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Making Myanmar: Democratic Transition and Communal Violence 2012 – 2014 James T. Davies A thesis in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy University of New South Wales, Canberra School of Humanities and Social Sciences June 2018
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MakingMyanmar:DemocraticTransitionand

CommunalViolence2012–2014

JamesT.Davies

A thesis in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of

Doctor of Philosophy

University of New South Wales, Canberra

School of Humanities and Social Sciences

June 2018

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ORIGINALITY STATEMENT ‘I hereby declare that this submission is my own work and to the best of my knowledge it contains no materials previously published or written by another person, or substantial proportions of material which have been accepted for the award of any other degree or diploma at UNSW or any other educational institution, except where due acknowledgement is made in the thesis. Any contribution made to the research by others, with whom I have worked at UNSW or elsewhere, is explicitly acknowledged in the thesis. I also declare that the intellectual content of this thesis is the product of my own work, except to the extent that assistance from others in the project's design and conception or in style, presentation and linguistic expression is acknowledged.’ Signed …………………………………………….............. Date ……………………………………………..............

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COPYRIGHT STATEMENT

‘I hereby grant the University of New South Wales or its agents the right to archive and to make available my thesis or dissertation in whole or part in the University libraries in all forms of media, now or here after known, subject to the provisions of the Copyright Act 1968. I retain all proprietary rights, such as patent rights. I also retain the right to use in future works (such as articles or books) all or part of this thesis or dissertation. I also authorise University Microfilms to use the 350 word abstract of my thesis in Dissertation Abstract International (this is applicable to doctoral theses only). I have either used no substantial portions of copyright material in my thesis or I have obtained permission to use copyright material; where permission has not been granted I have applied/will apply for a partial restriction of the digital copy of my thesis or dissertation.'

Signed ……………………………………………...........................

Date ……………………………………………...........................

AUTHENTICITY STATEMENT

‘I certify that the Library deposit digital copy is a direct equivalent of the final officially approved version of my thesis. No emendation of content has occurred and if there are any minor variations in formatting, they are the result of the conversion to digital format.’

Signed ……………………………………………...........................

Date ……………………………………………...........................

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AbstractThe period of democratic transition in Myanmar, beginning in 2010, has seen the

emergence of devastating communal violence, the vast majority of which has been

directed towards Muslim communities. This thesis considers the phenomenon of

communal violence during democratic transition in Myanmar through a contentious

politics framework. The historical institutionalist argument made in this thesis suggests

three factors necessary for communal violence in this case; an exclusive definition of the

political community at the time of democratic transition, elites’ promotion of

exclusionary forms of nationalism during democratic transition, and the availability of

non-elites willing to perpetrate violence.

This thesis documents a mechanism between democratic transition and exclusionary

forms of nationalism in Myanmar. The practice of democracy requires the definition of

a nation’s boundaries – of who is a member of the political community and of who is

not. Democracy, however, cannot determine where these boundaries should lie. It is

instead nationalism which will define a new conception of the political community. This

thesis finds that the exclusionary forms of nationalism which arose during democratic

transition in Myanmar reflected the historically exclusive definition of the nation and

the construction of particular communal groups, foremost the Rohingya, as a threat to

it. Such conceptions were promoted by political, religious and other elites during

transition.

Using a dynamic contentious politics approach to study the interactions of actors,

opportunities and mechanisms, this thesis stresses the ways in which communal

violence interacted with democratic transition. This is considered through an analysis of

the processes of; the historical construction of national and communal identities, the

activation of the boundaries of these identities at democratic transition, the constitution

of actors (including political parties and nationalist organisations), brokerage between

these actors, and the interpretation of violence by the state and other actors as

democratic transition continued. Insecurity is considered as an environmental

mechanism which influences the attribution of threat by actors. Mobilisation for

violence can be found throughout these processes and mechanisms. This thesis draws

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upon in-depth interviews with political, religious and community leaders and other

community members, predominantly taken in five different case-study locations across

Myanmar.

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AcknowledgementsOne accumulates significant debts, of many kinds, during a project as long as a PhD. This

final result is the product of much conversation, debate, correspondence and exchange.

There are many people to thank for their friendship, hospitality, conversation,

encouragement, support and generosity. In particular I wish to thank those in Myanmar

who participated in, or otherwise contributed towards, this project. Although many

cannot be named here due to ongoing issues of safety, I hope they can see their

influence. I am deeply beholden to all who took part in this research, either through

formal interviews, or the afternoons and evenings spent in conversation in tea shops

and beer stations.

Many have become good friends, and have very much influenced my understanding of

what we were witnessing together. In particular I thank Julian Pinzon-Godoy. The many

hours spent in discussion – either on the bus to Sittwe, the train to Mandalay or in a

mouldy San Chaung apartment – have shaped much more than just how this thesis

approaches the topics of identity, violence, privilege and spirituality.

Special thanks are also due to my academic Ako Kyi Nyi Nyi Kyaw for his friendship,

mentorship and encouragement, whether in Singapore, Canberra, Yangon or on

WhatsApp every other day. I am grateful to Sandeep Singh for his insights and friendship

in Canberra towards the end of the project. The same goes to Tom Carr for his friendship

in both Canberra and Yangon, and for all the valuable advice and reading

recommendations. Thank you to Mel Walker, who shared her knowledge and let me stay

at her place in Yangon so often. Francis Wade, Felix Kan Nyunt, Gerard McCarthy, Justine

Chambers, Anthea Snowsill, Dinith Adikari, Olivia Cable, Tim Frew and Luke Corbin are

all due thanks for all their Myanmar knowledge and hangouts, KH for sharing his know-

how and his house, Nyein Paing Oo for his energy and dedication, and Sayar Kyi Bo Bo

for guiding me and for being a trusted friend. Thanks are also due to Ma Nora for her

friendship and for lending me her husband. Thanks to Ko Sithu and Aung Aung for all the

great times. Particular thanks go to U Khin Maung Yin and his family who patiently put

up with my presence for months in their home, and to Dan Charlton who did the same

for some days in Oxford. To other friends in Canberra; Veasna Var, Rhiannon Nelson,

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Gaetano Currao, and Wenze Lu– it’s been great. Thanks to the Myanmar team at UNSW

Canberra, U Khin Maung Yin, Amy Doffegnies and Cecile Medail.

I am deeply grateful to Morten Pedersen and Gavin Mount for their guidance

throughout this whole process. Also to Bernadette McDermott, who is well known at

UNSW Canberra for her wise advice and for brightening many days. In Perth, thanks are

due to Jie Chen and Samina Yasmeen at the University of Western Australia for their

encouragement when I was starting this project. Daniel Cribb, Clay Berry and Matthew

Smith have been great friends long before I considered taking up the PhD. It is difficult

to overstate how grateful I am to my parents and family who have always given their

unconditional support.

To those who helped me with learning the Myanmar language – I thank you for your

patience and apologise for the many times I butchered the language. They include the

magnificent Nai Tin Aye, John Okell, Jennifer Lwin and May Nyane among others.

The ideas in this thesis underwent useful criticism at the Oxford-SOAS Graduate

Workshop: “New Directions on Research on Myanmar”, at the University of Oxford and

SOAS, University of London, 26-28 May 2017; at the 12th Singapore Graduate Forum on

Southeast Asian Studies at the Asia Research Institute, National University of Singapore,

24-28 July 2017; as well as at a conference and seminars at UNSW Canberra. I thank

Matthew Walton, Mandy Sadan and Daw Khin Mar Mar Kyi for having me in the UK, to

ARI for having me in Singapore, and to Peter Stanley and the other organisers of events

at UNSW. These opportunities contributed significantly to the development of the ideas

found here. Any errors or deficiencies in the final thesis, however, are of course my own

responsibility.

This work is dedicated to Susu for her patience, support and love. Without her

encouragement across continents (and willingness to put up with my questions of

translations and other matters) this thesis would not have been possible.

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ListofMapsandFigures

Map 1.1: Myanmar in the Region: Five Case Studies 8

Figure 6.1: The 969 Movement Logo 182

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ListofTables

Table 1.1: Urban Populations in the Five Case Studies 12

Table 1.2: Population by Religion in States and Regions 13

Table 1.3: Fieldwork Interviews 36

Table 1.4: Fieldwork Interviews by Religious Identity 37

Table 1.5: Fieldwork Focus Groups 38

Table 2.1: Procedural Definitions of Democracy 63

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ListofAcronyms

AFPFL Anti-Fascist People’s Freedom League

ALD Arakan League for Democracy

ANP Arakan National Party

ARNO Arakan Rohingya National Organisation

ARSA Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army

BIA Burma Independence Army

CSC Citizenship Scrutiny Card

CSO Civil Society Organisation

HRW Human Rights Watch

ICG International Crisis Group

IDP Internally displaced persons

ISCI International State Crime Initiative

MaBaTha The Association for the Protection for Race and Religion

MaHaNa State Sangha Maha Nayaka Committee

MPF Myanmar Police Force

MSF Médecins Sans Frontières

NaSaKa Border Security Force

NLD National League for Democracy

NRC National Registration Card

OIC Organisation of Islamic Cooperation

RPF Rohingya Patriotic Front

SLORC State Law and Order Restoration Council

SPDC State Peace and Development Council

UN United Nations

USDA Union Solidarity and Development Association

USDP Union Solidarity and Development Party

RNDP Rakhine Nationalities Development Party

RSO Rohingya Solidarity Organisation

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Glossary

Term in Text Burmese English

Ashin အရွင္ The venerable. Honorific used before the

name of a Buddhist monk.

Dhamma ဓမၼ The teachings of the Buddha

Lon Htein လံုထိန္း Riot police. Abbreviation of Lônchônhmu

Teinthein Tat Phwè, translated as “security

preservation battalion” by Selth.1

Lumyo လူမ်ိဳး Literally “person-type”. Often translated as

ethnicity or race but also includes religious

identities. Reflects this thesis’ use of the term

“communal”.

Lusein လူစိမ္း Stranger or outsider

Hluttaw လႊတ္ေတာ္ Parliament

Kula ကုလား A term for Muslims or others of South Asian

descent which is often considered to be

derogatory

Moulvi ေမာ္လဝီ Islamic scholar

Pongyi ဘုန္းၾကီး Buddhist monk

Sangha သံဃ The Buddhist monastic community. The term

may also be used to refer to the Buddhist

religious community more widely.

Sasana သာသနာ The Buddhist religion, but also may include

the community of Buddhists and the teachings

of the Buddha.

Sayadaw ဆရာေတာ္ Buddhist abbot

1 Selth, Andrew, “Myanmar’s Police Forces: Coercion, Continuity and Change,” Contemporary Southeast Asia 34, no. 1 (2012): 74.

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Swan Arr Shin စြမ္းအားရွင္ “Masters of Force”. A government-recruited

civilian militia group.

Taing-yintha တုိင္းရင္းသား “National races”

Tatmadaw တပ္မေတာ္ Myanmar armed forces

Weikza ဝိဇၨာ A form of Theravada Buddhism in Myanmar

Yoma ရုိးမ Mountain range

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TableofContents

Abstract ..................................................................................................................................... i

Acknowledgements.................................................................................................................. iii

List of Maps and Figures............................................................................................................ v

List of Tables ............................................................................................................................ vi

List of Acronyms ..................................................................................................................... vii

Glossary ................................................................................................................................. viii

Table of Contents ...................................................................................................................... x

Chapter 1: Introduction............................................................................................................. 1

1.1 A Narrative of Communal Violence in Myanmar 2012-2014 ............................................. 5

1.2 Communalism, Violence and Democratic Transition ...................................................... 14

1.2.1 Historical Explanations ............................................................................................ 17

1.2.2 Institutionalist Explanations .................................................................................... 20

1.2.3 Instrumentalist Explanations................................................................................... 25

1.3 Methodology ................................................................................................................. 30

1.4 Structure and Arguments .............................................................................................. 40

1.5 Language and Terminology ............................................................................................ 44

Chapter 2: Analytical Framework ............................................................................................ 45

2.1 Communal Identity ........................................................................................................ 46

2.2 “Communal” Conflict, “Communal” Violence ................................................................. 47

2.2.1 Primordialist Approaches ........................................................................................ 49

2.2.2 Instrumentalist Approaches .................................................................................... 51

2.2.3 Constructivist Approaches ...................................................................................... 52

2.3 Democracy and Democratic Transition .......................................................................... 56

2.3.1 Substantive Definitions ........................................................................................... 57

2.3.2 Procedural Definitions ............................................................................................ 58

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2.4 Democratic Transition................................................................................................... 65

2.5 Contentious Episodes, Processes and Mechanisms ....................................................... 66

2.5.1 Changing Political Opportunity Structures .............................................................. 69

2.5.2 Identity Formation ................................................................................................. 71

2.5.3 Boundary Activation............................................................................................... 73

2.5.4 Polarisation ............................................................................................................ 78

2.5.5 Actor Constitution .................................................................................................. 78

2.5.6 Interpretation ........................................................................................................ 81

2.5.7 Insecurity ............................................................................................................... 84

2.6 Conclusion .................................................................................................................... 86

Chapter 3: Changing Political Opportunity Structures ............................................................. 88

3.1 Political Change in Myanmar......................................................................................... 89

3.2 A Gradual, or Sequenced, Transition? ........................................................................... 92

3.3 Elites............................................................................................................................. 95

3.4 Rule of Law ................................................................................................................... 97

3.5 Unelected Influence and Security Forces Reform ........................................................ 100

3.6 Expanded Civil Liberties .............................................................................................. 104

3.7 Elections ..................................................................................................................... 106

3.8 Decentralisation ......................................................................................................... 111

3.9 Conclusion .................................................................................................................. 113

Chapter 4: Identity Formation: Exclusive Political Community .............................................. 115

4.1 Identity and the State Historically ............................................................................... 116

4.2 The Colonial Period ..................................................................................................... 122

4.3 The Parliamentary Period and Military Rule ................................................................ 128

4.3.1 Insurgency ........................................................................................................... 131

4.3.2 Muslims under Military Rule ................................................................................ 134

4.4 Bamar-Kula? ............................................................................................................... 141

4.5 Rohingya Identity ........................................................................................................ 143

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4.6 Contemporary Rakhine Grievances .............................................................................. 146

4.6.1 Muslim Threat ...................................................................................................... 148

4.6.2 Myanmar Threat ................................................................................................... 153

4.7 Conclusion................................................................................................................... 157

Chapter 5: Border Activation and Polarisation: Reconstituting the Boundaries ...................... 159

5.1 Boundary Activation and Polarisation in Rakhine State: The Kaman ............................. 160

5.2 A Rohingya Threat and a Muslim Threat ...................................................................... 164

5.3 Conclusion................................................................................................................... 171

Chapter 6: Actor Constitution and Brokerage: Organising Nationalism .................................. 174

6.1 Actor Constitution in Rakhine State ............................................................................. 176

6.1.1 Political Parties ..................................................................................................... 176

6.1.2 Sangha.................................................................................................................. 179

6.2 Buddhist Nationalism in Myanmar: Local Origins of the 969 Movement ...................... 181

6.2.1 Scale Shift ............................................................................................................. 185

6.2.2 Institutionalisation of Buddhist Nationalism: MaBaTha ......................................... 187

6.3 From Patience to Patronage: USDP-MaBaTha Brokerage ............................................. 190

6.3.1 Seeking Support in the Sangha .............................................................................. 195

6.3.2 The USDP and the Construction of a Muslim Threat .............................................. 199

6.4 The Rakhine Nexus ...................................................................................................... 201

6.5 Conclusion................................................................................................................... 204

Chapter 7: Interpretation: Blame Displacement and Replication ........................................... 207

7.1 Communal Explanations .............................................................................................. 209

7.2 Economic Explanations ................................................................................................ 214

7.3 Political Explanations ................................................................................................... 217

7.4 State as Discriminatory ................................................................................................ 221

7.5 The State, “Outsiders”, and the Rule of Law ................................................................ 223

7.6 Replicating Narratives and Power Structures ............................................................... 227

7.7 Implications for Aung San Suu Kyi and the NLD ............................................................ 230

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7.8 Conclusion .................................................................................................................. 233

Chapter 8: Insecurity: Fear and Perpetration of Violence ...................................................... 236

8.1 Rumours, Tensions and Defence ................................................................................. 238

8.2 Violence in Sittwe ....................................................................................................... 240

8.3 Response of Security Forces ........................................................................................ 244

8.4 Security Solutions ....................................................................................................... 248

8.5 Dhamma, and its Defence ........................................................................................... 251

8.6 Conclusion .................................................................................................................. 254

Chapter 9: Conclusion .......................................................................................................... 256

Reference List: ..................................................................................................................... 266

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Chapter1:

Introduction

Unwittingly, it seems, in relaxing decades of tight army control over the

country, Mr Thein Sein and his reforming ministers have breathed life into some

of the uglier forces in Myanmar society that authoritarian rule kept suppressed,

notably sectarian violence.

- The Economist, 30 March, 20131

[The Cold War's end] lifted the lid from a cauldron of long-simmering

hatreds. Now, the entire global terrain is bloody with such conflicts… rooted in

the economic dislocations that are inherent in the change from communist to

market economics, rooted in religious and ethnic battles long covered over by

authoritarian regimes now gone

- US President Bill Clinton, 19942

In 2010 Myanmar entered a period of transition away from authoritarian rule and

towards a more democratic system. While the elections in November of that year were

imperfect, the military-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) which

took power in early 2011 showed an earnest commitment to reform. The USDP

established political freedoms, openness and transparency not experienced in Myanmar

since the military took power in a 1962 coup. In April 2012, by-elections were held and

the main political opposition – Aung San Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy (NLD)

1 The Economist, “When the Lid Blows Off: Communal Violence in Myanmar,” The Economist, 30 March 2013, http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21574506-sectarian-violence-was-not-supposed-be-part-myanmars-bright-new-direction-when-lid-blows. 2 Ann Devroy, “President Cautions Congress on 'Simplistic Ideas' in Foreign Policy,” The Washington Post, 26 May 1994, https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1994/05/26/president-cautions-congress-on-simplistic-ideas-in-foreign-policy/3772970b-4c6f-45ed-b22b-0174b6d4c7b8/?utm_term=.1bb3f41b9346.

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– won 43 of 44 contested seats. While this accounted for only five per cent of seats in

the parliament, it indicated that substantial change was underway.

This was also the year in which the challenges of democratic transition were to become

glaringly obvious. Questions of the boundaries of the nation were violently opened, as

unresolved questions of belonging and place in the national community threatened

lives, and the stability and success of transition. This was communal violence, for the

most part perpetrated by members of the Buddhist majority against Muslim

communities. Across the country, neighbours turned on each other. Hundreds were

killed and hundreds of thousands displaced.

In a period of apparently progressive democratic transition, how can we explain the

emergence of such brutality? What led political and religious leaders to incite hatred

and violence against communities who considered themselves part of the same nation?

What compels individuals to take up weapons against their neighbours? And why was

this violence directed against Muslim communities in particular? And why now?

It is commonly heard that democratic transition “lifts the lid” on communal violence. In

the context of Myanmar, analysts have stipulated that “democracy unleashed deep-

seated grievances that had been restrained by the iron hand of military rule”,3 while

journalists have written that “hostility towards Muslims bubbled under the surface

during Burma’s long years of military rule”, overflowing only with the “loosening of the

regime’s grip” on civil and political freedoms.4 The same “boiling pot” or “iron hand”

analogies are also used to explain other cases of violence during political change, notably

by US President Bill Clinton in the 1994 quote prefacing this chapter.

3 Kang Siew Kheng, “Commentary: Megaphone Outrage Does Nothing for Myanmar and the Rohingya,” Channel News Asia, 9 October 2017, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/commentary/commentary-global-outrage-myanmar-rohingya-refugees-megaphone-9291850. 4 Rosalind Russell, Burma's Spring: Real Lives in Turbulent Times (Bangkok: River Books, 2015), 172, 75. Similar arguments are also made elsewhere. See, for example; Charlie Campbell, “Arakan Strife Could Spread across Burma: Icg,” The Irrawaddy, 13 November 2012, https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/arakan-strife-could-spread-across-burma-icg.html.

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While quantitative studies do show a correlation between violence and democratic

transition, particularly in states with heterogeneous populations,5 the conjectures

above assume that there is something inherent about diversity which produces tensions

and even violence. This reflects a primordial perspective, one which assumes communal

identities are ancient, irrational and unchanging.6 Violence is seen as a product of

inconsistencies between borders of communal groups and modern states. Studies also

show, however, that there is no correlation between diverse societies and violence,7 and

many heterogeneous states transitioning towards democracy do not suffer communal

violence. While such analogies may be used by journalists and policy-makers as short-

hand for more complex phenomenon, these are dangerous suggestions, which endorse

authoritarianism for its peacekeeping capacity. This perspective also sees tensions

between communities as existing prior to democratic transition, eschewing the

possibility that they are produced or exacerbated by its very processes. It gives little

space to agency or considerations of other factors or particular conditions present at

the time of transition.

Any instance of communal violence is a diverse phenomenon, featuring numerous

actors playing different roles in its production for various reasons. In the context of

democratic transition and communal violence in Myanmar, many of the actors remain

unconnected in the literature, however, and there remains little known about why non-

elites perpetrate violence despite the apparent high risks and few benefits. Explanations

need to show why it was Muslim communities in particular who were targeted in the

violence, and why the violence occurred when it did. Myanmar is a diverse and

historically divided polity, with many religious and ethnic minority communities which

have historically faced some level of exclusion and oppression from the Bamar

dominated centre. While Myanmar does has a history of anti-Muslim violence under

military rule, the violence of 2012 and onwards was of a different intensity, scale, type

and appeared to be driven by new concerns and new actors. Why was it a period of

5 Demet Yalcin Mousseau, “Democratizing with Ethnic Divisions: A Source of Conflict?,” Journal of Peace Research 38, no. 5 (2001): 561; Håvard Hegre et al., “Towards a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change and Civil War, 1816- 1992,” American Political Science Review 95, no. 1 (2001): 34. 6 Walter Connor, Ethnonationalism: The Quest for Understanding (Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1994), 204. 7 Mousseau, “Democratizing with Ethnic Divisions: A Source of Conflict?,” 549, 59.

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democratic transition which provided the context for this? The existing literature has

largely resisted answering these questions.

With a lens on Myanmar’s democratic transition from 2010 and onwards, and a

particular focus on communal violence between the years of 2012 and 2014, this thesis

seeks to identity conditions and mechanisms which contribute to communal violence

during democratic transition. This thesis will show that democratic transition begs

questions of inclusion, exclusion and place in the national political community. These

questions need to be settled for the purposes of elections, federal systems, constitutions

and other democratic political institutions. There is no democratic reasoning, however,

as to where the boundaries of the political community should be set. These boundaries

are instead set by nationalism, which will inevitably arise to fill the gap that democratic

transition has opened.

The historical institutionalist argument made in this thesis contends that three factors

in particular contributed towards the emergence of communal violence during

democratic transition in Myanmar; an exclusively defined political community at the

time of transition, the promotion of exclusionary forms of national or communal identity

by elites during transition, and the availability of non-elites willing to perpetrate

violence. This thesis also shows that communal violence during democratic transition

was quickly politicised and interacted with democratic transition. Communal violence

interacted with the broader processes of political reform and nation-building. The ways

in which religious and political elites encountered and spoke about the violence will be

shown to have been crucial to its replication. To reach these ends, this thesis uses a

contentious politics framework – as outlined by authors such as McAdam, Tarrow and

Tilly – to present a dynamic schema of actors, opportunities and mechanisms.8 A

contentious politics framework allows the researcher to view such complex interactions

within episodes of contention, in this case communal violence during democratic

transition.

8 The two main texts defining the contentious politics literature are; Doug McAdam, Sidney Tarrow, and Charles Tilly, Dynamics of Contention (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2001); Charles Tilly and Sidney Tarrow, Contentious Politics (Colorado: Paradigm Publishers, 2007).

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1.1ANarrativeofCommunalViolenceinMyanmar2012-2014

This section presents a narrative of communal violence in Myanmar between 2012 and

2014. There is a focus on the five case studies that this thesis has particularly

investigated; Sittwe in June 2012, Meiktila in March 2013, Lashio in May 2013, Thandwe

in October 2013 and Mandalay in July 2014. There are many narratives of the violence

during this period, none of them free from bias.9 The problems that this presents not

only for an academic wishing to study the violence but also for those seeking resolutions

to the conflict is a theme throughout this thesis. Here, an attempt is made to present a

narrative of the violence which presents most vital facts of the cases, while recognising

that this is just one of many possible narratives.

The first major instance of communal violence in this period was in Rakhine State,

western Myanmar, in June 2012 – just over one month after those historic by-elections.

A Buddhist woman in Kyauk Ni Maw village, Ramree Township had been raped and

murdered by three Muslim men on 28 May. Leaflets were subsequently distributed

amongst Buddhist communities warning against sexual assault from Muslims, and

encouraging retribution.10 This came on 3 June in Toungup town, in the form of a mob

which attacked and killed 10 Muslims from central Myanmar. Violence then occurred in

the northern Rakhine State town of Maungdaw, where Muslim communities who

identify as Rohingya, but are largely known as Bengali in Myanmar, took to the streets

after Friday prayers on 8 June. Their targets were, in turn, communities who identified

as Rakhine. They destroyed property and killed an unknown number of people.11

9 This has been previously noted by Brass in the context of India, and Cheesman in the context of Myanmar. Paul R. Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence in Contemporary India (Seattle & London: University of Washington Press, 2003), 20; Theft of an Idol: Text and Context in the Representation of Collective Violence (Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1997), 6; Nick Cheesman, “Introduction: Interpreting Communal Violence in Myanmar,” Journal of Contemporary Asia 47, no. 3 (2017): 343. 10 Aung Hla Tun, “Myanmar Assigns Top Cop, Minister to Probe Muslim Deaths,” Reuters, 7 June 2012, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/07/us-myanmar-violence-idUSBRE8560LH20120607. 11 HRW, ““The Government Could Have Stopped This”: Sectarian Violence and Ensuing Abuses in Burma's Arakan State,” (Washington, DC: Human Rights Watch, 2012), 1, https://www.hrw.org/report/2012/07/31/government-could-have-stopped/sectarian-violence-and-ensuing-abuses-burmas-arakan.

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Days later, communal violence took over the Rakhine State capital Sittwe, its

surrounding villages, and the nearby Maungdaw, Buthidaung, Rathedaung, Kyauktaw,

Pauktaw, Sittwe, Mrauk-U, Kyaukpyu and Ramree townships. The last incident in this

wave of violence occurred on 23 June.12 The violence was for the most part between

Rakhine communities and Muslim communities, although other minority communities

were also affected. The victims of the violence were overwhelmingly Rohingya and some

70,000 people were displaced, most of them from Sittwe Township.13 Naypyidaw

announced that several thousand residential buildings, 17 mosques, 15 monasteries and

three schools had been destroyed.14 Naypyidaw later stated, on 21 August, that 88

people had been killed – 31 Rakhine and 57 “Muslim Bengalis”.15 While displaced

Rakhine have been resettled and have been allowed to engage in economic, social and

political life, those from Muslim communities have been confined to internally displaced

persons (IDP) camps or to their villages with severe restrictions on their movement. This

remains the case at the time of writing – over five years later.

Following the violence of June 2012, a campaign by elements of the local and national

sangha16 intensified across Rakhine State, and Rakhine politicians and civil society

groups encouraged anti-Muslim sentiment and violence. In this context of deepening

polarisation, violence began again. There was greater evidence that this second wave of

violence in Rakhine State was organised and planned. On 22 October, across Minbya,

Myebon, Mrauk-U, Pauktaw, Kyaukpyu, Ramree, Kyauktaw, Rathedaung and Thandwe

townships, “mobs of thousands of Arakanese with weapons descended on Muslim

12 The Republic of the Union of Myanmar, “Final Report of Inquiry Commission on Sectarian Violence in Rakhine State,” (Inquiry Commission on Sectarian Violence in Rakhine State, 8 July, 2013), 12, http://www.burmalibrary.org/docs15/Rakhine_Commission_Report-en-red.pdf. 13 UNOCHA, “Myanmar: Displacement in Rakhine State Situation Report No. 5,” (United Nations Office of the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, 19 July, 2012), 1, http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/OCHA%20Situation%20Report%205_Rakhine_FINAL.pdf. 14 Ministry of Foreign Affairs, “Press Release on Situation in Rakhine State,” news release, 30 July, 2012, http://www.myanmargeneva.org/pressrelease/rakhine%20state.pdf. 15 “Press Release Regarding the Recent Incidents in Rakhine State of Myanmar,” news release, 21 August, 2012, http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/Press_Release_Rakhine_State_Affairs_Webversion%2821-08-12%29.pdf. 16 Sangha here is used in this thesis refer to the Buddhist monastic community. The term may also be used to refer to the Buddhist religious community of leaders and followers more widely.

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communities”.17 The violence sometimes began at the same time of day, despite the

considerable distance between townships, and continued for over a week.18 The

International Crisis Group (ICG) called the violence “revenge attacks”.19

In what was perhaps the worst incident, up to 70 Rohingya men, women and children

were massacred in Yon Thei village in Mrauk-U Township on 23 October. Despite earlier

warning of the approaching incident, only a small number of Lon Htein riot police had

been deployed to the village. As Rakhine mobs approached, the Rohingya villagers were

disarmed by Lon Htein, who subsequently failed to intervene when the Rakhine attacked

at approximately 6.30am. Some victims allege that Lon Htein also participated in the

attack. Although it appears that more than 1,000 people were involved in the attack,

only six were arrested.20

There were reports in both waves of violence that Rakhine politicians and monks incited

attacks, and that security forces were complicit in the violence against Muslims.21 The

government claimed that 211 people had died in the violence since June – 59 Rakhine

and 152 Rohingya.22 These figures are contested, however, and one political party

representing Rohingya communities reported that up to 500 people were killed in the

October violence alone.23 The total number of displaced rose to 140,000.

Anti-Muslim violence occurred outside of Rakhine State earlier than is often recognised.

On the other side of the country, in Myanmar’s Kayin (formerly Karen) State, unknown

assailants attacked two mosques with grenades on 29 October 2012. No injuries were

17 HRW, ““All You Can Do Is Pray”: Crimes against Humanity and Ethnic Cleansing of Rohingya Muslims in Burma's Arakan State,” (Washington, DC: Human Rights Watch, 2013), 47-48, https://www.hrw.org/report/2013/04/22/all-you-can-do-pray/crimes-against-humanity-and-ethnic-cleansing-rohingya-muslims. 18 Ibid., 48. 19 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition: Violence against Muslims in Myanmar,” (Brussels, Belguim: International Crisis Group, 1 October, 2013), 7, https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/myanmar/dark-side-transition-violence-against-muslims-myanmar. 20 HRW, ““All You Can Do Is Pray”,” 52. 21 Ibid., 4. 22 Ibid., 56. 23 Aye Nai, “Group Says Death Toll in Arakan Higher Than Gov’t Figures,” Democratic Voice of Burma, 13 November 2012, http://www.dvb.no/news/group-says-death-toll-in-arakan-higher-than-gov%E2%80%99t-figures/24723. The Inquiry Commission also documents that local communities reported 347 deaths in 2012. The Republic of the Union of Myanmar, “Final Report,” 22.

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reported and there had been no similar attacks on this mosque in the past.24 Less than

two weeks earlier, a Sayadaw25 in the Kayin State capital of Hpa-an distributed

pamphlets encouraging Buddhists to avoid economic and marital contact with

Muslims,26 part of an emerging pattern.

Map 1.1: Myanmar in the Region: Five Case Studies

24 Lawi Weng, “Two Mosques Attacked in Karen State,” The Irrawaddy, 29 October 2012, http://www.irrawaddy.org/burma/two-mosques-attacked-in-karen-state.html. 25 A Sayadaw is the head monk at a Buddhist monastery. 26 Francis Wade, “Arakan, Displaced,” The Revealer, 17 December 2012, http://therevealer.org/archives/16138.

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On Wednesday 20 March 2013, violence against Muslims occurred in the town of

Meiktila, central Myanmar. A key trading town of approximately 110,000 people,

Meiktila had a substantial Muslim minority. The violence began following an argument

between a Buddhist customer and staff at a Muslim-owned gold shop in which the

customer was badly assaulted.27 An angry crowd assembled at the store before

ransacking and destroying it. The crowd then turned to Muslims and Muslim-owned

properties generally.28 The killing of an uninvolved Buddhist monk by a group of Muslims

exacerbated the situation,29 and the violence continued for days. At least 20 students

and several teachers at an Islamic school were massacred,30 and two Muslim

neighbourhoods were destroyed. The violence in Meiktila killed 44 people and displaced

12,846 people, according to the government.31 Observers say the death toll may have

been higher.32 Satellite analysis from Human Rights Watch (HRW) indicated that

approximately 828 buildings, most residential, were destroyed.33 In the aftermath of the

violence, the numerals “969” were found written on the remains of Muslim-owned

properties – the name of a growing nationalist movement linked to anti-Muslim activity.

Communal violence was subsequently reported in 14 towns and villages in central

Myanmar34 and in Bago Region where mosques and Muslim-owned property were

destroyed.35 The violence seemed to follow a pattern here, affecting 11 towns on the

road towards Yangon in approximately a week, one after another.36 On 25 March,

27 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition,” 12. 28 Ibid. 29 PHR, “Massacre in Central Burma: Muslim Students Terrorized and Killed in Meiktila,” (Washington, DC: Physicians for Human Rights, 2013), 14, http://physiciansforhumanrights.org/library/reports/meiktila-report-may-2013.html. 30 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition,” 12. 31 PHR, “Massacre in Central Burma,” 4. 32 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition,” 12; PHR, “Massacre in Central Burma,” 4. 33 HRW, “Burma: Satellite Images Detail Destruction in Meiktila,” Human Rights Watch, 1 April 2013, https://www.hrw.org/news/2013/04/01/burma-satellite-images-detail-destruction-meiktila. 34 Jason Szep, “Special Report: Buddhist Monks Incite Muslim Killings in Myanmar,” Reuters, 8 April 2013, http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/08/us-myanmar-violence-specialreport-idUSBRE9370AP20130408. 35 ALTSEAN Burma, “Anti-Muslim Violence in Central Burma,” (The Alternative ASEAN Network on Burma, 17 April, 2013), 3, http://www.altsean.org/Reports/Anti-Muslimviolence.php. 36 Francis Wade, Myanmar's Enemy Within: Buddhist Violence and the Making of a Muslim “Other” (Zed Books: London, 2017), 155.

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mosques and houses were attacked in Okkan Township, approximately 200 kilometres

north of Yangon.37

On 28 May 2013, communal violence reached the town of Lashio, a key trade hub on

the road from Mandalay to the Chinese border in Shan State, north-eastern Myanmar.

