-Gro

up

7% = 22 Mil

Un

insu

red

9% =

28

Mil

Medicaid/CHIP

19% =62 Million

Employer Plans49% =

157 Million

VA & Tricare

2010

Medicare13%

Non Group

5%

Medicaid/CHIP16%

Uninsured16%

Employer Plans49%

Total Population: 306 Million

Total Population:320 Million

Page 7: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation Development, Health at a Glance 2017, Feb 2018Fig 7.3 on pg 135 and Fig 7.1 on pg 133 (oecd.org) and OECD Health Expenditures and Financing (stats.oecd.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated12/4/18

Health Spending By Country 2016Health Spending By Country 2016

Japan

10.9%$4,519

Austra

lia

9.6%$4,708

Finla

nd

9.3%$4,033

OECD Avg

9.0%$4,003

Norway

10.5%$6,647

United

Kingdom

9.7%$4,192

Denmark

10.4%$5,205

Switzerla

nd

12.4%$7,919

Canada

10.6%$4,753

Germany

11.3%$5,551

Sweden

11.0%$5,488

France

11.0%$4,600

USA

8.5%

8.7%

17.2%$9,892

Private Expenditure

Public (Govt) Expenditure

$ Spending Per Capita (USD PPP)

U.S. spends far more overall($3.5 trillion in 2017), spends fargreater % on private, but still leaves 28 million uninsured and many underinsured.

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%% of GDP

Page 8: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: International Federation of Health Plans, “2015 Comparative Price Report,” July 19, 2016 (ifhp.com)“The U.S. Pays a Lot More for Top Drugs than Other Countries,” Bloomberg News, Dec 18, 2015 (bloomberg.com)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/13/18

••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••$78,318$78,318

avgUSA

$24,059U.K.

$32,480NEW ZEALAND

$765AUSTRALIA

$2,142NEW ZEALAND

HIP REPLACEHIP REPLACE

$29,067$29,067avgUSA

$6,757SPAIN

$16,335U.K.

MRI SCANMRI SCAN

$1,119$1,119avg

USA$503

AUSTRALIA$215

SWITZERLAND

BABY DELIVERYBABY DELIVERY

$10,808$10,808avg

USA

$1,950SPAIN

$5,312AUSTRALIA

HOSPITALSTAY (1-DAY) HOSPITALSTAY (1-DAY)

CORONARY BYPASSCORONARY BYPASS

Because U.S. has a wide range of prices for same procedures, average prices are shown here; Dollars are $US

$155USA $155USA

$74CANADA

$74CANADA

$38GERMANY

$38GERMANY

ADVAIRADVAIR (30-DAY SUPPLY)

$5,220$5,220avgUSA

U.S. Prices Are Too Darn High!U.S. Prices Are Too Darn High!

©2012

Page 9: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Quote: Chris Rock, “Bigger & Blacker,” 1999Also see: “Wall Street Admits Curing Diseases Is Bad For Business,” Lee Camp, April 24, 2018 (truthdig.com)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Created 5/25/18

— Chris Rock

“There ain’t no money in the cure; the money’s in the medicine.

That’s how you get paid — on the comeback. That’s how a drug dealer makes his money — on the comeback.”

Curing Diseases Is Bad For BusinessCuring Diseases Is Bad For Business

Page 10: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: Explanation of Benefits from Traditional Medicare (CMS) and Private Medicare Supplement Plan N for three-hour ER visit for kidney stone treatment in Tucson, Arizona, 2017

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 9/5/18

The Tale Of Two Kidney StonesThe Tale Of Two Kidney Stones

Charged Amountfor Uninsured orOut-of-Network

EmergencyService

HO

SPIT

AL

DO

CS

MedicareNegotiated

RateMedicare

PaidMedigapPlan Paid

PatientCost

$ 235331345

0

89

174

$1,174

$ 187264275

0

71

139

$936

$ 135

18

35

$188

$50

0

0

$50

ER Copay

Medicare NegotiatesFair Prices, While

Protecting PatientsThe Most

No ProtectionFrom Medical Price-Gouging

$ 7,3501,9462,258

904

180

1,529

$14,167

CT ScanIV HydrationER VisitHospital Misc

Radiologist

ER Doctor

TOTAL

Page 11: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Quotes: Steven Brill, “The Bitter Pill: Why Medical Bills Are Killing Us,” Time Special Report, March 4, 2013 ©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/9/14

U.S. Healthcare Is No MarketplaceU.S. Healthcare Is No Marketplace“(We) are powerless buyers in a seller’s market

where the only sure thing is the profit of the sellers.”

— Steven Brill, “The Bitter Pill”

“Unless you are protected by Medicare,

the health care market is not a market at all.

It’s a crapshoot. People fare differently

according to circumstances they can neither

control nor predict... (T)hey have little

visibility into pricing, let alone control of it...

They have no idea what their bills mean,

and those who maintain the chargemasters

couldn’t explain them if they wanted to.”

Page 12: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: Kaiser/HRET Employer Health Benefits Survey, Oct 3, 2018, Figures 5 & 2 (kff.org)Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/7/18

Runaway Health Premiums Eat AwayAt Wages & Burden Employers

Runaway Health Premiums Eat AwayAt Wages & Burden Employers

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 2018

+ 68%+ 51%34%

29%

Cumulative IncreasesTotal Avg Family Premium(Employer Plan)

Worker Contribution

Employer Contribution

Workers’ Earnings

Overall Inflation

+ 239%+ 259%

119%1999 Total: $5,791Worker: $1,543Employer: $4,247

2018 Total: $19,616

Worker: $5,547Employer: $14,069

+ 231%

117%

120%

In 2018, avg Total Health Spending for

Family of 4was $28,166!

(Premiums &Out-of-Pocket)

Page 13: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source for 1995-2013: Blue Cross Rate Sheets for Preferred PPO, Pima County AZ, $1,000 Deductible & 20% CoinsuranceSource for 2014-2018: Healthcare.gov for Pima County AZ, Gold Plan: $1,000 to $1,400 Deductible

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/30/18

$170

100

$ 0

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1995 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 2019

Monthly Premiums(Based on “Gold Level Plan”:approx $1,000 to $1,400 Deductible& 20% coinsurance)

64 yr Male54 yr Female Female Aging 31 to 55 yrs Overall Inflation

ACA Marketplaces Open 2014:Pre-existing conditions & essential benefits must now be covered;No annual or lifetime caps; 80% of enrollees get tax credits that greatly defray these retail prices.

