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News Bulletin Volume 1-4 2011

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    EVENTS: Economic Outlook 2011

    AirAsia Academy Visit

    12th Annual General Meeting

    NEW MEMBER

    ARTICLE FROM THE EMBASSY

    News Bulletinan electronic News Bulletin published by the Swiss Malaysian Business Association, SMBA, for its members

    Volume I.4 (2011)

    New Chairman,Arno Thny (left)

    New Vice Chairman,

    Thomas Guldimann (right)

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    Once again and like for the past four years,

    the SMBA was honored to welcome Credit

    Suisse to sponsor the Economic Outlook

    2011, also it was an honor that the presentation for the third time was

    presented by their Chief Economist for

    Asia, Mr. Joseph Tan.

    The event took place at the Melia Hotel on January

    26th and was attended by 40 peoples!

    The Chairman, Mr. Heinz Bauert gave a small

    introduction. He also introduced the new Ambassador

    to Malaysia H.E. Dr. Rolf Lenz, who just arrived about

    two weeks ago in Kuala Lumpur.

    The Chairman also thanked Credit Suisse and inparticular Mr. Denis Poo for their continuous support

    towards the SMBA.

    Mr. Joseph Tan thanked the Chairman and opened his

    presentation with some pointers; three distinct

    economic realities;

    1. USA putting the economy on steroids

    2. Europe: Austerity medicine

    3. Emerging Markets: The global growth engine

    He went on to explain the current economic situation

    in the US and their subsequent consequences for us

    here in Asia. (Slide 7)

    Also the macro policy of the US government will have

    significant consequences for the economies in Asia. He

    went on to explain that actually with the current

    economic crisis with some of the European countries,

    Asia is actually minimally exposed, if one looks atExports from Asia to Euro zone and the other

    European countries. (Slide 10)

    Mr. Heinz Bauert

    Mr. Joseph Tan

    Economic Outlook 2011

    SMBA News Bulletin

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    EconomicO

    utlook2011

    On another slide he pointed out that Asian

    governments have very strong fiscalpositions in comparison to US and Europe.

    (Slide 11) This makes the economies here far

    more resilient. Also more and more the inter

    Asian trade is getting far more significant

    then lets say a couple of years back. (Slide

    15)

    Within Asia the domestic demand is a key

    pillar to drive Asian growth. (Slide 14) Thedomestic demands in certain countries have

    grown dramatically, especially for example

    in China.

    SMBA News Bulletin

    One mayor risk in Asia is with the current Currency wars an inflation risk. (Slide 23 & 24)

    Malaysia for instance he explained is far less exposed then for instance Indonesia but one

    should not forget that certain key commodities here (Malaysia) are government controlled.

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    Mr. Tan went on to explain the sharp increase in sales of residential buildings as well as their

    prices in China bears a risk and could create a bubble. The Chinese Government is very much

    aware of that and will try to calm down the markets, since a bubble would have significant

    consequences for the rest of Asia.

    EconomicO

    utlook2011

    On Slide 28, he went on to explain the significant increase in Currency reserves hold by all

    major Asian Governments.

    Obviously the currency war between the US & Chinese Governments could also affect our

    economies here. Hence more creative measures have to be implemented to mange capital

    flows. (Slide 30)

    On the other side Asian currencies will actually gain due to rates, flows and CNY. But also due

    to inter Asian trade. Slide 32. Credit Suisse predicts that key markets will price the US/CNY at

    6.45 in the next 12 months. Hence all Asian currency will get stronger in the short term. Slide

    34

    SMBA News Bulletin

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    EconomicO

    utlook2011

    At the end Mr. Tan explained the outlook for

    Malaysia in the view of CS, where they see a

    strong economy, a good and strong

    economical leadership, their main problem

    will be how to tackle the huge Government

    subsidies on price controlled commodities.

    In the long run CS is of the opinion that the

    Government has to take a firm policy to

    totally abolish all the subsidies.

    Another risk for Malaysia is the currency;

    which is linked indirectly to the US dollar.

    But overall the Malaysian economy doingwell compared to other economies, the only

    risk for an investor would be the political

    uncertainty, as when the Prime Minister will

    announce General elections.

    At the end Mr. Tan replied some questions

    from the crowd mainly related to the

    European crisis and the outlook on China.

