- 1. ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
---------- ---------- ---------- ----------Gold newsGi vng giao
ngay gim nh vo sng th Nm, sau khi rt gn 1% trong phintrc, khi Hy Lp
ang tin gn hn n mt tha thun v n sau cc cuc thnglng ko di nhiu
ngy.Lc 00g36 GMT, vng giao ngay gim 0,1% xung 1.730,99 la/ounce, cn
vnggiao sau tng 0,1% ln 1.733,80 la.---------- ----------
----------Hng Nasdaq OMX Group s tung ra hp ng vng k hn mi, trong
cho phpthanh ton bng tin mt, ging vi m hnh hot ng giao dch vng giao
ngay quasn OTC.---------- ---------- ----------Phn tch k thut: Vng
giao ngay s tip tc gim xung 1.698 USD/oz, vn tip tcxu hng iu chnh
bt u t mc cao ca ngy 3 thng Hai l 1.762,90 USD, theonh phn tch Wang
Tao ca Reuters.V k thut, mc tiu trn s xut hin sau khi ngng h tr
1.718 USD b ph v.---------- ---------- ----------Lng nm gi vng, bc
ca cc qu ETF ln nhtLng nm gi bc ca qu iShares Silver Trust trong
ngy th T khng thay i ti310.713.159 oz, cn lng nm gi vng ca SPDR
Gold Trust cng khng thay iti 41.061.167,2 oz.---------- ----------
----------Burkina Faso ni nc ny d nh to ra mt qu pht trin x hi da
mt phn tdoanh thu t khai thc vngBurkina Faso l nc sn xut vng mi ni
chu Phi v ch yu giu ln t khaithc khong sn.---------- ----------
----------Hng Yukon Nevada Gold chm dt hp ng mua vng k hn tr gi 20
triuUSD vi Deutsche Bank v chuyn sang k hp ng mua vng k hn vi chi
nhnhDeutsche Bank AG London.---------- ---------- ----------Nhp khu
cc loi hng ha chnh ca Trung Quc, trong c du th, ng, qungst, c th
gim trong thng Ging do cc nh my ngh tt m lch, gy ra tm lthn trng i
vi hu ht cc loi hng ha cng nghip.---------- ----------
----------Nhng thng tin khc tc ng n gi vng:-Cc nh lnh o Hy Lp nht
tr gim lng ti thiu i 22% nh mt phn cacc bin php ci cch cn thit t c
mt gi cu tr mi.-Th trng ang theo di xem Ngn hng Trung ng chu u s lm
g trong cuchp ca h vo th Nm h tr Hy Lp. ECB c d on s gi nguyn li
suttrc khi h thc hin mt t cp vn ln trong thng ny.-Lm pht gi tiu dng
ti Trung Quc ng 4,5% trong thng Ging, cao hn mc4,1% ca thng trc v
cng cao hn nhiu d on ca th trng.-Xut khu ca c gim mnh nht trong vng
gn ba nm vo thng 12, v nhpkhu cng gim. y l du hiu cho thy nn kinh t
ln nht khu vc ng Euroang chu tc ng nng n t khng hong n.
2. ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
---------- ---------- ---------- -------------------- ----------
---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
----------Feb 8Economic newsThm ht ngn sch ca chnh quyn trung ng
Php gim xung 90,8 t Euro trongnm 2011 t 148,8 t Euro ca nm 2010,
theo b ngn sch. Con s thm ht thphn 4,5 t Euro so vi d bo ngn sch,
nn Php c th s vt qua mc tiu tngthm ht ngn sch ca c nc l l 5,7%
GDP.Tng thng Php Nicolas Sarkozy gn y ni rng thm ht ngn sch c th
gim xung tn 5,3% GDP trong nm 2011.---------- ----------
----------Ngn hng trung ng Php d bo kinh t nc ny s tng trng 0%
trong qumt nm nay do chu tc ng ca vic tng trng gim c khi Euro.Ngn
hng ny ni hot ng ca ngnh cng nghip trong thng Ging khng thayi so vi
thng trc , cn hot ng ca ngnh dch v gim nh.---------- ----------
----------D tr ngoi hi ca ngn hng trung ng Thy S gim xung 227 t
Franc trongthng Ging, theo s liu s b ca ngn hng ny.Trong thng 12, d
tr ngoi hi ca ngn hng trung ng Thy S ng mc 254t Franc. ----------
---------- ----------Sn lng cng nghip thng 12 ca Slovakia tng 0,9%
so vi cng k, cao hn don, sau khi tng 0,4% trong thng 11.Trong c nm
2011, sn lng cng nghip ca Slovakia, nc thnh vin ca khieuro, tng
6,9%, thp hn mc tng 18,9% trong nm 2010.Thng d thng mi thng 12 ca
nc ny t 82,1 triu Euro, so vi con s 303,5triu Euro ca thng 11.Thng
d thng mi c nm 2011 ca Slovakia tng hn ba ln so vi nm 2010 ln2,519
t Euro.---------- ---------- ----------T l tht nghip ca Thy S tng
ln 3,4% trong thng Ging t mc 3,3% ca thngtrc , theo c quan thng k
nc ny.Cn ti Sc, t l tht nghip tng ln 9,1% trong Thng Ging, t mc
8,6% cathng 12 nm 2011.---------- ---------- ----------Thng d ti
khon vng lai ca an Mch gim xung 9,1 t Crown t mc 10,7 tCrowns ghi
nhn c trong thng 11, theo c quan thng k nc ny.Trong khi , thng d
thng mi gim t 6,3 t Crown xung 6 t Crown.---------- ----------
----------Sn lng cng nghip ca Ty Ban Nha trong thng 12 gim 3,7% so
vi cng knm trc, t hn d bo l viamf 6,7% v cng hn mc gim 7% ca thng
11. 3. ---------- ---------- ----------S liu t Vn phng Thng k Lin
bang c cho thy xut khu Thng 12 ca ncny ghi nhn mc gim mnh nht trong
vng gn ba nm, du hiu cho thy nn kinht ln nht chu u ang suy yu do
khng hong n ca khi Euro.Xut khu gim 4,3%, mc gim ln nht k t thi nh
im ca cuc khng hongti chnh vo thng Ging nm 2009.Thng d thng mi gim
14,9 t Euro ca thng trc xung 13,9 t Euro trongthng 12, trong khi
nhp khu gim 3,9%.---------- ---------- ----------Trung Quc d kin
tng lng ti thiu 13%/nm t nay n nm 2015. y l mttrong nhng mc tiu
trong k hoch ngn sch nm nm ca Trung Quc nhm thcy nn kinh t ln th
hai th gii. ---------- ---------- ----------Ch s tm l ngnh dch v
Nht Bn gim xung 44,1 im trong thng Ging dotm l cc h gia nh v doanh
nghip gim.Ch s v trin vng, th hin mc tin tng vo tnh hnh tng lai,
tng ln utin trong vng by thng. Ch s ny tng t 44,4 im ln 47,1
im.Chnh ph Nht Bn gi nguyn nh gi rng nn kinh t ang ci thin dn dn
chod ng Yn ln gi tip tc km kp nn kinh t.---------- ----------
----------Theo tin t mt t bo, cc ngn hng ca Trung Quc cho vay mi
800 t Nhndn t trong thng Ging, trong c n 320 t Nhn dn t l ca bn ngn
hngln nht nc ny.Cc ngn hng ti Trung Quc tng cho vay trong thng cui
cng ca nm 2011do lng cung tin tng, cng c quan im rng ngn hng trung
ng nc ny cth ni lng chnh sch tin t i cht chng nh hng ca tc tng
trngton cu gim.Cc ngn hng ti Trung Quc cho vay mi 640,5 t Nhn dn t
trong thng 12,nhiu hn so vi mc 562,2 t Nhn dn t ca thng 11.-----
---------- ----------Theo mt cuc iu tra, vic lm lu di ti Anh tng ln
u tin trong vng bnthng vo thng Ging, mt du hiu na cho thy nn kinh t
ny c th ang cithin.Ch s vic lm lu di ca Recruitment and Employment
Confederation (REC) tngt 48,5 im ln 51,2 im.---------- ----------
----------Thm ht ngn sch ca M trong thng Ging c th gim gn mt na so
vimt nm trc do thu thu tng v chi tiu gim.Theo Vn phng Ngn sch Ngh
vin, B Ti chnh c th s cng b mc thm ht mc 27 t la, a tng thm ht bn
thng u nm ti kha 2012 ln 349 t la, gim khong 70 t la so vi cng k nm
ti kha 2011.Tun trc, Vn phng Ngn sch d bo M s ghi nhn mc thm ht trn
1 nghnt la trong nm th t lin tip, vi mc 1,08 nghn t la. Thm ht ngn
schca M trong nm 2011 ng mc 1,3 nghn t la.---------- ----------
---------- 4. ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------Fx
news---------- ---------- ----------Euro tng ln mc cao nht trong 7
tun l trn 102,21 Yn. ng tin chung tnghn 5% k t mc thp nht trong 11
nm ghi nhn c vo thng Ging.Mc khng c ca Euro hin l 102,87 Yn, ngng