The violence in Lashio began after a Muslim man, described as having a mental illness,

left a Buddhist woman with serious burns after pouring petrol over and setting her alight

at a road-side petrol stand.38 The man was arrested before a crowd surrounded the

police station and demanded the man be handed over, which police refused.39

Subsequently, a mob of 200-300 people looted, damaged and destroyed Muslim homes

and shops for two days. One person was killed and several others, including a journalist,

severely injured.40 A mosque and Islamic school were also set alight.41 Just days before

the violence in Lashio, Ashin Wirathu – a leading Buddhist nationalist monk known for

anti-Muslim vitriol – had delivered a sermon in a town approximately 50 kilometres from

Lashio.42 As in Rakhine State, security forces failed to control the violence in both

Meiktila and Lashio.43

In late June and early July 2013, communal violence broke out in the small coastal town

of Thandwe in southern Rakhine State. Two Muslim men were alleged to have raped a

Rakhine woman. As word of the allegation spread through Thandwe, a group of some

50 people destroyed properties belonging mostly to Kaman – another predominantly

Muslim community – with three reported injured.44 Earlier the same week, Buddhist

37 The Economist, “When the Lid Blows Off.” 38 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition,” 14. 39 Thomas Fuller, “Myanmar Struggles to Put Down Buddhist Attack on Muslims,” The New York Times, 29 May 2013, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/30/world/asia/religious-violence-myanmar.html. 40 Former Lashio-Based Journalist, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 3 August, 2016. 41 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition,” 14. 42 Sanay Lin, “Head to Head with a Burmese Hardliner,” The Irrawaddy, 17 June 2013, http://www.irrawaddy.org/interview/head-to-head-with-a-burmese-hardliner.html. 43 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition,” 13; Fuller, “Myanmar Struggles.”; APHR, “The Rohingya Crisis and the Risk of Atrocities in Myanmar: An Asean Challenge and Call to Action,” (ASEAN Parliamentarians for Human Rights, 22 April, 2015), 8, http://www.aseanmp.org/?p=3269; Tomás Ojea Quintana, “Statement by Tomás Ojea Quintana: Special Rapporteur on the Sitution of Human Rights in Myanmar,” (68th Session of the General Assembly: United Nations General Assembly, 24 October, 2013), 4, https://papersmart.unmeetings.org/media2/703350/statement-by-tomas-ojea-quintana-item-69c.pdf. 44 PHR, “Patterns of Anti-Muslim Violence in Burma: A Call for Accountability and Prevention,” (Physicians for Human Rights, 2013), 16, http://themimu.info/sites/themimu.info/files/assessment_file_attachments/Patterns_of_Anti-Muslim_Violence_in_Burma_-_Physicians_for_Human_Rights_2013.pdf.

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monks had met in Yangon to form the Association for the Protection for Race and

Religion (commonly known by its Myanmar acronym MaBaTha), which would quickly

become the predominant Buddhist nationalist organisation in the country.

In late September and early October violence again occurred in Thandwe. A motorcycle

taxi flying a Buddhist Sasana45 flag parked outside a Muslim-owned store, and the store

owner alleged he had blocked access for customer. An argument began and the driver

alleged the shop owner swore at the flag, while other rumours spread that he had

broken the flag.46 This was the apparent spark for communal violence in which seven

people were killed.47 The violence displaced another 480 people from seven villages,

while 110 houses and two mosques were destroyed.48 Of the destroyed houses, 14

belonged to Rakhine, while the rest were Kaman-owned.49 A group of monks from the

nationalistic 969 movement had visited Thandwe before the violence. Again, witnesses

and victims of the violence reported that security forces were unwilling or unable to

control the perpetrators.50

On 1 July 2014, communal violence occurred in Mandalay, Myanmar’s second-largest

city. At the behest of a business rival, two Muslim brothers were accused of rape by a

Buddhist woman. The allegation quickly spread on social media. On 30 June Ashin

Wirathu posted about the incident to Facebook, including the location of the brothers’

business, and encouraged people “to hold the perpetrators accountable”.51 The next

evening, a group of men armed with sticks and knives arrived in a predominantly Muslim

45 The Sasana can be understood as the Buddhist religion generally, but also may include the community of Buddhists and the teachings of the Buddha. 46 Thandwe-Based Lawyer, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016. 47 Irrawaddy, “Thandwe Death Toll Rises to 7 with Discovery of Two More Bodies,” The Irrawaddy, 11 October 2013, http://www.irrawaddy.com/latest-news/thandwe-death-toll-rises-7-discovery-two-bodies.html. 48 UNOCHA, “Report on Findings and Recommendations by Inter-Agency Mission to Thandwe Township in Rakhine State,” (United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, 2013), 3, http://www.themimu.info/sites/themimu.info/files/documents/Report_Rakhine_Recommendations_of_IA_to_Thandwe_OCHA_4-6Oct2013.pdf. 49 Ibid., 5. 50 Thandwe-Based Lawyer, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016; Kaman Community Leader and Moulvi, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 May, 2016; Rakhine Muslim Mosque Leader, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 May, 2016. 51 Justice Trust, “Hidden Hands Behind Communal Violence in Myanmar: Case Study of the Mandalay Riots,” (New York: Justice Trust, 2015), 20, http://www.burmalibrary.org/docs21/Justice_Trust-2015-03-Hidden_Hands-en-to-rev1-red.pdf.

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neighbourhood, where they damaged property, shops and mosques, and set several

residences alight.52 It was on the second night of violence that one Muslim man and one

Buddhist man were killed. Again, the police were unable to control the situation. It was

later established that the rape allegation was fabricated.

The violence failed to find support in Mandalay, however. Perpetrators visited two large

monasteries after dark in an attempt to recruit monks, but were turned away. Religious

leaders from interfaith networks responded by alerting their networks and establishing

a presence in the city, limiting the damage.53 Tensions were still high on 4 July, when the

funeral for the Buddhist victim turned violent. Some attendees carried weapons, Muslim

gravestones were destroyed, and an arson attempt was made on the cemetery’s

mosque.54

Location

(City/Town)

Urban Population

Sittwe 147,899

Thandwe 14,327

Mandalay 1,225,546

Lashio 174,335

Meiktila 111,522

Table 1.1: Urban Populations in the Five Case Studies55

52 Ibid., 22. 53 Ibid., 3; Mandalay-Based Sayadaw, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 11 July, 2016; Muslim Religious Leader, interview, Mandalay Township, Myanmar, 11 July, 2016. 54 Tin Aung Khine and Yadanar Oo, “Sixteen Arrested in Wake of Fresh Myanmar Violence,” Radio Free Asia, 7 July 2014, http://www.rfa.org/english/news/myanmar/arrests-07072014151556.html/. 55 Figures from 2014 Census. These figures were taken in 2014 and as such do not precisely represent the population of the locations at the time of violence. This figure given for Sittwe does not include several tens of thousands of people displaced from that town in the June 2012 violence. Furthermore, an estimated 1,090,000 Rohingya people were controversially not enumerated by the census due to their identity. Department of Population, “The 2014 Myanmar Population and Housing Census: The Union Report Census Report Volume 2,” (The Republic of the Union of Myanmar, May, 2015), http://themimu.info/sites/themimu.info/files/documents/Census_Union_Report_Eng_2015.pdf.

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State/Region Total

Population

Buddhist

(%)

Christian

(%)

Islam

(%)

Other (%)56

Myanmar 50,279,900 89.8 6.3 2.3 1.6

Myanmar57 51,486,253 87.9 6.2 4.3 1.6

Kachin State 1,642,841 64.0 33.8 1.6 0.6

Kayah State 1,504,326 84.5 9.5 4.6 1.4

Chin State 478,801 13.0 85.4 0.1 1.5

Sagaing Region 5,325,347 92.2 6.5 1.1 0.2

Tanintharyi

Region

1,408,401 87.5 7.2 5.1 0.2

Bago Region 4,867,373 93.5 2.9 1.2 2.4

Magwe Region 3,917,055 98.8 0.7 0.3 0.2

Mandalay Region 6,165,723 95.7 1.1 3.0 0.2

Mon State 2,054,393 92.6 0.5 5.8 1.1

Rakhine State 2,098,807 96.2 1.8 1.4 0.6

Rakhine State58 3,188,807 63.3 1.2 35.1 0.4

Yangon Region 7,360,703 91.0 3.2 4.7 1.1

Shan State 5,824,432 81.7 9.8 1.0 7.5

Ayeyawady

Region

6,184,829 92.1 6.3 1.4 0.2

Nay Pyi Daw

Union Territory

1,160,242 96.8 1.1 2.1 0

Table 1.2: Population by Religion in States and Regions59

56 “Other” includes the census categories of Hindu, Animist, Other Religion and No Religion. 57 Includes non-enumerated population 58 Includes non-enumerated population 59 Figures from 2014 census, and suffer the same shortcoming as outlined above. Information on religion is not available at the township level. It is assumed both by the census and this thesis that the non-enumerated population in Rakhine State identity as Muslim. A total of 116,353 people were also non-enumerated in Kachin and Kayin States, but no indication is given as to their religion. Department of Population, “The 2014 Myanmar Population and Housing Census: The Union Report: Relgion Census Report Volume 2-C,” (The Republic of the Union of Myanmar, June, 2016),

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1.2Communalism,ViolenceandDemocraticTransition

In Myanmar the term lumyo (literally “person-type”) is commonly used to refer to both

ethnic and religious identities, although it is commonly translated into English simply as

“ethnicity”. In reflection of how the term is used in Myanmar as well as an analytical

openness to identity, this thesis uses a broad definition of “communal” identity.

Communal identity may include ethnic, religious, linguistic or locational identities. The

definition of communal identity used in this thesis reflects that of Smith, who defines an

ethnic group or ethnie as having six dimensions: a collective name, a common myth of

descent, a shared history, a distinctive shared culture, an association with a specific

territory, and a sense of solidarity.60 A central part of this definition is a “distinctive

consciousness”, which should be shared by both those within and without an identity

group.61 The literature often uses the terms “communal”, “ethnic” and “identity” to

refer to the same concepts. While an effort is made to use the term communal

consistently in this thesis, the original terms will be used in citations or where deemed

necessary by context.

Conflict is defined as a “situation in which two or more actors pursue incompatible, yet

from their individual perspectives entirely just, goals”.62 Conflict is inevitable in any

political system with some openness and is not necessarily problematic. Communal

conflict is one manifestation of this, during which the goals of at least one party are

defined exclusively in terms of communal identity. This thesis is concerned with the

violent expression of such conflict. The form of communal violence that this thesis is

concerned with has elsewhere been called “riots” – “violence perpetrated by a group on

another group”.63 In this case, we are concerned with groups who frame their interests

in communal terms. Importantly, to say that the violence was “communal” does not

mean that all groups party to the violence suffer to the same extent or carry equal

http://themimu.info/sites/themimu.info/files/documents/Report_Religion_-_Census_Report_V2-C_DOP_Jul2016_ENG.pdf. 60 Anthony D Smith, The Ethnic Origins of Nations (Oxford and New York: Basil Blackwell Ltd, 1987), 22-31. 61 As highlighted by Snyder; Jack Snyder, From Voting to Violence: Democratization and Nationalist Conflict (New York: W.W. Norton and Company, New York, 2000), 23. 62 K Cordell and S Wolff, Ethnic Conflict (Cambridge, United Kingdom: Polity Press, 2009), 4-5. 63 Ashutosh Varshney, Mohammad Zulfan Tadjoeddin, and Rizal Pangabean, “Patterns of Collective Violence in Indonesia,” in Collective Violence in Indonesia, ed. Ashutosh Varshney (Boulder, London: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2010), 21.

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responsibility.64 Furthermore, calling the violence “communal” does not remove the

state from the analysis, as will be shown throughout this thesis. Fundamentally different

from the communal violence under consideration in this thesis are insurgency and

rebellion, forms of violence which challenge the sovereignty of the state. Although such

violence may be mobilised along communal lines, it is not included in this definition of

communal violence, and is beyond the scope of this thesis.

Without assuming that democracy will be the end point of any transition away from

authoritarian rule, this study requires a definition of democracy in order to analyse the

political reforms underway during this period. This thesis uses a procedural definition of

liberal democracy. This definition, as given by Diamond, has four key conditions: free

and fair regular elections; substantial individual and groups freedoms and rights

protections; no reserved power for unelected officials; and measures to ensure the rule

of law is protected.65 The definition of democratic transition most useful to this study is

O’Donnell and Schmitter’s. They define democratic transition as the “processes whereby

the rules and procedures of citizenship are either applied to political institutions

previously governed by other principles”; “expanded to include persons not previously

enjoying such rights and obligations”; “or extended to cover issues and institutions not

previously subject to citizen participation”.66 The rules and procedures referred to by

O’Donnell and Schmitter are taken to be those of Diamond’s liberal democracy.

Questions of why communal violence occurred during this period of democratic

transition in Myanmar have been given some attention. Historical explanations have

stressed long-term division between communities and its exacerbation by an oppressive

state.67 These explanations have tended to view the violence in large part as a

continuation of its expression under military rule. Cheesman has also proposed the

violence be understood as a product of longer-term factors, particularly as “an assertion

64 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 10; Cheesman, “Introduction: Interpreting Communal Violence in Myanmar,” 339. 65 Larry J. Diamond, Developing Democracy: Towards Consolidation (Baltimore and London: The John Hopkins University Press, 1999), 10-11. 66 G O'Donnell and PG Schmitter, Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions About Uncertain Democracies (Baltimore and London: The John Hopkins University Press, 1986), 8. 67 Ardeth Maung Thawngmung, “The Politics of Indigeneity in Myanmar: Competing Narratives in Rakhine State,” Asian Ethnicity 17, no. 4 (2016); Taylor O'Connor, “Pathways to Peace in Rakhine State,” New Mandala, 29 April 2014, http://www.newmandala.org/pathways-to-peace-in-rakhine-state/.

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of modern statehood, in a country where the business of state formation is far from

over”.68 Institutionalist explanations, meanwhile, have viewed the violence as a result

of the changing institutions of state under political reforms. The ICG has suggested that

the violence is a product of the unleashing of “deep societal divisions and hatred that

were at least partially suppressed in the authoritarian past”.69

Other accounts see the violence as instrumental, usually tied to elites’ political or

economic interests. Min Zin finds that the “pattern, nature, level, frequency and impact”

of communal violence since 2012 differs from its previous incarnations, and particularly

stresses how elites have been complicit in and have taken advantage of the violence.70

From another instrumentalist perspective, Francis Wade has argued that the violence

was a manipulation of identity by elites, playing on historical xenophobia to unite the

country’s diverse population against an internal foe.71 Researchers from the

International State Crime Initiative (ISCI) found that the June 2012 violence in Sittwe

against Rohingya communities “involved planned, highly organised state-sanctioned

attacks”.72 It has been argued elsewhere that identity has been used to cover elites’

economic interests, to justify land confiscation for resource extraction or other

development.73 Bertrand and Pelletier have suggested that communal violence was

spurned by in-group competition for influence and access to resources among the

sangha.74 This argument suggests that fear was used instrumentally by monastics to

68 Cheesman, “Introduction: Interpreting Communal Violence in Myanmar,” 339, 441. 69 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition,” 20. 70 Min Zin, “Anti-Muslim Violence in Burma: Why Now?,” Social Research: An International Quarterly 82, no. 2 (2015): 376. 71 Wade, Myanmar's Enemy Within: Buddhist Violence and the Making of a Muslim “Other”. 72 Penny Green, Thomas MacManus, and Alicia de la Cour Venning, “Countdown to Annihilation: Genocide in Myanmar,” (London: International State Crime Initiative, 2015), 74, http://statecrime.org/data/2015/10/ISCI-Rohingya-Report-PUBLISHED-VERSION.pdf. 73 See for example; Saskia Sassen, “The Assault on the Rohingya Is Not Only About Religion — It’s Also About Land,” The Huffington Post, 15 September 2017, https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/rohingya-land-grab-military_us_59b96400e4b02da0e13e79f4. Sassen makes the same claims elsewhere; “Is Rohingya Persecution Caused by Business Interests Rather Than Religion?,” The Guardian, 5 January 2017, https://www.theguardian.com/global-development-professionals-network/2017/jan/04/is-rohingya-persecution-caused-by-business-interests-rather-than-religion; “Religion Is Not the Only Reason Rohingyas Are Being Forced out of Myanmar,” The Conversation, 12 September 2017, https://theconversation.com/religion-is-not-the-only-reason-rohingyas-are-being-forced-out-of-myanmar-83726. 74 Jacques Bertrand and Alexandre Pelletier, “Violent Monks in Myanmar: Scapegoating and the Contest for Power,” Nationalism and Ethnic Politics 23, no. 3 (2017).

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position themselves as protectors of a religion under threat. Although not directly

addressing the violence between 2012 and 2014, Prasse-Freeman has suggested that

violence against the Rohingya allows marginalised or economically disenfranchised

citizens to “bolster their identification with the nation state and gain access to scarce

recourses”.75 This is a more subtle instrumentalist argument which is less concerned

with elites. Some of the more conspiratorial instrumentalist accounts have suggested

that “hidden hands” were behind the production of violence – an opaque reference to

forces attempting to manipulate democratic transition through communal violence.76

These three broad categories of explanation fall into the same categories as the

explanations found in the broader theoretical literature regarding communal violence

and democratic transition; historical explanations, institutionalist explanations and

instrumentalist explanations. The first emphasises the importance of the historical

establishment of an inclusive political community before democratic transition if

communal violence is to be avoided. Institutionalist explanations look to changes in

political or security institutions during transition to explain violence. Finally,

instrumentalist explanations are usually concerned with how elites manipulate

identities during democratic transitions for economic or political advantage, appealing

to exclusionary conceptions of identity and raising the likelihood of violence. These

three explanations are considered in detail below.

1.2.1HistoricalExplanations

A considerable segment of the literature suggests that communal violence arises during

democratic transition as a result of a historically divided polity. Historical explanations

reflect a common theme: relations between communal groups must be inclusive and

peaceful at a minimum, optimally constructive, before the democratic transition. In

other words, an inclusive and cohesive conception of the political community should be

established before democratic transition. If this condition is not met then the risk of

communal violence is raised and a peaceful and successful transition to democracy

75 Elliott Prasse-Freeman, “The Rohingya and the World,” Jacobin, 28 December 2017, https://www.jacobinmag.com/2017/12/myanmar-rohingya-ethnic-cleansing-aung-san-suu-kyi. 76 Justice Trust, “Hidden Hands.”

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jeopardised. These explanations reflect Rustow’s 1970 argument in his seminal article

on transitions to democracy, that “national unity” is essential for peaceful and successful

democratic transition. Rustow identified “national unity” as a pre-condition to

successful democratic transition and defined it as a state in which “the vast majority of

citizens… must have no doubt or mental reservations as to which political community

they belong to”.77

More recently, the importance of historical factors has been highlighted across the

literature, and it has been established that repressive policies under authoritarian rule

exacerbate communal tensions at democratic transition. Henders has asserted that the

risk of conflict during democratic transition is substantial if communal identity is

exclusive or hierarchical under authoritarian rule.78 This argument echoes Bertrand, who

has argued that violent conflict is especially likely if the armed forces has historically

identified closely with one particular communal group, establishing an exclusive system

of identity.79 Newman asserts that if the “pre-democratic state engaged in violent

suppression of particular ethnoregional groups leading to the formation of violent

ethnoregional movements then ethnoregional violence will likely continue during the

democratization process”.80 Bell makes the same conclusion from a different

perspective, and argues that if “harsh measures to suppress ethnic conflict in less-than-

democratic societies have not reduced tensions, this is yet another reason to worry

about the potential impact of democratization”.81 Similarly, Horowitz argues that if

communal relations undergo significant improvements during the authoritarian period,

a peaceful transition to democracy is much more likely.82 The repression or exclusion of

77 Dankwart A. Rustow, “Transitions to Democracy: Toward a Dynamic Model,” Comparative Politics 2, no. 3 (1970): 350. 78 Susan J. Henders, “Political Regimes and Ethnic Identities in East and Southeast Asia: Beyond the “Asian Values” Debate,” in Democratization and Identity: Regimes and Ethnicity in East and Southeast Asia, ed. Susan J. Henders (Plymouth, UK: Lexington Books, 2007), 11. 79 Jacques Bertrand, “Democratization and Religious and Nationalist Conflict in Post-Suharto Indonesia,” ibid., 194. 80 Saul Newman, Ethnoregional Conflict in Democracies: Mostly Ballots, Rarely Bullets (Westport, Connecticut: Greenwood Press, 1996), 241. 81 Daniel A. Bell, “Is Democracy the “Least Bad” System for Minority Groups?,” in Democratization and Identity: Regimes and Ethnicity in East and Southeast Asia, ed. Susan J. Henders (Plymouth, UK: Lexington Books, 2007), 37. 82 Donald L. Horowitz, “Democracy in Divided Societies,” in Nationalism, Ethnic Conflict, and Democracy, ed. Larry Diamond and Mark F. Plattner (Baltimore: The John Hopkins University Press, 1994), 36.

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particular communal groups during the authoritarian period does not have to be overtly

violent. In Indonesia, for example, as Suharto increasingly identified his rule with Islam

religious minorities were excluded and tensions heightened, setting the scene for

violence when a transition to democracy was imminent.83

While one consequence of a lack of an inclusive political community may be communal

violence, another may be the failure of the state to successfully transition to democracy.

This is the proposition put forward by Linz and Stepan, who argue that;

The greater the percentage of people in a given state who were born there

or who had not arrived perceiving themselves as foreign citizens, who are denied

citizenship in the state and whose life chances are hurt by such denial, the more

unlikely it is that this state will consolidate democracy.84

Baogang He expresses scepticism over the importance of national unity and cites the

examples of liberal democracies South Korea and Taiwan as proof that the problem can

be deferred during the democratisation process.85 He’s evidence suggests that different

questions over national unity may affect the transition process differently. The deficit of

national unity in states such as India, Indonesia and Myanmar are very different from

the examples of South Korea and Taiwan – in which the excluded populations (in North

Korea or on mainland China) are granted belonging to another state. It should also be

noted that in Taiwan, inter-ethnic alliances in place before democratisation played a

substantial role in a peaceful transition, ensuring inclusive political behaviour during the

democratic transition.86 Importantly, Wimmer suggests that a strong network of civil

society can ensure inclusive political behaviour during democratic transition.87 While a

completely inclusive or cohesive sense of the political national community may not be

83 Henders, “Political Regimes and Ethnic Identities in East and Southeast Asia: Beyond the “Asian Values” Debate,” 12. 84 Juan J. Linz and Alfred Stepan, Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation: Southern Europe, South America, and Post-Communist Europe (Baltimore, London: The John Hopkins University Press, 2006), 33. 85 Baogang He, “The National Identity Problem and Democratization: Rustow's Theory of Sequence,” Government and Opposition 36, no. 1 (2001): 106. 86 Jacques Bertrand and Oded Haklai, “Democratization and Ethnic Minorities,” in Democratization and Ethnic Minorities, ed. Jacques Bertrand and Oded Haklai (New York: Routledge, 2014), 57. 87 Andreas Wimmer, “Democracy and Ethno-Religious Conflict in Iraq,” Survival 45, no. 4 (2003): 113.

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necessary for successful democratisation, its absence is certainly necessary for

communal violence.

Ultimately, this is a question of nation-building and of whether this process can be

sufficiently achieved before democratic transition. A major failure of this explanation is

that it does not address a central question – why does communal violence occur when

it does? If communal groups were divided before transition, why is it only now that

violence has emerged or become more frequent or intense? This thesis argues that a

cohesive political community or lack thereof is a crucial factor, and communal violence

cannot be explained without it. This approach, however, needs to be taken in

conjunction with more comprehensive accounts of communal violence, and a

consideration of the short-term factors behind violence.

1.2.2InstitutionalistExplanations

Institutional explanations contend that communal violence can be explained as a result

of formal state structures. To explain communal violence under democratic transition,

then, we are concerned with changes in such institutions. Two distinct institutional

explanations can be found. The first is concerned with political institutions and their

variations during democratic transition – such as electoral systems, decentralisation, or

the court system. The second explanation analyses how changing security structures

during transition produce communal violence.

PoliticalInstitutionalistExplanations

The importance of institutions for managing conflict during democratic transition has

been widely noted.88 During transition, violence threatens to derail the reform process

before the system develops new mechanisms to manage conflict. Political

institutionalist explanations often point to the conundrum that in the early stages of

88 See, for example, Bertrand and Haklai, “Democratization and Ethnic Minorities,” 44; Jacques Bertrand and Sanjay Jeram, “Democratization and the Determinants of Ethnic Violence: The Rebel-Moderate Organizational Nexus,” ibid., 245; R.J. Rummel, “Democracy, Power, Genocide, and Mass Murder,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 39, no. 1 (1995).

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democratic transition new liberties allow grievances to be expressed openly; yet young

institutions lack the mechanisms or capacity to non-violently resolve such disputes.

Bertrand and Jeram also note the importance of the state’s provision of legitimate

channels or institutions through which to express grievances if violence is to be

avoided.89 Political institutionalist explanations may also note that during transitions

there is a deficit of credible guarantees to protect minority rights. Wimmer notes that

as state capacity is often low for states emerging from authoritarian rule, patron-client

relations develop along established communal lines, encouraging communal violence.90

These explanations often conclude that it is not democratisation that causes conflict,

but rather not enough democracy, and in particular a lack of rule of law. As proof, these

arguments cite evidence that liberal democracies and authoritarian regimes both exhibit

low levels of violent conflict; while in semi-democracies political violence is much more

frequent or intense.91

While the development of strong institutions will contribute to stability, an explanation

that focuses solely on this factor simplifies the causes of violence, and neglects the

agency of actors both of and outside the state. This is drawn out by Maung Zarni and

Cowley, who, specific to the situation in Myanmar, argue that

the historical continuity of the abuses and strategies used to harm the

Rohingya show that the processes are, to a large extent, the result of the pre-

existing and continuing military and power structures, rather than simply the

product of recent changes in the formal political processes.92

Political institutionalist explanations of communal violence oversimplify the time

invested to develop democratic institutions and the rule of law. Furthermore, many

authoritarian or transitional governments lack the incentives, legitimacy or capacity to

establish effective institutions. As underdeveloped institutions are also a feature of the

previous authoritarian regime, the informal non-state institutions used to manage

89 Bertrand and Jeram, “Democratization and the Determinants of Ethnic Violence: The Rebel-Moderate Organizational Nexus,” 245. 90 Wimmer, “Democracy and Ethno-Religious Conflict in Iraq,” 113. 91 Ibid., 119. 92 Alice Cowley and Maung Zarni, “The Slow-Burning Genocide of Myanmar's Rohingya,” Pacific Rim Law and Policy Journal 23, no. 3 (2014): 688.

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conflict during authoritarian rule may offer lessons on how to manage conflict during

democratic transitions.93

According to Bertrand, two related preconditions are particularly conducive to

communal violence; the fostering and containing of tensions between communal

groups; and the contestation of which groups are to be included in the nation.94 He

presented a historical institutionalist argument to show why violence occurred in

Indonesia during democratic transition there. Bertrand argued that as governmental

institutions represent a conception of the nation, when a “critical juncture” – such as

democratic transition – occurs, the idea of the nation is opened for contestation by

communal groups.95 This explains why violence occurs when it does. The strength of a

historical institutionalist explanation is that it can also explain why violence was directed

towards particular communities, by incorporating a historical perspective presenting

precedents of violence and the development of identity over time.

SecurityInstitutionalistExplanations

Security institutionalist explanations argue that changing security contexts can explain

communal violence during democratic transition. The withdrawal of the military or an

oppressive authoritarian security apparatus is said to contribute to communal violence.

By understanding how communal groups exist in peace during unchanging governance,

this approach claims an insight into the breakdown of order during political change.

As a consequence of seeing parallels between the international political system and

relations between communal groups after the breakdown of authoritarian rule, Posen

applied the security dilemma concept from the realist tradition of international relations

theory to “the special conditions that arise when proximate groups of people suddenly

find themselves newly responsible for their own security”.96 Although Posen developed

93 This is evidently an assumption of Tajima’s 2014 book. Yuhki Tajima, The Institutional Origins of Communal Violence: Indonesia's Transition from Authoritarian Rule (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2014). 94 Bertrand, “Democratization and Religious and Nationalist Conflict in Post-Suharto Indonesia,” 178. 95 Nationalism and Ethnic Conflict in Indonesia (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2004). 96 Barry R Posen, “The Security Dilemma and Ethnic Conflict,” Survival: Global Politics and Strategy 35, no. 1 (1993): 27.

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his argument with the conditions of when “imperial order breaks down” in mind, there

are evidently parallels between this context and many other transitions from

authoritarian rule, including the withdrawal or restraint of a strong regime. Posen argues

that in the context of a divided society the “collapse produces conditions that make

offensive and defensive capabilities indistinguishable and make the offence superior to

the defence”.97 As per the security dilemma, this raises the likelihood of conflict, as

mutual suspicions take hold, followed by violence. In a period of political change,

communal groups are concerned with their physical security, the security of their

identity, and the security of their influence in the future political system. These are

evidently some of the most fundamental concerns of communal groups. Indeed, Posen

argues that “the drive for security in one group can be so great that it produces near-

genocidal behaviour towards neighbouring groups”.98

Lake and Rothchild present an argument similar to Posen’s, focusing on how

informational failures and problems of credible commitment combine to create a

security dilemma.99 While much of their explanation of communal violence reflects

Posen, Lake and Rothchild also emphasise that communal activists and political

entrepreneurs have a role in building fears of insecurity and polarising society.100 Posen,

however, rejects the importance of any elite role in fermenting conflict.101 The security

dilemma is also central to other literature on communal violence. Kaufman argues that

the essential preconditions for communal violence are; a group mythology which

justifies inter-communal hostility; that another communal group is considered a threat;

and an opportunity to mobilise. These factors, although necessary, will not be sufficient

for communal violence, argues Kaufman. A security dilemma, mass hostility, and

nationalistic political mobilisation, are also necessary factors.102

All of the conditions required by the security dilemma cannot be found in the intra-state

context, however, making its application to communal violence during democratic

97 Ibid., 29. 98 Ibid., 30. 99 David A. Lake and Donald Rothchild, “Containing Fear: The Origins and Management of Ethnic Conflict,” International Security 21, no. 2 (1996). 100 Ibid., 41. 101 Posen, “The Security Dilemma and Ethnic Conflict,” 29. 102 Kaufman 2001, citied in Cordell and Wolff, Ethnic Conflict, 30-31.

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transition arguably problematic. The anarchical nature of the international system is

absent within the environment of the nation-state – even under a weak state. In the

analysis of communal violence the actors are very different from states, and cannot be

interpreted in the same framework. Their security concerns differ, and will show

different patterns of mobilisation and agency. Furthermore, the application of the

security dilemma to the intra-state context risks removing the state from the equation.

This carries heavy risks and contributes to what Brass has called “blame

displacement”.103 In many cases of communal violence, the state has endorsed the

violence to varying degrees and actors of the state have participated in the violence.

Theories that emphasise the security dilemma have also been criticised for not

accurately reflecting reality. In particular, Tajima rejects Posen’s expectation that

violence will continue until the state intervenes or communal groups segregate

themselves.104 Instead, he cites instances in which groups do not segregate, yet still

manage communal security without the state’s intervention.105

Tajima develops another security institutionalist explanation, arguing that during

departures from authoritarian rule changes in security are more nuanced. He contends

that communal violence is a result of “mismatches between formal and informal

institutions”.106 In a study of communal violence during Indonesia’s democratic

transition, Tajima found that informal security institutions in some locations had relied

heavily on (the threat of, or actual,) intervention from security forces prior to transition.

In areas with weak state penetration, however, effective institutions had developed

independent of the state – they could not count on the state to intervene if communal

violence arose. These informal institutions could both effectively manage crime and

avoid communal violence at the same time.107 In contrast, areas with deeper state

penetration could adopt “more aggressive security institutions”, which would risk

violence without such a strong presence of the state.108 When Jakarta restrained the

military in 1996, as a precursor to democratic reforms, communal violence emerged in

103 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 15-16. 104 Tajima, The Institutional Origins of Communal Violence, 22. 105 Ibid. 106 Ibid., 9. 107 Ibid., 10. 108 Ibid., 9.

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areas with a greater state presence.109 Gledhill also encourages a nuanced account of

security forces under political change, arguing that “rather than defaulting to thinking

of the state as a unitary actor that is either strong or weak, we would do well to

recognize that states are actually collective actors, which have a multitude of

semiautonomous moving parts”.110 Gledhill’s conclusions differ from Tajima’s, as he

found that competition between different sectors of the state’s security services to

secure resources in the future regime can provoke violence.111

While political institutionalist explanations emphasise that political institutions such as

insufficient mechanisms for conflict management, particular electoral systems, or

underdeveloped rule of law at the time of transition encourages people to take their

grievances to the streets, security institutionalist explanations examine changing

dynamics of national or local security guarantees. The influence of political

institutionalist explanations can be seen in recommendations to policy makers on how

best to manage communal conflict through institutions.

Institutional explanations of communal violence, however, fall short of a full

explanation. They cannot explain why communal violence takes place in certain

locations and not others. In a state undergoing democratic transition, why does

communal violence occur in one location but not another, given that they are both

within the same polity? With the exception of Tajima, this is a national level explanation

which pays little attention to local circumstances and actors.

1.2.3InstrumentalistExplanations

Instrumentalists argue that communal identity is a proxy for other interests. There is a

strong focus on the ways in which elites use communal identity or violence for their own

economic or political benefits. Elites themselves may or may not “believe in ethnicity”

109 Ibid., 9, 23. 110 John Gledhill, “Competing for Change: Regime Transition, Intrastate Competition, and Violence,” Security Studies 21, no. 1 (2012): 81. 111 Ibid., 50.

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themselves, and this is of low relevance to instrumentalists.112 Democratic transitions

are inherently uncertain processes, and the outcome cannot be guaranteed. During this

time a range of political opportunities open for communal elites and activists.113 There

are also commitment problems during democratic transitions, which spurn divisive

communalist rhetoric from elites. The risk of waiting to see their position in the new

system is too high, and communal leaders may mobilise supporters to commit violence

against groups they perceive as threatening.

Mansfield and Snyder present an instrumentalist explanation to show why aggressive

nationalism and war are more likely during democratic transition.114 As a result of the

conditions of “weak central authority, unstable domestic coalitions, and high-energy

mass politics”, both “the newly ambitious elites and the embattled old ruling groups

often use appeals to nationalism to stay astride their unmanageable political

coalitions”.115 In his book, “From Voting to Violence”, Snyder’s “elite-persuasion” theory

expands upon this earlier work, arguing that democratising states are not only more

likely to go to war with other countries, but are also more likely to experience civil war,

or other internal unrest. Snyder recognises the popularity of nationalist appeals during

democratic transitions and explains why these are so are attractive to elites.116 He

argues that by framing governance through nationalism, elites can claim to be ruling by

the people (although not of the people), thus satisfying some demands for mass political

participation.117 In a heterogeneous state, elites will also commonly target communal

minorities and exclude them from participation. Snyder argues that “[t]his tactic not

only justifies curtailing the democratic rights of these purported ‘enemies from within’,

but just as importantly, it has a chilling effect on freedom of expression among all

citizens”.118 It can be added that this tactic will deflect popular dissatisfaction with the

112 Ashutosh Varshney, Ethnic Conflict and Civic Life : Hindus and Muslims in India (New Haven; London: Yale University Press, 2002), 27. 113 Ted Robert Gurr, Peoples Versus States: Minorities at Risk in the New Century (Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press, 2000), 85. 114 Edward D. Mansfield and Jack Snyder, “Democratization and War,” Foreign Affairs 74, no. 3 (1995): 94. 115 Ibid., 88. 116 Snyder, From Voting to Violence: Democratization and Nationalist Conflict, 36. 117 Ibid. 118 Ibid., 37.

