1 © Copyright, dunnhumby 2006 Giles Pavey – Group Insight Director Using Customer data to improve business Tesco & Kroger case study
1
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Giles Pavey – Group Insight Director
Using Customer data to improve businessTesco & Kroger case study
2
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Agenda
1. Overview of dunnhumby2. What it means to be custom data driven3. Tesco case study4. Kroger Case study5. Conclusions
3
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Clive Humby andEdwina Dunn
found dunnhumby 19892 2001
dunnhumby starts toCommercialise ClubCard insight
140 2003
dunnhumbyUSA opensto work with Kroger
250500 2006
Operating in 7 leading markets
199530
Tesco and dunnhumbylaunch Clubcard
4
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
dunnhumby capabilities
1. Operationalizing customer insights across the entire organization and supply chain - business decisions, marketing, operational efficiencies
2. Individual customer data management, insight, segmentation and action plans
3. Tailored software, processes, tools and visualizations
4. Retail media and new media – integrated with “Traditional” marketing and brand information
5. “Agnostically” build constructive vendor / retailer relationships – with consumer insight as the core
6. Aligning the organization around the customer
5
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
customer centric change
Charles Darwin
It is not the strongest of thespecies that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change
Only two sources of competitive advantage:- the ability to learn more about our customersfaster than the competition and- the ability to turn that learning into actionfaster than the competition
Jack Welch
6
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Making a difference with customer insight requires thought, belief and action
Winning with a customer insight led approach is not a purely academic process
It requires the will and belief to put the customer into every business decision to represent the customer in every business case
It requires the ability to collect, manipulate and mine customer data
7
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
What they want from your market place?For example what is important to them when they go shopping for groceries
How do they interact with your business?Could they spend more with you?Could they buy bigger baskets?Could they make more visits?Could they use more formats or channels?Could they use more services?
At the most basic level you need to know 2 things about each of your customers
8
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
The Tesco story
9
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
• Formed in 1924• The UK’s largest food retailer• Operating stores in all formats – convenience, high street, super markets
and hyper markets.• Operating in 13 countries around the world• The world’s leading internet grocery retailer
About Tesco…
10
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
The customer is at the heart of the Tesco business
“Our mission is to earn and grow the lifetime loyalty of our customers”
Sir Terry LeahyChief Executive
11
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
The Clubcard scheme is a “Thank You” to loyal customers and a mechanism for understandingcustomer behaviour
Launched in February 1995
For every £1 spent, 1 point is earned = £0.01
Customers statement mailed 4 times/ year with their vouchers
80% of transactions are made using a Clubcard
In total, customers have received rewards of well over £1 billion
12
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Clubcard registration data• Name, Surname, Address• Telephone and email• Dietary requirements
(Vegetarian, etc)• Family composition• Data protection opt ins and outs
Other sources• Clubs information• Customer complaints• Customer Market research• Contact history• Geodems, 3rd party
suppressions
data generated by Clubcard
Clubcard transactional data (100%)• EPOS feed – item level sales
information for all transactions• Coupon and voucher redemption• Store, date, time
Reference data• Store reference details• Product details• Store turnover• Coupon reference data• Promotions data
13
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
data?
Miss Jones
The challenge is to translate raw data in to a clear picture of a customer
14
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
This is a friend I know…
Tesco know 12m people in the UK as well as I know Miss Jones They know what she wants and they know how valuble she is
… she is a busy young lady... she looks after her health and loves fresh produce… she drives to the supermarket on a Saturday morning… she reads Hello Magazine… she has a cat … she doesn’t pay particular attention to prices… she does look out for promotions
15
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Mainstream X %Family type mealsPopular brandsKids products
Finer Foods X %“Foodies who are time poor, money rich and choose everyday luxury items”
Price Sensitive X %Cost conscious customers who tend to buy cheapest on display
Traditional X %“Traditional households with time to buy and prepare ingredients”
UpmarketX %
marketX %
Cost consciousX %
Convenience X %“People on the go who haven’t time or inclination for scratch cooking”
Healthy X %“Organic shoppers, fruit and vegetablesweight watchers etc”
Lifestyles –buy looking at what people buy we can understand what is important to them in grocery shopping
“You are what you eat”. This gives us an indication of what motivates customers when they shop.
