www.angelbroking.com Market Outlook March 03, 2017 www.angelbroking.com Market Cues Indian markets are likely to open negative tracking the SGX Nifty and global cues. US stocks lost ground on Thursday as stocks reacted to the strong possibility of a hike in interest rates over the near term. The Labor Department released a report showing that initial jobless claims fell to their lowest level in over forty years to 223,000 against expectations of an increase up to 245,000. The NYSE Arca Steel Index plunged by 4.1 percent giving up its gains from yesterday. Weakness in gold stocks also led to the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index closing down by 4.4 percent. UK stocks had a flat session on mixed earnings results. Building materials supplier Travis Perkins fell over 6 percent after it reported a 67 percent drop in pretax profit because of restructuring costs. Military and civil systems provider Cobham gained 13 percent on news that it would raise 500 mln pounds via a rights issue. Indian indices opened positive but reversed all gains to close firmly in negative territory. All sectoral indices closed negative except for the Auto index which closed up 0.36 percent as the impact of demonetization was less than feared. The biggest loser for the session was the PSU banking index, which closed down 1.92 percent on profit booking after the recent rally. News Analysis Glenmark ties up with Evestra to develop contraceptive drug DLF stock drops on promoters plan to sell 40% stake in rental arm Detailed analysis on Pg2 Investor’s Ready Reckoner Key Domestic & Global Indicators Stock Watch: Latest investment recommendations on 150+ stocks Refer Pg5 onwards Top Picks Company Sector Rating CMP (`) Target (`) Upside (%) Amara Raja Batteries Auto & Auto Ancillary Buy 844 1,009 19.5 HCL Tech IT Buy 842 1,000 18.7 Power Grid Corp. Power Buy 190 223 17.5 Navkar Corp. Others Buy 164 265 62.1 KEI Industries Others Buy 173 207 19.4 More Top Picks on Pg3 Key Upcoming Events Date Region Event Description Previous Reading Consensus Expectations Mar 03 Germany PMI Services 54.4 54.4 Mar 07 China Exports YoY% 7.90 13.00 Mar 08 Euro Zone Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (QoQ) 0.40 -- Mar 09 China Consumer Price Index (YoY) 2.50 1.70 Mar 09 India Exports YoY% 4.3 -- More Events on Pg4 Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) BSE Sensex (0.5) (145) 28,840 Nifty (0.5) (46) 8,900 Mid Cap (1.4) (192) 13,378 Small Cap (1.3) (178) 13,574 Bankex (1.1) (269) 23,437 Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) Dow Jones (0.5) (113) 21,003 Nasdaq (0.7) (43) 5,861 FTSE (0.0) (1) 7,382 Nikkei 0.9 171 19,565 Hang Seng (0.2) (48) 23,728 Shanghai Com (0.5) (17) 3,230 Advances / Declines BSE NSE Advances 919 396 Declines 1,993 1,266 Unchanged 151 69 Volumes (` Cr) BSE 3,497 NSE 24,761 Net Inflows (` Cr) Net Mtd Ytd FII (97) (97) 10,341 MFs 1,000 1,855 7,070 Top Gainers Price (`) Chg (%) Nationalum 75 5.2 Aplltd 597 4.1 Jublfood 1,036 3.2 Tatamotors 461 2.7 Balkrisind 1,342 2.5 Top Losers Price (`) Chg (%) Dlf 141 (8.1) Biocon 1,034 (7.3) Jpassociat 15 (6.6) Ibrealest* 79 (6.2) Network18 37 (5.8) As on March 02, 2017
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www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
March 03, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Market Cues
Indian markets are likely to open negative tracking the SGX Nifty and global cues.
US stocks lost ground on Thursday as stocks reacted to the strong possibility of a
hike in interest rates over the near term. The Labor Department released a report
showing that initial jobless claims fell to their lowest level in over forty years to
223,000 against expectations of an increase up to 245,000. The NYSE Arca Steel
Index plunged by 4.1 percent giving up its gains from yesterday. Weakness in gold
stocks also led to the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index closing down by 4.4 percent.
UK stocks had a flat session on mixed earnings results. Building materials supplier
Travis Perkins fell over 6 percent after it reported a 67 percent drop in pretax profit
because of restructuring costs. Military and civil systems provider Cobham gained
13 percent on news that it would raise 500 mln pounds via a rights issue.
Indian indices opened positive but reversed all gains to close firmly in negative
territory. All sectoral indices closed negative except for the Auto index which closed
up 0.36 percent as the impact of demonetization was less than feared. The biggest
loser for the session was the PSU banking index, which closed down 1.92 percent on
profit booking after the recent rally.