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government to the targeted minority. Snyder suggests that elites are using identity

instrumentally for their own interests – to consolidate votes and to restrict checks on

their power.

Snyder’s theory has strong explanatory potential. There are, however, a series of

problems that arise which Snyder neglects. One is a reflection of a deficit in the

literature. Snyder offers no explanation for why non-elites become involved in violence.

How do elites dupe publics into seemingly irrational behaviour, from which they stand

to lose so much? Furthermore, Snyder argues that democratic transition “gives rise to

nationalism because it serves the interest of powerful groups within the nation who seek

to harness popular energies to the tasks of war and economic development without

surrendering real political authority to the average citizen”.119 Yet the reasons given for

this are insufficient, as there is no explanation as to why this phenomenon should be

exclusive to transitions. Authoritarian and democratic governments frequently appeal

to nationalism to legitimise their rule, and this is not limited to times of democratic

transition or popular demand for political representation. Relatedly, this explanation

fails to explain elite appeals to nationalism during top-down transitions which feature

limited popular demands. In such a context, there is less need to appeal to nationalism.

The connection between democracy and nationalism is not laid out by Snyder, yet is

integral to his argument.

Based on a detailed examination of communal violence during Indonesia’s transition,

Gerry van Klinken concluded that local elites, “stirred to action by rapid changes taking

place in the structure of the state” mobilised crowds along communal lines “in order to

maintain their privileged access to the state or even, if possible, to expand it”.120 This is

largely an instrumentalist explanation, again focused on elites who were;

generally close to the levers of local power. The leading brokers were

stirred to action by rapid changes taking place in the structure of the state. The

devolution of authority to lower levels of the state, combined with democratizing

119 Ibid., 36. 120 Gerry van Klinken, Communal Violence and Democratization in Indonesia: Small Town Wars (Milton Park, Britain: Routledge, 2007), 139.

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changes in the way key office-holders were appointed, unleashed intense

competitive dynamics.121

Van Klinken found that communal violence in Indonesia was “local politics by other

means”.122 Identity was used by elites for economic and political benefit. Political

leaders mobilised supporters on a communal basis in order to gain political power. Van

Klinken used a contentious politics approach which also suggested violence as a result

of attribution of opportunity under institutional changes in the state, as suggested by

the above quote. Van Klinken showed that those involved in the violence on the streets

“were not middle-class democracy activists or urban workers, but members of local

communities claiming to be driven by their religious or ethnic identities”,123 after being

led by elites.

Similarly, Brass’ seminal work on Hindu-Muslim violence in post-independence India

found that “riots are an integral part of the process of political/electoral competition”,

and that political elites are implicated in each riot.124 Although concerned with

communal violence taking place in the context of a democratic state rather than during

democratic transition, Brass’ comprehensive account of the “institutionalized riot

system” is placed in the context of electoral politics and in part reflects an

instrumentalist approach to communal violence. Brass defined the institutionalised riot

system as

a perpetually operative network of roles whose functions are to maintain

communal hostilities, recruit persons to protest against or otherwise make public or

bring to the notice of the authorities incidents presumed dangerous to the peace of

the city, mobilize crowds or threaten or intimidate persons from the other

community, recruit criminals for violent actions when it is desired to “retaliate”

121 Ibid., 138-39. 122 Ibid., 138. 123 Ibid., 21. 124 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 242.

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against persons from the other community and, if the political context is right, to let

loose widespread violent action.125

Brass found “a direct causal link between riots and electoral/political competition”, and

argues that “riots are a product of actions designed to consolidate one community or

the other or both at the local, regional and national levels into a cohesive political

bloc”.126 There is a “continuum” between riots and political rivalry which may start at

either end. Another aspect of the institutionalised riot system offers more to the

explanation of violence. While Brass recognises that constant communal tension is

required for communal violence to begin, these prejudices and tensions are anything

but primordial “ancient hatreds” to Brass. A critical part of the institutionalised riot

system is “keeping the fires of communalism tended”, so that violence can be generated

when deemed politically useful.127 In other words, actors (including political elites) strive

to keep tensions between communal groups active and to politicise identity.

Instrumentalist explanations emphasise that elite posturing is central to the emergence

of communal violence during democratic transition. There is some scepticism, however,

regarding the importance of elites. Bertrand, for instance, argues that elites are only

successful at rousing publics “when prior grievances are present and sufficiently

widespread”, due in no small part to the fact that “group identities are created and

politicized prior to the democratic transition, as opposed to being created during the

transition itself”.128 Posen presents a critique of instrumentalism, and argues that “very

little nationalist rabble-rousing or nationalistic combativeness is required to generate

very dangerous situations”.129 Duncan also takes issue with instrumentalist

explanations, and encourages observers to take identity more seriously.130 Instead of

treating religion as a sphere separate from political and social life, he argues, religious

life should be conceived of as an embodiment of identities and their change, intrinsically

linked to interactions, rather than as an irrelevant sphere, as suggested by

125 Ibid., 258. 126 Ibid., 33-34. 127 Ibid., 261. 128 Bertrand, “Democratization and Religious and Nationalist Conflict in Post-Suharto Indonesia,” 195. 129 Posen, “The Security Dilemma and Ethnic Conflict,” 29. 130 Christopher R. Duncan, Violence and Vengeance: Religious Conflict and Its Aftermath in Eastern Indonesia (Ithaca and London: Cornell University Press, 2013), 3, 4.

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instrumentalist explanations.131 Instrumentalist explanations find it difficult to explain

why followers follow, and why non-elites become involved in communal violence when

the risks are so high. The economic or political benefits for a small number of elites

cannot explain this. Few accounts report on this detail, leaving a significant gap in these

explanations.

The variety of explanations for communal violence during democratic transitions

reflects the empirical reality that there is no one general theory that will explain all

instances. While historical explanations of communal violence contribute to

understanding the ways in which violence is perpetrated – by whom and against whom

–, explanations which focus on shorter-term factors (institutions or actors) can

contribute towards explaining why violence occurs at certain times. Any explanation

should also recognise that the roles of influential elites and the specific conditions under

which a state transitions to democracy can modify the likelihood of communal violence.

1.3Methodology

In lieu of the shortcomings of the explanations of communal violence during democratic

transition considered above, this thesis explores a more novel approach. Similar to the

work of Brass and van Klinken, this thesis uses the literature of contentious politics, a

social movements theory, to understand communal violence.132 Brass notes that “most

causal explanations of rioting” are problematic, as they attempt to “explain riots rather

than to understand the purposes and effects of riots in interpersonal, economic,

intercommunal and political relations”.133 A contentious politics approach presents a

dynamic schema of actors, opportunities and mechanisms. This allows the researcher to

view the interaction between communal violence and democratic transition.

Contentious politics challenges the accepted practice of analysing different episodes of

contention through separate literatures. In their seminal 2001 work, McAdam, Tarrow

131 Ibid., 4. 132 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 12; van Klinken, Communal Violence and Democratization in Indonesia: Small Town Wars. 133 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 368.

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and Tilly argued that disparate episodes such as democratisation, revolution, or civil war

have more in common than is usually recognised, and advocated analysing them

through similar means. There have been significant findings in each of these separate

literatures, but little attention has been paid to similarities. Contentious politics

approaches argue that via this approach more can be learnt about all of these

episodes.134

The literature asks three fundamental questions about actors, identities and actions

respectively. “Who makes claims, and why do they do so?”; “Who do they and others

say they are, and why do they say so?”; and, “What forms do their claim making take

and why?”.135 Contentious politics argues that central to the development of contention

are social interaction and social construction. Dynamic interactions between actors,

identities and actions are stressed. Contentious politics theory identifies recurrent

mechanisms and studies how different starting points and combinations of mechanisms

produce different outcomes.136 Crucially, it recognises the importance of history.137

The contentious politics literature uses three units of analysis: episodes, processes and

mechanisms. Episodes are comprised of processes, which in turn are comprised of

mechanisms. Identifying and understanding which mechanisms and processes start and

continue an episode of contention will indicate why some episodes are longer and more

successful than others.138 These distinctions are often rough. Tilly notes, for instance,

that “brokerage” may be called a process or a mechanism.139 It is impossible to explain

the complexity of an entire episode, such as the democratisation of a particular state –

or in the case of this thesis multiple occasions of communal violence during a period of

democratic transition. Therefore, a contentious politics approach “consists of singling

out problematic features of the phenomena at hand, then identifying recurrent

mechanisms that produce those features”.140

134 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 4. 135 Ibid., 126. 136 Ibid., 13. 137 Ibid., 186. 138 Ibid., 67. 139 Charles Tilly, The Politics of Collective Violence (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003), 22. 140 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 86-87.

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Contentious politics took the static concepts of social movement theory and made them

dynamic and interactive. There were four key concepts in the social movement

literature: political opportunities, mobilising structures, collective action frames, and

repertoires of contention.141 Contentious politics argued that the social movement

agenda was asking the right questions in the right way, but failed to provide adequate

answers. This was due to a concern with single actors to the neglect of relations between

actors and causal sequences.142 The discussion moved away from models such as the

rational choice model and towards the “analysis of smaller-scale causal mechanisms that

recur in different combinations with different aggregate consequences in varying

historical settings”.143

There are two types of contention. While “contained” contention operates within the

establishment, the contentious politics literature is mostly concerned with

“transgressive” contention – defined as

episodic, public, collective interaction among makers of claims and their

objects when (a) a least one government is a claimant, an object of claims, or a party

to the claims, (b) the claims would, if realized, affect the interests of at least one of

the claimants, (c) at least some parties to the conflict are newly self-identified

political actors, and/or (d) at least some parties employ innovative collective action

(action which is unprecedented or forbidden within the regime in question).144

Patterns of communal violence in Myanmar reflect these criteria. Communal violence,

its perpetrators and objects challenge and make claims on the government (both during

and after the violence); concerns emergent political actors; is deeply concerned with

group interest; and concerns forbidden forms of action.

The contentious politics approach is a theory of broad scope. Its capacity to be applied

to various episodes – each with its own body of literature – does mean that there is a

lack of precision and clarity in the concepts. Furthermore, there are an overwhelmingly

141 Ibid., 14-15. 142 Ibid., 72. 143 Ibid., 24. 144 Ibid., 7-8.

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large number of mechanisms identified by the literature. Regardless, or perhaps

because of these perceived shortcomings, contentious politics theory offers a useful

framework through which the diverse phenomena of communal violence and

democratic transition can be understood.

This thesis investigates relationships between democratic transition and communal

violence in the case of Myanmar between 2012 and 2014. The central research question

of this thesis is:

What is the relationship between democratic transition and communal violence?

Of the various research objectives identified by George and Bennett,145 theory testing

and identifying new causal mechanisms are both relevant to this study. Existing theories

are investigated in a new case and causal mechanisms identified. To reach these ends,

this project combines structured, focused case studies with process-tracing

methodology. Structured, focused comparison requires a set of standardised general

questions drawn from the research objective and analytical framework to be asked of

each case. The comparison is theoretically focused. As any single event can be relevant

for a variety of theoretical topics,146 it is important to focus the study within a theoretical

framework.

One of the strongest contributions of recent literature regarding qualitative research

methodology “has been to reinforce and further develop the idea that robust causal

analysis can be carried out through within-case analysis”.147 Process-tracing is a

dominant qualitative method which “attempts to identify the intervening causal process

– the causal chain and causal mechanism – between an independent variable (or

variables) and the outcome”.148 It has been identified as a valuable methodology for

developing, as well as testing, theory.149 Its value for studying communal violence has

145 A L George and A Bennett, Case Studies and Theory Development in the Social Sciences (Cambridge: MIT Press, 2005), 75-76. 146 Ibid., 70. 147 Oisín Tansey, “Process Tracing and Elite Interviewing: A Case for Non-Probability Sampling,” PS: Political Science and Politics 40, no. 4 (2007): 765. 148 George and Bennett, Case Studies and Theory Development in the Social Sciences, 206. 149 Ibid., 217; David Collier, “Understanding Process Tracing,” PS: Political Science and Politics 44, no. 4 (2011).

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also been noted by Varshney.150 In comparisons of case studies, process-tracing can

reveal different casual paths to the same outcome,151 or confirm similar processes. This

is the value of studying different cases. Although the identification of the most

important processes or mechanisms thereof can be problematic, sensitive

reconstruction of the “historical sequential processes” can overcome this problem.152

Furthermore, process-tracing requires a more substantial burden of proof than

quantitative observations.153 Additionally, the detailed process-tracing method used will

offer important empirical data for future researchers.

In this study the outcome under investigation, or dependent variable, is communal

violence. The independent variables are democratic transition and its processes, as

identified by the analytical framework of this thesis in Chapter 2. However, a dynamic

contentious politics analysis views both communal violence and democratic transition

less as variables, and more as processes which interact. That is, it is not assumed that

the causality is simply unidirectional. This methodology allows for investigation of how

communal violence occurs, but also the interplay between communal violence and

democratic transition.

The single-country research design provides for effective comparison, as variables at the

national level are constant across all cases. Of these, the most obvious is regime type.

Accordingly, decentralisation, civil and political liberties, elections, and other centrally

controlled reforms are for the most part constant across the case studies. Other factors

vary across case studies. As well as the history and local dynamics of communal

demographics, the presence of Buddhist nationalist organisations will vary, as will the

extent to which local politicians and other elites promoted exclusionary forms of

nationalism. The multi-case single-country approach allows these variables to be

isolated for comparative analysis.

150 Varshney, Ethnic Conflict and Civic Life : Hindus and Muslims in India, 14. 151 George and Bennett, Case Studies and Theory Development in the Social Sciences, 82. 152 Cathie Jo Martin, “Crafting Interviews to Capture Cause and Effect,” in Interview Research in Political Science, ed. Layna Mosley (Cornell: Cornell University Press, 2013), 118. 153 Mahoney 2009, cited in ibid.

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The selection of a variety of cases will minimise any selection bias, while the accurate

reflection of a larger set maximises the applicability of results from the study. The Bamar

are the majority communal group in Myanmar, consisting of some 60 per cent of the

population. The locations selected represent a balance of predominantly Bamar and

non-Bamar majority populations, and are also home to various communities of

Myanmar Muslims, reflecting the diverse demographics of locations where communal

violence occurred in Myanmar between 2012 and 2014.

Five instances of communal violence constitute the case studies of this research; Sittwe

in June 2012, Meiktila in March 2013, Lashio in May 2013, Thandwe in October 2013 and

Mandalay in July 2014. Other instances of violence, most significantly the violence across

Rakhine State in October 2012 and in that state since, are also considered throughout

the text. Interview fieldwork was conducted in the five key focus locations of Sittwe,

Meiktila, Lashio, Thandwe and Mandalay, as well as in Myanmar’s commercial capital

Yangon and in Dhaka and Chittagong, Bangladesh. The vast majority of fieldwork took

place between September 2015 and November 2016, when the researcher was based

in Yangon. A first follow-up research trip took place between March and April 2017

before a second in June 2017. Due to time constraints, security concerns and a lack of

capacity, research was more successful in some locations than others. In total, 139

respondents formally participated in this research in 101 interviews and five focus

groups.154 Focus groups were conducted with between 3 to 10 respondents from the

same community. Please see Table 1.3, Table 1.4 and Table 1.5 below for more

information regarding locations of fieldwork, interviews and focus groups.

154 In a number of interviews, there were two participants.

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Location No. of

Interviews

No. of

Interviewees

Sittwe 32 37

Thandwe 8 10

Meiktila 8 9

Mandalay 16 17

Lashio 17 17

Yangon 13 14

Bangladesh

(Chittagong

and Dhaka)

5 6

Other 2 2

Total 101 112

Table 1.3 Fieldwork Interviews

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Location Buddhist Muslim Other/Unknown

Religion

Total No. of

Interviewees

Sittwe 26 11 - 37

Thandwe 5 5 - 10

Meiktila 3 3 3 9

Mandalay 9 6 2 17

Lashio 9 5 3 17

Yangon 4 6 4 14

Bangladesh

(Chittagong

and Dhaka)

1 5 - 6

Other - 2 - 2

Total 57 43 12 112

Table 1.4 Fieldwork Interviews by Religious Identity

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Focus Group/

Location

Male Female Ethnicity/Religion Total No. of

Participants

Sittwe Kaman

Village

5 5 Kaman 10

Sittwe Rakhine

Village

2 2 Rakhine 4

Sittwe Rakhine

IDP Camp

2 1 Rakhine 3

Thandwe

Kaman Village

1 2 Kaman and

Rakhine

3

Lashio Muslim

Community

Leaders

7 - Muslim 7

Total 17 10 27

Table 1.5 Fieldwork Focus Groups

The primary data for the thesis was collected through in-depth interviews with political,

religious, community and civil society leaders as well as other community members.

Historical research methods are used to collate data. The secondary sources for this

research include journal articles, academic books, media reports, and publications by

research organisations and other non-governmental organisations.

All interviews were conducted by the researcher either in English, Myanmar, Rakhine or

Rohingya languages, most with assistance from interpreters familiar with those

languages and the local context. The sensitivity of the issues under investigation dictated

that careful consideration had to be taken when finding an interpreter to work with.

Ongoing tensions between communities in Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, for example,

meant that working with an interpreter who identified as Rakhine when interviewing

Rohingya respondents would not only compromise the accuracy of responses but could

also risk the personal safety of the researchers and respondents or inflame tensions in

an area where segregation remained enforced.

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Interviewees were not randomly selected, but were selected on their involvement in the

processes under investigation. In-depth interview research at the local level is invaluable

for understanding communal violence. If the violence was only analysed from the

national level, local understandings would be neglected. This is crucial, as local

understandings of the violence will be paramount to the resolution of conflict or

replication of any violence in the future.

At the outset of this project, it was planned that a “controlled set” of cases would also

be included, a methodological approach not uncommon in recent studies of communal

violence.155 However, due to a lack of capacity, lack of access to networks and time

restraints this could not be completed. The controlled set consisted of two locations

without the outcome of communal violence. When compared to the five cases that did

experience communal violence, the importance of certain variables could be

highlighted. The controlled set consisted of a predominantly Bamar and a predominantly

non-Bamar town, both with significant Muslim minorities and the presence of active

Buddhist nationalist organisations. Varshney has shown that studying similar cases

remains valuable for testing or proposing theory.156

Fieldwork on the topics of exclusion and violence in a context of what may amount to

ethnic cleansing presents sensitivities and ethical challenges. On one hand, the research

must avoid legitimising prejudiced attitudes which contribute towards the production

of violence. On the other, to gain a necessary understanding of these dominant attitudes

some level of engagement with actors expressing these views is necessary. This raises a

series of questions. To what extent should the researcher express disagreement with a

respondent or present a contrasting perspective? When does this fall outside of the

purpose of a research project? In a research project such as this, the researcher is the

outsider with little local knowledge or authority to speak on the topic of inclusion of

minorities or local relations between communities. It was often clear during research

that my worldview and conception of “national belonging” and identity was vastly

155 See, for example, Varshney, Ethnic Conflict and Civic Life : Hindus and Muslims in India; Rachael Diprose, “Decentralization, Horizontal Inequalities and Conflict Management in Indonesia,” Ethnopolitics 8, no. 1 (2009): 110, 15. 156 Ashutosh Varshney, “Analyzing Collective Violence in Indonesia: An Overview,” in Collective Violence in Indonesia, ed. Ashutosh Varshney (Boulder, London: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2010), 8.

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different from that of respondent’s – the context of citizenship rules in Australia and my

own place in a history of colonialism presented me with a framework which seemed to

hold little stead in the context of Myanmar. This presented challenges, but also

opportunities to facilitate discussion during both formal interview and informal

situations during fieldwork. The majority of respondents were open to disagreement on

the issues under investigation and often were interested to hear how citizenship and

diversity are managed in other contexts. These issues will continue to be debated in

Myanmar and discussions with outsiders may be difficult but also present opportunities

to challenge dominant narratives.

1.4StructureandArguments

This thesis makes a historical institutionalist argument. Communal violence during

democratic transition in Myanmar between 2012 and 2014 should be understood as an

outcome of three related factors; a historically exclusively defined national political

community, the promotion of exclusionary forms of communal identity by elites at

transition, and the availability of non-elites willing to perpetrate violence. First, a weak

or exclusive sense of national identity at the time of democratic transition was a

necessary condition for violence. If relations between different communal groups are

exclusive or polarised at the time of transition, there is a high risk that competition for

inclusion or influence in the new system can turn violent. Democratic transition opens

questions of elections, constitutions, federal systems and other political institutions.

These are questions of the boundaries of the nation and therefore questions of the

boundaries of the national community – of who can vote and of who is allowed

representation. During democratic transition, the belonging and place of individuals and

identity groups in the new conception of the nation are contested. Similarly, questions

of who is to be included and excluded from the new conception of the nation are

contested. While democratic transition opened these questions of belonging, there is

no democratic logic as to where the boundaries of the political community should lie.157

In Myanmar, the boundaries of the national community and the places of different

157 Ghia Nodia, “Nationalism and Democracy,” Journal of Democracy (1992): 6-7.

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communal groups within them had not been defined before transition. For reasons

which were historical and contemporary, as well as local, national and international; it

was Muslims who were targeted in communal violence as their place in the Myanmar

nation was questioned. Muslim, and particularly Rohingya, communities have been

defined as outside of the national community by the state for decades. This can be

traced to their exclusion from the taing-yintha or “national races” framework – the 135

“national races” accepted by the government of Myanmar.158 The exclusion of these

communities under this framework has a high degree of acceptance in Myanmar society,

and is supported by influential religious, political and community leaders. Furthermore,

the exclusion of the Rohingya and their successful construction as a threat by the state

can explain why so much of the violence in this period was anti-Rohingya violence.

Second, appeals to and the promotion of exclusionary forms of nationalism by elites

during transition were a necessary condition for violence in this case. The emergence of

local and national politics for the first time in almost half a century created the

conditions for the promotion of divisive forms of nationalism. The historical exclusive

definition of the political community is a related factor. This determined which

communities this dangerous nationalism was directed at – which communities were

deemed not to belong to the new Myanmar. As Muslim communities were already

defined as excluded from the political community or as a threat to it, this narrative

strengthened at transition. A form of Buddhist nationalism, localised and temporal,159

emerged during this period – reflecting the combination of religious and communal

identities in Myanmar’s national identity. Elites also appealed to these narratives to

158 The 135 “national races” are listed under the categories of eight “major national ethnic races”; Kachin, Kayah, Kayin, Chin, Bamar, Mon, Rakhine and Shan. The official list is available on various websites published by the Myanmar government, including; Ministry of Hotels and Tourism, “The 8 Major National Ethnic Races of Myanmar,” The Republic of the Union of Myanmar, https://web.archive.org/web/20100818233051/http://www.myanmar.gov.mm:80/ministry/hotel/fact/race.htm; Brussels Embassy of the Union of Myanmar, “Composition of the Different Ethnic Groups under the 8 Major National Ethnic Races in Myanmar,” The Republic of the Union of Myanmar, http://www.embassyofmyanmar.be/ABOUT/ethnicgroups.htm. 159 Schonthal and Walton have warned of the shortcomings of using in precise terms such as “Buddhist nationalism” to refer to broader phenomenon or movements across various locations and different periods of time. In this thesis, the term Buddhist nationalism is used to refer to its particular forms as promoted by Myanmar nationalists during the years of democratic transition. Benjamin Schonthal and Matthew J. Walton, “The (New) Buddhist Nationalisms? Symmetries and Specificities in Sri Lanka and Myanmar,” Contemporary Buddhism 17, no. 1 (2016): 83.

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consolidate their voter base. The promotion of exclusionary forms of nationalism

involved the failure of elites to effectively take action against those inciting or

perpetrating the violence, thus legitimating violence.

The third factor is the willingness of non-elites to become involved in violence. This is

perhaps a very obvious factor, but it is also one of the most difficult aspects of communal

violence to explain. Why do non-elites perpetrate violence when the risks and very high

and the benefits appear very low? This thesis suggests that non-elites perpetrated

violence as a response to anxieties of harm to physical wellbeing, a loss of life, or a threat

to identity. Viewed in this way, the risks of not engaging in violence emerge as very high.

Fears of a loss of identity are deeply felt and violence is perceived to be justifiable in its

defence. These fears were historical, and were legitimatised by political and religious

leaders who contributed to the construction of threat. These three related factors were

sufficient for the production of communal violence during this period of democratic

transition in Myanmar.

The historical institutionalist argument in this thesis does not support the contention

that the violence was provoked by “hidden hands”. Some elements of this explanation

– which broadly argues that hardliners within the government or military provoked the

violence – have found their way into various parts of the literature. The evidence in

support of this explanation is limited and has particularly failed to show which elites may

be responsible for such provocation, and indeed why this would be in their interest.

Furthermore, provocation would only have been successful if the conditions for violence

were already in place. These explanations cannot explain why so many people joined

the violence and why these tensions have continued and have been endemic across the

country throughout this period of transition. Elites did of course play important roles.

The roles of elites in manipulating identity and creating the conditions for violence are

outlined in this thesis. These repertoires were, for the most part, played out in public,

not behind the scenes. While evidence does suggest that “outsiders” were organised to

commit violence in some instances, this thesis argues that this was not a necessary

condition. Nor is there sufficient evidence to suggest that this was widespread, although

new evidence may come to light in the future. This was not violence manipulated behind

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the scenes by agents of evil, but rather a familiar story of exclusion, violence and nation-

building.

The following chapter, Chapter 2, will provide an analytical framework for the thesis

based on a contentious politics approach, and further explores ideas and definitions of

democratic transition, of communal identity, and of communal violence. Chapter 3

outlines the political opening in Myanmar, presenting governmental reforms since 2010

as changes in the political opportunity structures that actors react to. In Chapter 4 we

begin to look at the processes of contentious politics which constitute the episode under

investigation. That chapter will consider the process of identity formation. This process

was established long before 2010 and the contentious politics approach reflects the

interactive nature of the construction of identity. The chapter traces the development

of national and communal identities in Myanmar, and explains why it was Muslims and

the Rohingya in particular who were excluded from the dominant conception of the

nation. In Chapter 5 the changing conceptions of national and communal identities

during democratic transition are studied. The relevant processes are boundary

activation and polarisation. The heightened salience of communal identity and the

widening polarisation between communities during this period of democratic transition

are documented. The chapter shows how democratic transition opened questions of the

nature of the national community. Questions of who was to be included, and who was

not, were opened. Elites’ appeals to exclusionary forms of nationalism and the ongoing

construction of a Muslim threat is considered in Chapter 6, which documents the rise of

Buddhist nationalist organisations and their relations to the state and other actors.

These processes of actor constitution and brokerage show how those who incited and

perpetrated violence avoided sanction by the state. Chapter 7 introduces a new process

to the contentious politics literature: interpretation. Different interpretations of the

same events at different levels of analysis are addressed, and it is argued that the

interpretations of the violence in Myanmar displaced blame and served to maintain the

conditions and mechanisms crucial to the replication of violence. The role of insecurity

is considered in Chapter 8 as an environmental mechanism which spurs attribution of

opportunity and threat and compels individuals to perpetrate violence. The

perpetration of violence by non-elites should be understood through this frame – as a

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response to anxieties of a loss of life or identity. The three factors which constitute the

historical institutionalist explanation made in this thesis – the exclusive definition of the

political community, elites’ appeal to exclusionary nationalisms and the willingness of

non-elites to perpetrate violence – will be traced throughout these processes.

1.5LanguageandTerminology

The name of the country, and of various towns and states, were officially changed by

the military government in 1989. This thesis uses terms such as “Burma”, “Rangoon”

and “Arakan” when discussing the pre-change period, and refers to “Myanmar”,

“Yangon” and “Rakhine” for the post-change period. The Myanmar language has

continued to resist an effective and recognised system of Romanisation. For Myanmar

words commonly used in English language texts such as Tatmadaw (the Myanmar armed

forces) or Hluttaw (parliament) I have used the spelling that the reader may be familiar

with. Outside of this I have used the BGN/PCGN 1970 Romanisation System for Burmese.

Myanmar honorifics such as Daw (Aunt) and U (Uncle), as well as Ashin (the venerable)

before the name of monks, are also used in this thesis. The terms are replicated as in

their original use for direct quotations.

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Chapter2:

AnalyticalFrameworkAn analytical framework is a systematic, detailed sketch to elaborate ideas though a

deductive process.1 It provides the researcher and reader with a lens to think about and

view the problem under consideration. This analytical framework takes a closer look at

the relevant definitions and approaches to understanding both democratic transition

and communal violence surveyed in the introductory chapter. The relevant processes of

contentious politics are then connected to the literature of democratic transition and

communal violence.

After considering definitions of identity, the “communal” aspect of communal violence

is considered and differentiated from other kinds of violence. The three dominant

approaches to understanding identity are summarised – primordialism, instrumentalism

and constructivism. The different assumptions that these approaches make about the

relationship between violence and identity are then considered. While noting that

although understanding identity is crucial to an understanding of communal violence,

there is no suggestion that there is a direct link between the two. Literature on ethnic

and national identity is also considered throughout this section.

Because the literature on democratic transition is contingent upon an understanding of

democracy, it is essential to have a complete understanding of the varying definitions of

democracy. There is little consensus on how best to categorise definitions of democracy,

however. This thesis follows existing practice, with some re-evaluation of definitions. An

attempt is also made to clarify some incoherence in the literature. This thesis

differentiates between substantive and procedural definitions of democracy; those

based on outcomes and processes respectively. Procedural definitions are categorised

into minimalist, electoral, polyarchy and liberal definitions of democracy – each held to

a higher standard than the last.

1 Charles C. Ragin, Constructing Social Research: The Unity and Diversity of Method (Thousand Oaks: Pine Forge Press, 1994), 183.

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Finally, this chapter will consider the contentious politics framework used in this thesis

in greater detail. As a social movements theory, contentious politics takes political

opportunity structures seriously. Changing political opportunity structures in the form

of political reforms in Myanmar are considered. The units of analysis are described:

episodes are made up of processes which in turn are constituted by mechanisms. In the

episode of communal violence during democratic transition considered in this thesis,

there are five major processes identified: identity formation, boundary activation,

polarisation, actor constitution and interpretation. This analytical framework also

suggests a place for insecurity in the contentious politics literature – as an

environmental mechanism which can spur how actors attribute opportunity and threat.

2.1CommunalIdentity

As noted in the introductory chapter, the terms “communal”, “ethnic” and “identity”

groups and conflict are used interchangeably in the literature, often to refer to the same

concept.2 This study uses a broad definition of communal identity, outlined by Smith’s

definition of an ethnic group or ethnie as having six dimensions: a collective name, a

common myth of descent, a shared history, a distinctive shared culture, an association

with a specific territory, and a sense of solidarity.3 The distinctive consciousness held by

a group of people around their common identity, and the identification as such by other

groups, is an important element of this definition. It allows us to think of communal

identities as inclusive of ethnic and/or religious identity. Gurr also highlights this

element of the definition, observing that the key to identifying communal groups is not

a particular trait or set of traits, but the shared perception that these traits set the group

apart.4

Generally understood, “ethnic” refers to a narrower definition of identities based

primarily on “race” or language. “Communal”, in contrast, refers to a broader set of

ascriptive characteristics, real or perceived, which may include ethnic, religious,

2 Ted Robert Gurr, Minorities at Risk: A Global View of Ethnopolitical Conflicts (Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press, 1993), 3; Tajima, The Institutional Origins of Communal Violence, 5; TR Gurr and B Harff, Ethnic Conflict in World Politics (Colarado, United States: Westview Press, 2004), 3. 3 Smith, The Ethnic Origins of Nations, 22-31. 4 Gurr, Minorities at Risk: A Global View of Ethnopolitical Conflicts, 3.

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locational or linguistic identities.5 As noted earlier, the Myanmar term lumyo is used to

refer to both ethnic and religious identities, and thus reflects the broader meaning of

“communal”. As a rule, identities based on economic characteristics are not included in

communal identities.

The most widely used definition of nationalism is that provided by Gellner; “primarily a

principle which holds that the political and national unit should be congruent”.6 Snyder

expands this to a definition of ethno-nationalism – “the doctrine that a people who see

themselves as distinct in their culture, history, institutions, or principles should rule

themselves in a political system that expresses and protects those distinctive

characteristics”.7

2.2“Communal”Conflict,“Communal”Violence

Conflict is commonly defined as a “situation in which two or more actors pursue

incompatible, yet from their individual perspectives entirely just, goals”.8 Communal

conflict is one manifestation of this, during which the goals of at least one party are

defined exclusively in terms of their communal identity. According to Cordell and Wolff,

in instances of communal conflict, at least one group party to the conflict will claim that

its distinct identity is the reason why group or individual interests are not met, why rights

are restricted, or claims not satisfied.9 In a diverse society, some communal conflict is

“more of less inevitable”, states Varshney.10 However, he also reminds us that to assume

that violence is an inevitable outcome of communal conflict or communal identity is an

“inadmissible analytical leap”.11

5 Varshney, Ethnic Conflict and Civic Life : Hindus and Muslims in India, 4-5. Varshney refers to the narrower and broader definitions under the same term – ethnic. 6 Cited in EJ Hobsbawm, Nations and Nationalism since 1780: Programme, Myth, Reality (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1992), 9. 7 Snyder, From Voting to Violence: Democratization and Nationalist Conflict, 23. 8 See, for example, Cordell and Wolff, Ethnic Conflict, 4-5. 9 Ibid., 5. 10 Varshney, Ethnic Conflict and Civic Life : Hindus and Muslims in India, 24. 11 Ibid., 26.

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This thesis is concerned with instances in which communal conflict takes a violent form

– communal violence. In particular, the form of communal violence that this thesis is

concerned with has sometimes been called “riots” – “violence perpetrated by a group

on another group”.12 Aside from “riots”, communal violence can also occur in the form

of pogroms (violence against a community with the backing of the state), lynching

(violence against an individual by a group), ethnic cleansing or genocide. As noted by

Cheesman, to name any violence “communal” does not mean that all groups party to

the violence suffer to the same extend or carry equal responsibility.13 Furthermore,

calling the violence “communal” does not remove the state from the analysis, as will be

shown throughout this thesis. Communal violence is characterised by at least one group

party to the violence framing its grievances in communal terms. As Cheesman notes,

following instances of communal violence at least one party claiming a stake in the

violence will make claims upon the state based in communal terms, usually to the effect

of protecting or privileging one community over another.14 This thesis is not concerned

with organised violence in resistance of the state, although such insurgency or rebellion

may be mobilised along communal lines. As such, the violence in northern Rakhine State

from 2016 in which the Tatmadaw escalated violence against Rohingya communities

and an armed group claiming to represent Rohingya communities emerged is outside

the scope of this thesis.