$382$382$403

$140

$457

$215

$587$587

$1,078$1,078

$696

$300

$120$120$121

Projectio

n w/o

ACA

$73 8 in

sure

rs &

119

pla

ns

On

ly 1

insu

rer

& 4

pla

ns

3 in

sure

rs &

16

pla

ns

AC

A P

asse

sM

arch

201

0

80/2

0 R

ule

Take

s Ef

fect

$73 On

ly 1

insu

rer

& 2

pla

ns

$418$418

$801$801

$767$767

ACA Did Little To Control Overall CostsAnd Too Vulnerable To Sabotage

ACA Did Little To Control Overall CostsAnd Too Vulnerable To Sabotage

Page 14: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group (cms.gov)Jan 2018; Note: Sum of pieces may not equal 100% due to rounding.

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 8/7/18

U.S. Health Dollar 2016:Where It Came From & Where It Went

U.S. Health Dollar 2016:Where It Came From & Where It Went

$3.3 Trillion

Recipients

DirectPayers

by Typeof Entity:

Fed Govt: 28%State/Local Govts: 17%

Households: 28%Private Businesses: 20%

Other Private: 7%Many Payers

Medicare20%

Out of Pocket11%

MedicaidFederal

11%

OtherThird Party

Payers &Programs

8%

Medicaid

State & Local 6%

VA, DOD, CHIP 4%

Inve

stm

ent 5

%

PrivateHealth Insurance

34%

Public Hlth Activity 2%

Nursing Facility 5%

Dental 4%

Medical Equip 4%

& Products

Investment 5%

Other P

rof.

Service

s 3%

Other Residential &Personal Care 5%

Private Insurance 6.5%

Adm

in, Profits

Marketing

Publ

ic H

lth

Act

ivit

y 2

%

Hom

e H

ealth

3%

Hospital Care32%

Physicians & Clinical Services

20%

RxDrugs10%

Govt Admin 1.3%

Page 15: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: “The Current and Projected Taxpayer Shares of US Health Costs,” Himmelstein & Woolhandler, American Journal of Public Health, March 2016, pgs 449-452, Tables 1 & 2 (ajph.aphapublications.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/19/18

Taxpayers Already Finance 65% Of All U.S. Healthcare Spending

Taxpayers Already Finance 65% Of All U.S. Healthcare Spending

Billions $Total 2015 Health Spending = $3,244 B % of Total

1. Direct Govt Health Spending 48.5%

Medicare (Federal)

Medicaid & CHIP (Federal & State)

Other Health Progs (ACA, VA, NIH, Public Health)

$ 646560366

19.9 %17.311.3

2. Govt Spending for Public Employees’ Health Benefits 6.5%

Federal GovtState & Local Govts

$ 34177

1.0 % 5.5

3. Tax Subsidies for Private Health Insurance & Care 10.0%Federal GovtState & Local Govts

$ 27650

8.5 % 1.5

Total Tax-Financed Health Spending $ 2,109 65%

Page 16: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: ”Mapping the Terrain of the Single Payer Discourse,” Matt Bruenig, Sept 6, 2017 (PeoplesPolicyProject.org)©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/16/18

Financing Our Current Heathcare “Crazy Quilt” Is Way Too Complicated

Financing Our Current Heathcare “Crazy Quilt” Is Way Too Complicated

Federal Taxes

State Taxes

Premiums

Premiums

PremiumsCost Sharing / Out-of-Pocket

Premiums

Tax Subsidies

Premiums

Foregone Wages

Tax ExclusionHou

seh

old

sH

ouse

hol

ds

FederalGovt

StateGovt

ACAExchanges

Employers

Medicare

Medicaid

IndividualInsurance

EmployerInsurance

Hea

lth

care

Prov

ider

s &

Rx

Hea

lth

care

Prov

ider

s &

Rx

DeliveryMainly Private,

Some Public

Public Insurance

For-Profit Insurance

For-ProfitAdvantage &Drugs Plans

Medigap Plans

HMO Plans

Private PlansOtherPublic

Page 17: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation Development, Health at a Glance 2017, pg 49 (oecd.org)©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/15/18

U.S. Spends The Most, But Has Lower Life Expectancy Than Peers

U.S. Spends The Most, But Has Lower Life Expectancy Than Peers

2015 Health Spending Per Person(U.S. dollars, purchasing power parity)

Life

Exp

ecta

ncy

201

5

$2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,00070

YEARS

75

80

85

USA

©2012

HUNGARYBRAZIL LITHUANIA

COLUMBIALATVIA

RUSSIA

SLOVAKIAPOLAND

ESTONIA CZECH REPUBLIC

DENMARK

AUSTRIA

NORWAY SWITZERLANDFRANCE

AUSTRALIA

BELGIUM

NETHERLANDS LUXEMBOURG

IRELANDFINLAND

CANADAUK

JAPANITALYSPAIN

NEW ZLD

ICELAND

PORTUGALCOSTA RICA SLOVENIA

GREECEKOREA

ISRAEL

MEXICO

TURKEY

CHILE

CHINA

SWEDEN

GERMANY

Page 18: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: Health Financing – stats.oecd.org; Uninsured Rate and Employer Plan Premium – kff.org Deaths – Extrapolated from Amer. Journal of Public Health, Dec 2009; Bankruptcies – Amer. Journal of Medicine, Aug 2009

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/24/18

Current U.S. Heathcare “Crazy Quilt”Is Complex, Costly And Cruel

Current U.S. Heathcare “Crazy Quilt”Is Complex, Costly And Cruel

31MILLIONUNINSUREDand millions more

underinsured (2017)

600THOUSANDGO BANKRUPT

per year due to medical bills

500BILLIONPAPERWORKwaste per year due to too many payers

28THOUSANDUNINSURED DIE

per year due to lack of insurance

3.3TRILLIONSPENT IN 2016

= 18% of economy; 2/3 is tax-financed

$ 10THOUSANDPER PERSON= more than twice

the OECD avg

$ 19.6THOUSAND2018 PREMIUMemployer family plan(employee paid 28%)

