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ISSN-2012-0346
52

Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

Apr 21, 2018

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Page 1: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

i

Department of Agriculture

BUREAU OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS 1184 Ben-lor Bldg., Quezon Avenue, Quezon City

CROPS STATISTICS DIVISION, Cereals Statistics Section

Tel No. (02)-371-2067

[email protected]

http://www.bas.gov.ph

ISSN-2012-0346

Page 2: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

EXPLANATORY NOTES

This report describes the palay and corn crop situation for

January-September 2013. It also presents the outlook for October-December

2013 and January-March 2014 using the forecasts based on farmers’

standing crop and planting intentions, respectively. The estimates and

forecasts are based on the results of the October 2013 Palay and Corn

Production Survey (PCPS) which the Bureau of Agricultural Statistics

(BAS) conducts nationwide.

The report likewise contains information on monthly prices of palay,

rice, corn and fertilizer; and, cumulative actual decadal and normal rainfall.

Data on prices are the results of the Weekly Cereals and Fertilizer Price

Monitoring (WCFPM) of the BAS. Rainfall data are sourced from the

Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services

Administration (PAGASA).

i

i

Page 3: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

CONTENTS

Explanatory Notes………………………………………..………….…….…… i

Table of Contents………………………………...………..……………….…... ii

Weather Situation and Outlook…………………………..……………....…… iv

1.0 Highlights……………………………………………………….…….......... 1

1.1 Palay…………………………………………………………..……........ 1

1.2 Corn…………………………………………………………………….. 5

2.0 Prices …………………………………………………………………….… 9

2.1 Palay/Rice……………………………………………….…..………….. 9

2.2 Corn………………………………………………………….…………. 10

2.3 Fertilizer…………………………………………………...……..…….. 12

3.0 Rainfall……………………………….…..……………….………..………. 14

Tables

1 Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 .........…………..……...…….. 15

2 Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 .............……….…..….….….. 16

3 Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013................................................. 17

4 Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013...........................….……............... 18

5 Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013...........................….……............... 19

6 Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013...........................….……............... 20

7 Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by semi-annual,

by region, Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013……........................ 21

8 Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by semi-annual,

by region, Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013……….................... 22

9 Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts by semi-annual, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013…….………………................ 23

10 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-March, 2012-2014……………..…………………..... 24

11 Palay: Production estimates and forecasts, by region, Philippines,

January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014…..…........ 25

12 Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts, by region, Philippines,

January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014…..…........ 26

i ii

Page 4: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In

mill

ime

ter)

Tab

le 3

2. C

um

ula

tive

act

ual

dec

ad

al

an

d n

orm

al

rain

fall

by r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2012-2

013

13 Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts, by region, Philippines,

January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014…..……......

27

14 Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 .........…………..…….....…….. 28

15 Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 .............……….…..….………. 29

16 Corn: Yield estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013................................................... 30

17 Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013...........................….……................. 31

18 Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013...........................….……................. 32

19 Corn: Yield estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013...........................….……................. 33

20 Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by semi-annual,

by region, Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013………...................... 34

21 Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by semi-annual,

by region, Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013….…........................ 35

22 Corn: Yield estimates and forecasts by semi-annual, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013…….…...................................... 36

23 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by croptype,

Philippines, January-March, 2012-2014……………..…............................... 37

24 Corn: Production estimates and forecasts, by region, Philippines,

January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014…..……...... 38

25 Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts, by region, Philippines,

January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014…..….......... 39

26 Corn: Yield estimates and forecasts, by region, Philippines,

January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014…..….......... 40

27 Palay/Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-September, 2011-2013…………….............................. 41

28 Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Metro Manila, January-September, 2011-2013…………….......................... 42

29 Yellow Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-September, 2011-2013………….................................. 43

30 White Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-September, 2011-2013…………….............................. 44

31 Fertilizer: Monthly average dealers’ prices by grade,

Philippines, January-September, 2011-2013………...................................... 45

32 Cumulative actual decadal and normal rainfall by region,

Philippines, January-September, 2012-2013…………….............................. 46

46 iii

2012

2013

2013

/201

220

13/N

orm

al20

1220

1320

13/2

012

2013

/Nor

mal

2012

2013

2013

/201

220

13/N

orm

al

Philip

pine

s20

,807

.8

16,9

07.8

12

,956

.4

(18.

7)

30.5

16

,362

.0

16,2

78.6

13

,628

.4

(0.5

)

19

.4

37,1

69.8

33

,186

.4

26,5

84.8

(1

0.7)

24

.8

Iloco

s Reg

ion

1,01

3.5

55

3.1

620.

6

(4

5.4)

(1

0.9)

1,

819.

6

1,76

2.7

1,

576.

1

(3.1

)

11

.8

2,83

3.1

2,

315.

8

2,19

6.7

(1

8.3)

5.

4

CAR

944.

0

61

2.8

544.

2

(3

5.1)

12

.6

1,27

7.6

1,

311.

7

1,21

4.6

2.

7

8.

0

2,22

1.6

1,

924.

5

1,75

8.8

(1

3.4)

9.

4

Caga

yan V

alley

1,09

0.5

87

3.8

634.

9

(1

9.9)

37

.6

1,21

0.9

98

8.7

742.

7

(1

8.3)

33

.1

2,30

1.4

1,

862.

5

1,37

7.6

(1

9.1)

35

.2

Centr

al Lu

zon

960.

7

79

5.9

702.

4

(1

7.2)

13

.3

1,42

2.5

1,

632.

5

1,26

8.4

14

.8

28

.7

2,38

3.2

2,

428.

4

1,97

0.8

1.

9

23

.2

CALA

BARZ

ON1,

284.

2

999.

4

80

2.1

(22.

2)

24.6

93

6.8

1,27

3.2

80

7.3

35.9

57.7

2,

221.

0

2,27

2.6

1,

609.

4

2.3

41.2

MIM

AROP

A1,

158.

9

772.

8

52

7.8

(33.

3)

46.4

1,

219.

2

1,05

6.5

89

3.9

(13.

3)

18.2

2,

378.

1

1,82

9.3

1,

421.

7

(23.

1)

28.7

NCR

916.

9

85

0.9

493.

2

(7

.2)

72.5

1,

468.

8

1,97

8.1

1,

239.

4

34.7

59.6

2,

385.

7

2,82

9.0

1,

732.

6

18.6

63.3

Bico

l Reg

ion

1,78

9.4

1,

134.

8

908.

0

(3

6.6)

25

.0

959.

9

73

9.7

673.

5

(2

2.9)

9.

8

2,74

9.3

1,

874.

5

1,58

1.6

(3

1.8)

18

.5

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

759.

5

68

0.3

726.

9

(1

0.4)

(6

.4)

65

8.5

796.

8

90

0.8

21.0

(11.

5)

1,41

8.0

1,

477.

1

1,62

7.7

4.

2

(9

.3)

Centr

al Vi

saya

s1,

064.

9

681.

1

57

5.2

(36.

0)

18.4

57

9.9

584.

9

56

6.1

0.9

3.3

1,

644.

8

1,26

6.0

1,

141.

3

(23.

0)

10.9

Easte

rn V

isaya

s1,

770.

5

1,68

1.2

1,

114.

7

(5.0

)

50

.8

640.

5

66

8.2

581.

6

4.

3

14

.9

2,41

1.0

2,

349.

4

1,69

6.2

(2

.6)

38.5

Zam

boan

ga P

en.

802.

8

1,

102.

5

661.

3

37

.3

66

.7

640.

5

62

6.8

574.

0

(2

.1)

9.2

1,

443.

3

1,72

9.3

1,

235.

3

19.8

40.0

N. M

indan

ao1,

284.

3

1,22

8.5

77

7.8

(4.3

)

57

.9

782.

4

68

4.3

620.

8

(1

2.5)

10

.2

2,06

6.7

1,

912.

8

1,39

8.6

(7

.4)

36.8

Dava

o Re

gion

2,36

6.1

1,

398.

7

1,07

3.8

(4

0.9)

30

.3

884.

4

50

6.0

485.

2

(4

2.8)

4.

3

3,25

0.5

1,

904.

7

1,55

9.0

(4

1.4)

22

.2

SOCC

SKSA

RGEN

1,59

7.8

70

7.2

609.

4

(5

5.7)

16

.0

709.

4

50

2.8

428.

2

(2

9.1)

17

.4

2,30

7.2

1,

210.

0

1,03

7.6

(4

7.6)

16

.6

Cara

ga1,

066.

7

2,07

1.2

1,

569.

8

94.2

31.9

50

3.0

602.

0

54

4.3

19.7

10.6

1,

569.

7

2,67

3.2

2,

114.

1

70.3

26.4

ARM

M93

7.1

763.

6

61

4.2

(18.

5)

24.3

64

8.1

563.

7

51

1.6

(13.

0)

10.2

1,

585.

2

1,32

7.3

1,

125.

8

(16.

3)

17.9

JANU

ARY-

JUNE

% D

EVIA

TION

Item

NORM

AL

JULY

-SEP

TEM

BER

NORM

AL

% D

EVIA

TION

Actu

al

JANU

ARY-

SEPT

EMBE

R

Actu

al%

DEV

IATI

ONAc

tual

NORM

AL

Sourc

e: P

AG

AS

A

(In

mill

ime

ter)

Tab

le 3

2. C

um

ula

tive

act

ual

dec

ad

al

an

d n

orm

al

rain

fall

by

reg

ion

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2012-2

013

2012

2013

2013

/201

220

13/N

orm

al20

1220

1320

13/2

012

2013

/Nor

mal

2012

2013

2013

/201

220

13/N

orm

al

Philip

pine

s20

,807

.8

16,9

07.8

12

,956

.4

(18.

7)

30.5

16

,362

.0

16,2

78.6

13

,628

.4

(0.5

)

19

.4

37,1

69.8

33

,186

.4

26,5

84.8

(1

0.7)

24

.8

Iloco

s Reg

ion

1,01

3.5

55

3.1

620.

6

(4

5.4)

(1

0.9)

1,

819.

6

1,76

2.7

1,

576.

1

(3.1

)

11

.8

2,83

3.1

2,

315.

8

2,19

6.7

(1

8.3)

5.

4

CAR

944.

0

61

2.8

544.

2

(3

5.1)

12

.6

1,27

7.6

1,

311.

7

1,21

4.6

2.

7

8.

0

2,22

1.6

1,

924.

5

1,75

8.8

(1

3.4)

9.

4

Caga

yan V

alley

1,09

0.5

87

3.8

634.

9

(1

9.9)

37

.6

1,21

0.9

98

8.7

742.

7

(1

8.3)

33

.1

2,30

1.4

1,

862.

5

1,37

7.6

(1

9.1)

35

.2

Centr

al Lu

zon

960.

7

79

5.9

702.

4

(1

7.2)

13

.3

1,42

2.5

1,

632.

5

1,26

8.4

14

.8

28

.7

2,38

3.2

2,

428.

4

1,97

0.8

1.

9

23

.2

CALA

BARZ

ON1,

284.

2

999.

4

80

2.1

(22.

2)

24.6

93

6.8

1,27

3.2

80

7.3

35.9

57.7

2,

221.

0

2,27

2.6

1,

609.

4

2.3

41.2

MIM

AROP

A1,

158.

9

772.

8

52

7.8

(33.

3)

46.4

1,

219.

2

1,05

6.5

89

3.9

(13.

3)

18.2

2,

378.

1

1,82

9.3

1,

421.

7

(23.

1)

28.7

NCR

916.

9

85

0.9

493.

2

(7

.2)

72.5

1,

468.

8

1,97

8.1

1,

239.

4

34.7

59.6

2,

385.

7

2,82

9.0

1,

732.

6

18.6

63.3

Bico

l Reg

ion

1,78

9.4

1,

134.

8

908.

0

(3

6.6)

25

.0

959.

9

73

9.7

673.

5

(2

2.9)

9.

8

2,74

9.3

1,

874.

5

1,58

1.6

(3

1.8)

18

.5

Wes

tern

Visa

yas

759.

5

68

0.3

726.

9

(1

0.4)

(6

.4)

65

8.5

796.

8

90

0.8

21.0

(11.

5)

1,41

8.0

1,

477.

1

1,62

7.7

4.

2

(9

.3)

Centr

al Vi

saya

s1,

064.

9

681.

1

57

5.2

(36.

0)

18.4

57

9.9

584.

9

56

6.1

0.9

3.3

1,

644.

8

1,26

6.0

1,

141.

3

(23.

0)

10.9

Easte

rn V

isaya

s1,

770.

5

1,68

1.2

1,

114.

7

(5.0

)

50

.8

640.

5

66

8.2

581.

6

4.

3

14

.9

2,41

1.0

2,

349.

4

1,69

6.2

(2

.6)

38.5

Zam

boan

ga P

en.

802.

8

1,

102.

5

661.

3

37

.3

66

.7

640.

5

62

6.8

574.

0

(2

.1)

9.2

1,

443.

3

1,72

9.3

1,

235.

3

19.8

40.0

N. M

indan

ao1,

284.

3

1,22

8.5

77

7.8

(4.3

)

57

.9

782.

4

68

4.3

620.

8

(1

2.5)

10

.2

2,06

6.7

1,

912.

8

1,39

8.6

(7

.4)

36.8

Dava

o Re

gion

2,36

6.1

1,

398.

7

1,07

3.8

(4

0.9)

30

.3

884.

4

50

6.0

485.

2

(4

2.8)

4.

3

3,25

0.5

1,

904.

7

1,55

9.0

(4

1.4)

22

.2

SOCC

SKSA

RGEN

1,59

7.8

70

7.2

609.

4

(5

5.7)

16

.0

709.

4

50

2.8

428.

2

(2

9.1)

17

.4

2,30

7.2

1,

210.

0

1,03

7.6

(4

7.6)

16

.6

Cara

ga1,

066.

7

2,07

1.2

1,

569.

8

94.2

31.9

50

3.0

602.

0

54

4.3

19.7

10.6

1,

569.

7

2,67

3.2

2,

114.

1

70.3

26.4

ARM

M93

7.1

763.

6

61

4.2

(18.

5)

24.3

64

8.1

563.

7

51

1.6

(13.

0)

10.2

1,

585.

2

1,32

7.3

1,

125.

8

(16.

3)

17.9

JANU

ARY-

JUNE

% D

EVIA

TION

Item

NORM

AL

JULY

-SEP

TEM

BER

NORM

AL

% D

EVIA

TION

Actu

al

JANU

ARY-

SEPT

EMBE

R

Actu

al%

DEV

IATI

ONAc

tual

NORM

AL

Page 5: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

Weather Situation and Outlook1

July-September 2013 Situation

The period was the peak of the southwest (SW) monsoon season, locally known

as “habagat” and tropical cyclone activity was at its maximum. Equatorial sea

surface temperatures (SSTs) were near average across much of the equatorial

Pacific Ocean and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-neutral conditions still

persisted during the period.

The weather systems that affected the country during this period were the ridge of

high pressure area (HPA), monsoon trough, inter-tropical convergence zone

(ITCZ), low pressure area (LPA), enhanced southwest monsoon (SW) and the

passage of twelve (12) tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Philippine Area of

Responsibility (PAR), namely; Typhoon (TY) “Juaning” (July 10-13), Tropical

Storm (TS) “Isang” (July 16-18), TS “Jolina” (July 30-31), Tropical Depression

(TD) “Kiko” (August 5-6), TY “Labuyo” (August 9-12), TS “Maring” (August

17-21), TS “Nando” (August 25-29), TY “Odette” (September 16-22), TS

”Paolo” (September 26-27) and TS “Quedan” (September 29- October 5). These

weather systems collectively brought excessive rains in most parts of CAR, Ilocos

Region, Central Luzon, CALABARZON and MIMAROPA.

October-December 2013 Outlook

The period covers the transition from SW monsoon to Northeast (NE) monsoon.

The weather systems that may influence the country are the tail end of the cold

front, ITCZ, easterly wave, ridge of high pressure area (HPA), the easterlies and

about five (5) to eight (8) tropical cyclones. During the season, tropical cyclones

normally move on a westerly direction between central and southern parts of

Luzon and Visayas. However, some TCs tracks usually cross over Northern

Mindanao area.

1Excerpts from PAGASA July 29, 2013 to October 3, 2013 Weather Situation and Outlook

iv 45

Tab

le 3

1. F

erti

lize

r:

Mon

thly

aver

age

dea

lers

’ p

rice

s b

y g

rad

e,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2011-2

013

(In

p

eso

pe

r ba

g o

f 5

0 k

ilog

ram

s)

2012

/201

120

13/2

012

UR

EA Ja

n.-S

ep. A

ve.

1,15

5.49

1,

307.

71

1,18

1.53

13

.2

(9

.6)

Ja

nuar

y1,

085.

52

1,33

6.91

1,

227.

30

23.2

(8.2

)

Feb

ruar

y1,

085.

59

1,31

4.46

1,

213.

45

21.1

(7.7

)

Mar

ch1,

096.

99

1,28

9.09

1,

203.

94

17.5

(6.6

)

Apr

il1,

100.

84

1,28

0.22

1,

200.

96

16.3

(6.2

)

May

1,09

8.98

1,

307.

98

1,19

4.51

19

.0

(8

.7)

June

1,14

9.71

1,

323.

10

1,18

2.23

15

.1

(1

0.6)

July

1,23

9.59

1,

320.

64

1,16

3.35

6.

5

(1

1.9)

Aug

ust

1,26

2.65

1,

307.

37

1,13

7.11

3.

5

(1

3.0)

Sep

tem

ber

1,27

9.57

1,

289.

65

1,11

0.88

0.

8

(1

3.9)

AM

MO

SU

L

Jan

.-Sep

. Ave

.64

3.27

764.

33

74

5.17

18.8

(2.5

)

Janu

ary

587.

46

75

4.48

767.

30

28

.4

1.

7

Feb

ruar

y61

0.30

758.

09

76

5.95

24.2

1.0

Mar

ch61

7.03

755.

17

75

7.19

22.4

0.3

Apr

il61

8.95

755.

03

75

4.18

22.0

(0.1

)

May

621.

12

76

8.31

750.

86

23

.7

(2

.3)

June

640.

84

77

1.98

744.

63

20

.5

(3

.5)

July

683.

54

77

1.67

736.

03

12

.9

(4

.6)

Aug

ust

696.

72

77

3.40

722.

88

11

.0

(6

.5)

Sep

tem

ber

713.

45

77

0.81

707.

47

8.

0

(8

.2)

Per

cen

t Ch

ang

eIte

m20

1120

1220

1320

12/2

011

2013

/201

2

AM

MO

PH

OS

Jan

.-Sep

. Ave

.1,

044.

78

1,11

4.36

1,

088.

06

6.7

(2.4

)

Janu

ary

1,00

2.31

1,

121.

28

1,10

1.60

11

.9

(1

.8)

Feb

ruar

y1,

020.

11

1,11

7.16

1,

096.

49

9.5

(1.9

)

Mar

ch1,

023.

72

1,11

1.98

1,

096.

11

8.6

(1.4

)

Apr

il1,

030.

03

1,10

7.94

1,

090.

81

7.6

(1.5

)

May

1,03

5.89

1,

112.

85

1,09

0.58

7.

4

(2

.0)

June

1,05

2.49

1,

117.

50

1,08

5.86

6.

2

(2

.8)

July

1,07

4.65

1,

114.

37

1,08

4.18

3.

7

(2

.7)

Aug

ust

1,08

0.83

1,

115.

41

1,07

9.25

3.

2

(3

.2)

Sep

tem

ber

1,08

3.01

1,

110.

79

1,06

7.68

2.

6

(3

.9)

CO

MP

LE

TE

Jan

.-Sep

. Ave

.1,

160.

68

1,27

1.42

1,

236.

58

9.5

(2.7

)

Janu

ary

1,11

0.63

1,

278.

75

1,25

4.57

15

.1

(1

.9)

Feb

ruar

y1,

132.

43

1,27

5.80

1,

248.

78

12.7

(2.1

)

Mar

ch1,

137.

75

1,26

5.35

1,

244.

16

11.2

(1.7

)

Apr

il1,

142.

93

1,26

2.31

1,

240.

78

10.4

(1.7

)

May

1,15

1.77

1,

270.

75

1,23

8.16

10

.3

(2

.6)

June

1,17

2.81

1,

273.

78

1,23

4.27

8.

6

(3

.1)

July

1,19

4.29

1,

274.

60

1,23

0.51

6.

7

(3

.5)

Aug

ust

1,19

8.38

1,

272.

00

1,22

5.13

6.

1

(3

.7)

Sep

tem

ber

1,20

5.16

1,

269.

46

1,21

2.82

5.

3

(4

.5)

Per

cen

t Ch

ang

eIte

m20

1120

1220

13

Page 6: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

1.0 Highlights

Based on the Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS) October 2013 Round,

palay production estimates for the first three (3) quarters and forecast for the

fourth quarter of 2013 would be higher than the 2012 level. On the other hand,

corn production may be lower than the output in 2012.

In the first quarter of 2014, positive growths are foreseen for palay and corn

crops.

1.1 Palay

Calendar Year 2013 Forecast

Palay production for

calendar year 2013 is

forecast at 18.58 million MT,

3.0% higher than the 2012

output of 18.03 million MT.

Harvest area may expand by

1.7%, or from 4.69 million

hectares last year to 4.77

million hectares this year.

Yield per hectare may

improve by 1.3% from 3.84

MT to 3.90 MT.

July-December 2013 Crop

Production for July-

December 2013 may reach

10.58 million MT, 4.4%

higher than last year’s record

of 10.14 million MT. Harvest

area may increase by 2.7%,

or from 2.65 million hectares

in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve

from 3.82 MT to 3.88 MT or by 1.6%.

44 1

(In

peso

pe

r kilo

gra

m)

Tab

le 3

0. W

hit

e C

orn

: M

on

thly

aver

age

pre

vail

ing p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2011-2

01

3

20

12

/20

11

20

13

/20

12

FA

RM

GA

TE

- W

hit

e

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.1

3.8

6

14

.04

15

.89

1.3

13

.2

Ja

nua

ry1

2.3

9

14

.52

16

.15

17

.2

11

.2

Fe

bru

ary

13

.41

14

.32

15

.80

6.8

10

.3

Ma

rch

14

.04

14

.49

16

.72

3.2

15

.4

Ap

ril

14

.49

14

.57

17

.03

0.6

16

.9

Ma

y1

4.7

0

14

.40

16

.90

(2.0

)

17

.4

June

14

.56

13

.55

16

.54

(6.9

)

22

.1

July

14

.78

13

.69

15

.28

(7.4

)

11

.6

Aug

ust

13

.30

13

.46

14

.34

1.2

6.5

Se

pte

mb

er

13

.04

13

.39

14

.27

2.7

6.6

WH

OL

ES

AL

E-W

hit

e

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.1

6.2

6

15

.42

15

.42

(5.2

)

0.0

Ja

nua

ry1

5.3

8

16

.00

16

.05

4.0

0.3

Fe

bru

ary

15

.96

16

.09

15

.41

0.8

(4.2

)

Ma

rch

15

.64

15

.43

16

.07

(1.3

)

4.1

Ap

ril

16

.45

15

.41

15

.89

(6.3

)

3.1

Ma

y1

6.7

6

15

.34

15

.69

(8.5

)

2.3

June

16

.43

14

.80

15

.52

(9.9

)

4.9

July

17

.10

15

.25

14

.91

(10

.8)

(2.2

)

Aug

ust

16

.35

15

.36

14

.60

(6.1

)

(4.9

)

Se

pte

mb

er

16

.27

15

.12

14

.68

(7.1

)

(2.9

)

RE

TA

IL -

Wh

ite

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.1

8.9

4

19

.69

19

.12

4.0

(2.9

)

Ja

nua

ry1

8.9

9

19

.45

19

.83

2.4

2.0

Fe

bru

ary

19

.04

19

.85

19

.67

4.3

(0.9

)

Ma

rch

18

.71

19

.60

19

.77

4.8

0.9

Ap

ril

18

.42

19

.60

20

.00

6.4

2.0

Ma

y1

8.1

2

19

.80

19

.58

9.3

(1.1

)

June

18

.44

19

.68

18

.63

6.7

(5.3

)

July

19

.16

19

.67

18

.02

2.7

(8.4

)

Aug

ust

19

.80

19

.53

18

.18

(1.4

)

(6.9

)

Se

pte

mb

er

19

.81

20

.05

18

.40

1.2

(8.2

)

Ite

m2

01

22

01

3P

erc

en

t C

ha

ng

e2

01

1

Page 7: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

The July-September 2013

production at 3.36 million

MT was 6.5% below the

2012 level of 3.60 million

MT. Harvest area contracted

by 8.20%. From 947

thousand hectares in 2012,

harvest area decreased to

870 thousand hectares this

year. Yield per hectare

improved from 3.80 MT to

3.87 MT or by 1.8%.

Significant decreases in

production and harvest area

were noted in Cagayan

Valley, Western Visayas,

Bicol Region, ARMM,

Davao Region and Ilocos

Region.

In Cagayan Valley, the

adverse effects of moisture

stress and later on by

typhoons “Labuyo” and

“Odette” resulted in lower

yield while the late release

of irrigation water and late

onset of rainfall caused movement of cropping to the fourth quarter.

In Western Visayas, lower production was attributed to contraction in

harvest area caused by delayed plantings due to late onset of rainfall. This

resulted in the slide of cropping to the fourth quarter.

In Bicol Region, ARMM, Ilocos Region and Davao Region, the decrease

in production and harvest area could be attributed to some areas being left

in-fallow, late/insufficient release of irrigation water, late onset of rainfall

and damages due to “habagat” and typhoons “Maring”, “Nando” and

“Odette”.

Tab

le 2

8.