trung bnh ng 90 ngy. ---------- ---------- ----------Theo mt chuyn
gia ca Societe Generale, c du hiu ECB s sn sng chp nhnbt ton gim n
cho Hy Lp khi p lc tng ln buc ECB phi nhy vo ph v thb tc trong tha
thun v n ca nc ny.Nhng d on kiu nh th ny khin th trng lc quan i cht
rng Hy Lp t ckh nng b v n hn.---------- ---------- ----------Nhn dn
t tng 90 im ln 6,2959 Nhn dn t/ la M hm th T sau khi ngnhng trung
ng Trung Quc n nh t gi tham chiu mc cao nht k t uThng Ging l 6,3027
Nhn dn t/ la M.Hnh ng trn ca ngn hng trung ng Trung Quc mt phn l do
phn ng vivic ng la M gim gi vo m trc.Nhiu ngi d on Nhn dn t s tip
tc tng gi trc chuyn thm ca Ph chtch nc Trung Quc n M vo ngy 14 thng
Hai.Nhn dn t tng 8,4% k t khi b neo vo ng la M hi thng Su
nm2010.---------- ---------- ----------ng Rupee ca n tng hm th T nh
th trng chng khon nc ny i lnv nh ng Euro tng do hy vng v vic Hy Lp
c th trnh c v n. Tuynhin, ng Rupee li khi mc cao do cc nh nhp khu
mua vo la M.---------- ---------- ---------- la Australia v la
Australia cng c mc tng mnh so vi la M v Ynnh li th v li sut ti hai
nc ny v nh hy vng Hy Lp nht nh s t ctha thun v n. la Australia giao
dch ti 1,0791 la M, sau khi ln cao nht trong su thng l1,0823 la M
vo phin trc nh vic ngn hng trung ng Australia gy btng khi gi nguyn
li sut 4,25%, tri ngc vi d on l gim li sut i 25im c bn.Ngng h tr ca
la Australia ng 1,0765 la M, cn ngng khng c 1,0867 la M. Vi mt th
trng theo hng i ln, la Australia ang hngn mc tiu 1,1081 la M, tc mc
cao nht trong 30 nm vn t c vonm 2011. la New Zealand cng tng ln
0,8356 la M, gn nh ca 5 thng l 0,8380 la M. la New Zealand tng hn
7% k t u nm nay, tr thnh mt trong nhngng tin tng nhiu nht trn th
gii, nhng ang trong vng bn qu.---------- ---------- ----------Hy Lp
thc y cc ng tin chu 5. Hu ht cc ng tin ca nhng nc chu mi ni u tng
hm th T do dngtin t bn ngoi vo v nhu cu ca cc qu nc ngoi do hy vng
Hy Lp s tc tha thun v n, lm tng hng th vi cc ti sn ri ro. Tuy nhin
th trngvn thn trng vi kh nng can thip ca cc nc.Ngn hng trung ng i
Loan ang mua vo la M hn ch sc tng cang ni t, cn ngn hng trung ng
Malaysia cng c th s lm tng t. iuny din ra khi nhiu ng tin ti chu
ang tin gn ngng khng c quanttrng. la i Loan, ng Won Hn Quc, ng
Ringgit ca Malaysia u tng.---------- ---------- ----------Trung Quc
rt tin t cc cng c n bng ng Yn trong thng 12Theo B Ti chnh Nht Bn,
nh u t t Trung Quc trong thng 12 rt mtlng ln tin t cc cng c n ngn
hn bng ng Yn. Lng vn rt ra vokhong 898,6 t Yn, nhiu nht k t thng
T.---------- ---------- ----------Cc nh xut khu ang ch bn EUR/JPY
khong 102,50, theo mt giao dch vinca mt ngn hng ln Nht
Bn.---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
---------- ---------- ---------- ----------Gold newsPTKT: Vng giao
ngay s gim xung 1.729,51 USD/oz, tip tc xu hng iu chnhbt u t mc cao
ca ngy 3 thng Hai l 1.762,90 USD, theo nh phn tch WangTao ca
Reuters.---------- ---------- ----------Lng nm gi vng, bc ca cc qu
ETF lnLng nm gi bc ca qu iShares Silver Trust tng 0,16% hm th Ba
ln310.713.159 oz, cn lng nm gi vng ca SPDR Gold Trust khng thay i
ti41.061.167,2 oz.---------- ---------- ----------CEO ca PIMCO, qu
u t tri phiu khng l, khuyn co rng do kinh t ton cubp bnh v nhng ri
ro v a chnh tr, nh u t nn cn nhc gim t l c phiuv tng t l vng v du m
trong danh mc ca mnh.Nhn nh v s liu kinh t tt ca M gn y, ng cho rng
cn qu sm tuynb chin thng v vn cn nhng ri ro do Iran v vn ti chu u c
th gy ra.---------- ---------- ----------Mt nghin cu do Credit
Suisse phi hp thc hin ch ra vng khng phi l cngc phng chng lm pht v
gi vng qu bin ng.Tuy vng l ti sn duy nht khng b gim gi tr thc v lm
pht, nhng bn thn nli khng c li sut hoc ch mang li ngun thu nhp rt
thp trong di hn, thm chthp hn nhiu so vi c phiu, trong khi c phiu
li mang li li sut cao hn, v do chng lm pht tt hn trong di
hn.---------- ---------- ----------ECB ni d tr vng ca ngn hng trung
ng ny khng thay i trong tun trc,ng ti 423,446 t Euro.D tr ngoi hi
rng ca h thng ngn hng trung ng ti khi Euro tng 4 t Euroln 277,4 t
Euro. 6. ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
---------- ---------- ---------- ----------MTn dng tiu dng ca M tng
19,3 t la trong thng 12, do ngi M s dngth tn dng nhiu hn v vay tin
nhiu hn mua t v i hc.Cc chuyn gia kinh t coi vic tn dng tng trn l
mt du hiu cho thy cc hgia nh bt lng hn v vic i vay khi th trng lao
ng t t hi phc sau t suythoi nm 2007-2009.T l tht nghip ca M gim mnh
trong nhng thng gn y nhng vn caohn nhiu so vi cc ngng trc suy thoi.
T l tht nghip gim xung 8,3%trong thng Ging t con s 9,1% ca thng
Tm.---------- ---------- ----------Nht BnThng d ti khon vng lai nm
2011 ca Nht Bn gim 43,9% so vi nm 2010 dob thm ht thng mi v nhp khu
nhin liu tng mnh. Theo thng d tikhon vng lai t 9,6289 nghn t Yn
(125 t la) trong nm 2011.Trong thng 12, thng d ti khon vng lai gim
74,7% so vi cng k nm trc, thn so vi mc gim 85,5% ca thng
11.---------- ---------- ----------JPYng Yn gim sau khi B trng ti
chnh Nht Bn nhc li nc ny sn sng canthip trn p nhng bin ng v tin t
mang tnh u c.Yn giao dch ti 76,78 Yn/ la M, sau khi gim xung mc thp
nht k t ngyth Su tun trc l 76,970 Yn/ la M.---------- ----------
----------USD la M gim gi so vi gi tin t ch cht, xung mc thp nht
trong hai thng,sau khi ch tch Fed ni vn gi kh nng ni lng nh lng hn
na bt chp boco vic lm kh quan hi cui tun trc.---------- ----------
----------AUD la Australia duy tr c phn ln mc tng t c sau khi ngn
hng trungng nc ny gi nguyn li sut hm th Ba. la Australia tip tc tng
ln mc cao nht trong su thng l 1,0823 la M.---------- ----------
----------Eurong Euro ng gn nh ca hai thng so vi la M trn th trng
chu hm th T do hy vng v Hy Lp v do hng th vi ti sn ri ro ci
thin.Euro giao dch ti 1,3248 la M, sau khi tng hn 1% hm th Ba ln
1,3270 la M, mc cao nht k t gia thng 12.---------- ----------
----------VngGi vng t thay i ti chu hm th T, sau khi tng mnh nht
trong vng gn 2tun vo phin trc, do nh u t vn thn trng khi Hy Lp li
mt ln na hon raquyt nh v vic c nhn gi cu tr mi.Vng giao ngay tng nh
29 cent ln 1.745,19 la/ounce lc 00.41 GMT, sau khitng 1,5% trong
phin trc. 7. Theo Mohamed El-Erian, CEO ca hng PIMCO, nh u t nn gim
chng khontrong khi tng mt s hng ha nh vng v du trong danh mc do tnh
trng kinh tton cu kh lng v ri ro a chnh tr ngy cng leo
thang.---------- ---------- ----------Du thGi du th hm th T tng do
s liu ca Vin Du kh M (API) cho thy lngdu lu kho ti M bt ng gim
mnh.Gi du th giao thng Ba tng 31 xent ln 98,72 la M/thng lc 00.09
GMT, saukhi ng ca ngy th Ba tng 1,5 la ln 98,41 la.Theo API, lng du
lu kho ti M gim 4,5 triu thng trong tun tnh n ngy 3thng Hai, ngc vi
d bo l tng 2,4 triu thng. Sn phm du chng ct lu khotng 386.000 thng,
ngc vi d bo l gim 700.000 thng. Xng lu kho tng 4,4triu thng, trong