$ 50TRILLION

2019-2028estimated cost

over next decade

$

$©2012

Page 19: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: ”Mapping the Terrain of the Single Payer Discourse,” Matt Bruenig, Sept 6, 2017 (PeoplesPolicyProject.org)and “Funding HR 676,” Gerald Friedman, PhD, Dept of Economics, Univ of Massachusetts, July 13, 2013 (pnhp.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/13/18

Simplicity & Bargaining Power OfSingle-Payer Saves Money (~$600B/yr)

Simplicity & Bargaining Power OfSingle-Payer Saves Money (~$600B/yr)

Hea

lth

care

Prov

ider

s &

Rx

Hea

lth

care

Prov

ider

s &

Rx

Federal Taxes

HouseholdOut-of-Pocket =

~2% of Total Healthcare Spending(Over-the-counter meds

& some elective procedures continue not covered)

98% of Total

Healthcare Spending

Hou

seh

old

s&

Em

plo

yers

Hou

seh

old

s&

Em

plo

yers

Med

icar

eM

edic

are

Fed

eral

Gov

tFe

der

al G

ovt

PrivateDelivery

w/Some Public

PublicFinancing

Page 20: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Cagle Cartoon: © 2017 Copyright Dave Fitzsimmons. All rights reserved. Used here with permission.©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Created 1/15/18

Page 21: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

♥ ♥

Sources: “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act” (congress.gov) and “What You Need to Know About the Bill for Improved Medicare for All,” Margaret Flowers, June 15, 2017 (HealthOverProfit.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/3/18

National Improved Medicare for All

Hooray

for NIMA!also called:

The Expanded & ImprovedMedicare for All Act

LOVE IT!

IMPROVE IT!

MEDICARE

FOR ALLNational Nurses United

©2012

Page 22: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: “2018 Annual Report of Medicare Board of Trustees,” June 5, 2018, pg 11 (cms.gov) *2017 Part B premiums higher for household incomes over $85,000 single & $170,000 married (medicare.gov)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/11/18

If Medicare passes “...you and I are

going to spend our sunset years

telling our children and our

children’s children what it once was

like in America when men were free.”

– Ronald Reagan for AMA’s 1961

“Operation Coffee Cup” recordings

to kill Medicare bill.

♥ Medicare = ♥ Govt-Paid Healthcare♥ Medicare = ♥ Govt-Paid Healthcare

Oops,My Bad!

• Signed by President Johnson in 1965 after fierce opposition from insurance co’s, AMA & Repubs.

• Covers seniors 65+ and the disabled. Original Medicare isa single-payer system.

• Very cost efficient program: Operates at < 2% overhead.

Payroll tax funds only Part A (inpatient). Part B (doctor/outpatient) $109–$134/mo.* premium covers just ~25% of costs. Balance paid through general revenues.

©2012

♥ ♥

Page 23: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

$0remium$0

Copay

AARP

nroll Now

EnrollNow!

HumanaHealthNet

UnitedHealthcar

CareMore

$0Deduct

Sources: Kaiser Family Foundation, “Medicare Advantage Fact Sheet,” May 2016 & “Plans in 2017,” Dec 2016, (kff.org) Center for Public Integrity, “Medicare Advantage Money Grab,” May 9, 2016 (PublicIntegrity.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 9/30/18

• In 1997, private insurance companies promised to insure for 5% LESS than Original/ Traditional Medicare. Instead MA plans cost taxpayers MORE on avg (= extra ~$16 Billion/yr). ACA tried to rein this in.

• 33% of beneficiaries (19 mil) enroll in MA plans. You still pay Part B premium. Network is much narrower than in Original Medicare.

• Insurance co. gets paid avg $850 – $900/mo per enrollee from Federal govt — even more for sicker enrollees. $210 B/yr boondoggle!

Medicare Advantage (MA):Big Gimme To Big InsuranceMedicare Advantage (MA):Big Gimme To Big Insurance

Page 24: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: David Sirota, Hostile Takeover, 2007, pgs 154-204; Part D Costs: Medicare Trustees Report 2018 (cms.gov) Bruce Bartlett, “Republican Deficit Hypocrisy,” Nov 20, 2009 (Forbes.com); Avg Part D premium 2017 = $36/mo

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/11/18

• Passed by Bush II, Repubs (and some Corporate Dems!) in Dec 2003 as a Big Gimme to Big Pharma & Big Insurance and an election campaign ploy. Benefits started Jan 2006.

• Private insurance policies subsidized (~75%) by Federal govt, which is prohibited from negotiating down the prices. The taxpayer must pay top dollar = $73 Billion in 2017.

• Fiscally irresponsible: No additional taxes collected. Added $649 Billion to debt in 12 yrs.

Medicare Part D: Drug Program Big Gimme To Big PharmaMedicare Part D: Drug Program Big Gimme To Big Pharma

•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••

“...any Republican who voted for the

Medicare drug benefit has no right to criticize anything

the Democrats have done in terms

of adding to the national debt.”

— Bruce BartlettConservative Economist

Rx $$

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Source: “The Medicare Part D Prescription Drug Benefit” Kaiser Family Foundation, Oct 2017, Figure 5, pg 2 (kff.org)Note: By 2020, ACA closes donut hole so you pay 25% on Brand-name Rx in the coverage gap.

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/16/17

$0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000

$405

Ded

uct

ible

Initial Coverage Period:

You pay 25% Plan pays 75%

Ends when you & your plan

pay $3,750 total Rx Costs.

CatastrophicCoverage:You pay 5%

Plan pays 15%Fed Govt pays 80%

Coverage GapBrand-name Rx:

You pay 35% Plan pays 15%

50% Pharma discountGeneric Rx:

You pay 44%Plan pays 56%

Before ACA,You had to pay100% of costs

in donut hole =~ $4,700

Donut hole endswhen you &

Pharma discounttotal $5,000

(Plan paymentsdo not count).

Starts overevery year!