16
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Shopping Habits – combines visit patterns and spend levels to understand each customers contribution and potential
Daily Twice Weekly Weekly Stop Start Now & Then Hardly Ever Lapsing Gone Away
High Spend
Medium Spend Lapsing Gone Away
Low Spend UncommittedPotential
Tes
co W
eekl
y Sp
end
Tesco Visit Patterns
Premium
Standard
17
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Customers receive communication and offers based on their Lifestyle and Shopping Habits
Communications to high spending customers based on their lifestyle or their interests and needs e.g. Pets, Organic
dunnhumby provide the targeting, produce the creative and source the offers
c.40% of customers targeted participate in these mailings by redeeming at least one coupon
18
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
At the heart of Tesco’s communications to customers is the Clubcard statement
• 12 million customers mailed every quarter
• Delivers in excess of £45m ‘Reward’ to customers
• 7 million variations of product coupon offers
• Targeted using Lifestyles, Shopping Habits and behaviour
• Significant impact on revenue 4 x per year
• A valuable tool for suppliers – helps off set costs
• dunnhumby provide targeting and coupon sourcing
19
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
All retail decision making considers the customer
The impact of customer insight upon retail decision support is 5-10 times more significant to the Tesco than 1-1 communication.
Range & AvailabilityRange & AvailabilityChoiceChoice
Price & PromotionsPrice & PromotionsValueValue
Channel/ Site/ FormatChannel/ Site/ FormatConvenienceConvenience
Promotions/ NPDInstore Theatre
Promotions/ NPDInstore TheatreExcitementExcitement
Trust and expertise (especially in health)Trust and expertise (especially in health)ServiceService
20
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Developing new ranges based on specific customer needs
Customer Insight led Tesco to develop several new house brands – Finest, value, kids, Organics, Healthy Choice
Today Tesco Finest is a £1bn+ brand, with over 700 SKUs
We have met the needs of a segment of customers who did not shop key categories in our stores but went to upmarket competition, like Waitrose & Marks and Spencer
Growth is 450% in 5 years
21
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
The Finest brand has continued to grow, driven by customer insight
Tesco Finest
0
5000000
10000000
15000000
20000000
25000000
2000
01
2000
12
2000
23
2000
34
2000
45
2001
04
2001
15
2001
26
2001
37
2001
48
2002
07
2002
18
2002
29
2002
40
2002
51
2003
10
2003
21
2003
32
2003
43
2004
01
2004
12
2004
23
2004
34
2004
45
2005
04
2005
15
2005
26
2005
37
2005
48
Time
Wee
kly
Sale
s
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
SKU's available
Sales
Smoothed
Products
22
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Repeat Purchasing Report - Track new launches in the category and understand how trial and repeat are driving top-line sales
70% of the people who trialled Vanilla Coke have bought it more than once – although trial is dropping off
23
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Vanilla Coke appears to have driven incremental growth in the category – 31.6% of buyers have not bought Coke or Pepsi in
the last 12 weeks
And steal from Pepsi is minimal – only 11.2% of Pepsi buyers have tried the new Vanilla or
Lemon varieties – although 44% have bought other Coke products
Use the Shop to evaluate the impact on the category
24
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Customer loyalty translates to business success
The number of loyal shoppers has tripled since 1996
Loyal customer average weekly spending has almost doubled
Achieved by improving the shopping experience for high potential shoppers
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Uk Gro
cery
Tur
nove
r £m's
Tesco Sainsbury Asda Safeway Morrisons
Market share from 16% to 31%
25
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Tesco continues to achieve LFL sales growth of 4+% every year
3%4%
9%
8%
6%4%
4%5%
6%4%
7%
9%
2%
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Clubcard launched
Tesco LFL growth directly attributed to ClubcardSource: Tesco annual reports from 1996 onwards
26