Ric

e: M

on

thly

aver

age

prev

ail

ing p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Met

ro M

an

ila, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2010

-2012

20

12

/20

11

20

13

/20

12

ME

TR

O M

AN

ILA

WH

OL

ES

AL

E

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.3

0.0

0

30

.68

3

1.6

1

2.3

3.0

Janu

ary

31

.00

3

1.6

5

30

.40

2

.1

(3

.9)

Fe

bru

ary

30

.25

3

0.9

0

30

.40

2

.1

(1

.6)

Ma

rch

30

.10

3

0.7

2

30

.08

2

.1

(2

.1)

Ap

ril

29

.76

3

0.4

0

30

.00

2

.2

(1

.3)

Ma

y2

9.6

0

30

.40

3

0.7

5

2.7

1.2

June

29

.60

3

0.4

0

31

.00

2

.7

2

.0

July

29

.68

3

0.4

0

32

.50

2

.4

6

.9

Aug

ust

30

.00

3

0.4

0

33

.76

1

.3

1

1.1

Se

pte

mb

er

30

.00

3

0.8

8

35

.60

2

.9

1

5.3

RE

TA

IL

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.3

5.0

0

35

.00

3

5.3

6

-

1

.0

Janu

ary

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

Fe

bru

ary

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

Ma

rch

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

Ap

ril

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

Ma

y3

5.0

0

35

.00

3

5.0

0

-

-

June

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

July

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

Aug

ust

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.20

-

0.6

Se

pte

mb

er

35

.00

3

5.0

0

38

.00

-

8.6

Pe

rce

nt

Ch

an

ge

MO

NT

H2

01

12

01

22

01

3

2 43

(In

peso

pe

r kilo

gra

m)

Tab

le 2

9. Y

ello

w C

orn

: M

on

thly

aver

age

pre

vail

ing p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2011-2

01

3

20

12

/20

11

20

13

/20

12

FA

RM

GA

TE

- Y

ello

w

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.1

1.7

6

12

.67

11

.94

7.7

(5.7

)

Ja

nua

ry1

2.5

5

13

.67

12

.48

8.9

(8.7

)

Fe

bru

ary

12

.85

13

.58

11

.97

5.7

(11

.9)

Ma

rch

12

.59

12

.63

11

.87

0.3

(6.0

)

Ap

ril

11

.74

12

.46

11

.89

6.1

(4.6

)

Ma

y1

1.6

6

12

.72

12

.02

9.1

(5.5

)

June

11

.55

12

.46

12

.08

7.9

(3.0

)

July

11

.32

12

.32

11

.83

8.8

(4.0

)

Aug

ust

10

.89

12

.14

11

.58

11

.5

(4.6

)

Se

pte

mb

er

10

.73

12

.01

11

.74

11

.9

(2.2

)

WH

OL

ES

AL

E -

Ye

llo

w

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.1

4.8

7

15

.69

15

.82

5.5

0.9

Ja

nua

ry1

5.3

7

16

.06

15

.96

4.5

(0.6

)

Fe

bru

ary

15

.55

15

.77

15

.76

1.4

(0.1

)

Ma

rch

15

.22

15

.05

15

.69

(1.1

)

4.3

Ap

ril

14

.71

15

.26

15

.76

3.7

3.3

Ma

y1

4.5

6

15

.80

16

.01

8.5

1.3

June

14

.66

15

.86

15

.89

8.2

0.2

July

14

.59

15

.78

15

.96

8.2

1.1

Aug

ust

14

.52

15

.85

15

.94

9.2

0.6

Se

pte

mb

er

14

.69

15

.75

15

.43

7.2

(2.0

)

RE

TA

IL -

Ye

llo

w

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.1

9.3

8

21

.61

22

.16

11

.5

2.5

Ja

nua

ry1

9.8

4

21

.14

21

.80

6.6

3.1

Fe

bru

ary

19

.91

21

.14

22

.27

6.2

5.3

Ma

rch

19

.41

21

.39

22

.42

10

.2

4.8

Ap

ril

18

.75

21

.76

22

.50

16

.1

3.4

Ma

y1

8.7

8

21

.76

22

.79

15

.9

4.7

June

18

.84

22

.00

22

.31

16

.8

1.4

July

19

.19

21

.82

22

.01

13

.7

0.9

Aug

ust

19

.80

21

.80

21

.85

10

.1

0.2

Se

pte

mb

er

19

.87

21

.66

21

.47

9.0

(0.9

)

Ite

m2

01

22

01

3P

erc

en

t C

ha

ng

e2

01

1

Page 8: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

The October-December 2013 production forecast based on standing crop

indicates 10.3% growth from last year’s level of 6.54 million MT to 7.22

million MT this year. Harvest area may expand to 1.86 million hectares,

or 8.7% above last year’s record of 1.71 million hectares. Yield per

hectare may improve by 1.5%, from 3.83 MT to 3.89 MT.

Probable increases in production in all regions are foreseen compared to

last year. This could be attributed to expansion in harvest area due to

movement of cropping from third quarter to fourth quarter, availability of

seed support from DA/PhilRice seed banking program, LGUs’ “plant-

now-pay-later” scheme and distribution of rehabilitation seeds to areas

damaged by typhoons and floods.

This quarter’s yield may improve in all regions except in Central Luzon

which was heavily affected by “habagat”. The increases could be

attributed to more usage of hybrid and HYV seeds, sufficient water

supply, increased fertilizer application, lesser occurrence of pests and

diseases, and improved weather conditions.

January-March 2014 Forecast

Based on farmers’ planting

intentions, the January-

March 2014 production

forecast is 4.33 million MT,

3.8% above the 4.17 million

MT output in 2013. Harvest

area may expand from 1.11

million hectares in 2013 to

1.15 million hectares in 2014,

or by 3.4%. Yield per

hectare may improve from

3.75 MT to 3.76 MT, or by

0.4%.

Probable large production increments are expected in Western Visayas,

ARMM, Davao Region, Bicol Region and Ilocos Region.

42 3

Tab

le 2

8. R

ice:

Mon

thly

aver

age

prev

ail

ing p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Met

ro M

an

ila

, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2011

-2013

(In

peso

pe

r kilo

gra

m)

20

12

/20

11

20

13

/20

12

ME

TR

O M

AN

ILA

WH

OL

ES

AL

E

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.3

0.0

0

30

.68

3

1.6

1

2.3

3.0

Janu

ary

31

.00

3

1.6

5

30

.40

2

.1

(3

.9)

Fe

bru

ary

30

.25

3

0.9

0

30

.40

2

.1

(1

.6)

Ma

rch

30

.10

3

0.7

2

30

.08

2

.1

(2

.1)

Ap

ril

29

.76

3

0.4

0

30

.00

2

.2

(1

.3)

Ma

y2

9.6

0

30

.40

3

0.7

5

2.7

1.2

June

29

.60

3

0.4

0

31

.00

2

.7

2

.0

July

29

.68

3

0.4

0

32

.50

2

.4

6

.9

Aug

ust

30

.00

3

0.4

0

33

.76

1

.3

1

1.1

Se

pte

mb

er

30

.00

3

0.8

8

35

.60

2

.9

1

5.3

RE

TA

IL

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.3

5.0

0

35

.00

3

5.3

6

-

1

.0

Janu

ary

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

Fe

bru

ary

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

Ma

rch

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

Ap

ril

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

Ma

y3

5.0

0

35

.00

3

5.0

0

-

-

June

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

July

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.00

-

-

Aug

ust

35

.00

3

5.0

0

35

.20

-

0.6

Se

pte

mb

er

35

.00

3

5.0

0

38

.00

-

8.6

Pe

rce

nt

Ch

an

ge

MO

NT

H2

01

12

01

22

01

3

Page 9: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

Tab

le 2

7. P

ala

y/R

ice:

Mon

thly

aver

age

pre

vail

ing p

rice

s b

y m

ark

et l

evel

,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Sep

tem

ber

, 2011-2

013

20

12

/20

11

20

13

/20

12

FA

RM

GA

TE

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.1

5.6

9

16

.64

16

.89

6.0

1.5

Ja

nua

ry1

5.1

4

16

.14

16

.31

6.6

1.1

Fe

bru

ary

15

.55

16

.25

16

.22

4.5

(0.2

)

Ma

rch

15

.61

16

.37

16

.09

4.9

(1.7

)

Ap

ril

15

.57

16

.47

16

.37

5.8

(0.6

)

Ma

y1

5.8

3

16

.67

16

.52

5.3

(0.9

)

June

15

.72

16

.92

16

.83

7.6

(0.5

)

July

16

.04

17

.12

17

.42

6.7

1.8

Aug

ust

15

.99

17

.15

18

.15

7.3

5.8

Se

pte

mb

er

15

.75

16

.65

18

.06

5.7

8.5

WH

OL

ES

AL

E

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.3

2.0

1

32

.84

33

.84

2.6

3.0

Ja

nua

ry3

1.5

4

32

.54

32

.77

3.2

0.7

Fe

bru

ary

31

.86

32

.52

32

.78

2.1

0.8

Ma

rch

31

.88

32

.63

32

.81

2.4

0.6

Ap

ril

31

.97

32

.68

32

.71

2.2

0.1

Ma

y3

2.1

0

32

.78

32

.80

2.1

0.1

June

32

.15

32

.92

33

.18

2.4

0.8

July

32

.18

33

.19

34

.51

3.1

4.0

Aug

ust

32

.23

33

.26

36

.01

3.2

8.3

Se

pte

mb

er

32

.18

33

.06

37

.00

2.7

11

.9

RE

TA

IL

Ja

n.-

Se

p. A

ve

.3

4.6

7

35

.31

36

.17

1.8

2.4

Ja

nua

ry3

4.3

4

35

.08

35

.24

2.2

0.5

Fe

bru

ary

34

.58

35

.08

35

.30

1.4

0.6

Ma

rch

34

.57

35

.18

35

.31

1.8

0.4

Ap

ril

34

.57

35

.23

35

.24

1.9

0.0

Ma

y3

4.7

1

35

.25

35

.31

1.6

0.2

June

34

.74

35

.27

35

.59

1.5

0.9

July

34

.78

35

.44

36

.48

1.9

2.9

Aug

ust

34

.88

35

.70

37

.85

2.4

6.0

Se

pte

mb

er

34

.88

35

.55

39

.19

1.9

10

.2

Pe

rc

en

t C

ha

ng

eM

ON

TH

20

11

20

12

20

13

(In

peso

pe

r kilo

gra

m)

Figure 6. Palay: Thematic map of production by region,

Philippines, July-September, 2013

4 41

Page 10: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

1.2 Corn

Calendar Year 2013 Forecast

Corn production for calendar

year 2013 is forecast at 7.37

million MT, 0.5% below the

2012 output of 7.41 million

MT. Harvest area may

contract to 2.57 million

hectares, 1.0% smaller than

last year’s 2.59 million

hectares. On the other hand,

yield per hectare may

improve from 2.86 MT in

2012 to 2.87 MT this year.

July-December 2013 Crop

Production for July-

December 2013 may

increase to 4.05 million MT,

2.8% more than last year’s

3.94 million MT output.

Harvest area may expand to

1.49 million hectares, 0.7%

larger than last year’s 1.48 million hectares. Yield per hectare may

improve by 2.2%, or from 2.66 MT in 2012 to 2.71 MT in 2013.

The July-September 2013 corn production was 2.60 million MT, 7.0%

higher than the 2012 level of 2.43 million MT. Harvest area expanded by

3.1%, or from 907 thousand hectares in 2012 to 935 thousand hectares this

year. Yield per hectare improved from 2.68 MT last year to 2.78 MT this

year.

Growth in production, harvest area and yield were noted in Western

Visayas, Northern Mindanao and SOCCSKSARGEN.

Tab

le 2

6. C

orn

: Y

ield

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Dec

emb

er,

2011

-2013 a

nd

Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2012

-2014

(In

metr

ic t

on p

er

he

cta

re)

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

b/

- P

lan

ting

inte

ntio

ns

Oct'1

3 rd

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

Oct'1

3 rd

b/Le

vel

%Le

vel

%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

2.74

2.86

2.87

0.12

4.2 0.0

2

0.6 3.1

0

3.2

0

3.2

7

0.1

0

3.2

0.0

7

2.1 CA

R3.9

0

3.9

3

3.9

0

0.0

3

0.7

(0.03

)

(0.9)

4.0

9

3.9

5

4.0

7

(0.

14)

(3.4)

0.12

3.0

Iloco

s5.0

3

5.2

5

5.3

2

0.2

3

4.5

0.07

1.4

5.43

5.55

5.63

0.12

2.2

0.08

1.5

Caga

yan V

alley

3.79

4.34

4.12

0.54

14.3

(0.

22)

(5.

1)

4.35

4.24

4.24

(0.10

)

(2.

3)

0.0

0

0.0 Ce

ntral

Luzo

n4.8

5

5.2

0

5.1

6

0.3

5

7.2

(0.04

)

(0.8)

5.1

5

5.2

6

5.1

1

0.1

1

2.1

(0.

14)

(2.7)

Ca

labarz

on1.8

1

1.7

7

2.4

5

(0.

03)

(1.

9)

0.68

38

.2

1.72

1.86

2.77

0.14

8.2

0.91

48

.9

Mima

ropa

3.18

3.56

3.74

0.38

11.9

0.1

8

5.0 4.2

7

4.3

8

4.2

4

0.1

1

2.6

(0.

14)

(3.2)

Bi

col

1.99

2.04

2.34

0.05

2.7 0.3

0

14.7

1.6

3

1.9

9

1.8

9

0.3

7

22.4

(0.

11)

(5.3)

W

ester

n Visa

yas

2.54

2.70

2.79

0.16

6.4 0.0

9

3.4 3.1

6

2.9

9

2.9

9

(0.

17)

(5.4)

0.00

0.1

Centr

al Vi

saya

s0.8

3

0.8

3

0.9

0

(0.

00)

(0.

0)

0.07

8.3

0.69

0.66

0.68

(0.03

)

(4.

7)

0.0

2

3.3 Ea

stern

Visa

yas

1.38

1.42

1.46

0.04

2.7 0.0

4

3.0 1.4

5

1.5

4

1.5

8

0.0

9

6.4

0.0

4

2.8 Za

mboa

nga P

en.

1.51

1.57

1.63

0.05

3.6 0.0

6

4.1 1.9

8

1.8

3

1.7

0

(0.

15)

(7.6)

(0.13

)

(7.

0)

N. M

indan

ao3.3

3

3.2

6

3.1

8

(0.

07)

(2.

1)

(0.08

)

(2.5)

3.0

1

2.4

7

2.8

9

(0.

54)

(17.9)

0.4

2

16.9

Da

vao

Regio

n1.2

8

1.3

6

1.4

0

0.0

8

6.0

0.04

2.8

1.37

1.32

1.54

(0.04

)

(3.

2)

0.2

2

16.5

SO

CCSK

SARG

EN2.7

4

2.8

0

3.0

0

0.0

6

2.1

0.20

7.2

2.67

2.87

2.88

0.20

7.7

0.01

0.3

Carag

a2.4

0

2.6

5

2.8

0

0.2

5

10

.3

0.15

5.7

1.01

1.99

1.78

0.98

96

.6

(0.21

)

(10

.6)

ARMM

2.80

2.56

2.42

(0.24

)

(8.7)

(0.

14)

(5.

4)

2.60

2.27

2.85

(0.33

)

(12

.7)

0.58

25

.4

2012

/ 20

1120

13 /

2012

2013

/ 20

12

Janu

ary-D

ecem

ber

Chan

ge

2012

2013

2014

Chan

ge20

14 /

2013

Janu

ary-M

arch

2011

2012

2013

Item

40 5

Page 11: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

In Northern Mindanao, more

farmers were encouraged to

plant because of LGUs’

agriculture production

assistance program through

provision of seeds to farmers

affected by typhoon “Pablo”

last year. The high demand

for corn from piggery and

poultry raisers, good price

and presence of financiers-

traders pushed production to

go up.

In SOCCSKSARGEN, growth in production was enhanced by higher

usage of hybrid and GMO seeds, increased fertilizer application and lesser

occurrence of pests. In Western Visayas, the reasons cited for increased

production and larger harvest area were better prices, availability of seeds,

interventions from DA/LGUs and presence of financiers.

Based on standing crop, the

October-December 2013

corn production is forecast

at 1.45 million MT, 3.8%

below the 1.51 million MT

output in 2012. Harvest area

may contract from 576

thousand hectares to 557

thousand hectares. Yield per

hectare may decrease from

2.62 MT to 2.60 MT or by

0.7%.

Significant reductions in corn production and harvest area during the

period could be attributed to the adverse effects of moisture stress and

later by typhoons “Labuyo” and “Odette” during the reproductive stage of

the crop in Cagayan Valley. In Northern Mindanao, the shifting to cash

crops, pineapple and palm oil may bring down production and harvest

area.

(In

hecta

re)

Tab

le 2

5. C

orn

: H

arv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

orec

ast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Dec

emb

er,

201

1-2

013 a

nd

Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2012

-2014

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

b/

- P

lan

ting

inte

ntio

ns

Oct'1

3 rd

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

Oct'1

3 rd

b/Le

vel

%Le

vel

%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

2,544

,612

2,5

93,82

5

2,567

,041

49

,213

1.9 (26

,784)

(1.03

)

651,0

18

70

2,976

732,8

33

51

,958

8.0

29,85

7

4.25

CA

R56

,051

57

,290

61

,639

1,2

39

2.2 4,3

49

7.6

20,06

7

20

,054

20,25

5

(13)

(0.

1)

20

1

1.0 Ilo

cos

77,18

3

82,79

3

84,10

6

5,610

7.3

1,313

1.6 53

,546

59,37

3

58

,503

5,8

27

10

.9

(870)

(1.

5)

Caga

yan V

alley

422,0

95

43

2,366

416,4

90

10

,271

2.4 (15

,876)

(3.7)

10

9,225

176,0

81

16

7,100

66,85

6

61.2

(8,

981)

(5.1)

Ce

ntral

Luzo

n38

,836

40

,481

44

,140

1,6

45

4.2 3,6

59

9.0

15,48

7

19

,010

16,74

4

3,523

22.7

(2,

266)

(11.9)

Ca

labarz

on31

,858

33

,080

33

,906

1,2

22

3.8 82

6

2.5 6,0

78

6,867

8,5

52

789

13

.0

1,685

24.5

Mi

maro

pa26

,463

24

,496

28

,022

(1,

967)

(7.

4)

3,526

14.4

4,8

10

8,008

8,4

99

3,198

66.5

49

1

6.1 Bi

col

108,2

43

11

2,964

109,7

46

4,7

21

4.4 (3,

218)

(2.8)

32

,674

25,58

7

30

,436

(7,

087)

(21.7)

4,8

49

19

.0

Wes

tern V

isaya

s12

2,216

122,5

69

12

4,937

353

0.3 2,3

68

1.9

35,22

7

34

,030

38,25

9

(1,19

7)

(3.

4)

4,2

29

12

.4

Centr

al Vi

saya

s21

2,438

206,2

70

19

9,169

(6,16

8)

(2.9)

(7,

101)

(3.4)

38

,897

34,55

4

36

,803

(4,

343)

(11.2)

2,2

49

6.5

Easte

rn Vi

saya

s60

,950

61

,699

62

,340

74

9

1.2

641

1.0

7,370

7,5

42

7,572

17

2

2.3

30

0.4 Za

mboa

nga P

en.

132,4

07

13

4,979

125,9

44

2,5

72

1.9 (9,

035)

(6.7)

26

,566

25,62

6

18

,444

(94

0)

(3.5)

(7,18

2)

(28

.0)

N. M

indan

ao36

4,059

376,8

00

37

2,565

12,74

1

3.5

(4,23

5)

(1.

1)

109,3

84

10

2,166

107,1

15

(7,

218)

(6.6)

4,949

4.8 Da

vao

Regio

n14

9,081

146,0

77

15

9,349

(3,00

4)

(2.0)

13

,272

9.1 23

,798

19,90

3

28

,677

(3,

895)

(16.4)

8,7

74

44

.1

SOCC

SKSA

RGEN

427,0

50

42

9,319

430,6

84

2,2

69

0.5 1,3

65

0.3

96,51

8

97

,112

99,83

0

594

0.6

2,718

2.8 Ca

raga

31,55

4

33,83

0

38,04

0

2,276

7.2

4,210

12.4

43

3

26

3

41

0

(17

0)

(39.3)

14

7

55.9

AR

MM28

4,128

298,8

12

27

5,964

14,68

4

5.2

(22,84

8)

(7.

6)

70,93

8

66

,800

85,63

4

(4,13

8)

(5.

8)

18

,834

28

.2

2012

/ 20

1120

13 /

2012

2013

/ 20

12

Janu

ary-D

ecem

ber

Chan

ge

2012

2013

2014

Chan

ge20

14 /

2013

Janu

ary-M

arch

2011

2012

2013

Item

6 39

Page 12: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

Tab

le 2

0. C

orn

: H

arv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

orec

ast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Ju

ly-D

ecem

ber

, 2010

-2012

January-March 2014 Forecast

The January-March 2014

production, based on

farmers’ planting intentions

may reach 2.39 million MT

which is 6.5% above the

2013 level of 2.25 million

MT. Harvest area may be

larger by 4.3%, or from 703

thousand hectares to 733

thousand hectares. Yield per

hectare may improve by

2.1% from 3.20 MT in 2013

to 3.27 in 2014.

Farmers in most of the regions intend to increase their plantings. In

ARMM, expansion of harvest area is expected due to utilization of land-

in-fallow. Bigger production is expected in Northern Mindanao in

anticipation of good weather to prevail. Plantings in Davao Region may

increase due to seeds assistance and additional areas for green corn.

Farmers in CALABARZON are encouraged to plant more corn due to

availability of high quality seeds and continuous technical support

provided by DA/LGUs and private sectors.

8

Tab

le 2

4. C

orn

: P

rod

uct

ion

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Dec

emb

er,

201

1-2

013 a

nd

Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2012

-2014

(In

metr

ic t

on

)

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

b/

- P

lan

ting

inte

ntio

ns

Oct'1

3 rd

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

Oct'1

3 rd

b/Le

vel

%Le

vel

%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

6,971

,221

7,4

06,83

0

7,372

,878

43

5,609

6.2 (33

,952)

(0.46

)

2,017

,630

2,2

48,29

0

2,393

,351

23

0,660

11

.4

145,0

61

6.45

CA

R21

8,788

225,1

35

24

0,152

6,347

2.9

15,01

7

6.7

82,06

3

79

,182

82,41

0

(2,88

1)

(3.

5)

3,2

28

4.1

Iloco

s38

7,882

434,7

20

44

7,580

46,83

8

12

.1

12,86

0

3.0

290,9

80

32

9,707

329,6

43

38

,727

13

.3

(64)

(0.

0)

Caga

yan V

alley

1,601

,687

1,8

75,38

5

1,713

,961

27

3,698

17.1

(16

1,424

)

(8.6)

47

4,647

747,2

36

70

9,248

272,5

89

57.4

(37

,988)

(5.

1)

Centr

al Lu

zon

188,4

94

21

0,574

227,8

57

22

,080

11.7

17

,283

8.2 79

,722

99,92

5

85

,640

20

,203

25

.3

(14,28

5)

(14.3)

Ca

labarz

on57

,557

58

,657

83

,109

1,1

00

1.9 24

,452

41.7

10

,456

12,78

4

23

,704

2,3

28

22

.3

10,92

0

85.4

Mi

maro

pa84

,173

87

,223

10

4,772

3,050

3.6

17,54

9

20

.1

20,54

8

35

,090

36,06

6

14,54

2

70.8

97

6

2.8 Bi

col

215,0

25

23

0,545

256,8

93

15

,520

7.2 26

,348

11.4

53

,239

51,04

3

57

,478

(2,

196)

(4.1)

6,435

12.6

W

ester

n Visa

yas

309,9

15

33

0,782

348,6

51

20

,867

6.7 17

,869

5.4 11

1,277

101,6

42

11

4,402

(9,63

5)

(8.

7)

12

,760

12

.6

Centr

al Vi

saya

s17

7,297

172,1

38

17

9,934

(5,15

9)

(2.9)

7,7

96

4.5

27,00

8

22

,873

25,17

0

(4,13

5)

(15

.3)

2,297

10.0

Ea

stern

Visa

yas

83,99

2

87,33

3

90,88

4

3,341

4.0

3,551

4.1 10

,656

11,59

9

11

,975

94

3

8.8

37

6

3.2 Za

mboa

nga P

en.

200,0

91

21

1,331

205,3

68

11

,240

5.6 (5,

963)

(2.8)

52

,572

46,85

9

31

,375

(5,

713)

(10.9)

(15

,484)

(33

.0)

N. M

indan

ao1,2

12,20

8

1,228

,754

1,1

84,89

3

16,54

6

1.4

(43,86

1)

(3.

6)

329,3

32

25

2,666

309,6

62

(76

,666)

(23

.3)

56,99

6

22.6

Da

vao

Regio

n19

1,213

198,6

27

22

2,646

7,414

3.9

24,01

9

12

.1

32,50

9

26

,308

44,14

6

(6,20

1)

(19

.1)

17,83

8

67.8

SO

CCSK

SARG

EN1,1

70,55

4

1,201

,331

1,2

91,34

3

30,77

7

2.6

90,01

2

7.5

257,5

65

27

9,042

287,7

04

21

,477

8.3

8,662

3.1 Ca

raga

75,68

4

89,52

1

106,4

11

13

,837

18.3

16

,890

18.9

43

8

52

3

72

9

85

19.4

20

6

39.4

AR

MM79

6,661

764,7

74

66

8,424

(31,88

7)

(4.

0)

(96,35

0)

(12

.6)

184,6

18

15

1,811

243,9

99

(32

,807)

(17

.8)

92,18

8

60.7

2012

/ 20

1120

13 /

2012

2013

/ 20

12

Janu

ary-D

ecem

ber

Chan

ge

2012

2013

2014

Chan

ge20

14 /

2013

Janu

ary-M

arch

2011

2012

2013

Item

38 7

Page 13: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

Tab

le 2

3. C

orn

: C

rop

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y c

rop

typ

e,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Marc

h, 2012-2

014

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

b/

- P

lan

ting

inte

ntio

ns

PRO

DUCT

ION

('000

MT)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch2,

018

2,24

8

2,39

3

11.4

6.5

W

hite

486

46

6

56

1

(4

.1)

20.3

Y

ello

w1,

531

1,78

2

1,83

2

16.4

2.8

HARV

EST

AREA

('00

0Ha)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch65

1

703

733

8.0

4.2

W

hite

292

28

2

30

2

(3

.6)

7.1

Y

ello

w35

9

421

431

17.4

2.3

YIEL

D/HE

CTAR

E (M

T)

Jan

uary

-Mar

ch3.

10

3.

20

3.

27

3.

2

2.

1

W

hite

1.66

1.65

1.86

(0.6

)

12

.3

Y

ello

w4.

27

4.

23

4.

25

(0

.9)

0.5

PERC

ENT

CHAN

GE

Oct

'13

rd b

/ 2

013

/ 201

2 2

014

/ 201

3 IT

EM20

12

2013

20

14

Figure 12. Corn: Thematic map of production by region,

Philippines, July-September, 2013

8 37

Page 14: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

2.0 Prices

2.1 Palay/Rice

Average farmgate price of palay

for January-September 2013 was

P16.89 per kilogram, 1.5%

higher than the P16.64 per

kilogram quotation in 2012. In

2013, the highest price was

recorded at P18.15 per kilogram

in August and lowest at P16.09

per kilogram in March.

At wholesale, monthly average

price of rice for the first nine (9)

months of 2013 at P33.84 per

kilogram was 3.0% higher than

the P32.84 per kilogram price in

2012. A significant increase in

price was noted from P33.18 per

kilogram in June 2013 to P37.00

per kilogram in September 2013.

The average retail price of rice

for the first three (3) quarters of

2013 was P36.17 per kilogram.

The trend of retail price this year

was the same as that of

wholesale price. From P35.59 per

kilogram in June 2013 price

surged to P39.19 per kilogram in

September 2013.

Tab

le 2

2. C

orn

: Y

ield

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y s

emi-

an

nu

al,

by r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es,

Jan

uary

-Dec

emb

er,

201

1-2

013

(In

metr

ic t

on p

er

he

cta

re)

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

Oct'1

3 rd

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

3.01

3.12

3.09

0.1

3.8

(0.

0)

(0.9)

2.54

2.66

2.71

0.12

4.8

0.0

6

2.2

CA

R4.1

0

4.1

4

4.0

3

0.0

1.0

(0.1)

(2.

8)

3.7

4

3.7

5

3.7

9

0.0

2

0.4

0.04

1.1

Iloco

s5.1

3

5.3

5

5.4

2

0.2

4.3

0.1

1.4

3.24

3.42

3.53

0.18

5.5

0.1

1

3.2

Ca

gaya

n Vall

ey4.0

8

4.3

7

4.2

3

0.3

7.2

(0.1)

(3.

2)

3.5

0

4.3

0

3.9

9

0.8

1

23

.1

(0.32

)

(7.3)

Centr

al Lu

zon

5.21

5.48

5.42

0.3

5.1

(0.

1)

(1.2)

2.80

3.73

3.72

0.93

33.3

(0.

01)

(0.

4)

Ca

labarz

on1.8

3

1.6

2

1.8

3

(0.

2)

(11.7)

0.2

12.9

1.7

9

1.8

4

2.7

0

0.0

5

2.7

0.86

46

.6

Mima

ropa

3.81

4.39

4.44

0.6

15.3

0.0

1.0

2.4

8

2.6

1

2.7

5

0.1

4

5.5

0.14

5.5

Bico

l2.1

8

2.0

9

2.5

0

(0.

1)

(3.8)

0.4

19

.6

1.80

1.98

2.17

0.19

10.4

0.1

9

9.5

W

ester

n Visa

yas

2.77

2.92

2.79

0.2

5.4

(0.

1)

(4.6)

2.36

2.54

2.79

0.18

7.6

0.2

6

10.1

Ce

ntral

Visa

yas

0.68

0.70

0.67

0.0

3.5

(0.