Medicare Part D Benefit

2018

Medicare Part D Benefit

2018

$8,4

18

$3,7

50

$8,4

18

$3,7

50

Who DesignedSuch a

Complicated,Skimpy

Benefit Planwith a $4,700

Hole in it?Republicans

in Congress –That’s Who!

Who DesignedSuch a

Complicated,Skimpy

Benefit Planwith a $4,700

Hole in it?Republicans

in Congress –That’s Who!

Rx $$

Page 26: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: “2018 Annual Report of Medicare Board of Trustees,” June 5, 2018, pg 11 (2017 data) (cms.gov)and “An Overview of Medicare,” Kaiser Family Foundation, Nov 2017, Figure 7, pg 5 (2016 data) (kff.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/13/18

Only Half Medicare Funded By Payroll Tax& Premiums; Half From General Revenue

Part A (Hospital)

$299 Billion

87%

8%3%

<1%

1%

<1%

TOTAL$705 Billion

41%= $292 B

37%= $262 B

14%= $101 B3% = $24 B

2%1%

<1%

General Revenue

Payroll Taxes

Enrollee Premiums

Transfers from States

Taxation of Social Security Benefits

Interest

Other

Sources ofMedicare Revenue

2017

Part B (Doctor)

$306 Billion

71%

<1%2%

27%

Part D (Rx Drugs)

$100 Billion

73%

16%

11%

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

•••

Page 27: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: “Medicare’s Income-Related Premiums Under Current Law and Proposed Changes,” Kaiser Family Foundation, Nov 2017 (kff.org); *National avg monthly premium across all Part D plans plus surcharges of $13–$75 for higher incomes.

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/13/18

Medicare Part B & D Hidden General Revenue = $291 Billion/yr (2017)

Medicare Part B & D Hidden General Revenue = $291 Billion/yr (2017)

Income (MAGI) for Single Person(x2 for Married)

Share of Cost Paid

by Enrollee

25%

35%

50%

65%

80%

Up to $85,000

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

•••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

•••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

••••

•••

Dedicated payroll tax funds only Part A (Hospital Insurance).

Part B (Doc/Outpatient) Monthly Premium 2018(Projected Avg Cost ~$536/mo)

Enrollee pays $109 -$134

Enrollee pays $188Govt pays $348

Enrollee pays $268Govt pays $268

Enrollee pays $348Govt pays $188

Enrollee pays $429Govt pays $107

Part D (Rx) Avg*

Monthly Premium 2018 (Projected Avg Cost* ~ $140/mo)

Enrollee pays $36

Enrollee pays $49Govt pays $91

Enrollee pays $70Govt pays $70

Enrollee pays $90Govt pays $50

Enrollee pays $111 Govt pays $29

STANDARD PREMIUMS (paid by 94% of beneficiaries)

INCOME-RELATED PREMIUMS (paid by top 6% of beneficiaries)

$85,001 to $107,000

$107,001to $133,500

$133,501to $160,000

over $160,000

Govt pays $427-$402Govt pays $427-$402 Govt pays $1Govt pays $10404Govt pays $427-$402 Govt pays $104

Page 28: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: “2018 Annual Report of Medicare Board of Trustees,” June 5, 2018, pg 11 (cms.gov)Note: Totals may not add up due to rounding to nearest billion

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/11/18

Part B (Doctor) Part D (Rx Drug)

SM ISupplementary Medical Insurance

HIHospital Insurance

Part A

Medicare: A Look At The BooksMedicare: A Look At The BooksEXPENSESPayments to Providers or Private Rx Plans ($ 199) ($ 194) ($ 100)Payments to Private Advantage Plans (Part C) (95) (115) NoneAdministrative Expenses (3) (5) (<1)

TOTAL EXPENSES 2017 = $710 ($ 297) ($ 314) ($ 100)

INCOMEPayroll Taxes (Funds ONLY Part A) $ 262 None NoneInterest on Trust Fund 7 $ 2 <1Taxation of Benefits 24 None NoneEnrollee Premiums 4 82 $ 16General Tax Revenues 1 217 73Other or Transfer from States 2 5 11

TOTAL INCOME 2017 = $705 $ 300 $ 306 $ 100

Trust Fund Assets (end of 2016) $ 199 $ 88 $ 8Net increase/decrease in assets (2017) + 3 – 8 + <1

Trust Fund Assets (end 2017) = $290 $ 202 $ 80 $ 8Avg Benefit /Enrollee 2017 = $13,087 $ 5,055 $5,780 $2,252($421/mo) ($482/mo) ($188/mo)

50%50%EARNED

BENEFIT

©2012

2017 (in $ Billions)

Page 29: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: “An Overview of Medicare,” Kaiser Family Foundation, Nov 2017, Figure 5, pg 4 (kff.org)Based on analysis of “Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey 2013 Cost & Use” (includes traditional Medicare enrollees only)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/16/18

Out-Of-Pocket & Premium SpendingStill Too High In Existing Medicare.

Medicare-For-All (HR 676) Fixes This.

Out-Of-Pocket & Premium SpendingStill Too High In Existing Medicare.

Medicare-For-All (HR 676) Fixes This.

HealthServices

= 53%Avg $3,257

HealthPremiums

= 47%Avg $2,893

(Parts B & D,Supplemental

Insurance)

Long-Term Care

Medical Providers/Supplies

Rx Drugs

Dental

Hospital

Skilled Nursing& Home Health

Share of Spending by Type of Service

18%

12%

9%

5%4%4%2013

Page 30: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: “An Overview of Medicare,” Kaiser Family Foundation, Nov 2017, Figure 4, pg 3 (kff.org)and “Medicare Advantage 2017 Spotlight,” Kaiser Family Foundation, June 2017, Figure 1, pg 1 (kff.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/16/18

Medicare Enrollees Buy Private PlansTo Limit Out-Of-Pocket (OOP).

No Need With Medicare-For-All (HR 676)

Medicare Enrollees Buy Private PlansTo Limit Out-Of-Pocket (OOP).

