Top Banner
13

PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Jul 21, 2020

Download

Documents

dariahiddleston
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Page 1: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global
Page 2: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

1

1 Portfolio Outlook Model ................................................................................................................. 2

1.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................ 2

1.2 Rightmove Data....................................................................................................................... 2

1.3 Oxford Economics Modelling .................................................................................................. 3

2 Model Overview and Methodology ................................................................................................ 3

2.1 AVM Overview ........................................................................................................................ 3

2.2 AVM Methodology .................................................................................................................. 3

2.3 Forecast Overview .................................................................................................................. 5

2.4 Forecast Methodology ............................................................................................................ 7

2.5 Results ..................................................................................................................................... 8

3 Applications ................................................................................................................................... 10

3.1 Portfolio Outlook Model Applications .................................................................................. 10

3.2 Example Applications ............................................................................................................ 10

4 Why Us? ........................................................................................................................................ 11

4.1 Rightmove Data..................................................................................................................... 11

4.2 Oxford Economics ................................................................................................................. 11

Page 3: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

2

Page 4: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

3

Page 5: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

4

Page 6: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

5

Page 7: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

6

Oxford Economics UK Macro model

Oxford Economics UK Regional model

Oxford Economics Global model

Page 8: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

7

Page 9: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

8

Page 10: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

9

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1 Qrt ahead

2 Qrt ahead

3 Qrt ahead

4 Qrt ahead

Forecast error less or equal to (%abs)

Proportion of post codes

Source : Oxford Economics

Page 11: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

10

Page 12: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

11

Page 13: PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK MODEL · Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014 6 Oxford Economics UK Macro model Oxford Economics UK Regional model Oxford Economics Global

Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014

12