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Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape
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Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Dec 30, 2015

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Page 1: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues

Chris Koen

Dept. Statistics

University of the Western Cape

Page 2: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Summary

• Variable stars

• The periodogram

• Quasi-periodic variations

• Periodic period changes

Page 3: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Some Example Lightcurves

• Lightcurve:

brightness plotted against time (or

sometimes phase)

Page 4: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

An eclipsing double star (P=7.6 h)

Page 5: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

A pulsating star (P=1.4 h)

Page 6: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 7: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Residual sums of squares after fitting sinusoids with different frequencies

Page 8: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Phased lightcurve, adjusted for changing mean values

Page 9: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 10: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 11: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 12: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 13: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 14: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

The Periodogram

2

1

2

1

2

1

2

1

sincos1

2sin2cos1

)(

N

kkk

N

kkk

N

kkk

N

kkk

tytyN

tytyN

I

Page 15: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Regular time spacing

• Frequency range

• Frequency spacing

t /5.00

2...,,2,1;/ Nj jNj

Page 16: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Periodogram of sinusoid (f=0.3) with superimposed noise: regularly spaced data

Page 17: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Periodogram of sinusoid (f=0.3) with superimposed noise: irregularly spaced data

Page 18: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

2

1

2

1

sincos1

)(N

kkk

N

kkk tyty

NI

jkallforttII

jk ,0)(sin)()(

*

**

0)(sin)(21

1 1

N

j

N

jkjk ttS

Page 19: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Solutions for Nyquist frequency

Page 20: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 21: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Time spacing between exposures (IRSF)

Page 22: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Top: IRSF exposuresBottom: Hipparcos

Page 23: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Frequency spacing

• Frequency resolution is

(Loumos & Deeming 1978, Kovacs 1981)

T/1~

Page 24: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Significance testing of the largest peak

• For regularly spaced data:

- statistical distribution of ordinates known

- ordinates independent in Fourier frequencies

• For irregularly spaced data:

- ordinates can be transformed to known distribution – ordinates not independent

Page 25: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Correlation between periodogram ordinates for increasing separation between frequencies

(irregularly spaced data)

Page 26: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Horne & Baliunas (1986): “independent frequencies”

Page 27: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Quasi-periodicities (QPOs)

• Sinusoidal variations with changing amplitude, period and/or phase

Page 28: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

A 32 minute segment of fast photometry of VV Puppis

Page 29: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Periodogram of the differenced data

Page 30: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Periodograms of first and second quarters of the data

Page 31: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Wavelet plot of the first quarter of the data

Page 32: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Complex Demodulation

• Transform data so that frequency of interest is near zero

• Apply a low pass filter to the transformed data

Page 33: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Complex demodulation of the first quarter of the data

Page 34: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Time Domain Modelling

Gaussiant

t

tB

tA

tB

tA

tetB

tAtt

tetttCtY

,)(

)(

)1(

)1(

)(

)(

)()(

)(sincos

)())((cos)()(

00

0

Page 35: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Amplitude and phase variations from Kalman filtering

Page 36: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

The results of filtering the second quarter of the data

Page 37: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Periodic period changes

• Apsidal motion

• Light-time effect

• Stochastic trends?

Page 38: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

O-C (Observed – Calculated)

• Equivalent to CUSUMS• Sparsely observed process:

)()( 0*

1

1

PNTTCO

countcyclecumulativenN

TandTbetweenelapsedcyclesofnumbern

jjj

j

iij

jjj

Page 39: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

SZ Lyn (Delta Scuti pulsator in a binary orbit)

Page 40: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

The Light-time Effect

)(2

)(sin)(

2

)(tan

1

1arctan2)(

sin])([sin)(cos1

1)(

0

2

ttP

tEetE

tE

e

et

ette

eAtT

b

Page 41: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

TX Her (P = 1.03 d)

Page 42: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

SV Cam (P = 0.59 d)

Page 43: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

A stochastic period-change model

),0(~

)(

21

110

1 1*

jjjj

N

kkk

j

ijiij

j

i

N

kkkiij

jjj

j

j

ePNnCO

enTT

P

Page 44: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

State Space Formulation:

jN

k

j

kk

j

iiik

j

iiij

j

j

j

j

j

jj

nnU

GaussianUnU

eTU

nT

1 1

1

1

1

1

1

1

*

,10

1

1

Page 45: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

)10( 5 dofunitsHerTX

Page 46: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

)10( 6 dofunitsCamSV

Page 47: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

General form of Information Criteria:

IC = -2 log(likelihood)+penalty(K)

• Akaike : penalty=2K

• Bayes: penalty=K log(N)

• Model with minimum IC preferred

Page 48: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Models:

• Polynomial + noise

• Random walk + noise

• Integrated random walk + noise

Page 49: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 50: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 51: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Order Sigma_error BIC

3 1.1921 153.57

4 1.1036 142.74

#5 0.51673 -4.4166*

6 0.51335 -1.1247

7 0.51519 4.1961

RW 0.43166 41.661

IRW 0.51412 55.247

Page 52: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 53: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 54: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Order sigma_error BIC 1 0.24656 -170.82

4 0.23132 -169.76

5 0.21551 -179.32

6 0.21558 -174.65

7 0.21589 -169.76

# RW 0.19477 -185.97*

IRW 0.21756 -171.33

Page 55: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 56: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 57: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

Order sigma_error BIC

4 0.29048 -124.22

5 0.27773 -128.59

6 0.24941 -145.5

7 0.24809 -141.95

8 0.24678 -138.41

RW 0.17886 -119.37

#IRW 0.2194 -149.06*

Page 58: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.

A brief mention…

Transient deterministic oscillation or purely stochastic variability?

Page 59: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 60: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 61: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.
Page 62: Periodicities in variable stars: a few issues Chris Koen Dept. Statistics University of the Western Cape.