Masters in Engineering and Management of Technology Masters in engineering Design Entrepreneurship and New Venture Creation Rui Baptista
Mar 28, 2015
Masters in Engineering and Management of Technology
Masters in engineering Design
Entrepreneurship and New Venture Creation
Rui Baptista
Market Research and Structural Analysis of Industries
Entrepreneurship - Rui Baptista3
Opportunity and Market
Potential market: a significant group of people with a need that is not being satisfied adequately
Potential for an opportunity: There is a technology that allows us to supply an
effective solution to satisfy that need Alternatives being offered by competition are inferior
or more costly It is possible to develop, produce and place the
product in the market at a cost which is lower than what consumers are willing to pay
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What industry is BMW in: World Auto industry? European Auto industry? World luxury car industry?
Key criteria: GEOGRAPHY and SUBSTITUTABILITY On the demand side :
• Where are the buyers located? Are they willing to substitute across countries?
• Are buyers willing to substitute between types of cars? On the supply side :
• Where are the manufacturers located? Are they able to switch production across countries?
• Are manufacturers able to switch production between types of cars?
Drawing Industry Boundaries: Identifying the Relevant Market
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The Target Market
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Questions Raised by Market Research
What are the main differences between customer groups/market segments
How to identify customers in each segment? What are the costs to make the product known and
place it next to the relevant market? How much are the consumers willing to pay for the
product? What is the minimum size required for the market to
be profitable?
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Market Assessment
Existing market/product
New market/product
Market research philosophy
Statistical analysis, segmentation
Intuition
Information gathering techniques
Questionnaires, direct interviews, observation of relevant potential consumers
Industry specialists, industry tendencies,
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Concepts in Strategy
Core Competencies resources and capabilities available to the firm that are indispensable to produce and commercialize its products and that are not easily replicated by competitiors
Competitive Advantage distinct competencies held by a firm that allow it to attain a favorable position in the market - commercialize better and/or cheaper products
Sustainable Competitive Advantage occurs when the distinct competencies held by a firm that allow it to attain a favorable position in the market are not easily replicated by competitiors
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Sources of Competitive Advantage
Competencies Efficiency – low costs per unit
produced Innovation and product
improvements Quality/reliability Diversification/customization,
access to consumers Process innovation Establishment of a critical mass
of consumers
Examples Ryanair; easyJet; Ibis/Accor; Zara;
Alcoa; Wal-Mart; Worten Intel, Nokia, Motorola; Pfizer; Eli
Lilly; 3M; Apple; Audi; BMW Mercedes; IBM; JP Morgan Hewlett Packard; Disney; General
Electric; Dell; Amazon.com Toyota; McDonald’s; Ikea Microsoft; Adobe; SAP; Oracle;
Armani; Ralph Lauren
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Defining the Business Model
Target marketWho are the customers? How important is our product in their total consumption expenditure?
Value for the customerWhat benefits for the customer are offered exclusively by our product?
Competitive advantage and differentiation
How can we protect the distinct, key competencies and featires that make our product unique? How sustainable are those competencies?
Product development and value chain analysis
What are the activities required for the development and commercialization of our product and what is their cost? Which activities should be developed in-house and which can be outsourced?
Competencies to developWhat are the technical, market and professional abilities and experiences required to be successful?
Organizational structureHow should the activities to be carried out be organizes? How are activities and responsibilities divided?
Revenue generation and profitsHow to generate revenues from commercialization? Which competencies allow the firm to charge prices above unit costs? How sustainable are those competencies
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THE FIRM
Goals & Values
Resources &Capabilities
Structure & Systems
THE INDUSTRYENVIRONMENT
CompetitorsCustomersSuppliers
STRATEGYSTRATEGY
The Basic Framework of Strategy: the Link Between the Firm and Its Environment
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To understand how industry structure drives competition, which determines the level of industry profitability.
