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New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training Lou Németh Chief Safety Officer
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New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

Jan 15, 2016

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Lou Németh Chief Safety Officer. New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training. Dealing with the Black Swan in training. What is the theory? What can we do about it as it applies to aviation training?. How will technology improvements influencing the type of simulators on the market?. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

New Aviation Technologies

and Challenges in Training

Lou NémethChief Safety Officer

Page 2: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information 2

Dealing with the Black Swan in training

What is the theory?

What can we do about it as it applies to aviation training?

Page 3: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information 3

How will technology improvements influencing the type of simulators on the market?

Technology will increase safety while increasing efficiencies for our customers, but how?► The greater the fidelity of the device the more efficient the

learning► Converse is also true► What are the consequences of teaching stalls in a narrow

envelope?

Page 4: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information

Aircraft Technology and Instructional Technology

4

FFS

Footp

rin

t Len

gth

D

ays

Tech

nolo

gy

Com

ple

xit

y

Time

1980 FMS EFIS FBS CBT IPT Vsim AQP ISD MFTD EVIDENCED BASED 2010

Technology in Aircraft

Training Technology

10

20

12

14

16

18

Less

More

The pace of training technology growth exceeds the

pace of aircraft technology growth circa 2000; this begins to bring down

the cost of training while demand for training will soar 2 – 3 years after 911.

Page 5: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information

Aircraft Technology and Instructional Technology

5

FFS

Footp

rin

t Len

gth

D

ays

Tech

nolo

gy

Com

ple

xit

y

Time

Technology in Aircraft

Training Technology

10

20

12

14

16

18

Less

More

There is a lag in time between the introduction of training technology and the efficiency benefit.

Airlines are not typically early adopters. A competitive advantage may be achieved w/o the

risks that goes with early adoption by contracting training service providers.

1980 FMS EFIS FBS CBT IPT Vsim AQP ISD MFTD EVIDENCED BASED 2010

Page 6: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information 6

Page 7: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information 7

ITQI - ICAO IATA Round Table 7

Years Of Operation

2nd jet generation

Sources: Airclaims, Airbus

All aircraft

1st generation

2nd generation3rd generation

4th generation

Includes western built jetsExcludes training, flight test, war, terrorism

2nd generation:Hull Loss

per million departures

1st generation:

Early jet

3rd generation:

Glass-cockpitNav displayFMS

4th generation:

FBWFlight EnvelopeProtection

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48

Hull Losses per Aircraft Generation

Page 8: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information 8

Cost of Accidents

INJURIES•Compensation for lost earnings•Medical & hospital costs•Awards for permanent disabilities•Rehab costs•Funeral Costs•Pensions for dependents

PROPERTY DAMAGE•Fire•Losses and damage•Use & occupancy•Liability

INSUREDCOSTS

UNINSUREDCOSTS

WATER LINE

INJURIES•First Aid Expenses•Transportation Costs•Investigation Costs•Cost of Processing Reports

WAGE LOSSES•Interrupted work time•Hours cleaning up accident•Time spent repairing eqpmnt

PRODUCTION LOSSES•Product spoiled by accident•Loss of skill & experience•Worker replacement•Idle machine time

ASSOCIATED COSTS•Dif between losses & recovery•Equipment replacement•Surplus workers•Disabled worker costs•Overhead while production stopped

OFF THE JOB ACCIDENTS•Medical Services•Injured worker welfare•Loss of skill & experience•Training

INTANGIBLES•Low Morale -- Labor conflict•PR & Loss of Goodwill

Ramp incidents cost the industry $3 billion per year, or $300,000 per aircraft -- Indirect costs exceed direct costs by a factor of 20

Page 9: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information 9

Example Costs

Type of Event Direct Cost Indirect Cost

A/C struck by catering truck

$17,000 $230,000

A/C struck by another while

taxiing

$1.9 million $4.9 Million

Jetway struck A/C $50,000 $600,000

A/C struck by tug during pushback

$250,000 $200,000

Page 10: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information 10

CAE’s Training Philosophy

Page 11: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information CAE Inc. Confidential and/or Proprietary Information 11

Clearly efficient but

is it safe?

Page 12: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

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Will technology change the

balance between safety &

efficiency?

Page 13: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

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Will even more technology change the

balance between safety

& efficiency?

No amount of technology, by

itself, will make us safe.

Page 14: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

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Single Pilot Judgment Process

Did I id the environment

early enough?

Did I act in a timely

manner?

Did I feel confident?

Cognitive Process Span all phases

Gut check spans all phases

Sense/Identify Frame/Name Mobilze/Align Call Make it happen Learn/Adjust

Redo Redo Redo

Did I cut through the

complexity & get to the essence?

Did I have parameters

in mind?

Did I consider

those impacted?

Did I use all resources?

Did I come to a yes/no decision?

Could I clearly

explain my judgment?

Did I stay in the game?

Did I set clear

milestones?

Was I supportive of those trying to help me?

Did I get or solicit

feedback?

Did I make adjustments based on the

feedback?

Was the feedback

continuous?

Judgment; Tichy & Bennis; Penguin Publishers, 2007

Page 15: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

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Two tools together Judgment Model & Flight Data Animation Tools

Page 16: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

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Interactive Demo

The Strengths of Technology Applied To Training

16

Page 17: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

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In Conclusion

Technology for the sake of technology solves nothing; holistic approaches that take into account the cognitive sciences are required

Technologies used to implement reflection by themselves are ineffective they must be paired with judgment tool questionnaires; enough practice with them creates the necessary clairvoyance and a better pilot

A decrease in fidelity will dramatically decrease learning outcomes

Training should leverage new technologies for the sake of safety and efficiency

Page 18: New Aviation Technologies and Challenges in Training

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Thank you