khi d bo l tng 700.000 thng.Cc yu t khc nh hng n gi du:-Mt nh my ch
bin du ct Canada ti Alberta d kin s ng ca trong hai nba tun, theo
thc y gi du th ca M.-Ngh vin Iran ni h sn sng p t lnh cp xut khu du
m sang EU trc khimt lnh cm do EU cng b d kin c hiu lc vo ngy 1 thng
By.-Cc v xung t Nigeria ang gy ra lo ngi v kh nng ngun cung du m
ginon sau v tn cng hm Ch Nht vo mt ng ng thuc hng Eni ca Italia vv
nh bom hm th Ba vo mt doanh tri qun i nc ny.-C quan Thng tin Nng
lng M (EIA) nng d bo v tng trng nhu cu dum ton cu ln u tin k t thng
10, ni rng nhu cu du m nm 2012 s tng50.000 thng/ngy so vi c tnh ca
thng trc ln 1,32 triu thng/ngy. C quanny cng nng d bo tng trng nhu
cu ca nm 2013 thm 20.000 thng/ngy ln1,49 triu thng/ngy.-Nhu cu v
xng ca M trong tun trc gim hn 5% so vi cng k nm trc,tun gim th ba
lin tip v gim 2,8% so vi tun trc , theo MasterCard.----------
---------- ----------Chng khon Nht BnCh s Nikkei hm th Ba ln nh mi
ca 3 thng nh c phiu Toyota tng mnh vtrin vng li nhun ca hng tt hn d
kin.Ch s ch cht Nikkei tng 0,7% ln 8.981,03 imCh s Topix tng 0,6%
ln 777,48 im.---------- ---------- ----------Chng khon MChng khon M
tng hm th Ba do nhiu c phiu u tu nh Microsoft, CocaCola v Apple
tng, nhng th trng tng khng nhiu do vn khng chc chn vkt qu ca cc cuc
thng lng v mt gi cu tr cho Hy Lp. Cc ch s ch cht u tng nh: Dow
0,3%, S&P 0,2%, Nasdaq 0,1%---------- ---------- ----------Chng
khon chu uCh s chng khon chnh ca chu u FTSEurofirst 300 ng ca ch
gim nh 0,2%xung 1.072,79 im, sau khi rt xung tn 1.065,07 im. Th
trng c h tr 8. nh hy vng Hy Lp sp t c tha thun vi EU v IMF trnh mt
v v nkhng kim sot.Trc , th trng gim mnh hn do kt qu kinh doanh km
hn d bo cacc doanh nghip nh UBS hay Alfa Laval.----------
---------- ----------Tnh hnh Hy LpTheo mt quan chc chnh ph Hy Lp,
nc ny ang chun b mt dach schcc bin php ci cch h khc cn thit ginh c
gi cu tr ti chnh mitr gi 130 t Euro, mt gi cu tr ng vai tr quan
trng i vi nc nytrong vic trnh mt v v n khng kim sot. Hm th Ba, cc
ng chnh trli mt ln na hon a ra quyt nh v vic c chp nhn cc bin php
cicch hay khng.---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- --------------------
---------- ----------Feb 6Chu -Ngn hng Thi Lan (BoT) ngy 3/2 d on
kinh t Thi Lan s tng trnggn 4,9% nm nay, nh chi tiu tiu dng tng v u
t trong nc phc hisau trn l ti t xy ra vo cui nm 2011.-Theo BoT, u t
ca khu vc nh nc v t nhn s tng ln lt 20% v11,5%, so vi mc tng tng ng
8,3% v 7,4% trong nm ngoi. Tuy vy, gitr xut khu hng ha ca Thi Lan c
th ch tng 7,8-8%, so vi mc tngtrn 16% ca nm 2011, do kinh t th gii
chng li v nng lc sn xut cangnh ch to b l lt tc ng.>>>Xa ch
-Trung Quc s gii hn cc khon th chp mua ti sn ca ngi nc ngoi ngn chn
u t nc ngoi trong th trng bt ng sn.-Trong tuyn b va c a ra, y ban
Ci cch v Pht trin quc gia TrungQuc cho bit c quan k hoch ca nc ny s
khng ph duyt cc ch tiun nc ngoi trung v di hn cho cc ngn hng nc
ngoi trong nm2012 nu cc khon vay ny c s dng ti tr cho cc khon th
chp cangi nc ngoi.-Trc , Th tng n Gia Bo nhc li mc tiu kim ch s tng
trngnng ca th trng bt ng sn nhm a gi ca cc loi hnh nh t vmc hp
l-Kho st ca H thng ch s bt ng sn Trung Quc cho bit gi nh trungbnh
thng 1/2012 gim 0,18% so vi thng trc . So vi thng cui canm 2011, gi
bt ng sn ti 60 thnh ph gim trong thng 1 va quatrong khi ch c 39
thnh ph ghi nhn mc gi tng. Theo , gi nh trungbnh trong thng 1 gim
0,18% so vi thng trc, cn 8.793 nhn dn t(1.390 USD)/m2 9.
>>>Tc ng n commodity curencies-Th tng Trung Quc n Gia Bo
cho bit chnh ph nc ny ang xem xtti tr cho Qu n nh ti chnh chu u
thng qua IMF. Trung Quc l ncs hu kho d tr ngoi hi ln nht th gii vi
gi tr trn 3.200 t USD vc xem l cu cnh ca khu vc ng tin chung chu u
trong cuc chinchng li cuc khng hong n cng>>>Tc ng n
EuroChu u-Cc thanh tra cng n quc t tin rng h pht hin ra mt khon n
khcln ti 15 t Euro (tng ng 12.5 t bng Anh) trong ti chnh cng ca
HyLp. Vi khon n ny, Hy Lp, quc gia ang hng chu nhng nh hngnng n t
cuc khng hong kinh t chu u, s phi i mt vi mt tai hakhng khip
khc.-Ngoi ra, trong nm nay, cc quc gia Hy Lp, B o Nha, Italia,
Ireland vTy Ban Nha s phi tr 700 t Euro v tr tip 400 t Euro trong
nm tip theo.-B trng Ti chnh cc nc xp hng tn dng AAA khu vc ng euro
khng tho lun vic ng gp thm v chng trnh cu tr th hai cho HyLp. iu ny
cho thy s min cng phi tng thm gnh nng thu vingi dn cc nc
ny.-Deutsche Bank, ngn hng ln nht ca c, ngy 2/2 cho hay h khngthc
hin c cc mc tiu li nhun trong nm 2011, do tc ng ca khnghong n khu
vc ng euro (Eurozone). Mc d vy, nhn chung nm 2011vn l nm kinh doanh
tt i vi Deutsche Bank.-Deutsche Bank l 351 triu euro sau thu trong
qu 4/2011. Doanh thu tronglnh vc u t ca Deutsche Bank trong cng thi
gian ny gim 26%, ngay ckhi doanh thu trong lnh vc ngn hng truyn
thng tng 22%, ch yu nhvic mua thm ngn hng Postbank hi nm 2010.Xt
chung c nm 2011, li nhun rng ca Deutsche Bank tng 87% so vinm 2010,
ln 4,3 t euro v doanh thu tng 16% ln 33,2 t euro.-Ngy 2/2, Deutsche
Bank thng bo s ct gim 15% lng ca nhn vin tihai n v ca ngn hng ny.
Cng ngy, hng tin Bloomberg dn ngun tingiu tn t ngn hng Barclays
Capital (Anh) cho hay "nh khng l" ny s ctgim 25-30% lng ca 24.000
nhn vin, ng thi s sa thi khong 5% ing gim c, qun l hng u.-Hng AFP a
tin, cc lin on lao ng i din cho cng nhn trong ngnhhng khng Php, bao
gm cc phi cng, tip vin v nhn vin bc d hnhl, b phiu hm 3/2 nht tr
tin hnh mt cuc nh cng trong giai ont ngy 6-9/2 c th khin nhiu chuyn
bay gin on.-Theo bo co chnh thc t c quan Thng k chu u (Eurostat),
doanh thubn l thng 12/2011 ca 17 quc gia khu vc ng tin chung chu
u(Eurozone) gim 0,4% so vi thng trc . Trong , c dn u danh sch 10.
cc quc gia c mc gim mnh nht vi 1,4%. Php, nn kinh t ln th 2 khuvc
cng gim 0,3% cn Ty Ban Nha gim 0,8%. So vi cng k nm trc,doanh s bn
hng ca Eurozone trong thng cui nm 2011 cn gim ti 1,6%.-Nguyn nhn ch
yu ca tnh trng ny l do cc h gia nh chu u c xuhng ct gim chi tiu
nhiu hn khi chnh ph cc nc ng lot y mnhcc bin php tht lng buc bng
nhm gii quyt vn khng hong ncng khu vc. T l tht nghip tng ln mc cao
nht t trc ti nay caEurozone (10,4%) cng khin nim tin tiu dng b nh
hng nng n.>>>Tc ng n EuroChu M+Theo bo co thng 1 v th trng
lao ng ca chnh ph M, cc cng ty tiM tuyn dng thm s lng nhn vin nhiu
nht trong vng 9 thng qua.T l ngi tht nghip ca quc gia ny gim xung
mc thp nht tronggn 3 nm.+Thng trc, M tng thm 243.000 lao ng, t l
tht nghip gim xungcn 8,3%. y l bng chng cho thy kinh t M ang phc hi
mnh m.Trong 5 thng va qua, trung bnh mi thng nc ny b sung thm
183.000lao ng.+Cc ch s chng khon tng lai tng mnh ngay sau bo co
trn. Li suttri phiu chnh ph M tng mnh.+ng Obama ngy 3/2 t ra rt vui
mng v nhng s liu kh quan hn dkin, vi 243.000 vic lm mi v mc tht
nghip gim t 8,5% trong thng12/2011 xung 8,3% trong thng 1/2012.