    SMBA News Bulletin

    The Chairman closed the event by announcing the next event and thanking the speaker and

    Credit Suisse once again for sponsoring the event. A memento was presented to the speaker,

    who had to rush to the airport immediately after his presentation.

    The participants were served canaps and finger food with free flow of beer and soft drinks

    sponsored by Credit Suisse.

    Article written by Thomas Guldimann

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    A visit to the

    AirAsia Academy

    On the 19 February 2011, approximately 25

    members visited the AirAsia Academy situated in

    Sepang, Selangor.

    AirAsia is the low cost carrier giant that has grown

    in the past 9 years to become the 4th largest

    airline in Asia in 2010 by carrying 29 million

    passengers per year. With a short history of 9 years

    since Dec 2001, AirAsia has grown from 2 planes to

    103 aircraft across 4 countries.

    The AirAsia Academy produces all of pilots,

    engineers, ground staff and flight attendants for

    the operations. All of the graduates are certified by

    the respective ASEAN Civil Aviation Authorities

    including Malaysia's DCA.

    SMBA News Bulletin

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    The SMBA members were briefed on AirAsia by our

    own committee member, Mr. Zaman Ahmad who is

    also the Regional Head for Customer Experience for

    AirAsia. A tour was conducted by the Academy staff

    and the highlight was the aircraft simulator tour

    where SMBA members experienced first hand the

    simulator procedure that completed a take off,

    cruising and landing in 10 minutes for the AirbusA320.

    AirAsiaAc

    ademyVisit

    Mr. Liew Kang Hwa,

    whos our tour guide for the day

    Mr. Zaman Ahmad,

    Regional Head for

    Customer Experience for AirAsia

    SMBA News Bulletin

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    After the exciting simulator experience, the SMBA

    members were treated to lunch with AirAsia's variety

    of meals that are also available onboard.

    The visit ended at approximately 3pm.

    AirAsiaAc

    ademyVisit

    SMBA News Bulletin

    Article written by Zaman Ahmad

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    12th Annual General Meeting

    Another AGM, the 12th, has been concluded,

    on March the 30th,

    with typical Swiss efficiency.

    Speedily the approving of the minutes of meeting of the 2010 AGM, the annual report of the

    committee and the audited accounts were done. All results were unanimously as our two vote

    counters Andr Isaak and Manfred Faehndrich established with practiced ease.

    The turn out of 42 members of the SMBA was very satisfactory, highlighted by the presence of our

    three honorary members Tan Sri Dato Zulliger, Dr. Peter A Wyss and H.E. the ambassador of

    Switzerland.

    SMBA News Bulletin

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    12

    AnnualGene

    ralMeeting

    Johann Bohi after serving on the

    committee of the SMBA for more than 6

    years did not seek reelection and

    Muthanna Abdullah who also did not

    seek reelection due to business

    commitments. Both have resigned from

    the committee.

    We would like to sincerely thank Johann

    and Muthanna for all the hours,

    experience and passion he has brought

    to the organization in the past years.

    We also would like to express our thanks

    and gratitude to Heinz Bauert, Chairman

    of the SMBA, for his tireless work,

    organizational skills and leadership he

    has displayed over the years.One of the founding members of the

    SMBA eleven years ago, he has

    navigated this organization through all

    waters especially in last three years as

    Chairman.

    He lead the SMBA to new successes and

    today Heinz can proudly hand over a

    healthy and financially sound

    organization to his successor.

    Arno Thny the newly elected Chairman

    introduced himself and then continued

    to thank Heinz for his work andhighlighted the achievements. Arno

    concluded with a token of appreciation

    that was handed over to the resigning

    committee members.

    Unanimously elected to the SMBA

    committee were:

    Thomas Guldimann, Vice Chairman

    Sandro Tomasino, Secretary

    Marc Seiler, TreasurerAileen Chan, Committee Member

    Dato (Dr.) Michael Wong, Committee

    Member

    Zaman Ahmad, Committee Member

    Juergen Mayer, Committee Member

    SMBA News Bulletin

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    12

    AnnualGene

    ralMeeting

    Another highlight of the evening was

    the talk by HE ambassador Dr. Rolf Lenz.

    Starting by introducing himself he gave

    the members of the SMBA a short and

    insightfull overview about the points of

    focus of the embassy in the coming

    years and the importance of the SMBA

    to the SECO.

