Our Vision for Forests Sustain and enrich human well being through diverse values, uses, products and services; Managed and conserved to meet changing.

Our Vision for Our Vision for ForestsForests

Sustain and enrich human well being through Sustain and enrich human well being through

diverse values, uses, products and services;diverse values, uses, products and services;

Managed and conserved to meet changing Managed and conserved to meet changing

needs based on local knowledge plus ever-needs based on local knowledge plus ever-

improving science and technologies;improving science and technologies;

Serve current and future generations in Serve current and future generations in

sustaining our communities and rich cultural sustaining our communities and rich cultural

heritage.heritage.

Forests that …Forests that …

Deliver high quality waterDeliver high quality water Sustainably meet domestic needs for forest-based Sustainably meet domestic needs for forest-based

renewable resourcesrenewable resources Reward owners/stewards with multiple benefitsReward owners/stewards with multiple benefits Perpetuate biological and cultural diversityPerpetuate biological and cultural diversity Ameliorate impacts of human activitiesAmeliorate impacts of human activities Grow in extent, productivity, resilienceGrow in extent, productivity, resilience Are managed for distinct local capabilities & values Are managed for distinct local capabilities & values Restore human spirit and stewardship ethicRestore human spirit and stewardship ethic Bring people together for common purposeBring people together for common purpose

Global Forces = ChangeGlobal Forces = Change

Population growth: 6.3 Bil. in 2003 to ~ 8 Bil. in 2050Population growth: 6.3 Bil. in 2003 to ~ 8 Bil. in 2050 Technology: steady advances + breakthroughsTechnology: steady advances + breakthroughs Political instability: local to global, ballot measures to warsPolitical instability: local to global, ballot measures to wars Trade: barriers/subsidies, free vs fairTrade: barriers/subsidies, free vs fair Industry restructuring: global integration, dynamics Industry restructuring: global integration, dynamics in in

timberland ownership, global capitaltimberland ownership, global capital Rich-poor gap: growingRich-poor gap: growing Raising of “green” consciousness: more than air/waterRaising of “green” consciousness: more than air/water Consumption growth: space, water, fossil fuels, food, wood, Consumption growth: space, water, fossil fuels, food, wood,

mineralsminerals Climate change: yes but variable, uncertain regional effectsClimate change: yes but variable, uncertain regional effects Non-native invasive species + explosive nativesNon-native invasive species + explosive natives

Pervasive ChangePervasive Change

Need for prudent risk taking, continual learning and adaptation

Forest area:Forest area: ~ 9.6 Billion ac; 50-66% loss since 1600 ce ~ 9.6 Billion ac; 50-66% loss since 1600 ce

Forest loss:Forest loss: ~ 23 Million ac/yr in 1990s ~ 23 Million ac/yr in 1990s

Population + Economic Growth = Forest LossPopulation + Economic Growth = Forest Loss But not always: - 30 mil ac/yr in tropics, But not always: - 30 mil ac/yr in tropics, + 7 mil ac/yr+ 7 mil ac/yr in non-tropics in non-tropics

DemandsDemands for forest benefits ever growing for forest benefits ever growing Water quality, quantity: biggest future forest issueWater quality, quantity: biggest future forest issue

Wood use: range = flat near term to < 0.5%/yr long termWood use: range = flat near term to < 0.5%/yr long term

Biodiversity conservation: yes but public still bewildered after 20 yearsBiodiversity conservation: yes but public still bewildered after 20 years

Carbon storage: how much, trees + products, market uncertaintyCarbon storage: how much, trees + products, market uncertainty

Recreation, subsistence, cultural uses: highly variable by ownershipRecreation, subsistence, cultural uses: highly variable by ownership

Global Forest TrendsGlobal Forest Trends

Some Global Some Global LeadersLeaders

32

30

30

22

24

27

23

22

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Solid Wood Exports: Canada

Solid Wood Imports: US

Solid Wood Used: US

Solid Wood Produced: US

Plantation Forests: China

Wood Biomass: Brazil

Wood Volume: Russia

Forest Area: Russia

Percent of World SharePercent of World ShareUN FAO 2005: 2000, 2002 dataUN FAO 2005: 2000, 2002 data

Global Plantation Global Plantation ForestsForests

42

24

5.6

4.7

0 10 20 30 40 50

India + China

Russia + US + Japan

Brazil + Chile + NZ + SA + Australia

EU

Percent of World SharePercent of World ShareUN FAO 2005: 2000 dataUN FAO 2005: 2000 data