Theo ng, nhng con s ny s cnln xung trong nhng thng ti, hy cn qu
nhiu ngi M cn cng n viclm hoc cn mt cng vic c mc lng cao hn cng vic
ang c. Nhngkinh t ang mnh hn. hi phc ang tng tc.+Bo co v vic lm
trong thng 1 va qua vic t l tht nghip gim bt ngso vi mc 8,5% ca
thng 12 nm ngoi cng c th lm gia tng trin vngc ti c ca Tng thng
Barack Obama, mt ng vin Dn ch tm cch tic c vo mt nhim k th hai
trong cuc bu c vo thng 11 ti+Tuy nhin, trong bi pht biu trc Quc hi
M gn y nht, Ch tch CcD tr Lin bang (FED) Ben Bernanke nhn mnh s ci
thin trong th trngvic lm v sn xut nhng cnh bo trin vng chung ca nn
kinh t vn cn"khng chc chn".+Cc yu t th hin trin vng phc hi "khng
chc chn" ca M c th kn vic nim tin tiu dng gim trong thng 1, GDP tng
di mc k vng, thtrng bt ng sn m m, ln sng biu tnh s phn ha giu ngho
lanrng, n cng tng cao, thm ht ngn sch nghim trng,...+Tr li trc phin
iu trn ca Quc hi M, Ch tch Ben Bernanke lpli quan im bo v chnh sch
duy tr li sut mc gn 0% m FED ang pdng hin nay. 11. +Theo ng
Bernanke, cuc khng hong n ti chu u hin nay vn ang eda ti tin trnh
phc hi ca kinh t M v FED s lm mi iu c th ngn chn cc tc ng xu t chu
u i vi h thng ti chnh v nn kinh tM. ng ni: "L do c bn duy tr chnh
sch li sut thp ko di l lmpht thp, tng trng kinh t d kin chm li v
thc t l ng USD vn lthin ng tr n an ton.">>>Tc ng n
USD>> Nn a nhiu tin hn, v m hn>> Nn a tin ngn
gn>> Nn tp trung theo cc ng tin>> Thng tin nn tp trung
hn (vo fx, gold, oil)Feb 3chu Chnh quyn Hng Kng va tuyn b chi 80 t
la Hng Kng, tng ng10,3 t USD, thc y tng trng kinh t sau khi a ra d
bo mc tngtrng thp nht k t nm 2009.Theo nhn inh cua chuyn gia kinh t
Donna Kwok thuc HSBC ti HngKng, chng trnh kch thch tng trng bng ti
kha ca Hng Kng s htr cho hot ng chi tiu ca ngi dn trc nh hng ca s
suy gim tngtrng ton cu do khng hong n chu u.Cc nh hoch nh chnh
schchu s chu sc p gia tng phi ni lng chnh sch ti kha hoc tin t h tr
tng trng.Ngy 31/1, B Nhn lc Singapore cho bit t l tht nghip nm 2011
canc ny gim xung mc thp nht trong 14 nm qua ch yu do vic lmtng mnh.
Theo Gim c khu vc ca Randstad ti Singapore v MalaysiaKarin Clarke,
Singapore thnh cng trong vic thu ht lc lng lao ng,khuyn khch lng
cng nhn ln tui lm vic tng t 59% n 61,2% vonm 2011.Mi y, trn mt s
ngun tin ca c v M ni bt ln vn lao ng trem chu . c bit trong mt bn
bo co ca chnh ph Hoa K cp tivic tr em thng xuyn b bt sn xut ra nhng
hng ha r mt - nh vti cc nc pht trin. iu nay co th la iu cn quan tm
cac chinh phu cacnc chu A.Ngn hng trung ng Hn Quc cho bit, d tr
ngoi hi ca nc ny tngln u tin trong 3 thng vo thng 1 do s gia tng gi
tr chuyn i ca ccti sn khng phi ng USD v tng trng trong li nhun u t.
D trngoi hi ca Hn Quc t 311,34 t USD tnh n cui thng 1, tng thm4,94
t USD so vi thng trc . D tr ngoi hi tng ln u tin k tthng 10 nm ngoi
ln gn mc cao k lc 312,19 t USD t c vo thiim thng 8/2011. 12. Tnh n
cui thng 12, d tr ngoi hi ca Hn Quc ln th 7 trn th giing sau Trung
Quc, Nht Bn, Nga, i Loan, Brazil, Thy S.chu uNgy 1/2, y ban chu u
quyt nh ngn chn s sp nhp ca sn chngkhon c Deutsche Boerse v sn NYSE
Euronext (Php). Tha thun tr gihn 10 t USD ny l n lc sp nhp ln th t
ca 2 sn chng khon nytrong 1 nm tr li y nhm thnh lp mt sn chng khon
ln nht th gii.Tuy nhin y vin Hi ng cnh tranh Lin minh chu u Joaquin
Almuniacho bit nu hp nht hai sn chng khon ny c th kim sot hn 90%
thtrng ti chnh chu u v s khin cc sn chng khon mi, nh hn khc th cnh
tranh c.Lm pht gi tiu dng ti khu vc ng tin chung euro (eurozone) vn
mc2,7% trong thng th hai lin tip trong thng 1, lm tng k vng Ngn
hngTrung ng chu u (ECB) s h li sut h tr nn kinh t.Lm pht vn trn mc
mc tiu ca ECB, nhng st 2%, c ECB coi lmc an ton vi gi n nh v nn
kinh t khe mnh.Hi ngh Cp cao EU kt thc ti Brussels (B) hm 30-1 vi
li cam ktkch thch tng trng v to vic lm. Ngoi ra, cc nh lnh o EU ng
a vo hot ng C ch Bnh n chu u (ESM) tr gi 500 t euro t thng7-2012,
sm hn mt nm so vi k hoch, nhm h tr cc nc ang ngpchm trong n cng.D
vy, theo hng tin AP, EU khng a ra bt k gi kchthch ti chnh mi no.Hi
Lap ang ng trc la chon y kho khn. Hy Lp s phi thuyt phc bba nh ti
tr l Lin minh chu u, Ngn hng Trung ng chu u v QuTin t Quc t rng nc
ny c th ct gim chi tiu v ci cch v lao ng gim thm ht ngn sch. Nu
khng lm c iu ny, c tha thun honi n v gi cu tr th hai c th ng trc ri
ro.Trong vic gim n cho Hy Lp, c mt thc t l d cc nh u t chp nhngim
50% gi tr danh ngha ca s tri phiu ca nc ny m h ang nmgi th cng vn
khng a mc n xung 120% GDP nh mc tiu racho nm 2020. iu ny cho thy s
cn thit ca s tham gia ca cc ch ntrong lnh vc cng nh Ngn hng Trung
ng chu u v cc ngn hngtrung ng khu vc ng euro trong vic ti c cu n ca
Hy Lp.Ngy 1/2, cc b trng v nh ngoi giao ph trch v khoa hc v gio
dctrong Lin minh chu u nhm hp ti Copenhagen (an Mch) tm bin phpci
thin quan h gia cng ng nghin cu v ngnh cng nghip, nh mt nlc thc y
tng trng kinh t trong khu vc.Chu MChng khoan My tng im nh lac quan
v kinh t toan cu. Cc d liu kinht tt hn d kin gn y gip nh u t bt lo
lng v mt kch bn xunht cho nn kinh t ton cu. Lc quan ca gii u t gip
nhm c phiu 13. cng nghip, ti chnh v c phiu nguyn vt liu c bn tng t
1,1 - 1,7%.Khi lng giao dch mc cao hn so vi cc phin gn y vi khong
7,8 tc phiu c chuyn nhng trn c 3 sn NYSE, Amex v Nasdaq, cao hnso
vi mc trung bnh 20 ngy giao dch 6,97 t.ng vin tranh c Tng thng M nm
2012 ca ng Cng ha ang ginhc li th v ti chnh so vi Tng thng Obama.
Nhiu c nhn giu c bmtin cho cc ng vin ng Cng ha tranh c. i vi cuc bu
c nm 2012,tim lc ti chnh ca Tng thng Obama vn kh tt. Tng s tin huy
ngc ca ng n cui nm 2011 ng c 125 triu USD, cao hn nhiu sovi con s
56 triu USD ca ng Romney.Tuy nhin s pht trin ca nhmSuperPacs v nhiu
bn vn ng tranh c khcs c th thch thc Tng thngObama rt nhiu trong tng
ngun ti chnh cho cc k hoch vn ng tranh cni chung.Vn phng Ngn sch ca
Quc hi M (CBO) va d bo nc ny ang tinti nm th t lin tip thm ht ngn
sch trn 1.000 t USD. Cc chuyn giangn sch cho rng, con s d bo ca CBO
ging ln nhng hi chung bong v vn n ca M v e da ti trin vng tng trng
kinh t ca ncny. Ngoi ra, sc p i vi tnh hnh ngn sch ca M cn c th ln
hnnu chng trnh ci ci t h thng chm sc sc khe do Tng thng Obama xut
nm 2010 pht huy hiu lc.Ngay 1/12, d lut tng thu mi mang tn lut
Buffet a c mt nhomnghi sy dn chu My trinh ln thng vin. im mu cht
trong d lut mbo rng nhng ngi c thu nhp mc t 1 triu USD/nm tr ln phi
chumc thu sut thu thu nhp ti thiu l 30%. Nhng ngi c mc thu nhpnm di
1 triu USD khng nm trong phm vi iu chnh ca d lut. Trong phin giao
dch hm qua ngy 2/2, qu tn thc u t vng ln nht thgii SPDR mua vo 6.05
tn vng sau khi ng ngoi th trng 3 phinlin tip. Hin tng lng nm gia
vng ca qu tng ln mc 1,277.14 tn.>>Nn a nhiu tin hn, v m
hn>>Thng tin nn tp trung hn (vo fx, gold, oil)----------
---------- ----------TOP Econ> Greek parties face Monday EU
bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> Stocks rise, U.S. jobs gain
outweighs Greece fears[nL4E8D32AT]> ET, the new alien scaring
global markets [nL5E8D2482]> Weekahead-Europes shadow darkens