No Need With Medicare-For-All (HR 676)

Type of Supplemental

Coverage

2017

Traditional(= Original)Medicare

67% =38.6 mil

MedicareAdvantageEnrollees

33% =19.0 mil

Employer-Sponsored

Medigap

Medicaid

NoneOther

+ Rx Drug Planor MA-PD

Rx DrugPlan

(PDP)+Max OOP:< $6,700

No LimitOOP

Page 31: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: Analysis of “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” by HealthOverProfit.org and Physicians for a National Health Program (pnhp.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/29/17

3

1

2©2012

Eliminates gaps and cost-sharing in existing Medicare: No need for supplemental, Advantage, dental, LTC plans. So current Medicare enrollees are big winners, too!

Covers inpatient, outpatient, ER care, Rx drugs, mental, dental, vision, hearing, chiropractic, rehab, podiatry, medical devices, prenatal and longterm care.

No co-pays, deductibles or co-insurance: Eliminates financial barriers to care and ends scourge of medical debt/ bankruptcy.

Medicare-For-All (HR 676) IsMedicare-For-All (HR 676) Is

Page 32: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: Analysis of “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” by HealthOverProfit.org and Physicians for a National Health Program (pnhp.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/28/17

3

1

2

Medicare-For-All (HR 676) IsMedicare-For-All (HR 676) Is

©2012

©2012

Extends improved Medicare to every person living in U.S. Gets young and healthy into same risk pool as older and sicker. That’s insurance 101!

Single-payer system has bargaining power to negotiate lowest prices.

Significantly reduces bureaucracy and paperwork for providers and patients. Current Medicare operatesat only < 2% overhead.

Page 33: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: Analysis of “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” by HealthOverProfit.org and Physicians for a National Health Program (pnhp.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/28/17

3

1

2

Medicare-For-All (HR 676) EnhancesMedicare-For-All (HR 676) Enhances

Real Choice: Go to nearly any doctor or hospital in the entire country. No more worries about provider networks.

Portable: Coverage follows you when you move, change jobs, retire, etc. Frees entrepreneurs from job lock.

Eliminates stress of worrying about deductibles, co-pays, and surprise balance bills from out-of-network providers. ©2012

©2012

Page 34: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: Analysis of “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” by HealthOverProfit.org and Fix It: Healthcare at the Tipping Point (documentary), 2016 (FixitHealthcare.com)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 12/28/17

3

4

1

2

Gets insurance burden and cost off backs of businesses.They can expand without worry and uncertainty of skyrocketing healthcare costs.

Businesses can compete on a level playing field locally, nationally and internationally.

Workers and consumers have more discretionaryfunds to spend in the economy.

Single-payer negotiating power can control runaway healthcare costs and medical inflation.

Medicare-For-All (HR 676) IsMedicare-For-All (HR 676) Is

FOR

Page 35: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act” (congress.gov) and “What You Need to Know About the Bill for Improved Medicare for All,” Margaret Flowers, June 15, 2017 (HealthOverProfit.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 9/30/18

The Expanded & ImprovedMedicare for All Act

LOVE IT!

IMPROVE IT!

MEDICARE

FOR ALLNational Nurses United

©2012

Universal: Extends improved Medicare to every person in the U.S.

Comprehensive: Inpatient, outpatient, ER, Rx, mental, dental, vision, hearing, rehab, chiropractic, podiatry, devices, prenatal & longterm care.

Simple & Cost-Effective: Say goodbye to maze of predatory, for-profit health insurance, and all premiums, deductibles, co-pays & medical bills.

Freedom & Choice: Go to nearly any doctor or hospital in the U.S. Coverage follows you when you move, change jobs, retire, etc.

Good for Business: Gets insurance burden and cost off backs of businesses. Frees entrepreneurs from job lock.

Big Savings for 95% of Americans: 3% to 6% payroll tax (on employer side) replaces all premiums and out-of-pocket costs.

©2012

©2012

70% of Americanssupport

Medicare-For-AllJune & July 2018 Reuters/Ipsos Poll

Page 36: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Cagle Cartoon: © 2011 Copyright Dave Granlund. All rights reserved. Used here with permission.©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/13/18

Page 37: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: “Premium Support Is the Wrong Direction for Medicare,” AARP Public Policy Institute, Oct 2017 (aarp.org) Note: See cartoon on this theme on the color slides

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 6/15/18

“It’s a vision that says America can’t afford to keep the promise we’ve made to care

for our seniors. It says that ten years from now, if you’re a 65-year-old who’s eligible

for Medicare, you should have to pay nearly $6,400 more than you would today.

It says instead of guaranteed health care, you will get a voucher. And if that voucher

isn’t worth enough to buy insurance, tough luck — you’re on your own.”

“Put simply, it ends Medicare as we know it.”— President Obama (April 2011)

Cost Shifting Is No Solution

Page 38: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: “Funding HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” Gerald Friedman, PhD, Dept of Economics, Univ of Massachusetts, July 13, 2013 (pnhp.org); Medicare-For-All calculator (hcfat.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 9/4/18

Medicare-For-All (HR 676): FinancingMedicare-For-All (HR 676): Financing

Cost of Existing U.S. Health System $ 3,162

Savings with Medicare-For-All = $592:Administrative Efficiencies – (476)Negotiate Lower Rx Drug Prices – (116)

Added Spending for Better Care = $343:Enhance & Expand Coverage to All +110Increased Utilization of Healthcare +144Increase Medicaid Payment Rate + 89

Transition Costs = $51:Support & Retrain Displaced Workers + 31Capital Buy-Out of For-Profit,

Investor-Owned Facilities + 20

TOTAL COST OF H.R. 676 $ 2,964

Apply Current Fed Health Spending $ 1,391Medicare, Medicaid, CHIP, ACA, VA, DoD,Public Employees, Public Health, NIH

Limited Household Out-of-Pocket + 63Over-the-counter drugs & some elective/cosmetic procedures continue not covered (~2% of total)

Tax Expenditure Savings + 260

Replacement Revenues = $1,404:3% Payroll Tax (< $53,000 income) + 276% Payroll Tax (> $53,000 income) + 3466% Surtax on Income >$225,000 + 2796% Tax on Capital Gains, Divs, Rents + 310Financial Transaction Tax (.01%- 0.5%) + 442

TOTAL REVENUES FOR H.R. 676 $ 3,118

Net Savings: $ 198 B/yrCompared to Current System

Net Surplus: $ 154 B/yrRevenues Minus Cost of H.R. 676

COSTS & SAVINGS(in Billions/Year, 2014)