0)

(3.9)

0.88

0.88

0.97

(0.01

)

(0.9)

0.09

10

.4

Easte

rn Vi

saya

s1.4

2

1.4

4

1.5

1

0.0

1.5

0.1

4.3

1.34

1.39

1.41

0.05

3.8

0.0

2

1.7

Za

mboa

nga P

en.

1.55

1.83

1.75

0.3

17.4

(0.

1)

(4.2)

1.49

1.47

1.59

(0.02

)

(1.5)

0.12

8.0

N. M

indan

ao2.9

2

2.9

0

2.4

6

(0.

0)

(0.6)

(0.4)

(15

.1)

3.59

3.47

3.57

(0.12

)

(3.4)

0.10

3.0

Dava

o Re

gion

1.24

1.29

1.25

0.0

3.9

(0.

0)

(3.4)

1.31

1.41

1.48

0.10

7.7

0.0

8

5.5

SO

CCSK

SARG

EN2.6

7

2.7

3

2.9

0

0.1

2.5

0.2

6.2

2.79

2.84

3.06

0.05

1.8

0.2

2

7.7

Ca

raga

1.60

2.33

2.56

0.7

45.9

0.2

9.8

2.4

4

2.7

1

2.8

4

0.2

7

10

.9

0.13

4.7

ARMM

2.70

2.67

2.33

(0.0)

(1.

2)

(0.

3)

(12.8)

2.9

0

2.4

6

2.4

9

(0.

44)

(15

.3)

0.03

1.4

2013

/ 20

1220

12 /

2011

2013

/ 20

1220

1120

1220

1320

1120

1220

13Ch

ange

2012

/ 20

11Ch

ange

July-

Dece

mbe

rJa

nuar

y-Jun

e

Item

36 9

Page 15: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

In Metro Manila, this year’s 9-

month average wholesale price

of rice was P31.61 per

kilogram. Significant increases

in monthly prices were

observed from P31.00 per

kilogram in June 2013 to

P35.60 per kilogram in

September 2013.

The average monthly retail

price of rice in Metro Manila

remained stable at P35.00 per

kilogram until July 2013. It

rose to P35.20 per kilogram in

August 2013 and surged to

P38.00 per kilogram in

September 2013.

2.2 Corn

Yellow Corn

The average farmgate price of

yellow corn for January to

September 2013 was P11.94

per kilogram, 5.7% below the

P12.67 per kilogram price last

year. In general, monthly prices

declined from P12.48 per

kilogram in January 2013 to

P11.74 per kilogram in

September 2013.

Tab

le 2

1. C

orn

: H

arv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

orec

ast

s b

y s

emi-

an

nu

al,

by r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Jan

uary

-Dec

emb

er,

201

1-2

013

(In

hecta

re)

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

Oct'1

3 rd

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

1,100

,678

1,1

11,52

7

1,075

,075

10

,849

1.0

(36,45

2)

(3.

28)

1,4

43,93

4

1,482

,298

1,4

91,96

6

38,36

4

2.7

9,668

0.65

CA

R25

,800

26,25

3

27

,401

453

1.8

1,148

4.4

30

,251

31,03

7

34,23

8

786

2.6

3,2

01

10

.3

Iloco

s73

,015

78,53

1

79

,544

5,516

7.6

1,0

13

1.3

4,168

4,2

62

4,5

62

94

2.3

30

0

7.0

Ca

gaya

n Vall

ey21

5,581

214,9

05

21

7,398

(676)

(0.

3)

2,4

93

1.2

206,5

14

21

7,461

199,0

92

10

,947

5.3

(18

,369)

(8.4)

Centr

al Lu

zon

33,02

6

34

,014

37,51

0

98

8

3.0

3,4

96

10

.3

5,810

6,4

67

6,6

30

65

7

11

.3

163

2.5

Calab

arzon

9,928

10

,360

9,718

43

2

4.4

(64

2)

(6.2)

21,93

0

22

,720

24

,188

79

0

3.6

1,468

6.5

Mi

maro

pa13

,996

13,05

6

16

,390

(940)

(6.

7)

3,3

34

25

.5

12,46

7

11

,440

11

,632

(1,

027)

(8.

2)

19

2

1.7

Bi

col

53,96

7

58

,759

55,66

6

4,7

92

8.9

(3,09

3)

(5.

3)

54

,276

54,20

5

54,08

0

(71)

(0.1)

(125)

(0.

2)

W

ester

n Visa

yas

52,68

0

51

,642

49,13

8

(1,

038)

(2.0)

(2,50

4)

(4.

8)

69

,536

70,92

7

75,79

9

1,391

2.0

4,872

6.9

Ce

ntral

Visa

yas

50,09

9

48

,022

42,84

3

(2,

077)

(4.1)

(5,17

9)

(10

.8)

162,3

39

15

8,248

156,3

26

(4,

091)

(2.

5)

(1,

922)

(1.2)

Easte

rn Vi

saya

s27

,909

28,24

7

29

,300

338

1.2

1,053

3.7

33

,041

33,45

2

33,04

0

411

1.2

(41

2)

(1.2)

Zamb

oang

a Pen

.40

,354

36,38

3

33

,423

(3,97

1)

(9.

8)

(2,

960)

(8.1)

92,05

3

98

,596

92

,521

6,5

43

7.1

(6,

075)

(6.2)

N. M

indan

ao14

1,478

137,9

46

13

1,487

(3,53

2)

(2.

5)

(6,

459)

(4.7)

222,5

81

23

8,854

241,0

78

16

,273

7.3

2,2

24

0.9

Dava

o Re

gion

54,79

3

58

,628

58,15

0

3,8

35

7.0

(478)

(0.

8)

94

,288

87,44

9

101,1

99

(6,

839)

(7.

3)

13

,750

15.7

SO

CCSK

SARG

EN16

5,982

165,9

06

16

3,304

(76)

(0.

0)

(2,

602)

(1.6)

261,0

68

26

3,413

267,3

80

2,3

45

0.9

3,9

67

1.5

Carag

a1,7

29

5,882

5,6

23

4,153

240.2

(25

9)

(4.4)

29,82

5

27

,948

32

,417

(1,

877)

(6.

3)

4,4

69

16

.0

ARMM

140,3

41

14

2,993

118,1

80

2,6

52

1.9

(24,81

3)

(17

.4)

143,7

87

15

5,819

157,7

84

12

,032

8.4

1,9

65

1.3

2013

/ 20

1220

12 /

2011

2013

/ 20

1220

1120

1220

1320

1120

1220

13Ch

ange

2012

/ 20

11Ch

ange

July-

Dece

mbe

rJa

nuar

y-Jun

e

Item

10 35

Page 16: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

At wholesale, this year’s 9-

month average price of yellow

corn was P15.82 per kilogram,

0.9% higher than last year’s

record of P15.69 per kilogram.

From the peak price of P16.01

per kilogram in May 2013, it

went down to P15.43 per

kilogram in September 2013.

The average retail price of

yellow corn for January to

September 2013 was P22.16 per

kilogram, 2.5% above last year’s

price of P21.61 per kilogram.

This year’s price was highest in

May 2013 at P22.79 per

kilogram and lowest in

September 2013 at P21.47 per

kilogram.

White Corn

At farmgate, the average price of

white corn from January to

September 2013 was P15.89 per

kilogram, 13.2% above last

year’s level of P14.04 per

kilogram. From P17.03 per

kilogram in April 2013, farmgate

prices continuously declined to

P14.27 per kilogram in

September 2013.

10

(In

metr

ic t

on

)

Tab

le 2

0. C

orn

: P

rod

uct

ion

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y s

emi-

an

nu

al,

by r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, J

an

uary

-Dec

emb

er,

201

1-2

013

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

Oct'1

3 rd

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

3,309

,439

3,4

68,76

5

3,323

,309

15

9,326

4.8

(145,4

56)

(4.

19)

3,6

61,78

2

3,938

,065

4,0

49,56

9

276,2

83

7.5

111,5

04

2.83

CA

R10

5,787

108,6

78

11

0,298

2,891

2.7

1,6

20

1.5

113,0

01

11

6,457

129,8

54

3,4

56

3.1

13

,397

11.5

Ilo

cos

374,3

62

42

0,128

431,4

59

45

,766

12

.2

11,33

1

2.7

13,52

0

14

,592

16

,121

1,0

72

7.9

1,5

29

10

.5

Caga

yan V

alley

879,3

31

93

9,267

919,7

16

59

,936

6.8

(19,55

1)

(2.

1)

72

2,356

936,1

18

79

4,245

213,7

62

29

.6

(141,8

73)

(15

.2)

Centr

al Lu

zon

172,2

21

18

6,433

203,2

03

14

,212

8.3

16,77

0

9.0

16,27

3

24

,141

24

,654

7,8

68

48.4

51

3

2.1

Ca

labarz

on18

,209

16,77

2

17

,758

(1,43

7)

(7.

9)

98

6

5.9

39

,348

41,88

5

65,35

1

2,537

6.4

23,46

6

56

.0

Mima

ropa

53,31

1

57

,342

72,73

2

4,0

31

7.6

15,39

0

26

.8

30,86

2

29

,881

32

,040

(98

1)

(3.

2)

2,1

59

7.2

Bico

l11

7,445

122,9

84

13

9,352

5,539

4.7

16

,368

13.3

97

,580

107,5

61

11

7,541

9,981

10

.2

9,980

9.3

W

ester

n Visa

yas

145,9

86

15

0,860

136,8

82

4,8

74

3.3

(13,97

8)

(9.

3)

16

3,929

179,9

22

21

1,769

15,99

3

9.8

31,84

7

17

.7

Centr

al Vi

saya

s33

,894

33,64

1

28

,829

(253)

(0.

7)

(4,

812)

(14.3)

14

3,403

138,4

97

15

1,105

(4,90

6)

(3.4)

12,60

8

9.1

Easte

rn Vi

saya

s39

,732

40,81

3

44

,161

1,081

2.7

3,3

48

8.2

44,26

0

46

,520

46

,723

2,2

60

5.1

20

3

0.4

Za

mboa

nga P

en.

62,71

2

66

,401

58,43

0

3,6

89

5.9

(7,97

1)

(12

.0)

137,3

79

14

4,930

146,9

38

7,5

51

5.5

2,0

08

1.4

N. M

indan

ao41

3,329

400,5

61

32

4,023

(12,76

8)

(3.1)

(76,53

8)

(19

.1)

798,8

79

82

8,193

860,8

70

29

,314

3.7

32

,677

3.9

Da

vao

Regio

n68

,039

75,62

4

72

,444

7,585

11.1

(3,

180)

(4.2)

123,1

74

12

3,003

150,2

02

(17

1)

(0.

1)

27

,199

22.1

SO

CCSK

SARG

EN44

2,916

453,7

36

47

4,398

10,82

0

2.4

20

,662

4.6

72

7,638

747,5

95

81

6,945

19,95

7

2.7

69,35

0

9.3

Carag

a2,7

65

13,72

4

14

,400

10,95

9

396.3

67

6

4.9

72

,919

75,79

7

92,01

1

2,878

3.9

16,21

4

21

.4

ARMM

379,4

00

38

1,801

275,2

24

2,4

01

0.6

(106,5

77)

(27

.9)

417,2

61

38

2,973

393,2

00

(34

,288)

(8.2)

10,22

7

2.7

2013

/ 20

1220

12 /

2011

2013

/ 20

1220

1120

1220

1320

1120

1220

13Ch

ange

2012

/ 20

11Ch

ange

July-

Dece

mbe

rJa

nuar

y-Jun

e

Item

9 11

34 11

Page 17: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

The average wholesale price of

white corn for the first nine (9)

months of 2013 at P15.42 was

the same as last year’s price

quotation. This year’s price

exhibited generally decreasing

trend from P16.05 per kilogram

in January to P14.68 per

kilogram in September.

The 9-month average retail price

of white corn for 2013 was

P19.12 per kilogram, 2.9% lower

than the P19.69 per kilogram

price in 2012. Monthly prices in

May to September 2013 were

lower than last year’s price

quotations ranging from P19.58

per kilogram to P18.02 per

kilogram.

2.3 Fertilizer

The average monthly dealers’

price of urea fertilizer for

January to September 2013 was

P1,181.53 per bag of 50

kilograms. This was 9.6% lower

than the last year’s quotation of

P1,307.71 per bag. This year’s

monthly price of urea fertilizer

continued to decline from

P1,227.30 per bag in January to P1,110.88 per bag in September.

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

a/

- S

tand

ing

cro

p

(In

metr

ic t

on p

er

he

cta

re)

Tab

le 1

9. C

orn

: Y

ield

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, J

uly

-Dec

em

ber

, 2011-2

013

Oct'1

3 rd

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

Oct'1

3 rd

a/Le

vel

%Le

vel

%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

2.55

2.68

2.78

0.14

5.3

0.10

3.8

2.52

2.62

2.60

0.10

3.8

(0.02

)

(0.7)

CAR

3.68

3.69

3.68

0.00

0.1

(0.01

)

(0.1)

3.95

4.00

4.19

0.05

1.4

0.18

4.6

Iloco

s3.1

3

3.3

3

3.3

9

0.2

0

6.3

0.0

6

1.9

3.4

0

3.5

5

3.7

2

0.1

5

4.4

0.1

7

4.7

Ca

gaya

n Vall

ey3.6

1

4.2

7

4.0

0

0.6

5

18.1

(0.

27)

(6.

4)

2.9

2

4.4

6

3.9

1

1.5

4

52.8

(0.

55)

(12

.4)

Centr

al Lu

zon

2.81

3.41

3.50

0.60

21

.5

0.09

2.5

2.78

4.53

4.26

1.75

63

.1

(0.27

)

(5.9)

Calab

arzon

1.87

1.76

2.29

(0.11

)

(5.

7)

0.5

3

30.0

1.7

0

1.9

7

3.2

0

0.2

6

15.5

1.2

4

63.0

Mi

maro

pa2.6

0

2.7

7

2.9

9

0.1

7

6.5

0.2

2

8.0

2.1

8

2.2

0

2.2

2

0.0

2

0.8

0.0

2

0.9

Bi

col

1.66

1.72

1.97

0.05

3.1

0.26

14

.9

2.27

2.95

2.75

0.67

29

.7

(0.19

)

(6.5)

Wes

tern V

isaya

s2.5

2

2.6

8

2.9

1

0.1

6

6.4

0.2

3

8.5

1.9

8

2.1

8

2.4

8

0.2

0

10.1

0.3

0

13.7

Ce

ntral

Visa

yas

0.92

0.89

0.99

(0.03

)

(3.

2)

0.1

1

12.0

0.8

1

0.8

5

0.9

1

0.0

4

4.6

0.0

6

6.9

Ea

stern

Visa

yas

1.35

1.42

1.46

0.07

5.2

0.03

2.4

1.33

1.37

1.38

0.04

2.7

0.02

1.2

Zamb

oang

a Pen

.1.4

3

1.5

3

1.6

2

0.1

0

7.2

0.0

8

5.4

1.5

7

1.3

9

1.5

5

(0.

18)

(11.7)

0.1

6

11.5

N.

Mind

anao

3.39

3.39

3.58

(0.00

)

(0.

0)

0.1

9

5.5

3.8

4

3.5

6

3.5

6

(0.

28)

(7.3)

(0.00

)

(0.0)

Dava

o Re

gion

1.30

1.48

1.54

0.18

14

.1

0.06

4.0

1.31

1.32

1.43

0.01

0.4

0.11

8.4

SOCC

SKSA

RGEN

2.75

2.82

3.07

0.07

2.6

0.25

9.0

2.83

2.86

3.04

0.03

1.2

0.18

6.4

Carag

a2.5

1

2.6

9

2.8

6

0.1

8

7.3

0.1

7

6.4

2.3

9

2.7

3

2.8

2

0.3

4

14.2

0.0

9

3.3

AR

MM2.8

2

2.2

8

2.3

0

(0.

53)

(18.9)

0.0

2

1.0

2.9

5

2.6

7

2.7

1

(0.

28)

(9.4)

0.04

1.5

2012

/ 20

1120

13 /

2012

Chan

ge

2012

/ 20

1120

13 /

2012

2011

2012

2013

Chan

ge

2011

Octo

ber-D

ecem

ber

2012

2013

July-

Sept

embe

r

Item

12 33

Page 18: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

Average monthly dealers’ price

of ammosul fertilizer was

P745.17 per bag of 50 kilograms,

2.5% below last year’s level of

P764.33 per bag. Prices gradually

dropped from P767.30 per bag in

January 2013 to P707.47 per bag

in September 2013.

Average monthly dealers’ price

of ammophos fertilizer for the

first nine (9) months of 2013 was

relatively stable compared to its

price in the last two (2) years.

The price ranged from P1,067.68

per bag to P1,101.60 per bag of

50 kilograms or an increment of

P33.92 per bag.

In 2013, the 9-month average

monthly dealers’ price of

complete fertilizer was P1,236.58

per bag of 50 kilograms. This

was 2.7% lower than the price in

2012. The monthly price of

complete fertilizer in 2013

showed the same trend as the

other fertilizer grades. Monthly

dealers’ price was lowest in

September 2013 at P1,212.82 per

bag.

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

a/

- S

tand

ing

cro

p

(In

hecta

re)

Tab

le 1

8. C

orn

: h

arv

est

are

a e

stim

ate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Ju

ly-D

ecem

ber

, 201

1-2

013

Oct'1

3 rd

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

Oct'1

3 rd

a/Le

vel

%Le

vel

%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

855,9

85

90

6,761

934,6

13

50

,776

5.9

27,85

2

3.0

7

587,9

49

57

5,537

557,3

53

(12

,412)

(2.

1)

(18

,184)

(3.16

)

CAR

24,26

3

24

,508

26,62

8

24

5

1.0

2,1

20

8.7

5,988

6,5

29

7,610

54

1

9.0

1,0

81

16

.6

Iloco

s2,4

34

2,437

2,5

71

3

0.1

134

5.5

1,734

1,8

25

1,991

91

5.2

16

6

9.1

Ca

gaya

n Vall

ey17

1,894

176,0

51

18

2,713

4,157

2.4

6,6

62

3.8

34,62

0

41

,410

16,37

9

6,790

19.6

(25

,031)

(60.4)

Ce

ntral

Luzo

n4,3

47

4,615

4,7

22

268

6.2

107

2.3

1,463

1,8

52

1,908

38

9

26.6

56

3.0

Ca

labarz

on11

,940

13,79

1

13

,360

1,851

15.5

(43

1)

(3.1)

9,990

8,9

29

10,82

8

(1,06

1)

(10

.6)

1,899

21.3

Mi

maro

pa8,8

57

8,343

8,1

07

(514)

(5.

8)

(23

6)

(2.8)

3,610

3,0

97

3,525

(51

3)

(14.2)

42

8

13.8

Bi

col

42,33

3

42

,379

40,14

7

46

0.1

(2,

232)

(5.3)

11,94

3

11

,826

13,93

3

(117)

(1.

0)

2,1

07

17

.8

Wes

tern V

isaya

s48

,386

50,16

6

54

,984

1,780

3.7

4,8

18

9.6

21,15

0

20

,761

20,81

5

(389)

(1.

8)

54

0.3

Ce

ntral

Visa

yas

110,7

90

10

9,333

107,6

65

(1,

457)

(1.3)

(1,66

8)

(1.

5)

51

,549

48,91

5

48

,661

(2,

634)

(5.1)

(254)

(0.

5)

Ea

stern

Visa

yas

14,85

1

14

,870

14,33

0

19

0.1

(54

0)

(3.6)

18,19

0

18

,582

18,71

0

392

2.2

128

0.7

Zamb

oang

a Pen

.53

,084

54,40

4

51

,939

1,320

2.5

(2,

465)

(4.5)

38,96

9

44

,192

40,58

2

5,223

13.4

(3,

610)

(8.2)

N. M

indan

ao12

4,951

132,4

31

14

2,203

7,480

6.0

9,7

72

7.4

97,63

0

10

6,423

98,87

5

8,793

9.0

(7,

548)

(7.1)

Dava

o Re

gion

43,98

0

46

,849

48,96

1

2,8

69

6.5

2,112

4.5

50

,308

40,60

0

52

,238

(9,

708)

(19.3)

11

,638

28.7

SO

CCSK

SARG

EN12

7,701

129,6

22

13

5,520

1,921

1.5

5,8

98

4.6

133,3

67

13

3,791

131,8

60

42

4

0.3

(1,

931)

(1.4)

Carag

a14

,295

11,29

1

15

,586

(3,00

4)

(21

.0)

4,295

38.0

15

,530

16,65

7

16

,831

1,1

27

7.3

174

1.0

ARMM

51,87

9

85

,671

85,17

7

33

,792

65

.1

(494)

(0.

6)

91

,908

70,14

8

72

,607

(21

,760)

(23

.7)

2,459

3.5

2012

/ 20

1120

13 /

2012

Chan

ge

2012

/ 20

1120

13 /

2012

2011

2012

2013

Chan

ge

2011

Octo

ber-D

ecem

ber

2012

2013

July-

Sept

embe

r

Item

13 32

Page 19: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

3.0 Rainfall

The accumulated rainfall for January to September 2013 was 33,186.4

millimeters. This was 10.7% lower than the 37,169.8 millimeters record

in 2012, but 24.8% more than the normal rainfall condition of 26,584.8

millimeters.

All regions except Western Visayas received above normal rainfall.

National Capital Region received the highest accumulated rainfall at 2,829

millimeters followed by Caraga at 2,673.2 millimeters.

On the other hand, SOCCSKSARGEN received the lowest accumulated

rainfall of 1,037.6 millimeters while Western Visayas was short by 9.3%

or 150.6 millimeters of rainfall compared to its normal condition.

(In

metr

ic t

on

)

Tab

le 1

7. C

orn

: P

rod

uct

ion

est

imate

s an

d f

ore

cast

s b

y q

uart

er, b

y r

egio

n,

Ph

ilip

pin

es, Ju

ly-D

ecem

ber

, 2011-2

013

NO

TE

: T

ota

ls, yie

lds a

nd

pe

rce

nta

ge

ch

an

ge

s w

ere

deri

ve

d fro

m u

nro

un

de

d f

igu

res.

a/

- S

tand

ing

cro

p

Oct'1

3 rd

Leve

l%

Leve

l%

Oct'1

3 rd

a/Le

vel

%Le

vel

%

PHIL

IPPI

NES

2,179

,446

2,4

31,42

9

2,600

,615

25

1,983

11

.6

169,1

86

6.96

1,4

82,33

6

1,506

,636

1,4

48,95

4

24,30

0

1.6

(57

,682)

(3.83

)

CAR

89,35

5

90

,320

97,98

6

96

5

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23,64

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31,86

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14 31

Page 20: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In thousand metric tons)

Table 1. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

January-December 16,684 18,032 18,580 8.1 3.0 Irrigated 12,359 13,396 13,914 8.4 3.9 Rainfed 4,325 4,636 4,667 7.2 0.7 January-June 7,577 7,892 7,998 4.2 1.3 Irrigated 6,151 6,374 6,563 3.6 3.0 Rainfed 1,426 1,518 1,435 6.4 (5.5) January-March 4,037 3,992 4,170 (1.1) 4.5 Irrigated 3,123 3,030 3,332 (3.0) 9.9 Rainfed 914 962 838 5.2 (12.9) April-June 3,540 3,900 3,828 10.2 (1.8) Irrigated 3,028 3,344 3,231 10.4 (3.4) Rainfed 512 556 596 8.5 7.3 July-December 9,107 10,140 10,582 11.4 4.4 Irrigated 6,208 7,022 7,350 13.1 4.7 Rainfed 2,899 3,118 3,232 7.6 3.6 July-September 3,168 3,597 3,363 13.5 (6.5) Irrigated 2,122 2,493 2,372 17.5 (4.9) Rainfed 1,047 1,104 991 5.5 (10.2) October-December 5,938 6,544 7,220 a/ 10.2 10.3 Irrigated 4,086 4,529 4,979 10.9 9.9 Rainfed 1,852 2,014 2,241 8.7 11.2

2012 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 Oct'13 rd

2013 ITEM

PERCENT CHANGE2011

(In metric ton per hectare)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

Table 16. Corn: Yield estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

January-December 2.74 2.86 2.87 4.2 0.6

White 1.68 1.65 1.66 (1.4) 0.8

Yellow 3.82 4.09 4.08 6.9 (0.3)

January-June 3.01 3.12 3.09 3.8 (0.9)

White 1.77 1.77 1.68 (0.0) (5.2)

Yellow 4.02 4.24 4.19 5.4 (1.1)

January-March 2.93 3.10 3.20 5.6 3.2

White 1.75 1.66 1.65 (5.0) (0.6)

Yellow 3.97 4.27 4.23 7.6 (0.9)

April-June 3.11 3.15 2.89 1.3 (8.3)

White 1.80 1.91 1.71 6.4 (10.6)

Yellow 4.09 4.19 4.09 2.4 (2.3)

July-December 2.54 2.66 2.71 4.8 2.2

White 1.62 1.58 1.66 (2.3) 5.0

Yellow 3.64 3.95 3.97 8.5 0.5

July-September 2.55 2.68 2.78 5.3 3.8

White 1.52 1.55 1.63 1.9 5.2

Yellow 3.67 4.02 4.02 9.5 0.1

October-December 2.52 2.62 2.60 3.8 (0.7)

White 1.74 1.62 1.69 (6.8) 4.5

Yellow 3.60 3.85 3.88 7.0 0.8

ITEM 2011 2012 2013 PERCENT CHANGE

Oct'13 rd 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

30

15

Page 21: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In thousand hectares)

Table 2. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

January-December 4,537 4,690 4,770 3.4 1.7 Irrigated 3,073 3,163 3,251 2.9 2.8 Rainfed 1,464 1,527 1,519 4.3 (0.5) January-June 1,993 2,036 2,044 2.1 0.4 Irrigated 1,476 1,490 1,526 1.0 2.4 Rainfed 517 546 518 5.5 (5.1) January-March 1,098 1,080 1,113 (1.6) 3.0 Irrigated 770 732 806 (4.9) 10.0 Rainfed 328 348 308 6.2 (11.7) April-June 895 956 931 6.7 (2.6) Irrigated 706 758 720 7.4 (5.0) Rainfed 189 197 210 4.3 6.5 July-December 2,543 2,654 2,726 4.4 2.7 Irrigated 1,596 1,673 1,725 4.8 3.1 Rainfed 947 981 1,001 3.6 2.0 July-September 871 947 870 8.7 (8.2) Irrigated 525 594 553 13.1 (6.9) Rainfed 346 353 317 2.0 (10.3) October-December 1,672 1,707 1,856 a/ 2.1 8.7 Irrigated 1,071 1,079 1,172 0.7 8.6 Rainfed 601 628 684 4.6 8.9

2012 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 Oct'13 rd

2013 ITEM

PERCENT CHANGE2011

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

(In thousand hectares)

Table 15. Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

January-December 2,545 2,594 2,567 1.9 (1.0)

White 1,284 1,312 1,281 2.2 (2.3)

Yellow 1,261 1,282 1,286 1.7 0.3

January-June 1,101 1,112 1,075 1.0 (3.3)

White 496 503 470 1.4 (6.5)

Yellow 605 609 605 0.7 (0.7)

January-March 652 651 703 (0.2) 8.0

White 304 292 282 (3.8) (3.6)

Yellow 348 359 421 2.9 17.4

April-June 448 461 372 2.7 (19.2)

White 192 210 188 9.6 (10.5)

Yellow 257 250 184 (2.4) (26.5)

July-December 1,444 1,482 1,492 2.7 0.7

White 788 809 811 2.7 0.2

Yellow 656 673 681 2.6 1.2

July-September 856 907 935 5.9 3.1

White 448 492 485 9.7 (1.3)

Yellow 408 415 450 1.8 8.3

October-December 588 576 557 a/ (2.1) (3.2)

White 340 317 326 (6.6) 2.6

Yellow 248 258 232 4.1 (10.3)

ITEM 2011 2012 2013 PERCENT CHANGE

Oct'13 rd 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 16

29

Page 22: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In metric ton per hectare)