outlook [nL2E8D3GK6]> Obama: risky to attack Iran, wants
diplomatic fix [nL5E8D50L3]> Saudi oil price cut reflects
market, not Iran [nL4E8D624X]> Indonesia Q4 growth holds firm at
6.5 pct [nL4E8D335L]> Japan economy hurt by yen rise, deflation:
BOJ [nL4E8D61ML] 14. > Crude edges down on stronger dlr, but
drop limited[nL4E8D50SE]> As US jobs surge, Wall St still sees
Fed QE-poll [nL2E8D3FDC]TOP Cenbank> Greek parties face Monday
EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> US jobs surge, Wall Street
still sees Fed QE-poll [nL2E8D3FDC]> ET, the new alien scaring
global markets [nL5E8D2482]> Japan economy hurt by yen rise,
deflation - BOJ [nL4E8D61ML]> Australia retail sales subdued,
rate cut looms [nL4E8D50SW]> Philippines reserve cut to boost
liquidity-c.bank[nL4E8D50C4]> RBI slightly relaxes FX curbs for
banks[nL4E8D61VG]> Colombia cenbank restarts dollar buying
program [nL2E8D3H42]> Spanish economy to shrink 1.5% in 2012 -de
Guindos[nL5E8D5061]> Jordan raises rates to boost local currency
[nL5E8D507A]TOP Euro> Greek parties face Monday EU bailout
deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> European shares to drift lower, focus on
Greece [nL5E8D609J]> France,German leaders meet amid euro, Syria
crises[nL5E8D50GH]> Euro zone insists no Greek rescue without
reforms [nL5E8D50AI]> Pro-EU Niinisto wins Finnish presidency
[nL5E8D50J3]> China set to play it safe on helping
Europe[nL4E8D50O2]> Eurogroup Juncker warns of possible Greek
default [nL5E8D40J2]> Euro zone Christmas sales tumble, no
growth signs [nL5E8D31YB]> "Vultures" identify Portuguese debt
as next target[nL5E8D2576]TOP Front page> Greek parties face
Monday EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> Stocks rise, U.S. jobs
gain outweighs Greece fears[nL4E8D32AT]> China defends Syria
veto, doubts Wests intentions[nL4E8D60VK]> Indonesian economic
growth holds firm at 6.5 pct [nL4E8D335L]> Economy Weekahead:
Europe shadow darkens outlook [nL2E8D3GK6]> Glencore offers 8
pct premium to Xstrata - FT [nL4E8D600W]> Local firms vie for
Yums slice of China market [nL4E8D1547]> Australia retail sales
subdued, rate cut looms [nL4E8D50SW]> Scandal blow puts Indian
government in danger [nL4E8D50K2]> Taiwan smartphone maker HTC
faces uphill struggle [nL4E8D61MH]> Olympus ex-CEO Woodford sees
more revelations [nL4E8D50KU]> Obama: risky to attack Iran,
wants diplomatic fix [nL5E8D50L3]> Chinas Wen: farmers rights
flouted by land grabs[nL4E8D50BN] 15. > Gingrich vows to take
fight to timid Romney [nL2E8D51W5]> Myanmar ambitious Dawei
project faces uncertainty [nL4E8D336E]TOP Energy> Obama says
Iran attack risky, wants diplomatic fix[nL5E8D50L3]> Iran to hit
any country used to attack its soil [nL5E8D50FI]> Brent slips to
$114 on stronger dlr, Greece risk [nL4E8D61VD]> Nigerian
militants attack Eni oil pipeline[nL5E8D5064]> Blast hits Egypts
gas pipeline to Israel[nL5E8D40NQ]> Iraqs Basra oil exports back
to normal -sources [nL5E8D50C5]> Saudi cuts March Arab light
crude price to Asia [nL5E8D50CU]---------- ----------
----------Fxla c v N.Z. suy gim do b tc ti Hy Lp45:03
03/02/2012Euro tng gi so vi la nh ch s sn xut tng vt d onNgy ng:
07:10 02/02/2012Euro gim xung mc yu nht trong gn 1 tun so vi laNgy
ng: 07:34 01/02/2012ng Nhn dn t gim thm nht 18 nmNgy ng: 02:54
31/01/2012Gi USD ngn hng tip tc tng nh 16. Ngy ng: 08:41
31/01/2012Yn tng khi lo ngi v nn kinh t thc y nhu cu ti sn an
tonNgy ng: 07:16 31/01/2012Eximbank Chin lc giao dch tin t ngy
30/01/2012Ngy ng: 03:11 30/01/2012Tin tc Euro gim gi trc thm hi ngh
thng nh EUNgy ng: 10:34 30/01/2012la gim so vi hu ht cc ng tin
chnhNgy ng: 07:17 30/01/2012USD c tun gim so vi euro trc d bo kinh
t M qu IV tng trngNgy ng: 11:46 27/01/2012Euro c tun tng so vi USD
u tin trong 7 tunNgy ng: 09:11 21/01/2012la, yn thit lp gim tun so
vi euroNgy ng: 08:22 20/01/2012Gi tiu dng gim y la New Zealand rt
khi mc cao 11 tunNgy ng: 07:33 19/01/2012>>> Nn a nhiu hn
theo di bin ng (if possible)---------- ---------- ---------- 17.
GoldVng c d bo s rt xung mc 1675 USD/oz28:09 06/02/2012SPDR Gold
Trust l 699 triu USD phin cui tunNgy ng: 07:35 04/02/2012Gi vng rt
mnh nht trong hn 1 thng, du th tng vtNgy ng: 07:30 04/02/2012Tiu th
vng ca Trung Quc vt n trong nm 2011Ngy ng: 03:25 03/02/2012Gi vng
vng bc tin, mc tiu c k vng xa hnNgy ng: 08:46 03/02/2012Gi vng ln
cao nht trong 2 thng, du th rt mnhNgy ng: 07:26 03/02/2012Morning
report: Vng tip tc tng ln mc cao nht trong 2 thng, chi bo ca vic lm
NFP caNgy ng: 07:16 03/02/2012Qu SPDR mua 6.05 tn vngNgy ng: 07:14
03/02/2012Gi vng quay u gim 150 nghn ng/lngNgy ng: 03:07
02/02/2012Gi vng ln ngng cao hn, du th xung di 98 USD/thngNgy ng:
06:53 02/02/2012Th trng vng si ng ngy thn tiNgy ng: 03:58
01/02/2012u nm, gi vng dy sng th uyNgy ng: 07:39
01/02/2012>>> C th a nhiu tin hn>>> C th a thm
thng k, phn tch 18. ---------- ---------- ----------OilIran tuyn b
s ct gim du th xut khu sang chu u13:08 06/02/2012Gi du gim ngy th 2
do ng USD mnh lnNgy ng: 08:56 31/01/2012Du gim gi v nhu cu xng ca M
thp nht 10 nmNgy ng: 08:28 20/01/2012Du tip tc tngNgy ng: 05:00
18/01/2012Gi du tng 2% phc hi mc 100 USD/thngNgy ng: 07:34
18/01/2012Gi du gim sau tin EU hon cm nhp khu du t IranNgy ng:
08:38 14/01/2012Du tip tc mt gi trc lnh hon trng pht IranNgy ng:
04:43 13/01/2012Gi du mt mc 100 USD/thng sau tin EU hon cm vn
IranNgy ng: 07:30 13/01/2012Du xung 100.87 USD/thng do d tr bt ng
tngNgy ng: 08:42 12/01/2012Gi du tng ln u tin trong 4 ngy do lo ngi
mi v IranNgy ng: 08:20 11/01/2012Gi du gim xung thp nht k t u nm
nayNgy ng: 08:21 10/01/2012Gi du th xung 101,3 USD/thng, thp nht t
u nmNgy ng: 08:08 10/01/2012Arp Xt sn sng b p ngun cung du thiu ht
t IranNgy ng: 04:43 06/01/2012>>> Khng nn cch ngy (Nu mc
tiu l thu ht khch hng VN thamgia)>>> a thm iu tra ca
Reuters 19. ---------- ---------- ----------US newsGiao dch trm
lng, chng khon M bin ng nh28:07 03/02/2012Ch tch FED Ben Bernanke
ni g trong phin iu trn trc HVin?Ngy ng: 07:23 03/02/2012Chng khon M
tng trong ngy th hai lin tipNgy ng: 07:19 03/02/2012Sn xut ti M tng
trng nhanh nht trong 7 thngNgy ng: 07:12 03/02/2012Ph Wall tng tc
trong phin giao dch u tin ca thng 2Ngy ng: 07:23 02/02/2012Dow
Jones v S&P 500 c thng 1 tt nht th k 21Ngy ng: 09:03
01/02/2012Chi ph lao ng ca M ch tng 0,4% trong qu 4Ngy ng: 07:33
01/02/2012Chng khon M kt thc thng tng mnh nht 4 thng 20. Ngy ng:
07:32 01/02/2012Kinh t M c nhng du hiu c tt ln xuNgy ng: 07:55
27/01/2012Chng khon M gim do tht vng v th trng bt ng snNgy ng:
07:47 27/01/2012Khi lng giao dch trn TTCK M thp nht t khng hong ti
chnh2008Ngy ng: 08:39 25/01/2012S&P 500 tng lin 5 phin, Dow
Jones v Nasdaq sy chnNgy ng: 08:40 24/01/2012Chng khon M o chiu gim
im cui phinNgy ng: 09:15 21/01/2012>>> Chng khon nn u
n---------- ---------- ----------Feb 6Chu -Ngn hng Thi Lan (BoT)
ngy 3/2 d on kinh t Thi Lan s tng trnggn 4,9% nm nay, nh chi tiu
tiu dng tng v u t trong nc phc hisau trn l ti t xy ra vo cui nm