News Analysis
Glenmark ties up with Evestra to develop contraceptive drug
DLF stock drops on promoters plan to sell 40% stake in rental arm
Detailed analysis on Pg2
Investor’s Ready Reckoner
Key Domestic & Global Indicators
Stock Watch: Latest investment recommendations on 150+ stocks
Refer Pg5 onwards
Top Picks
Company Sector Rating CMP
(`) Target
(`) Upside
(%)
Amara Raja Batteries Auto & Auto Ancillary Buy 844 1,009 19.5
HCL Tech IT Buy 842 1,000 18.7
Power Grid Corp. Power Buy 190 223 17.5
Navkar Corp. Others Buy 164 265 62.1
KEI Industries Others Buy 173 207 19.4
More Top Picks on Pg3
Key Upcoming Events
Date Region Event Description Previous
Reading
Consensus
Expectations
Mar 03 Germany PMI Services 54.4 54.4
Mar 07 China Exports YoY% 7.90 13.00
Mar 08 Euro Zone Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (QoQ) 0.40 --
Mar 09 China Consumer Price Index (YoY) 2.50 1.70
Mar 09 India Exports YoY% 4.3 --
More Events on Pg4
Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)
BSE Sensex (0.5) (145) 28,840
Nifty (0.5) (46) 8,900
Mid Cap (1.4) (192) 13,378
Small Cap (1.3) (178) 13,574
Bankex (1.1) (269) 23,437
Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)
Dow Jones (0.5) (113) 21,003
Nasdaq (0.7) (43) 5,861
FTSE (0.0) (1) 7,382
Nikkei 0.9 171 19,565
Hang Seng (0.2) (48) 23,728
Shanghai Com (0.5) (17) 3,230
Advances / Declines BSE NSE
Advances 919 396
Declines 1,993 1,266
Unchanged 151 69
Volumes (` Cr)
BSE 3,497
NSE 24,761
Net Inflows (` Cr) Net Mtd Ytd
FII (97) (97) 10,341
MFs 1,000 1,855 7,070
Top Gainers Price (`) Chg (%)
Nationalum 75 5.2
Aplltd 597 4.1
Jublfood 1,036 3.2
Tatamotors 461 2.7
Balkrisind 1,342 2.5
Top Losers Price (`) Chg (%)
Dlf 141 (8.1)
Biocon 1,034 (7.3)
Jpassociat 15 (6.6)
Ibrealest* 79 (6.2)
Network18 37 (5.8)
As on March 02, 2017
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Market Outlook
March 03, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
News Analysis
Glenmark ties up with Evestra to develop contraceptive drug
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals has tied up with Evestra to develop and market a
generic version of Merck's female contraceptive product. The companies will file
for product approval in FY19.
Under the agreement, Evestra will develop generic version of NuvaRing exclusively
for Glenmark for the US market. As part of the agreement Evestra will receive
milestone payments during various stages of the drug’s development as well as
royalties on net sales.
The partnership with Evestra is an attempt to create a drug that becomes a leading
non-daily contraceptive option prescribed for millions of women in the US.
DLF stock drops on promoters plan to sell 40% stake in rental
arm
DLF's share price fell by over 8 per cent following news that its promoters will enter
into an agreement with Singapore's GIC to sell 40 per cent of their stake in
company's rental arm, DCCDL, for an estimated `13,000cr.
Global investors Blackstone and GIC were in the race to acquire the 40 per cent
stake of DLF promoters in DCCDL.
The country's largest real estate developer, DLF, had announced in October 2015
that its promoters would sell their entire stake in DLF Cyber City Developers
(DCCDL), which holds the bulk of the commercial assets of the group.
Economic and Political News
GST Council proposed raising peak tax rate to 20 per cent, from 14 per cent
Indian Navy successfully tests anti-ship missile launched form indigenously
built Kalvari class submarines
Nasscom sees IT industry FY18 growth at 8-10%
Tax incentives to encourage real estate developers to enter affordable housing
segment: ICRA
Corporate News
Nalco posts highest ever bauxite production from period of April 2016 to
February 2017
Crompton Greaves changes name to CG Power and Industrial Solutions
Hindalco Industries sets floor price of `184.45 for qualified institutional
placement of shares for an issue size of `3,300cr
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www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
March 03, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Top Picks
Large Cap
Company Market Cap
(` Cr)
CMP
(`) Target
(`) Upside
(%) Rationale
Amara Raja Batteries 14,423 844 1,009 19.5
To outpace battery industry growth due to better
technological products leading to market share gains in both
the automotive OEM and replacement segments.
HCL Tech 1,18,886 842 1,000 18.7 The stock is trading at attractive valuations and is factoring
all the bad news.
Infosys 2,34,438 1,021 1,249 22.3 Back on the growth trend, expect a long term growth of 14%
to be a US$20bn in FY2020.
Larsen & Toubro 1,37,612 1,475 1,634 10.8 Strong order backlog and improvement in execution would
trigger the growth for the L&T
Lupin 65,969 1,461 1,809 23.8
One of the largest pharma companies with strong
international presence. It has a rich pipeline of ANDAs which
is also one of the largest among the generic companies.
Power Grid Corporation 99,269 190 223 17.5
Going forward, we expect the company to report strong
top-line CAGR of ~16% and bottom-line CAGR of ~19%
over FY16-18 on back of strong capitalization guidance
Source: Company, Angel Research
Mid Cap
Company Market Cap
(` Cr)
CMP
(`) Target
(`) Upside
(%) Rationale
Asian Granito 838 279 351 26.0
We expect the company would report strong profitability
owing to better product mix, higher B2C sales and
amalgamation synergy.
Bajaj Electricals 2,599 257 295 14.9
Among the top 4 players in the consumer durables segment.
Improved profitability backed by turn around in E&P segment.
Strong order book lends earnings visibility.
Blue Star 5,410 566 634 12.0
Favourable outlook for the AC industry to augur well for
Cooling products business which is out pacing the market
growth. EMPPAC division's profitability to improve once
operating environment turns around.
Dewan Housing Finance 10,162 325 350 7.8
With a focus on the low and medium income (LMI) consumer
segment, the company has increased its presence in tier-II &
III cities where the growth opportunity is immense.
Equitas Holdings 5,861 174 235 35.3
Strong loan growth backed by diversified loan portfolio and
adequate CAR. ROE & ROA likely to remain decent as risk of
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on March 02, 2017
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Stock WatchMarch 03, 2017
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com
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