    Having studied political science in

    Switzerland Ambassador Dr. Rolf Lenz

    finished his degree in Bejing and also

    learned the language during his initial

    stay in China. Being exposed to a

    different culture and also having to

    come to terms with it, awakened the

    interests of the young graduate and

    consequently he joined the diplomaticcorps.

    Mainly stationed in Bejing and Shanghai,

    interrupted by stays in Canada,

    Switzerland and Bosnia Herzegowina HE

    Dr. Rolf Lenz was again appointed to an

    Asian country and on January the first

    became the new Ambassador of

    Switzerland to Malaysia.

    After going to the usual steps and being

    introduces and approved by the King as

    well as paying courtesy visits to other

    ambassadors HE lost no time to line out

    the focus and targets of the embassy

    under his leadership.

    Mainly the development and further

    enhancement of the relations between

    the swiss and Malaysian government,

    especially where related to economy,

    business, tourism and R&D

    There is also a concentration on the

    development of a FTA (Free trade

    agreement) between Malaysia and

    Switzerland.

    With this outline HE once again stressed

    the importance of the SMBA for the

    embassy and assuring it his full support.

    He concluded by thanking Heinz Bauert

    once again for his efforts as the

    chairman and handed to Heinz a token

    of appreciation as well as a letter from

    the embassy.

    This concluded the official part of theevening and the members moved on to

    the culinary delights of the Melia Hotel.

    SMBA News Bulletin |

    Article written by Sandro Tomasino

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    Messagefromth

    eChairman

    Dear Members,

    We are pleased to inform that at the 12th Annual General

    Meeting (AGM) held on 30 March 2011 all motions

    addressed have been approved by the assembly.

    The new Board of Committee Members that has been

    elected and accepted their position are:

    Mr. Arno Thny, Melia Kuala Lumpur as Chairman

    Mr. Thomas Guldimann, Casa Vino Sdn Bhd as Vice Chairman

    Mr. Marc Seiler, Nestl (Malaysia) Berhad as Treasurer

    Mr. Sandro Tomasino, GUTOR Electronic Asia Pacific Sdn Bhd as Secretary

    Ms. Aileen Chan, LiveLife Sdn Bhd as Committee Member

    Dato (Dr.) Michael Wong, Job Hunt Sdn Bhd as Committee Member

    En. Kamarulzaman Ahmad (Individual Member) as Committee Member

    Mr. Juergen Mayer, Wuerth Industrial Services Malaysia Sdn Bhd as Committee Member

    The Auditors of the Association, Messrs T.H. Kuan & Co have been reappointed while

    the annual reports and audited accounts were approved without objections.

    The Annual Booklet 2010/2011 with information on the new board members, a

    kaleidoscope of the past years events and a preview of forthcoming activities was

    launched at the AGM. A complimentary copy will be posted to all members shortly. We

    sincerely thank all sponsors that contributed and made the printing of the Annual

    Booklet possible.

    It was an honor to have our Swiss Ambassador H.E. Dr Rolf Lenz, share his experience,

    background and vision with the Swiss Malaysian Business Association and thank H.E. for

    the insight.

    As it is customary and our Associations tradition, we are extending to former Chairmen

    of the Board a Honorary Lifetime Membership. It is our great pleasure to extend that

    privilege to Mr. Heinz Bauert and welcome him from now on as Honorary Member of the

    Swiss Malaysian Business Association. Please join us to extend once again, a sincere

    thank you to Mr. Heinz Bauert for his great leadership as Chairman and CommitteeMember since the inauguration of the SMBA. It gives us great confidence that we can call

    upon Heinz as our mentor while we may continue the success of the SMBA.

    We take this opportunity appreciate your continuous support of the SMBA and look

    forward to your participation and enthusiasm for our forthcoming events which have

    been listed in the attachment and will be circulated with more details closer to the

    respective events, please mark your diaries.

    Arno Thny

    Chairman, SMBA

    April 1st, 2011 SMBA News Bulletin |

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    Top row (from left):

    Arno Thny, Chairman

    Thomas Guldimann, Vice Chairman

    Marc Seiler, Treasurer

    Sandro Tomasino, Secretary

    Second row (from left):

    Aileen Chan, Committee Member

    Dato (Dr.) Michael Wong, Committee MemberZaman Ahmad, Committee Member

    Juergen Mayer, Committee Member

    Third row (from left):

    Dr. Rolf Lenz, H.E. The Ambassador of Switzerland to Malaysia

    Dato Gurbakhash Singh, Legal Advisor to SMBA

    SMBA News Bulletin |

    Committee Members

    April 2011 March 2012

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    Arno Thny, Chairman

    General Manager,

    Melia Kuala Lumpur

    Arno Thny was appointed the new General

    Manager of Melia Kuala Lumpur in April 2006.