REVENUE SOURCES(in Billions/Year, 2014)

Page 39: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: “Funding HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” Gerald Friedman, PhD, Dept of Economics, Univ of Massachusetts, July 13, 2013 (pnhp.org); Medicare-For-All calculator (hcfat.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/25/17

Private Business = $450:Employer Contrib. Private Premiums $ 414Workers Comp & Worksite Health 36

Households = $633:Private Insurance Premiums 312Medicare Supplement Premiums 6780% of Out-of-Pocket Spending 254

Other Private Spending = $167 167

Federal Gov’t = $35:Employer Contrib. Private Premiums 35

State & Local Gov’t = $438:Employer Contrib. Private Premiums 158Health Programs (incl. Medicaid) 125Other 155

TOTAL THAT GETS REPLACED $ 1,723

Obsolete Funding Sources(in Billions/Year, 2014, H.R. 676)

Replacement Funding(in Billions/Year, 2014, H.R. 676)

Medicare-For-All (HR 676) REPLACES Regressive Expenses With Progressive Taxes

Medicare-For-All (HR 676) REPLACES Regressive Expenses With Progressive Taxes

Employer-Side Payroll Tax = $373:3% Payroll Tax (< $53,000 income) $ 276% Payroll Tax (> $53,000 income) 346

Upper Income Households = $589:6% Surtax on Income >$225,000 2796% Tax on Capital Gains, Divs, Rents 310

Does not apply to retirement accts.

Wall Street = $442:Financial Transaction Tax (.01%- 0.5%) 442

TOTAL REPLACEMENT FUNDING $ 1,404

20% of Current Out-of-Pocket 63Over-the-counter meds/vitamins & some elective procedures continue not covered.

Tax Expenditure Savings 260

Page 40: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: “Funding HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act,” Gerald Friedman, PhD, Dept of Economics, Univ of Massachusetts, July 13, 2013 (pnhp.org); Medicare-For-All calculator (hcfat.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/25/17

95% Of Americans Get BIG SavingsWith Medicare-For-All (HR 676)

95% Of Americans Get BIG SavingsWith Medicare-For-All (HR 676)

Avg HouseholdIncome

$25,720

$57,350

$87,730

$128,440

$216,920

$462,950

$2,994,820

IncomeGroup

ApproxSAVINGS

$4,600

$6,900

$7,900

$9,000

$6,500

N/A

N/A

% Change inAfter-Tax Income

+18%

+12%

+9%

+7%

+3%

– 8%

– 14%

ApproxHigher Cost

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

$37,000

$419,000% change reflects difference between share of income spent on healthcare now and share under the progressive taxes proposed under H.R. 676, which replace the current regressive funding system.

BO

TT

OM

95

%

TOP5%

Page 41: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: Congressional Budget Office, Cost Estimate of AHCA, Mar 13, 2017, Table 4 (pg 34); Cost Estimate of BCRA, June 26, 2017, Table 5 (pg 48) (cbo.gov); Medicare-For-All calculator (hcfat.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • www.ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/13/18

The

Bes

t Pla

n Is

So

Sim

ple!

The

Bes

t Pla

n Is

So

Sim

ple!

*GOP Plans allow insurance co. to charge 64yr old 5x more than 21yr old (ACA capped this at 3x more).**GOP Plans end ACA cost-sharing subsidies that lower deductibles, co-pays, co-insur. for 100% to 250% FPL.

House GOP Plan = AHCA (aka Ryan/TrumpCare)21 yr old40 yr old64 yr old

$3,900$6,050

$19,500*

$2,450$3,650$4,900

$1,450 (= 5.5%)

$2,400 (= 9.1%) $14,600 (= 55.1%)

65% = Bronze**

HIGH deductible,co-pays, co-insur.)

Senate GOP Plan = BCRA (aka McConnell/TrumpCare)21 yr old40 yr old64 yr old

$4,100$6,400

$20,500*

$1,900$3,400

$14,000

$2,200 (= 8.3%)

$3,000 (= 11.3%)

$6,500 (= 24.5%)

70% = Silver**

MEDIUM deductible,co-pays, co-insur.

Current Law = ACA (aka ObamaCare)21 yr old40 yr old64 yr old

$5,100$6,500

$15,300*

$3,400$4,800

$13,600

87% = Gold**

LOW deductible,co-pays, co-insur.

$1,700 (= 6.4%)

$1,700 (= 6.4%)

$1,700 (= 6.4%)

Medicare-For-All (= Single-Payer)Household pays 3.0% of income (employer payroll tax) $795 (= 3.0%)

100% CoveredNo cost-sharing

Single Individual With Annual Income of $26,500 in 2026Annual Retail

PremiumAge Premium

Tax Credit

Net PremiumPaid by Enrollee(and as % of income)

Actuarial Valueof Plan

(higher % is better)

Page 42: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Sources: “HR 676: The Expanded and Improved Medicare for All Act” (congress.gov and pnhp.org) and “Medicare For All Act of 2017,” introduced by Senator Bernie Sanders, Sept 13, 2017 (sanders.senate.gov)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/13/18

Everyone covered January 1st of first full year after passage

Prolonged 4-year rollout:Gradually lowers eligibility age

Includes Long-Term Careunder improved Medicare

Leaves Long-Term Care understate-administered Medicaid

Eliminates/converts for-profit,investor-owned health facilities

No co-pays Small co-pays on some brand Rx

Still allows for-profit,investor-owned health facilities

Keeps VA independent for 10 yrsand IHS for 5 yrs; then reevaluate

whether to integrate into MFA

Maintains independent Veterans’ Affairs (VA) and

Indian Health Services (IHS)

HR 676120 Co-sponsors in House

Bernie’s S-180416 Co-sponsors in Senate

Medicare-For-All Comparison:Why HR 676 Is Better

Medicare-For-All Comparison:Why HR 676 Is Better

••

••

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••

••

••

••

••

••

••

••

••

••

••

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••

••

••

••

Page 43: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: “Medicare For All Act of 2017,” introduced by Senator Bernie Sanders, Sept 13, 2017 (sanders.senate.gov) *Replaces spending on private insurance premiums, deductibles, co-pays, etc. by households, businesses & state/local govts