Ind. wood use rose 40% since 1960: ~ 1.6 BMInd. wood use rose 40% since 1960: ~ 1.6 BM3 3 but flat over last 20but flat over last 20 Fuel wood use > industrial wood use: ~ 1.8 BMFuel wood use > industrial wood use: ~ 1.8 BM3 3 and growingand growing Ind. wood use could increase < 33% by 2050: from 1.6 - 2.1 BMInd. wood use could increase < 33% by 2050: from 1.6 - 2.1 BM33

~ 75% of global wood and fiber will come from planted forests by ~ 75% of global wood and fiber will come from planted forests by mid mid century or earlier (Sedjo and others)century or earlier (Sedjo and others) ~ 31% of global solid wood consumption crosses an international ~ 31% of global solid wood consumption crosses an international boundary from tree to product; most likely to increaseboundary from tree to product; most likely to increase US imports 31% of solid wood products consumed; exports US imports 31% of solid wood products consumed; exports associated jobs & impacts (81% growth since 1991)associated jobs & impacts (81% growth since 1991) US uses 30% of world’s solid wood products; largest per capitaUS uses 30% of world’s solid wood products; largest per capita US forest and wood choices drive global wood marketUS forest and wood choices drive global wood marketUN FAO 2005: 2002 data + Perez-Garcia on future demandUN FAO 2005: 2002 data + Perez-Garcia on future demand

Global & U.S. Wood Global & U.S. Wood UseUse

US in Global ContextUS in Global Context

30

30

22

9

8.6

8

5.8

4.7

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Solid Wood Imported

Solid Wood Used

Solid Wood Produced

Reserve Forest

Plantion Forests

Wood Volume in Forests

Forest Land

People

Percent of World Share (UN FAO 2005: 2000, 2003 data)Percent of World Share (UN FAO 2005: 2000, 2003 data)

Progressive improvement in environmental, Progressive improvement in environmental,

economic and cultural conditionseconomic and cultural conditions

Equity across societal sectors and Equity across societal sectors and

generationsgenerations

Engagement of people in social choices Engagement of people in social choices that that

affect themaffect them

Adaptability to pervasive changeAdaptability to pervasive change

SustainabilitySustainability

Sustainable ForestrySustainable Forestry

The suite of policies, plans and practices The suite of policies, plans and practices

that seek to protect, produce, and that seek to protect, produce, and

perpetuate forest ecosystems for the perpetuate forest ecosystems for the

values, uses, products, and services values, uses, products, and services

desired by communities and landowners desired by communities and landowners

for this and future generationsfor this and future generations

NCSSF 2005NCSSF 2005

SustainabilitySustainability

Not possible without taking risks and Not possible without taking risks and continually adapting to change, continually adapting to change,

making things bettermaking things better

Its not about standing still!Its not about standing still!

Breadth of Sustainable Breadth of Sustainable Forest ManagementForest Management

Varies by forest type, ownership, Varies by forest type, ownership,

primary purposeprimary purpose

Forest purposes:Forest purposes:

Wood and fiber productionWood and fiber production

Multiple resource values/usesMultiple resource values/uses

Reserves, nature preservationReserves, nature preservation

Urban and community forestsUrban and community forests

Wood Production Wood Production ForestsForests

Most of world’s future wood will Most of world’s future wood will

come from planted forests:come from planted forests: ~ 33% now, ~ 75% by 2050~ 33% now, ~ 75% by 2050 ~ 10% or less of global forest area~ 10% or less of global forest area

Primary purposes: Primary purposes: Grow trees for wood, fiberGrow trees for wood, fiber Increase forest value to ownerIncrease forest value to owner

Management challenges:Management challenges: Thrive in global marketsThrive in global markets Increase wood yield: > 2x over naturalIncrease wood yield: > 2x over natural Improve environmental outcomesImprove environmental outcomes Improve wood quality, consistencyImprove wood quality, consistency Produce high return on investmentProduce high return on investment Maintain social license to operateMaintain social license to operate

Who Owns Prod. Forest?Who Owns Prod. Forest?