Table 3. Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

January-December 3.68 3.84 3.90 4.5 1.3 Irrigated 4.02 4.24 4.28 5.3 1.1 Rainfed 2.95 3.04 3.07 2.8 1.2 January-June 3.80 3.88 3.91 2.0 1.0 Irrigated 4.17 4.28 4.30 2.6 0.6 Rainfed 2.76 2.78 2.77 0.9 (0.4) January-March 3.68 3.70 3.75 0.5 1.4 Irrigated 4.06 4.14 4.14 2.0 (0.1) Rainfed 2.79 2.76 2.73 (0.9) (1.3) April-June 3.95 4.08 4.11 3.2 0.8 Irrigated 4.29 4.41 4.48 2.9 1.7 Rainfed 2.70 2.82 2.84 4.1 0.8 July-December 3.58 3.82 3.88 6.7 1.6 Irrigated 3.89 4.20 4.26 8.0 1.5 Rainfed 3.06 3.18 3.23 3.8 1.6 July-September 3.64 3.80 3.87 4.5 1.8 Irrigated 4.04 4.20 4.29 3.9 2.2 Rainfed 3.02 3.13 3.13 3.4 0.1 October-December 3.55 3.83 3.89 7.9 1.5 Irrigated 3.81 4.20 4.25 10.1 1.2 Rainfed 3.08 3.21 3.28 4.0 2.1

2012 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 Oct'13 rd

2013 ITEM

PERCENT CHANGE2011

(In thousand metric tons)

Table 14. Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

January-December 6,971 7,407 7,373 6.2 (0.5)

White 2,150 2,166 2,132 0.7 (1.6)

Yellow 4,821 5,241 5,241 8.7 (0.0)

January-June 3,309 3,469 3,323 4.8 (4.2)

White 877 889 788 1.3 (11.3)

Yellow 2,432 2,580 2,535 6.1 (1.7)

January-March 1,915 2,018 2,248 5.4 11.4

White 532 486 466 (8.6) (4.1)

Yellow 1,383 1,531 1,782 10.7 16.4

April-June 1,395 1,451 1,075 4.0 (25.9)

White 345 402 322 16.6 (19.9)

Yellow 1,050 1,049 753 (0.1) (28.2)

July-December 3,662 3,938 4,050 7.5 2.8

White 1,273 1,277 1,343 0.3 5.2

Yellow 2,389 2,661 2,706 11.4 1.7

July-September 2,179 2,431 2,601 11.6 7.0

White 682 763 792 11.8 3.8

Yellow 1,497 1,669 1,809 11.5 8.4

October-December 1,482 1,507 1,449 a/ 1.6 (3.8)

White 591 514 552 (13.0) 7.3

Yellow 892 993 897 11.3 (9.6)

ITEM 2011 2012 2013 PERCENT CHANGE

Oct'13 rd 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

28

17

Page 23: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In metric ton)

Table 4. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd a/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 3,168,478 3,596,741 3,362,648 428,263 13.5 (234,093) (6.51) 5,938,375 6,543,755 7,219,742 605,380 10.2 675,987 10.33 CAR 69,751 74,396 71,136 4,645 6.7 (3,260) (4.4) 174,114 191,892 199,354 17,778 10.2 7,462 3.9 Ilocos 110,407 144,000 127,469 33,593 30.4 (16,531) (11.5) 1,098,935 1,154,379 1,184,175 55,444 5.0 29,796 2.6 Cagayan Valley 260,117 491,743 330,597 231,626 89.0 (161,146) (32.8) 660,827 671,254 852,313 10,427 1.6 181,059 27.0 Central Luzon 171,334 211,306 284,495 39,972 23.3 73,189 34.6 968,629 1,435,263 1,460,235 466,634 48.2 24,972 1.7 Calabarzon 55,947 46,203 44,609 (9,744) (17.4) (1,594) (3.4) 134,749 122,072 154,524 (12,677) (9.4) 32,452 26.6 Mimaropa 150,425 145,335 146,301 (5,090) (3.4) 966 0.7 439,945 465,543 498,948 25,598 5.8 33,405 7.2 Bicol 223,594 257,777 227,881 34,183 15.3 (29,896) (11.6) 297,006 325,991 387,204 28,985 9.8 61,213 18.8 Western Visayas 899,424 916,295 822,313 16,871 1.9 (93,982) (10.3) 538,289 658,723 718,337 120,434 22.4 59,614 9.0 Central Visayas 23,782 22,822 21,115 (960) (4.0) (1,707) (7.5) 163,508 160,153 169,691 (3,355) (2.1) 9,538 6.0 Eastern Visayas 166,359 169,841 166,150 3,482 2.1 (3,691) (2.2) 305,086 310,343 321,635 5,257 1.7 11,292 3.6 Zamboanga Pen. 221,552 219,035 219,827 (2,517) (1.1) 792 0.4 148,379 138,576 150,295 (9,803) (6.6) 11,719 8.5 Northern Mindanao 144,805 151,278 180,480 6,473 4.5 29,202 19.3 199,750 207,446 209,469 7,696 3.9 2,023 1.0 Davao Region 127,866 172,657 155,694 44,791 35.0 (16,963) (9.8) 90,843 62,043 63,576 (28,800) (31.7) 1,533 2.5 SOCCSKSARGEN 386,654 381,946 399,844 (4,708) (1.2) 17,898 4.7 354,588 362,379 409,660 7,791 2.2 47,281 13.0 Caraga 29,029 27,285 35,426 (1,744) (6.0) 8,141 29.8 184,852 169,019 223,962 (15,833) (8.6) 54,943 32.5 ARMM 127,432 164,822 129,311 37,390 29.3 (35,511) (21.5) 178,875 108,679 216,364 (70,196) (39.2) 107,685 99.1

Item2012

2013

July-September October-December

2013 / 20122011 20122013

Change

2011

Change

2012 / 20112012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

Table 13. Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014

(In metric ton per hectare)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd b/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 3.68 3.84 3.90 0.17 4.5 0.05 1.3 3.70 3.75 3.76 0.05 1.4 0.02 0.4 CAR 3.61 3.78 3.87 0.16 4.6 0.09 2.5 4.04 4.03 4.08 (0.01) (0.1) 0.05 1.1 Ilocos 4.08 4.31 4.29 0.23 5.5 (0.02) (0.6) 4.62 4.45 4.54 (0.17) (3.7) 0.09 2.0 Cagayan Valley 3.81 4.16 4.18 0.35 9.3 0.01 0.3 3.90 4.09 4.07 0.20 5.0 (0.03) (0.6) Central Luzon 4.24 4.77 4.79 0.52 12.4 0.03 0.6 4.77 4.68 4.83 (0.08) (1.8) 0.15 3.2 Calabarzon 3.50 3.44 3.61 (0.05) (1.5) 0.17 4.9 3.65 3.52 3.85 (0.13) (3.7) 0.33 9.4 Mimaropa 3.63 3.67 3.70 0.05 1.2 0.02 0.7 3.40 3.38 3.37 (0.02) (0.7) (0.01) (0.2) Bicol 3.36 3.51 3.61 0.15 4.3 0.10 2.8 3.56 3.51 3.52 (0.05) (1.4) 0.01 0.2 Western Visayas 3.43 3.43 3.44 (0.00) (0.1) 0.01 0.2 3.28 3.15 3.32 (0.13) (3.9) 0.17 5.3 Central Visayas 3.02 3.09 3.26 0.07 2.3 0.17 5.5 2.83 3.15 2.94 0.32 11.2 (0.21) (6.7) Eastern Visayas 3.45 3.49 3.55 0.03 0.9 0.06 1.9 3.17 3.14 3.21 (0.03) (0.8) 0.07 2.3 Zamboanga Pen. 3.93 3.92 3.94 (0.01) (0.2) 0.02 0.6 4.00 3.78 4.00 (0.21) (5.3) 0.21 5.6 Northern Mindanao 4.01 4.12 4.26 0.11 2.8 0.14 3.4 3.97 3.88 3.94 (0.09) (2.3) 0.06 1.6 Davao Region 4.14 4.31 4.07 0.18 4.3 (0.25) (5.8) 4.22 4.02 4.21 (0.20) (4.8) 0.19 4.8 SOCCSKSARGEN 3.62 3.67 3.83 0.05 1.5 0.16 4.3 3.63 3.72 3.69 0.09 2.6 (0.02) (0.6) Caraga 2.94 3.03 3.28 0.09 2.9 0.25 8.4 2.98 3.11 3.10 0.13 4.2 (0.01) (0.4) ARMM 2.89 2.68 2.68 (0.21) (7.4) 0.01 0.3 2.26 2.74 2.55 0.49 21.6 (0.19) (7.0)

Item2011 2012

2013

January-March

2012 20132014

Change2014 / 20132012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 2013 / 2012

January-DecemberChange

18

27

Page 24: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In hectare)

Table 5. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd a/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 871,344 946,933 869,666 75,589 8.7 (77,267) (8.16) 1,671,976 1,707,086 1,856,127 35,110 2.1 149,041 8.73 CAR 22,345 23,308 21,370 963 4.3 (1,938) (8.3) 52,227 53,326 53,892 1,099 2.1 566 1.1 Ilocos 26,498 32,708 29,726 6,210 23.4 (2,982) (9.1) 275,023 273,867 279,146 (1,156) (0.4) 5,279 1.9 Cagayan Valley 66,841 116,045 78,265 49,204 73.6 (37,780) (32.6) 197,135 166,571 201,427 (30,564) (15.5) 34,856 20.9 Central Luzon 39,913 47,314 57,324 7,401 18.5 10,010 21.2 285,186 324,447 336,500 39,261 13.8 12,053 3.7 Calabarzon 16,736 14,822 13,391 (1,914) (11.4) (1,431) (9.7) 41,792 39,461 43,975 (2,331) (5.6) 4,514 11.4 Mimaropa 40,232 37,892 37,837 (2,340) (5.8) (55) (0.1) 117,225 128,161 134,625 10,936 9.3 6,464 5.0 Bicol 68,215 72,121 61,044 3,906 5.7 (11,077) (15.4) 92,233 95,245 109,955 3,012 3.3 14,710 15.4 Western Visayas 256,423 257,860 225,401 1,437 0.6 (32,459) (12.6) 155,012 192,756 208,141 37,744 24.3 15,385 8.0 Central Visayas 7,342 7,049 6,420 (293) (4.0) (629) (8.9) 49,265 48,289 49,313 (976) (2.0) 1,024 2.1 Eastern Visayas 48,207 49,803 48,485 1,596 3.3 (1,318) (2.6) 86,100 86,446 87,653 346 0.4 1,207 1.4 Zamboanga Pen. 56,157 54,766 54,654 (1,391) (2.5) (112) (0.2) 37,195 37,701 37,442 506 1.4 (259) (0.7) Northern Mindanao 35,049 35,186 40,080 137 0.4 4,894 13.9 48,352 49,524 47,008 1,172 2.4 (2,516) (5.1) Davao Region 28,473 36,644 36,245 8,171 28.7 (399) (1.1) 21,342 15,112 15,165 (6,230) (29.2) 53 0.4 SOCCSKSARGEN 103,130 100,962 99,329 (2,168) (2.1) (1,633) (1.6) 96,350 98,803 105,771 2,453 2.5 6,968 7.1 Caraga 9,971 8,738 10,682 (1,233) (12.4) 1,944 22.2 60,332 55,680 69,724 (4,652) (7.7) 14,044 25.2 ARMM 45,812 51,715 49,413 5,903 12.9 (2,302) (4.5) 57,207 41,697 76,390 (15,510) (27.1) 34,693 83.2

Item2012

2013

July-September October-December

2013 / 20122011 20122013

Change

2011

Change

2012 / 20112012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

(In hectare)

Table 12. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd b/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 4,536,642 4,689,960 4,769,539 153,318 3.4 79,579 1.70 1,080,406 1,113,076 1,150,827 32,670 3.0 37,751 3.39 CAR 118,779 120,100 119,829 1,321 1.1 (271) (0.2) 14,029 13,954 13,984 (75) (0.5) 30 0.2 Ilocos 392,417 403,169 406,538 10,752 2.7 3,369 0.8 67,944 68,913 70,880 969 1.4 1,967 2.9 Cagayan Valley 562,806 582,456 585,981 19,650 3.5 3,525 0.6 118,916 175,788 168,231 56,872 47.8 (7,557) (4.3) Central Luzon 616,887 675,781 716,811 58,894 9.5 41,030 6.1 131,940 142,962 134,853 11,022 8.4 (8,109) (5.7) Calabarzon 114,186 113,010 115,518 (1,176) (1.0) 2,508 2.2 27,805 28,034 27,943 229 0.8 (91) (0.3) Mimaropa 270,751 280,748 284,060 9,997 3.7 3,312 1.2 62,191 61,295 64,073 (896) (1.4) 2,778 4.5 Bicol 318,361 334,275 343,602 15,914 5.0 9,327 2.8 80,242 78,395 82,545 (1,847) (2.3) 4,150 5.3 Western Visayas 654,185 668,810 627,246 14,625 2.2 (41,564) (6.2) 179,768 158,174 181,825 (21,594) (12.0) 23,651 15.0 Central Visayas 106,824 105,797 106,433 (1,027) (1.0) 636 0.6 32,080 31,477 31,804 (603) (1.9) 327 1.0 Eastern Visayas 284,933 285,394 287,118 461 0.2 1,724 0.6 79,236 73,909 74,244 (5,327) (6.7) 335 0.5 Zamboanga Pen. 158,424 157,888 161,721 (536) (0.3) 3,833 2.4 46,186 50,419 51,343 4,233 9.2 924 1.8 Northern Mindanao 152,410 154,712 158,338 2,302 1.5 3,626 2.3 36,028 36,913 36,434 885 2.5 (479) (1.3) Davao Region 100,683 103,993 103,296 3,310 3.3 (697) (0.7) 32,030 29,900 32,595 (2,130) (6.7) 2,695 9.0 SOCCSKSARGEN 343,620 345,985 350,896 2,365 0.7 4,911 1.4 105,783 108,267 102,878 2,484 2.3 (5,389) (5.0) Caraga 141,852 155,041 176,560 13,189 9.3 21,519 13.9 6,036 4,863 6,626 (1,173) (19.4) 1,763 36.3 ARMM 199,524 202,801 225,592 3,277 1.6 22,791 11.2 60,192 49,813 70,569 (10,379) (17.2) 20,756 41.7

Item2011 2012

2013

January-March

2012 20132014

Change2014 / 20132012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 2013 / 2012

January-DecemberChange

26

19

Page 25: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In metric ton per hectare)

Table 6. Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd a/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 3.64 3.80 3.87 0.16 4.5 0.07 1.8 3.55 3.83 3.89 0.28 7.9 0.06 1.5 CAR 3.12 3.19 3.33 0.07 2.3 0.14 4.3 3.33 3.60 3.70 0.26 7.9 0.10 2.8 Ilocos 4.17 4.40 4.29 0.24 5.7 (0.11) (2.6) 4.00 4.22 4.24 0.22 5.5 0.03 0.6 Cagayan Valley 3.89 4.24 4.22 0.35 8.9 (0.01) (0.3) 3.35 4.03 4.23 0.68 20.2 0.20 5.0 Central Luzon 4.29 4.47 4.96 0.17 4.0 0.50 11.1 3.40 4.42 4.34 1.03 30.2 (0.08) (1.9) Calabarzon 3.34 3.12 3.33 (0.23) (6.8) 0.21 6.9 3.22 3.09 3.51 (0.13) (4.1) 0.42 13.6 Mimaropa 3.74 3.84 3.87 0.10 2.6 0.03 0.8 3.75 3.63 3.71 (0.12) (3.2) 0.07 2.0 Bicol 3.28 3.57 3.73 0.30 9.0 0.16 4.4 3.22 3.42 3.52 0.20 6.3 0.10 2.9 Western Visayas 3.51 3.55 3.65 0.05 1.3 0.09 2.7 3.47 3.42 3.45 (0.06) (1.6) 0.03 1.0 Central Visayas 3.24 3.24 3.29 (0.00) (0.0) 0.05 1.6 3.32 3.32 3.44 (0.00) (0.1) 0.12 3.8 Eastern Visayas 3.45 3.41 3.43 (0.04) (1.2) 0.02 0.5 3.54 3.59 3.67 0.05 1.3 0.08 2.2 Zamboanga Pen. 3.95 4.00 4.02 0.05 1.4 0.02 0.6 3.99 3.68 4.01 (0.31) (7.9) 0.34 9.2 Northern Mindanao 4.13 4.30 4.50 0.17 4.1 0.20 4.7 4.13 4.19 4.46 0.06 1.4 0.27 6.4 Davao Region 4.49 4.71 4.30 0.22 4.9 (0.42) (8.8) 4.26 4.11 4.19 (0.15) (3.5) 0.09 2.1 SOCCSKSARGEN 3.75 3.78 4.03 0.03 0.9 0.24 6.4 3.68 3.67 3.87 (0.01) (0.3) 0.21 5.6 Caraga 2.91 3.12 3.32 0.21 7.3 0.19 6.2 3.06 3.04 3.21 (0.03) (0.9) 0.18 5.8 ARMM 2.78 3.19 2.62 0.41 14.6 (0.57) (17.9) 3.13 2.61 2.83 (0.52) (16.6) 0.23 8.7

Item2012

2013

July-September October-December

2013 / 20122011 20122013

Change

2011

Change

2012 / 20112012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

Table 11. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

(In metric ton)

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd b/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 16,684,062 18,032,422 18,580,016 1,348,360 8.1 547,594 3.04 3,992,198 4,169,943 4,329,704 177,745 4.5 159,761 3.83 CAR 428,949 453,461 463,577 24,512 5.7 10,116 2.2 56,655 56,269 57,024 (386) (0.7) 755 1.3 Ilocos 1,602,814 1,737,695 1,742,304 134,881 8.4 4,609 0.3 313,643 306,495 321,664 (7,148) (2.3) 15,169 4.9 Cagayan Valley 2,144,766 2,425,433 2,448,207 280,667 13.1 22,774 0.9 463,414 719,343 684,197 255,929 55.2 (35,146) (4.9) Central Luzon 2,616,083 3,220,607 3,435,774 604,524 23.1 215,167 6.7 628,879 669,376 651,423 40,497 6.4 (17,953) (2.7) Calabarzon 399,193 389,272 417,224 (9,921) (2.5) 27,952 7.2 101,543 98,629 107,531 (2,914) (2.9) 8,902 9.0 Mimaropa 981,669 1,030,606 1,049,708 48,937 5.0 19,102 1.9 211,461 206,999 215,967 (4,462) (2.1) 8,968 4.3 Bicol 1,070,917 1,173,307 1,240,369 102,390 9.6 67,062 5.7 285,809 275,254 290,297 (10,555) (3.7) 15,043 5.5 Western Visayas 2,245,038 2,292,201 2,154,666 47,163 2.1 (137,535) (6.0) 588,924 498,038 602,834 (90,886) (15.4) 104,796 21.0 Central Visayas 322,862 327,120 347,135 4,258 1.3 20,015 6.1 90,805 99,050 93,415 8,245 9.1 (5,635) (5.7) Eastern Visayas 984,017 994,972 1,019,513 10,955 1.1 24,541 2.5 250,902 232,144 238,636 (18,758) (7.5) 6,492 2.8 Zamboanga Pen. 622,203 618,831 637,390 (3,372) (0.5) 18,559 3.0 184,553 190,697 205,136 6,144 3.3 14,439 7.6 Northern Mindanao 610,990 637,348 674,636 26,358 4.3 37,288 5.9 143,088 143,179 143,634 91 0.1 455 0.3 Davao Region 416,543 448,703 419,979 32,160 7.7 (28,724) (6.4) 135,282 120,229 137,323 (15,053) (11.1) 17,094 14.2 SOCCSKSARGEN 1,244,148 1,270,901 1,344,972 26,753 2.2 74,071 5.8 383,494 402,514 380,029 19,020 5.0 (22,485) (5.6) Caraga 416,997 469,205 579,227 52,208 12.5 110,022 23.4 18,006 15,122 20,519 (2,884) (16.0) 5,397 35.7 ARMM 576,873 542,760 605,335 (34,113) (5.9) 62,575 11.5 135,740 136,605 180,075 865 0.6 43,470 31.8

Item2011 2012

2013

January-March

2012 20132014

Change2014 / 20132012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 2013 / 2012

January-DecemberChange

20

25

Page 26: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

(In metric ton)

Table 7. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by semi-annual, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

Level % Level % Oct'13 rd Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 7,577,209 7,891,926 7,997,626 314,717 4.2 105,700 1.34 9,106,853 10,140,496 10,582,390 1,033,643 11.4 441,894 4.36 CAR 185,084 187,173 193,087 2,089 1.1 5,914 3.2 243,865 266,288 270,490 22,423 9.2 4,202 1.6 Ilocos 393,472 439,316 430,660 45,844 11.7 (8,656) (2.0) 1,209,342 1,298,379 1,311,644 89,037 7.4 13,265 1.0 Cagayan Valley 1,223,822 1,262,436 1,265,297 38,614 3.2 2,861 0.2 920,944 1,162,997 1,182,910 242,053 26.3 19,913 1.7 Central Luzon 1,476,120 1,574,038 1,691,044 97,918 6.6 117,006 7.4 1,139,963 1,646,569 1,744,730 506,606 44.4 98,161 6.0 Calabarzon 208,497 220,997 218,091 12,500 6.0 (2,906) (1.3) 190,696 168,275 199,133 (22,421) (11.8) 30,858 18.3 Mimaropa 391,299 419,728 404,459 28,429 7.3 (15,269) (3.6) 590,370 610,878 645,249 20,508 3.5 34,371 5.6 Bicol 550,317 589,539 625,284 39,222 7.1 35,745 6.1 520,600 583,768 615,085 63,168 12.1 31,317 5.4 Western Visayas 807,325 717,183 614,016 (90,142) (11.2) (103,167) (14.4) 1,437,713 1,575,018 1,540,650 137,305 9.6 (34,368) (2.2) Central Visayas 135,572 144,145 156,329 8,573 6.3 12,184 8.5 187,290 182,975 190,806 (4,315) (2.3) 7,831 4.3 Eastern Visayas 512,572 514,788 531,728 2,216 0.4 16,940 3.3 471,445 480,184 487,785 8,739 1.9 7,601 1.6 Zamboanga Pen. 252,272 261,220 267,268 8,948 3.5 6,048 2.3 369,931 357,611 370,122 (12,320) (3.3) 12,511 3.5 Northern Mindanao 266,435 278,624 284,687 12,189 4.6 6,063 2.2 344,555 358,724 389,949 14,169 4.1 31,225 8.7 Davao Region 197,834 214,003 200,709 16,169 8.2 (13,294) (6.2) 218,709 234,700 219,270 15,991 7.3 (15,430) (6.6) SOCCSKSARGEN 502,906 526,576 535,468 23,670 4.7 8,892 1.7 741,242 744,325 809,504 3,083 0.4 65,179 8.8 Caraga 203,116 272,901 319,839 69,785 34.4 46,938 17.2 213,881 196,304 259,388 (17,577) (8.2) 63,084 32.1 ARMM 270,566 269,259 259,660 (1,307) (0.5) (9,599) (3.6) 306,307 273,501 345,675 (32,806) (10.7) 72,174 26.4

Item

January-June July-December

2012 / 2011Change

2011 20122013

Change

2012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 2012 2013 2013 / 2012

Table 10. Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-March, 2012-2014

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

PRODUCTION ('000MT)

January-March 3,992 4,170 4,330 4.5 3.8 Irrigated 3,030 3,332 3,301 9.9 (0.9) Rainfed 962 838 1,029 (12.9) 22.7

HARVEST AREA ('000Ha)

January-March 1,080 1,113 1,151 3.0 3.4 Irrigated 732 806 788 10.0 (2.2) Rainfed 348 308 363 (11.7) 18.0

YIELD/HECTARE (MT)

January-March 3.70 3.75 3.76 1.4 0.4 Irrigated 4.14 4.14 4.19 (0.1) 1.3 Rainfed 2.76 2.73 2.84 (1.3) 4.0

2014 / 2013 ITEM 2012 2013

2014 PERCENT CHANGE

Oct'13 rd b/ 2013 / 2012

24

21

Page 27: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In hectare)

Table 8. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by semi-annual, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

Level % Level % Oct'13 rd Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 1,993,322 2,035,941 2,043,746 42,619 2.1 7,805 0.38 2,543,320 2,654,019 2,725,793 110,699 4.4 71,774 2.70 CAR 44,207 43,466 44,567 (741) (1.7) 1,101 2.5 74,572 76,634 75,262 2,062 2.8 (1,372) (1.8) Ilocos 90,896 96,594 97,666 5,698 6.3 1,072 1.1 301,521 306,575 308,872 5,054 1.7 2,297 0.7 Cagayan Valley 298,830 299,840 306,289 1,010 0.3 6,449 2.2 263,976 282,616 279,692 18,640 7.1 (2,924) (1.0) Central Luzon 291,788 304,020 322,987 12,232 4.2 18,967 6.2 325,099 371,761 393,824 46,662 14.4 22,063 5.9 Calabarzon 55,658 58,727 58,152 3,069 5.5 (575) (1.0) 58,528 54,283 57,366 (4,245) (7.3) 3,083 5.7 Mimaropa 113,294 114,695 111,598 1,401 1.2 (3,097) (2.7) 157,457 166,053 172,462 8,596 5.5 6,409 3.9 Bicol 157,913 166,909 172,603 8,996 5.7 5,694 3.4 160,448 167,366 170,999 6,918 4.3 3,633 2.2 Western Visayas 242,750 218,194 193,704 (24,556) (10.1) (24,490) (11.2) 411,435 450,616 433,542 39,181 9.5 (17,074) (3.8) Central Visayas 50,217 50,459 50,700 242 0.5 241 0.5 56,607 55,338 55,733 (1,269) (2.2) 395 0.7 Eastern Visayas 150,626 149,145 150,980 (1,481) (1.0) 1,835 1.2 134,307 136,249 136,138 1,942 1.4 (111) (0.1) Zamboanga Pen. 65,072 65,421 69,625 349 0.5 4,204 6.4 93,352 92,467 92,096 (885) (0.9) (371) (0.4) Northern Mindanao 69,009 70,002 71,250 993 1.4 1,248 1.8 83,401 84,710 87,088 1,309 1.6 2,378 2.8 Davao Region 50,868 52,237 51,886 1,369 2.7 (351) (0.7) 49,815 51,756 51,410 1,941 3.9 (346) (0.7) SOCCSKSARGEN 144,140 146,220 145,796 2,080 1.4 (424) (0.3) 199,480 199,765 205,100 285 0.1 5,335 2.7 Caraga 71,549 90,623 96,154 19,074 26.7 5,531 6.1 70,303 64,418 80,406 (5,885) (8.4) 15,988 24.8 ARMM 96,505 109,389 99,789 12,884 13.4 (9,600) (8.8) 103,019 93,412 125,803 (9,607) (9.3) 32,391 34.7

Item

January-June July-December

2012 / 2011Change

2011 20122013

Change

2012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 2012 2013 2013 / 2012

(In metric ton per hectare)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

Table 9. Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts by semi-annual, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