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/26/17

Medicare-For-All: Bernie’s Plan 2017$16 T Options For Replacement Financing*

Medicare-For-All: Bernie’s Plan 2017$16 T Options For Replacement Financing*

7.5% Employer-Side Payroll Tax (Avg Employer SAVES $9,000/yr*)

4.0% of Taxable Household Income (Avg Family SAVES $4,400/yr*)

Savings from Health-Related Tax ExpendituresMore Progressive Income Taxes on High Incomes (> $250,000)

More Progressive Estate Tax (45%-65% on >$3.5 M exemption)

Annual 1% Wealth Tax on Top 0.1% (on amount >$21M net worth)

Close Wealthy S-Corp Payroll & Medicare Tax Loophole

Tax Corporate Offshore Profits (currently $2.6T held offshore)

Fee on Large Financial Institutions (>$50 B in assets)

Repeal Corporate Accounting Gimmicks (LIFO on inventory)

$3,900

$3,500

$4,200

$1,800

$ 249

$1,300

$ 247

$ 767

$ 117

$ 112

in Billions over 10 Years

Add 40–52% Marginal Rates; Tax Cap Gains & Divs Same as Work; Limit Deductions to 28% Rate

Page 44: Presentation Designed & Developed by Witte Design, LLC ...€¦ · (kff.org) Family of 4 avg total health spending: 2018 Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com) ©2012-2018

Source: “Economic Analysis of Medicare for All” (analysis of Bernie Sanders’ S1804) by Political Economy Research Instituteat Univ of Massachusetts, Nov 2018, see pgs 7, 9, 10, 15, 71, 118, 126 (peri.umass.edu)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Created 12/7/18

2018 UMass Study: Medicare-For-AllSaves 9.5% Compared To Current System

2018 UMass Study: Medicare-For-AllSaves 9.5% Compared To Current System

Existing Health Consumption Costs $3,240Excludes Public Health Activities ($85) andInvestments – Research/Structures ($164)

Increased Health Demand (+12%) + 389Enhanced & Expanded Coverage to All

Savings under M4A (19.2% of 3,629) – (697)Administrative Efficiencies (9% = $327)Negotiate Lower Drug Prices (5.9% = $214)Apply Uniform Medicare Rates (2.8% = $102)Improve Delivery, Reduce Fraud (1.5% = $54)

Total Cost of Medicare-For-All $ 2,932

Transition Costs ($62/yr for 2 yrs) + 62Support & Retrain Displaced Workers

Apply Current Govt Health Spending $1,552Medicare, Medicaid, CHIP, ACA, VA, DoD, Fed Employees; includes “maintenance of effort” revenue transfers from state & local govts to fed govt (~$230)

Tax Expenditure Savings + 332Replacement Revenue ($1,081)

• Existing Biz Health Spending with 8% Cut + 623Later replace with 8.2% payroll tax

• Sales Tax of 3.75% on Non-necessities + 196Excludes food, housing, utilities, educationCredited back to low-income families

• Net Worth Tax of 0.38% after first $1 Million + 193• Tax Capital Gains as Ordinary Income + 69

Total Revenues for M4A $ 2,965

COSTS & SAVINGS(in Billions/Year, 2017)

REVENUE SOURCES(in Billions/Year, 2017)

Over 10 yrs, M4A Saves $5 Trillion!: $38 T vs $43 T for Existing System (2017-2026)

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Sources: “Costs of a National Single-Payer Healthcare System,” Blahous, Mercatus Center, GMU, July 2018, Table 2, pg 7 (mercatus.org)*$10 T More Savings: Himmelstein & Woolhandler, Physicians for a National Health Program, Aug 2, 2018 (pnhp.org)

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Libertarian, Koch-Funded Study AdmitsMedicare-For-All SAVES $2 Trillion/10 yrs

Libertarian, Koch-Funded Study AdmitsMedicare-For-All SAVES $2 Trillion/10 yrs

Covers Everybody, Better Benefits, No Cost-Sharing

2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

$93 B $106 B $168 B $186 B $202 B $219 B $239 B $258 B $280 B $303 B

$4 T

$5 T

$6 T

$7 T

$8 T

(in

$ T

rilli

on

s )

National HealthExpenditures (NHE)Current U.S. System:

$59.7 T over 10 Years National HealthExpenditures UnderMedicare-For-All:$57.6 T over 10 Years

But Wait! There’s $10 Trillion More Savings with Medicare-For-All

that’s Missing from this Study*(per Physicians for a National Health Program)

M4ASavings

($ Billions)

10 yr TotalM4A Savings

$2,054 B

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Sources: “The Mercatus Medicare-for-All Report in One Graph,” Matt Bruenig, Aug 13, 2018 (PeoplesPolicyProject.org)Based on Table 2, pg 7 of Mercatus report, July 2018 (mercatus.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 11/24/18

Of Course Federal Health Spending Goes UpUnder Single-Payer (Duh!)

But Total Health Spending Goes Down

Of Course Federal Health Spending Goes UpUnder Single-Payer (Duh!)

But Total Health Spending Goes Down

$0 T

$10 T

$20 T

$30 T

$40 T

$50 T

$60 T

2022

–20

31 (i

n $

Tri

llio

ns)

Bernie’s Medicare-For-All(as analyzed by Koch-funded Mercatus)

Total = $57.6 T$3.1 T

$54.5 T$54.5 T

Current System(the “Crazy Quilt”)

Total = $59.7 T

$21.9 T$21.9 T

$32.6 T increase

in Federal

Spending

$37.8 T

Federal Health Spending Other Health Spending (by Households, Businesses, State & Local Govts)

Additional federal spendingis merely REPLACING other spending — premiums,deductibles, copays, etc — that people must do in our current system.

While fed spending (yellow)goes up by $32.6 T, red goesdown by even more ($34.7 T).Hence $2.1 T in SAVINGS.