020406080

100120

NationalForest

OtherPublic

ForestIndustry

FamilyForests

Million Acres by Owner

1 = >120

2 = 85-120

3 = 50-85

4 = 20-50

5 = 0-20

Source: Powell et al. (1993) Tables 5 and 6Source: Powell et al. (1993) Tables 5 and 6

Site Class inFt3/Ac/Yr

Multi-resource Multi-resource ForestsForests

Most of the world’s Most of the world’s accessibleaccessible forests forests

have multiple resource purposeshave multiple resource purposes ~ 40% of global forest area eventually~ 40% of global forest area eventually

Primary purposes: Primary purposes: Meet diverse landowner objectivesMeet diverse landowner objectives Increase forest value to owner(s)Increase forest value to owner(s)

Challenges:Challenges: If US federal, clarify purpose and directionIf US federal, clarify purpose and direction Deliver multi-resource/value outcomes at Deliver multi-resource/value outcomes at

acceptable costs acceptable costs Differentiate products in marketsDifferentiate products in markets Finance non-market benefitsFinance non-market benefits Finance management of federal landsFinance management of federal lands

Reserve ForestsReserve Forests

Parks, wilderness, natural areas:Parks, wilderness, natural areas: ~ 12% worldwide in 2000~ 12% worldwide in 2000 ~ 50% of global forest area eventually~ 50% of global forest area eventually

Primary purposes:Primary purposes: Sustain at-risk species, natural Sustain at-risk species, natural

processes, “wild” ecosystemsprocesses, “wild” ecosystems Recreation, cultural usesRecreation, cultural uses

Management cManagement challenges:hallenges: Minimize human use impactsMinimize human use impacts Restore, promote wildness, naturalnessRestore, promote wildness, naturalness Ameliorate effects of invasive species, Ameliorate effects of invasive species,

air pollution, explosive nativesair pollution, explosive natives Achieve goals for least costsAchieve goals for least costs Finance managementFinance management

Urban, Community Urban, Community ForestsForests

Where 80% of the people liveWhere 80% of the people live

Primary purposes:Primary purposes: Attractive communities, neighborhoodsAttractive communities, neighborhoods

Conserve resources: water, energyConserve resources: water, energy

Increase property valuesIncrease property values

Backyard wildlife habitatsBackyard wildlife habitats

Management challenges:Management challenges: Safety, infrastructure impactsSafety, infrastructure impacts

Minimize sprawlMinimize sprawl

Minimize invasive species escapesMinimize invasive species escapes

Reserve ForestsReserve Forests:: Mostly federal, some state, tribal, private

Multi-resource Multi-resource

Forests:Forests: Mostly state, tribal, some family, some federal

Wood Wood

Production Production

ForestsForests:: Mostly industry, family, some state, tribal

Urban, Community Urban, Community

Forests:Forests: Forests where

people live

Social

Ben

efitsEco

nom

ic

Ben

efits

ForestForestSustainabilitySustainability

Environmental Benefits

ChallengesChallenges

1.1. Keep forest lands in forest uses for forest valuesKeep forest lands in forest uses for forest values Sustain US forests in face of global forces, urban sprawlSustain US forests in face of global forces, urban sprawl

2.2. Meet people’s forest resource needs efficientlyMeet people’s forest resource needs efficiently

3.3. Improve both production and conservation efficiencyImprove both production and conservation efficiency

4.4. Restore and sustain health of at-risk forestsRestore and sustain health of at-risk forests

5.5. Create new knowledge and technologies:Create new knowledge and technologies: Sciences and products for progressive sustainabilitySciences and products for progressive sustainability

Products and practices innovationsProducts and practices innovations

6.6. Enhance lifelong learning and extended educationEnhance lifelong learning and extended education

ANDAND

Address Demand -- Address Demand -- Consumption EthicConsumption Ethic

Intelligent consumption and productionIntelligent consumption and production of of

renewable natural resourcesrenewable natural resources is key to sustaining is key to sustaining

quality of life;quality of life;

Overuse, non-renewable substitutes, transfer effects Overuse, non-renewable substitutes, transfer effects

degrade ecosystems somewhere;degrade ecosystems somewhere;

Prudent choices consider full impacts, the future, Prudent choices consider full impacts, the future,

and the entire life cycle of resources – and the entire life cycle of resources –

Domestic Renewables Win!Domestic Renewables Win!

University Roles …University Roles …

Educate a highly skilled forest/mill workforce and future Educate a highly skilled forest/mill workforce and future forest scientists and teachersforest scientists and teachers

Create a stronger science base for all SFM systems; Create a stronger science base for all SFM systems; improve regulatory efficiencyimprove regulatory efficiency

Innovations for improved market and environmental Innovations for improved market and environmental performance of all US forests and forest productsperformance of all US forests and forest products

Innovations to increase productivity and sustainability of Innovations to increase productivity and sustainability of US forest resources and forest productsUS forest resources and forest products

Educate a more knowledgeable, responsible citizenryEducate a more knowledgeable, responsible citizenry Promote prudent policies, empowered communitiesPromote prudent policies, empowered communities Advocate for diverse, productive, resilient forests and Advocate for diverse, productive, resilient forests and

associated economies and human communitiesassociated economies and human communities