2011.-Theo BoT, u t ca khu vc nh nc v t nhn s tng ln lt 20% v11,5%,
so vi mc tng tng ng 8,3% v 7,4% trong nm ngoi. Tuy vy, gitr xut khu
hng ha ca Thi Lan c th ch tng 7,8-8%, so vi mc tngtrn 16% ca nm
2011, do kinh t th gii chng li v nng lc sn xut cangnh ch to b l lt
tc ng.-Trung Quc s gii hn cc khon th chp mua ti sn ca ngi nc ngoi
ngn chn u t nc ngoi trong th trng bt ng sn.-Trong tuyn b va c a ra,
y ban Ci cch v Pht trin quc gia TrungQuc cho bit c quan k hoch ca
nc ny s khng ph duyt cc ch tiun nc ngoi trung v di hn cho cc ngn
hng nc ngoi trong nm2012 nu cc khon vay ny c s dng ti tr cho cc
khon th chp cangi nc ngoi.-Trc , Th tng n Gia Bo nhc li mc tiu kim
ch s tng trngnng ca th trng bt ng sn nhm a gi ca cc loi hnh nh t
vmc hp l-Kho st ca H thng ch s bt ng sn Trung Quc cho bit gi nh
trungbnh thng 1/2012 gim 0,18% so vi thng trc . So vi thng cui canm
2011, gi bt ng sn ti 60 thnh ph gim trong thng 1 va quatrong khi ch
c 39 thnh ph ghi nhn mc gi tng. Theo , gi nh trungbnh trong thng 1
gim 0,18% so vi thng trc, cn 8.793 nhn dn t(1.390 USD)/m2-Th tng
Trung Quc n Gia Bo cho bit chnh ph nc ny ang xem xtti tr cho Qu n
nh ti chnh chu u thng qua IMF. Trung Quc l nc 21. s hu kho d tr
ngoi hi ln nht th gii vi gi tr trn 3.200 t USD vc xem l cu cnh ca
khu vc ng tin chung chu u trong cuc chinchng li cuc khng hong n
cngChu u-Cc thanh tra cng n quc t tin rng h pht hin ra mt khon n
khcln ti 15 t Euro (tng ng 12.5 t bng Anh) trong ti chnh cng ca
HyLp. Vi khon n ny, Hy Lp, quc gia ang hng chu nhng nh hngnng n t
cuc khng hong kinh t chu u, s phi i mt vi mt tai hakhng khip
khc.-Ngoi ra, trong nm nay, cc quc gia Hy Lp, B o Nha, Italia,
Ireland vTy Ban Nha s phi tr 700 t Euro v tr tip 400 t Euro trong
nm tip theo.-B trng Ti chnh cc nc xp hng tn dng AAA khu vc ng euro
khng tho lun vic ng gp thm v chng trnh cu tr th hai cho HyLp. iu ny
cho thy s min cng phi tng thm gnh nng thu vingi dn cc nc
ny.-Deutsche Bank, ngn hng ln nht ca c, ngy 2/2 cho hay h khngthc
hin c cc mc tiu li nhun trong nm 2011, do tc ng ca khnghong n khu
vc ng euro (Eurozone). Mc d vy, nhn chung nm 2011vn l nm kinh doanh
tt i vi Deutsche Bank.-Deutsche Bank l 351 triu euro sau thu trong
qu 4/2011. Doanh thu tronglnh vc u t ca Deutsche Bank trong cng thi
gian ny gim 26%, ngay ckhi doanh thu trong lnh vc ngn hng truyn
thng tng 22%, ch yu nhvic mua thm ngn hng Postbank hi nm 2010.Xt
chung c nm 2011, li nhun rng ca Deutsche Bank tng 87% so vinm 2010,
ln 4,3 t euro v doanh thu tng 16% ln 33,2 t euro.-Ngy 2/2, Deutsche
Bank thng bo s ct gim 15% lng ca nhn vin tihai n v ca ngn hng ny.
Cng ngy, hng tin Bloomberg dn ngun tingiu tn t ngn hng Barclays
Capital (Anh) cho hay "nh khng l" ny s ctgim 25-30% lng ca 24.000
nhn vin, ng thi s sa thi khong 5% ing gim c, qun l hng u.-Hng AFP a
tin, cc lin on lao ng i din cho cng nhn trong ngnhhng khng Php, bao
gm cc phi cng, tip vin v nhn vin bc d hnhl, b phiu hm 3/2 nht tr
tin hnh mt cuc nh cng trong giai ont ngy 6-9/2 c th khin nhiu chuyn
bay gin on.-Theo bo co chnh thc t c quan Thng k chu u (Eurostat),
doanh thubn l thng 12/2011 ca 17 quc gia khu vc ng tin chung chu
u(Eurozone) gim 0,4% so vi thng trc . Trong , c dn u danh schcc quc
gia c mc gim mnh nht vi 1,4%. Php, nn kinh t ln th 2 khuvc cng gim
0,3% cn Ty Ban Nha gim 0,8%. So vi cng k nm trc,doanh s bn hng ca
Eurozone trong thng cui nm 2011 cn gim ti 1,6%.-Nguyn nhn ch yu ca
tnh trng ny l do cc h gia nh chu u c xuhng ct gim chi tiu nhiu hn
khi chnh ph cc nc ng lot y mnh 22. cc bin php tht lng buc bng nhm
gii quyt vn khng hong ncng khu vc. T l tht nghip tng ln mc cao nht
t trc ti nay caEurozone (10,4%) cng khin nim tin tiu dng b nh hng
nng n.Chu M+Theo bo co thng 1 v th trng lao ng ca chnh ph M, cc cng
ty tiM tuyn dng thm s lng nhn vin nhiu nht trong vng 9 thng qua.T l
ngi tht nghip ca quc gia ny gim xung mc thp nht tronggn 3 nm.+Thng
trc, M tng thm 243.000 lao ng, t l tht nghip gim xungcn 8,3%. y l
bng chng cho thy kinh t M ang phc hi mnh m.Trong 5 thng va qua,
trung bnh mi thng nc ny b sung thm 183.000lao ng.+Cc ch s chng khon
tng lai tng mnh ngay sau bo co trn. Li suttri phiu chnh ph M tng
mnh.+ng Obama ngy 3/2 t ra rt vui mng v nhng s liu kh quan hn dkin,
vi 243.000 vic lm mi v mc tht nghip gim t 8,5% trong thng12/2011
xung 8,3% trong thng 1/2012. Theo ng, nhng con s ny s cnln xung
trong nhng thng ti, hy cn qu nhiu ngi M cn cng n viclm hoc cn mt
cng vic c mc lng cao hn cng vic ang c. Nhngkinh t ang mnh hn. hi
phc ang tng tc.+Bo co v vic lm trong thng 1 va qua vic t l tht
nghip gim bt ngso vi mc 8,5% ca thng 12 nm ngoi cng c th lm gia tng
trin vngc ti c ca Tng thng Barack Obama, mt ng vin Dn ch tm cch tic
c vo mt nhim k th hai trong cuc bu c vo thng 11 ti+Tuy nhin, trong
bi pht biu trc Quc hi M gn y nht, Ch tch CcD tr Lin bang (FED) Ben
Bernanke nhn mnh s ci thin trong th trngvic lm v sn xut nhng cnh bo
trin vng chung ca nn kinh t vn cn"khng chc chn".+Cc yu t th hin
trin vng phc hi "khng chc chn" ca M c th kn vic nim tin tiu dng gim
trong thng 1, GDP tng di mc k vng, thtrng bt ng sn m m, ln sng biu
tnh s phn ha giu ngho lanrng, n cng tng cao, thm ht ngn sch nghim
trng,...+Tr li trc phin iu trn ca Quc hi M, Ch tch Ben Bernanke
lpli quan im bo v chnh sch duy tr li sut mc gn 0% m FED ang pdng
hin nay.+Theo ng Bernanke, cuc khng hong n ti chu u hin nay vn ang
eda ti tin trnh phc hi ca kinh t M v FED s lm mi iu c th ngn chn cc
tc ng xu t chu u i vi h thng ti chnh v nn kinh tM. ng ni: "L do c
bn duy tr chnh sch li sut thp ko di l lmpht thp, tng trng kinh t d
kin chm li v thc t l ng USD vn lthin ng tr n an ton." 23.
>>> 1. Thng tin cha nhiu>>> 2. Nn a tin theo cch
thng minh hn>>> 3. Tp trung theo cc ng tin----------
---------- ----------Feb 3chu Chnh quyn Hng Kng va tuyn b chi 80 t
la Hng Kng, tng ng 10,3t USD, thc y tng trng kinh t sau khi a ra d
bo mc tng trngthp nht k t nm 2009.Theo nhn inh cua chuyn gia kinh t
Donna Kwok thuc HSBC ti Hng Kng,chng trnh kch thch tng trng bng ti
kha ca Hng Kng s h tr chohot ng chi tiu ca ngi dn trc nh hng ca s
suy gim tng trngton cu do khng hong n chu u.Cc nh hoch nh chnh sch
chu schu sc p gia tng phi ni lng chnh sch ti kha hoc tin t h tr
tngtrng.Ngy 31/1, B Nhn lc Singapore cho bit t l tht nghip nm 2011
ca ncny gim xung mc thp nht trong 14 nm qua ch yu do vic lm tngmnh.
Theo Gim c khu vc ca Randstad ti Singapore v Malaysia KarinClarke,
Singapore thnh cng trong vic thu ht lc lng lao ng, khuynkhch lng
cng nhn ln tui lm vic tng t 59% n 61,2% vo nm 2011.Mi y, trn mt s
ngun tin ca c v M ni bt ln vn lao ng tr em chu . c bit trong mt bn
bo co ca chnh ph Hoa K cp ti vic trem thng xuyn b bt sn xut ra nhng
hng ha r mt - nh vt i ccnc pht trin. iu nay co th la iu cn quan tm
cac chinh phu cac nc chuA.Ngn hng trung ng Hn Quc cho bit, d tr
ngoi hi ca nc ny tng lnu tin trong 3 thng vo thng 1 do s gia tng gi
tr chuyn i ca cc ti snkhng phi ng USD v tng trng trong li nhun u t.