Level % Level % Oct'13 rd Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 3.80 3.88 3.91 0.1 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.58 3.82 3.88 0.24 6.7 0.06 1.6 CAR 4.19 4.31 4.33 0.1 2.9 0.0 0.6 3.27 3.47 3.59 0.20 6.3 0.12 3.4 Ilocos 4.33 4.55 4.41 0.2 5.1 (0.1) (3.0) 4.01 4.24 4.25 0.22 5.6 0.01 0.3 Cagayan Valley 4.10 4.21 4.13 0.1 2.8 (0.1) (1.9) 3.49 4.12 4.23 0.63 18.0 0.11 2.8 Central Luzon 5.06 5.18 5.24 0.1 2.3 0.1 1.1 3.51 4.43 4.43 0.92 26.3 0.00 0.0 Calabarzon 3.75 3.76 3.75 0.0 0.5 (0.0) (0.3) 3.26 3.10 3.47 (0.16) (4.9) 0.37 12.0 Mimaropa 3.45 3.66 3.62 0.2 6.0 (0.0) (1.0) 3.75 3.68 3.74 (0.07) (1.9) 0.06 1.7 Bicol 3.48 3.53 3.62 0.0 1.4 0.1 2.6 3.24 3.49 3.60 0.24 7.5 0.11 3.1 Western Visayas 3.33 3.29 3.17 (0.0) (1.2) (0.1) (3.6) 3.49 3.50 3.55 0.00 0.0 0.06 1.7 Central Visayas 2.70 2.86 3.08 0.2 5.8 0.2 7.9 3.31 3.31 3.42 (0.00) (0.1) 0.12 3.5 Eastern Visayas 3.40 3.45 3.52 0.0 1.4 0.1 2.0 3.51 3.52 3.58 0.01 0.4 0.06 1.7 Zamboanga Pen. 3.88 3.99 3.84 0.1 3.0 (0.2) (3.9) 3.96 3.87 4.02 (0.10) (2.4) 0.15 3.9 Northern Mindanao 3.86 3.98 4.00 0.1 3.1 0.0 0.4 4.13 4.23 4.48 0.10 2.5 0.24 5.7 Davao Region 3.89 4.10 3.87 0.2 5.3 (0.2) (5.6) 4.39 4.53 4.27 0.14 3.3 (0.27) (5.9) SOCCSKSARGEN 3.49 3.60 3.67 0.1 3.2 0.1 2.0 3.72 3.73 3.95 0.01 0.3 0.22 5.9 Caraga 2.84 3.01 3.33 0.2 6.1 0.3 10.5 3.04 3.05 3.23 0.01 0.2 0.18 5.9 ARMM 2.80 2.46 2.60 (0.3) (12.2) 0.1 5.7 2.97 2.93 2.75 (0.05) (1.5) (0.18) (6.2)

Item

January-June July-December

2012 / 2011Change

2011 20122013

Change

2012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 2012 2013 2013 / 201222

23

Page 28: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In hectare)

Table 8. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by semi-annual, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

Level % Level % Oct'13 rd Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 1,993,322 2,035,941 2,043,746 42,619 2.1 7,805 0.38 2,543,320 2,654,019 2,725,793 110,699 4.4 71,774 2.70 CAR 44,207 43,466 44,567 (741) (1.7) 1,101 2.5 74,572 76,634 75,262 2,062 2.8 (1,372) (1.8) Ilocos 90,896 96,594 97,666 5,698 6.3 1,072 1.1 301,521 306,575 308,872 5,054 1.7 2,297 0.7 Cagayan Valley 298,830 299,840 306,289 1,010 0.3 6,449 2.2 263,976 282,616 279,692 18,640 7.1 (2,924) (1.0) Central Luzon 291,788 304,020 322,987 12,232 4.2 18,967 6.2 325,099 371,761 393,824 46,662 14.4 22,063 5.9 Calabarzon 55,658 58,727 58,152 3,069 5.5 (575) (1.0) 58,528 54,283 57,366 (4,245) (7.3) 3,083 5.7 Mimaropa 113,294 114,695 111,598 1,401 1.2 (3,097) (2.7) 157,457 166,053 172,462 8,596 5.5 6,409 3.9 Bicol 157,913 166,909 172,603 8,996 5.7 5,694 3.4 160,448 167,366 170,999 6,918 4.3 3,633 2.2 Western Visayas 242,750 218,194 193,704 (24,556) (10.1) (24,490) (11.2) 411,435 450,616 433,542 39,181 9.5 (17,074) (3.8) Central Visayas 50,217 50,459 50,700 242 0.5 241 0.5 56,607 55,338 55,733 (1,269) (2.2) 395 0.7 Eastern Visayas 150,626 149,145 150,980 (1,481) (1.0) 1,835 1.2 134,307 136,249 136,138 1,942 1.4 (111) (0.1) Zamboanga Pen. 65,072 65,421 69,625 349 0.5 4,204 6.4 93,352 92,467 92,096 (885) (0.9) (371) (0.4) Northern Mindanao 69,009 70,002 71,250 993 1.4 1,248 1.8 83,401 84,710 87,088 1,309 1.6 2,378 2.8 Davao Region 50,868 52,237 51,886 1,369 2.7 (351) (0.7) 49,815 51,756 51,410 1,941 3.9 (346) (0.7) SOCCSKSARGEN 144,140 146,220 145,796 2,080 1.4 (424) (0.3) 199,480 199,765 205,100 285 0.1 5,335 2.7 Caraga 71,549 90,623 96,154 19,074 26.7 5,531 6.1 70,303 64,418 80,406 (5,885) (8.4) 15,988 24.8 ARMM 96,505 109,389 99,789 12,884 13.4 (9,600) (8.8) 103,019 93,412 125,803 (9,607) (9.3) 32,391 34.7

Item

January-June July-December

2012 / 2011Change

2011 20122013

Change

2012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 2012 2013 2013 / 2012

(In metric ton per hectare)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

Table 9. Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts by semi-annual, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

Level % Level % Oct'13 rd Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 3.80 3.88 3.91 0.1 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.58 3.82 3.88 0.24 6.7 0.06 1.6 CAR 4.19 4.31 4.33 0.1 2.9 0.0 0.6 3.27 3.47 3.59 0.20 6.3 0.12 3.4 Ilocos 4.33 4.55 4.41 0.2 5.1 (0.1) (3.0) 4.01 4.24 4.25 0.22 5.6 0.01 0.3 Cagayan Valley 4.10 4.21 4.13 0.1 2.8 (0.1) (1.9) 3.49 4.12 4.23 0.63 18.0 0.11 2.8 Central Luzon 5.06 5.18 5.24 0.1 2.3 0.1 1.1 3.51 4.43 4.43 0.92 26.3 0.00 0.0 Calabarzon 3.75 3.76 3.75 0.0 0.5 (0.0) (0.3) 3.26 3.10 3.47 (0.16) (4.9) 0.37 12.0 Mimaropa 3.45 3.66 3.62 0.2 6.0 (0.0) (1.0) 3.75 3.68 3.74 (0.07) (1.9) 0.06 1.7 Bicol 3.48 3.53 3.62 0.0 1.4 0.1 2.6 3.24 3.49 3.60 0.24 7.5 0.11 3.1 Western Visayas 3.33 3.29 3.17 (0.0) (1.2) (0.1) (3.6) 3.49 3.50 3.55 0.00 0.0 0.06 1.7 Central Visayas 2.70 2.86 3.08 0.2 5.8 0.2 7.9 3.31 3.31 3.42 (0.00) (0.1) 0.12 3.5 Eastern Visayas 3.40 3.45 3.52 0.0 1.4 0.1 2.0 3.51 3.52 3.58 0.01 0.4 0.06 1.7 Zamboanga Pen. 3.88 3.99 3.84 0.1 3.0 (0.2) (3.9) 3.96 3.87 4.02 (0.10) (2.4) 0.15 3.9 Northern Mindanao 3.86 3.98 4.00 0.1 3.1 0.0 0.4 4.13 4.23 4.48 0.10 2.5 0.24 5.7 Davao Region 3.89 4.10 3.87 0.2 5.3 (0.2) (5.6) 4.39 4.53 4.27 0.14 3.3 (0.27) (5.9) SOCCSKSARGEN 3.49 3.60 3.67 0.1 3.2 0.1 2.0 3.72 3.73 3.95 0.01 0.3 0.22 5.9 Caraga 2.84 3.01 3.33 0.2 6.1 0.3 10.5 3.04 3.05 3.23 0.01 0.2 0.18 5.9 ARMM 2.80 2.46 2.60 (0.3) (12.2) 0.1 5.7 2.97 2.93 2.75 (0.05) (1.5) (0.18) (6.2)

Item

January-June July-December

2012 / 2011Change

2011 20122013

Change

2012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 2012 2013 2013 / 2012

22

23

Page 29: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

(In metric ton)

Table 7. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by semi-annual, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

Level % Level % Oct'13 rd Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 7,577,209 7,891,926 7,997,626 314,717 4.2 105,700 1.34 9,106,853 10,140,496 10,582,390 1,033,643 11.4 441,894 4.36 CAR 185,084 187,173 193,087 2,089 1.1 5,914 3.2 243,865 266,288 270,490 22,423 9.2 4,202 1.6 Ilocos 393,472 439,316 430,660 45,844 11.7 (8,656) (2.0) 1,209,342 1,298,379 1,311,644 89,037 7.4 13,265 1.0 Cagayan Valley 1,223,822 1,262,436 1,265,297 38,614 3.2 2,861 0.2 920,944 1,162,997 1,182,910 242,053 26.3 19,913 1.7 Central Luzon 1,476,120 1,574,038 1,691,044 97,918 6.6 117,006 7.4 1,139,963 1,646,569 1,744,730 506,606 44.4 98,161 6.0 Calabarzon 208,497 220,997 218,091 12,500 6.0 (2,906) (1.3) 190,696 168,275 199,133 (22,421) (11.8) 30,858 18.3 Mimaropa 391,299 419,728 404,459 28,429 7.3 (15,269) (3.6) 590,370 610,878 645,249 20,508 3.5 34,371 5.6 Bicol 550,317 589,539 625,284 39,222 7.1 35,745 6.1 520,600 583,768 615,085 63,168 12.1 31,317 5.4 Western Visayas 807,325 717,183 614,016 (90,142) (11.2) (103,167) (14.4) 1,437,713 1,575,018 1,540,650 137,305 9.6 (34,368) (2.2) Central Visayas 135,572 144,145 156,329 8,573 6.3 12,184 8.5 187,290 182,975 190,806 (4,315) (2.3) 7,831 4.3 Eastern Visayas 512,572 514,788 531,728 2,216 0.4 16,940 3.3 471,445 480,184 487,785 8,739 1.9 7,601 1.6 Zamboanga Pen. 252,272 261,220 267,268 8,948 3.5 6,048 2.3 369,931 357,611 370,122 (12,320) (3.3) 12,511 3.5 Northern Mindanao 266,435 278,624 284,687 12,189 4.6 6,063 2.2 344,555 358,724 389,949 14,169 4.1 31,225 8.7 Davao Region 197,834 214,003 200,709 16,169 8.2 (13,294) (6.2) 218,709 234,700 219,270 15,991 7.3 (15,430) (6.6) SOCCSKSARGEN 502,906 526,576 535,468 23,670 4.7 8,892 1.7 741,242 744,325 809,504 3,083 0.4 65,179 8.8 Caraga 203,116 272,901 319,839 69,785 34.4 46,938 17.2 213,881 196,304 259,388 (17,577) (8.2) 63,084 32.1 ARMM 270,566 269,259 259,660 (1,307) (0.5) (9,599) (3.6) 306,307 273,501 345,675 (32,806) (10.7) 72,174 26.4

Item

January-June July-December

2012 / 2011Change

2011 20122013

Change

2012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 2012 2013 2013 / 2012

Table 10. Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-March, 2012-2014

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

PRODUCTION ('000MT)

January-March 3,992 4,170 4,330 4.5 3.8 Irrigated 3,030 3,332 3,301 9.9 (0.9) Rainfed 962 838 1,029 (12.9) 22.7

HARVEST AREA ('000Ha)

January-March 1,080 1,113 1,151 3.0 3.4 Irrigated 732 806 788 10.0 (2.2) Rainfed 348 308 363 (11.7) 18.0

YIELD/HECTARE (MT)

January-March 3.70 3.75 3.76 1.4 0.4 Irrigated 4.14 4.14 4.19 (0.1) 1.3 Rainfed 2.76 2.73 2.84 (1.3) 4.0

2014 / 2013 ITEM 2012 2013

2014 PERCENT CHANGE

Oct'13 rd b/ 2013 / 2012

24

21

Page 30: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In metric ton per hectare)

Table 6. Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd a/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 3.64 3.80 3.87 0.16 4.5 0.07 1.8 3.55 3.83 3.89 0.28 7.9 0.06 1.5 CAR 3.12 3.19 3.33 0.07 2.3 0.14 4.3 3.33 3.60 3.70 0.26 7.9 0.10 2.8 Ilocos 4.17 4.40 4.29 0.24 5.7 (0.11) (2.6) 4.00 4.22 4.24 0.22 5.5 0.03 0.6 Cagayan Valley 3.89 4.24 4.22 0.35 8.9 (0.01) (0.3) 3.35 4.03 4.23 0.68 20.2 0.20 5.0 Central Luzon 4.29 4.47 4.96 0.17 4.0 0.50 11.1 3.40 4.42 4.34 1.03 30.2 (0.08) (1.9) Calabarzon 3.34 3.12 3.33 (0.23) (6.8) 0.21 6.9 3.22 3.09 3.51 (0.13) (4.1) 0.42 13.6 Mimaropa 3.74 3.84 3.87 0.10 2.6 0.03 0.8 3.75 3.63 3.71 (0.12) (3.2) 0.07 2.0 Bicol 3.28 3.57 3.73 0.30 9.0 0.16 4.4 3.22 3.42 3.52 0.20 6.3 0.10 2.9 Western Visayas 3.51 3.55 3.65 0.05 1.3 0.09 2.7 3.47 3.42 3.45 (0.06) (1.6) 0.03 1.0 Central Visayas 3.24 3.24 3.29 (0.00) (0.0) 0.05 1.6 3.32 3.32 3.44 (0.00) (0.1) 0.12 3.8 Eastern Visayas 3.45 3.41 3.43 (0.04) (1.2) 0.02 0.5 3.54 3.59 3.67 0.05 1.3 0.08 2.2 Zamboanga Pen. 3.95 4.00 4.02 0.05 1.4 0.02 0.6 3.99 3.68 4.01 (0.31) (7.9) 0.34 9.2 Northern Mindanao 4.13 4.30 4.50 0.17 4.1 0.20 4.7 4.13 4.19 4.46 0.06 1.4 0.27 6.4 Davao Region 4.49 4.71 4.30 0.22 4.9 (0.42) (8.8) 4.26 4.11 4.19 (0.15) (3.5) 0.09 2.1 SOCCSKSARGEN 3.75 3.78 4.03 0.03 0.9 0.24 6.4 3.68 3.67 3.87 (0.01) (0.3) 0.21 5.6 Caraga 2.91 3.12 3.32 0.21 7.3 0.19 6.2 3.06 3.04 3.21 (0.03) (0.9) 0.18 5.8 ARMM 2.78 3.19 2.62 0.41 14.6 (0.57) (17.9) 3.13 2.61 2.83 (0.52) (16.6) 0.23 8.7

Item2012

2013

July-September October-December

2013 / 20122011 20122013

Change

2011

Change

2012 / 20112012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

Table 11. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

(In metric ton)

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd b/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 16,684,062 18,032,422 18,580,016 1,348,360 8.1 547,594 3.04 3,992,198 4,169,943 4,329,704 177,745 4.5 159,761 3.83 CAR 428,949 453,461 463,577 24,512 5.7 10,116 2.2 56,655 56,269 57,024 (386) (0.7) 755 1.3 Ilocos 1,602,814 1,737,695 1,742,304 134,881 8.4 4,609 0.3 313,643 306,495 321,664 (7,148) (2.3) 15,169 4.9 Cagayan Valley 2,144,766 2,425,433 2,448,207 280,667 13.1 22,774 0.9 463,414 719,343 684,197 255,929 55.2 (35,146) (4.9) Central Luzon 2,616,083 3,220,607 3,435,774 604,524 23.1 215,167 6.7 628,879 669,376 651,423 40,497 6.4 (17,953) (2.7) Calabarzon 399,193 389,272 417,224 (9,921) (2.5) 27,952 7.2 101,543 98,629 107,531 (2,914) (2.9) 8,902 9.0 Mimaropa 981,669 1,030,606 1,049,708 48,937 5.0 19,102 1.9 211,461 206,999 215,967 (4,462) (2.1) 8,968 4.3 Bicol 1,070,917 1,173,307 1,240,369 102,390 9.6 67,062 5.7 285,809 275,254 290,297 (10,555) (3.7) 15,043 5.5 Western Visayas 2,245,038 2,292,201 2,154,666 47,163 2.1 (137,535) (6.0) 588,924 498,038 602,834 (90,886) (15.4) 104,796 21.0 Central Visayas 322,862 327,120 347,135 4,258 1.3 20,015 6.1 90,805 99,050 93,415 8,245 9.1 (5,635) (5.7) Eastern Visayas 984,017 994,972 1,019,513 10,955 1.1 24,541 2.5 250,902 232,144 238,636 (18,758) (7.5) 6,492 2.8 Zamboanga Pen. 622,203 618,831 637,390 (3,372) (0.5) 18,559 3.0 184,553 190,697 205,136 6,144 3.3 14,439 7.6 Northern Mindanao 610,990 637,348 674,636 26,358 4.3 37,288 5.9 143,088 143,179 143,634 91 0.1 455 0.3 Davao Region 416,543 448,703 419,979 32,160 7.7 (28,724) (6.4) 135,282 120,229 137,323 (15,053) (11.1) 17,094 14.2 SOCCSKSARGEN 1,244,148 1,270,901 1,344,972 26,753 2.2 74,071 5.8 383,494 402,514 380,029 19,020 5.0 (22,485) (5.6) Caraga 416,997 469,205 579,227 52,208 12.5 110,022 23.4 18,006 15,122 20,519 (2,884) (16.0) 5,397 35.7 ARMM 576,873 542,760 605,335 (34,113) (5.9) 62,575 11.5 135,740 136,605 180,075 865 0.6 43,470 31.8

Item2011 2012

2013

January-March

2012 20132014

Change2014 / 20132012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 2013 / 2012

January-DecemberChange

20

25

Page 31: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In hectare)

Table 5. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd a/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 871,344 946,933 869,666 75,589 8.7 (77,267) (8.16) 1,671,976 1,707,086 1,856,127 35,110 2.1 149,041 8.73 CAR 22,345 23,308 21,370 963 4.3 (1,938) (8.3) 52,227 53,326 53,892 1,099 2.1 566 1.1 Ilocos 26,498 32,708 29,726 6,210 23.4 (2,982) (9.1) 275,023 273,867 279,146 (1,156) (0.4) 5,279 1.9 Cagayan Valley 66,841 116,045 78,265 49,204 73.6 (37,780) (32.6) 197,135 166,571 201,427 (30,564) (15.5) 34,856 20.9 Central Luzon 39,913 47,314 57,324 7,401 18.5 10,010 21.2 285,186 324,447 336,500 39,261 13.8 12,053 3.7 Calabarzon 16,736 14,822 13,391 (1,914) (11.4) (1,431) (9.7) 41,792 39,461 43,975 (2,331) (5.6) 4,514 11.4 Mimaropa 40,232 37,892 37,837 (2,340) (5.8) (55) (0.1) 117,225 128,161 134,625 10,936 9.3 6,464 5.0 Bicol 68,215 72,121 61,044 3,906 5.7 (11,077) (15.4) 92,233 95,245 109,955 3,012 3.3 14,710 15.4 Western Visayas 256,423 257,860 225,401 1,437 0.6 (32,459) (12.6) 155,012 192,756 208,141 37,744 24.3 15,385 8.0 Central Visayas 7,342 7,049 6,420 (293) (4.0) (629) (8.9) 49,265 48,289 49,313 (976) (2.0) 1,024 2.1 Eastern Visayas 48,207 49,803 48,485 1,596 3.3 (1,318) (2.6) 86,100 86,446 87,653 346 0.4 1,207 1.4 Zamboanga Pen. 56,157 54,766 54,654 (1,391) (2.5) (112) (0.2) 37,195 37,701 37,442 506 1.4 (259) (0.7) Northern Mindanao 35,049 35,186 40,080 137 0.4 4,894 13.9 48,352 49,524 47,008 1,172 2.4 (2,516) (5.1) Davao Region 28,473 36,644 36,245 8,171 28.7 (399) (1.1) 21,342 15,112 15,165 (6,230) (29.2) 53 0.4 SOCCSKSARGEN 103,130 100,962 99,329 (2,168) (2.1) (1,633) (1.6) 96,350 98,803 105,771 2,453 2.5 6,968 7.1 Caraga 9,971 8,738 10,682 (1,233) (12.4) 1,944 22.2 60,332 55,680 69,724 (4,652) (7.7) 14,044 25.2 ARMM 45,812 51,715 49,413 5,903 12.9 (2,302) (4.5) 57,207 41,697 76,390 (15,510) (27.1) 34,693 83.2

Item2012

2013

July-September October-December

2013 / 20122011 20122013

Change

2011

Change

2012 / 20112012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

(In hectare)

Table 12. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd b/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 4,536,642 4,689,960 4,769,539 153,318 3.4 79,579 1.70 1,080,406 1,113,076 1,150,827 32,670 3.0 37,751 3.39 CAR 118,779 120,100 119,829 1,321 1.1 (271) (0.2) 14,029 13,954 13,984 (75) (0.5) 30 0.2 Ilocos 392,417 403,169 406,538 10,752 2.7 3,369 0.8 67,944 68,913 70,880 969 1.4 1,967 2.9 Cagayan Valley 562,806 582,456 585,981 19,650 3.5 3,525 0.6 118,916 175,788 168,231 56,872 47.8 (7,557) (4.3) Central Luzon 616,887 675,781 716,811 58,894 9.5 41,030 6.1 131,940 142,962 134,853 11,022 8.4 (8,109) (5.7) Calabarzon 114,186 113,010 115,518 (1,176) (1.0) 2,508 2.2 27,805 28,034 27,943 229 0.8 (91) (0.3) Mimaropa 270,751 280,748 284,060 9,997 3.7 3,312 1.2 62,191 61,295 64,073 (896) (1.4) 2,778 4.5 Bicol 318,361 334,275 343,602 15,914 5.0 9,327 2.8 80,242 78,395 82,545 (1,847) (2.3) 4,150 5.3 Western Visayas 654,185 668,810 627,246 14,625 2.2 (41,564) (6.2) 179,768 158,174 181,825 (21,594) (12.0) 23,651 15.0 Central Visayas 106,824 105,797 106,433 (1,027) (1.0) 636 0.6 32,080 31,477 31,804 (603) (1.9) 327 1.0 Eastern Visayas 284,933 285,394 287,118 461 0.2 1,724 0.6 79,236 73,909 74,244 (5,327) (6.7) 335 0.5 Zamboanga Pen. 158,424 157,888 161,721 (536) (0.3) 3,833 2.4 46,186 50,419 51,343 4,233 9.2 924 1.8 Northern Mindanao 152,410 154,712 158,338 2,302 1.5 3,626 2.3 36,028 36,913 36,434 885 2.5 (479) (1.3) Davao Region 100,683 103,993 103,296 3,310 3.3 (697) (0.7) 32,030 29,900 32,595 (2,130) (6.7) 2,695 9.0 SOCCSKSARGEN 343,620 345,985 350,896 2,365 0.7 4,911 1.4 105,783 108,267 102,878 2,484 2.3 (5,389) (5.0) Caraga 141,852 155,041 176,560 13,189 9.3 21,519 13.9 6,036 4,863 6,626 (1,173) (19.4) 1,763 36.3 ARMM 199,524 202,801 225,592 3,277 1.6 22,791 11.2 60,192 49,813 70,569 (10,379) (17.2) 20,756 41.7

Item2011 2012

2013

January-March

2012 20132014

Change2014 / 20132012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 2013 / 2012

January-DecemberChange

26

19

Page 32: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In metric ton)

Table 4. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd a/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 3,168,478 3,596,741 3,362,648 428,263 13.5 (234,093) (6.51) 5,938,375 6,543,755 7,219,742 605,380 10.2 675,987 10.33 CAR 69,751 74,396 71,136 4,645 6.7 (3,260) (4.4) 174,114 191,892 199,354 17,778 10.2 7,462 3.9 Ilocos 110,407 144,000 127,469 33,593 30.4 (16,531) (11.5) 1,098,935 1,154,379 1,184,175 55,444 5.0 29,796 2.6 Cagayan Valley 260,117 491,743 330,597 231,626 89.0 (161,146) (32.8) 660,827 671,254 852,313 10,427 1.6 181,059 27.0 Central Luzon 171,334 211,306 284,495 39,972 23.3 73,189 34.6 968,629 1,435,263 1,460,235 466,634 48.2 24,972 1.7 Calabarzon 55,947 46,203 44,609 (9,744) (17.4) (1,594) (3.4) 134,749 122,072 154,524 (12,677) (9.4) 32,452 26.6 Mimaropa 150,425 145,335 146,301 (5,090) (3.4) 966 0.7 439,945 465,543 498,948 25,598 5.8 33,405 7.2 Bicol 223,594 257,777 227,881 34,183 15.3 (29,896) (11.6) 297,006 325,991 387,204 28,985 9.8 61,213 18.8 Western Visayas 899,424 916,295 822,313 16,871 1.9 (93,982) (10.3) 538,289 658,723 718,337 120,434 22.4 59,614 9.0 Central Visayas 23,782 22,822 21,115 (960) (4.0) (1,707) (7.5) 163,508 160,153 169,691 (3,355) (2.1) 9,538 6.0 Eastern Visayas 166,359 169,841 166,150 3,482 2.1 (3,691) (2.2) 305,086 310,343 321,635 5,257 1.7 11,292 3.6 Zamboanga Pen. 221,552 219,035 219,827 (2,517) (1.1) 792 0.4 148,379 138,576 150,295 (9,803) (6.6) 11,719 8.5 Northern Mindanao 144,805 151,278 180,480 6,473 4.5 29,202 19.3 199,750 207,446 209,469 7,696 3.9 2,023 1.0 Davao Region 127,866 172,657 155,694 44,791 35.0 (16,963) (9.8) 90,843 62,043 63,576 (28,800) (31.7) 1,533 2.5 SOCCSKSARGEN 386,654 381,946 399,844 (4,708) (1.2) 17,898 4.7 354,588 362,379 409,660 7,791 2.2 47,281 13.0 Caraga 29,029 27,285 35,426 (1,744) (6.0) 8,141 29.8 184,852 169,019 223,962 (15,833) (8.6) 54,943 32.5 ARMM 127,432 164,822 129,311 37,390 29.3 (35,511) (21.5) 178,875 108,679 216,364 (70,196) (39.2) 107,685 99.1

Item2012

2013

July-September October-December

2013 / 20122011 20122013

Change

2011

Change

2012 / 20112012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

Table 13. Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014

(In metric ton per hectare)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd b/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 3.68 3.84 3.90 0.17 4.5 0.05 1.3 3.70 3.75 3.76 0.05 1.4 0.02 0.4 CAR 3.61 3.78 3.87 0.16 4.6 0.09 2.5 4.04 4.03 4.08 (0.01) (0.1) 0.05 1.1 Ilocos 4.08 4.31 4.29 0.23 5.5 (0.02) (0.6) 4.62 4.45 4.54 (0.17) (3.7) 0.09 2.0 Cagayan Valley 3.81 4.16 4.18 0.35 9.3 0.01 0.3 3.90 4.09 4.07 0.20 5.0 (0.03) (0.6) Central Luzon 4.24 4.77 4.79 0.52 12.4 0.03 0.6 4.77 4.68 4.83 (0.08) (1.8) 0.15 3.2 Calabarzon 3.50 3.44 3.61 (0.05) (1.5) 0.17 4.9 3.65 3.52 3.85 (0.13) (3.7) 0.33 9.4 Mimaropa 3.63 3.67 3.70 0.05 1.2 0.02 0.7 3.40 3.38 3.37 (0.02) (0.7) (0.01) (0.2) Bicol 3.36 3.51 3.61 0.15 4.3 0.10 2.8 3.56 3.51 3.52 (0.05) (1.4) 0.01 0.2 Western Visayas 3.43 3.43 3.44 (0.00) (0.1) 0.01 0.2 3.28 3.15 3.32 (0.13) (3.9) 0.17 5.3 Central Visayas 3.02 3.09 3.26 0.07 2.3 0.17 5.5 2.83 3.15 2.94 0.32 11.2 (0.21) (6.7) Eastern Visayas 3.45 3.49 3.55 0.03 0.9 0.06 1.9 3.17 3.14 3.21 (0.03) (0.8) 0.07 2.3 Zamboanga Pen. 3.93 3.92 3.94 (0.01) (0.2) 0.02 0.6 4.00 3.78 4.00 (0.21) (5.3) 0.21 5.6 Northern Mindanao 4.01 4.12 4.26 0.11 2.8 0.14 3.4 3.97 3.88 3.94 (0.09) (2.3) 0.06 1.6 Davao Region 4.14 4.31 4.07 0.18 4.3 (0.25) (5.8) 4.22 4.02 4.21 (0.20) (4.8) 0.19 4.8 SOCCSKSARGEN 3.62 3.67 3.83 0.05 1.5 0.16 4.3 3.63 3.72 3.69 0.09 2.6 (0.02) (0.6) Caraga 2.94 3.03 3.28 0.09 2.9 0.25 8.4 2.98 3.11 3.10 0.13 4.2 (0.01) (0.4) ARMM 2.89 2.68 2.68 (0.21) (7.4) 0.01 0.3 2.26 2.74 2.55 0.49 21.6 (0.19) (7.0)

