MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE: Philippine Progress Report on the Millennium Development Goals Sub-Regional Workshop for LDCs in Achieving MDGs Incheon, Republic of Korea 14 – 16 September 2011 Cleofe S. Pastrana National Economic and Development Authority Republic of the Philippines
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MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE:
Philippine Progress Report on the Millennium Development Goals
Sub-Regional Workshop for LDCs in Achieving MDGs Incheon, Republic of Korea
14 – 16 September 2011
Cleofe S. PastranaNational Economic and Development Authority
Republic of the Philippines
214-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Outline of Presentation
§ Introduction
§ Progress to Date
§Ways Forward
314-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Introduction§ Located in South East Asia in the
Western Pacific Ocean
§ Composed of 7,107 islands with 3 major ones namely: Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao and divided into 17 regions
Official UN MDG Indicators vs. Philippine MDG Indicators
Official Millennium Development Goal
Number
Targets Indicators
Available in the Philippines
1Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger 3 9 7
2Achieve universal primary education 1 3 3
3Promote gender equality and empower women 1 3 3
4Reduce child mortality 1 3 3
5Improve maternal health 2 6 5
6Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases 3 10 3
7Ensure environmental sustainability 4 10 2
8Develop a global partnership for development 6 16 3
21 60 29
614-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger• It is likely that the target of halving extreme poverty by 2015 will be achieved.
• There is a medium probability of halving the incidence of poverty will be achieved.
• The prevalence of underweight children 0-5 years old is declining but at a slow pace.
714-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Progress to DateMDG Goals, Targets, and Indicators
Baseline Data
Target(2015)
Latest Data
Probability
GOAL 1: ERADICATE EXTREME POVERTY AND HUNGER
Target 1A: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than a dollar a day
Proportion of population below national poverty threshold**
33.1(1991)
16.6 26.5(2009)
Medium
Poverty gap ratio** 8.6(1991)
4.3 2.7(2009)
High
Target 1C: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger
Prevalence of underweight children under-five years old
34.5(1990)
17.3 26.2(2008)
Medium
Proportion of households with per capita intake below 100% dietary energy requirement
69.4(1993)
34.7 56.9(2003)
Medium
814-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education
The country is lagging behind in achieving universal primary education.
914-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Progress to Date
MDG Goals, Targets, and IndicatorsBaseline
DataTarget(2015)
Latest Data
Probability
GOAL 2: ACHIEVE UNIVERSAL PRIMARY EDUCATION
Target 2A: Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling
Net enrolment ratio in primary education 84.6(1990)
100 85.1(2008)
Low
Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who reach grade 6
69.7(1990)
100 75.4(2008)
Low
Primary completion rate 64.2(1990)
100 73.3(2008)
Low
1014-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women
Gender gap in education appears to be in favor of girls.
1114-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Progress to DateMDG Goals, Targets, and Indicators
Baseline Data
Target(2015)
Latest Data
Probability
GOAL 3: PROMOTE GENDER EQUALITY AND EMPOWER WOMEN
Target 3A: Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education, preferably by 2005, and in all levels of education no later than 2015
Ratio of girls to boys in primary education 1.0(1996)
1.0 0.9(2008)
High
Ratio of girls to boys in secondary education 1.1(1996)
1.0 1.1(2008)
High
Ratio of girls to boys in tertiary education 1.3(1993)
1.0 1.2(2008)
Medium
Share of women in wage employment in non-agricultural sector
40.1(1996)
50.0 41.9(2009)
High
Proportion of seats held by women in national parliament
11.3(1992)
50.0 17.6(2007)
Low
1214-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Goal 4: Reduce child mortality
Significant reduction in child mortality has been made.
1314-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Progress to Date
MDG Goals, Targets, and IndicatorsBaseline
DataTarget(2015)
Latest Data
Probability
GOAL 4: REDUCE CHILD MORTALITY
Target 4A: Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality rate
Infant mortality rate 57.0(1990)
19.0 24.9(2008)
High
Under-five mortality rate 80.0(1990)
26.7 33.5(2008)
High
1414-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Goal 5: Improve maternal healthSlow decline in maternal mortality ratio, thus, unlikely to meet the 2015 target.
The target of universal access to reproductive health by 2015 is unlikely to be achieved.
1514-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Progress to Date
MDG Goals, Targets, and IndicatorsBaseline
DataTarget(2015)
Latest Data
Probability
GOAL 5: IMPROVE MATERNAL HEALTH
Target 5A: Reduce by three-quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio
Maternal mortality ratio (based on 7-12 PMDF*** range)
121-207(1990)
30.3-51.8
95-163(2010)
Low
Proportion of births attended by skilled health professional
58.8(1990)
100 74(2008)
Medium
Target 5B: Achieve, by 2015, universal access to reproductive health
Contraceptive prevalence rate 40.0(1993)
100 50.7(2008)
Low
*** PMDF: Proportion of maternal deaths to total female deaths in the reproductive age groups
1614-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases• The growing number of HIV and AIDS cases suggests that the infection has not been halted.