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Sources: Blahous, Mercatus Center, July 2018, Table 2, pg 7 (mercatus.org); Himmelstein & Woolhandler, Aug 2, 2018 (pnhp.org);Matt Bruenig, Aug 13, 2018 (PeoplesPolicyProject.org); Milliman Medical Index, May 2018 (milliman.com)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Created 10/25/18

“But How Are You Going To Pay For It?”Responding To Medicare-For-All “Deficit Concern Trolls”

“But How Are You Going To Pay For It?”Responding To Medicare-For-All “Deficit Concern Trolls”

2022– 2031 (in $ Trillions)

Bernie’s Medicare-For-All(as analyzed by Koch-funded Mercatus)

Total = $57.6 T$3.1 T

$54.5 T

Current System(the “Crazy Quilt”)

Total = $59.7 T

$21.9 T

$37.8 T

Federal Health Spending

All Other Health Spending (by Households, Biz, State/Local Govts)

$32.6 T INCREASE

in Federal

Spending

$34.7 T DECREASEin Other

Spending

2012

Challenge the Bias in the Question“Why is it you never ask the pay-for question when it comes to trillions for endless wars, bank bailouts or tax cuts for the wealthy? But somehow ‘our pockets are always empty’ for everyday Americans.”

Cost of Status Quo & Savings Under M4A “We can’t afford our current system! Even a Koch-funded study had to admit M4A net saves $2.1 T over 10 yrs ($59.7 T versus $57.6 T under M4A). Others estimate $12 T savings. We can afford to spend LESS!”

$32.6 T Increase Is Offset by $34.7 T Decrease “You’re only telling half the story. $32.6 T additional federal spending is merely REPLACING $34.7 T in other health spending — premiums, deductibles, copays — that people must do in our current system.”

Huge Savings for 95% of Americans “Modest 3% to 7.5% employer-side payroll tax REPLACES all premiums and out-of-pocket costs, which currently add up to a whopping $28,000 for a typical family of four — that’s a 46% corporate gouging on employers and workers (based on median income of $61,000).”

1

2

3

4

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Sources: Reuters/Ipsos poll, June & July 2018 (reuters.com); also, Politico/Morning Consult poll, June 7-10, 2018showed support from 64% of Independents and even 43% of Trump voters (politico.com)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 9/4/18

Supported by:70% of All Americans

including85% of Democrats

and even52% of Republicans!

©2012

Hoorayfor M4A!

Medicare-For-All IsMedicare-For-All Is

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Cagle Cartoon: © 2009 Copyright Dave Fitzsimmons. All rights reserved. Used here with permission.©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Created 2012

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Further Reading: “Can We Pay for Single Payer?” by Economist Dean Baker,Sept 14, 2017, reprinted at Center for Economic and Policy Research (cepr.net)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/12/18

Medicare-For-All:Political Challenges Medicare-For-All:

Political Challenges 1

2

3

4

5

The American Oligarchy:Legalized Bribery & Corruption

Disruption: Shifts 8% To 10% Of U.S. Economy From Private & State/Local To Federal Spending

Transition Losers: Insurance Company Workers/Brokers / Investors; Big Pharma

Fear Of Change / Status Quo Bias:“Stick-With-The-Devil-You-Know” Crowd

aMErica: Lack Of Empathy & Social Responsibility

©2012

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Source: “These Are 3 of the Most Dangerous Opponents of Universal Healthcare” (Concern Trolls) by Adam Johnson, Sept 22, 2017, Los Angeles Times, reprinted at Alternet (alternet.org)

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 2/11/18

1234

Incrementalists: Public Option, Medicaid-For-All

Nuance Trolls: “We Need More Details!”

Deficit Trolls: “How Are You Going To Pay For It?”

Feasibility Trolls: “What About The GOP?”

Time For A (Peaceful) REVOLUTION !Time For A (Peaceful) REVOLUTION !

Medicare-For-All:Beware Fake Friends

Medicare-For-All:Beware Fake Friends

LOVE IT!

IMPROVE IT!

MEDICARE

FOR ALL

Instead, Let’s Fight ForWhat We Really Want

Hoorayfor MFA!

• • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • •

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More on framing: The Little Blue Book: The Essential Guide to Thinking and Talking Democratic, Lakoff & Wehling, 2012©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/2/18

MEDICARE-FOR-ALL

Everyone’s life and freedom depends on having access to quality healthcare, regardless of a person’s ability to pay. The most efficient

and effective way to guarantee this right is to expand and enhance our existing

Medicare program to all Americans.

Healthcare is a human right.

Healthcare is a human right.

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Other Resources: Compare health care systems around the world: international.commonwealthfund.org T.R. Reid, The Healing of America: A Global Quest for Better, Cheaper, and Fairer Health Care, 2010

©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 4/19/18

Medicare-For-All: Action Plan!Medicare-For-All: Action Plan!Learn More: ResourcesHealthOverProfit.org and hcfat.org (HR 676 Calculator)Physicians for a National Health Program: pnhp.org Kaiser Family Foundation: kff.org (general health data)FixItHealthcare.comConnectTheDotsUSA.com

Show Up: Push Medicare-For-All Into The Debate

Litmus Test: Must Pledge To Co-Sponsor Medicare-For-All For Your Vote; Support JusticeDemocrats.com Candidates

1

2

3

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Former Rep. Alan Grayson quote from email of Jan 4, 2012©2012-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com • Updated 1/13/18

“For God’s sake — every single other industrialized country in the entire world has universal health care. Why can’t we?

How many more people have to die? How many more sacrifices on the altar of Almighty Greed?

Any health care system that denies necessary care on the basis of wealth is evil. It doesn’t matter how

you micromanage it, or tinker with it. It’s evil... End of story.”

— Former U.S. Representative Alan Grayson

PEOPLEOver ProfitsOver Profits

©2012

©2012

©2012

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ConnectTheDotsUSA.com

CIVICS AND POLICY BASICS F O R T H E B U S Y M A J O R I T Y ™

“Busy Majority” said by Jon Stewart, Sept 2010 ©2010-2018 Design by Witte Design, LLC • Tucson, Arizona • ConnectTheDotsUSA.com

Presentation updated 12/7/18

©2010

JOBSWAGESECONOMY

HEALTHCARE

©2012

BUDGETTAXES

©2011

VOTING

FRAMING

TheConnectThe Dots Lady™

Graphic Updated 2/26/18