    Ever since, the 50yearold hotelier has

    steered Melia Kuala Lumpur through his

    management styles that incorporates the

    corporate social responsibility movement of

    balancing the needs of all stakeholders to

    achieve sustainable growth and business

    development. With 34 years of hospitality

    background at hand, he has plenty to prove

    and carries with him a wealth of experience in

    the hotel industry.

    Apart from Malaysia and Singapore, Arno

    Thny has acquired significant international

    experience and has lived, worked and

    undertaken consultancy projects and

    assignments in a multitude of Asian countries

    such as China, Hong Kong, Philippines,

    Thailand, Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, in

    Australia and his very own home countrySwitzerland.

    He earned his undergraduate degree from the

    Hotel Management School at Belvoirpark,

    Zurich and has a Masters Degree in Business

    Administration (MBA) from the University of

    South Australia, Adelaide. Mr. Arno Thny has

    been dubbed an intrapreneur, infusing an

    innovative and unconventional management

    style in the daily hotel operation.

    SMBA News Bulletin |

    His interests engulf active participation in

    the business community including the

    Swiss Malaysian Business Association for

    the last five years, is a founding member

    and General Secretary of La Camera, the

    SpanishMalaysian Chamber of Commerce,

    Deputy Chairman of the EUMCCI CSRCommittee and a Committee Member of

    the Malaysian Hotel Association KL

    Chapter. As an affluent speaker he is using

    his skills in educating the next generation

    of entrepreneurs and hoteliers at the KDU

    College and through talks on the subject of

    CSR. His strong conviction and contribution

    towards CSR, brought Melia Kuala Lumpur

    to the forefront of the CSR movement in

    the hospitality industry of Kuala Lumpur.

    Thomas Guldimann, Vice Chairman

    Managing Director,

    Casa Vino Sdn Bhd

    Educated in Switzerland, Thomas Guldimann

    has held various management positions in

    the hotel industry spanning acrossSwitzerland, USA and Asia. He has worked

    16 years in Asia and he is now owner of Caso

    Vino Sdn Bhd in Malaysia, specializing in

    boutique wineries mainly from Australia &

    Argentina.

    His clientele comprise mainly five & fourstar

    hotels, restaurants & bars and dutyfree

    shops in KLIA, Klang Valley and Langkawi.

    He has been supplying wines to MAS for

    their First & Business Class flights to Asia

    since 2002.

    Thomas was the Founding Member of the

    Young Liberal Party FDP (Limmattal1980).

    He has held the position of President of the

    Swiss Club Malaysia from Feb 2002 to Feb

    2004.

    CommitteeMembers

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    Marc Seiler, Treasurer

    Executive Director, Finance & Control,

    Nestl (Malaysia) Berhad

    Marc Philippe Seiler, currently the Executive

    Director, Finance & Control of Nestl

    (Malaysia) Berhad was appointed as the

    NonIndependent, Executive Director of the

    Company on 1 December 2008. He holds a

    Masters of Science in Management from

    Ecole Superieure de Commerce de Paris,

    France and an Accounting & Finance

    Diploma [Diplome dEtudes Superieures

    Comptables et Financieres].

    Marc Philippe Seiler started his career as anexternal auditor with Coopers and Lybrand,

    before joining the Nestl Group as Finance

    Planning Manager of Nestl Waters in Paris.

    Subsequently he was transferred to Nestl

    Waters, North America where he has held

    several positions such as Director Corporate

    Planning, Director Finance Supply Chain,

    Director Promotional Trade Spending, Chief

    Financial Officer Canada, Chief FinancialOfficer US Retail Division, with his last

    position as the Business Development and

    Merger & Acquisition Director.

    SMBA News Bulletin |

    Sandro Tomasino, Secretary

    Managing Director,

    GUTOR Asia Pacific Sdn Bhd

    Sandro Tomasino was appointed Managing

    Director of GUTOR Asia Pacific Sdn/Bhd in

    2007. In this function he has developed

    GUTOR AP from a trading company into a full

    fledged manufacturing facility located in Shah

    Alam. GUTOR Electronic is the leading UPS

    (uninterruptible Power Supply) Engineering

    Company specialized in customized systems

    for the O&G and power generation market.