The following section summarises the three dominant approaches to thinking about

communal identity – primordialism, instrumentalism and constructivism – and their

explanations of communal violence. An understanding of these approaches is an

essential basis for investigating the particular factors behind communal violence during

democratic transitions. Furthermore, different understandings of identity have different

policy implications. In the development of democratic institutions, for example, if one

follows the primordialist approach a consociational model seems logical as it assumes

that identities are unchangeable.15 On the other hand, if one supports a constructivist

12 Varshney, Tadjoeddin, and Pangabean, “Patterns of Collective Violence in Indonesia,” 21. 13 Cheesman, “Introduction: Interpreting Communal Violence in Myanmar,” 399; Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 10. 14 Cheesman, “Introduction: Interpreting Communal Violence in Myanmar,” 339. 15 James D Fearon and David D Laitin, “Violence and the Social Construction of Ethnic Identity,” International Organization 54, no. 4 (2000): 849.

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approach a consociational model will only entrench identities and intensify

polarisation.16

2.2.1PrimordialistApproaches

The primordialist approach to identity is based on the premise that identity groups, and

in particular ethnic groups, are ancient and natural. These affiliations are understood as

historical and unchangeable. “Primordial” has been defined by Smith as “preceding state

organization”.17 Primordialism as an approach has resisted an agreed definition,

however.18 Brown has explained the primordialist perspective as such: “humanity has

indeed evolved into distinct, organic communities, each with their own language and

culture, with each individual’s sense of identity derived from their location within one

such community”.19 Primordialist approaches essentialise attributes of individuals and

communities. It may be claimed that identity and nationalism refer to an ineffable and

unaccountable bond,20 which is emotional, spiritual and “cannot be explained

rationally”.21 As an extension of being a “natural” group, claims are made to natural

rights and sovereignty, either as an independent nation or as an autonomous region of

an existing nation.22

Almost all communal groups claim a primordial myth, whether it is concerned with

ethnicity, religion, language or location. Of course, common ancestry between members

of a “natural” group cannot be proved. For this reason, Connor has said that a nation is

“a group of people who feel that they are ancestrally related”.23 Van den Berghe

attempts to explain the prevalence of primordialism by observing that humans are

16 Bertrand and Haklai, “Democratization and Ethnic Minorities,” 48. 17 Smith 1996, 1998 cited in Daniele Conversi, “Resisting Primordialism and Other -Isms: In Lieu of Conclusions,” in Ethnonationalism in the Contemporary World: Walker Connor and the Study of Nationalism, ed. Daniele Conversi (London, New York: Routledge, 2002), 269. 18 Ibid. 19 David Brown, Contemporary Nationalism: Civic, Ethnocultural and Multicultural Politics (London: Routledge, 2000), 6. 20 See ibid., 8. 21 Connor, Ethnonationalism: The Quest for Understanding, 204. 22 Brown, Contemporary Nationalism: Civic, Ethnocultural and Multicultural Politics, 6. 23 Connor, Ethnonationalism: The Quest for Understanding, 202.

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programmed to preference those “in proportion to their real or perceived degree of

common ancestry”, in other words; those who are similar in a physical, linguistic or

cultural sense.24

The primordialist explanation of identity provides a perspective of how violence

develops. According to Gurr and Harff, the primordialist approach argues that

“modernization is a threat to ethnic solidarities that prompts minorities to mobilize in

defence of their culture and way of life”.25 Some argue that the approach goes so far as

to claim that “the presence of ethnic divisions in a nation is a sufficient condition for the

occurrence of ethnic violence”.26 According to a primordialist perspective, the solution

is to grant maximum autonomy to each community.27

While this approach is generally rejected by social scientists today, it was common in

the 1960s and 1970s. Aspects of the approach have been carried into the present by

some authors. The primordialist approach is evident though such claims as “two or more

incipient societies in a single state is an uncomfortable situation, and it often produces

impulses to make the society homogeneous, by assimilation, expulsion, or even

extermination”.28 Horowitz’s assumption is that the existence of diversity in a state is

enough to raise the risk of violence. While he starts with this primordialist assumption,

his analysis regarding the psychological roots of communal identity and conflict is more

nuanced, and it is the salience of communalism that interests him. He argues that it is

anxiety over domination by rival groups that characterises relations and inspires

violence.29 The struggle for group worth and legitimacy is suggested by Horowitz as an

explanation for why non-elites become involved in violence – a longstanding puzzle for

theorists.30

There are serious criticisms that can be made of the primordialist approach. If the

assertions made by primordialists were correct, we would expect violence in all nation-

24 PL Van den Berghe, “Does Race Matter?,” Nations and Nationalism 1, no. 3 (1995): 360. 25 Gurr and Harff, Ethnic Conflict in World Politics, 96. 26 Mousseau, “Democratizing with Ethnic Divisions: A Source of Conflict?,” 549. 27 Brown, Contemporary Nationalism: Civic, Ethnocultural and Multicultural Politics, 11. 28 Donald L. Horowitz, Ethnic Groups in Conflict (Berkeley: University of California Press, 2000 (1985)), 180. 29 Ibid., 179. 30 Ibid., 226.

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states that host diverse societies. Studies on the relationship between diversity and

violence, however, report either insignificant results or a negative relationship.31 The

primordialist approach fails to explain why communal violence occurs in some states

and not others.

2.2.2InstrumentalistApproaches

Unlike the primordialist approach, the instrumentalist approach sees communal identity

not as an especially ancient or particularly salient identity, but one of many identities

which may be invoked to meet individual or group needs. This is a rational choice theory.

Communal identity is invoked mainly as a means to material, social and political gains.32

From this perspective, communal identities gain social significance “mainly when ethnic

symbols are invoked and manipulated by political entrepreneurs in response to threats

or opportunities”.33 One assumption of the instrumentalist approach is that communal

identities represent variables. Cleavages can exist within groups, and the boundaries

and contents of identity can change, as they are not “fixed ideas of wholly primordial

identities”.34

From this perspective, “political entrepreneurs” will capitalize on differences to create

political movements, based on identity, to increase the economic and political benefits

for their group.35 Minority groups may identify and mobilize along communal lines as a

reaction to perceived or actual differential treatment from the dominant ethnic group.36

The instrumentalist approach often explains communal violence as elite manipulation

of identities, and argues that it is rarely driven by mass irrationality.37

31 Mousseau, “Democratizing with Ethnic Divisions: A Source of Conflict?,” 549, 59. 32 Gurr and Harff, Ethnic Conflict in World Politics, 96; Mousseau, “Democratizing with Ethnic Divisions: A Source of Conflict?,” 549. 33 Gurr, Peoples Versus States: Minorities at Risk in the New Century, 4. 34 Harvey Glickman and Peter Furia, “Issues in the Analysis of Ethnic Conflict and Democratization Processes in Africa Today,” in Ethnic Conflict and Democratization in Africa, ed. Harvey Glickman (Atlanta, Georgia: The African Studies Association Press, 2005), 8. 35 Gurr and Harff, Ethnic Conflict in World Politics, 96. 36 Gurr, Minorities at Risk: A Global View of Ethnopolitical Conflicts, 124. 37 Bertrand and Haklai, “Democratization and Ethnic Minorities,” 52; Glickman and Furia, “Issues in the Analysis of Ethnic Conflict and Democratization Processes in Africa Today,” 8.

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The shortcoming of the instrumentalist approach to communal violence is that it fails to

explain why non-elites become involved in violence. The costs and risks of engaging in

communal violence are high, while the rewards for individuals are low. Violence often

appears irrational as individuals risk injury, incarceration and even loss of life. Fearon

and Laitin ask how a rational-choice approach can explain emotionally powerful

identities which sometimes drive acts of irrational hatred, bigotry and destruction.38

Brass suggests that individuals involved in violence are in fact pursuing their own diverse

agendas that have little to do with communal identity.39 This may be true for some

individuals. Other work, however, has stressed the power of deeply felt identity and

division between communal groups, and shown how this justified violence.40

Instrumentalist explanations beg the question as to why individuals perpetrate violence.

If identities are simply deployed for rational economic, political or other gain, why are

large numbers of people willing to put their life on the line for them?

2.2.3ConstructivistApproaches

While primordialism and instrumentalism view identity as an instinct and an interest

respectively, for constructivism it is an ideology.41 Constructivist approaches emphasise

the ways in which identities “emerge and change over time”.42 Brown is a strong

proponent of this non-rational choice approach. He argues that “national identity is

constructed on the basis of institutional or ideological frameworks which offer simple

and indeed simplistic formulas of identity, and diagnoses of contemporary problems, to

otherwise confused or insecure individuals”.43 Constructivist approaches deny that

communal groups are “real substantive entities” and assert that the perception that

they are real should be treated as a form of “ideological consciousness which filters

reality, rather than reflects it”.44

38 Fearon and Laitin, “Violence and the Social Construction of Ethnic Identity,” 385. 39 Brass 1997, cited in ibid., 855. 40 Duncan, Violence and Vengeance: Religious Conflict and Its Aftermath in Eastern Indonesia. 41 Brown, Contemporary Nationalism: Civic, Ethnocultural and Multicultural Politics, 5. 42 Gurr and Harff, Ethnic Conflict in World Politics, 97. 43 Brown, Contemporary Nationalism: Civic, Ethnocultural and Multicultural Politics, 20. 44 Ibid.

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A core concept of constructivism is that ideas and practices are co-constitutive.

Understood as ideological frameworks generated through experience and learning,

communal identities shape individuals’ relationship with state institutions and other

identity groups. The reverse is also true, as institutions also shape identities, states

Brown:

the institutional arrangements which an individual inhabits may become

the defining categories of political understanding concerning their identity,

interests and goals. Thus when the state organises parliamentary representation,

regional structures, interest associations or identity documents specifically on a

racial, ethnic, or nationality basis, such institutionalisms come to define the

ideological parameters for those who function within them.45

According to Brubaker, these institutional arrangements provide

a pervasive system of social classification, an organizing ‘principle of

vision and division’ of the social world, a standardized scheme of social

accounting, an interpretative grid for public discussion, a set of boundary-

markers, a legitimate form for public and private identities, and… a ready-made

template for claims to sovereignty. Institutional definitions of nationhood…

constitute basic categories of political understanding, central parameters of

political rhetoric, specific types of political interest, and fundamental forms of

political identity.46

According to some constructivist accounts, communal identities, particularly those

based on ethnicity and nationalism, are constructed as a reaction to the insecurities and

anxieties of rapid social change such as those related to colonisation, modernisation and

industrialisation.47 Nationalism and other communal identities are powerful because

they serve an emotional function.

45 Ibid., 21. 46 Rogers Brubaker, Nationalism Reframed: Nationhood and the National Question in New Europe (Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press, 1996), 24. 47 Gurr and Harff, Ethnic Conflict in World Politics, 96; Brown, Contemporary Nationalism: Civic, Ethnocultural and Multicultural Politics, 77.

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A constructivist approach is consistent with the definition of communal groups used in

this thesis. Everyday primordialism refers to the notion that “people often believe,

mistakenly, that certain social categories are natural, inevitable, and unchanging facts

about the social world”.48 A similar understanding of primordialism can be read into

Connor’s definition of a nation as “a group of people who feel that they are ancestrally

related”.49 Similarly, Anderson has thought of nations as “imagined communities”.50 As

Duncan notes, the argument “that religious identities are constructed does not make

those identities any less real for those who lay claim to them”.51 Identities may be

constructed, but they are also real.

There has been little written on the constructivist explanation of communal violence.

Much of the literature refers to explanations that reflect instrumentalism, focusing on

elite appeals to group identity in order to retain power.52 As such, these explanations

fail to explain why non-elites follow elites into violence. Fearon and Laitin summarise

three constructivist explanations of identity formation and violence which explain why

non-elites perpetrate violence; broad structural forces; discursive formations; or

individual driven.53 The first explanation reflects the assertion that identities are

constructed during times of rapid social change, reflecting the argument presented by

Brown. Thinkers such as Gellner and Anderson argued that modernisation has politicised

facets of culture that were previously irrelevant,54 making communal identities very

important to individuals. It is not clear how this is transformed into violence, however.

The second explains the social construction of group identities as necessarily involving

“differentiating one’s self or one’s group from an Other”, providing the potential for a

“violent, antagonistic relationship”.55 The weakness in this “constructivist” explanation,

however, is that it reflects the primordialist view that communal difference is a sufficient

48 Fearon and Laitin, “Violence and the Social Construction of Ethnic Identity,” 848. 49 Connor, Ethnonationalism: The Quest for Understanding, 202. 50 Benedict Anderson, Imagined Communities (London and New York: Verso, 1991 (1983)). 51 Duncan, Violence and Vengeance: Religious Conflict and Its Aftermath in Eastern Indonesia, 6. 52 See Fearon and Laitin, “Violence and the Social Construction of Ethnic Identity,” 853. 53 Ibid., 850. 54 Ibid., 851. 55 Ibid.

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explanation of communal violence. Later in their article, Fearon and Laitin concede that

the evidence supporting this thesis “is at best ambiguous”.56

The third explanation is based on elites using the problem of asymmetric information to

manipulate followers’ beliefs, and raise threat perception levels. Based on the

assumption that people have an innate desire for self-esteem, they may be “irrationally

reluctant to believe that members of their own group, and especially their leadership,

could be possible for reprehensible acts”.57 Elites are assumed to have better

information about relations with another group. Publics give leaders the benefit of the

doubt while leaders may abuse this trust, a manifestation of the classic agency

problem.58 Similarly, attaining self-esteem through conflict with another group has been

raised as an explanation for non-elite behaviour by Horowitz.59 This explanation

contributes to filling an important deficit in the literature – an explanation of why non-

elites become involved in violence.

Another constructivist explanation of non-elite participation in communal violence is

Sewell’s, who argues that an inherent part of cultural practice is organising difference

between groups. When a sub-group moves to differentiate itself from the main group,

or to move closer into this group, opposition to segregation or inclusion emerges, and

can take on a violent expression. He argues that conflicts over inclusion in one group

may result in external adventures in the form of violence with another group in order to

assert true allegiance to the first group.60 Brown argues that the contradiction of why

non-elites engage in violence is more “apparent than real”, and that “it would be difficult

to argue, for example, that it is irrational for us to become afraid in the face of attack,

or to become emotionally involved in the defence or pursuit of those interests which we

consider to be most central to our life goals”.61 When identity is understood as an

ideology, rather than as a rational choice, violence in its defence is more easily

understood.

56 Ibid., 857. 57 Ibid., 854. 58 Ibid., 855. 59 Horowitz, Ethnic Groups in Conflict, 179. 60 Sewell 1999, cited in Fearon and Laitin, “Violence and the Social Construction of Ethnic Identity,” 856. 61 Brown, Contemporary Nationalism: Civic, Ethnocultural and Multicultural Politics, 15.

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There is some overlap between these three approaches to communal identity. In

particular, both instrumentalism and constructivism emphasise the flexible nature of

identity. The main difference between the approaches is that instrumentalism views

identity as a rational choice, while for constructivism it is an unconscious construct.

While the primordial approach is taken less seriously by most scholars, the constructivist

explanation of violence is limited. While constructivist scholars view identity as

temporary and subject to change, they also acknowledge that it is not treated as such

by communities. Without doubt, the constructivist approach dominates contemporary

social science thought on identity and violence. Perhaps the greatest strength of a

constructivist approach is its ability to explain variation in communal violence across

time and space, as a result of local constructions of identity. If identity is constructed in

part by interaction with the state, how does identity respond to changes in political

institutions as democratic reforms take place? After establishing how this thesis

considers democratic transition, these questions will be approached in the contentious

politics framework.

2.3DemocracyandDemocraticTransition

Over a decade ago leading democracy theorist Guillermo A. O’Donnell noted that the

existing literature theorising and defining democracy was not yet a “sufficiently clear

and consistent corpus”.62 In 1956, Gallie termed democracy an “essentially contested

concept”, reflecting its “multi-dimensional, internally complex, extremely vague,

qualitative, and value-laden” nature.63 The contested nature of democracy remains at

the root of why the literature remains unclear and inconsistent today.64 There remains

little consensus over definitions and standards. Indeed, the more than 550 different

62 Guillermo A. O'Donnell, “Democracy, Law and Comparative Politics,” Studies in Comparative International Development 36, no. 1 (2001): 7. 63 Walter B. Gallie, “Essentially Contested Concepts,” Proceedings of the Aritotalian Society 56 (1956): 184. 64 Laurence Whitehead, Democratization: Theory and Experience (Oxford & New York: Oxford University Press, 2002), 7.

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definitions of democracy surveyed by Collier and Levitsky in 1996 continue to be

expanded upon and debated.65

It has become standard practice to differentiate between two fundamentally different

forms that definitions of democracy take; substantive and procedural. Substantive

definitions emphasise the substance and outcomes of democracy such as the equality

of resource distribution or opportunity of participation. In contrast, procedural

definitions are concerned with democratic mechanisms. To put the distinction simply,

substantive definitions are concerned with “what” democracy is, while procedural

definitions are interested in “how” democracy works.66

2.3.1SubstantiveDefinitions

Substantive definitions are concerned with what democracy is, and judge a political

system by its outcomes. Substantive definitions may define democracies by the extent

to which “power is to be distributed in society in such a manner that everyone can

participate on an equal footing, meaning the democracy is to some extent defined by its

results”.67 Contending that a democracy does not have to consist of a single unique set

of institutions, Schmitter and Karl outline the following substantive definition of

democracy; “Modern political democracy is a system of governance in which rulers are

held accountable for their actions in the public realm by citizens, acting indirectly

through the competition and cooperation of their elected representatives”.68 Another

example of a substantive definition is that given by Benhabib, who states that a

democracy is

a model for organizing the collective and public exercise of power in the

major institutions of society on the basis of the principle that decisions affecting

the well-being of a collectivity can be viewed as the outcome of a procedure of

65 Cited in Jørgen Møller and Svend-Erik Skaaning, Democracy and Democratization in Comparative Perspective: Conceptions, Conjunctures, Causes, and Consequences (London and New York: Routledge, 2012), 9. 66 Ibid., 41. 67 Ibid. 68 Philippe C. Schmitter and Terry Lynn Karl, “What Democracy Is... And Is Not,” Journal of Democracy 2, no. 3 (1991): 76.

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free and reasoned deliberation among individuals considered as moral and

political equals.69

These definitions are “maximalist or prescriptive”; they tell us what outcomes a

democracy should produce.70 O’Donnell critiques Benhabib’s definition, arguing that

“we are not told in what sense, to what extent, and by whom democracies “can be

viewed” as satisfying the requirement stipulated in the definition”.71 Substantive

definitions are contrasted to their procedural counterpart, which are termed “realistic”

by O’Donnell.72 The benefit of substantive definitions of democracy is that they

recognise each democratic system may reflect its own political community. The

weakness, however, is that it is not clear just what such systems may have in common.

The literature on substantive democracy remains limited; which presents difficulties for

a study analysing movement towards a more democratic regime.

2.3.2ProceduralDefinitions

Procedural definitions of democracy delineate the processes or institutions a political

system must have to be labelled a democracy. These definitions are concerned with how

the system works. There is a high degree of debate over exactly what is involved in a

democracy and different definitions provide different procedural standards. Here,

definitions of minimalist democracy, electoral democracy, polyarchy and liberal

democracy are outlined. Møller and Skaaning’s categories are used,73 although a closer

reading of the literature has led to a reclassification of some definitions.

Diamond defined democracy as “free and fair multiparty elections by secret and

universal ballot”.74 While Diamond calls such a system electoral democracy, this thesis

saves that term for another procedural definition. Here, such a definition is called a

69 Seyla Benhabib, “Toward a Deliberative Model of Democratic Legitimacy,” in Democracy and Difference : Contesting the Boundaries of the Political, ed. Seyla Benhabib (Princeton, N.J: Princeton University Press, 1996), 68. 70 O'Donnell, “Democracy, Law and Comparative Politics,” 12. 71 Ibid. 72 Ibid., 13. 73 Møller and Skaaning, Democracy and Democratization in Comparative Perspective: Conceptions, Conjunctures, Causes, and Consequences, 43. 74 Diamond, Developing Democracy: Towards Consolidation, 5.

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minimalist definition, and it outlines a minimalist democracy. This definition contains no

freedom or right protections, and is limited only to elections.75 There are no political

freedoms guaranteed to ensure the competitiveness of elections. Given the

contemporary almost universal recognition of democracy as perhaps the only legitimate

system of governance, more and more regimes are eager to claim the title, despite a

lack of democratic characteristics. Holding elections that are free and fair on an election

day can mask the absence of political freedoms which make the process truly

competitive and meaningful. The danger of this definition is explained by Karl, who

defines “electoralism” as “the faith that merely holding elections will channel political

action into peaceful contests among elites and accord public legitimacy to the

winners”.76 Referring to this phenomenon, Fareed Zakaria has noted “the rise of illiberal

democracy”, the dangerous phenomenon of “freely elected governments that fail to

safeguard basic liberties”.77

Perhaps the first procedural definition of democracy to be published was an electoral

definition. In 1942, Schumpeter wrote that “the democratic method is that institutional

arrangement for arriving at political decisions in which individuals acquire the power to

decide by means of a competitive struggle for the people’s vote”.78 From this oft-quoted

yet context-deprived definition, the demands placed upon a system to qualify as

democratic appear to be very low; there must simply be elections. At first glance this is

a minimalist definition. O’Donnell encourages a closer reading of Schumpeter, however,

and notes that further conditions are mentioned, although these are frequently

overlooked.79 Importantly, Schumpeter notes that there must be “free competition for

a free vote”, and that this will likely mean “a considerable amount of freedom of

discussion for all”, including “a considerable amount of freedom of the press”.80 Hence,

Møller & Skaaning’s claim that Schumpeter “categorically rejects civil liberties” is

75 Marc F. Plattner, “Liberalism and Democracy: Can't Have One without the Other,” Foreign Affairs, March/April (1998). 76 Karl 1986, cited in Schmitter and Karl, “What Democracy Is... And Is Not,” 78. 77 Zakaria, cited in Plattner, “Liberalism and Democracy: Can't Have One without the Other.” 78 Joseph A. Schumpeter, Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy (London: Unwin University Books, 1974 [1942]), 269. 79 O'Donnell, “Democracy, Law and Comparative Politics,” 9. 80 Schumpeter, Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy, 271-72., italics in original.

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fundamentally incorrect.81 This is a definition of electoral democracy. Huntington uses a

similar definition, stating that a system is democratic to the “extent that its most

powerful collective decision makers are selected through fair, honest, and periodic

elections in which candidates freely compete for votes and in which virtually all the adult

population is eligible to vote”.82 Again, this sounds like a minimalist definition, until one

reads further.83 Huntington adds that this “also implies the existence of those civil and

political freedoms to speak, publish, assemble, and organize that are necessary to

political debate and the conduct of electoral campaigns”.84

Although still a restricted definition compared to others, electoral democracy is not as

basic as it is sometimes represented to be. There are two elements to this definition.

First, elections must be free and fair. This means that elections are held regularly, and

all able adult citizens of the political community can cast their vote and have the

opportunity to run for political office without coercion. Second is a sufficient amount of

political freedom. Without this condition elections would be meaningless, as voters

could not access information vital to them at the voting booth. The most vital freedoms

are those of association and speech, to ensure a free press and access to information,

including alternative information. While this definition is more comprehensive than a

minimalist definition, it lacks the demanding elements seen in subsequent definitions,

such as Dahl’s “polyarchy”.85

Polyarchy is a more stringent definition, and Dahl has outlined seven conditions:

1) Control over government decisions about policy is constitutionally vested in

elected officials.

2) Elected officials are chosen in frequent and fairly conducted elections in which

coercion is comparatively uncommon.

81 Møller and Skaaning, Democracy and Democratization in Comparative Perspective: Conceptions, Conjunctures, Causes, and Consequences, 31. 82 Samuel P. Huntington, The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Oklahoma: University of Oklahoma Press, 1991), 7. 83 O'Donnell, “Democracy, Law and Comparative Politics,” 11. 84 Huntington, The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century, 7. Huntington has given a minimalist definition of democracy elsewhere, however. “How Countries Democratize,” Political Science Quarterly 106, no. 4 (1991-2). 85 Ronald A. Dahl, Polyarchy: Participation and Opposition (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1971).

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3) Practically all adults have the right to vote in the election of officials.

4) Practically all adults have the right to run for elective offices in the government .

. . .

5) Citizens have a right to express themselves without the danger of severe

punishment on political matters broadly defined . . . .

6) Citizens have a right to seek out alternative sources of information. Moreover,

alternative sources of information exist and are protected by law.

7) . . . Citizens also have the right to form relatively independent associations or

organizations, including independent political parties and interest groups.86

The conditions of polyarchy include those of electoral democracy – free and fair

elections with provisions for sufficient political freedoms. Dahl contributes one further

condition; that elected representatives control policy. It is implied that there can be no

unelected bodies with control over governmental power and policy. In most cases this

is relevant to the armed forces. Schmitter and Karl, however, find that Dahl’s condition

is too ambiguous, and advocate extending it as such; “Popularly elected officials must

be able to exercise their constitutional powers without being subjected to overriding

(albeit informal) opposition from unelected officials”.87 While Schmitter and Karl’s

extended condition usefully brings attention to this vital quality, this meaning can be

read into Dahl’s original text. In short, as well as the conditions stipulated in electoral

definitions, polyarchy demands that there is no unelected influence on government

power.

Liberal democracy is the most demanding procedural definition of democracy. Diamond

provides a comprehensive definition.

In addition to regular, free, and fair electoral competition and universal

suffrage, it requires first the absence of reserved domains of power for the

military or other social and political forces that are not either directly or indirectly

accountable to the electorate. Second, in addition to the vertical accountability

86 Dahl 1982, cited in Schmitter and Karl, “What Democracy Is... And Is Not,” 81. 87 Ibid.

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of rulers to the ruled, it requires horizontal accountability of officeholders to one

another; this constrains executive power and so helps protect constitutionalism,

the rule of law, and the deliberative process. Third, it encompasses extensive

provisions for political and civic pluralism, as well as for individual and group

freedoms, so that contending interests and values may be expressed and

compete through ongoing processes of articulation and representation, beyond

periodic elections.88

This definition contains the two elements noted above in definitions of electoral

democracy: free and fair elections, and sufficient political freedoms, although Diamond

extends this latter condition to substantial individual and group freedoms. As in

polyarchy, liberal democracy prohibits any political power for unelected forces. This

definition differs from those previous, however, in that it also requires checks and

balances between the pillars of government, to ensure the rule of law. Møller and

Skaaning also note that the essential difference between polyarchy and liberal

democracy is the rule of law, defined by them as “the regular and impartial

administration of public rules”.89 Liberal democracy builds on polyarchy by extending

freedoms and ensuring the rule of law.

Four procedural definitions of democracy have been summarised here: minimalist,

electoral, polyarchy and liberal democracy. The elements of the four definitions are

outlined in Table 2.1, which is a modified version of Møller & Skaaning’s “typology of

democratic political regimes”.90

88 Diamond, Developing Democracy: Towards Consolidation, 10-11. 89 Møller and Skaaning, Democracy and Democratization in Comparative Perspective: Conceptions, Conjunctures, Causes, and Consequences, 44. 90 Ibid., 43.

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Type of Democracy

by Criteria

Rule of

Law

Parliamentary

Sovereignty

Political

Freedoms

Free and

Fair

Elections

Minimalist Democracy

ü

Electoral Democracy ü ü

Polyarchy ü ü ü

Liberal Democracy ü ü ü ü

Table 2.1 Procedural Definitions of Democracy

Due to the difficulty of sustaining democracy in divided societies, it has been argued by

Horowitz that “purely procedural conceptions of democracy” are inadequate, because

“the procedure can be impeccable and the exclusion complete”.91 A majoritarian form

of democracy for example, with single-member districts and a plurality voting system

could mean that minority communal groups are perpetually excluded from decision

making. If Horowitz based his argument in a minimalist or electoral definition of

democracy, which gives little guarantees of political freedoms, this would lead him to

such a conclusion. Polyarchy or liberal democracy, however, give more guarantees to

the protection of minority groups, and an argument could be made that a system with

minority communal groups forever in opposition would still be a liberal democracy – if

their concerns were managed in some other way such as a federal system or special

representation in parliament. The value in Horowitz’s critique is the illumination of the

fact that minority exclusion does pose a problem for democracies, including liberal

democracies. This suggests that procedural definitions of democracy are insufficient,

and that the measurement of outcome is important.

91 Donald L. Horowitz, “Democracy in Divided Societies,” Journal of Democracy 4, no. 4 (1993): 31.

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Whitehead argues that procedural definitions are both too precise and too

incomplete.92 “The stress is overwhelmingly on procedures of public decision-making

and accountability, to the disregard of outcomes and the near exclusion of broader social

values”, he suggests.93 This is made obvious by the outcomes of procedural democracy

in divided societies. A definition that only stressed the outcome of the political system,

however, would be just as lacking. O’Donnell and Schmitter note that certain procedural

minimums are “necessary elements” of democracy.94 Whitehead also finds fault with

substantive definitions.95 He argues that judging political systems by “standardized

outcomes regardless of context or resources is in fact both historically and culturally

insensitive”.96 A complete definition of democracy may involve both substantive and

procedural elements. Schmitter and Karl find that procedural conditions are “necessary

but not sufficient” for democracy to function, as democracy relies upon accepted

principles to function.97 Following a similar trajectory, Whitehead proposes that

democracy should not be understood as a pre-determined end-state, but as “a long-

term and somewhat open-ended outcome, not just as a feasible equilibrium but as a

socially desirable and imaginary future”.98 The process should be based not on the

“passing opinions of an arbitrary local majority”, but rather on “reflective opinion” from

domestic, regional and global influences.99 In this sense, democracy can be understood

as both a process and an outcome. Furthermore, as the product of these diverse

influences, democracy will differ across various contexts. A comprehensive and

applicable definition of democracy which combines both substantive and procedural

elements could have very positive applications, and is an area which deserves more

research.

There remains little consensus on defining democracy, and different studies use

different definitions. An electoral definition of democracy has commonly been used in

92 Whitehead, Democratization: Theory and Experience, 11. 93 Ibid., 12., italics in original. 94 O'Donnell and Schmitter, Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions About Uncertain Democracies, 8. 95 Whitehead, Democratization: Theory and Experience, 13. 96 Ibid. 97 Schmitter and Karl, “What Democracy Is... And Is Not,” 81, 82. 98 Whitehead, Democratization: Theory and Experience, 3. 99 Ibid.

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quantitative studies.100 For qualitative research a more demanding standard is suitable.

Diamond’s definition of liberal democracy is the most comprehensive and is adopted in

this study. Due to the lack of consensus, studies of democracy can talk past each other,

discussing different concepts and making comparison difficult and conclusions tentative.

A thorough understanding of definitions can mitigate these dangers. Furthermore,

definitions of democracy are central to definitions of democratic transition, the next

focus of this analytical framework.

2.4DemocraticTransition

Before discussing definitions of democratic transition it has been essential to traverse

the literature on what constitutes a democracy. This is illustrated by the definitions of

democratic transition given in the literature. For instance, referring to his own definition

of democracy, Huntington defines democratic transition as the “replacement of a

government that was not chosen this way by one that is”.101 Reiter defines transition as

“the movement from a system of authoritarian rule to one of institutionalized,

democratic governance”.102 Each requires a definition of democracy. The most

comprehensive definition of democratic transition is O’Donnell and Schmitter’s. They

define democratic transition as the “processes whereby the rules and procedures of

citizenship are either applied to political institutions previously governed by other

principles”, “expanded to include persons not previously enjoying such rights and

obligations”, “or extended to cover issues and institutions not previously subject to

citizen participation”.103 O’Donnell and Schmitter note that democratic transition – “the

interval between one political regime and another” – does not include democratic

consolidation. The process of democratic transition and consolidation –

“democratisation” – is arguably never complete.104 There is no guarantee that

democracy will be the end result of any liberalisation or democratic transition process.

100 See, for example, Huntington, The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century, 7; SM Lipset, “Some Social Requisites of Democracy: Economic Development and Political Legitimacy,” The American Political Science Review 53, no. 1 (1959): 71. 101 Huntington, The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century, 9. 102 Dan Reiter, “Does Peace Nurture Democracy?,” The Journal of Politics 63, no. 3 (2003): 936. 103 O'Donnell and Schmitter, Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions About Uncertain Democracies, 8. 104 Ibid., 6.

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From the definitions of democracy and democratic transitions above, this thesis defines

democratic transition as the process of newly applying democratic rules and procedures

to institutions. Using a liberal definition of democracy, democratic transition therefore

is specifically understood as; the holding of competitive free and fair elections;

broadening individual and group freedoms; the withdrawal of non-elected (often

military) influence from governance; and the institutionalisation of the rule of law

through a system of checks and balances. This definition is useful as it can be used to

measure gradual change towards democracy. In contrast, a minimalist or electoral

definition of democracy used in conjunction with this definition of democratic transition

would simply represent snap elections with little guarantee of institutional change or

expanded political freedoms.

Distinct from the early phase of democratic transition, liberalisation refers primarily to

expanding liberties. It has been defined as steps taken in a democratic direction, without

submitting leaders to the electoral test.105 Mainwaring contends that liberalisation is an

extension of liberties within the authoritarian regime, while democratic transition

concerns regime change.106 Similarly, O’Donnell and Schmitter define liberalisation as

“the process of making effective certain rights that protect both individuals and social

groups from arbitrary or illegal acts committed by the state or third parties”.107

2.5ContentiousEpisodes,ProcessesandMechanisms

This section outlines the contentious politics framework used in this thesis. The units of

analysis of contentious politics – episodes, processes and mechanisms – are explained.

The processes which are most relevant to communal violence during democratic

transition in Myanmar are then examined in some depth. These are; identity formation,

boundary activation, polarisation, actor constitution and interpretation. Changing

105 Huntington, The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century, 9. 106 Cited in Lise Storm, “An Elemental Definition of Democracy and Its Advantages for Comparing Political Regime Types,” Democratization 15, no. 2 (2008): 225. 107 O'Donnell and Schmitter, Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions About Uncertain Democracies, 7.

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political opportunity structures under democratic transition and the environmental

mechanism of insecurity are also dealt with.

Contentious politics make a rough distinction between three levels of analysis;

mechanisms, processes and episodes. Episodes “are continuous streams of contention

including collective claims making that bear on other parties’ interests”.108 These are the

largest units of analysis in contentious politics. McAdam, Tarrow and Tilly posit that;

big structures and sequences never repeat themselves, but result from

differing combinations and sequences of mechanisms with very general scope.