• Incidence of deaths from malaria is significantly reduced
• Detection and cure rate for tuberculosis have increased
1714-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Progress to Date
MDG Goals, Targets, and IndicatorsBaseline
DataTarget(2015)
Latest Data
Probability
GOAL 6: COMBAT HIV/AIDS, MALARIA AND OTHER DISEASES
Target 6A: Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS
HIV prevalence among 15 years and over Less than 1%
Less than 1%
Less than 1%
Low
Proportion of population aged 15-24 with comprehensive correct knowledge of HIV/AIDS
20.70 Low
Target 6 B: Achieve, by 2010, universal access to treatment for HIV/AIDS for all those who need it
Proportion of population with advanced HIV infection with access to antiretroviral drugs
82%(750/909)
Medium
1814-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Progress to Date
MDG Goals, Targets, and IndicatorsBaseline
DataTarget(2015)
Latest Data
Probability
GOAL 6: COMBAT HIV/AIDS, MALARIA AND OTHER DISEASES
Target 6C: Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the incidence of malaria and other major diseases
Prevalence associated with malaria 118.7(1990)
0 13.3(2008)
High
Death associated with malaria 1.4(1990)
0 0.2(2005)
High
Prevalence associated with tuberculosis 246(1990)
0 273.1(2008)
Medium
Death associated with tuberculosis 39.1(1990)
0 31.2(2008)
Low
1914-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Goal 7:Ensure environmental sustainability
• There is medium probability that the target on access to safe drinking will be achieved.
• The target on access to sanitary toilet facilities has been surpassed.
2014-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
MDG Goals, Targets, and IndicatorsBaseline
DataTarget(2015)
Latest Data
Probability
GOAL 7: ENSURE ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
Target 7A: Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies & programmes to reverse the loss of environmental resources
Proportion of land area covered by forest 20.5(1990)
increasing 23.9(2003)
Target 7B: Reduce bio-diversity loss, achieving, by 2010 a significant reduction in the rate of loss
Number of species threatened with extinction 183(1992)
decreasing
221(2006)
Progress to Date
2114-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Progress to Date
MDG Goals, Targets, and IndicatorsBaseline
DataTarget(2015)
Latest Data
Probability
GOAL 7: ENSURE ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
Target 7C: Halve, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water and basic sanitation
Proportion of population with access to safe water 73.0(1990)
86.5 84.1(2008)
High
Proportion of households with sanitary toilet facility
67.6(1990)
83.8 89.0(2008)
High
Target 7D: By 2020, have achieved significant improvement in the lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers
Proportion of households with access to secure tenure
91(1990)
increasing 81.2(2000)
2214-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development
Mobile phone and internet subscription are on the increasing trend.
2314-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Progress to DateMDG Goals, Targets, and Indicators
Baseline Data
Target(2015)
Latest Data
Probability
GOAL 8: DEVELOP A GLOBAL PARTNERSHIP FOR DEVELOPMENT
Target 8D: Deal comprehensively with the debt problems of developing countries through national and international measures in order to make debt sustainable in the long term
Debt service as a percentage of exports of goods and services 27.2(1990)
decreasing
9.6(2008)
Target 8E: In cooperation with pharmaceutical companies, provide access to affordable essential drugs in developing countries
Proportion of population with access to affordable essential drugs on a sustainable basis
85 64.5(2008)
Target 8F: In cooperation with the private sector, make available the benefits of new technologies, especially information and communications
Telephone lines per 100 population 1.5(1990)
increasing 3.9(2009)
Cellular subscribers per 100 population 0.1(1991)
increasing 82(2009)
2414-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Probability in Meeting the MDGs
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Challenges in Achieving MDG Targets
2614-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Challenges in Achieving MDG Targets
2714-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Meeting the 2015 Challenge
• Improved governance and transparency
• Sustained economic growth
• Better provision of reproductive health care services
• Greater focus on underserved areas
• Adequate safety nets
WAYS FORWARD
• Improved targeting
2814-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Meeting the 2015 Challenge
• Improved governance and transparency
• Sustained economic growth
• Greater focus on underserved areas
• Adequate safety nets
WAYS FORWARD
• Improved targeting
• Better provision of reproductive health care services
2914-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Meeting the 2015 Challenge
• Improved governance and transparency
• Sustained economic growth
• Greater focus on underserved areas
• Adequate safety nets
WAYS FORWARD
• Improved targeting
• Better provision of reproductive health care services
3014-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Meeting the 2015 Challenge
• Improved governance and transparency
• Sustained economic growth
• Greater focus on underserved areas
• Adequate safety nets
WAYS FORWARD
• Improved targeting
• Better provision of reproductive health care services
3114-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Meeting the 2015 Challenge
• Improved governance and transparency
• Sustained economic growth
• Greater focus on underserved areas
• Adequate safety nets
WAYS FORWARD
• Improved targeting
• Better provision of reproductive health care services
3214-16 September 2011Republic of the Philippines
Meeting the 2015 Challenge
WAYS FORWARD
• Improved peace and security
• Equitable and efficient use of resources
• Greater advocacy and localization
• Strengthen public-private partnerships
(Thank you!)
Maraming Salamat!
MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE:
Philippine Progress Report on the Millennium Development Goals
Sub-Regional Workshop for LDCs in Achieving MDGs Incheon, Republic of Korea
14 – 16 September 2011
Cleofe S. PastranaNational Economic and Development Authority