    This facility caters to the complete value

    chain of activities for GUTOR and its clients inAsia Pacific and abroad, including sales,

    design, research and development (R&D),

    manufacturing, testing and after sales.

    GUTOR Asia Pacific also serves as an

    engineering and service hub for GUTOR

    Switzerland.

    After receiving a Bachelor degree in Electrical

    Engineering, Sandro went abroad for the firsttime, spending four years in the USA as an

    R&D Engineer developing handheld

    measurements devices. Back in Switzerland

    he joined Sensirion AG a spinoff of the

    famous ETH Zurich (Swiss federal Institute of

    Technology) where he continued R&D

    activities.

    In 2004 Sandro was appointed Engineering

    Manager of GUTOR Switzerland and

    immediately internationalized the

    department with Malaysia, China and the USA

    as the main hubs of GUTORs Engineering

    division.

    Sandro Tomasino graduated in 1997 as a

    bachelor in electrical engineering from Luzern

    and finalized his studies to Executive Master

    Business Engineer FH in 2004

    CommitteeMembers

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    Aileen Chan, Committee Member

    Chief Executive Officer,

    Live Life Sdn Bhd, Malaysia;

    Live Life Pte Ltd, Singapore

    As the CEO of LiveLife, a marketing anddistribution company of health and beauty

    products, Aileen heads the Sales & Marketing

    team and the companys operational aspects

    in both Malaysia and Singapore. A Business

    graduate from the University of Technology,

    Sydney she has proven her skills and business

    acumen (she majored in Marketing) in the

    competitive world of health and beauty.

    Prior to establishing LiveLife together with her

    husband, she carved her success as Managing

    Director for Bionax Sdn Bhd and Bionax Pte

    Ltd with a very successful track record of

    launching and growing new and innovative

    products to reshape consumers concept of

    health & beauty.

    Now, with more than 18 years experience in

    the health and beauty industry, Aileencontinues to deliver many more marketing

    success stories under her companys

    philosophy of delivering only the best of

    evidencebased, safe and natural health

    products. She is responsible for the rise and

    success of Estime, a bestselling and award

    winning Swiss skin supplement in Malaysia.

    Last year, she introduced two innovative

    supplements Rilax, a natural stress relief

    supplement and TruDtox, a herbal detox tea;

    both of which have gained immense

    popularity and credibility with consumers.

    Most recently, she launched MIREICA, the

    worlds first skin supplement containing a

    Swiss developed plant stem cell extract, for

    younger looking skin. LiveLife has also been

    bestowed the honour of Best Local Health

    Distributor; a recognition received from

    Watsons chainstores.

    SMBA News Bulletin |

    She is married to Mr. Lim Siang Wee for 23

    years and enjoys spending her free time with

    her 2 children Nicholas, aged 17 and

    Melissa, aged 15. Aileen also enjoys honing

    her culinary skills, travelling to new places,

    shopping, reading and meeting up with

    friends, and is also actively involved insinging for charity (Glitterama Ladies Charity

    Group), as well as being actively involved in

    the Jinjang Utara Rumah Panjang Charity to

    provide education for poor children.

    Zaman Ahmad, Committee Member

    Regional Head of Customer

    Experience,

    AirAsia Berhad

    Zaman graduated from the Imperial College

    as a Petronas scholar with a degree in

    Electrical and Electronics Engineering. He

    has worked with various divisions of

    Petronas since then, first as part of the

    Petronas Twin Towers setup team, then for

    two years in South Africa as part of Petronas

    Team Syntium Opel touring car racing team.

    After that, he spent 5 years based in

    Switzerland as part of the Sauber Petronas FI

    racing team. Since 2005, Zaman has been

    part of Petronass Corporate Planning

    Division, then with Petronas Research &

    Technology Division and his last posting was

    as part of the top management team of

    Petronas Ammonia Sdn Bhd, based in Kertih,

    Terengganu.

    Zaman has since joined AirAsia in September

    2010 and now holds the portfolio of

    Regional Head of Customer Experience. With

    this portfolio, he leads more than half of

    AirAsia's workforce with a focus on

    customer service delivery and the

    technology to deliver the products and

    services of AirAsia.