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
The Kroger story
27
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
• Formed in 1883 by Barney Kroger• The USA’s largest traditional grocery retailer• Operating across 12 banners Including Kroger, Ralphs, Fred Meyer, King Sooper• Operating in 35 States• 42 million loyalty card holders• Started work with dunnhumby in 2003
About
28
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Customer 1st…. We have helped Kroger develop a customer-centric business strategy to drive their future growth
“I shop Kroger because …• the prices are good• I get the products I want, plus a little• the people are great!• the shopping experience makes me want to return”
Customer data is crucial to this entire process
29
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Consumer centricity at Kroger
30
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Convenience at Home
Shoppers on aBudget Traditional Homes
Grab and Go Shopper
Family FocusedFinest
Watching theWaistline
(Least) Price Sensitivity (Most)
Segm
ent S
ize
Kroger have customised versions of Lifestyle and Shopping Habits
Daily Twice Weekly Weekly One out Monthly Occasional
High Spend
Medium Spend
Low Spend
Visit Pattern
Spe
nd
Premium Loyal
Valuable
Potential
Uncommitted
31
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
010203040506070
VPS PS Mainstream Upscale
% s
ales
05
101520
2530
VPS PS Mainstream Upscale
% sales
Middle
05
10152025303540
VPS PS Mainstream Upscale
% s
ales Low End Broad
Appeal
010203040506070
VPS PS Mainstream Upscale
% s
ales High End
Customer and Product SegmentationsWe have 4 customer-driven product price segments/positions
32
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
How do we win back the Very Price Sensitive customers’business and build their long-term loyalty?
Change Their Price Perceptionby
Lowering the Price They Payon
Items That Matter Most
While ensuring that we most effectively allocate investment dollars
33
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
0.2
-1.3-1.8
-1.1 -0.9
0.4
1.3
0.5
1.1
1.7 1.8
2.4
3.43.7
4.7
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006 — confidential
Kroger Same Store Sales (excluding pharmacy & fuel)
Kroger – dunnhumbyAgreement Finalized
% change
34
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Dave DillonChairman and CEO. Kroger Co.
“dunnhumby has actually helped me reset my understanding of what the customer is after, and it helps replace intuition with actual data and actual
facts. And it's those facts that are driving our decision-making”
Kroger Investor Conference Call 21/06/05
CEO’s view ….
35
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Conclusions
36
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
dunnhumby’s blueprint for business success through customer centricity
Act
ion
AcquisitionDM
Retail strategy
Product development
Pricing Strategy
ATL Advertising
Retention programmes
Dat
a
Transactionhistory
Demo-graphics
Researchresults
Call centredata
DM responses In
sigh
t Customer segmentation
Propensitymodels
Customer KPI's
Prospectingmodels
Customer journey
Driv
es
Driv
es
Cha
nges
inC
usto
mer
beha
viou
r
Capture changes in customer behaviour via data and begin the journey again
37
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
In conclusion
•To deliver the benefits of being a customer insight driven business you need:
• Good quality customer data and analytics
• A conviction that your business decisions should be aligned around the customer
•A customer insight approach will lead you to different decisions
•Tesco shows us that by understanding your customers better than any one and then acting upon it business can maintain a substantial advantage
•Kroger shows us that re aligning your strategy around the customer can deliver remarkable bottom line transformation
38
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Further information can be found in “Scoring Points”
'… loyalty marketing is a strategy, not a tactic. The reward is no more a bribe than a birthday present from your partner or a dividend to a shareholder is a bribe.'
Scoring Points –How Tesco is winning customer loyaltyBy Clive Humby & Terry Hunt
39
© Copyright, dunnhumby 2004 Commercial in Confidence© Copyright, dunnhumby 2006
Thank you
Contact: [email protected]