D tr ngoi hi caHn Quc t 311,34 t USD tnh n cui thng 1, tng thm 4,94
t USD so vithng trc . D tr ngoi hi tng ln u tin k t thng 10 nm ngoi
ln gnmc cao k lc 312,19 t USD t c vo thi im thng 8/2011.Tnh n cui
thng 12, d tr ngoi hi ca Hn Quc ln th 7 trn th gii ngsau Trung Quc,
Nht Bn, Nga, i Loan, Brazil, Thy S.chu uNgy 1/2, y ban chu u quyt
nh ngn chn s sp nhp ca sn chng khonc Deutsche Boerse v sn NYSE
Euronext (Php). Tha thun tr gi hn 10 tUSD ny l n lc sp nhp ln th t
ca 2 sn chng khon ny trong 1 nm trli y nhm thnh lp mt sn chng khon
ln nht th gii. Tuy nhin y vinHi ng cnh tranh Lin minh chu u Joaquin
Almunia cho bit nu hp nht haisn chng khon ny c th kim sot hn 90% th
trng ti chnh chu u vs khin cc sn chng khon mi, nh hn kh c th cnh
tranh c.Lm pht gi tiu dng ti khu vc ng tin chung euro (eurozone) vn
mc2,7% trong thng th hai lin tip trong thng 1, lm tng k vng Ngn hng
Trungng chu u (ECB) s h li sut h tr nn kinh t.Lm pht vn trn mc mc
tiu ca ECB, nhng st 2%, c ECB coi l mcan ton vi gi n nh v nn kinh t
khe mnh. 24. Hi ngh Cp cao EU kt thc ti Brussels (B) hm 30-1 vi li
cam kt kchthch tng trng v to vic lm. Ngoi ra, cc nh lnh o EU ng a
vohot ng C ch Bnh n chu u (ESM) tr gi 500 t euro t thng 7-2012,
smhn mt nm so vi k hoch, nhm h tr cc nc ang ngp chm trong ncng.D
vy, theo hng tin AP, EU khng a ra bt k gi kch thch ti chnh mino.Hi
Lap ang ng trc la chon y kho khn. Hy Lp s phi thuyt phc b banh ti
tr l Lin minh chu u, Ngn hng Trung ng chu u v Qu Tin tQuc t rng nc
ny c th ct gim chi tiu v ci cch v lao ng gimthm ht ngn sch. Nu khng
lm c iu ny, c tha thun hon i n vgi cu tr th hai c th ng trc ri
ro.Trong vic gim n cho Hy Lp, c mt thc t l d cc nh u t chp nhngim
50% gi tr danh ngha ca s tri phiu ca nc ny m h ang nm gi thcng vn
khng a mc n xung 120% GDP nh mc tiu ra cho nm2020. iu ny cho thy s
cn thit ca s tham gia ca cc ch n trong lnh vccng nh Ngn hng Trung
ng chu u v cc ngn hng trung ng khu vcng euro trong vic ti c cu n ca
Hy Lp.Ngy 1/2, cc b trng v nh ngoi giao ph trch v khoa hc v gio dc
trongLin minh chu u nhm hp ti Copenhagen (an Mch) tm bin php ci
thinquan h gia cng ng nghin cu v ngnh cng nghip, nh mt n lc thcy
tng trng kinh t trong khu vc.Chu MChng khoan My tng im nh lac quan
v kinh t toan cu. Cc d liu kinh t tthn d kin gn y gip nh u t bt lo
lng v mt kch bn xu nht chonn kinh t ton cu. Lc quan ca gii u t gip
nhm c phiu cng nghip, tichnh v c phiu nguyn vt liu c bn tng t 1,1 -
1,7%. Khi lng giao dch mc cao hn so vi cc phin gn y vi khong 7,8 t
c phiu c chuynnhng trn c 3 sn NYSE, Amex v Nasdaq, cao hn so vi mc
trung bnh 20ngy giao dch 6,97 t.ng vin tranh c Tng thng M nm 2012
ca ng Cng ha ang ginh cli th v ti chnh so vi Tng thng Obama. Nhiu c
nhn giu c bm tin chocc ng vin ng Cng ha tranh c. i vi cuc bu c nm
2012, tim lc tichnh ca Tng thng Obama vn kh tt. Tng s tin huy ng c
ca ng ncui nm 2011 ng c 125 triu USD, cao hn nhiu so vi con s 56
triu USDca ng Romney.Tuy nhin s pht trin ca nhm SuperPacs v nhiu bn
vnng tranh c khcs c th thch thc Tng thng Obama rt nhiu trong
tngngun ti chnh cho cc k hoch vn ng tranh c ni chung.Vn phng Ngn
sch ca Quc hi M (CBO) va d bo nc ny ang tin tinm th t lin tip thm
ht ngn sch trn 1.000 t USD. Cc chuyn gia ngnsch cho rng, con s d bo
ca CBO ging ln nhng hi chung bo ng vvn n ca M v e da ti trin vng
tng trng kinh t ca nc ny. Ngoira, sc p i vi tnh hnh ngn sch ca M cn
c th ln hn nu chng trnhci ci t h thng chm sc sc khe do Tng thng
Obama xut nm 2010pht huy hiu lc.Ngay 1/12, d lut tng thu mi mang tn
lut Buffet a c mt nhom nghi sydn chu My trinh ln thng vin. im mu
cht trong d lut m bo rngnhng ngi c thu nhp mc t 1 triu USD/nm tr ln
phi chu mc thu sutthu thu nhp ti thiu l 30%. Nhng ngi c mc thu nhp
nm di 1 triuUSD khng nm trong phm vi iu chnh ca d lut. 25. Trong
phin giao dch hm qua ngy 2/2, qu tn thc u t vng ln nht th giiSPDR
mua vo 6.05 tn vng sau khi ng ngoi th trng 3 phin lin tip.Hin tng
lng nm gia vng ca qu tng ln mc 1,277.14 tn.>>Nn a nhiu tin
hn, v m hn>>Thng tin nn tp trung hn (vo fx, gold,
oil)---------- ---------- ----------TOP Econ> Greek parties face
Monday EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> Stocks rise, U.S. jobs
gain outweighs Greece fears[nL4E8D32AT]> ET, the new alien
scaring global markets [nL5E8D2482]> Weekahead-Europes shadow
darkens outlook [nL2E8D3GK6]> Obama: risky to attack Iran, wants
diplomatic fix [nL5E8D50L3]> Saudi oil price cut reflects
market, not Iran [nL4E8D624X]> Indonesia Q4 growth holds firm at
6.5 pct [nL4E8D335L]> Japan economy hurt by yen rise, deflation:
BOJ [nL4E8D61ML]> Crude edges down on stronger dlr, but drop
limited[nL4E8D50SE]> As US jobs surge, Wall St still sees Fed
QE-poll [nL2E8D3FDC]TOP Cenbank> Greek parties face Monday EU
bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> US jobs surge, Wall Street still
sees Fed QE-poll [nL2E8D3FDC]> ET, the new alien scaring global
markets [nL5E8D2482]> Japan economy hurt by yen rise, deflation
- BOJ [nL4E8D61ML]> Australia retail sales subdued, rate cut
looms [nL4E8D50SW]> Philippines reserve cut to boost
liquidity-c.bank[nL4E8D50C4]> RBI slightly relaxes FX curbs for
banks[nL4E8D61VG]> Colombia cenbank restarts dollar buying
program [nL2E8D3H42]> Spanish economy to shrink 1.5% in 2012 -de
Guindos[nL5E8D5061]> Jordan raises rates to boost local currency
[nL5E8D507A]TOP Euro> Greek parties face Monday EU bailout
deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> European shares to drift lower, focus on
Greece [nL5E8D609J]> France,German leaders meet amid euro, Syria
crises[nL5E8D50GH]> Euro zone insists no Greek rescue without
reforms [nL5E8D50AI]> Pro-EU Niinisto wins Finnish
presidency[nL5E8D50J3]> China set to play it safe on helping
Europe [nL4E8D50O2]> Eurogroup Juncker warns of possible Greek
default [nL5E8D40J2]> Euro zone Christmas sales tumble, no
growth signs [nL5E8D31YB] 26. > "Vultures" identify Portuguese
debt as next target[nL5E8D2576]TOP Front page> Greek parties
face Monday EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> Stocks rise, U.S.