Item2011 2012

2013

January-March

2012 20132014

Change2014 / 20132012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 2013 / 2012

January-DecemberChange

18

27

Page 33: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In metric ton per hectare)

Table 3. Palay: Yield estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

January-December 3.68 3.84 3.90 4.5 1.3 Irrigated 4.02 4.24 4.28 5.3 1.1 Rainfed 2.95 3.04 3.07 2.8 1.2 January-June 3.80 3.88 3.91 2.0 1.0 Irrigated 4.17 4.28 4.30 2.6 0.6 Rainfed 2.76 2.78 2.77 0.9 (0.4) January-March 3.68 3.70 3.75 0.5 1.4 Irrigated 4.06 4.14 4.14 2.0 (0.1) Rainfed 2.79 2.76 2.73 (0.9) (1.3) April-June 3.95 4.08 4.11 3.2 0.8 Irrigated 4.29 4.41 4.48 2.9 1.7 Rainfed 2.70 2.82 2.84 4.1 0.8 July-December 3.58 3.82 3.88 6.7 1.6 Irrigated 3.89 4.20 4.26 8.0 1.5 Rainfed 3.06 3.18 3.23 3.8 1.6 July-September 3.64 3.80 3.87 4.5 1.8 Irrigated 4.04 4.20 4.29 3.9 2.2 Rainfed 3.02 3.13 3.13 3.4 0.1 October-December 3.55 3.83 3.89 7.9 1.5 Irrigated 3.81 4.20 4.25 10.1 1.2 Rainfed 3.08 3.21 3.28 4.0 2.1

2012 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 Oct'13 rd

2013 ITEM

PERCENT CHANGE2011

(In thousand metric tons)

Table 14. Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

January-December 6,971 7,407 7,373 6.2 (0.5)

White 2,150 2,166 2,132 0.7 (1.6)

Yellow 4,821 5,241 5,241 8.7 (0.0)

January-June 3,309 3,469 3,323 4.8 (4.2)

White 877 889 788 1.3 (11.3)

Yellow 2,432 2,580 2,535 6.1 (1.7)

January-March 1,915 2,018 2,248 5.4 11.4

White 532 486 466 (8.6) (4.1)

Yellow 1,383 1,531 1,782 10.7 16.4

April-June 1,395 1,451 1,075 4.0 (25.9)

White 345 402 322 16.6 (19.9)

Yellow 1,050 1,049 753 (0.1) (28.2)

July-December 3,662 3,938 4,050 7.5 2.8

White 1,273 1,277 1,343 0.3 5.2

Yellow 2,389 2,661 2,706 11.4 1.7

July-September 2,179 2,431 2,601 11.6 7.0

White 682 763 792 11.8 3.8

Yellow 1,497 1,669 1,809 11.5 8.4

October-December 1,482 1,507 1,449 a/ 1.6 (3.8)

White 591 514 552 (13.0) 7.3

Yellow 892 993 897 11.3 (9.6)

ITEM 2011 2012 2013 PERCENT CHANGE

Oct'13 rd 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

28

17

Page 34: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In thousand hectares)

Table 2. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

January-December 4,537 4,690 4,770 3.4 1.7 Irrigated 3,073 3,163 3,251 2.9 2.8 Rainfed 1,464 1,527 1,519 4.3 (0.5) January-June 1,993 2,036 2,044 2.1 0.4 Irrigated 1,476 1,490 1,526 1.0 2.4 Rainfed 517 546 518 5.5 (5.1) January-March 1,098 1,080 1,113 (1.6) 3.0 Irrigated 770 732 806 (4.9) 10.0 Rainfed 328 348 308 6.2 (11.7) April-June 895 956 931 6.7 (2.6) Irrigated 706 758 720 7.4 (5.0) Rainfed 189 197 210 4.3 6.5 July-December 2,543 2,654 2,726 4.4 2.7 Irrigated 1,596 1,673 1,725 4.8 3.1 Rainfed 947 981 1,001 3.6 2.0 July-September 871 947 870 8.7 (8.2) Irrigated 525 594 553 13.1 (6.9) Rainfed 346 353 317 2.0 (10.3) October-December 1,672 1,707 1,856 a/ 2.1 8.7 Irrigated 1,071 1,079 1,172 0.7 8.6 Rainfed 601 628 684 4.6 8.9

2012 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 Oct'13 rd

2013 ITEM

PERCENT CHANGE2011

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

(In thousand hectares)

Table 15. Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

January-December 2,545 2,594 2,567 1.9 (1.0)

White 1,284 1,312 1,281 2.2 (2.3)

Yellow 1,261 1,282 1,286 1.7 0.3

January-June 1,101 1,112 1,075 1.0 (3.3)

White 496 503 470 1.4 (6.5)

Yellow 605 609 605 0.7 (0.7)

January-March 652 651 703 (0.2) 8.0

White 304 292 282 (3.8) (3.6)

Yellow 348 359 421 2.9 17.4

April-June 448 461 372 2.7 (19.2)

White 192 210 188 9.6 (10.5)

Yellow 257 250 184 (2.4) (26.5)

July-December 1,444 1,482 1,492 2.7 0.7

White 788 809 811 2.7 0.2

Yellow 656 673 681 2.6 1.2

July-September 856 907 935 5.9 3.1

White 448 492 485 9.7 (1.3)

Yellow 408 415 450 1.8 8.3

October-December 588 576 557 a/ (2.1) (3.2)

White 340 317 326 (6.6) 2.6

Yellow 248 258 232 4.1 (10.3)

ITEM 2011 2012 2013 PERCENT CHANGE

Oct'13 rd 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

16

29

Page 35: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In thousand metric tons)

Table 1. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

January-December 16,684 18,032 18,580 8.1 3.0 Irrigated 12,359 13,396 13,914 8.4 3.9 Rainfed 4,325 4,636 4,667 7.2 0.7 January-June 7,577 7,892 7,998 4.2 1.3 Irrigated 6,151 6,374 6,563 3.6 3.0 Rainfed 1,426 1,518 1,435 6.4 (5.5) January-March 4,037 3,992 4,170 (1.1) 4.5 Irrigated 3,123 3,030 3,332 (3.0) 9.9 Rainfed 914 962 838 5.2 (12.9) April-June 3,540 3,900 3,828 10.2 (1.8) Irrigated 3,028 3,344 3,231 10.4 (3.4) Rainfed 512 556 596 8.5 7.3 July-December 9,107 10,140 10,582 11.4 4.4 Irrigated 6,208 7,022 7,350 13.1 4.7 Rainfed 2,899 3,118 3,232 7.6 3.6 July-September 3,168 3,597 3,363 13.5 (6.5) Irrigated 2,122 2,493 2,372 17.5 (4.9) Rainfed 1,047 1,104 991 5.5 (10.2) October-December 5,938 6,544 7,220 a/ 10.2 10.3 Irrigated 4,086 4,529 4,979 10.9 9.9 Rainfed 1,852 2,014 2,241 8.7 11.2

2012 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 Oct'13 rd

2013 ITEM

PERCENT CHANGE2011

(In metric ton per hectare)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

Table 16. Corn: Yield estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

January-December 2.74 2.86 2.87 4.2 0.6

White 1.68 1.65 1.66 (1.4) 0.8

Yellow 3.82 4.09 4.08 6.9 (0.3)

January-June 3.01 3.12 3.09 3.8 (0.9)

White 1.77 1.77 1.68 (0.0) (5.2)

Yellow 4.02 4.24 4.19 5.4 (1.1)

January-March 2.93 3.10 3.20 5.6 3.2

White 1.75 1.66 1.65 (5.0) (0.6)

Yellow 3.97 4.27 4.23 7.6 (0.9)

April-June 3.11 3.15 2.89 1.3 (8.3)

White 1.80 1.91 1.71 6.4 (10.6)

Yellow 4.09 4.19 4.09 2.4 (2.3)

July-December 2.54 2.66 2.71 4.8 2.2

White 1.62 1.58 1.66 (2.3) 5.0

Yellow 3.64 3.95 3.97 8.5 0.5

July-September 2.55 2.68 2.78 5.3 3.8

White 1.52 1.55 1.63 1.9 5.2

Yellow 3.67 4.02 4.02 9.5 0.1

October-December 2.52 2.62 2.60 3.8 (0.7)

White 1.74 1.62 1.69 (6.8) 4.5

Yellow 3.60 3.85 3.88 7.0 0.8

ITEM 2011 2012 2013 PERCENT CHANGE

Oct'13 rd 2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

30

15

Page 36: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

3.0

Rain

fall

T

he

accum

ulated

rain

fall fo

r Jan

uary

to

S

eptem

ber

2013 w

as 33,1

86.4

millim

eters. This w

as 10.7

% lo

wer th

an th

e 37,1

69.8

millim

eters record

in 2

012, b

ut 2

4.8

% m

ore th

an th

e norm

al rainfall co

nditio

n o

f 26,5

84.8

millim

eters.

A

ll reg

ions

excep

t W

estern

Visay

as receiv

ed

above

norm

al rain

fall.

Natio

nal C

apital R

egio

n receiv

ed th

e hig

hest accu

mulated

rainfall at 2

,829

millim

eters follo

wed

by C

araga at 2

,673.2

millim

eters.

O

n th

e oth

er han

d, S

OC

CS

KS

AR

GE

N receiv

ed th

e low

est accum

ulated

rainfall o

f 1,0

37.6

millim

eters while W

estern V

isayas w

as short b

y 9

.3%

or 1

50.6

millim

eters of rain

fall com

pared

to its n

orm

al conditio

n.

(In metric ton)

Table 17. Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd a/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 2,179,446 2,431,429 2,600,615 251,983 11.6 169,186 6.96 1,482,336 1,506,636 1,448,954 24,300 1.6 (57,682) (3.83) CAR 89,355 90,320 97,986 965 1.1 7,666 8.5 23,646 26,137 31,868 2,491 10.5 5,731 21.9 Ilocos 7,621 8,112 8,720 491 6.4 608 7.5 5,899 6,480 7,401 581 9.8 921 14.2 Cagayan Valley 621,278 751,420 730,275 130,142 20.9 (21,145) (2.8) 101,078 184,698 63,970 83,620 82.7 (120,728) (65.4) Central Luzon 12,211 15,755 16,527 3,544 29.0 772 4.9 4,062 8,386 8,127 4,324 106.5 (259) (3.1) Calabarzon 22,351 24,337 30,660 1,986 8.9 6,323 26.0 16,997 17,548 34,691 551 3.2 17,143 97.7 Mimaropa 22,994 23,075 24,226 81 0.4 1,151 5.0 7,868 6,806 7,814 (1,062) (13.5) 1,008 14.8 Bicol 70,443 72,711 79,158 2,268 3.2 6,447 8.9 27,137 34,850 38,383 7,713 28.4 3,533 10.1 Western Visayas 122,021 134,625 160,138 12,604 10.3 25,513 19.0 41,908 45,297 51,631 3,389 8.1 6,334 14.0 Central Visayas 101,636 97,045 107,030 (4,591) (4.5) 9,985 10.3 41,767 41,452 44,075 (315) (0.8) 2,623 6.3 Eastern Visayas 20,075 21,143 20,858 1,068 5.3 (285) (1.3) 24,185 25,377 25,865 1,192 4.9 488 1.9 Zamboanga Pen. 76,010 83,484 83,996 7,474 9.8 512 0.6 61,369 61,446 62,942 77 0.1 1,496 2.4 N. Mindanao 423,596 448,855 508,581 25,259 6.0 59,726 13.3 375,283 379,338 352,289 4,055 1.1 (27,049) (7.1) Davao Region 57,192 69,520 75,596 12,328 21.6 6,076 8.7 65,982 53,483 74,606 (12,499) (18.9) 21,123 39.5 SOCCSKSARGEN 350,772 365,145 415,930 14,373 4.1 50,785 13.9 376,866 382,450 401,015 5,584 1.5 18,565 4.9 Caraga 35,840 30,378 44,613 (5,462) (15.2) 14,235 46.9 37,079 45,419 47,398 8,340 22.5 1,979 4.4 ARMM 146,051 195,504 196,321 49,453 33.9 817 0.4 271,210 187,469 196,879 (83,741) (30.9) 9,410 5.0

2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

Change

2012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 20122013

Change

2011

October-December

20122013

July-September

Item

14

31

Page 37: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

Averag

e m

onth

ly

dealers’

price

of

amm

osu

l fertilizer

was

P745.1

7 p

er bag

of 5

0 k

ilogram

s,

2.5

% belo

w last

year’s

level

of

P764.3

3 p

er bag

. Prices g

radually

dro

pped

from

P767.3

0 p

er bag

in

January

2013 to

P707.4

7 p

er bag

in S

eptem

ber 2

013.

Averag

e m

onth

ly

dealers’

price

of

amm

ophos

fertilizer fo

r th

e

first nin

e (9) m

onth

s of 2

01

3 w

as

relatively

stable co

mpared

to its

price

in

the

last tw

o

(2)

years.

The p

rice ranged

from

P1,0

67.6

8

per b

ag to

P1,1

01.6

0 p

er bag

of

50 k

ilogram

s or an

increm

ent o

f

P33.9

2 p

er bag

.

In

201

3,

the

9-m

onth

av

erage

month

ly

dealers’

price

of

com

plete fertilizer w

as P1,2

36.5

8

per

bag

of

50

kilo

gram

s. T

his

was 2

.7%

low

er than

the p

rice in

2012.

The

month

ly

price

of

com

plete

fertilizer in

2013

show

ed

the

same

trend

as th

e

oth

er fertilizer

grad

es. M

on

thly

dealers’

price

was

low

est in

Sep

tember 2

013

at P1,2

12.8

2 p

er

bag

.

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

(In hectare)

Table 18. Corn: harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd a/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 855,985 906,761 934,613 50,776 5.9 27,852 3.07 587,949 575,537 557,353 (12,412) (2.1) (18,184) (3.16) CAR 24,263 24,508 26,628 245 1.0 2,120 8.7 5,988 6,529 7,610 541 9.0 1,081 16.6 Ilocos 2,434 2,437 2,571 3 0.1 134 5.5 1,734 1,825 1,991 91 5.2 166 9.1 Cagayan Valley 171,894 176,051 182,713 4,157 2.4 6,662 3.8 34,620 41,410 16,379 6,790 19.6 (25,031) (60.4) Central Luzon 4,347 4,615 4,722 268 6.2 107 2.3 1,463 1,852 1,908 389 26.6 56 3.0 Calabarzon 11,940 13,791 13,360 1,851 15.5 (431) (3.1) 9,990 8,929 10,828 (1,061) (10.6) 1,899 21.3 Mimaropa 8,857 8,343 8,107 (514) (5.8) (236) (2.8) 3,610 3,097 3,525 (513) (14.2) 428 13.8 Bicol 42,333 42,379 40,147 46 0.1 (2,232) (5.3) 11,943 11,826 13,933 (117) (1.0) 2,107 17.8 Western Visayas 48,386 50,166 54,984 1,780 3.7 4,818 9.6 21,150 20,761 20,815 (389) (1.8) 54 0.3 Central Visayas 110,790 109,333 107,665 (1,457) (1.3) (1,668) (1.5) 51,549 48,915 48,661 (2,634) (5.1) (254) (0.5) Eastern Visayas 14,851 14,870 14,330 19 0.1 (540) (3.6) 18,190 18,582 18,710 392 2.2 128 0.7 Zamboanga Pen. 53,084 54,404 51,939 1,320 2.5 (2,465) (4.5) 38,969 44,192 40,582 5,223 13.4 (3,610) (8.2) N. Mindanao 124,951 132,431 142,203 7,480 6.0 9,772 7.4 97,630 106,423 98,875 8,793 9.0 (7,548) (7.1) Davao Region 43,980 46,849 48,961 2,869 6.5 2,112 4.5 50,308 40,600 52,238 (9,708) (19.3) 11,638 28.7 SOCCSKSARGEN 127,701 129,622 135,520 1,921 1.5 5,898 4.6 133,367 133,791 131,860 424 0.3 (1,931) (1.4) Caraga 14,295 11,291 15,586 (3,004) (21.0) 4,295 38.0 15,530 16,657 16,831 1,127 7.3 174 1.0 ARMM 51,879 85,671 85,177 33,792 65.1 (494) (0.6) 91,908 70,148 72,607 (21,760) (23.7) 2,459 3.5

2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

Change

2012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 20122013

Change

2011

October-December

20122013

July-September

Item

13

32

Page 38: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

The

averag

e w

holesale

price

of

white co

rn fo

r the first n

ine (9

)

month

s of

201

3

at P

15.4

2

was

the

same

as last

year’s

price

quotatio

n.

This

year’s

price

exhib

ited

gen

erally

decreasin

g

trend fro

m P

16.0

5 p

er kilo

gram

in

January

to

P

14.6

8

per

kilo

gram

in S

eptem

ber.

The 9

-month

averag

e retail price

of

white

corn

fo

r 20

13

was

P19.1

2 p

er kilo

gram

, 2.9

% lo

wer

than

th

e P

19.6

9

per

kilo

gram

price in

201

2. M

onth

ly p

rices in

May

to

S

eptem

ber

20

13

were

low

er th

an

last year’s

price

quotatio

ns

rangin

g fro

m P

19.5

8

per

kilo

gram

to

P

18

.02

per

kilo

gram

.

2.3

Fertilize

r

The

averag

e m

onth

ly

dealers’

price

of

urea

fertilizer fo

r

January

to S

eptem

ber 2

01

3 w

as

P1,1

81.5

3

per

bag

of

50

kilo

gram

s. This w

as 9.6

% lo

wer

than

the last y

ear’s quotatio

n o

f

P1,3

07.7

1

per

bag

. T

his

year’s

month

ly

price

of

urea

fertilizer

contin

ued

to

declin

e fro

m

P1,2

27.3

0 p

er bag

in Jan

uary

to P

1,1

10.8

8 p

er bag

in S

eptem

ber.

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

a/ - Standing crop

(In metric ton per hectare)

Table 19. Corn: Yield estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2011-2013

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd a/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 2.55 2.68 2.78 0.14 5.3 0.10 3.8 2.52 2.62 2.60 0.10 3.8 (0.02) (0.7) CAR 3.68 3.69 3.68 0.00 0.1 (0.01) (0.1) 3.95 4.00 4.19 0.05 1.4 0.18 4.6 Ilocos 3.13 3.33 3.39 0.20 6.3 0.06 1.9 3.40 3.55 3.72 0.15 4.4 0.17 4.7 Cagayan Valley 3.61 4.27 4.00 0.65 18.1 (0.27) (6.4) 2.92 4.46 3.91 1.54 52.8 (0.55) (12.4) Central Luzon 2.81 3.41 3.50 0.60 21.5 0.09 2.5 2.78 4.53 4.26 1.75 63.1 (0.27) (5.9) Calabarzon 1.87 1.76 2.29 (0.11) (5.7) 0.53 30.0 1.70 1.97 3.20 0.26 15.5 1.24 63.0 Mimaropa 2.60 2.77 2.99 0.17 6.5 0.22 8.0 2.18 2.20 2.22 0.02 0.8 0.02 0.9 Bicol 1.66 1.72 1.97 0.05 3.1 0.26 14.9 2.27 2.95 2.75 0.67 29.7 (0.19) (6.5) Western Visayas 2.52 2.68 2.91 0.16 6.4 0.23 8.5 1.98 2.18 2.48 0.20 10.1 0.30 13.7 Central Visayas 0.92 0.89 0.99 (0.03) (3.2) 0.11 12.0 0.81 0.85 0.91 0.04 4.6 0.06 6.9 Eastern Visayas 1.35 1.42 1.46 0.07 5.2 0.03 2.4 1.33 1.37 1.38 0.04 2.7 0.02 1.2 Zamboanga Pen. 1.43 1.53 1.62 0.10 7.2 0.08 5.4 1.57 1.39 1.55 (0.18) (11.7) 0.16 11.5 N. Mindanao 3.39 3.39 3.58 (0.00) (0.0) 0.19 5.5 3.84 3.56 3.56 (0.28) (7.3) (0.00) (0.0) Davao Region 1.30 1.48 1.54 0.18 14.1 0.06 4.0 1.31 1.32 1.43 0.01 0.4 0.11 8.4 SOCCSKSARGEN 2.75 2.82 3.07 0.07 2.6 0.25 9.0 2.83 2.86 3.04 0.03 1.2 0.18 6.4 Caraga 2.51 2.69 2.86 0.18 7.3 0.17 6.4 2.39 2.73 2.82 0.34 14.2 0.09 3.3 ARMM 2.82 2.28 2.30 (0.53) (18.9) 0.02 1.0 2.95 2.67 2.71 (0.28) (9.4) 0.04 1.5

2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012

Change

2012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 20122013

Change

2011

October-December

20122013

July-September

Item

12

33

Page 39: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

At

wholesale,

this

year’s

9-

month

av

erage

price

of

yello

w

corn

w

as P

15.8

2

per

kilo

gram

,

0.9

%

hig

her

than

last

year’s

record

of

P15.6

9 per

kilo

gram

.

Fro

m th

e peak

price

of

P16.0

1

per

kilo

gram

in

M

ay

2013,

it

wen

t dow

n

to

P15.4

3

per

kilo

gram

in S

eptem

ber 2

01

3.

The

averag

e retail

price

of

yello

w

corn

fo

r Jan

uary

to

Sep

tember 2

013 w

as P2

2.1

6 p

er

kilo

gram

, 2.5

% ab

ov

e last year’s

price

of

P21.6

1

per

kilo

gram

.

This y

ear’s price w

as hig

hest in

May

2013

at P

22.7

9

per

kilo

gram

an

d

low

est in

Sep

tember

2013

at P

21.4

7

per

kilo

gram

.

Wh

ite Corn

At farm

gate, th

e averag

e price o

f

white

corn

fro

m

January

to

Sep

tember 2

01

3 w

as P1

5.8

9 p

er

kilo

gram

, 13.2

%

abo

ve

last

year’s

level

of

P14.0

4

per

kilo

gram

. F

rom

P

17.0

3

per

kilo

gram

in A

pril 2

013

, farmgate

prices

contin

uously

dec

lined

to

P14.2

7

per

kilo

gram

in

Sep

tember 2

013

.

10

(In metric ton)

Table 20. Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by semi-annual, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

Level % Level % Oct'13 rd Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 3,309,439 3,468,765 3,323,309 159,326 4.8 (145,456) (4.19) 3,661,782 3,938,065 4,049,569 276,283 7.5 111,504 2.83 CAR 105,787 108,678 110,298 2,891 2.7 1,620 1.5 113,001 116,457 129,854 3,456 3.1 13,397 11.5 Ilocos 374,362 420,128 431,459 45,766 12.2 11,331 2.7 13,520 14,592 16,121 1,072 7.9 1,529 10.5 Cagayan Valley 879,331 939,267 919,716 59,936 6.8 (19,551) (2.1) 722,356 936,118 794,245 213,762 29.6 (141,873) (15.2) Central Luzon 172,221 186,433 203,203 14,212 8.3 16,770 9.0 16,273 24,141 24,654 7,868 48.4 513 2.1 Calabarzon 18,209 16,772 17,758 (1,437) (7.9) 986 5.9 39,348 41,885 65,351 2,537 6.4 23,466 56.0 Mimaropa 53,311 57,342 72,732 4,031 7.6 15,390 26.8 30,862 29,881 32,040 (981) (3.2) 2,159 7.2 Bicol 117,445 122,984 139,352 5,539 4.7 16,368 13.3 97,580 107,561 117,541 9,981 10.2 9,980 9.3 Western Visayas 145,986 150,860 136,882 4,874 3.3 (13,978) (9.3) 163,929 179,922 211,769 15,993 9.8 31,847 17.7 Central Visayas 33,894 33,641 28,829 (253) (0.7) (4,812) (14.3) 143,403 138,497 151,105 (4,906) (3.4) 12,608 9.1 Eastern Visayas 39,732 40,813 44,161 1,081 2.7 3,348 8.2 44,260 46,520 46,723 2,260 5.1 203 0.4 Zamboanga Pen. 62,712 66,401 58,430 3,689 5.9 (7,971) (12.0) 137,379 144,930 146,938 7,551 5.5 2,008 1.4 N. Mindanao 413,329 400,561 324,023 (12,768) (3.1) (76,538) (19.1) 798,879 828,193 860,870 29,314 3.7 32,677 3.9 Davao Region 68,039 75,624 72,444 7,585 11.1 (3,180) (4.2) 123,174 123,003 150,202 (171) (0.1) 27,199 22.1 SOCCSKSARGEN 442,916 453,736 474,398 10,820 2.4 20,662 4.6 727,638 747,595 816,945 19,957 2.7 69,350 9.3 Caraga 2,765 13,724 14,400 10,959 396.3 676 4.9 72,919 75,797 92,011 2,878 3.9 16,214 21.4 ARMM 379,400 381,801 275,224 2,401 0.6 (106,577) (27.9) 417,261 382,973 393,200 (34,288) (8.2) 10,227 2.7

2013 / 20122012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 2012 2013 2011 20122013

Change

2012 / 2011Change

July-DecemberJanuary-June

Item

9

11

34

11

Page 40: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

In M

etro M

anila, th

is year’s 9

-

month

av

erage

wholesale

price

of

rice w

as P

31.6

1

per

kilo

gram

. S

ignifican

t in

creases

in

month

ly

prices

were

observ

ed

from

P

31.0

0

per

kilo

gram

in

Ju

ne

2013

to

P35.6

0

per

kilo

gram

in

Sep

tember 2

013

.

The

averag

e m

onth

ly

retail

price

of

rice in

M

etro

Man

ila

remain

ed

stable

at P

35.0

0

per

kilo

gram

until

July

20

13.

It

rose to

P35.2

0 p

er kilo

gram

in

August

2013

an

d

surg

ed

to

P38.0

0

per

kilo

gram

in

Sep

tember 2

013.

2.2

Corn

Yello

w C

orn

The av

erage farm

gate p

rice of

yello

w

corn

fo

r Jan

uary

to

Sep

tember

2013

was

P11.9

4

per

kilo

gram

, 5.7

% belo

w th

e

P12.6

7 p

er kilo

gram

price last

year. In

gen

eral, month

ly p

rices

declin

ed

from

P

12.4

8

per

kilo

gram

in

Jan

uary

2

013

to

P11.7

4

per

kilo

gram

in

Sep

tember 2

013.