Even within a single episode, we will find multiform, changing, and self-

constructing actors, identities, forms of action and interaction.109

Although episodes are bound to each other in interaction, they are isolated for the

purpose of investigation.110 For our purposes, communal violence under democratic

transition in Myanmar is considered one episode, spanning from 2012 to 2014. While

this episode is part of a longer series of similar and dissimilar episodes, for the purpose

of systematic research contentious politics focuses on one episode. However, this

episode is not removed from context or treated as unique. There are four ways in which

contentious politics literature treats episodes as “self-contained”. First, varying

combinations of mechanisms and processes are detected in any episode.111 Second, it

treats episodes not as given phenomena, but as “observers’ lenses”, the interpretation

of which makes certain mechanisms and processes more visible than others.112 Third,

“naming and labelling” any episode itself is recognised as a “political act”, which has

consequences for identities, responses and mobilisation.113 Fourth, episodes are not

treated as pre-determined sequences, but as dynamic contention “in which different

streams of mobilization and demobilisation intersect, identities form and evolve, and

new forms of action are invented, honed, and rejected as actors interact”.114

108 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 24. 109 Ibid., 30. 110 Tilly and Tarrow, Contentious Politics, 36. 111 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 29. 112 Ibid., 29-30. 113 Ibid., 30. 114 Ibid.

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Episodes consist of multiple processes. Processes “are regular sequences of…

mechanisms that produce similar (generally more complex and contingent)

transformations of those elements”.115 Processes intersect with environmental

constraints, other processes and mechanisms.116 Most simply, processes should be

considered as a result of the function of a body of mechanisms. This thesis analyses the

key processes relevant to communal violence under democratic transition in Myanmar.

In order of analysis, these are identity formation, boundary activation, polarisation,

actor constitution and interpretation. They should not be taken to follow a sequential

process, however. Processes interact with each other and share mechanisms. Many of

the processes encountered in the following chapters took place simultaneously,

operating via the same mechanisms and altering the operations of each other.

Mechanisms are events which alter relations between the different parts of an episode,

such as actions or identities. When interactions change existing relations, mechanisms

are at work.117 Applying a contentious politics approach to collective violence, Tilly

sought to identify “small-scale mechanisms that produce identical immediate effects in

many different circumstances yet combine variously to generate very different

outcomes on the large scale”.118 Different episodes share common mechanisms. There

is a rough distinction between environmental, cognitive, and relational mechanisms.119

Environmental mechanisms are “externally generated influences on conditions affecting

social life”.120 An example would be the effect that long-term demographic changes or

a natural disaster have on participation in politics. In this thesis, insecurity is treated as

an environmental mechanism which influences the behaviour of individuals and

communities. Cognitive mechanisms “operate through alterations of individual and

collective perception; words like recognize, understand, reinterpret, and classify

characterize such mechanisms”.121 A classic example of a cognitive mechanism is

commitment – individuals remain involved in contention due to the fact that

115 Ibid., 24. 116 Ibid., 51. 117 Ibid., 26. 118 Tilly, The Politics of Collective Violence, 20. 119 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 25; Tilly, The Politics of Collective Violence, 20-21. 120 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 25. 121 Ibid., 26.

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withdrawing would incur unacceptable cost.122 Finally, relational mechanisms “alter

connections among people, groups and interpersonal networks”.123 “Brokerage” is a

common relational mechanism, and involves the linking of two or more “social sites”

and the mediation of their relations with one or more other sites.124

2.5.1ChangingPoliticalOpportunityStructures

As Tilly and Tarrow note, the “major constraints and incentives for contentious politics

are political opportunity structures”.125 Political opportunity structure refers to both

opportunities and threats. Tilly and Tarrow present political opportunity structure as

“the framework within which people decide whether to mobilize, make decisions about

optimal combinations of performances to use, and are likely to succeed or fail in their

efforts”.126 This is crucial for understanding any episode of contention.

Different political regimes structure and respond to contentious politics differently;

tolerating, encouraging and restricting different types and different quantities of

contentious political action.127 For example, some regimes reward claims made on a

communal basis while others do not. The two greatest determinants of political

opportunity structure are governmental capacity and the extent of democracy, with

governmental capacity defined as “the extent to which governmental action affects the

character and distribution of population, activity, and resources within the

government’s territory”.128 Changes in these features will produce changes in the

character of contention. Changes in political opportunity structure can coincide with

changes in regime type or political reform within an existing regime.129 Inevitably,

political opportunity structures shape the character of contentious politics.

122 Ibid. 123 Ibid. 124 Ibid. 125 Tilly and Tarrow, Contentious Politics, 22. 126 Ibid., 49-50. 127 Ibid., 45. 128 Ibid., 55. 129 Ibid., 49.

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Tilly and Tarrow note that most political actors “see themselves responding to threats

they perceive to their interests, their values, or their identities”, rather than as

responding to opportunities.130 They note, however, that “threats and opportunities co-

occur, and most people engaging in contentious politics combine response to threat

with seizing opportunities”.131 The types of claims which are available to actors differ

depending on the regime under which they operate. While regimes cannot control all

institutions, they do shape institutions.132 Tilly and Tarrow document how high-capacity

undemocratic states tend to prescribe many institutions and contentious performances

while forbidding many others. In contrast, low-capacity democratic states will tolerate

many, but prescribe and forbid very few.133 They show that;

A regime’s relations, institutions, opportunities, threats, and repertoires

combine to shape its popular contention. The deep processes of democratization

and dedemocratization strongly affect relations, institutions, opportunities,

threats, and repertoires. Contention feeds back. It also reshapes political

relations, institutions, opportunities, threats and repertoires.134

Democratic transition and the changing opportunity structures that accompany it are a

time of great opportunity and threat. Threats appear to be multiplied by the uncertainty

of transition. During this time a range of political opportunities open for communal elites

and entrepreneurs.135 Many questions about the outcome of transition are pertinent.

Who will hold a dominant position in the state? What position will minorities have?

What shape will any potential federal or power-sharing system take? How will benefits

from natural resources flow? Who will make these decisions? Due to the uncertainty

inherent in political transition, majorities cannot give minorities absolute assurances

that their status will be protected in the new system. Changing political opportunity

structures, often in the form of political change, present both threats and opportunities

for a variety of actors.

130 Ibid., 58. 131 Ibid. 132 Ibid., 60. 133 Ibid. 134 Ibid., 67. 135 Gurr, Peoples Versus States: Minorities at Risk in the New Century, 85.

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2.5.2IdentityFormation

A contentious politics approach recognises that identities are constructed, and that

actors have a range of identities that they may invoke in different circumstances. In

revolutionary Paris, for instance, individuals identified for the first time as

revolutionaries and patriots. These identities all had “contested boundaries”, and were

constantly changing as they interacted with other parties. They also “coexisted with

other identities, such as carpenter, parishioner or spouse”.136 Contentious politics also

recognises “everyday primordialism”, and notes that identities are often treated by

actors as “essential, coherent attributes of other persons, and sometimes even of

themselves”, despite the fact that people have a wide variety of constructed

identities.137 Tilly and Tarrow recognise that most often identities exist prior to politics

and are often created due to processes unrelated to politics.138

The contentious politics approach stresses that identity is constructed through

interaction, as actors are

interacting repeatedly with others, renegotiating who they are, adjusting the

boundaries they occupy, modifying their actions in rapid response to other people’s

reactions, selecting among and altering available scripts, improvising new forms of

joint action, speaking sentences no one has ever uttered before, yet responding

predictably to their locations within webs of social relations they themselves cannot

map in detail.139

Tilly and Tarrow suggest that identities have four components: “(1) a boundary

separating me from you or us from them, (2) a set of relations within the boundary, (3)

a set of relations across the boundary, and (4) shared understandings of the boundary

and the relations”.140 These shared understandings are not absolute, however. Tilly and

Tarrow cite examples of sellers and buyers and students and teachers – two different

136 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 55. 137 Ibid., 125. 138 Tilly and Tarrow, Contentious Politics, 80. 139 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 131. 140 Tilly and Tarrow, Contentious Politics, 79.

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sets of identities. “In all these cases, the combination of a boundary with relations inside

and across it always generates some shared sense of the boundary’s meaning on one

side and the other”, they note.141 The understandings of the meaning of that boundary

and the contents on either side will overlap, but perhaps not precisely.

In his contentious politics approach to communal violence in Indonesia, van Klinken

understood identity formation as the growth of a sense of “bounded identity” in a

group.142 Indeed, a key mechanism in the process of identity formation is boundary

formation.143 The boundaries of identities are contested, and constantly change as they

interact with other parties.144 As noted, identities are not inevitable. They are

constructed and deconstructed over time. These processes largely take place outside of

contentious politics, or take place across episodes of contention.

The establishment of political identities changes the awareness of actors involved in

regards to their own group and other groups.145 An identity becomes a political identity

when it makes claims on government, or when the government makes claims on it. For

instance, an identity group may demand that the government recognise the group as a

member of the political community or guarantee the community language rights. On the

other hand, the state may politicise an identity by claiming that a group is a threat to

the nation, or give certain groups privileges not given to other identity groups.

Contentious politics makes six claims about the “creation, appropriation, activation and

transformation, and suppression of political identities”; (1) that actors “constantly

manipulate, strategize, modify, and reinterpret” identities; (2) that “mobilization of

identities constitutes a major part of claim making”; (3) that while new identities emerge

most actors enter contentious episodes through appeals to or appropriation of existing

identities; (4) that how, and how well, identities are mobilised has strong outcomes for

collective action and its results; (5) that the emergence, change and disappearance of

identities alters the identities which can be found in politics after the episode under

141 Ibid., 78. 142 Van Klinken, Communal Violence and Democratization in Indonesia: Small Town Wars, 11. 143 Tilly and Tarrow, Contentious Politics, 78. 144 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 55. 145 Ibid., 28.

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analysis has ended; and finally (6) that “the crucial arena for causal mechanisms lies not

in individual minds but in social interaction”.146

As noted previously, the fact that identity is socially constructed does not have

automatic implications for our understanding of violence. Although there is a

connection, identity formation and mobilisation to violence must be treated

separately.147 Van Klinken is clear that “[i]t is a mistake to think of identity as in itself

responsible for action. Identity is one thing, mobilization that leads to action

another”.148 Fearon and Laitin also note that the “observation that ethnic identities are

socially constructed does not by itself explain ethnic violence and may not even be

particularly relevant”.149 However, van Klinken argues that identity formation helps to

answer the question of “why followers follow”.150 To understand how identity groups

are mobilised it is important to have an understanding of the content of identities, and,

crucially, the relations across the boundaries of identity groups. This will be explored in

Chapter 4. Mobilisation, however, is not treated as a separate process in this thesis.

Instead, mobilisation is understood as the result of the interaction of numerous different

processes surveyed in this thesis. The ways in which each process contributes to

mobilisation are noted in the relevant chapters.

2.5.3BoundaryActivation

While the boundaries of identity may form outside of contentious politics, the process

of boundary activation is crucial to the practice of contentious politics.151 Boundary

activation can be understood as an increase in the salience of identity. The relevance of

identity, and a keener awareness of the boundaries where identities meet and differ,

becomes increasingly important during episodes of contention. The conjuring of

identities into politics and their subsequent interaction with other identities activates

146 Ibid., 56. 147 The connection is evident, and discussed later in this thesis. A major part of mobilising actors is the creation or appropriation of identity. As noted, identity formation “interacts with the mobilization process and indeed affects its course and outcomes” ibid. 148 Van Klinken, Communal Violence and Democratization in Indonesia: Small Town Wars, 64. 149 Fearon and Laitin, “Violence and the Social Construction of Ethnic Identity,” 845. 150 Van Klinken, Communal Violence and Democratization in Indonesia: Small Town Wars, 139. 151 Tilly and Tarrow, Contentious Politics, 78.

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these identities politically. It can also alter the boundaries of identity and the

interactions across and within those boundaries. Contentious politics will also often

include attempts to change where the boundaries of identity lie.152 Democratic

transition can be a key moment for political identities. This section will explore the

relationship between democracy and identity in order to trace how the boundaries of

identity are activated during transitions.

The importance of the boundaries of communal identity has been noted above as crucial

to understanding inter-communal relations. Barth, an early constructivist, perhaps first

drew attention to the idea that a group is defined by its boundaries, and also understood

that these boundaries and the content within them (what Barth termed “cultural stuff”)

were liable to change.153 Interaction across the boundaries of identity reminds a group

of their unique identity. Without this interaction, one’s identity becomes irrelevant or

even invisible. This is why communal identity is usually so much more salient for a

minority than for a majority in any society. Similarly, it has been suggested that a

significant, if surprising, effect of modernisation and globalisation has been the

increased salience of communal and national identities, as interactions across the

boundaries of identity have become more frequent.154

The relationship between democratic transition and identity is neglected in the

literature, but is crucial for understanding diverse states under transition. Among the

democratic transition theorists who engage with the topic there is broad agreement on

a relationship between democracy and nationalism. While the link is occasionally noted,

it is rarely elaborated or explained. According to Linz and Stepan, communal identities

can become salient during transitions because “the crisis of the nondemocratic regime

is also intermixed with profound differences about what should actually constitute the

polity (or political community) and which demos or demoi (population or populations)

should be members”.155 As an extension of this, the “negotiation of laws establishing

152 Ibid., 85. 153 Fredrik Barth, “Introduction,” in Ethnic Groups and Boundaries: The Social Organization of Culture Difference, ed. Fredrik Barth (Boston: Little, Brown and Company, 1969), 14-15. 154 Gurr and Harff, Ethnic Conflict in World Politics, 96. 155 Linz and Stepan, Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation: Southern Europe, South America, and Post-Communist Europe, 16.

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electoral systems; representative institutions; and the boundaries, rights and duties of

citizens, for instance, require decisions about the boundaries, membership and values”

of the political community.156 Horowitz agrees with this sentiment, asserting that issues

of the political and social boundaries of the national community surface during

transition.157

Brown takes these ideas further and argues that we should understand democratic

transition as “a transition in the character of national identity”.158 Democratic transition

involves the spread of “potentially incompatible” ideas of individual, majority and

minority rights, he argues. These ideas are “embodied, respectively, in visions of civic

nationalism, ethnocultural nationalism, and multicultural nationalism”.159 National

identities gain a greater importance during transitions, and avoiding violence depends

on the patrimonial political networks of the old system promoting a tolerant form of

civic nationalism, Brown argues.160 This strongly reflects a stress on the importance of

elites and their promotion of civic nationalism. Snyder similarly posits that four varieties

of nationalism may be promoted by elites during transition; counterrevolutionary,

revolutionary, ethnic or civic.161 While all these nationalisms have the potential for

violence, civic nationalism has “far less reason to fall prey to the kind of reckless,

ideologically driven conflicts” associated with the other types, he argues.162 Democratic

transition, then, provides a moment in which the boundaries of national and communal

identities are activated and their promotion by elites is paramount.

It is worth bringing the discussion to the relationship between national identity and

democracy more generally. Rejecting the assumption that nationalism and democracy

are “mutually hostile”, Nodia suggests that nationalism is in fact an essential component

156 Henders, “Political Regimes and Ethnic Identities in East and Southeast Asia: Beyond the “Asian Values” Debate,” 7. 157 Horowitz, “Democracy in Divided Societies,” 41. 158 David Brown, “The Democratization of National Identity,” in Democratization and Identity: Regimes and Ethnicity in East and Southeast Asia, ed. Susan J. Henders (Plymouth, UK: Lexington Books, 2007), 43. 159 Ibid. 160 Ibid., 46. 161 Snyder, From Voting to Violence: Democratization and Nationalist Conflict, 38-39. 162 Ibid., 39.

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of liberal democracy.163 The “criteria for deciding just who is a citizen and just where the

borders are cannot be derived from any logic intrinsic to the democratic enterprise”,

Nodia argues.164 Indeed, nothing about democracy dictates who is and is not a part of

the political community. It is nationalism which provides nations with this essential

starting point. “The early stages of democracy-building make it especially clear that a

nonrational act of political definition (determining who belongs to “We the People”) is

a necessary precondition of rational political behaviour”, notes Nodia.165 Despite its

perceived irrationality, a cohesive sense of nationalism among citizens is a necessary

condition for democracy.

Appadurai also recognises nationalism as a fundamental concept behind the modern

nation-state, but is less optimistic than Nodia. Instead, he argues that the idea that a

nation’s sovereignty is built “on some sort of ethnic genius”, is dangerous, and a fault-

line for communal violence.166 Appadurai’s work suggests that no nation can have a fully

cohesive sense of national unity. The existence of minorities within nation-states

reminds majorities of the uncomfortable fact that the nation is not one cohesive ethnic

block and can produce violence.167 This can also help to explain why the mere existence

of minorities is easily construed as a threat to majorities. To answer the question of why

violence is then not present in all diverse states, he points to the effect that globalisation

has in undermining national sovereignty.168 Again, a cohesive and inclusive civic identity,

rather than an ethno-nationalist one, would be more conducive to stability. The

processes of democratic transition, however, activate communal identities as groups

compete for inclusion or influence in the new system, problematising the emergence of

inclusive forms of nationalism.

Mann has explored the relationship between democratic transition and mass violence,

showing that reforms towards democracy invite impulses to cleanse the territory of

163 Nodia, “Nationalism and Democracy,” 4. 164 Ibid., 6-7. 165 Ibid., 8. 166 Arjun Appadurai, Fear of Small Numbers: An Essay on the Geography of Anger (Durham & London: Duke University Press, 2006), 3. 167 Ibid., 8. 168 Ibid., 7.

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minority groups.169 He shows that most modern democracies have such a history,

whether found in the settler ethnocracies (democratic only within the dominant ethnos)

such as Australia or the US, or previously ethnically cleansed European countries.170

Ethnic cleansing became common in the global south during the 20th century, Mann

argues, because it is the “dark side of democracy” – “ethnonationalist movements claim

the state for their own ethnos, which they initially intend to constitute as a democracy,

but they then seek to exclude and cleanse others”.171

Returning to democratic transition, Bertrand found that the reinterpretation of national

identity was crucial to violence in Indonesia during its transition. He argues that the

violence can be explained by the “critical junction” of transition,

during which institutional transformation opened up channels to

renegotiate the elements of the national model: the role of Islam in political

institutions, the relative importance of the central and regional governments, the

access and representation of ethnic groups in the state’s institutions, as well as

the definition and meaning of the Indonesian “nation”.172

He continues;

When institutions are weakened during transition periods, allocation of

power and resources become open for competition. More fundamentally, ethnic

groups can renegotiate the concept of the nation that underlies institutional

structures, perpetuates an uneven distribution of power and resources, or

specifies terms of inclusion that disadvantage them.173

As shown by Bertrand, democratic transition has the capacity to activate the boundaries

of communal and national identities – altering those boundaries, as well as relations

across and within them. Identity groups, uncertain and unconvinced of their place in the

169 Michael Mann, The Dark Side of Democracy: Explaining Ethnic Cleansing (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2005). 170 Ibid., 502. 171 Ibid. 172 Bertrand, Nationalism and Ethnic Conflict, 3. 173 Ibid., 10.

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new system, react to transition by attempting to secure their community’s position in

the new state.

2.5.4Polarisation

Polarisation is an important process in contentious politics literature, and involves the

“widening of political and social space between claimants in a contentious episode and

gravitation of previously uncommitted or moderate actors toward one, the other, or

both extremes”.174 It is frequently the result of the combination of mechanisms such as

“opportunity-threat spirals, competition, category formation,” and brokerage.175

Diffusion, repression and radicalisation are other mechanisms found in cases of

polarisation.176

Polarisation promotes collective violence on most occasions, Tilly argues, because “it

makes the us-them boundary more salient, hollows out the uncommitted middle,

intensifies conflict across the boundary, raises the stakes of winning or losing, and

enhances opportunities for leaders to initiate action against their enemies”.177 It has also

been noted that polarisation can stimulate ideology into previously uncontested policy,

blocking its solution and even leading to violence.178 Brass also notes how polarisation

and the politicisation of communal violence in India create the conditions conducive to

the replication of violence.179 It is suggested in this thesis that boundary activation

concatenates with polarisation in contentious politics. The two processes are treated

together in this thesis.

2.5.5ActorConstitution

The process of actor constitution is concerned with how collective actors are formed.

Rather than looking for particular contexts conducive to the constitution of new political

174 Tilly, The Politics of Collective Violence, 21. 175 Ibid. 176 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 70. 177 Tilly, The Politics of Collective Violence, 22. 178 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 322. 179 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 309.

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actors, the contentious politics approach is interested in the mechanisms which produce

political actors. Political actors are formed through mobilisation – “by increasing the

resources available for collective making of claims” – and change as they engage in

contention.180 Just how and by what means actors mobilise and engage in politics is what

we are interested in, and is how we will understand these actors. Tilly and Tarrow note

that

contentious episodes often bring together actors who know little or nothing

of one another at the outset, yet they sometimes emerge from their participation as

a unified actor, with an identity, with boundaries separating them from others, and

with a set of unified claims that they put forward against significant targets. In doing

so, they become collective political actors.181

To understand actor constitution, we look at the mechanisms which concoct to form this

process. An important mechanism is scale shift, which can be understood as a process

in its own right. The majority of contentious episodes start at a local level, before upward

scale shift brings the contention to a regional, national or international level, where the

movement’s interests and values must also be appealing to new actors to be successful

in mobilisation.182 The claims that actors make may change with the process of scale

shift to appeal to a new audience. With varying success, scale shift can institutionalise

contention.183 Scale shift acts through a series of mechanisms itself. Perhaps the most

important mechanisms are diffusion, by which information of contention occurring in

other locations spreads; and brokerage, when actors network and make connections

between previously unconnected groups.184 The latter is most relevant to this thesis and

will be central to the analysis of Chapter 6.

Effective mobilisation of new actors is dependent upon how issues are framed. Actors

define problems, and offer solutions. As van Klinken notes; “The audience will respond

to this framing if what has been said touches what they already believe at central points”

180 Tilly and Tarrow, Contentious Politics, 74. 181 Ibid., 70. 182 Ibid., 94, 95. 183 Ibid., 97. 184 Ibid., 95.

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– frame alignment.185 He finds that frame alignment was successful in 1997 Indonesia,

when members of the Dayak community decided that pushing the Madurese out of their

district would improve their own lives – a solution supported by a discourse repeated

and entrenched since the colonial period.186

Along with interactions with other actors, repertoires are central to actor formation.187

Repertoires are a recurring concept in the literature. Contentious politics invokes a

theatrical metaphor to explain these “interactive performances”;188

we can think of the repertoire as performances – as scripted interactions

in the improvisatory manner of jazz or street theatre rather than the more

repetitious routines of art songs or religious rituals. Such performances group

into repertoires, arrays of known possible interactions that characterize a

particular set of actors.189

Actors adopt scripts of repertoires that they “have performed, or at least observed,

before”.190 Brass also conceived of communal violence as one repertoire among a

number employed in Indian politics.191 Brass argued that “every great wave of rioting in

modern India has been preceded by new mobilizing tactics that become integrated into

the new repertoire and promote violence”.192 He described communal violence as “a

grisly form of dramatic production in which there are three phases:

preparation/rehearsal, activation/enactment, and explanation/interpretation”.193

Constituted political actors make claims on other actors such as organisations or

government. Tilly and Tarrow note that the claims made by actors can be understood as

three categories – standing, identity and program claims – which overlap and mix. To

185 Van Klinken, Communal Violence and Democratization in Indonesia: Small Town Wars, 69. 186 Ibid. 187 Sidney Tarrow, The Language of Contention: Revolutions in Words 1688-2012 (Cambridge University Press: New York, 2013), 15. 188 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 57. 189 Ibid., 49. 190 Ibid., 138. 191 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 12. 192 Ibid. 193 Ibid., 15.

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declare that an actor exists is an identity claim.194 A standing claim is to assert that “the

actor belongs to an established category within the regime and therefore deserves the

rights and respect that members of that category receive”.195 Program claims are made

upon another actor, such as government, to fill demands or to “act in a certain way”.196

The types of claims which are available to actors differ depending on the regime under

which they operate – the political opportunity structure. “Claim-making performances”

(repertoires) are variously prescribed, tolerated and forbidden by different regime

types, note Tilly and Tarrow.197 Claims and the ways in which they are made respond to

opportunities and threat structures, which are in flux during times of transition.

2.5.6Interpretation

This thesis introduces a new process to the literature of contentious politics –

interpretation. Interpretation is a process that episodes, processes and repertoires

inevitably undergo both during and after the fact. Interpretation has been noted as

crucial in the literature on communal violence. Due in part to the large number of people

involved in communal violence and the diverse motivations for their becoming involved,

there are many interpretations possible of any event or a longer episode of numerous

events. Communal violence shares this with other forms of collective action. Brass

identified the interpretation of communal violence as one of three major processes

which must be understood in order to make sense of communal violence. Similarly,

Duncan’s work on Indonesia is particularly focused on how communities “conceived,

theorized, and constructed their knowledge of the conflict as they interpreted the

events taking place around them”.198 He investigated how the “(re)interpretations of

events, rumors, local histories, narratives, and performative acts of violence influenced

how the conflict was lived, produced, contested, and remembered”.199

194 Tilly and Tarrow, Contentious Politics, 81. 195 Ibid., 82. 196 Ibid. 197 Ibid., 60. 198 Duncan, Violence and Vengeance: Religious Conflict and Its Aftermath in Eastern Indonesia, 7-8. 199 Ibid., 8.

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The ways in which revolutions, riots and protests are interpreted and remembered have

crucial results for the meaning that is attributed to them, their resolution and

replicability. It is in the process of interpretation that praise, responsibility or blame is

attributed and solutions or responses are formulated. A contentious politics approach

will look at the contexts in which interpretations are framed, and the struggle through

which a dominant explanation emerges. Like previous processes discussed, actors and

how they relate are examined. Contentious politics stresses the importance of

interaction, a factor which is evidently paramount in the competition of ideas which

occurs after an event. The mechanisms are familiar to other processes noted above.

Diffusion and attribution of opportunity and threat are most prominent.

The post-facto understanding of any event which comes to dominate discourse, of

course, does not necessarily reflect a correct interpretation of the causes, motivations

or mechanisms of any event. Yet understanding the dominant interpretation is perhaps

more critical than any search for a “truth” of any episode. The dominant interpretation

will have more influence on the resolution, replication or commemoration of any

particular phenomenon. In Indonesia, Duncan found that the religious interpretation of

the violence which became dominant altered the course of the violence. As the violence

came to be framed in religious language, people reproduced it in those terms.200 While

maintaining a focus on establishing a factual narrative, this thesis recognises that “truth”

is subjective, contextual and particularly difficult to establishing when studying

contested episodes of contention after the fact.

Why do some narratives dominate while others disappear? Duncan suggests that while

violence occurs for various reasons, a particular narrative will come to dominate

because it reflects what people already believe.201 Frame alignment is in operation here.

Indeed, Duncan argues that the politicisation of religion under Suharto, including his

“repression and manipulation of Islam” facilitated the religious interpretation of

violence.202 Some Christians saw Islamisation in the violence, while Muslims interpreted

200 Ibid., 69. 201 Ibid., 66. 202 Ibid., 45.

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it as their vulnerability exposed.203 Drexler argues that the fact that “some narratives

come true is not evidence that those particular narratives are correct representations of

the conflict, but rather signs of their discursive power to reproduce [the conflict]”.204

While this thesis does not find Drexler’s argument to always hold, dominant

explanations can allow conflict to continue, if altering its character.

The mechanism of diffusion of information affects how conflicts are interpreted and the

frames in which they are established. As Drexler notes, “conflicts that appear to be

locally produced and reproduced take place in a global context that affects the

mobilization, organization, duration, narration, and mediation of conflict”.205 For

example, non-state actors must frame their struggle in terms of self-determination and

other structures that international law and concepts of human rights will reward.206

Drexler also notes that

powerful international discourses on the threats of “communism,”

“ethnocultural” conflict, “Islamist” movements, and “terrorism” have recast the

legitimacy of particular conflicts, and in some cases strengthened states against

a range of critics and challenges.207

The interpretation and re-interpretation of violence in certain frames alters the

production of violence and the responses of actors to that violence.

In the Indian context, Brass has noted that the most evident outcome of the

interpretation process is “blame displacement” – “the diffusion of responsibility in such

a way as to free all from blame and allow the principal perpetrators to go scot-free”.208

Blame is dispersed so widely, across politicians, communal activists, the disadvantaged,

the wealthy, police, and others so much that responsibility is attributed to effectively no

one and the mechanisms which produce violence go unattended.209 Furthermore, Brass

203 Ibid. 204 Elizabeth F. Drexler, “The Social Life of Conflict Narratives: Violent Antagonists, Imagined Histories, and Foreclosed Futures in Aceh, Indonesia,” Anthropological Quarterly 80, no. 4 (2007): 970. 205 Ibid., 973. 206 Ibid. 207 Ibid. 208 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 16. 209 Ibid., 306.

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argues, invariably one political party or another benefit from the dominant

interpretation of violence which emerges. “One explanation is distilled from among all

the various factors that contribute to a riot, the one that is most useful politically to the

temporarily ascendant political party and political leader”, while the rest are ignored, he

argues, asserting that political parties are central to the interpretation process.210 The

result is that contributing factors continue to operate, including the factor isolated for

blame. While the other factors are ignored, this factor becomes politicised and views

polarise across it, making any resolution impossible.211

This thesis shows that different scales of analysis generate different explanations,

reflecting different concerns and particular narratives that the violence fits into. While

locally a conflict may be interpreted to be about ethnic identity and threats to a minority

identity, at a national level it becomes a story of national identity, citizenship and a

religious threat. Globally, the same conflict enters a larger narrative of a clash of

civilisations and is interpreted by scholars in an existing “communal violence”

framework – another interpretation subject to the same contestation as any other.

2.5.7Insecurity

One theoretical contribution that this thesis endeavours to make is to clarify the place

of insecurity in the literature of contentious politics, a problem identified by van

Klinken.212 Insecurity and changes in security can be understood as environmental

mechanisms which spur attribution of opportunity or threat. There are numerous

environmental mechanisms which occur during a period of democratic transition and

these can be found throughout this thesis. Democratic transition affects the conditions

under which actors operate. A mechanism which will concatenate from environmental

change is attribution of opportunity and threat.213 In this sense, environmental change

itself could be thought of as changing political opportunity structure. Opportunity spirals

“operate through sequences of environmental change, interpretation of that change,

210 Ibid., 308. 211 Ibid., 309. 212 Van Klinken, Communal Violence and Democratization in Indonesia: Small Town Wars, 140. 213 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 28.

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action, and counteraction, repeated as one action alters another actor’s

environment”.214 Changes in security structures can create insecurity in actors through

their interpretation of the change. That is, through opportunity and threat attribution.

This allows us to consider the role of the state, its security forces, and their relations to

identity groups. Investigating insecurity and subsequent attribution of opportunity or

threat allows us to better understand how violence occurred.

Other literature also links changing security structures to insecurity and communal

violence. Job argues that “the security dilemma for the typical Third World state arises

in meeting internal rather than external threats, and for typical Third World citizens

could well involve seeking protection from their own state institutions”.215 Job invokes

an argument similar to the security dilemma; that under the weak state there exists “an

internal predicament in which individuals and groups acting against perceived threats to

assure their own security or securities consequently create an environment of increased

threat and reduced security”.216 While this thesis challenges the applicability of the

security dilemma to the intra-state context, communal violence can occur under similar

dynamics.

Following Tajima and Gledhill, this thesis takes a nuanced approach to understanding

security forces and their reform.217 Democratic transition, and in particular the reform

of security forces during democratic transition, is an environmental mechanism which

connects with other mechanisms to contribute to communal violence. The inability of

the state to protect communities produces insecurity in relations between communities

and stimulates attribution of opportunity or threat. As communities can no longer rely

on the state for protection, they take offensive measures. Measures taken by one

community to enhance their own defence, however, are often interpreted offensively

by others, making violence more likely. Insecurity as a result of changes in the

214 Ibid., 243. 215 Brian L. Job, “The Insecurity Dilemma: National, Regime and State Securities in the Third World,” in The Insecurity Dilemma: National Security of Third World States, ed. Brian L. Job (Boulder & London: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1992), 12. 216 Ibid., 18. 217 Tajima, The Institutional Origins of Communal Violence, 9; Gledhill, “Competing for Change,” 81.

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relationships between communities, and between communities and security forces, can

also contribute to violence.

2.6Conclusion

This analytical framework has outlined the main concepts of this thesis. Smith’s

definition of ethnie has been considered, with a focus on the “distinctive consciousness”

of communal groups, which are defined in a broad sense in this study. The “communal”

in communal identity and communal violence has been considered. In any state in which

communal identity carries some salience some conflict along communal lines is to be

expected. It is problematic when this conflict becomes violent. Violence along

communal division is by no means inevitable, and should not be taken as a result of the

salience of communal identity. This is the benefit of a constructivist approach to

understanding identity and violence: changes in the boundaries of communal identities

and the relations between them are given consideration. The contentious politics

framework supports the constructivist approach to understanding identity.

A procedural definition of liberal democracy is suitable for a qualitative study of

democratic transition. The implications of different definitions have been examined.

Substantive definitions contribute towards our understanding of the outcomes of

democracy, yet their applicability to a qualitative study of democratic transition remains

limited. The term “democratic transition” is used without assuming that democracy will

be the terminus of any reform process. The processes of democratic transition in

Myanmar will be analysed in the contentious politics framework of changing political

opportunity structures. These changing opportunity structures have influenced the

repertoires of action available to actors during this period and their consequences for

communal violence must be considered.

The relevant contentious politics processes of identity formation, boundary activation,

polarisation, actor constitution and interpretation have been described and relevant

links made to democratic transition, communal identities and communal violence. It has

also been noted that a contentious politics approach can consider insecurity as an

environmental mechanism which can spur attribution of threat and opportunity. The

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following chapters apply this contentious politics approach to the episode of communal

violence in Myanmar during democratic transition.

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Chapter3:

ChangingPoliticalOpportunityStructuresAs noted in the analytical framework of this thesis, the forms that episodes of

contentious politics take are shaped by the constraints and incentives available to

actors; the political opportunity structures. In a period of democratic transition, a period

of uncertainty, these structures are in flux. Without established precedent, actors are

often unaware of what repertoires are available and acceptable to the state. In this

chapter, the theoretical is combined with the empirical. Changes in political opportunity

structures in Myanmar during democratic transition are analysed in the context of the

relevant literature on transitions away from authoritarian rule.

Each democratic transition starts from a different place. Transitions away from military

rule are almost always top-down transitions – more managed than their bottom-up

revolutionary counterparts. Uncertainty remains in top-down transition, but elites will

have more control over the transition. Myanmar’s status as a former military regime has

had implications for its transition. During what Huntington has termed the “third wave

of democratisation” (from 1974 to the present), military regimes “almost invariably” had

two conditions for their withdrawal from power worldwide: guarantees against

prosecution for past crimes, and military sovereignty over national security and

ministries concerned with security.1 Furthermore, Huntington bleakly forecasts that the

precedent of a “successful military coup in a country makes it impossible for political

and military leaders to overlook the possibility of a second”.2 After some considerations

of “ideal” patterns of democratic transition, this chapter addresses the role of elites in

Myanmar’s transition.

Each democratic transition is different and will prioritise different aspects of reform.