    CommitteeMembers

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    Dato (DR.) Michael Wong

    Committee Member

    Executive Director,

    Job Hunt Sdn Bhd

    Dato (Dr.) Michael Wong Chin Hee is a veryambitious, dedicated and widevision

    Executive Director with over 20 years of

    professional experience in the corporate

    world. He has an extensive background in

    consumer and pharmaceutical products, as

    well as food manufacturing and trading.

    Michael took a leading role in establishing a

    HR consulting firm, Job Hunt Sdn Bhd,

    providing Executive Search & Selection,

    Permanent Placements, Recruitment Process

    Outsourcing (RPO), Payroll Administration,

    Career Day, Behavioural Assessment

    Techniques and Corporate Training.

    He also sits on the board as Executive

    Director for Oriental Eminence Resources

    Sdn Bhd a company focusing on mergers &

    acquisitions and Global Business AdvisorySdn Bhd a onestop service provider

    supporting on the formation and

    administration of companies, corporate

    advisory, business entities and their legal

    compliance.

    In addition, Michael continues to shoulder

    several other corporate responsibilities. He

    has received many awards for his outstanding

    work in human capital solutions is well

    recognized in this industry.

    His memberships with a number of

    International Trade Associations such as

    EUMCCI (EUMalaysia Chamber of Commerce

    & Industry), MABC (Malaysia Australia

    Business Council), SMBA (Swiss Malaysian

    Business Association), and many more reflect

    the diverse demographics of his businessportfolio.

    SMBA News Bulletin |

    Juergen Mayer, Committee Member

    Managing Director,

    Wuerth Industrial Services

    Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.

    Juergen Mayer was appointed Managing

    Director of Wuerth Industrial Services

    Malaysia in January 2010. The company had

    at that time been a new setup and the latest

    foundation of the Wuerth Industrial Networkof companies.

    Ever since the emerging markets in the Asian

    region has been his main focus of interest.

    Having spent the majority of his studies in

    Southeast Asia, he graduated from the

    University Gadjah Mada, Indonesia, with a

    diploma in International Business and

    Communication in Asia. Having successfully

    implemented a project for supplier audits at

    BASF Indonesia, he did then start his career

    with Wuerth at the Wuerth Industrial

    Services headquarters in Germany where he

    was responsible for the business

    development in the Southeast Asian region.

    He enjoys being among the Asian people and

    is spending his free time with travelling and

    enjoying the beautiful places of Malaysia.

    Michael is a graduate of University of

    Henley, UK and holds a Masters in Business

    Administration (Honours) from Oklahoma

    City University, USA.

    CommitteeMembers

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    N

    ewMember

    Wuerth Industrial Services Malaysia is part of the Wuerth Group.

    The Wuerth Group is world market leader in its core business, the trade in

    assembly and fastening material. It currently consists of over 400 companies

    in 84 countries and has more than 62,000 employees on its payroll. Over

    30,000 of these are permanently employed sales representatives.

    In addition to our extensive standard product range, we are also strong in

    logistics and operational supply and service concepts as well as specially

    designed parts. With our CPS C Product Service we offer modular

    solutions that can easily be adapted to suit your individual needs. These CPS

    solutions can either contribute to reduce stock and replenishment times

    or can help to outsource the entire procurement process.

    Through customerspecific service concepts such as scanneroriented rack

    systems and justintime supply via Kanbansystem customers experience a

    crucial contribution to productivity growth. These systems are applicable for

    both highvolume assembly materials on the production line and sporadic

    resources requirements.

    Wuerth Industrial Services

    Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.Principal Representative: Juergen Mayer

    SMBA News Bulletin |

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    Articlefrom

    theEmbassy

    Encouraging short term economic trends

    further global economic risks

    SMBA News Bulletin |

    Economic Forecasts for Switzerland Spring 2011

    By the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs SECO

    Despite the strong Swiss franc, the Swiss economy has so far been able to continue

    its buoyant growth, supported by the global economys positive impulses. The expert

    group continues to believe that there will be an increasing lag on exports, primarily

    due to the strength of the franc, and that this will have a cooling effect on the

    economy as a whole. The federal governments expert group forecasts growth in GDP

    of 2.1% in 2011 with slightly lower growth in 2012 (1.9%). However, the global

    economic outlook is dampened by numerous risks (such as debt problems in many

    countries), which are likely to hinder a stable recovery, with the latest developmentbeing uncertainties in connection with the looming nuclear disaster in Japan

    World economy: During the winter of 2010/2011, the world economy was relatively

    buoyant. The US economy in particular, which had temporarily struggled to get into

    gear, noticeably picked up speed thus brightening short term growth prospects

    considerably. The Euro zones moderate economic recovery has stayed on track

    despite the continuing national debt crisis, although there are still significant

    differences between the individual countries. In many emerging markets, economicgrowth has remained dynamic.