Table 21. Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by semi-annual, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

(In hectare)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

Level % Level % Oct'13 rd Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 1,100,678 1,111,527 1,075,075 10,849 1.0 (36,452) (3.28) 1,443,934 1,482,298 1,491,966 38,364 2.7 9,668 0.65 CAR 25,800 26,253 27,401 453 1.8 1,148 4.4 30,251 31,037 34,238 786 2.6 3,201 10.3 Ilocos 73,015 78,531 79,544 5,516 7.6 1,013 1.3 4,168 4,262 4,562 94 2.3 300 7.0 Cagayan Valley 215,581 214,905 217,398 (676) (0.3) 2,493 1.2 206,514 217,461 199,092 10,947 5.3 (18,369) (8.4) Central Luzon 33,026 34,014 37,510 988 3.0 3,496 10.3 5,810 6,467 6,630 657 11.3 163 2.5 Calabarzon 9,928 10,360 9,718 432 4.4 (642) (6.2) 21,930 22,720 24,188 790 3.6 1,468 6.5 Mimaropa 13,996 13,056 16,390 (940) (6.7) 3,334 25.5 12,467 11,440 11,632 (1,027) (8.2) 192 1.7 Bicol 53,967 58,759 55,666 4,792 8.9 (3,093) (5.3) 54,276 54,205 54,080 (71) (0.1) (125) (0.2) Western Visayas 52,680 51,642 49,138 (1,038) (2.0) (2,504) (4.8) 69,536 70,927 75,799 1,391 2.0 4,872 6.9 Central Visayas 50,099 48,022 42,843 (2,077) (4.1) (5,179) (10.8) 162,339 158,248 156,326 (4,091) (2.5) (1,922) (1.2) Eastern Visayas 27,909 28,247 29,300 338 1.2 1,053 3.7 33,041 33,452 33,040 411 1.2 (412) (1.2) Zamboanga Pen. 40,354 36,383 33,423 (3,971) (9.8) (2,960) (8.1) 92,053 98,596 92,521 6,543 7.1 (6,075) (6.2) N. Mindanao 141,478 137,946 131,487 (3,532) (2.5) (6,459) (4.7) 222,581 238,854 241,078 16,273 7.3 2,224 0.9 Davao Region 54,793 58,628 58,150 3,835 7.0 (478) (0.8) 94,288 87,449 101,199 (6,839) (7.3) 13,750 15.7 SOCCSKSARGEN 165,982 165,906 163,304 (76) (0.0) (2,602) (1.6) 261,068 263,413 267,380 2,345 0.9 3,967 1.5 Caraga 1,729 5,882 5,623 4,153 240.2 (259) (4.4) 29,825 27,948 32,417 (1,877) (6.3) 4,469 16.0 ARMM 140,341 142,993 118,180 2,652 1.9 (24,813) (17.4) 143,787 155,819 157,784 12,032 8.4 1,965 1.3

2013 / 20122012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 2012 2013 2011 20122013

Change

2012 / 2011Change

July-DecemberJanuary-June

Item

10

35

Page 41: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

2.0

Prices

2.1

Pala

y/R

ice

Averag

e farmgate p

rice of p

alay

for Jan

uary

-Sep

tember 2

01

3 w

as

P16.8

9

per

kilo

gram

, 1.5

%

hig

her

than

th

e P

16

.64

per

kilo

gram

quotatio

n in

2012.

In

2013,

the

hig

hest

price

was

record

ed at P

18.1

5 p

er kilo

gram

in A

ugust

and lo

west

at P

16.0

9

per k

ilogram

in M

arch.

At

wholesale,

month

ly

averag

e

price o

f rice for th

e first nin

e (9)

month

s of

201

3

at P

33.8

4

per

kilo

gram

w

as 3.0

% hig

her

than

the P

32.8

4 p

er kilo

gram

price in

2012.

A

significan

t in

crease in

price w

as noted

from

P33.1

8 p

er

kilo

gram

in Ju

ne 2

013 to

P37.0

0

per k

ilogram

in S

eptem

ber 2

013

.

The

averag

e retail

price

of

rice

for th

e first three (3

) qu

arters of

2013

was

P3

6.1

7

per

kilo

gram

.

The tren

d o

f retail price th

is year

was

the

same

as th

at of

wholesale p

rice. Fro

m P

35.5

9 p

er

kilo

gram

in

Ju

ne

2013

price

surg

ed to

P39.1

9 p

er kilo

gram

in

Sep

tember 2

013.

Table 22. Corn: Yield estimates and forecasts by semi-annual, by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013

(In metric ton per hectare)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

Level % Level % Oct'13 rd Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 3.01 3.12 3.09 0.1 3.8 (0.0) (0.9) 2.54 2.66 2.71 0.12 4.8 0.06 2.2 CAR 4.10 4.14 4.03 0.0 1.0 (0.1) (2.8) 3.74 3.75 3.79 0.02 0.4 0.04 1.1 Ilocos 5.13 5.35 5.42 0.2 4.3 0.1 1.4 3.24 3.42 3.53 0.18 5.5 0.11 3.2 Cagayan Valley 4.08 4.37 4.23 0.3 7.2 (0.1) (3.2) 3.50 4.30 3.99 0.81 23.1 (0.32) (7.3) Central Luzon 5.21 5.48 5.42 0.3 5.1 (0.1) (1.2) 2.80 3.73 3.72 0.93 33.3 (0.01) (0.4) Calabarzon 1.83 1.62 1.83 (0.2) (11.7) 0.2 12.9 1.79 1.84 2.70 0.05 2.7 0.86 46.6 Mimaropa 3.81 4.39 4.44 0.6 15.3 0.0 1.0 2.48 2.61 2.75 0.14 5.5 0.14 5.5 Bicol 2.18 2.09 2.50 (0.1) (3.8) 0.4 19.6 1.80 1.98 2.17 0.19 10.4 0.19 9.5 Western Visayas 2.77 2.92 2.79 0.2 5.4 (0.1) (4.6) 2.36 2.54 2.79 0.18 7.6 0.26 10.1 Central Visayas 0.68 0.70 0.67 0.0 3.5 (0.0) (3.9) 0.88 0.88 0.97 (0.01) (0.9) 0.09 10.4 Eastern Visayas 1.42 1.44 1.51 0.0 1.5 0.1 4.3 1.34 1.39 1.41 0.05 3.8 0.02 1.7 Zamboanga Pen. 1.55 1.83 1.75 0.3 17.4 (0.1) (4.2) 1.49 1.47 1.59 (0.02) (1.5) 0.12 8.0 N. Mindanao 2.92 2.90 2.46 (0.0) (0.6) (0.4) (15.1) 3.59 3.47 3.57 (0.12) (3.4) 0.10 3.0 Davao Region 1.24 1.29 1.25 0.0 3.9 (0.0) (3.4) 1.31 1.41 1.48 0.10 7.7 0.08 5.5 SOCCSKSARGEN 2.67 2.73 2.90 0.1 2.5 0.2 6.2 2.79 2.84 3.06 0.05 1.8 0.22 7.7 Caraga 1.60 2.33 2.56 0.7 45.9 0.2 9.8 2.44 2.71 2.84 0.27 10.9 0.13 4.7 ARMM 2.70 2.67 2.33 (0.0) (1.2) (0.3) (12.8) 2.90 2.46 2.49 (0.44) (15.3) 0.03 1.4

2013 / 20122012 / 2011 2013 / 20122011 2012 2013 2011 20122013

Change

2012 / 2011Change

July-DecemberJanuary-June

Item

36

9

Page 42: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

Table 23. Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by croptype,

Philippines, January-March, 2012-2014

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

PRODUCTION ('000MT)

January-March 2,018 2,248 2,393 11.4 6.5

White 486 466 561 (4.1) 20.3

Yellow 1,531 1,782 1,832 16.4 2.8

HARVEST AREA ('000Ha)

January-March 651 703 733 8.0 4.2

White 292 282 302 (3.6) 7.1

Yellow 359 421 431 17.4 2.3

YIELD/HECTARE (MT)

January-March 3.10 3.20 3.27 3.2 2.1

White 1.66 1.65 1.86 (0.6) 12.3

Yellow 4.27 4.23 4.25 (0.9) 0.5

PERCENT CHANGE

Oct'13 rd b/ 2013 / 2012 2014 / 2013 ITEM 2012 2013

2014

Fig

ure 1

2. C

orn

: Them

atic map

of p

rodu

ction b

y reg

ion,

Philip

pin

es, July

-Sep

tember, 2

01

3

8

37

Page 43: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

Table 20. Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

Philippines, July-December, 2010-2012

Jan

uary

-March

201

4 F

oreca

st

T

he

Jan

uary

-March

2014

pro

ductio

n,

based

on

farmers’

plan

ting

inten

tions

may

reach

2.3

9 m

illion M

T

which

is

6.5

%

above

the

2013

level

of

2.2

5

millio

n

MT

. H

arvest

area m

ay

be

larger b

y 4

.3%

, or fro

m 7

03

thousan

d

hectares

to

733

thousan

d h

ectares. Yield

per

hectare

may

im

pro

ve

by

2.1

% fro

m 3

.20 M

T in

2013

to 3

.27 in

2014.

F

armers

in m

ost

of

the

regio

ns

inten

d to

in

crease th

eir plan

tings.

In

AR

MM

, expan

sion

of h

arvest area is ex

pected

due to

utilizatio

n o

f land

-

in-fallo

w.

B

igger

pro

ductio

n

is ex

pected

in

N

orth

ern

Min

dan

ao

in

anticip

ation o

f good w

eather to

prev

ail. Plan

tings in

Dav

ao R

egio

n m

ay

increase

due

to

seeds

assistance

and

additio

nal

areas fo

r green

co

rn.

Farm

ers in C

AL

AB

AR

ZO

N are en

cou

raged

to p

lant m

ore co

rn d

ue to

availab

ility

of

hig

h

quality

seed

s an

d

contin

uous

technical

support

pro

vid

ed b

y D

A/L

GU

s and p

rivate secto

rs.

8

Table 24. Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014

(In metric ton)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd b/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 6,971,221 7,406,830 7,372,878 435,609 6.2 (33,952) (0.46) 2,017,630 2,248,290 2,393,351 230,660 11.4 145,061 6.45 CAR 218,788 225,135 240,152 6,347 2.9 15,017 6.7 82,063 79,182 82,410 (2,881) (3.5) 3,228 4.1 Ilocos 387,882 434,720 447,580 46,838 12.1 12,860 3.0 290,980 329,707 329,643 38,727 13.3 (64) (0.0) Cagayan Valley 1,601,687 1,875,385 1,713,961 273,698 17.1 (161,424) (8.6) 474,647 747,236 709,248 272,589 57.4 (37,988) (5.1) Central Luzon 188,494 210,574 227,857 22,080 11.7 17,283 8.2 79,722 99,925 85,640 20,203 25.3 (14,285) (14.3) Calabarzon 57,557 58,657 83,109 1,100 1.9 24,452 41.7 10,456 12,784 23,704 2,328 22.3 10,920 85.4 Mimaropa 84,173 87,223 104,772 3,050 3.6 17,549 20.1 20,548 35,090 36,066 14,542 70.8 976 2.8 Bicol 215,025 230,545 256,893 15,520 7.2 26,348 11.4 53,239 51,043 57,478 (2,196) (4.1) 6,435 12.6 Western Visayas 309,915 330,782 348,651 20,867 6.7 17,869 5.4 111,277 101,642 114,402 (9,635) (8.7) 12,760 12.6 Central Visayas 177,297 172,138 179,934 (5,159) (2.9) 7,796 4.5 27,008 22,873 25,170 (4,135) (15.3) 2,297 10.0 Eastern Visayas 83,992 87,333 90,884 3,341 4.0 3,551 4.1 10,656 11,599 11,975 943 8.8 376 3.2 Zamboanga Pen. 200,091 211,331 205,368 11,240 5.6 (5,963) (2.8) 52,572 46,859 31,375 (5,713) (10.9) (15,484) (33.0) N. Mindanao 1,212,208 1,228,754 1,184,893 16,546 1.4 (43,861) (3.6) 329,332 252,666 309,662 (76,666) (23.3) 56,996 22.6 Davao Region 191,213 198,627 222,646 7,414 3.9 24,019 12.1 32,509 26,308 44,146 (6,201) (19.1) 17,838 67.8 SOCCSKSARGEN 1,170,554 1,201,331 1,291,343 30,777 2.6 90,012 7.5 257,565 279,042 287,704 21,477 8.3 8,662 3.1 Caraga 75,684 89,521 106,411 13,837 18.3 16,890 18.9 438 523 729 85 19.4 206 39.4 ARMM 796,661 764,774 668,424 (31,887) (4.0) (96,350) (12.6) 184,618 151,811 243,999 (32,807) (17.8) 92,188 60.7

2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 2013 / 2012

January-DecemberChange

2012 20132014

Change2014 / 2013

January-March

2011 20122013Item

38

7

Page 44: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

In

No

rthern

Min

dan

ao, m

ore

farmers w

ere enco

urag

ed to

plan

t becau

se o

f L

GU

s’

agricu

lture

pro

ductio

n

assistance

pro

gram

th

rough

pro

visio

n o

f seeds to

farmers

affected b

y ty

phoon “P

ablo

last year. T

he h

igh d

eman

d

for

corn

fro

m

pig

gery

an

d

poultry

raisers,

good

price

and

presen

ce of

finan

ciers-

traders p

ush

ed p

roductio

n to

go u

p.

In

S

OC

CS

KS

AR

GE

N,

gro

wth

in

pro

du

ction

was

enh

anced

b

y

hig

her

usag

e of h

ybrid

and G

MO

seeds, in

creased fertilizer ap

plicatio

n an

d lesser

occu

rrence o

f pests. In

Western

Visay

as, the reaso

ns cited

for in

creased

pro

ductio

n an

d larg

er harv

est area were b

etter prices, av

ailability

of seed

s,

interv

entio

ns fro

m D

A/L

GU

s and p

resence o

f finan

ciers.

B

ased o

n stan

din

g cro

p, th

e

Octo

ber-D

ecem

ber

2013

corn

pro

ductio

n

is fo

recast

at 1.4

5

millio

n

MT

, 3.8

%

belo

w th

e 1.5

1 m

illion M

T

outp

ut in

2012. H

arvest area

may

co

ntract

from

576

thousan

d

hectares

to

557

thousan

d h

ectares. Yield

per

hectare

may

decrease

from

2.6

2 M

T to

2.6

0 M

T o

r by

0.7

%.

S

ignifican

t red

uctio

ns

in

corn

pro

ductio

n

and

harv

est area

durin

g

the

perio

d co

uld

be attrib

uted

to th

e adverse effects o

f moistu

re stress and

later by ty

phoons “L

abu

yo

” and

“Od

ette” du

ring th

e repro

ductiv

e stage o

f

the cro

p in

Cag

ayan

Valley

. In N

orth

ern M

indan

ao, th

e shiftin

g to

cash

crops, p

ineap

ple an

d p

alm o

il may

brin

g d

ow

n p

roductio

n an

d h

arvest

area.

(In hectare)

Table 25. Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd b/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 2,544,612 2,593,825 2,567,041 49,213 1.9 (26,784) (1.03) 651,018 702,976 732,833 51,958 8.0 29,857 4.25 CAR 56,051 57,290 61,639 1,239 2.2 4,349 7.6 20,067 20,054 20,255 (13) (0.1) 201 1.0 Ilocos 77,183 82,793 84,106 5,610 7.3 1,313 1.6 53,546 59,373 58,503 5,827 10.9 (870) (1.5) Cagayan Valley 422,095 432,366 416,490 10,271 2.4 (15,876) (3.7) 109,225 176,081 167,100 66,856 61.2 (8,981) (5.1) Central Luzon 38,836 40,481 44,140 1,645 4.2 3,659 9.0 15,487 19,010 16,744 3,523 22.7 (2,266) (11.9) Calabarzon 31,858 33,080 33,906 1,222 3.8 826 2.5 6,078 6,867 8,552 789 13.0 1,685 24.5 Mimaropa 26,463 24,496 28,022 (1,967) (7.4) 3,526 14.4 4,810 8,008 8,499 3,198 66.5 491 6.1 Bicol 108,243 112,964 109,746 4,721 4.4 (3,218) (2.8) 32,674 25,587 30,436 (7,087) (21.7) 4,849 19.0 Western Visayas 122,216 122,569 124,937 353 0.3 2,368 1.9 35,227 34,030 38,259 (1,197) (3.4) 4,229 12.4 Central Visayas 212,438 206,270 199,169 (6,168) (2.9) (7,101) (3.4) 38,897 34,554 36,803 (4,343) (11.2) 2,249 6.5 Eastern Visayas 60,950 61,699 62,340 749 1.2 641 1.0 7,370 7,542 7,572 172 2.3 30 0.4 Zamboanga Pen. 132,407 134,979 125,944 2,572 1.9 (9,035) (6.7) 26,566 25,626 18,444 (940) (3.5) (7,182) (28.0) N. Mindanao 364,059 376,800 372,565 12,741 3.5 (4,235) (1.1) 109,384 102,166 107,115 (7,218) (6.6) 4,949 4.8 Davao Region 149,081 146,077 159,349 (3,004) (2.0) 13,272 9.1 23,798 19,903 28,677 (3,895) (16.4) 8,774 44.1 SOCCSKSARGEN 427,050 429,319 430,684 2,269 0.5 1,365 0.3 96,518 97,112 99,830 594 0.6 2,718 2.8 Caraga 31,554 33,830 38,040 2,276 7.2 4,210 12.4 433 263 410 (170) (39.3) 147 55.9 ARMM 284,128 298,812 275,964 14,684 5.2 (22,848) (7.6) 70,938 66,800 85,634 (4,138) (5.8) 18,834 28.2

2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 2013 / 2012

January-DecemberChange

2012 20132014

Change2014 / 2013

January-March

2011 20122013Item

6

39

Page 45: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

1.2

Corn

Calen

dar Y

ear 2

013 F

oreca

st

C

orn

pro

ductio

n fo

r calen

dar

yea

r 2013

is forecast at 7

.37

millio

n M

T, 0

.5%

belo

w th

e

2012 outp

ut

of

7.4

1 m

illion

MT

. H

arvest

area m

ay

contract

to

2.5

7

millio

n

hectares,

1.0

%

smaller

than

last year’s

2.5

9

millio

n

hectares. O

n th

e oth

er han

d,

yield

per

hectare

may

impro

ve

from

2.8

6

MT

in

2012 to

2.8

7 M

T th

is year.

Ju

ly-D

ecem

ber 2

013 C

rop

P

roductio

n

for

Ju

ly-

Dece

mb

er 2013

m

ay

increase to

4.0

5 m

illion M

T,

2.8

%

more

than

last

year’s

3.9

4

millio

n

MT

outp

ut.

Harv

est area

may ex

pan

d to

1.4

9

millio

n

hectares,

0.7

%

larger

than

last

year’s

1.4

8

millio

n

hectares.

Y

ield

per

hectare

may

impro

ve b

y 2

.2%

, or fro

m 2

.66 M

T in

2012 to

2.7

1 M

T in

2013.

T

he J

uly

-Sep

temb

er 2

013

corn

pro

ductio

n w

as 2.6

0 m

illion M

T, 7

.0%

hig

her th

an th

e 2012 lev

el of 2

.43 m

illion M

T. H

arvest area ex

pan

ded

by

3.1

%, o

r from

907 th

ousan

d h

ectares in 2

012 to

935 th

ousan

d h

ectares this

year. Y

ield p

er hectare im

pro

ved

from

2.6

8 M

T last y

ear to 2

.78 M

T th

is

year.

G

row

th

in

pro

ductio

n,

harv

est area

and

yield

w

ere noted

in

W

estern

Visay

as, North

ern M

indan

ao an

d S

OC

CS

KS

AR

GE

N.

Table 26. Corn: Yield estimates and forecasts by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2011-2013 and January-March, 2012-2014

(In metric ton per hectare)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

b/ - Planting intentions

Oct'13 rd Level % Level % Oct'13 rd b/ Level % Level %

PHILIPPINES 2.74 2.86 2.87 0.12 4.2 0.02 0.6 3.10 3.20 3.27 0.10 3.2 0.07 2.1 CAR 3.90 3.93 3.90 0.03 0.7 (0.03) (0.9) 4.09 3.95 4.07 (0.14) (3.4) 0.12 3.0 Ilocos 5.03 5.25 5.32 0.23 4.5 0.07 1.4 5.43 5.55 5.63 0.12 2.2 0.08 1.5 Cagayan Valley 3.79 4.34 4.12 0.54 14.3 (0.22) (5.1) 4.35 4.24 4.24 (0.10) (2.3) 0.00 0.0 Central Luzon 4.85 5.20 5.16 0.35 7.2 (0.04) (0.8) 5.15 5.26 5.11 0.11 2.1 (0.14) (2.7) Calabarzon 1.81 1.77 2.45 (0.03) (1.9) 0.68 38.2 1.72 1.86 2.77 0.14 8.2 0.91 48.9 Mimaropa 3.18 3.56 3.74 0.38 11.9 0.18 5.0 4.27 4.38 4.24 0.11 2.6 (0.14) (3.2) Bicol 1.99 2.04 2.34 0.05 2.7 0.30 14.7 1.63 1.99 1.89 0.37 22.4 (0.11) (5.3) Western Visayas 2.54 2.70 2.79 0.16 6.4 0.09 3.4 3.16 2.99 2.99 (0.17) (5.4) 0.00 0.1 Central Visayas 0.83 0.83 0.90 (0.00) (0.0) 0.07 8.3 0.69 0.66 0.68 (0.03) (4.7) 0.02 3.3 Eastern Visayas 1.38 1.42 1.46 0.04 2.7 0.04 3.0 1.45 1.54 1.58 0.09 6.4 0.04 2.8 Zamboanga Pen. 1.51 1.57 1.63 0.05 3.6 0.06 4.1 1.98 1.83 1.70 (0.15) (7.6) (0.13) (7.0) N. Mindanao 3.33 3.26 3.18 (0.07) (2.1) (0.08) (2.5) 3.01 2.47 2.89 (0.54) (17.9) 0.42 16.9 Davao Region 1.28 1.36 1.40 0.08 6.0 0.04 2.8 1.37 1.32 1.54 (0.04) (3.2) 0.22 16.5 SOCCSKSARGEN 2.74 2.80 3.00 0.06 2.1 0.20 7.2 2.67 2.87 2.88 0.20 7.7 0.01 0.3 Caraga 2.40 2.65 2.80 0.25 10.3 0.15 5.7 1.01 1.99 1.78 0.98 96.6 (0.21) (10.6) ARMM 2.80 2.56 2.42 (0.24) (8.7) (0.14) (5.4) 2.60 2.27 2.85 (0.33) (12.7) 0.58 25.4

2012 / 2011 2013 / 2012 2013 / 2012

January-DecemberChange

2012 20132014

Change2014 / 2013

January-March

2011 20122013Item

40

5

Page 46: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

Table 27. Palay/Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-September, 2011-2013

2012/2011 2013/2012

FARMGATE

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 15.69 16.64 16.89 6.0 1.5

January 15.14 16.14 16.31 6.6 1.1

February 15.55 16.25 16.22 4.5 (0.2)

March 15.61 16.37 16.09 4.9 (1.7)

April 15.57 16.47 16.37 5.8 (0.6)

May 15.83 16.67 16.52 5.3 (0.9)

June 15.72 16.92 16.83 7.6 (0.5)

July 16.04 17.12 17.42 6.7 1.8

August 15.99 17.15 18.15 7.3 5.8

September 15.75 16.65 18.06 5.7 8.5

WHOLESALE

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 32.01 32.84 33.84 2.6 3.0

January 31.54 32.54 32.77 3.2 0.7

February 31.86 32.52 32.78 2.1 0.8

March 31.88 32.63 32.81 2.4 0.6

April 31.97 32.68 32.71 2.2 0.1

May 32.10 32.78 32.80 2.1 0.1

June 32.15 32.92 33.18 2.4 0.8

July 32.18 33.19 34.51 3.1 4.0

August 32.23 33.26 36.01 3.2 8.3

September 32.18 33.06 37.00 2.7 11.9

RETAIL

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 34.67 35.31 36.17 1.8 2.4

January 34.34 35.08 35.24 2.2 0.5

February 34.58 35.08 35.30 1.4 0.6

March 34.57 35.18 35.31 1.8 0.4

April 34.57 35.23 35.24 1.9 0.0

May 34.71 35.25 35.31 1.6 0.2

June 34.74 35.27 35.59 1.5 0.9

July 34.78 35.44 36.48 1.9 2.9

August 34.88 35.70 37.85 2.4 6.0

September 34.88 35.55 39.19 1.9 10.2

Percent ChangeMONTH 2011 2012 2013

(In peso per kilogram)

Fig

ure 6

. Pala

y: T

hem

atic map

of p

rodu

ction b

y reg

ion,

Philip

pin

es, July

-Sep

tember, 2

01

3

4

41

Page 47: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

T

he O

ctob

er-D

ecem

ber

2013 p

roductio

n fo

recast based

on stan

din

g cro

p

indicates 1

0.3

% g

row

th fro

m last y

ear’s level o

f 6.5

4 m

illion M

T to

7.2

2

millio

n M

T th

is year. H

arvest area m

ay ex

pan

d to

1.8

6 m

illion h

ectares,

or

8.7

%

above

last year’s

record

of

1.7

1

millio

n

hectares.

Yield

per

hectare m

ay im

pro

ve b

y 1

.5%

, from

3.8

3 M

T to

3.8

9 M

T.

P

robab

le increases in

pro

ductio

n in

all regio

ns are fo

reseen co

mpared

to

last year. T

his co

uld

be attrib

uted

to ex

pan

sion

in h

arvest area d

ue to

movem

ent o

f croppin

g fro

m th

ird q

uarter to

fourth

quarter, av

ailability

of

seed su

pport

from

D

A/P

hilR

ice seed

ban

kin

g pro

gram

, L

GU

s’ “p

lant-

now

-pay-later”

schem

e an

d distrib

utio

n of

rehab

ilitation seed

s to

areas

dam

aged

by ty

phoons an

d flo

ods.

T

his q

uarter’s y

ield m

ay im

pro

ve in

all regio

ns ex

cept in

Cen

tral Luzo

n

which

w

as heav

ily

affected

by

“hab

agat”.

T

he

increases

could

b

e

attributed

to

m

ore

usag

e of

hybrid

an

d

HY

V

seeds,

sufficien

t w

ater

supply

, in

creased

fertilizer ap

plicatio

n,

lesser occu

rrence

of

pests

and

diseases, an

d im

pro

ved

weath

er conditio

ns.

Jan

uary

-March

201

4 F

oreca

st

B

ased

on

farmers’

plan

ting

inten

tions,

the

Jan

uary

-

March

2014

pro

du

ction

forecast is 4

.33 m

illion M

T,

3.8

% ab

ove th

e 4.1

7 m

illion

MT

outp

ut in

2013. H

arvest

area m

ay

expan

d

from

1.1

1

millio

n

hectares

in

2013

to

1.1

5 m

illion h

ectares in 2

014,

or

by

3.4

%.

Yield

per

hectare

may

impro

ve

from

3.7

5 M

T to

3.7

6 M

T, o

r by

0.4

%.

P

robab

le large p

rodu

ction in

cremen

ts are expected

in W

estern V

isayas,

AR

MM

, Dav

ao R

egio

n, B

icol R

egio

n an

d Ilo

cos R

egio

n.

42

3

Table 28. Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Metro Manila, January-September, 2011-2013

(In peso per kilogram)

2012/2011 2013/2012

METRO MANILA

WHOLESALE

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 30.00 30.68 31.61 2.3 3.0

January 31.00 31.65 30.40 2.1 (3.9)

February 30.25 30.90 30.40 2.1 (1.6)

March 30.10 30.72 30.08 2.1 (2.1)

April 29.76 30.40 30.00 2.2 (1.3)

May 29.60 30.40 30.75 2.7 1.2

June 29.60 30.40 31.00 2.7 2.0

July 29.68 30.40 32.50 2.4 6.9

August 30.00 30.40 33.76 1.3 11.1

September 30.00 30.88 35.60 2.9 15.3

RETAIL

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 35.00 35.00 35.36 - 1.0

January 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

February 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

March 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

April 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

May 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

June 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

July 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

August 35.00 35.00 35.20 - 0.6

September 35.00 35.00 38.00 - 8.6

Percent ChangeMONTH 2011 2012 2013

Page 48: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

T

he

Ju

ly-S

eptem

ber

2

013

pro

ductio

n

at 3.3

6

millio

n

MT

w

as 6.5

%

belo

w

the

2012

level

of

3.6

0

millio

n

MT

. Harv

est area contracted

by

8.2

0%

. F

rom

947

thousan

d

hectares

in

2012,

harv

est area

decreased

to

870

thousan

d

hectares

this

year.