There are, however, consistencies. These reflect the definitions of democracy and

democratic transition discussed in the analytical framework of this thesis. This chapter

addresses the reforms most pertinent to communal violence during Myanmar’s

1 Huntington, “How Countries Democratize,” 584. 2 Ibid., 585.

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democratic transition; the rule of law, remaining unelected influence and the reform of

security forces, the expansion of civil liberties, elections, and decentralisation. Before

analysing the democratic transition after 2010, a brief history of political change in

Myanmar is surveyed.

3.1PoliticalChangeinMyanmar

This section outlines a brief history of political change in Myanmar. Historically,

Myanmar has little experience with democracy. During the colonial period (1824-1948)3

local elections took place as early as the 1880s, and the first national election was held

in 1922, yet suffrage was restrictive, and boycotts were common.4 After independence

in 1948, some experience was had during the parliamentary period (1948-1962). This

period, however, was tumultuous and marred with insurgency. Burma’s independence

hero Aung San was assassinated along with most of his cabinet in 1947; a devastating

event in which much of Burma’s political talent was lost. U Nu became prime minister

in 1948 and remained in power at the helm of his party, the Anti-Fascist People’s

Freedom League (AFPFL), throughout most of the parliamentary period. Kyaw Yin Hlaing

notes that although the political system was “quite open”, most politicians “seemed to

consider a political system democratic only when it served their interests”, and many

resorted to non-democratic methods.5 U Nu’s government handed power to the military

in 1958, and the military ruled for some 18 months before returning power. A brief

return to parliamentary democracy preceded the decisive 1962 coup under General Ne

Win.

Following the coup, Ne Win’s military-backed Burma Socialist Programme Party imposed

isolation on the country, with disastrous economic consequences. The poor economic

conditions, illustrated by the UN’s 1987 recognition of Myanmar’s Least Developed

Country Status, contributed to discontent and frustration with the government. In 1988,

3 Britain took Burma incrementally across three wars; the first Anglo-Burmese War (1824-1826), the Second Anglo-Burmese War (1825-1853), and finally the Third Anglo-Burmese War (1885) in which the British conquered Mandalay and sent the last Burmese monarch to exile in Ratnagiri, India. 4 Robert H. Taylor, “Burma's Ambiguous Breakthrough,” Journal of Democracy 1, no. 4 (1990): 66. 5 Kyaw Yin Hlaing, “Introduction,” in Prisms on the Golden Pagoda: Perspectives on National Reconciliation in Myanmar, ed. Kyaw Yin Hlaing (Singapore: NUS Press, 2014), 2.

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massive protests threatened the government. The catalyst was the demonetisation of

several banknotes, which wiped out an estimated 80 per cent of the country’s cash,

including many peoples’ savings.6 Monks, civil servants, workers, and even police and

soldiers were led by students onto the streets to demonstrate. The military crushed the

protests, killing at least 3,000 people,7 while thousands more were wounded,

imprisoned and tortured.8

Ne Win resigned as head of state in 1988 and a new set of military leaders took power

under the guise of the State Law and Order Restoration Council (SLORC), later renamed

the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC). Multiparty elections were announced

for 1990. The SLORC announced that “a newly elected government comprising the

representatives of the people… will come into being after the elections”, and “we, the

Tatmadaw, are to go back to our barracks”.9 Various political parties were formed,

including the National League for Democracy (NLD), of which Aung San Suu Kyi is now

chairperson. In the 1990 elections, the NLD won 59.87 per cent of the vote, and

approximately 80 per cent of seats in parliament.10 The SLORC refused to honour the

results, instead insisting that the election was held to choose representatives to shape

a constitution in a “National Convention”. The NLD left the restrictive National

Convention in 1995, and it was adjourned unfinished in 1996. For years, economic

sanctions were put in place and Myanmar excluded from the international community,

despite the government’s attempts to open the economy. In 2003, then Prime Minister

General Khin Nyunt announced the SPDC’s seven step “Roadmap to Discipline-

Flourishing Democracy”, which began a gradual process of political change.

6 Bertil Lintner, Outrage: Burma's Struggle for Democracy (London, Bangkok: White Lotus, 1990), 192. 7 Estimates of how many people were killed in 1988 lie between 3,000 and 10,000. R I Rotberg, “Introduction: Prospects for a Democratic Burma,” in Burma: Prospects for a Democratic Future, ed. RI Rotberg (Washington, DC: Brookings Institute Press, 1998); Daniel A. Metraux, “Burma's Modern Tragedy: An Introduction,” in Burma's Modern Tragedy, ed. D Metraux and Khin Oo (New York: The Edwin Mellen Press, 2004). 8 “Burma's Modern Tragedy: An Introduction,” 4. 9 Tin Maung Maung Than, “Myanmar Democratization: Punctuated Equilibrium or Retrograde Motion,” in Democratization in Southeast and East Asia, ed. A Laothamatas (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 1997), 189. 10 David I. Steinberg, Burma/Myanmar: What Everyone Needs to Know (New York: Oxford University Press, 2010), 91.

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In the meanwhile, discontent with governance continued. In 2007 protests, dubbed the

“Saffron Revolution”, monks led an estimated 50,000 people through the streets of

Yangon and other cities. The demonstration was sparked by a government-imposed rise

in petrol prices, although like in 1988 the causes were more profound and frustration

had been building for some time.11 The Tatmadaw and government-recruited civilian

militia group Swan Arr Shin violently put down the protests. An estimated 100 people

were killed, including monks.12

While the military regime was no doubt resilient, the structures of the state were weak.

The military government appeared “to make no distinction between what serves the

regime and what serves the nation”.13 As Rudland and Pedersen note, “many of the

conditions for a strong regime are detrimental to state capacity”, in large part because

the majority of state resources flowed solely into military expansion.14 They argued that

fundamentally the weak state problem in Myanmar stemmed from a legitimacy

problem,15 explaining why weak states often rely on coercive ruling measures. According

to Roe, a weak state is characterised primarily by three related features; a failure to

provide for citizens’ economic needs; a weak sense of national identity and cohesion;

and internal security threats.16 Due to these weaknesses, the weak state relies on harsh

coercive ruling measures rather than consensual government, and is likely to be seen by

the population “more as a poser of threats than a provider of security”.17

The SPDC held a referendum on a new constitution in May 2008. Devastatingly, Cyclone

Nargis made landfall on lower Myanmar a week before the referendum, claiming an

estimated 140,000 lives, and leaving many more displaced.18 The government pressed

ahead with the referendum regardless, and the process was far from perfect. Provisions

11 Ibid., 138. 12 Ibid. 13 Emily Rudland and Morten B. Pedersen, “Introduction: Strong Regime, Weak State?,” in Burma Myanmar: Strong Regime, Weak State?, ed. Morten B. Pedersen, Emily Rudland, and R.J. May (Adelaide: Crawford House Publishing, 2000), 7. 14 Ibid. 15 Ibid., 9. 16 Paul Roe, Ethnic Violence and the Societal Security Dilemma (New York: Routledge, 2005), 66. 17 Ibid. 18 Robert H. Taylor, “'Myanmar in 2009: On the Cusp of Normality?,” Southeast Asian Affairs 2010 (2010): 201.

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of the constitution were not widely distributed before the referendum, international

observers were not permitted, and there were many complaints of fraud.19 The SPDC

claimed that 98.12 per cent of those eligible voted, and that 92.48 per cent approved of

the constitution.20 The 2010 elections inaugurated the 2008 Constitution. The NLD

boycotted the elections and rejected the process as illegitimate.21 There were

widespread allegations of electoral fraud, and the military-backed USDP claimed they

had received 80 per cent of the vote.22

Aung San Suu Kyi was released from house arrest just one week after the 2010 elections.

Scepticism about democratic transition continued until 2011, when President U Thein

Sein’s government announced a top-down process of democratic transition. In an

unprecedented event the same year, the government suspended construction of the

hugely unpopular Chinese-sponsored Myitsone hydroelectric dam, as it was “against the

will of the people”.23 This seemed to illustrate the government’s willingness to respond

to community sentiment, and growing discomfort with Chinese economic dominance.

By this time, there was little doubt that the military was serious about allowing a certain

level of reform. The exact motivations for why the military began the process are

unknown, but likely reflect a combination of concern with Chinese dominance in the

economy, concern with underdevelopment, and a search for legitimacy on behalf of the

military.

3.2AGradual,orSequenced,Transition?

There is debate over the most desirable pattern of reform during a democratic

transition. While there is no standard linear process involved in any democratic

transition, one school of thought suggests there is a sequence of transition which has

19 Steinberg, Burma/Myanmar: What Everyone Needs to Know, 144. 20 Ibid. 21 Morten B. Pedersen, “The 2010 Elections and the Prospects for Change in Burma,” in Democracy and Discontent: The 2010 Elections in Myanmar (Canberra: Australian Institute of International Affairs, 2010), 17. 22 Bertil Lintner, Aung San Suu Kyi and Burma's Struggle for Democracy (Chiang Mai: Silkworm Books, 2011), 148. 23 David I Steinberg and Hongwei Fan, Modern China-Myanmar Relations: Dilemmas of Mutual Dependence (Copenhagen: Nordic Institute of Asian Studies, 2012), 416.

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historically given new democracies the best chance at a peaceful and stable transition.24

The “sequentialist” argument suggests that “certain preconditions, above all, the rule of

law and a well-functioning state, should be in place before a society democratizes”.25

Scepticism remains, however. Carothers argues that;

The idea of sequencing rests on a mistaken two-part premise: that a

significant number of autocrats can and will act as generators of rule-of-law

development and state-building, and that democratizing countries are inherently

ill suited for these tasks.26

Indeed, there is no reason to suggest that authoritarian governments should be more

interested in institution building than their democratic counterparts, nor any reason

why they may be better at it. As Carothers notes: “for every Lee Kuan Yew of Singapore

there have been dozens or even hundreds of rapacious, repressive autocrats posing as

reformists, leaders for whom the rule of law represents a straitjacket to be avoided at

all costs”.27 Carothers instead argues, using the concept of “gradualism”, that five

“underlying conditions and structures” are of particular importance before democratic

transition:28

• Level of economic development: In general, the wealthier a country is, the better

will be its chances of consolidating a democratic transition.

• Concentration of sources of national wealth: Countries whose national wealth

comes mainly from highly concentrated sources (such as oil or mineral deposits)

tend to experience significant difficulties with democratization.

• Identity-based divisions: Countries where the population is divided along ethnic,

religious, tribal, or clan lines often have a harder time with democratization than

more homogeneous societies.

24 Edward D. Mansfield and Jack Snyder, “The Sequencing “Fallacy”,” Journal of Democracy 18, no. 3 (2007): 7. 25 Thomas Carothers, “The “Sequencing” Fallacy,” ibid., no. 1: 13., italics in original. 26 Ibid., 14. 27 Ibid., 15. 28 Ibid., 23.

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• Historical experience with political pluralism: Countries with little record of

political pluralism almost always have a harder time with democratization than

those having such experience.

• Nondemocratic neighborhoods: Countries in regions or subregions where most

or all of the countries are nondemocratic usually struggle more with

democratization than do countries in more democratic neighborhoods.29

There are evidently parallels between sequentialism and Carothers’ gradualism.

Carothers’ underlying conditions represent ideal background conditions, however,

rather than prescribed linear stages of reform. Many of these conditions have been

highlighted before. Rustow has emphasised the importance of national unity.30 Likewise,

the positive effects of living in a democratic neighbourhood have been documented.31

Huntington and Lipset have highlighted the correlation between economic development

and democracy or democratic transition.32

The indicators are low for Myanmar on all of the conditions outlined by Carothers. As

noted, Myanmar has little experience with democracy and communal division has been

widespread. In the current climate of democratic retreat in Southeast Asia, Myanmar’s

apparent transition away from authoritarian rule seems to suggest it is an outlier in the

region. Myanmar’s economic situation also places it precariously on Carothers’ scale.

Among its Southeast Asian peers with available data, Myanmar had the lowest per-

capita GDP, lowest levels of economic growth and highest levels of poverty as it

embarked on democratic transition in 2010.33 Furthermore, wealth is concentrated in

the hands of “cronies”; elites who established key positions in the economy under

military rule. The Asian Development Bank lists this is a key obstacle to economic growth

29 Ibid., 24. italics in original. 30 Rustow, “Transitions to Democracy: Toward a Dynamic Model,” 350. 31 Kristian Skrede Gleditsch and Michael D. Ward, “Diffusion and the International Context of Democratization,” International Organization 60, no. Fall (2006): 916. 32 Huntington, The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century, 66; Lipset, “Some Social Requisites of Democracy: Economic Development and Political Legitimacy.” 33 Asian Development Bank, “Myanmar in Transition: Opportunities and Challenges,” (Manila: Asian Development Bank, 2012), 3, 4, https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/29942/myanmar-transition.pdf.

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in Myanmar.34 Land confiscation continues to occur, and is tied to the extraction of

natural resources by companies linked to cronies and the military. Notwithstanding

these challenges, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development has

projected Myanmar to have the strongest economic growth across China, India and

Southeast Asia between 2017 and 2021, at 8.5 per cent - but also noted concerns about

infrastructure and higher education.35 The effect of rapid economic growth during a

period of democratic transition remains under researched and Myanmar may present

an opportunity for further research in this area.

3.3Elites

The role of elites is emphasised in the literature on democratic transitions. The

“transitology” approach to democratic transition argues that democracy does not need

certain conditions to take hold,36 and instead emphasises the important actions of elites,

both group and individual.37 Reflecting Rustow’s emphasis on the importance of elites

during transition,38 O’Donnell and Schmitter have outlined the importance of choices

and talents of specific individuals. They note that during transitions, elites are often split

into camps referred to as “reformists” and “hardliners”, the government is rarely united

in its enthusiasm for democracy, and “spoilers” may emerge to disrupt the transition

and protect their vested interests.39 In a discussion of how countries transition,

Huntington also emphasises the role of elites.40 Elites in military regimes are particularly

well-placed to transform the regime.41 Diamond makes a similar emphasis and shows

that military regimes are most likely to transition when elites make strategic decisions

34 Ibid., 3. 35 OECD Development Centre, “Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, China and India 2017: Adressing Energy Challenges,” (The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, 23 January, 2017), 2, 22, http://www.oecd.org/dev/economic-outlook-for-southeast-asia-china-and-india-23101113.htm. 36 Møller and Skaaning, Democracy and Democratization in Comparative Perspective: Conceptions, Conjunctures, Causes, and Consequences, 127. 37 Larry Diamond, “Introduction: Political Culture and Democracy,” in Political Culture and Democracy in Developing Countries, ed. Larry Diamond (Boulder: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1994), 3; Dahl, Polyarchy: Participation and Opposition, 15-16. 38 Rustow, “Transitions to Democracy: Toward a Dynamic Model,” 352, 57. 39 O'Donnell and Schmitter, Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions About Uncertain Democracies, 5. 40 Huntington, “How Countries Democratize,” 580. 41 Ibid., 584.

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regarding the costs of toleration and suppression.42 This echoes Dahl’s argument that

“the more the costs of suppression exceed the costs of toleration, the greater the

chance for a competitive regime”.43 In the top-down transformation model identified by

Huntington, each stage typically is instigated or completed at the hands of particular

elites.44 Governmental elites play a central role until the fifth and final stage, when

cooperation by the democratic opposition elites becomes essential to a successful

transition.45 Elites are evidently central to the process of democratic transition.

Elites can also play a crucial role in assuring inclusive communal relations during

democratic transition. Brown emphasises that elites need to promote an inclusive civic

nationalism during transition.46 Snyder notes the dangers of the temptation of elites to

appeal to communal identities, or marginalise minorities in order to serve their own

political self-interest.47 Hardliners may also attempt to deliberately disrupt the

transition process by appealing to communal identities and insecurities, pre-empting

communal violence. Although not necessarily the intention, this kind of elite behaviour

can derail the transition process.

In his work on the emergence of democracy through elite accommodation, Lijphart

argues that previously warring political elites may accommodate each other in order to

avoid the repetition of previous “tragic events”, echoing a similar argument made earlier

by Rustow.48 Similarly, O’Donnell and Schmitter have recognised the importance of

“pacts” during the transition process. They define a pact as an agreement among a set

of actors defining “rules governing the exercise of power”.49 Pacts are a crucial aspect

of the transition process.

Elites have been crucial to Myanmar’s top-down transition. The Tatmadaw began the

democratic transition in 2010 from a position of strength rather than in reaction to

42 Diamond, “Introduction: Political Culture and Democracy,” 3. 43 Dahl, Polyarchy: Participation and Opposition, 15-16. 44 Huntington, “How Countries Democratize,” 593-600. 45 Ibid., 601. 46 Brown, “The Democratization of National Identity,” 46. 47 Snyder, From Voting to Violence: Democratization and Nationalist Conflict, 36. 48 Arend Lijphart, Democracy in Plural Societies: A Comparative Exploration (New Haven & London: Yale University Press, 1977), 103; Rustow, “Transitions to Democracy: Toward a Dynamic Model,” 356. 49 O'Donnell and Schmitter, Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions About Uncertain Democracies, 37.

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internal or external pressures.50 This suggested that the role of military elites would be

crucial to the transition, something which has been borne out since 2010 and indeed

since Myanmar’s independence in 1948. The emergence of reformists within the

leadership in Naypyidaw – most of whom resigned their military roles to engage in

politics – has been central to the democratic transition. From 1992, Senior General Than

Shwe led the military regime. It is only since Than Shwe retired in 2011, and President

Thein Sein led the new “civilian” government, that these reforms have emerged. The

reform-minded elites appear to have judged that the costs of continuing to suppress

political opposition outweigh the costs of toleration and reform.

Callahan argued in 2012 that an “elite pact” was negotiated behind-the-scenes, between

President Thein Sein and Aung San Suu Kyi.51 The parameters of a pact were unclear, but

likely included concessions from the democratic movement.52 A shared motivating

factor behind the cooperation between President Thein Sein and Aung San Suu Kyi may

have been the mutual desire to avoid further economic crisis, repetition of the brutally

repressed 1988 and 2007 protests, the inadequate response to the tragedy of Cyclone

Nargis, or to reduce Chinese influence in the country by opening the economy to the

West. These experiences had implications not only for the democratic movement, but

also for the durability and legitimacy of the military government. The emergence of

other pacts between key political and religious elites is analysed in Chapter 6 of this

thesis in the framework of the contentious politics mechanism of brokerage.

3.4RuleofLaw

As noted in the definition of liberal democracy used in this thesis, the rule of law is an

important condition of democracy. Carothers argues that the rule of law and liberal

democracy are profoundly linked. Without the rule of law, individual rights would be

impossible, because a “government’s respect for the sovereign authority of the people

50 Mary Callahan, “Drivers of Political Change in Post-Junta, Constitutional Burma,” (Washington, D.C.: USAID, 6 February, 2012), 1, http://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PA00JSHK.pdf. 51 Ibid., 4. 52 Ibid., 2, 3, 4.

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and a constitution depends on its acceptance of law”.53 Likewise, Diamond asserts that

the rule of law protects citizens from unjust detention, terror or other undue

interference – and not only from state actors.54 In democracies, the rule of law can

provide both legal equality and security. Under the rule of law, all citizens are equal

before the law, and are protected from undue behaviour from the state and other

actors.55 Although widespread in established liberal democracies, there are significant

obstacles to the development of the rule of law in new democracies.

According to Carothers, “Asian-style democracies” have often focused on the “regular,

efficient application of law but do not stress the necessity of government subordination

to it”.56 This is often referred to as rule by law. Rule by law, while distinct from rule of

law, is not an opposing concept. Rule by law can be thought of as something akin, but

not equal, to the rule of law. Rule by law, Cheesman notes, “is either what you get

because institutions are not working well enough to have anything better, but

thankfully, well enough that some type of ‘law’ prevails; or, because powerful people

are manipulating laws and institutions for their own ends”.57 Rule by law describes a

situation whereby laws are still in operation, yet institutions are not strong enough to

provide equality before the law. Alternatively, laws are being used by leaders not in the

interests of the people, but in their own interests. A concept known as “rule of men” is

traditionally seen as opposing rule of law.58

Democracy and the rule of law are evidently linked. But what is the relationship between

the rule of law and democratic transition? The rule of law is constantly recommended

as a quick fix to the difficulties of democratic transition. Establishing the rule of law,

however, will not solve all of the difficulties of a transitioning state. Furthermore, the

establishment of the rule of law is not straightforward. While the rule of law can provide

equality and security in established democracies, it cannot necessarily deliver either in

53 Thomas Carothers, “The Rule of Law Revival,” Foreign Affairs 77, no. 2 (1998): 96-97. 54 Diamond, Developing Democracy: Towards Consolidation, 12. 55 Nick Cheesman, “What Does the Rule of Law Have to Do with Democratization (in Myanmar)?,” South East Asia Research 22, no. 2 (2014): 214, 25. 56 Carothers, “The Rule of Law Revival,” 97. 57 Nick Cheesman, “Law and Order as Asymettrical Opposite to the Rule of Law,” Hague Journal on the Rule of Law 6, no. 1 (2014): 105. 58 Ibid., 101.

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states transitioning towards democracy. This is because the reform of legal institutions

does not keep pace with democratic transition. Often, such institutions still “consist of

the instruments, personnel, practices and ideas of previous undemocratic eras”, notes

Cheesman,59 and are thus unable to provide equality under the law. Cheesman warns

that during transitions, framing security issues in a rule of law context necessarily

bounds responsibility for security to the state, often undermining democratic reforms.60

Governmental elites may attribute their actions to the appealing lexicon of the rule of

law, when their policies in fact undermine democracy.

For states in transition, the reform of legal institutions and implementation of the rule

of law is usually done incrementally by branches or bodies of law – such as criminal law

or administrative law.61 Carothers suggests an alternative method of reform, based on

three levels of depth. First, laws themselves are revised, with outdated provisions

removed or reformed to suit the democratic state. Second is the strengthening of legal

institutions, in order to make them “more competent, efficient, and accountable”.62

Training and salary increases for judges and court staff are important in this stage, while

reforms also target police, prosecutors and others working in the justice system. Finally,

the government’s compliance with law should be ensured, with judicial independence

paramount. Government officials must accept judicial authority and refrain from

interference in that system and from placing themselves above the law.63 Implementing

the rule of law is a gradual process, and almost inevitably will take place alongside other

key reforms. The sequentialist argument, given for example by Snyder,64 suggests that

the rule of law should be developed before elections are held, or else violent conflict or

a failure of transition becomes more likely. As noted above, this is problematised by

Carothers, who has argued that only a democratic government would be truly

committed to developing the rule of law.65

59 “What Does the Rule of Law Have to Do with Democratization (in Myanmar)?,” 217. 60 Ibid., 226. 61 Carothers, “The Rule of Law Revival,” 99. 62 Ibid., 100. 63 Ibid., 99-100. 64 Snyder, From Voting to Violence: Democratization and Nationalist Conflict, 41. 65 Carothers, “The “Sequencing” Fallacy,” 14.

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In a democratic system, an effective separation of powers assists the rule of law.

Pedersen has argued that the USDP government showed “a clear commitment, in both

words and deeds, to promote democratic institutions and values”.66 The proactive

Hluttaw has been “one of the positive surprises of the post-2011 regime”, he noted, as

it provided a significant check on the executive.67 Myanmar’s judicial system, however,

remains far from independent. Pedersen notes that “rule of law has long meant ‘rule of

power’ in Myanmar”.68 He has previously written that “laws are incidental at best to the

politics of power and interests”.69

The rhetoric of developing the rule of law has been widespread during Myanmar’s

transition, yet this rhetoric is often used to preserve undemocratic institutions.70

Cheesman has documented how the rule of law language did not reach Myanmar with

the advent of recent democratic transition, but has been invoked by successive

governments in recent history.71 He has noted how the rhetoric of the rule of law is

politically convenient and malleable, carrying different meanings and interpretations for

different speakers and audiences.72 The deployment of this language in the context of

democratic transition and communal violence is further analysed in Chapter 8 of this

thesis. The independence of the judiciary is paramount to institutionalising the rule of

law, yet little reform has taken place on this front in Myanmar to date.

3.5UnelectedInfluenceandSecurityForcesReform

The independence of government from unelected influence is a key condition of

democracy. Throughout the period under consideration this remained out of sight in

Myanmar. The armed forces remain central to administration and governance,

controlling three powerful ministries; Defence, Home Affairs and Border Affairs.

66 Morten B. Pedersen, “Myanmar in 2014: Tacking against the Wind,” Southeast Asian Affairs 2015, no. 1 (2015): 224. 67 Ibid., 226-27. 68 Ibid., 240. 69 Morten B. Pedersen, “The Politics of Burma's “Democratic” Transition: Prospects for Change and Options for Democrats,” Critical Asian Studies 43, no. 1 (2011): 50., italics in original. 70 Cheesman, “What Does the Rule of Law Have to Do with Democratization (in Myanmar)?,” 226-27. 71 Opposing the Rule of Law: How Myanmar's Courts Make Law and Order (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2015), 4-5. 72 Ibid., 6.

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Coercive power remains centralised in the military and the police remain under the

control of the armed forces via Home Affairs. The 2008 Constitution also gives the

Commander-in-Chief of the armed forces the right to appoint up to a quarter of the

members of each house of parliament, effectively giving the Tatmadaw veto power over

any constitutional change, as more than 75 per cent approval is required.73 This is just

one of several provisions balancing military influence in decision making. Diamond has

noted that the constitution attempts to institutionalise a “competitive authoritarian

regime in which the military will remain a dominant veto player”.74 Article 59(f)

disqualifies potential presidential candidates if their spouse, parents, or children are

citizens of a foreign country,75 therefore disqualifying Aung San Suu Kyi, long perceived

as a threat to military influence, from the presidency.

Under military rule, the primary objective of the security forces was to protect the

regime, not to protect its citizenry. The military was responsible for all security up to the

USDP era.76 While police were responsible for law and order during the parliamentary

period, by 1964 “responsibility for law and order in Burma had effectively passed to the

Tatmadaw”.77 However, security forces underwent reform both before and during the

USDP government. Changes in the responsibilities of security forces have been gradual,

and some characteristics have not changed. Low levels of confidence in the state to

guarantee communities’ security persist.

Reform of the Myanmar Police Force (MPF) began before President Thein Sein’s

government took power in 2011. In the 1990s, General Khin Nyunt is thought to have

encouraged police training and instituted plans to reform police culture.78 Reform

intensified under the USDP government’s reform efforts. Today, soldiers are no longer

73 The Republic of the Union of Myanmar, “Constitution of the Rebublic of the Union of Myanmar,” (2008), 6, 39, 52, http://www.burmalibrary.org/docs5/Myanmar_Constitution-2008-en.pdf. The Commander-in-Chief does not dictate how members vote in the parliament, however, and military MPs have surprised observers by voting in support of reforms. Callahan, “Drivers of Political Change,” 128. 74 Larry Diamond, “The Opening in Burma: The Need for a Political Pact,” Journal of Democracy 23, no. 4 (2012): 141. 75 The Republic of the Union of Myanmar, “Constitution,” 19-20. 76 INGO Staff Working in Security Sector, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 5 April, 2017. 77 Andrew Selth, “Burma's Security Forces: Performing, Reforming, or Transforming?,” Griffith Asia Institute Regional Outlook Paper 45 (2013): 10. 78 “Police Reform and the 'Civilianisation' of Security in Myanmar,” in Law, Society and Transition in Myanmar, ed. Melissa Crouch and Tim Lindsay (Oxford & Portland: Hart Publishing, 2014), 274.

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as common a sight on the streets of Myanmar as they once were. Responsibility for law

and order in the cities, towns and villages was gradually transferred from the Tatmadaw

to the MPF in the early years of the USDP government. In 2011, the police took over

responsibility for crowd control. “These days, there are more blue uniforms than green

uniforms manning rural checkpoints, patrolling city streets, protecting VIPs, providing

security for government offices and guarding diplomatic premises”, notes Selth.79 The

MPF is now responsible for “crime prevention, the maintenance of law and order, and

protection of the community”.80 They answer to and receive orders from state and

regional Chief Ministers as well as MPF headquarters in Naypyidaw, creating what can

be a confused chain of command.81 The MPF are the first respondents, and the

Tatmadaw will only attend if the police are unable to contain the situation.82 This was

the case in Sittwe in June 2012, as well as other cases of communal violence.

One characteristic of the police force that has not changed since the colonial period is

the lack of confidence held in it by the population. As Selth notes, police “have been

seen as the willing servants of repressive and self-serving regimes that have cared little

for the welfare and interests of the average citizen”, and as a result “the community’s

attitude has invariably been one of fear and distrust”.83 The MPF has largely been

regarded as corrupt, unprofessional, and the agents of an oppressive state, rather than

at the service of the public. An Asian Human Rights Commission report documented

cases of police abuse under military rule, finding that nepotism was common, corruption

“endemic”, violence, or the threat of, was routine, and that police acted with impunity

under an ineffective judicial system.84 The public find this in harsh everyday encounters

with the police,85 reinforcing a low opinion. The police have a range of opportunities to

engage in eliciting bribes through intimidation and extortion, suggesting that “the MPF

sees itself as above the laws it is charged to uphold”.86

79 Ibid., 279. 80 Ibid., 279-80. 81 INGO Staff Working in Security Sector, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 5 April, 2017. 82 Selth, “Police Reform and the 'Civilianisation' of Security in Myanmar,” 279. 83 Ibid., 282. 84 Asian Human Rights Commission, “Burma's Cheap Muscle,” (Hong Kong: Asian Human Rights Commission, 26 March, 2009), http://alrc.asia/article2/2009/03/burmas-cheap-muscle/. 85 Ibid. 86 Selth, “Police Reform and the 'Civilianisation' of Security in Myanmar,” 283.

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Despite a certain level of reform, the MPF remains part of the defence hierarchy, under

the control of the Defence Services. Asian Parliamentarians for Human Rights (APHR)

noted in 2015 that perhaps the most evident weakness in state structures in Myanmar

was the “lack of effective civilian control of security forces”.87 Given that the Defence

Services are not accountable to the people under the 2008 constitution, the MPF’s

responsive potential is limited. This may compound public concerns. Furthermore, as

Selth has noted, the policing roles to which the MPF is assigned “are at odds with the

military-style training and ethos of the battalions, which are accustomed to exercising

violence up to, and including, lethal force”.88 Police are also trained and expected, as per

the military, to be rotated between various positions of the force. A deficit of specialized

training, combined with the fact that officers are often transferred before they gain

expertise in one sector presents “huge challenges” to effective policing.89 These

structural factors have fostered ineffectiveness, impunity, and poor community

relations.

Aside from incidents of police responses to communal violence, one instance from the

period under investigation invited criticism on the professionalism of the MPF. During

the crackdown on peaceful protesters at the Letpadaung copper mine in upper

Myanmar in November 2012, “dozens of monks and villagers were injured”, many with

burns inflicted by the measures employed by police.90 “The police were strongly

criticised for their heavy-handed operation to clear demonstrators from the mine site”,

notes the ICG.91 While the roles of police may have changed, negative perceptions of

the police were also reinforced during this period.

Reforms have been made not only to the MPF, but also to Myanmar’s vast intelligence

network. While intelligence networks still operate in Myanmar, “the overt level of

87 APHR, “The Rohingya Crisis,” 12. 88 Selth, “Police Reform and the 'Civilianisation' of Security in Myanmar,” 280. 89 INGO Staff Working in Security Sector, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 5 April, 2017. 90 Associated Press, “Burmese Troops Crack Down on Mine Protest before Aung San Suu Kyi Visit,” The Guardian, 29 November 2012, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/nov/29/burma-mine-protest-letpadaung. 91 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition,” 16. There has been speculation that the reprimand of the MPF after the Letpadaung crackdown made police reluctant to use force in their response to communal violence in Meiktila in 2013.

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oppression in Burma has declined”.92 Selth notes that intelligence agencies now appear

to be spending more time investigating civil and economic crimes and corruption,93

rather than the perceived anti-state political activity they followed closely in the past. It

is sometimes remarked that the instances of anti-Muslim violence which occurred in

Myanmar before 2010 could not have occurred without the knowledge of the military

government, due to their expansive intelligence network, suggesting that the military at

least implicitly allowed violence to occur in some instances. The reform and loosening

of intelligence could have had two effects. First, communal activists, without monitoring

by the state, would have been free to engage in mobilisation for violence. Second, and

relatedly, the government would have been less aware that the potential for communal

violence was growing, and so were not able to divert it.

The legitimacy deficit held by Myanmar’s weak state under military rule necessitated

the centralisation of coercive power and responsibility for security in the armed forces.

The primary objective of the military was to protect its regime. Security forces reform,

in particular the replacement of the military with the police in towns and cities, occurred

during democratic transition. This changing political opportunity structure may have

changed the attribution of threat and opportunity for actors. Uncertainty as to how the

state could protect communities was raised. While the military had demanded fear and

respect, the police were known rather for ineffectiveness and corruption. Intelligence

reforms may have also had an effect on communal violence, as the potential for violence

may have been overlooked by authorities, unlike under the previously invasive

intelligence collection regime. This changing relationship between security forces and

communities had an important impact on the violence – something explored in greater

detail in Chapter 8.

3.6ExpandedCivilLiberties

It is important to note the difference between democratic transition and liberalisation.

Liberalisation, defined earlier as the expansion of liberties under authoritarian rule, can

92 Selth, “Burma's Security Forces,” 16. 93 Ibid.

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mark the beginning of transition. Without greater reforms, however, liberalisation risks

“degenerating into mere formalism”, or what O’Donnell and Schmitter call “popular

democracy”.94 Today, we may call such a system liberal authoritarianism, reminiscent of

Singapore. O’Donnell and Schmitter found that authoritarian regimes often liberalise

with the hope that it will “relieve various pressures and obtain needed information and

support without altering the structure of authority”.95 Often this is a misjudgement.

Huntington notes that the “experience of the third wave strongly suggests that

liberalized authoritarianism is not a stable equilibrium; the halfway house does not

stand”.96 According to Boudreu, during democratic transitions “state authorities may

still substantially rely on repression, but espouse liberalized rules of democratic

participation that allow more frequent mobilization and protest”, a dangerous

combination.97 Indeed, the evidence currently available suggests that political

liberalisation in heterogeneous societies is correlated with internal violence.98

Liberties have been expanded significantly since transition in Myanmar. Today, people

in Myanmar experience the greatest liberties of communication, movement, and

association since the parliamentary period. Internet and press censorship has been

significantly relaxed, gradually since 2011. There was a vast expansion in the number of

newspapers in the wake of liberalisation. While articles regarding sport, entertainment,

health and children were first exempt from censorship, in August 2012 censorship was

abolished altogether.99 There were few safeguards in place early in the transition, and

independent media coverage differed considerably from state media. Mobile phone

usage has also spread prolifically. Before the transition, sim cards cost up to US$2000,

but can now be purchased for less than US$2. Mobile penetration was close to 0 per

94 O'Donnell and Schmitter, Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions About Uncertain Democracies, 9. 95 Ibid. italics in original. 96 Huntington, The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century, 598. 97 Vincent Boudreau, “Democratization and Security,” in Routledge Handbook of Democratization, ed. Jeffrey Haynes (New York: Routledge, 2012), 374. 98 Hegre et al., “Towards a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change and Civil War, 1816- 1992,” 34. 99 Thomas Fuller, “Myanmar to Curb Censorship of Media,” The New York Times, 20 August 2012, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/21/world/asia/myanmar-abolishes-censorship-of-private-publications.html?_r=0.