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    Articlefrom

    theEmbassy

    Encouraging short term economic trends

    further global economic risks

    SMBA News Bulletin |

    Despite the improved short term outlook for the world economy there are still a

    variety of factors that could put a strain on the ongoing recovery. Due to the

    precarious state of public finances in many countries not only in Europe, but also in

    the USA there is growing pressure for consolidation measures, which might

    temporarily curb the economy. A further problem lies in the fact that the real estate

    crisis, particularly in the USA, is not yet over. As such, private consumption in the USA

    is unlikely to serve as a motor for growth for some time, as households are still

    reducing their debts or are forced to save. In addition, the sharp rise in the price of

    oil (and other raw materials) will continue to burden the global economy, as higher

    prices reduce consumer purchasing power and increase production costs for

    businesses.

    GDP of Switzerland: In view of the solid state of the domestic economy, the slow

    down over the next few quarters should be relatively mild. The new forecast of the

    expert group is for GDP growth of 2.1% for 2011 (previously 1.5%), and 1.9% for

    2012 (as before).

    External Trade: Despite the very strong value of the Swiss franc, solid growth in

    exports has been recorded so far. This has been bolstered by the recent tailwind

    from the international economy (especially from emerging markets, the USA and

    Germany). Exports have also been helped by the chemical and pharmaceuticalindustries (roughly 40% of total good exports), which are relatively immune to

    exchange rate fluctuations. According to recent surveys, many companies (mainly in

    the machine industry) are reporting a weakened position compared to foreign

    competitors due to the exchange rate, as well as reduced margins. At present, the

    strain of the exchange rate is still being masked by the recovering world economy,

    which is having a positive effect on order books. Growth in exports will probably slow

    down over the course of the year due to the strong Swiss franc.

    Unemployment: The situation on the labour has continued to improve,

    unemployment rate fell further to 3.4% at the end of February 2011. The early

    indicators for the labour market suggest a continued positive trend. Weakening

    economic growth may gradually lessen the fall in unemployment in the later part of

    2011 and next year. For 2011 the expert group expects an annual average

    unemployment rate of 3.2% (previously 3.4%) and 3.3% for 2012 (previously 3.4%).

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    Articlefrom

    theEmbassy

    Encouraging short term economic trends

    further global economic risks

    Outlook for Switzerland: The current situation of the Swiss economy in spring 2011 is

    still positive. In Q4 the economy continued to grow strongly across a wide range of

    sectors and at above average levels in comparison with other European countries.

    The most recent economic indicators since the beginning of the year (January

    February) have also been positive. Business and consumer confidence surveys show

    few signs of weakness.

    Global economic outlook: It remains extremely uncertain. Economic recovery

    continues to be driven by extremely expansive and in the long term unsustainable

    monetary and financial policies. A monetary policy correction cannot be put off

    indefinitely without jeopardising price stability. The future development in the Euro

    zone still presents a huge factor of uncertainty. On the one hand, it may risesignificantly again if unrest in the Arab region were to spread (e.g. to Saudi Arabia).

    On the other hand, a sudden easing on the oil markets cannot be ruled out if Japans

    demand for oil were to fall significantly as a result of the earthquake.

    The recent events in Japan present an additional risk for the world economy but it is

    likely that the consequences of the earthquake alone will not have a major impact on

    the world economy or that of Switzerland. However, this assessment could alter

    significantly in the event of a nuclear catastrophe.

    If the latent international economic risks were to materialise, the Swiss franc could

    experience renewed appreciation pressure and the competitiveness of Swiss

    companies in the global market would be additionally strained.

    Source: http://www.seco.admin.ch

    Next press release: Tuesday, June 14th 2011

    Kuala Lumpur, May 2nd 2011

    Frank Eggmann

    Counsellor / Deputy Head of Mission