To assess industry attractiveness
To use evidence on changes in industry structure to forecast future profitability
To identify opportunities to change industry structure to impose industry profitability
To identify Key Success Factors
Objectives of Industry analysis
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THE INDUSTRYENVIRONMENT
• Suppliers• Competitors• Customers
Social structure
The national/ The national/ international international
economyeconomy
TechnologyTechnology
GovernmentGovernment& Politics& Politics
The natural The natural environmentenvironment
Demographic Demographic structurestructure
Social structureSocial structure
•The Industry Environment lies at the core of the Macro Environment
•The Macro Environment impacts the firm through its effect on the Industry Environment
From Environmental Analysis to Industry Analysis
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The value of the product to customers
The intensity of competition
Relative bargaining power at different levels within the value chain
3 key influences:
Determinants of Industry Profitability (Revenues-Costs)
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Concentration
Entry and ExitBarriers
ProductDifferentiation
Information
Perfect Competition
Oligopoly Duopoly Monopoly
Many firms A few firms Two firms One firm
No barriers Significant barriers High barriers
HomogeneousProduct
Potential for product differentiation
PerfectInformation flow
Imperfect availability of information
The Spectrum of Industry Structures
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SUPPLIERS
POTENTIALENTRANTS
SUBSTITUTES
BUYERS
INDUSTRYCOMPETITORS
Rivalry amongexisting firms
Bargaining power of suppliers
Bargaining power of buyers
Threat of
new entrants
Threat of
substitutes
Porter’s 5 Competitive Forces Framework
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New entrants’ threat to industry profitability depends upon the height of barriers to entry. The principal sources of barriers to entry are:
Capital requirements Economies of scale Absolute cost advantages Proprietary product differentiation (e.g. brand identity) Access to channels of distribution Government Policies: legal and regulatory barriers Threat of retaliation
Threat of Potential Entrants
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Extent of competitive pressure from producers of substitutes depends upon:
Switching costs Buyers’ propensity to substitute Price-performance characteristics of substitutes Network externalities
Threath of Substitutes
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Buyer’s price sensitivity Relative bargaining power
• Switching Costs• Cost of purchases as % of
buyer’s total costs• How differentiated is the
purchased item? • How intense is
competition between buyers?• How important is the item to
quality of the buyers’ own output?
• Size and concentration of buyers vs. sellers
• Buyer volume
• Buyer’s information• Ability to backward
integrate
Note: analysis of supplierpower is symmetric
Bargaining Power of Buyers
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The extent to which industry profitability is depressed by aggressive price competition depends upon: Industry growth – product/technology life cycle Concentration (number and size distribution of firms) Diversity of competitors (differences in goals, cost
structure, etc.) Product differentiation Excess capacity and exit barriers Cost conditions
• Extent of scale economies• Ratio of fixed to variable costs
Rivalry Between Incumbents (Established Competitors)
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Forecasting Industry Profitability Past profitability is a poor indicator of future profitability If we can create or foresee changes in industry structure
we can induce changes on competition and profitability
Strategies to Improve Industry Profitability• What structural variables affect profitability?
• Which of those variables can be changed by individual or collective strategies?
Applying 5 Forces Analysis
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Entrepreneurial Industry Evaluation
Factors Attractiveness
High Low
Competition among companies
Competition is minimal but will become intense in a year
The industry is mature or declining
Power of customers Volume is high and willing to negotiate
Customer has few switching costs
Power of suppliers Many substitutes and sources are available
Limited supply; differentiated products
Entry
Complex barriers and high entry costs Many start-ups attempting to enter
Few, simple entry barriers Few companies are entering this market
Complement Complementary products being introduced with high demand growth
Dominant companies control market for complementary products
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Porter’s framework assumes:• industry structure drives competitive behavior• Industry structure is stable
But competition also changes industry structure
Schumpeterian Competition: A “perennial gale of creative destruction” where innovation overthrows established market leaders
Hyper-competition: intense and rapid competitive moves, creating disequilibrium through continuously creating new competitive advantages and destroying, neutralizing or making obsolete opponents’ competitive advantages—overlapping product/technology life-cycles
Entrepreneurship and Dynamic Competition
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• The more unstable is industry structure—the less helpful is analysis based upon industry structure
• Taking account of time—willingness to endure losses today in order to reap profit tomorrow • General structural features of digital, networked industries: Low Entry Barriers + Extreme Scale Economies + Network
Externalities = Winner-take-all markets = Intense competition
Applying the 5 Forces to Digital/E-Business Markets
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SUPPLIERS
POTENTIALENTRANTS
SUBSTITUTES
BUYERS
INDUSTRYCOMPETITORS
Rivalry amongexisting firms
Bargaining power of suppliers
Bargaining power of buyers
Threat of
new entrants
Threat of
substitutes
Porter’s Framework in the Knowledge Economy
Network externalities: the suppliers of
complements create value for the industry
and can exercise bargaining power
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Pre-requisites for success
• What drives competition? • What are the main dimensions of competition? • How intense is competition? • How can we obtain a superior competitive position?
Analysis of demand
• Who are our customers?
• What do they want?
KEY SUCCESS FACTORS
Analysis of competitionAnalysis of competition
• What drives competition?What drives competition?
• What are the main What are the main dimensions of competition?dimensions of competition?
• How intense is competition?How intense is competition?
• How can we obtain a superior How can we obtain a superior competitive position?competitive position?
What do What do customers want?customers want?
How may the firm How may the firm survive competition?survive competition?
Pre-requisites for success
Identifying Key Sucess Factors
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Entrepreneurial Industry Evaluation
FactorsAttractiveness
High Low
Rivalry/Competition
Costumer Power
Supplier Power
Barriers to Entry
Substitute and Complementary
Products