jobs gain outweighs Greece fears[nL4E8D32AT]> China defends
Syria veto, doubts Wests intentions[nL4E8D60VK]> Indonesian
economic growth holds firm at 6.5 pct [nL4E8D335L]> Economy
Weekahead: Europe shadow darkens outlook [nL2E8D3GK6]> Glencore
offers 8 pct premium to Xstrata - FT [nL4E8D600W]> Local firms
vie for Yums slice of China market [nL4E8D1547]> Australia
retail sales subdued, rate cut looms [nL4E8D50SW]> Scandal blow
puts Indian government in danger [nL4E8D50K2]> Taiwan smartphone
maker HTC faces uphill struggle [nL4E8D61MH]> Olympus ex-CEO
Woodford sees more revelations [nL4E8D50KU]> Obama: risky to
attack Iran, wants diplomatic fix [nL5E8D50L3]> Chinas Wen:
farmers rights flouted by land grabs[nL4E8D50BN]> Gingrich vows
to take fight to timid Romney [nL2E8D51W5]> Myanmar ambitious
Dawei project faces uncertainty [nL4E8D336E]TOP Energy> Obama
says Iran attack risky, wants diplomatic fix[nL5E8D50L3]> Iran
to hit any country used to attack its soil [nL5E8D50FI]> Brent
slips to $114 on stronger dlr, Greece risk [nL4E8D61VD]>
Nigerian militants attack Eni oil pipeline[nL5E8D5064]> Blast
hits Egypts gas pipeline to Israel[nL5E8D40NQ]> Iraqs Basra oil
exports back to normal -sources [nL5E8D50C5]> Saudi cuts March
Arab light crude price to Asia [nL5E8D50CU] 27. ----------
---------- ----------16:38 05Feb12 -Iran raid likely to drag in US,
hurt global economy * Israel, West differ over likely extent of
retaliation* Raid would strain Israel-West alliance* Anti-Western
sentiment would growBy William MacleanMUNICH, Feb 5 (Reuters) - An
Israeli raid on Irans nuclear facilities woulddeliver a painful
shock to the global economy, revive flagging Islamistmilitancy and
possibly drag the United States into a regional war whether
itbacked its allys attack or not.As if that prospect was not
alarming enough, any doubts Tehran entertainedabout the wisdom of
building a nuclear weapon would vanish the moment thestrike
occurred.These longstanding U.S. and European assumptions about the
consequencesof an Israeli attack on Iran are being re-examined with
greater urgency inWestern capitals after repeated warnings by
Israel that the chance of a peacefulresolution may be closing.There
is concern that Israel may attack in coming months to disrupt
thetransfer of parts of Irans nuclear development work to an
underground sitesouth of Tehran that may be invulnerable to
conventional bombing.Western experts want Israel to think long and
hard before embarking on a raidmany suspect would spark a broader
conflict."Whoever attacks Irans nuclear infrastructure is really
making the decision togo to war with Iran," Richard Burt, a former
chief U.S. negotiator at strategic 28. arms reduction talks, told
Reuters on the sidelines of the Munich SecurityConference."We are
talking about a range of great uncertainties, all of them
basicallynegative, so this is one reason why consistently the joint
chiefs of staff of theuniformed military in the U.S. do not like
the idea of attacking Iran."Analysts detect a growing gap between
Israeli and Western views on usingforce against Tehrans nuclear
programme, which Tehran says is purely forpeaceful purposes but the
West suspects is aimed at acquiring a nuclearweapons capability.The
New York Times recently reported that Israeli leaders, based
onintelligence estimates and academic studies, had taken the view
that an Israeliattack on Iranian nuclear installations would not
produce such catastrophicevents as regional war, widespread attacks
by militants and massive oil pricerises.The newspaper said that
Israeli leaders and agencies believe that Irans threatsto retaliate
against Israeli and Western targets if attacked were "overblown"
andpartly bluff.Asked to spell out the consequences of a strike,
Israeli Deputy ForeignMinister Danny Ayalon said that he not want
to explore a hypothetical question,arguing any risks "would be
dwarfed in comparison to the danger of a nuclearIran"."One thing is
clear," he told Reuters. "If Iran becomes nuclear then its the
endof world order as we know it ... This is what we have to think
about, and notabout what will happen in case some action is being
taken.U.S. newspaper The Washington Post reported last week that
DefenseSecretary Leon Panetta believed Israel was likely to bomb
Iran within months tostop it building a nuclear bomb.Panetta
declined to comment. But his alleged remarks and other
Obamaadministration statements indicate the White House is focused
on dissuadingIsrael from taking action - and distancing itself from
an Israeli strike ifpersuasion fails.The consequences of an Israeli
attack would be wide-ranging anddestabilising.IRAN EXPELS NUCLEAR
INSPECTORS, QUITS TREATY Iran would expel International Atomic
Energy Agency inspectors and quit theNuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty, ending any possibility of a negotiatedsolution to the
nuclear issue."There is not a country on Earth that is going to
blame them for doing that,they are all going to blame Israel. Once
Iran is out of the NPT, the sanctions aregone," Ken Pollack,
director of the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at theBrookings
Institution, told Reuters. 29. Leaving the NPT would disrupt the
sanctions regime since its measures arepredicated upon enforcing
treaty compliance. IRAN DECIDES TO GO FOR THE BOMB Experts say a
raid would only delay, not destroy Irans programme. And onceit had
recovered, Iran would probably seek to develop nuclear weapons.
JonAlterman, director of the Middle East program at Washingtons
Center forInternational and Strategic Studies, told Reuters Iran
would redouble "efforts todevelop a deterrent so it never happens
again." OIL PRICES SOAR, JOLT FINANCIAL MARKETSA strike on Iran and
Irans response, including attempts to close the Strait ofHormuz,
which is vital for oil shipments, or an attack on Saudi oilfields,
wouldlead to a sharp rise in oil prices that could seriously harm
the U.S. economy,jeopardizing President Barack Obamas chances for
re-election.Saudi Arabia would be forced to use all its spare
output capacity, a crucialsafety cushion for oil markets.But the
most serious fears debated at oil trading desks include the
possibilityof Iran mining the straits, attacking ships as it did
during the Iran-Iraq war, orchallenging the legality of the passage
of some vessels through its territorialwaters. [L6E8C54HX]In the
event of a big stoppage the consuming nations International
EnergyAgency would very likely release emergency government stocks
to tame prices,as it did in June last year when Libyan output was
lost.Israels Ayalon argues that a nuclear-armed Iran would pose a
greater threat tothe oil market as it could dictate prices. "It
will be the end of the free flow of oilfrom the Gulf."IRAN HITS
BACK IN THE GULF, LEVANT, POSSIBLY ASIATehran has warned several
times it may seal off the Strait of Hormuz, chokingthe supply of
Gulf crude and gas, if attacked or if sanctions mean it
cannotexport its oil.But many experts say Irans leaders will be
looking for ways to harass enemiesand cause disruption while
falling short of triggering massive U.S.-ledretaliation.
[L5E8CO4S0]Possible Iranian actions could include harrying tanker
traffic in the Gulf withfast attack boats, seizing uninhabited Gulf
islands claimed by other states orgrabbing hostages from passing
civilian or military ships, stoking trouble inSunni Muslim-ruled
Arab states with restive Shiite Muslim communities andorchestrating
attacks on U.S. forces in Afghanistan or elsewhere using
militant"proxies" such as Hezbollah. 30. If the Iranian government
interprets the strike as a fully-fledged attempt atregime change,
it might adopt a more muscular response could include
ballistic-missile salvos on civilian and military targets in the
Gulf.US GETS SUCKED IN, MAY ITSELF BECOME TARGETObama also would
likely come under intense domestic pressure to backIsraels actions
and come to Israels defence if Iran succeeds in landing
missileattacks on Israels territory.In a 2009 study for the Council
on Foreign Relations, Middle East analystSteve Simon, who is now
Senior Director for the Middle East and North Africaat the U.S.
National Security Council, says that the United States
wouldprobably become embroiled militarily in any Iranian
retaliation against Israel orother countries in the region.Experts
say Israel alone does not have the firepower to kill off Irans
nuclearprogramme and any U.S. help in that effort would therefore
be very welcome.A study by former senior British intelligence
official said the "The US would beassumed complicit, and would
become embroiled in defending Israel against acounter-attack. This
would stretch the U.S. military."STRAIN IN ISRAELI-WESTERN TIESIn
November, the top U.S. military officer told Reuters he did not
knowwhether Israel would alert the United States ahead of time if
it decided to takemilitary action against Iran.General Martin
Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, alsoacknowledged
differences in perspective between the United States and Israelover
the best way to handle Iran.In an indication of a divergence in
Israeli and Western views, a senior formerBritish intelligence
official wrote in a private analysis in 2011 that the West hadtwo
objectives: prevent the Iranian bomb, and also "prevent Iran
beingbombed"."Both outcomes would be potentially disastrous for our
national security," hewrote.Referring to a strike, he went on, "the
likely damage (to Irans programme)would outweigh the
benefits.""There would be problems between the U.S. and Israel, and
probablytensions between the U.S. and European allies as well."U.S.
POSITION IN THE MIDDLE EAST CONSTRAINEDSimons CFR study states that
since the United States would be viewed ashaving assisted Israel,
U.S. efforts to foster better relations with Muslims wouldalmost
certainly suffer. 31. Anti-U.S. sentiment would be inflamed in
Muslim countries, especially Syria,Lebanon and the Palestinian
Territories. Hamas and Hezbollah would be likelyto intensify
attacks making a Middle East settlement even more unlikely."If the
Israelis think they can attack Iran and remain immune they are
living ina fools paradise," said Farhang Jahanpour of the Oxford
University Faculty ofOriental Studies.He said a raid would create
"huge anti-Israeli feeling" and an "Islamicbacklash" in the
region.Former U.S. National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski
said in a Januaryinterview with The Real News website a strike
would be a "disaster for us morethan for Israel in the short run,
and a fundamental disaster for Israel in the longrun."Neither the
Russians or Europeans would side with America in any
resultingconflict. He said that the United States could be "forced
out of the region", adevelopment he suggested would imperil Israels
existence.WILL IRANIANS RALLY TO THEIR GOVERNMENT?A RAND
Corporation report in 2011 noted that the use or threat of force
tocompel Iran to halt its nuclear programme would probably
strengthen domesticsupport for the government.But an analyst in
Iran who asked not to be identified as the subject wassensitive
said he doubted whether there would be an uptick in popularity for
thegovernment, as there was during the countrys war with Iraq in
the 1980s."The Iran-Iraq wartime public allegiance to the regime
has diminishedbecause of various factors. Public dissatisfaction is
on increase over failingeconomy, hostile foreign policy and
political infighting among the elites," saidthe analyst.Michael
Axworthy, director of the Centre for Persian and Iranian Studies
atBritains Exeter University, told Reuters that while Iranians
might not rally totheir rulers, they would tend to "go along with
the statements that areproduced"."This is a regime that expects to
be isolated and to some extent thrives onisolation," he
said.POSSIBLE SPUR TO PROLIFERATION BY OTHERSFormer U.S. negotiator
Burt said some aspirant nuclear weapons powersmight respond to a
strike on Iran by redoubling efforts to get the bomb as adeterrent.
But it was difficult to generalize and not all countries would take
thatview.Ayalon said it would be the emergence of a nuclear-armed
Iran that would bethe real spur to proliferation. (Additional
reporting by Peter Apps in London,Andrew Quinn, Mark Hosenball,
Tabassum Zakaria in Washington) 32. (Reporting by William
Maclean)(([email protected])(+442075428908))Keywords:
IRAN ISRAEL/STRIKESunday, 05 February 2012 16:38:08RTRS
[nL5E8D503O] {C}ENDS