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cent in 2002, reached approximately 10 per cent in 2014,100 and by 2017 some 87 per

cent of households owned at least one mobile phone.101 Internet penetration reached

approximately 28 per cent in 2017.102

The Peaceful Assembly and Peaceful Procession Law was significantly reformed by

parliament in 2012, then again in June 2014, prompting praise from the international

community.103 There has also been some criticism, however, including of “vague and

subjective terms” in the legislation.104 Despite these drawbacks, there is no doubt that

Myanmar people have the greatest political freedoms they have had since the

parliamentary period. These liberalisations have profound effects on the types of

contention that the state allows.

3.7Elections

In divided societies transitioning away from authoritarian rule, elections are

fundamentally important. Electoral rules modify benefits and penalties, making certain

behaviours more rewarding. These rules in part determine communal cooperation,

inter-communal competition, and representation in government. The most desirable

balance of these outcomes is fiercely contested, as are the mechanisms required to

foster them. Changes in these political opportunity structures strongly modify how

contention is structured and enacted. Lijphart and Horowitz have been at the centre of

this debate and agree on many premises. Both concur that communal divisions are a

challenge for democracy, and that elections can exacerbate communal tensions. Neither

100 Maude Morrison, “The New Radicals,” in SAIS Asia Conference (Washington DC2014), 3; Steven Milward, “Myanmars New Mobile Internet Users Embrace Android Smartphones, Pick Viber over Facebook “ Tech in Asia, 24 June 2014, https://www.techinasia.com/myanmar-new-mobile-internet-users-embrace-android-smartphones-and-viber/. 101 Centre for Insights in Survey Research, “Survery of Burma/Myanmar Public Opinion: March 9 - April 1, 2017,” (Washington, DC: International Republican Institute, 2017), 51, http://www.iri.org/sites/default/files/2017-8-22_burma_poll_presentation.pdf. 102 Ibid., 54. 103 see, for example, Article 19, “Myanmar: Amended Right to Peaceful Assembly and Peaceful Procession Law,” (Article 19, August, 2014), 2. 104 HRW, “Burma: “Peaceful Assembly Law” Fails to End Repression: Cease Arrests of Peaceful Protestors, Amend Laws,” Human Rights Watch, 26 January 2015, https://www.hrw.org/news/2015/01/26/burma-peaceful-assembly-law-fails-end-repression.

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suggests attempting to eradicate differences through assimilation. There is considerable

debate, however, over the best methods of accommodation.105

Lijphart’s model for democracy in divided societies is consociationalism. There are two

main elements to the model: power sharing among “representatives of all significant

communal groups”; and group autonomy under which “groups have authority to run

their own internal affairs”.106 The consociational model is typically comprised of a

proportional representation electoral system, parliamentary government, power

sharing in the executive, cabinet stability and a federal system, although Lijphart asserts

that these should be modified to fit context-specific conditions.107

Horowitz finds consociationalism “motivationally inadequate”, rejecting Lijphart’s

assumption that elites from a majority communal group would agree to accommodate

minorities at the cost of their own influence.108 There is fundamental disagreement over

attempts to engineer intercommunal cooperation.109 Instead of assuming cooperation

between elected elites, Horowitz designed incentives for leaders to appeal to voters

across ethnic divides. This model has become known as centripetalism. The main goal is

“vote-pooling” – “the exchange of votes by ethnically-based parties that, because of the

electoral system, are marginally dependent for victory on the votes of groups other than

their own and that, to secure those votes, must behave moderately”.110 Vote-pooling

encourages moderation because extreme policies from communal parties would have

the effect of alienating required voters from other communal groups on whose vote

they rely. The mechanism to achieve vote-pooling is the alternative, or preferential,

105 For a comprehensive discussion of this debate see; Sujit Choudhry, “Bridging Comparative Politics and Comparative Constitutional Law: Constitutional Design in Divided Societies,” in Constitutional Design for Divided Societies: Integration or Accommodation?, ed. Sujit Choudhry (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 26. 106 Arend Lijphart, “Constitutional Design for Divided Societies,” Journal of Democracy 15, no. 2 (2004): 97. 107 Ibid., 100-05. 108 Donald L. Horowitz, “Constitutional Design: Proposals Versus Processes,” in The Architecture of Democracy, ed. Andrew Reynolds (New York: Oxford University Press, 2002), 20. 109 Choudhry, “Bridging Comparative Politics and Comparative Constitutional Law: Constitutional Design in Divided Societies,” 25. 110 Horowitz, “Constitutional Design: Proposals Versus Processes,” 23.

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vote. Voters must list preferences, before an instant run-off until a candidate has a

majority of votes. The same electoral rules are used for electing a president.

Lijphart, however, has questioned why minorities would accept a system in which they

have no representation in the legislature or executive, a critique acknowledged by

Horowitz.111 Both approaches evidently suffer from issues of implementation. Choudhry

argues that while consociationalism would be more acceptable to a diversity of groups,

centripetalism may produce greater stability.112 Furthermore, moderation is more likely

under centripetalism, although at the cost of representation.113 This is disputed by Reilly,

who argues that there must be “sufficient moderate sentiment” existing in the

electorate for the centripetal system to be successful, as it cannot “invent”

moderation.114

Consociationalism has been said to reflect primordial interpretations of identity.115 It

treats identity as a fixed political reality, at least at the non-elite level. It has been said

that this system will entrench identities and even increase polarisation.116 Responding

to this criticism, consociationalists would argue that the model is based on self-

determination and group autonomy. Centripetalism advocates attracting leaders to a

moderate position in order to build inter-communal ties. The unsettled nature of the

debate reflects the fact that the system needs to be modified to meet the specific

political environment of a country, as argued by Reilly.117

In Myanmar, as noted, elections were held on 7 November 2010, but were found to be

less than free and fair. The NLD boycotted the elections, although a breakaway faction,

the National Democratic Force, contested them. Other parties also contested the

election, including ethnic parties. The USDP claimed the vast majority of seats, however.

By-elections were held in April 2012. The NLD registered and won 43 of 44 contested

seats, which translated into approximately five per cent of total seats in Parliament. The

111 See, Choudhry, “Bridging Comparative Politics and Comparative Constitutional Law: Constitutional Design in Divided Societies,” 25. 112 Ibid. 113 Ibid. 114 Benjamin Reilly, “Electoral Systems for Divided Societies,” Journal of Democracy 13, no. 2 (2004): 167. 115 Fearon and Laitin, “Violence and the Social Construction of Ethnic Identity.” 116 Bertrand and Haklai, “Democratization and Ethnic Minorities.” 117 Reilly, “Electoral Systems for Divided Societies,” 169.

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2012 by-elections were held under the same 2008 Constitution that governed the 2010

elections. On 8 July 2015, the Union Election Commission announced that nation-wide

elections would be held on 8 November that year. Then President Thein Sein vowed

“that we will try our best to have clean, free and fair 2015 general elections”.118 The

elections were judged as such by international observers, and the NLD won 86 per cent

of elected seats across the two houses of parliament.

Under the 2008 Constitution, 75 per cent of representatives of each house of parliament

are elected, with the remaining 25 per cent of seats filled by the military.

Representatives are elected for five-year terms. The upper House of the Union

Parliament (Amyothar Hluttaw or House of Nationalities) has 168 elected seats, while

the lower House (Pyithu Hluttaw or House of Representatives) has 330 elected seats.

The seven states and seven regions of the Union, each with its own unicameral

parliament, have varying numbers of seats depending on the number of townships in

the state or region.119

In the current electoral system constituencies for the lower House are aligned with

townships, a system which has been in place since Myanmar’s independence. As The

Carter Center notes, however, this system is problematic in terms of the equality of the

vote – there are huge differences in the populations of townships across the country

with the least populous Injangyan Township, Kachin State, (population 1,408) and the

most populous Hlaing Township, Yangon Region (population 521,976) each electing one

member to the house.120 Constituencies for the upper House – 12 for each state or

region – are combinations of townships or divisions of townships.

Myanmar uses a single-member district, “first-past-the-post” plurality electoral system

– the candidate with the most votes in each constituency is elected. This electoral

system is thought to disadvantage ethnic parties – especially in regions where there is

118 The Irrawaddy, “Thein Sein Vows Elections Will Be Free and Fair,” The Irrawaddy, 9 July 2015, http://www.irrawaddy.org/burma/thein-sein-vows-elections-will-be-free-and-fair.html. 119 The Carter Center, “Observing Myanmar's General Elections,” (Atlanta: The Carter Center, 16 August, 2016), 26, https://www.cartercenter.org/resources/pdfs/news/peace_publications/election_reports/myanmar-2015-final.pdf. 120 Ibid., 24, 27.

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more than one ethnic party claiming to represent a minority community. This was

evident in the 2015 election. In most states, ethnic parties were unsuccessful due to the

fact that there were multiple parties representing the same ethnic group. Rakhine State

was the exception. The Rakhine Nationalities Development Party (RNDP) and the Arakan

League for Democracy (ALD) merged to form the Arakan National Party (ANP) before the

election, and subsequently won a majority of elected seats in the Rakhine State Hluttaw.

In other ethnic states, however, two or more ethnic parties split the vote.

A mechanism exists to give ethnic minorities a voice in parliament outside of their ethnic

state. If the population of an ethnic minority community (included in the list of 135

taing-yintha) residing outside of their own ethnic state constitutes equal or greater to

0.1 per cent of the national population, they shall elect an “ethnic minister” at the state

or regional level. This applies to ethnic minorities living outside of their ethnic state. For

instance, Shan living in Shan State cannot elect an ethnic minister, but Shan living in

Mandalay Region may – providing the Shan population in Mandalay Region meets the

required proportion of the total national population.121 This mechanism illustrates the

salience of ethnicity in contemporary Myanmar and the ethnic basis on which claims

upon the state are made. This is encouraged by and reflected in government policy. As

well as reinforcing and politicising identity, the mechanism recognises the salience of

identity and is an attempt to provide some protection for minorities.

As can be seen, Myanmar’s electoral system reflects neither Lijphart’s consociationalism

nor Horowitz’s centripetalism. While the first-past-the-post electoral system appears to

disadvantage ethnic minority parties, its consequences for intra-ethnic cooperation are

unknown and remain under-studied. While inter-ethnic conflict in Myanmar is perhaps

better known, intra-ethnic conflict is also evident in the large numbers of ethnic parties

claiming to represent the same ethnic community. How has Myanmar’s first-past-the-

post electoral system influenced “ethnic out-bidding” – the tendency for ethnic parties

to appeal to extreme policies to undermine their more moderate counterparts?122 It is

121 Ibid., 26.As The Carter Center notes, this mechanism is also not available to ethnic minorities who have a self-administered zone or district in that state or region. 122 Choudhry, “Bridging Comparative Politics and Comparative Constitutional Law: Constitutional Design in Divided Societies,” 21.

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not clear whether the current system encourages parties to meet in the moderate

centre or to appeal to dangerous forms of ethno-nationalism to win votes. The variety

of behaviour by ethnic parties in Rakhine State and elsewhere in the country provide

opportunities for further research to understand this important phenomenon.

More broadly, the advent of elections has the propensity to heighten communal

tensions. A history of politics along communal lines, and its replication in the current

electoral system, has great potential to fuel conflict and violence. Communal groups

with a recent history of antagonism compete for seats in electorates with a population

split along communal lines. These problems have been exacerbated by national laws,

including electoral laws, which privilege some communities over others. The emergence

of party politics and elections in 2010 and since presented varying threats and

opportunities for communities and their aspiring political representatives as Myanmar

moved towards electoral politics. This has invariably affected the ways in which

contention has emerged as will be noted in the following chapters.

3.8Decentralisation

Decentralisation of state power is a common process accompanying democratic

transitions. There are strong links between decentralisation and democracy.123 Defined

as “the devolution of power and responsibilities from the national to the subnational

level”, the most institutionalised manifestation of decentralisation is federalism.124

Lijphart notes that such a system is “undoubtedly an excellent way” to provide

autonomy for communal groups in divided societies, particularly those with groups

concentrated geographically.125 Decentralisation can be beneficial for democracy in any

country. By giving meaningful power to subnational units, decentralisation reduces the

space between government and people, increases opportunities for the people to

123 Hamish Nixon et al., “State and Regional Governments in Myanmar,” (Myanmar Development Resource Institute - Centre for Economic and Social Development & The Asia Foundation, 2013), 76, http://asiafoundation.org/resources/pdfs/StateandRegionGovernmentsinMyanmarCESDTAF.PDF. 124 Pippa Norris, Driving Democracy: Do Power-Sharing Institutions Work? (Cambridge & New York: Cambridge University Press, 2008), 157. 125 Lijphart, “Constitutional Design for Divided Societies,” 104.

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engage, interact, and participate in government, and gives groups greater control over

local policies which affect them.126

Freedom House releases an annual report on nations transitioning away from

authoritarian rule. One criterion used to judge nations’ progress toward or from

democracy is decentralisation, or “local democratic governance”.127 States which most

closely reflect liberal democratic practices of decentralisation will have positive

responses to these questions:

1. Are the principles of local democratic government enshrined in law and

respected in practice?...

2. Are citizens able to choose their local leaders in free and fair elections?...

3. Are citizens ensured meaningful participation in local government decision-

making? …

4. Do democratically elected local authorities exercise their powers freely and

autonomously?...

5. Do democratically elected local authorities have the resources and capacity

needed to fulfill their responsibilities?...

6. Do democratically elected local authorities operate with transparency and

accountability to citizens?...128

Horowitz, however, has questioned the universal suitability of decentralisation and

federal systems for divided societies, promoting the creation of subnational units only if

the communal majority in the state is not the majority nation-wide. Under this

arrangement, the lack of influence at the national level is mitigated by influence in the

state.129 He also suggests that the creation of subnational units has utility in countries

with territorially dispersed communal groups.130 He argues that heterogeneous

126 Dawn Brancati, “Decentralization: Fueling the Fire or Dampening the Flames of Ethnic Conflict and Secessionism?,” International Organization 60 (2006): 651-52. 127 Freedom House, “Nations in Transit: Methodology,” (Washington, DC: Freedom House, 2014), 12, https://freedomhouse.org/report/nations-transit-2014/nations-transit-2014-methodology#.VRo7w-HQNeR. 128 Ibid., 17-19. 129 Horowitz, Ethnic Groups in Conflict, 617. 130 Ibid., 618.

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subnational units can result in the transfer of conflict away from the centre, as issues

are debated at the state-level.131 While some have argued that decentralisation is

detrimental to democracy, as it reinforces communal identities and produces

discriminatory legislation towards local minorities,132 most oppose this view and believe

that such arrangements reduce the prospects of communal violence and

secessionism.133

The Asia Foundation noted that decentralisation was “a priority reform area for

President Thein Sein’s government”, which perceived it as a tool to improve efficiency,

develop the economy, and support the nationwide peace process.134 The system

remains largely centralised, however. State and regional chief ministers are appointed

from among elected state or regional MPs by the president. Chief Ministers are then

confirmed by their state or region Hluttaw. Furthermore, the military is also guaranteed

25 per cent of seats in state and regional parliaments. State and regional budgets remain

small, and are designed to preserve Naypyidaw’s influence.135 The negotiation of a

federal system is expected to be an outcome of the ongoing peace process between the

government and various ethnic armed groups in Myanmar’s border areas.

The implementation of the 2008 Constitution itself, however, could perhaps be

considered the most significant step towards decentralisation thus far in Myanmar’s

democratic transition. Prior to this, state or regional Hluttaw were non-existent and

engaging in party politics was by-large ruled illegal. The new formation of political

parties, many of them with an ethno-nationalist platform, campaigning and competing

for votes reflects these new political opportunity structures.

3.9Conclusion

This chapter has analysed changing political opportunity structures in Myanmar during

its democratic transition. While there is a focus on the period up to 2014, subsequent

131 Ibid., 617. 132 Snyder, From Voting to Violence: Democratization and Nationalist Conflict, 40. 133 See Brancati, “Decentralization,” 651, 52; Glickman and Furia, “Issues in the Analysis of Ethnic Conflict and Democratization Processes in Africa Today,” 8. 134 Kim N B Ninh and Matthew Arnold, “In Myanmar, an Evolving Discourse on Decentralization,” In Asia, 2 October 2013, http://asiafoundation.org/in-asia/2013/10/02/in-myanmar-an-evolving-discourse-on-decentralization/. 135 Ibid.

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developments have also been noted as these are crucial to understanding the context

of the episode. In particular, the 2015 election will be frequently referred to throughout

the thesis to illustrate the nature of relations between actors. These structures – of both

opportunities and threats – have in part determined the repertoires of action open to

different actors. Changing political opportunity structures inform how actors respond to

their environment. With entrenched communal division, an undemocratic

neighbourhood, little experience with democracy, low levels of economic growth and a

high concentration of wealth, in 2010 Myanmar appeared to be a problematic candidate

for a successful and stable transition away from authoritarian rule. Furthermore, with

little rule of law and weak state structures, Myanmar did not align with either gradualist

or sequentialist recommendations for democratic transition. Regardless, a strong desire

for democratic transition among elites has driven this top-down transition.

With little foundation of the rule of law before transition, legal reform has lagged behind

rapid changes in other sectors. Echoing Cheesman, this thesis finds that the rhetoric of

the rule of law has been deployed for political purposes. While the military retains

unelected influence over the government, reforms of security forces have occurred.

While these reforms began before transition, they accelerated under the USDP

government. Low confidence in the police remains, however, and these cultural aspects

have posed a large challenge to successful reforms. Undoubtedly, the same can be said

of the judiciary and reforms in that sector.

Expanded civil liberties gave rise to one of the most free media environments in

Southeast Asia. This and the rise of social media present significant challenges and

opportunities for all actors. Similarly, decentralisation, elections, and the emergence of

local politics have opened opportunities not available to the population of Myanmar for

generations. The following chapters will consider the implications of these changing

opportunity structures by analysing the processes which constituted this contentious

period.

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Chapter4:

IdentityFormation:ExclusivePoliticalCommunityThis chapter is concerned with the process of identity formation in the state which is

today known as Myanmar. This chapter considers notions of national identity, as well as

communal identities – with a focus in particular on Rakhine and Rohingya identities.

Identity and its relationship to the state has developed and changed over time. As noted

in the analytical framework, the formation of identities occurs prior to contentious

politics. The national and communal identities as we encounter them today had little

salience or political meaning in the pre-colonial period. Rather, their politicised

construction grew with interactions with the state under British rule. The consolidation

of communal identities continued in the post-independence period. Throughout this

period, an exclusionary form of nationalism was promoted by the state and Myanmar’s

political communal was formally defined on an exclusive basis. The inclusion and roles

of different communal groups within the boundaries of the nation were also contested.

The historical institutionalist argument found in this thesis argues that the historically

defined exclusive definition of the nation which prevailed when democratic transition

began in 2010 was a necessary factor for communal violence in Myanmar. An analysis

of this factor can contribute to our understandings of why it was Muslim communities,

and Rohingya in particular, who were the targets of the violence. Muslim communities

have long been constructed as alien to the Myanmar nation – particularly through their

exclusion from the taing-yintha framework.1 This is not a status unique only to Muslim

communities, however. This thesis argues that it was Muslim communities targeted in

the violence because they have long been construed as a threat to the Myanmar state,

a construction that has been widely accepted in Myanmar society. This chapter traces

the treatment of Islam and Muslims by the state in Myanmar from pre-colonial times.

The persecution of Muslims and particularly the Rohingya from the 1970s is considered.

The history of violence in Myanmar and its relationship to identity formation is also

considered in this chapter. Instances of communal violence during the colonial period

1 With the exception of Kaman Muslim communities.

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are considered in relation to the formation of Myanmar’s political community. The

violence between the government and insurgencies challenging the sovereignty of the

state in the post-independence period heightened the salience of identity. There were

obviously questions of how much the Myanmar state represented all ethnic minorities

– some of the longest running civil wars the world has seen were fought, and continue

to be fought, by ethnic minorities in Myanmar. However, the membership of these

communities in the nation was never questioned by the state, even if their role was.

Muslim communities – Rohingya in particular – were in a different position. The military

government placed them outside of the nation’s taing-yintha regime and stripped them

of citizenship. These constructions of identity, membership and boundaries were to

have utmost significance when ideas of the nation were to be reconstituted under

political transition.

4.1IdentityandtheStateHistorically

Until 1784, the Kingdom of Arakan was situated approximately where today’s Rakhine

State lies. Long the “frontier between Muslim and Buddhist Asia”,2 the Arakanese

Kingdom was separated from the Burmese Kingdom by the hostile mountains of the

Rakhine Yoma, which lay to the east of Arakan. To the west was Bengal. Like other

Southeast Asian kingdoms of the time, the Arakanese and Burmese Kingdoms’ borders

were largely unfixed, both in geography and in population. At times, the Arakanese

Kingdom stretched well into what is now Bangladesh, and Chittagong was an important

city that the Arakanese Kings laid claim to until its annexation by the Mogul empire in

1666. The Burmese King Bodawpaya conquered Arakan in 1784 and ruled for a short

period before it was taken by the British in 1824.

Charney has noted that while religious identities certainly did exist, there is little to

suggest that religious identity was linked to political membership in Arakan.3 This

2 ICG, “Myanmar: The Politics of Rakhine State,” (Brussels: International Crisis Group, 22 October, 2014), 2, https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/myanmar/myanmar-politics-rakhine-state. 3 Michael W. Charney, “Where Jambudipa and Islamdom Converged: Religious Change and the Emergence of Buddhist Communalism in Early Modern Arakan (Fifteenth to Nineteenth Centuries)” (PhD Thesis, The University of Michigan, 1999), 269.

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reflects the fact that in the pre-colonial period ethnic and religious identities often held

little salience or political relevance. Similarly, Scott has found that the diversity of

religious communities found in the Burmese Kingdom indicates that “religious

conformity was not a condition of political affiliation”.4 He suggests that the importance

of the “accumulation of manpower” gave states “great incentives to incorporate

whomever they could and to invent cultural, ethnic, and religious formulas that would

allow them to do so”.5 According to Ikeya, in that period, one’s amyo (type), the basis of

the term lumyo, was in terms of class, not the ethnic distinctions that predominate

today.6 There was substantial social mobility between cultural, social and ethnic

categories. While religion or ethnicity did constitute an aspect of identity, this was not

always the case, and was reversible.7 Instead, political relationships were based on

protection, service,8 or patronage.9 These were patron-client relations.10 Walton notes

that the importance of ethnic identity grew in certain instances, and cites the example

of the increased salience of Rakhine identity as a response to the conquest of the

Arakanese kingdom by the Burmese.11

The sangha historically had a close relationship with the state in the pre-colonial

Burmese Kingdom, as it continues to do today. Aung-Thwin and Aung-Thwin note that

the ancient Bagan kingdom was integrated through the connection of the state and

sangha. The kings “linked that well-being of Theravada Buddhism with the legitimacy of

state and society, manifest in the orthodoxy and preservation of the Sangha”, through

the pattern of donation from the state to the religion.12 As the state supported

Buddhism financially, it allowed citizens to gain merit through “good deeds” rather than

4 James C. Scott, The Art of Not Being Governed: An Anarchist History of Upland Southeast Asia (Singapore: NUS Press, 2010), 83. 5 Ibid., 79. 6 Chie Ikeya, Refiguring Women, Colonialism and Modernity in Burma (Honolulu: University of Hawai'i Press, 2011), 25. 7 Robert H. Taylor, “Do States Make Nations? The Politics of Identity in Myanmar Revisited,” South East Asia Research 13, no. 3 (2005): 266. 8 Ibid. 9 Matthew J. Walton, “The “Wages of Burman-Ness:” Ethnicity and Burman Privilege in Contemporary Myanmar,” Journal of Contemporary Asia 43, no. 1 (2013): 7. 10 Charney, “Where Jambudipa and Islamdom Converged,” 15, 297. 11 Walton, “The “Wages of Burman-Ness:” Ethnicity and Burman Privilege in Contemporary Myanmar,” 7. 12 Michael Aung-Thwin and Maitrii Aung-Thwin, A History of Myanmar since Ancient Times: Traditions and Transformations, Second ed. (London: Reaktion Books, 2013; repr., 2016), 83.

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financial donation, and therefore were on the path to achieving nirvana.13 The state

therefore endeared itself towards both the sangha and lay (Buddhist) population,

increasing its legitimacy. While the Burmese Kingdoms increasingly promoted Buddhism

as the regime strengthened over time, Charney found that the Arakanese Kingdom was

quite different. He notes;

in Arakan we find a polar opposite to the case of the Irra-waddy in the

relationship between the royal court and religion in the context of state

formation: the Arakanese royal court favoured religious heterogeneity and

tolerance when it was strong and turned to religious orthodoxy and religious

purification (or exclusion) when it was weak.14

This perhaps reflects the fact that the polity in Arakan was much more diverse than that

of the Burmese Kingdom. There was significant Islamic influence on the Arakanese court.

Thant Myint-U describes it as “a remarkably hybrid Buddhist-Islamic court, fusing

traditions from Persia and India as well as the Buddhist worlds to the east”.15 Charney

describes how the Arakanese Kingdom accepted a form of “nominal Muslim vassalage

and the trappings of Muslim Sultanship”, but remained a Buddhist kingdom.16 Some

account for this syncretism as an attempt to legitimate the kingdom to its Muslim

subjects. Khin Maung Saw writes that “parts of Bengal became a part of Arakanese

Empire and they wanted to please some of their Muslim subjects… Hence, they used

their assumed Muslim Titles and made some coins with Arakanese as well as Muslim

titles [sic]”.17 Such an instrumentalist account may simplify the role of religion in both

state and society, however. The Arakanese Kingdom was syncretic and reflected the

influence of both Buddhist and Muslim worlds.

Islam reached the Burmese and Arakanese kingdoms at a different pace, and with

different levels of influence. Arab, Persian and Indian traders first arrived by sea in lower

13 Ibid., 84. 14 Charney, “Where Jambudipa and Islamdom Converged,” 311. 15 Thant Myint-U, The River of Lost Footsteps: A Personal History of Burma (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2006), 73. 16 Michael W. Charney, “Rise of a Mainland Trading State: Rahkaing under the Early Mrauk-U Kings C. 1430-1603,” Journal of Burma Studies 3 (1998): 6. 17 Khin Maung Saw, Arakan, a Neglected Land and Her Voiceless People, Second ed. (Yangon: Kha Yee Phaw Publication House, 2016), 81.

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Burma and Arakan in the ninth century.18 Historian Sunil Amrith has shown that the Bay

of Bengal region – which he defines as stretching across South and Southeast Asia – was

a site of the exchange of peoples and cultures long before the colonial period.19 Charney

has noted that the first Muslims to arrive in Arakan did so as early as the ninth century,

as traders, mercenaries and court elites.20 Charney argues, however, that the number

of Muslims settled permanently in Arakan before the 1620s “must have been relatively

small and limited almost completely to Mrauk-U”, the capital.21 From this period, the

Muslim community grew, particularly in the north of the Kingdom. Slave raiding by

Arakanese and Portuguese – with the blessing of the Arakanese Kings – contributed to

a growing Muslim population in northern Arakan,22 including around Chittagong.23 By

the 1770s Muslims accounted for three-quarters of the population of Danra-waddy

(northern Arakan), and approximately 30 per cent of the entire kingdom, as estimated

by Charney.24 In the same period, the Arakanese harboured the Mughal prince Shah

Shuja, exiled after defeat by his brother for the throne. Yegar had written that the fleeing

Prince Shah Shuja was accompanied by a guard of archers, who today are recognised as

the Kaman ethnic group – a predominantly Muslim community in Rakhine State.25 In

interviews for this research, Kaman community leaders rejected this story and claim a

much more ancient history in the region,26 something also claimed in a document

distributed by the Yangon-based Kaman Social Network.27 Islam did not penetrate

mainland Southeast Asia as successfully as in maritime Southeast Asia, however,

something attributed in part to the strength of Buddhism.28 Furthermore, there was no

18 Moshe Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group (Wiesbaden: Otto Harrassowitz, 1972), 6; Charney, “Where Jambudipa and Islamdom Converged,” 147. 19 Sunil Amrith, Crossing the Bay of Bengal: The Furies of Nature and the Fortunes of Migrants (London & Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press, 2013). 20 Charney, “Where Jambudipa and Islamdom Converged,” 147. 21 Ibid., 149. 22 Moshe Yegar, Between Integration and Secession: The Muslims Communities of the Southern Philippines, Southern Thailand, and Western Burma/Myanmar (Maryland, USA, Oxford, UK: Lexington Books, 2002), 24. 23 Charney, “Where Jambudipa and Islamdom Converged,” 162. 24 Ibid., 171. 25 Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 24. 26 Thandwe-Based Lawyer, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016. 27 Maung Sanda (Lai Wae), The History of the Ethnic Group of Kaman (Naing Ngant Gon Yi Publishing House, nd), 20. 28 Mohammed Mohiyuddin Mohammed Sulaiman, “Islamic Education in Myanmar: A Case Study,” in Dictatorship, Disorder and Decline in Myanmar, ed. Monique Skidmore and Trevor Wilson (Canberra: ANU E Press, 2008), 117.

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widespread campaign to spread Islam via missionaries, traders or conquerors, as these

areas did not constitute the attractive trade destinations that maritime Southeast Asia

did.

Muslim traders settled in the Irrawaddy valley from the ninth century, where they were

often forced to stay for up to six months as the monsoon prohibited ships leaving port.

According to Yegar, foreigners were encouraged by local governors to marry Burmese

wives, but were not permitted to take their families if they left.29 Yegar also writes that

the Burmese Kingdom seized Muslims during their expansions into lower Myanmar,

settling their captives in upper Myanmar towns such as Mye Du and neighbouring

districts such as Sagaing. This occurred after the Burmese took Thanlyin (formerlly

Syriam) from the Portugese adventurer De Brito who had attempted to set up his own

kingdom there.30 The Burmese also settled Muslim prisoners of war from Thandwe in

Mye Du in 1707.31 Burmese Muslims from Mye Du, who came to be known as “Mye Du

Muslims” came to serve in the Burmese army.32 A unit of Mye Du Muslims settled in

Thandwe after the Burmese capture of Arakan in 1784. A Kaman community leader in

Thandwe noted that the Mye Du Muslims were originally the Kaman prisoners of war

earlier captured from Thandwe, returning to Thandwe some generations later.33 While

some 50 years ago they may have identified themselves as Mye Du Muslims, today most

have assimilated with Kaman and use that ethnic identifier,34 showing the locational

aspects of communal identity in Myanmar as well as the propensity for the construction

and reconstruction of identity over time.

The Burmese Kingdom varied in its tolerance of religious minorities. At times, the killing

of cattle on Muslim holidays was banned, and Muslims were forced to convert to

Buddhism.35 In contrast, King Mindon (1853-1878) was very accepting of his Kingdom’s

religious minorities, even facilitating the construction of a hostel in Mecca for Burmese

29 Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 6. 30 Ibid., 11. 31 Ibid. 32 Khin Maung Saw, Arakan, a Neglected Land and Her Voiceless People, 113. 33 Thandwe-Based Lawyer, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016. 34 Ibid.; Kaman Community Leader and Moulvi, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 May, 2016. 35 Sulaiman, “Islamic Education in Myanmar: A Case Study,” 180-81.

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Muslims completing the Hajj.36 The community was influential. Thousands of Muslims

were in the King’s army at this time.37 A British diplomat sent to Burma in approximately

1800 noted that Muslim communities had split almost all of Rangoon’s trade between

each other, and controlled commerce and other contact with foreigners.38 Persian was

the official language of contact with foreigners, and was used in negotiations with the

British during the first Anglo-Burmese war of 1824-26.39 Perhaps due to the economic

dominance of Muslim traders, some tensions were evident. Governors of port towns,

where Muslims often settled, tended to cause trouble for the traders through boycotts,

persecution and other restrictive measures.40 Despite this, Muslim communities

maintained commercial influence. The descendants of these early traders make up what

is today commonly known as the Burmese Muslim community.

Islam also arrived from China in 1873, just over a decade before the British took

Mandalay in the Third Anglo-Burmese War of 1885. Known as the Panthay or Chinese

Muslims of northern Myanmar, ancestors of this community fled the annihilation of a

Sultanate in southern China by the Qing dynasty.41 Fearing the massacre of Muslims

committed by the Chinese Emperor’s forces, Panthay Muslims settled in northern

Burma, where they have been a distinct minority since.42 Many settled around the

northern town of Lashio,43 although communities and Panthay mosques can be found

in Mandalay and other towns in Shan State. The Panthay mosque in Mandalay is situated

on land granted to the community by King Mindon.44

36 Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 15. Unfortunately, the hostel was destroyed during the period of military rule. 37 Ibid., 11. 38 Ibid., 9. 39 Ibid., 10-11. 40 Ibid., 6. 41 Members of the same communities also remain in China’s Yunnan Province, where they are known as the Hui. The Economist, “The Hui: China's Other Muslims,” The Economist, 6 October 2016, http://www.economist.com/news/china/21708274-choosing-assimilation-chinas-hui-have-become-one-worlds-most-successful-muslim. 42 Andrew Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, Canberra Papers on Strategy and Defence (Canberra: Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, The Australian National University, 2003), 6. 43 Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 46. 44 Maung Maung Kyi, Early Mosques in Mandalay: Hnit (150) Pyi Atein Ahmat (150 Year Remembrance) (Mandalay: Sayar U Maung Maung Kyi Man E Sar Pe Waing Taw Thar Myar, 2013), 50.

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Islam and Muslims have a long history in what is now Myanmar. While the relationship

between communities was at times evidently contentious, there are no recorded

instances of communal violence before colonisation. It is important to recognise that

identities carried different meanings to what they did in later periods and today.

Furthermore, these historical works show that interactions between religious identities

and the state carried different meanings to what they do today.

4.2TheColonialPeriod

Communalism became consolidated in the colonial period. As Charney notes, this was

largely due to British policy.45 The connection of language to ethnicity was previously

non-existent, but developed as colonial authorities struggled to locate other categories

by which to distinguish people.46 Categorising and stereotyping the alleged attributes of

different ethnic or religious groups was a British “obsession” in official and unofficial

discourse, notes Walton.47 Many of the British recognised the impotence of this

approach, and commented on evident discrepancies between linguistic and ethnic

distinctions, as well as mobility between ethnic groups.48 Nevertheless, geographical

areas were administered separately by the British,49 and ethnicity was central to this

system. Karen in the central region were favoured for employment in the police and

army above Bamar.50 Likewise, in Arakan the British favoured Muslims over Buddhists

as they were believed to be better farmers.51 The British essentialised characteristics of

different communities. Further institutionalising these distinctions, the first legislative

assembly in British Burma created constituencies based on ethnicity and religion.52 The

effect “was to reify ethnicity as a political fact and enhance the political saliency of

45 Charney, “Where Jambudipa and Islamdom Converged,” 15. 46 Jane Ferguson, “Who's Counting? Ethnicity, Belonging, and the National Census in Burma/Myanmar,” Bijdragen tot de Taal-, Land- en Volkenkunde 171 (2015): 6-7. 47 Walton, “The “Wages of Burman-Ness:” Ethnicity and Burman Privilege in Contemporary Myanmar,” 7. 48 Ferguson, “Who's Counting? Ethnicity, Belonging, and the National Census in Burma/Myanmar,” 8-9. 49 Ian Holliday, “Ethnicity and Democratization in Myanmar,” Asian Journal of Political Science 18, no. 2 (2010): 116-17. 50 Taylor, “Do States Make Nations? The Politics of Identity in Myanmar Revisited,” 274. 51 Charney, “Where Jambudipa and Islamdom Converged,” 270. 52 Taylor, “Do States Make Nations? The Politics of Identity in Myanmar Revisited,” 274.

