Marine Spatial Planning Activities Knowledge-based Sustainable Knowledge-based Sustainable Management for Europe’s Seas Management for Europe’s Seas KnowSeas Tim O’Higgins Tim O’Higgins earch leading to these results has received funding from the European Community’s Seventh Framework Programme [FP7/2007-2013] under grant agreement numb Edinburgh, 1 Edinburgh, 1 st st September 2011 September 2011
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Marine Spatial Planning Activities
Knowledge-based Sustainable Knowledge-based Sustainable Management for Europe’s SeasManagement for Europe’s SeasKnowSeas
Tim O’HigginsTim O’Higgins
The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Community’s Seventh Framework Programme [FP7/2007-2013] under grant agreement number 226675
Edinburgh, 1Edinburgh, 1stst September 2011 September 2011
A comprehensive scientific knowledge base and practical guidance for the application of the Ecosystem Approach to the sustainable development of Europe’s regional seas.
Image from: www.gstaadlife.com/
Overall objective
Overall project designOverall project design
Terrestrial Local inshore
National EEZ
Transboundary
Regional Seas
EU Wide Global
Within one year
Within 1 political
term (5 yrs)
Before 2020
(Target for GEnS)
By 2050
EEZ MSFD WFD
WP3 - Causes and Consequences of WP3 - Causes and Consequences of Ecosystem ChangeEcosystem Change
FR
BE
NL2
NL1
GM
UK1
UK2
Channel
AtmDep
Atlantic
Algae
P
N
C
N
NH4-N
NO3-N
PPO4-P
Detritus
PNC
settlingsettling
respiration
photosynthesis
Nutrient
mineralisation
mineralisation
metabolism
mortality
DO
production
consumption
reaeration
Detritus in SedimentC N P Si
Si
Si
N2 denitrification
mineralisation & nitrification
autolysis
Si
consumption
nitrification
Grazers
grazing
grazing
oxygen consumption
biodeposition
AIP adsorption
MicrophytobenthosC N P Si
AIP in sediment
settling
mortality
photosynthesis
The Delft3D-GEM grid showing the river inputs (blue), Channel inputs (purple) and atmospheric inputs (red).
•Ecopath
•Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs)
•Deterministic
NW Black Sea conceptual model
NW Black Sea BBN
ELME Scenarios
Bas
elin
e S
cen
ari
o
Alternative Scenarios
Nat
ion
al E
nte
rpri
se
Lo
cal R
esp
on
sib
ility
Wo
rld
Mar
kets
Glo
bal
Co
mm
un
ity
ST
AT
ES
Cystoseira habitat
Zostera habitat
Phyllophora habitat
Pelagic predator stocks
Small pelagic stocks
Scenario outcomes
BBNsBBNs
WP4 - Analysis of Costs and WP4 - Analysis of Costs and BenefitsBenefits