Y

ield

per

hectare

impro

ved

from

3.8

0 M

T to

3.8

7 M

T o

r by 1

.8%

.

S

ignifican

t decreases

in

pro

ductio

n an

d h

arvest area

were

noted

in

C

agay

an

Valle

y,

Western

V

isayas,

Bico

l R

egio

n,

AR

MM

,

Dav

ao

Reg

ion

and

Iloco

s

Reg

ion.

In

C

agayan

V

alley,

the

adverse

effects of

moistu

re

stress an

d

later on

b

y

typhoons

“Lab

uyo”

and

“Odette”

resulted

in

lo

wer

yield

w

hile

the

late release

of

irrigatio

n w

ater an

d late

onset o

f rainfall cau

sed m

ovem

ent o

f croppin

g to

the fo

urth

quarter.

In

W

estern V

isayas,

low

er pro

ductio

n w

as attrib

uted

to

co

ntractio

n in

harv

est area caused

by d

elayed

plan

tings d

ue to

late onset o

f rainfall. T

his

resulted

in th

e slide o

f croppin

g to

the fo

urth

qu

arter.

In

Bico

l Reg

ion, A

RM

M, Ilo

cos R

egio

n an

d D

avao

Reg

ion, th

e decrease

in p

roductio

n an

d h

arvest area co

uld

be attrib

uted

to so

me areas b

eing left

in-fallo

w, late/in

sufficien

t release of irrig

ation w

ater, late onset o

f rainfall

and

dam

ages

due

to

“hab

agat”

and

typhoons

“Marin

g”,

“Nan

do

” an

d

“Odette”.

Table 28. Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Metro Manila, January-September, 2010-2012

2012/2011 2013/2012

METRO MANILA

WHOLESALE

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 30.00 30.68 31.61 2.3 3.0

January 31.00 31.65 30.40 2.1 (3.9)

February 30.25 30.90 30.40 2.1 (1.6)

March 30.10 30.72 30.08 2.1 (2.1)

April 29.76 30.40 30.00 2.2 (1.3)

May 29.60 30.40 30.75 2.7 1.2

June 29.60 30.40 31.00 2.7 2.0

July 29.68 30.40 32.50 2.4 6.9

August 30.00 30.40 33.76 1.3 11.1

September 30.00 30.88 35.60 2.9 15.3

RETAIL

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 35.00 35.00 35.36 - 1.0

January 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

February 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

March 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

April 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

May 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

June 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

July 35.00 35.00 35.00 - -

August 35.00 35.00 35.20 - 0.6

September 35.00 35.00 38.00 - 8.6

Percent ChangeMONTH 2011 2012 2013

2

43

(In peso per kilogram)

Table 29. Yellow Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-September, 2011-2013

2012/2011 2013/2012

FARMGATE - Yellow

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 11.76 12.67 11.94 7.7 (5.7)

January 12.55 13.67 12.48 8.9 (8.7)

February 12.85 13.58 11.97 5.7 (11.9)

March 12.59 12.63 11.87 0.3 (6.0)

April 11.74 12.46 11.89 6.1 (4.6)

May 11.66 12.72 12.02 9.1 (5.5)

June 11.55 12.46 12.08 7.9 (3.0)

July 11.32 12.32 11.83 8.8 (4.0)

August 10.89 12.14 11.58 11.5 (4.6)

September 10.73 12.01 11.74 11.9 (2.2)

WHOLESALE - Yellow

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 14.87 15.69 15.82 5.5 0.9

January 15.37 16.06 15.96 4.5 (0.6)

February 15.55 15.77 15.76 1.4 (0.1)

March 15.22 15.05 15.69 (1.1) 4.3

April 14.71 15.26 15.76 3.7 3.3

May 14.56 15.80 16.01 8.5 1.3

June 14.66 15.86 15.89 8.2 0.2

July 14.59 15.78 15.96 8.2 1.1

August 14.52 15.85 15.94 9.2 0.6

September 14.69 15.75 15.43 7.2 (2.0)

RETAIL - Yellow

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 19.38 21.61 22.16 11.5 2.5

January 19.84 21.14 21.80 6.6 3.1

February 19.91 21.14 22.27 6.2 5.3

March 19.41 21.39 22.42 10.2 4.8

April 18.75 21.76 22.50 16.1 3.4

May 18.78 21.76 22.79 15.9 4.7

June 18.84 22.00 22.31 16.8 1.4

July 19.19 21.82 22.01 13.7 0.9

August 19.80 21.80 21.85 10.1 0.2

September 19.87 21.66 21.47 9.0 (0.9)

Item 2012 2013Percent Change

2011

Page 49: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

1.0

Hig

hlig

hts

Based

on th

e Pala

y and C

orn

Pro

ductio

n S

urvey (P

CP

S) O

ctober 2

013

Round,

pala

y pro

ductio

n estim

ates fo

r the first th

ree (3) q

uarters a

nd fo

recast fo

r the

fourth

quarter o

f 2013 w

ould

be h

igher th

an th

e 2012 level. O

n th

e oth

er hand,

corn

pro

ductio

n m

ay b

e low

er than th

e outp

ut in

2012.

In th

e first quarter o

f 2014, p

ositive g

row

ths a

re foreseen

for p

ala

y and co

rn

crops.

1.1

Pala

y

Calen

dar Y

ear 2

013 F

oreca

st

P

alay

pro

du

ction

for

calen

dar

yea

r 2013

is

forecast at 1

8.5

8 m

illion M

T,

3.0

%

hig

her

than

th

e 2012

outp

ut o

f 18.0

3 m

illion M

T.

Harv

est area may ex

pan

d b

y

1.7

%,

or

from

4.6

9

millio

n

hectares

last year

to

4.7

7

millio

n

hectares

this

year.

Yield

per

hectare

may

impro

ve

by 1.3

% fro

m 3.8

4

MT

to 3

.90 M

T.

Ju

ly-D

ecem

ber 2

013 C

rop

P

roductio

n

for

Ju

ly-

Dece

mb

er 2013

m

ay

reach

10.5

8

millio

n

MT

, 4.4

%

hig

her th

an last y

ear’s record

of 1

0.1

4 m

illion M

T. H

arvest

area m

ay in

crease b

y 2

.7%

,

or fro

m 2

.65 m

illion h

ectares

in 2

012 to

2.7

3 m

illion h

ectares this y

ear. Yield

per h

ectare may im

pro

ve

from

3.8

2 M

T to

3.8

8 M

T o

r by 1

.6%

.

44

1

(In peso per kilogram)

Table 30. White Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

Philippines, January-September, 2011-2013

2012/2011 2013/2012

FARMGATE - White

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 13.86 14.04 15.89 1.3 13.2

January 12.39 14.52 16.15 17.2 11.2

February 13.41 14.32 15.80 6.8 10.3

March 14.04 14.49 16.72 3.2 15.4

April 14.49 14.57 17.03 0.6 16.9

May 14.70 14.40 16.90 (2.0) 17.4

June 14.56 13.55 16.54 (6.9) 22.1

July 14.78 13.69 15.28 (7.4) 11.6

August 13.30 13.46 14.34 1.2 6.5

September 13.04 13.39 14.27 2.7 6.6

WHOLESALE-White

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 16.26 15.42 15.42 (5.2) 0.0

January 15.38 16.00 16.05 4.0 0.3

February 15.96 16.09 15.41 0.8 (4.2)

March 15.64 15.43 16.07 (1.3) 4.1

April 16.45 15.41 15.89 (6.3) 3.1

May 16.76 15.34 15.69 (8.5) 2.3

June 16.43 14.80 15.52 (9.9) 4.9

July 17.10 15.25 14.91 (10.8) (2.2)

August 16.35 15.36 14.60 (6.1) (4.9)

September 16.27 15.12 14.68 (7.1) (2.9)

RETAIL - White

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 18.94 19.69 19.12 4.0 (2.9)

January 18.99 19.45 19.83 2.4 2.0

February 19.04 19.85 19.67 4.3 (0.9)

March 18.71 19.60 19.77 4.8 0.9

April 18.42 19.60 20.00 6.4 2.0

May 18.12 19.80 19.58 9.3 (1.1)

June 18.44 19.68 18.63 6.7 (5.3)

July 19.16 19.67 18.02 2.7 (8.4)

August 19.80 19.53 18.18 (1.4) (6.9)

September 19.81 20.05 18.40 1.2 (8.2)

Item 2012 2013Percent Change

2011

Page 50: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

Wea

ther S

ituatio

n a

nd

Ou

tloo

k1

Ju

ly-S

eptem

ber 2

013 S

ituatio

n

The p

eriod w

as the p

eak o

f the so

uth

west (S

W) m

onso

on seaso

n, lo

cally k

now

n

as “hab

agat” an

d tro

pical cy

clone activ

ity w

as at its max

imum

. Equato

rial sea

surface

temperatu

res (S

ST

s) w

ere near

averag

e acro

ss m

uch

of

the

equato

rial

Pacific O

cean an

d E

l Niñ

o S

outh

ern O

scillation (E

NS

O)-n

eutral co

nditio

ns still

persisted

durin

g th

e perio

d.

The w

eather sy

stems th

at affected th

e country

durin

g th

is perio

d w

ere the rid

ge o

f

hig

h

pressu

re area

(HP

A),

monso

on

trough,

inter-tro

pical

conv

ergen

ce zo

ne

(ITC

Z), lo

w p

ressure area (L

PA

), enh

anced

south

west m

onso

on (S

W) an

d th

e

passag

e o

f tw

elve

(12)

tropical

cyclo

nes

(TC

s) in

th

e P

hilip

pin

e A

rea o

f

Resp

onsib

ility (P

AR

), nam

ely; T

yphoon (T

Y) “Ju

anin

g” (Ju

ly 1

0-1

3), T

ropical

Sto

rm (T

S) “Isan

g” (Ju

ly 1

6-1

8), T

S “Jo

lina” (Ju

ly 3

0-3

1), T

ropical D

epressio

n

(TD

) “Kik

o” (A

ugust 5

-6), T

Y “L

abu

yo

” (Au

gu

st 9-1

2), T

S “M

aring” (A

ugust

17-2

1),

TS

“N

ando”

(August

25

-29),

TY

“O

dette”

(Sep

tember

16

-22),

TS

”Pao

lo” (S

eptem

ber 2

6-2

7) an

d T

S “Q

ued

an” (S

eptem

ber 2

9- O

ctober 5

). These

weath

er system

s collectiv

ely b

rou

ght ex

cessive rain

s in m

ost p

arts of C

AR

, Iloco

s

Reg

ion, C

entral L

uzo

n, C

AL

AB

AR

ZO

N an

d M

IMA

RO

PA

.

Octo

ber-D

ecem

ber 2

01

3 O

utlo

ok

The p

eriod co

vers th

e transitio

n fro

m S

W m

onso

on to

North

east (NE

) monso

on.

The w

eather sy

stems th

at may

influ

ence th

e cou

ntry

are the tail en

d o

f the co

ld

front, IT

CZ

, easterly w

ave, rid

ge o

f hig

h p

ressure area (H

PA

), the easterlies an

d

about fiv

e (5) to

eight (8

) tropical c

yclo

nes. D

urin

g th

e season, tro

pical cy

clon

es

norm

ally m

ove

on a

westerly

directio

n b

etween

cen

tral an

d so

uth

ern parts

of

Luzo

n

and

Visa

yas.

Ho

wev

er, so

me

TC

s track

s usu

ally

cross

over

North

ern

Min

dan

ao area.

1Excerp

ts from

PA

GA

SA

July

29, 2

01

3 to

Octo

ber 3

, 201

3 W

eather S

ituatio

n an

d O

utlo

ok

iv

45

Table 31. Fertilizer: Monthly average dealers’ prices by grade,

Philippines, January-September, 2011-2013

(In peso per bag of 50 kilograms)

2012/2011 2013/2012

UREA

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 1,155.49 1,307.71 1,181.53 13.2 (9.6)

January 1,085.52 1,336.91 1,227.30 23.2 (8.2)

February 1,085.59 1,314.46 1,213.45 21.1 (7.7)

March 1,096.99 1,289.09 1,203.94 17.5 (6.6)

April 1,100.84 1,280.22 1,200.96 16.3 (6.2)

May 1,098.98 1,307.98 1,194.51 19.0 (8.7)

June 1,149.71 1,323.10 1,182.23 15.1 (10.6)

July 1,239.59 1,320.64 1,163.35 6.5 (11.9)

August 1,262.65 1,307.37 1,137.11 3.5 (13.0)

September 1,279.57 1,289.65 1,110.88 0.8 (13.9)

AMMOSUL

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 643.27 764.33 745.17 18.8 (2.5)

January 587.46 754.48 767.30 28.4 1.7

February 610.30 758.09 765.95 24.2 1.0

March 617.03 755.17 757.19 22.4 0.3

April 618.95 755.03 754.18 22.0 (0.1)

May 621.12 768.31 750.86 23.7 (2.3)

June 640.84 771.98 744.63 20.5 (3.5)

July 683.54 771.67 736.03 12.9 (4.6)

August 696.72 773.40 722.88 11.0 (6.5)

September 713.45 770.81 707.47 8.0 (8.2)

Percent ChangeItem 2011 2012 2013

2012/2011 2013/2012

AMMOPHOS

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 1,044.78 1,114.36 1,088.06 6.7 (2.4)

January 1,002.31 1,121.28 1,101.60 11.9 (1.8)

February 1,020.11 1,117.16 1,096.49 9.5 (1.9)

March 1,023.72 1,111.98 1,096.11 8.6 (1.4)

April 1,030.03 1,107.94 1,090.81 7.6 (1.5)

May 1,035.89 1,112.85 1,090.58 7.4 (2.0)

June 1,052.49 1,117.50 1,085.86 6.2 (2.8)

July 1,074.65 1,114.37 1,084.18 3.7 (2.7)

August 1,080.83 1,115.41 1,079.25 3.2 (3.2)

September 1,083.01 1,110.79 1,067.68 2.6 (3.9)

COMPLETE

Jan.-Sep. Ave. 1,160.68 1,271.42 1,236.58 9.5 (2.7)

January 1,110.63 1,278.75 1,254.57 15.1 (1.9)

February 1,132.43 1,275.80 1,248.78 12.7 (2.1)

March 1,137.75 1,265.35 1,244.16 11.2 (1.7)

April 1,142.93 1,262.31 1,240.78 10.4 (1.7)

May 1,151.77 1,270.75 1,238.16 10.3 (2.6)

June 1,172.81 1,273.78 1,234.27 8.6 (3.1)

July 1,194.29 1,274.60 1,230.51 6.7 (3.5)

August 1,198.38 1,272.00 1,225.13 6.1 (3.7)

September 1,205.16 1,269.46 1,212.82 5.3 (4.5)

Percent ChangeItem 2011 2012 2013

Page 51: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

(In millimeter)

Table 32. Cumulative actual decadal and normal rainfall by region,

Philippines, January-September, 2012-2013

13

Palay

: Yield

estimates an

d fo

recasts, by reg

ion, P

hilip

pin

es,

January

-Decem

ber, 2

01

1-2

013 an

d Jan

uary

-March

, 201

2-2

014…

..……

......

27

14

Corn

: Pro

ductio

n estim

ates and fo

recasts by q

uarter, b

y cro

pty

pe,

Philip

pin

es, January

-Decem

ber, 2

01

1-2

013 .........…

……

…..…

….....…

…..

28

15

Corn

: Harv

est area estimates an

d fo

recasts by q

uarter, b

y cro

pty

pe,

Philip

pin

es, January

-Decem

ber, 2

01

1-2

013 .............…

……

.…..…

.……

….

29

16

Corn

: Yield

estimates an

d fo

recasts by q

uarter, b

y cro

pty

pe,

Philip

pin

es, January

-Decem

ber, 2

01

1-2

013...................................................

30

17

Corn

: Pro

ductio

n estim

ates and fo

recasts by q

uarter, b

y reg

ion,

Philip

pin

es, July

-Decem

ber, 2

011-2

013...........................…

.……

................. 31

18

Corn

: Harv

est area estimates an

d fo

recasts by q

uarter, b

y reg

ion,

Philip

pin

es, July

-Decem

ber, 2

011-2

013...........................…

.……

................. 32

19

Corn

: Yield

estimates an

d fo

recasts by q

uarter, b

y reg

ion,

Philip

pin

es, July

-Decem

ber, 2

011-2

013...........................…

.……

................. 33

20

Corn

: Pro

ductio

n estim

ates and fo

recasts by sem

i-annual,

by reg

ion, P

hilip

pin

es, January

-Decem

ber, 2

011-2

01

3…

……

...................... 34

21

Corn

: Harv

est area estimates an

d fo

recasts by sem

i-annual,

by reg

ion, P

hilip

pin

es, January

-Decem

ber, 2

011-2

01

3…

.…........................

35

22

Corn

: Yield

estimates an

d fo

recasts by sem

i-annu

al, by reg

ion,

Philip

pin

es, January

-Decem

ber, 2

011-2

013…

….…

...................................... 36

23

Corn

: Cro

p estim

ates and fo

recasts by cro

pty

pe,

Philip

pin

es, January

-March

, 2012-2

014…

……

……

..…...............................

37

24

Corn

: Pro

ductio

n estim

ates and fo

recasts, by reg

ion, P

hilip

pin

es,

January

-Decem

ber, 2

01

1-2

013 an

d Jan

uary

-March

, 201

2-2

014…

..……

...... 38

25

Corn

: Harv

est area estimates an

d fo

recasts, by reg

ion, P

hilip

pin

es,

January

-Decem

ber, 2

01

1-2

013 an

d Jan

uary

-March

, 201

2-2

014…

..…..........

39

26

Corn

: Yield

estimates an

d fo

recasts, by reg

ion, P

hilip

pin

es,

January

-Decem

ber, 2

01

1-2

013 an

d Jan

uary

-March

, 201

2-2

014…

..…..........

40

27

Palay

/Rice: M

on

thly

averag

e prev

ailing p

rices by m

arket lev

el,

Philip

pin

es, January

-Sep

tember, 2

011-2

013…

……

……

.............................. 41

28

Rice: M

on

thly

averag

e prev

ailing p

rices by m

arket lev

el,

Metro

Man

ila, January

-Sep

tember, 2

011-2

013…

……

……

.......................... 42

29

Yello

w C

orn

: Month

ly av

erage p

revailin

g p

rices by m

arket lev

el,

Philip

pin

es, January

-Sep

tember, 2

011-2

013…

……

…..................................

43

30

White C

orn

: Mo

nth

ly av

erage p

revailin

g p

rices by m

arket lev

el,

Philip

pin

es, January

-Sep

tember, 2

011-2

013…

……

……

.............................. 44

31

Fertilizer: M

onth

ly av

erage d

ealers’ prices b

y g

rade,

Philip

pin

es, January

-Sep

tember, 2

011-2

013…

……

...................................... 45

32

Cum

ulativ

e actual d

ecadal an

d n

orm

al rainfall b

y reg

ion,

Philip

pin

es, January

-Sep

tember, 2

01

2-2

013…

……

……

.............................. 46

46

iii

2012 2013 2013/2012 2013/Normal 2012 2013 2013/2012 2013/Normal 2012 2013 2013/2012 2013/Normal

Philippines 20,807.8 16,907.8 12,956.4 (18.7) 30.5 16,362.0 16,278.6 13,628.4 (0.5) 19.4 37,169.8 33,186.4 26,584.8 (10.7) 24.8

Ilocos Region 1,013.5 553.1 620.6 (45.4) (10.9) 1,819.6 1,762.7 1,576.1 (3.1) 11.8 2,833.1 2,315.8 2,196.7 (18.3) 5.4

CAR 944.0 612.8 544.2 (35.1) 12.6 1,277.6 1,311.7 1,214.6 2.7 8.0 2,221.6 1,924.5 1,758.8 (13.4) 9.4

Cagayan Valley 1,090.5 873.8 634.9 (19.9) 37.6 1,210.9 988.7 742.7 (18.3) 33.1 2,301.4 1,862.5 1,377.6 (19.1) 35.2

Central Luzon 960.7 795.9 702.4 (17.2) 13.3 1,422.5 1,632.5 1,268.4 14.8 28.7 2,383.2 2,428.4 1,970.8 1.9 23.2

CALABARZON 1,284.2 999.4 802.1 (22.2) 24.6 936.8 1,273.2 807.3 35.9 57.7 2,221.0 2,272.6 1,609.4 2.3 41.2

MIMAROPA 1,158.9 772.8 527.8 (33.3) 46.4 1,219.2 1,056.5 893.9 (13.3) 18.2 2,378.1 1,829.3 1,421.7 (23.1) 28.7

NCR 916.9 850.9 493.2 (7.2) 72.5 1,468.8 1,978.1 1,239.4 34.7 59.6 2,385.7 2,829.0 1,732.6 18.6 63.3

Bicol Region 1,789.4 1,134.8 908.0 (36.6) 25.0 959.9 739.7 673.5 (22.9) 9.8 2,749.3 1,874.5 1,581.6 (31.8) 18.5

Western Visayas 759.5 680.3 726.9 (10.4) (6.4) 658.5 796.8 900.8 21.0 (11.5) 1,418.0 1,477.1 1,627.7 4.2 (9.3)

Central Visayas 1,064.9 681.1 575.2 (36.0) 18.4 579.9 584.9 566.1 0.9 3.3 1,644.8 1,266.0 1,141.3 (23.0) 10.9

Eastern Visayas 1,770.5 1,681.2 1,114.7 (5.0) 50.8 640.5 668.2 581.6 4.3 14.9 2,411.0 2,349.4 1,696.2 (2.6) 38.5

Zamboanga Pen. 802.8 1,102.5 661.3 37.3 66.7 640.5 626.8 574.0 (2.1) 9.2 1,443.3 1,729.3 1,235.3 19.8 40.0

N. Mindanao 1,284.3 1,228.5 777.8 (4.3) 57.9 782.4 684.3 620.8 (12.5) 10.2 2,066.7 1,912.8 1,398.6 (7.4) 36.8

Davao Region 2,366.1 1,398.7 1,073.8 (40.9) 30.3 884.4 506.0 485.2 (42.8) 4.3 3,250.5 1,904.7 1,559.0 (41.4) 22.2

SOCCSKSARGEN 1,597.8 707.2 609.4 (55.7) 16.0 709.4 502.8 428.2 (29.1) 17.4 2,307.2 1,210.0 1,037.6 (47.6) 16.6

Caraga 1,066.7 2,071.2 1,569.8 94.2 31.9 503.0 602.0 544.3 19.7 10.6 1,569.7 2,673.2 2,114.1 70.3 26.4

ARMM 937.1 763.6 614.2 (18.5) 24.3 648.1 563.7 511.6 (13.0) 10.2 1,585.2 1,327.3 1,125.8 (16.3) 17.9

JANUARY-JUNE

% DEVIATIONItem

NORMAL

JULY-SEPTEMBER

NORMAL

% DEVIATIONActual

JANUARY-SEPTEMBER

Actual % DEVIATIONActual

NORMAL

Source: PAGASA

(In millimeter)

Table 32. Cumulative actual decadal and normal rainfall by region,

Philippines, January-September, 2012-2013

2012 2013 2013/2012 2013/Normal 2012 2013 2013/2012 2013/Normal 2012 2013 2013/2012 2013/Normal

Philippines 20,807.8 16,907.8 12,956.4 (18.7) 30.5 16,362.0 16,278.6 13,628.4 (0.5) 19.4 37,169.8 33,186.4 26,584.8 (10.7) 24.8

Ilocos Region 1,013.5 553.1 620.6 (45.4) (10.9) 1,819.6 1,762.7 1,576.1 (3.1) 11.8 2,833.1 2,315.8 2,196.7 (18.3) 5.4

CAR 944.0 612.8 544.2 (35.1) 12.6 1,277.6 1,311.7 1,214.6 2.7 8.0 2,221.6 1,924.5 1,758.8 (13.4) 9.4

Cagayan Valley 1,090.5 873.8 634.9 (19.9) 37.6 1,210.9 988.7 742.7 (18.3) 33.1 2,301.4 1,862.5 1,377.6 (19.1) 35.2

Central Luzon 960.7 795.9 702.4 (17.2) 13.3 1,422.5 1,632.5 1,268.4 14.8 28.7 2,383.2 2,428.4 1,970.8 1.9 23.2

CALABARZON 1,284.2 999.4 802.1 (22.2) 24.6 936.8 1,273.2 807.3 35.9 57.7 2,221.0 2,272.6 1,609.4 2.3 41.2

MIMAROPA 1,158.9 772.8 527.8 (33.3) 46.4 1,219.2 1,056.5 893.9 (13.3) 18.2 2,378.1 1,829.3 1,421.7 (23.1) 28.7

NCR 916.9 850.9 493.2 (7.2) 72.5 1,468.8 1,978.1 1,239.4 34.7 59.6 2,385.7 2,829.0 1,732.6 18.6 63.3

Bicol Region 1,789.4 1,134.8 908.0 (36.6) 25.0 959.9 739.7 673.5 (22.9) 9.8 2,749.3 1,874.5 1,581.6 (31.8) 18.5

Western Visayas 759.5 680.3 726.9 (10.4) (6.4) 658.5 796.8 900.8 21.0 (11.5) 1,418.0 1,477.1 1,627.7 4.2 (9.3)

Central Visayas 1,064.9 681.1 575.2 (36.0) 18.4 579.9 584.9 566.1 0.9 3.3 1,644.8 1,266.0 1,141.3 (23.0) 10.9

Eastern Visayas 1,770.5 1,681.2 1,114.7 (5.0) 50.8 640.5 668.2 581.6 4.3 14.9 2,411.0 2,349.4 1,696.2 (2.6) 38.5

Zamboanga Pen. 802.8 1,102.5 661.3 37.3 66.7 640.5 626.8 574.0 (2.1) 9.2 1,443.3 1,729.3 1,235.3 19.8 40.0

N. Mindanao 1,284.3 1,228.5 777.8 (4.3) 57.9 782.4 684.3 620.8 (12.5) 10.2 2,066.7 1,912.8 1,398.6 (7.4) 36.8

Davao Region 2,366.1 1,398.7 1,073.8 (40.9) 30.3 884.4 506.0 485.2 (42.8) 4.3 3,250.5 1,904.7 1,559.0 (41.4) 22.2

SOCCSKSARGEN 1,597.8 707.2 609.4 (55.7) 16.0 709.4 502.8 428.2 (29.1) 17.4 2,307.2 1,210.0 1,037.6 (47.6) 16.6

Caraga 1,066.7 2,071.2 1,569.8 94.2 31.9 503.0 602.0 544.3 19.7 10.6 1,569.7 2,673.2 2,114.1 70.3 26.4

ARMM 937.1 763.6 614.2 (18.5) 24.3 648.1 563.7 511.6 (13.0) 10.2 1,585.2 1,327.3 1,125.8 (16.3) 17.9

JANUARY-JUNE

% DEVIATIONItem

NORMAL

JULY-SEPTEMBER

NORMAL

% DEVIATIONActual

JANUARY-SEPTEMBER

Actual % DEVIATIONActual

NORMAL

Page 52: Over the last five (5) years (1999-2003), production of ... · r y l higher than last year’s record in 2012 to 2.73 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve 1.0

i

Department of Agriculture

BUREAU OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS 1184 Ben-lor Bldg., Quezon Avenue, Quezon City

CROPS STATISTICS DIVISION, Cereals Statistics Section

Tel No. (02)-371-2067

[email protected]

http://www.bas.gov.ph

ISSN-2012-0346