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religion”,53 so that “[p]olitical and ethnic identities became synonymous concepts”,

argued Taylor.54 Furthermore, “British discourses had the effect of differentiating Islam

from things Burmese”, as Keck has noted.55 Communal divisions grew as nationalist

movements developed separately in various “national” groups towards the end of the

colonial period.56

Under the British regime a crisis of relations between the state and sangha pushed

religion into the centre of the nationalist movement. The British policy was neutrality

towards Buddhism. The government did not seek to marginalise the sangha, but nor did

it maintain the state-sangha link as Burmese monarchs had done. Historically, the most

important link had been the royal court’s appointment of a head of all sects; a position

the British initially refused to even recognise.57 Buddhist monks marched on the streets

to support independence in the 1920s and 1930s, and monasteries were a safe place for

young nationalists to meet, out of the eyes of suspicious police. Although Muslims and

other minorities also played leading roles, the nationalist movement had a distinctive

Buddhist flavour, embodied in the famous nationalist slogan – “to be Burmese is to be

Buddhist”. Thus convergence of religion and ethno-nationalism had its roots in the

policies of the British.

The British also encouraged immigration from India into sparsely populated Burma, in

part due to Indians’ experience in a variety of colonial occupations, but also to boost the

economic output of the country. Many South Asians took advantage of this to forge a

new life. By 1921, when the total population of Burma was sixteen million, there were

over one million Indians in Burma. In 1931, 63 per cent of the colonial capital, Rangoon,

was Indian.58 Almost half a million Indians were arriving in Burma each year, although

53 Ibid., 276. 54 Ibid., 274. 55 Stephen Keck, “Reconstructing Trajectories of Islam in British Burma,” in Islam and the State in Myanmar: Muslim-Buddhist Relations and the Politics of Belonging, ed. Melissa Crouch (New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2016), 39. 56 Taylor, “Do States Make Nations? The Politics of Identity in Myanmar Revisited,” 276. 57 Bruce Matthews, “The Legacy of Tradition and Authority: Buddhism and the Nation in Myanmar,” in Buddhism and Politics in Twentieth-Century Asia, ed. Ian Harris (London, New York: Continuum, 1999), 28, 29. 58 Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 31.

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many were seasonal workers.59 It is estimated that approximately half of the Indians

who travelled to Burma were Muslim,60 and those who settled adopted the language

and customs. According to Yegar, most Hindu Indians also converted to Buddhism, while

Muslim Indians retained their religion.61 Many Muslims in Myanmar today are the

descendants of South Asians who migrated during this period. Indians held high posts

under the colonial government,62 and were dominant in commerce. Yet Indians could

be found at all levels of the economy. An estimated 96 per cent of street sweepers and

“scavengers” in Rangoon were also Indian.63 Khin Maung Kyi writes that “poorer classes

of Indians also had migrated to Burma, occupying the lowliest positions and many living

in extreme poverty”.64

This had adverse effects on the Burmese, and fuelled discord with the British and with

the new migrants. Burmese were crowded out of the economy. Khin Maung Kyi argues

that fond perceptions of India as the origin of the Buddhist religion, Burmese scripts,

and the arts and sciences were challenged during the colonial period.

The Bamar would traditionally look at the Mahavansa (the history of rulers) and

the Mahabharata (the epic story of India) with fondness and respect. Yet when the

Bamar actually encountered the Indian immigrants in their daily economic life, their

experiences had been traumatic and negative. As a matter of fact, modern Bamar

have had a hard time trying to reconcile the idealized images of Indians as gathered

from the Buddhist culture with the real-life picture of shrewd businessmen that they

encountered.65

Opposition to immigration from India, as well as the perceived foreign culture and

religion they brought, grew throughout the early 20th century and became a central issue

of the nationalist movement. The failure of Indians to adapt to local customs irked the

59 Ibid. 60 Ibid., 29. 61 Ibid., 28. 62 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 8. 63 Khin Maung Kyi, “Indians in Burma: Problems of an Alien Subculture in a Highly Integrated Society,” in Indian Communities in Southeast Asia, ed. K.S. Sandhu and A Mani (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2006 (1993)), 635. 64 Ibid. 65 Ibid., 625.

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Burmese.66 The 1920s featured a “rising tide of communal opposition to the presence

and activities of Indian residents in Burma”.67 The dominance of Indians, in particular

new landowners and moneylenders, had a disastrous impact on the wellbeing of farmers

who previously owned the land they worked. With economic depression and

fluctuations in rice prices in the 1930s, anti-Indian sentiment grew.68 Reflecting

contemporary grievances, marriage between Buddhist women and Muslim men was an

issue exploited by the nationalist movement.69 The Burmese interpreted British policies

as a “slur on their religion, Buddhism, as well as an attack on their military prowess and

their broader cultural competence”, and an exclusive interpretation of Buddhist

Burmese nationalism developed.70

The strength of popular feeling against Indians in Burma affected Burmese Muslims

adversely, who wanted no links to India or the emerging Pakistan as Independence and

Partition approached.71 As a result, Burmese Muslims set themselves apart from Indian

Muslims supporting these causes, as well as the Arakanese Muslims campaigning for an

autonomous region. Muslims also played significant roles in Burma’s struggle for

independence.72 Notably, U Razak was a key figure during the period, until he was

assassinated as a member of cabinet alongside Aung San in 1947. U Raschid also played

a key role in the nationalist movement and during the parliamentary period.73

As a result of the tension between Burmese and Indians communities, notable incidents

of violence occurred during this period. The Saya San rebellion of 1930-31 had a strong

Indophobic element.74 Saya San was a former monk, and other monks also took part in

66 Renaud Egreteau, “Burmese Indians in Contemporary Burma: Heritage, Influence and Perceptions since 1988,” Asian Ethnicity 12, no. 1 (2011): 36-37. 67 John F. Cady, A History of Modern Burma (New York: Cornell University Press, 1958), 242. 68 Aung-Thwin and Aung-Thwin, A History of Myanmar since Ancient Times: Traditions and Transformations, 218. 69 Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 31. 70 Taylor, “Do States Make Nations? The Politics of Identity in Myanmar Revisited,” 277. 71 Yegar, Between Integration and Secession: The Muslims Communities of the Southern Philippines, Southern Thailand, and Western Burma/Myanmar, 30. 72 Ibid., 32. 73 Bilal M. Raschid, The Invisible Patriot: Reminiscences of Burma's Freedom Movement (United States: CreateSpace, 2015). 74 Egreteau, “Burmese Indians in Contemporary Burma: Heritage, Influence and Perceptions since 1988,” 38; Matthews, “The Legacy of Tradition and Authority: Buddhism and the Nation in Myanmar,” 31.

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this and other riots throughout the 1930s.75 The crushing of the rebellion by Indian

troops compounded the Indophobic attitudes already developing.76 Other violence with

a strong religious current also occurred in 1930 and 1931 when hostility overflowed and

Burmese killed Indians on the streets. This violence grew out of a workers strike on the

Rangoon docks, when Burmese labourers replaced the striking Indian coolies.77 While

an official report recorded 100 deaths, other observers reported 300 to 500.78

In 1938 an estimated 200 Muslims were killed in Yangon and other districts in anti-Indian

“pogroms” in which the majority of victims were Muslim.79 While the spark for the

conflict was the publication of a controversial book on religion, an enquiry found that it

played no “greater part in the history of the riots than that it afforded the instrument of

an evil opportunism… which was grasped by the Burmese Press and by a number of

other political agencies for the purpose of bringing about a political and social

explosion”.80 The underlying causes were found to be economic, political and social

tensions between communities, exacerbated by the Burmese press, the sangha, and

dangerous rumours.81 Aside of this, Cady notes that “[p]olitical opportunists fomented

the riots everywhere”.82 Indeed, it was the Sun newspaper that led the charge against

Muslims. This publication was owned by the then aspiring politician U Saw.83 The riots

of the 1930s have been said to have generated “irreparable ill will” between the Indian

and Burmese communities, so that “the average Bamar saw no redeeming quality in

75 “The Legacy of Tradition and Authority: Buddhism and the Nation in Myanmar,” 32. 76 Egreteau, “Burmese Indians in Contemporary Burma: Heritage, Influence and Perceptions since 1988,” 39. 77 Aung-Thwin and Aung-Thwin, A History of Myanmar since Ancient Times: Traditions and Transformations, 218. 78 See Cady, A History of Modern Burma, 305. 79 Yegar, Between Integration and Secession: The Muslims Communities of the Southern Philippines, Southern Thailand, and Western Burma/Myanmar, 30; The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 32; Egreteau, “Burmese Indians in Contemporary Burma: Heritage, Influence and Perceptions since 1988,” 50. 80 Riot Inquiry Committee, “Final Report of the Riot Inquiry Committee,” (Rangoon 1939), 1. 81 Ibid., 6, 7, 275; Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 36. 82 Cady, A History of Modern Burma, 394. 83 U Saw went on to become Prime Minister during the colonial period, but is perhaps best known for his role in the assassination of Aung San in 1947.

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Indians”.84 In Arakan, in contrast, there are no reports of violence between communities

until World War Two.

In late 1941 the Japanese made their approach on Burma with support from the

Burmese Independence Army (BIA). Due to ongoing hostilities towards Indians, there

was a fear of reprisals against South Asians by the Burmese and Japanese. Most of the

estimated 900,000 Indians living in Burma fled to India on foot, and an unknown number

– estimated to be between 10,000 and 100,000 – did not survive the horrific journey.85

This number excludes communities in Arakan, where many Indians fled to the Muslim-

dominated north, while approximately 20,000 beat a hasty retreat to India.86 Grouping

together for safety was a common pattern among Indians in Burma at the time.87 A small

Indian community did remain active in commerce in Rangoon during the war.88

The Rakhine were the only ethnic minority to cooperate fully with the BIA, and

supported the Japanese when they entered Burma in 1942.89 The Muslims in northern

Arakan, meanwhile, allied with the British. The result was the first recorded communal

violence in Arakan. From the Muslim population, the British formed the guerrilla

Volunteer Force (V-Force). Debate continues over how the violence began and why.90

The result of the violence was that Arakan became divided geographically; with Muslim

communities concentrated in the north and Buddhists in the south. Disputes were not

resolved after the war, and “memories of the suffering have lingered over the decades

on both sides of the divide”.91 The 1942 violence is commonly cited as a root of tensions

84 Khin Maung Kyi, “Indians in Burma: Problems of an Alien Subculture in a Highly Integrated Society,” 640. 85 Nalini Ranjan Chakravarti, The Indian Minority in Burma: The Rise and Decline of an Immigrant Community (London: Oxford University Press, 1971), 170. 86 Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 95. 87 Khin Maung Kyi, “Indians in Burma: Problems of an Alien Subculture in a Highly Integrated Society,” 640-41. 88 Tin Maung Maung Than, “Some Aspects of Indians in Rangoon,” ibid., 590. 89 Martin Smith, Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity (London: Zed Books Ltd, 1991), 64. 90 See, for example, Aung Zaw, “Disquiet on the Western Front,” The Irrawaddy, 30 December 2012, http://www.irrawaddy.org/magazine/disquiet-on-the-western-front-2.html; Ardeth Maung Thawnghmung, “Contending Approaches to Communal Violence in Rakhine State,” in Burma/Myanmar: Where Now?, ed. Mikael Gravers and Flemming Ytzen (Copenhagen: NIAS Press, 2014), 325-6; Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 95; Jacques P. Leider, “Rohingya: The Name, the Movement and the Quest for Identity,” in Nation Building in Myanmar (Yangon: Myanmar EGRESS and Myanmar Peace Centre, 2013), 239. 91 “Rohingya: The Name, the Movement and the Quest for Identity,” 239-40.

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between Buddhists and Muslims in Rakhine State today.92 In 1945, the Burmese and

Rakhine nationalists switched sides to support the British, facilitating the return of

British rule.

Due to their roles in the conflict, Rakhine Buddhists were neglected by the post-war

British government while Muslims were favoured.93 Some Rakhine fighters went

underground and formed a movement for an independent Arakan nation. Many Indians

who had fled to Bengal returned, together with immigrants from densely populated

Chittagong, who settled in the north.94 Nationwide, an estimated 246,000 returned from

India by May 1946,95 far less than the number that left.

Ethnicity and religion were consolidated as political categories during the period of

British rule in Burma. Communities were given special benefits by the state on a

communal basis. One result of this was the polarisation across communities.

Competition for scarce resources and preferential treatment encouraged division

between communities as communal identity increasingly held political meaning. This

heightened polarisation and the salience of ethnic and religious identities. The

communalism which emerged was to be the basis for the many challenges of nation-

building in the post-colonial period.

4.3TheParliamentaryPeriodandMilitaryRule

Burma’s first Prime Minister U Nu was a devout Buddhist, and “his personal lifestyle

embodied elements of the traditional ideal of the righteous Buddhist monarch”.96 As the

Karen insurgency threatened Rangoon shortly after independence, for instance, U Nu

took “a vow of sexual abstinence so that by the power of his personal example the

92 See, for example, Mohammad Ashraf Alam, “A Short History of Arakan and Rohingyas,” in The Rohingyas of Arakan: History and Heritage, ed. Mohammad Mohibullah Siddiquee (Chittagong: Ali Publishing House, 2014), 76; The Republic of the Union of Myanmar, “Final Report,” 61. 93 Yegar, Between Integration and Secession: The Muslims Communities of the Southern Philippines, Southern Thailand, and Western Burma/Myanmar, 34. 94 Ibid. 95 Khin Maung Kyi, “Indians in Burma: Problems of an Alien Subculture in a Highly Integrated Society,” 642. 96 Donald K. Swearer, The Buddhist World of Southeast Asia (New York: State University of New York Press, 1995), 97.

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insurgents would be defeated”.97 U Nu’s government was generally, if belatedly,

accommodating and inclusive towards ethnic and religious minorities. He was proactive

in standardising administration in the border regions and managing ethnic demands –

he committed to the creation of Mon and Arakan states, although these would not

emerge until 1974.98 U Nu also recognised the Rohingya as an indigenous ethnic group

of Burma in word, if not formally.99 U Nu’s government also sought to restore the link

between the state and the sangha, making religion a divisive issue. A Buddhist Sasana

Council was established and U Nu echoed the meritorious acts of Burmese kings.100 U

Nu also alienated religious minorities by banning the slaughter of cattle and launching a

Buddhist lunar calendar.101 He wanted Buddhism established as the state religion, an

issue which contributed to his government’s overthrow, as it “annoyed” the armed

forces, helped to mobilise Christian minorities and attracted others to insurgency.102

This issue has also been said to have encouraged anti-Muslim violence in 1961.103

U Nu also outlined plans for an autonomous Muslim region, the Mayu Frontier District,

in northern Arakan.104 The frontier was established in 1961, and comprised Buthidaung,

Maungdaw and a part of Rathedaung. It was ruled by the Tatmadaw directly from

Rangoon after the military coup of 1962 until it was dissolved in 1964.105 Smith writes

that “both the British and the AFPFL were to leave behind a time-bomb ticking in Arakan,

which, Muslim and Rakhine nationalists argue, could easily have been defused by

discussion”.106 Insurgency and the use of ethnic and religious identities in politics

contributed to the further consolidation of communal identity as a political category in

the post-independence parliamentary period.

97 Ibid. 98 Smith, Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity, 82, 83. 99 Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Rohingya Muslims: Myanmar's Forgotten People,” RSIS Commentaries, 6 February, 2008, http://www3.ntu.edu.sg/rsis/publications/Perspective/RSIS0122008.pdf; Ian Holliday, “Addressing Myanmar's Citizenship Crisis,” Journal of Contemporary Asia 44, no. 3 (2014): 409. 100 Swearer, The Buddhist World of Southeast Asia, 97. 101 Matthews, “The Legacy of Tradition and Authority: Buddhism and the Nation in Myanmar,” 34. 102 Aung-Thwin and Aung-Thwin, A History of Myanmar since Ancient Times: Traditions and Transformations, 247. 103 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 14. 104 ICG, “Myanmar: The Politics of Rakhine State,” 5. 105 Leider, “Rohingya: The Name, the Movement and the Quest for Identity,” 245. 106 Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity, 82.

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The use of identity in politics continued during the military rule period. Then, the state

was nominally secular. Ne Win dismantled the Buddhist institutions set up by U Nu and

called for freedom of religion.107 Yet Buddhism grew to have a favoured position within

the state. Swearer observes that the military government “attempted to fashion a policy

of Buddhist civil religion more systematic and authoritarian than that of U Nu”.108 Top

leaders were often pictured in state media visiting pagodas for merit-making purposes,

or funding their construction. Donations were made to monasteries in an attempt to

gain support for the government.109 The monkhood, the only institution in the country

comparable in size to the military,110 were potentially a formidable political challenge to

military rule, yet also offered an opportunity to legitimise authoritarianism. In 1980, the

government established the State Sangha Maha Nayaka Committee, a government-

appointed committee of high-ranking monks,111 often perceived to be a mouthpiece for

the government and commonly known as MaHaNa.112 The increasing alignment of

Buddhism with the state, as well as the state’s attempts to co-opt and control the

sangha, had adverse implications for religious minorities.

As the relationship between religion and the state was altered, so were ethnic identities

increasingly politicised. The regime’s official perspective was that 135 national races

recognised by the state are descended from a common Mongoloid racial stock and “thus

are blood relations”.113 This concept of taing-yintha, or “national races”, remains central

to the idea of being Myanmar today. Cheesman has noted that communities in

Myanmar must participate in the politics of taing-yintha in order to participate as

members of the national community. He notes that this system “invites and obligates”

Rohingya to make claims to taing-yintha – something which perpetuates conflict.114

107 Swearer, The Buddhist World of Southeast Asia, 97. 108 Ibid., 97-98. 109 Ibid., 99. 110 Steinberg, Burma/Myanmar: What Everyone Needs to Know, 25. 111 HRW, “The Resistance of the Monks: Buddhism and Activism in Burma,” (New York: Human Rights Watch, 2009), 41, http://www.hrw.org/sites/default/files/reports/burmamonks0909webwcover.pdf. 112 Matthew J. Walton, “Myanmar Needs a New Nationalism,” Asia Times, 20 May 2013, http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/SEA-02-200513.html. 113 Cited in Curtis W. Lambrecht, “Oxymoronic Development: The Military as Benefactor in the Border Regions of Burma,” in Civilizing the Margins: Southeast Asian Government Policies for the Development of Minorities ed. Christopher R. Duncan (New York: Cornell University Press, 2004), 154. 114 Nick Cheesman, “How in Myanmar “National Races” Came to Surpass Citizenship and Exclude Rohingya,” Journal of Contemporary Asia 47, no. 3 (2017): 463.

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Indeed, if claims are not based in ethnic terms, it is very difficult to gain traction.115 The

state’s strict organisation of ethnic and religious categories is illustrated by the case of

a Rakhine Muslim man interviewed for this research. His identity card identifying him as

“Rakhine Muslim” was confiscated by authorities in the 1990s and replaced with a

Temporary Registration Certificate (“white card”) identifying him as a “Kaman Muslim”.

He was told that the government does “not accept Rakhine Muslims”.116 As correctly

noted by Prasse-Freeman, however, while the state may have brought the taing-yintha

concept to the public, it is now the public who first and foremost enforce it,117 something

illustrated by the role of monastics and broader society in rejecting the name

“Rohingya”.

Ethnic and religious minorities suffered under the government’s policy of

“Burmanisation”: “a socio-political strategy aimed at the assimilation of the ethnic and

religious minorities of Myanmar”,118 achieved through the promotion of the dominant

Bamar (Burman) culture.119 These processes polarised and entrenched communal

divisions. A consequence of the high salience of identity today is that “people often

perceive ethnicity as something inborn, unchangeable and in some cases determinant

of an individual’s very nature”,120 an example of everyday primordialism. The following

sections consider insurgency and the situation of Muslim communities in the emerging

ideas of Myanmar’s political community during the post-independence period.

4.3.1Insurgency

Insurgency against the state was central to the consolidation of identity in the post-

independence period. Walton notes that “military action against ethnic insurgencies…

has resulted in the institutionalisation of differential treatment”.121 Insurgency has been

115 Taylor, “Do States Make Nations? The Politics of Identity in Myanmar Revisited,” 264. 116 Rakhine Muslim Mosque Leader, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 May, 2016. 117 Elliott Prasse-Freeman, “The Rohingya Crisis,” Anthropology Today 33, no. 6 (2017): 2. 118 J. A. Berlie, The Burmanization of Myanmar's Muslims (Bangkok: White Lotus, 2008), xi. 119 Walton, “The “Wages of Burman-Ness:” Ethnicity and Burman Privilege in Contemporary Myanmar,” 11. 120 Ibid., 4. 121 Ibid., 6.

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a nationwide phenomenon and dozens of ethnic armed groups have spent decades

resisting the state from the borderlands.

There has been an intermittent history of insurgency from Rohingya in northern Rakhine

State. Insurgency from Rohingya communities, however, has been weak and plagued by

division. A Rohingya “Mujahid” rebellion began in 1948.122 The insurgency was framed

in religious terms, notes Smith – “they pledged themselves ready to begin battle for an

Islamic state”.123 There were an estimated 2000 to 5000 active Mujahid fighters.124

While Rohingya leaders appealed to the Mujahid to put down their arms, they shared a

vision for northern Arakan – an autonomous Muslim region, not apart from Burma, yet

not run by the Arakanese majority.125 This was the aforementioned Mayu Frontier,

which was established in 1961. Initially the Mujahid targeted Arakanese Buddhist

communities rather than the government,126 suggesting communal tensions were still

forefront – this was less than a decade after World War Two and the communal violence

of 1942.

In 1948, the Mujahid made five claims upon the Burmese government: to declare the

Akyab District an autonomous “Free Muslim State” under the sovereignty of Burma;

recognise Urdu as the language of the state; establish independent schools; release

prisoners; and to grant legal status to the Mujahid movement.127 They received no

response from Rangoon. With various insurgencies across the country, Arakan was not

a priority for the government until 1951.128 By 1954 a major government offensive had

killed key Mujahid leaders, and the total force was reduced to approximately 300, many

122 Members of other Muslim communities have also joined insurgencies. Some members of the Panthay community have joined Kokang and Wa insurgencies. Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 6. The short-lived Kawthoolei Muslim Liberation Front was briefly active in Karen National Union territory in the 1980s. Smith, Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity, 400. 123 Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity, 87. 124 Yegar, Between Integration and Secession: The Muslims Communities of the Southern Philippines, Southern Thailand, and Western Burma/Myanmar. 125 Ibid., 38. 126 Ibid., 37. 127 Ibid., 40. 128 Ibid., 38.

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of them irregulars with farms to maintain.129 Most remaining Mujahid rebels

surrendered in 1961 and the resistance that continued subsequently was limited. 130

Rohingya insurgency began again under military rule. None of the Rohingya insurgencies

have been organised well, and presented a minimal threat to the Tatmadaw.131 In 1963

the Rohingya Independence Front, later the Rohingya Patriotic Front (RPF), was

established.132 The Rohingya Solidarity Organisation (RSO) split from the more moderate

RPF in 1982.133 The two joined to establish the Arakan Rohingya National Organisation

(ARNO) in 1998, but the Arakan Rohingya Islamic Front and two RSO factions splintered

away from ARNO in 2000.134 ARNO abandoned its arms in 2004. At the time of research,

while the RSO was considered the most active Rohingya insurgency, it remained

effectively “operationally defunct”.135 Furthermore, there appeared to be at least three

RSO factions at the time of research. Only one faction was armed, and ARNO maintained

no links at that time to the RSO according to ARNO leaders in Bangladesh.136 Insurgency

was to rise again in 2016 with the emergence of the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army

(ARSA), which had been quietly organising since 2012.137

A leader of ARNO, now a non-armed political organisation, said that after September

2001 and the attacks on the World Trade Centre armed resistance was not practical as

the government could increasingly justify extra-lethal force against “Islamic

terrorists”.138 Despite widespread rumours, any links between Rohingya insurgents and

transnational terrorist networks remained minimal at the time of research. These

allegations are used by Naypyidaw, international terrorist organisations and other

129 Ibid., 44-45. 130 Smith, Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity, 194. 131 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 16. 132 Smith, Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity, 219. 133 Elliot Brennan and Christopher O'Hara, “The Rohingya and Islamic Extremism: A Convenient Myth,” (Institute for Security and Development Policy, 15 June, 2015), 1, http://www.isdp.eu/publications/policy-briefs.html?task=showbib&id=6642&return=. 134 Curtis Lambrecht, “Burma (Myanmar),” in Voices of Islam in Southeast Asia: A Contemporary Sourcebook, ed. Greg Fealy and Virginia Hooker (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2006), 28. 135 Brennan and O'Hara, “The Rohingya and Islamic Extremism,” 1. 136 ARNO Political Leader and Writer, interview, Chittagong, Bangladesh, 24 April, 2016. 137 ICG, “Myanmar's Rohingya Crisis Enters a Dangerous New Phase,” (Brussells: International Crisis Group, 7 December, 2017), 1, https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/myanmar/292-myanmars-rohingya-crisis-enters-dangerous-new-phase. 138 ARNO Leader, interview, Chittagong, Bangladesh, 25 April, 2016.

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domestic groups to suit their own interests.139 For example, several Muslims were

charged in 2015 with joining a radical Islamic organisation that observers suspect does

not exist.140 Unestablished claims that Rohingya insurgents may have ties to

international terror networks have been labelled “dangerous and irresponsible”; and a

Myanmar social activist warned that “spreading such an idea in Myanmar is a killing

license”.141

4.3.2MuslimsunderMilitaryRule

Under military rule, the Bamar Buddhist conception of the nation overshadowed

religious minorities’ own worship.142 During the 1970s and 1980s, there were “various

‘de-Islamization’ processes” in central Myanmar, during which many mosques were

destroyed.143 The government suspected religious minorities of having loyalties to

outside powers and working to destroy the state, a belief rooted in a strong sense of the

nationalist slogan, “to be Burmese is to be Buddhist”.144 It played on these fears to shore

up its own support.145 A former government minister claims that there existed “‘an

unwritten policy’ to get rid of Muslims, Christians, Karens and other ethnic peoples, in

that order”.146 Observers have frequently noted that tensions between Buddhist and

Muslim communities have been encouraged by the government’s xenophobic

policies.147 Under subsequent authoritarian regimes, Muslims and other minorities were

139 Brennan and O'Hara, “The Rohingya and Islamic Extremism,” 2. 140 Carlos Sardiña Galache and Veronica Pedrosa, “In Myanmar, Muslims Arrested for Joining Terror Group That Doesn't Exist,” The Intercept, 25 May 2015, https://theintercept.com/2015/05/25/myanmar-muslims-arrested-joining-terror-group-doesnt-exist/. 141 Matthew Schissler, Matthew J Walton, and Phyu Phyu Thi, “M.MAS Working Paper: Threat and Virtuous Defence: Listening to Narratives of Religious Conflict in Six Myanmar Cities,” (Myanmar Media and Society Project, 22 July, 2015), 19, https://www.sant.ox.ac.uk/sites/default/files/m.mas_working_paper_1.1_-_threat_and_virtuous_defence_-_july_2015.pdf. 142 Christina Fink, Living Silence: Burma under Military Rule (London, New York: Zed Books, 2001), 226. 143 Egreteau, “Burmese Indians in Contemporary Burma: Heritage, Influence and Perceptions since 1988,” 50-51. 144 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 4. 145 Fink, Living Silence: Burma under Military Rule, 225. 146 Gregory B. Poling, “Separating Fact from Fiction About Myanmar's Rohingya,” Centre for Strategic and International Studies, 13 February 2014, https://csis.org/publication/separating-fact-fiction-about-myanmars-rohingya. 147 See, for example, Mikael Gravers, “Politically Engaged Buddhism: Spiritual Politics or Nationalist Medium?,” in Burma/Myanmar: Where Now?, ed. Mikael Gravers and Flemming Ytzen (Copenhagen: NIAS Press, 2014), 311; Robert H. Taylor, “Myanmar in 2012: Mhyaw Ta Lin Lin or Great Expectations,”

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prohibited from rising through the ranks of the military and bureaucracy. Shortly after

the coup of 1962, the military government nationalised all businesses. Indians, dominant

in the economy, suffered under this policy. Approximately 300,000 foreigners, many of

them Indian, left the country.148 The rhetoric has also been discriminatory. In 2009,

Myanmar’s senior official in Hong Kong described the Rohingya as “as ugly as ogres”.149

Rohingya were subjected to severe restrictions on movement, with some confined to

travelling within two miles from their home.150 During military rule, Buddhist settler

villages were created on land confiscated from Rohingya.151 All of this pointed to

xenophobia and particularly a deep resentment of the Rohingya by the military rulers.

Rohingya were increasingly pushed out of Myanmar’s political community.

In 1978, the Burmese military launched the Nagamin (“Dragon King”) operation,

ostensibly to check identification cards. The brutality and murder involved saw 200,000

Rohingya flee to Bangladesh.152 The military blamed the unrest on Muslim extremists

and armed “Bengalis”. Following an international outcry, and Bangladesh’s accusations

of genocide,153 most were able to return to Myanmar, although often under no UN

oversight. Upon return many found that their land had been given to Buddhists.154 In

1991, Smith noted that Buddhist-Muslim relations were “still extremely tense” in

Rakhine State.155

Southeast Asian Affairs 2013 (2013): 201; Egreteau, “Burmese Indians in Contemporary Burma: Heritage, Influence and Perceptions since 1988,” 50. 148 “Burmese Indians in Contemporary Burma: Heritage, Influence and Perceptions since 1988,” 40. 149 AFP, ““Ugly as Ogres”: Burmese Envoy Insults Refugees,” The World Post, 14 March 2009, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/02/11/ugly-as-ogres-burmese-env_n_166159.html. 150 Eric Tagliacozzo, “Burmese and Muslim: Islam and the Hajj in the Sangha State,” in Burmese Lives: Ordinary Life Stories under the Burmese Regime, ed. Win-Chin Chang and Eric Tagliacozzo (New York: Oxford University Press, 2014), 94. 151 Francis Wade, “West Bank of the East: Burma’s Social Engineering Project,” Los Angeles Review of Books, 7 November 2015, https://lareviewofbooks.org/article/west-bank-of-the-east-burmas-social-engineering-project/. 152 Martin Smith and Annie Allsebrook, “Ethnic Groups in Burma: Development, Democracy and Human Rights,” (London: Anti-Slavery International, 1994), 55, http://www.ibiblio.org/obl/docs3/Ethnic_Groups_in_Burma-ocr.pdf. 153 Robert H. Taylor, “The Legal Status of Indians in Contemporary Burma,” in Indian Communities in Southeast Asia, ed. K.S. Sandhu and A. Mani (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2006 (1993)), 671. 154 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 13. 155 Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity, 241.

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Devastatingly for the Rohingya, the 1982 Citizenship Law replaced the previous 1948 law

and restricted citizenship foremost to taing-yintha. The 1948 Union Citizenship Act

automatically considered people as citizens if; both parents belong to the national races;

one grandparent belongs to the national races; or if four grandparents settled in

Myanmar, and both parents and the individual were born in Myanmar. Citizenship could

also be obtained under the 1948 law if the individual had lived in Myanmar for five years,

and met certain other criteria.156

It has been said that today under the 1982 law Myanmar “has some of the most extreme

citizenship laws in the world”.157 Under the law there are three categories of citizenship;

citizen, associate citizen and naturalised citizen. The government published a list of 135

official taing-yintha groups, from which the Rohingya were excluded. This confirmed

many Rohingya as stateless. The category of “Citizenship” is foremost for taing-yintha.

The national races “as have settled in any of the territories included within the State as

their permanent home from a period anterior to 1185 B.E., 1823 A.D., are Burma

citizens”,158 providing they were born prior to 15 October 1982. Additionally, those born

of parents, at least one of whom falls into the category of Citizenship, will also fall into

this category. Finally, the third generation of “Associate” or “Naturalised” citizens are

recognised in the category of Citizenship by this act. “Associate Citizenship” is given to

those who were granted citizenship under the 1948 act before the 1982 law was

introduced.159 The final category, “Naturalised Citizenship”, is reserved for those who

settled in Myanmar before independence (4 January 1948), providing they have

paperwork showing this. Foreigners who marry any category of citizen also fall into this

bracket, providing other conditions are met. Also included are children of such couples,

and children who do not satisfy the criteria to be included in the “Citizenship” category,

on account of their parents’ citizenship type. In addition to meeting these criteria,

naturalised citizens must also be aged 18 or above, be able to speak one of the national

156 ICG, “Myanmar: The Politics of Rakhine State,” 10. 157 Smith, Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity, 37. 158 Cited in Robert H. Taylor, “Refighting Old Battles, Compounding Misconceptions: The Politics of Ethnicity in Myanmar Today,” (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2 March, 2015), 7, https://www.iseas.edu.sg/images/pdf/ISEAS_Perspective_2015_12.pdf. 159 HRW, ““The Government Could Have Stopped This”,” 46; The Working People's Daily, “Translation of the Speech by General Ne Win,” The Working People's Daily, 9 October 1982, http://www.burmalibrary.org/docs6/Ne_Win%27s_speech_Oct-1982-Citizenship_Law.pdf.

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languages well, and be of good character and “sound mind”. On account of the various

colours of the “Citizenship Scrutiny Cards” (CSCs), citizenship cards are often called pink

cards, associate citizenship cards blue cards, and naturalised citizenship cards green

cards.

In remote areas, such as Rakhine State, many failed to apply for citizenship under the

1948 law. This was due to their remoteness, or a lack of literacy and understanding of

the procedure.160 Those who did not hold citizenship, for whatever reason, were issued

National Registration Cards (NRCs). Some Rohingya held these cards, but often did not.

The introduction of the 1982 Citizenship Law complicated the situation for those who

are not taing-yintha; including Rohingya, Indians and Chinese in Myanmar. A 1989

citizenship inspection process replaced NRCs with pink cards for those deemed to be

citizens. The ICG reports, however, that the “majority of Rakhine Muslims surrendered

their NRCs, but were never issued with CSCs”, an “arbitrary deprivation of citizenship”,

which left them stateless.161 The law has also been applied arbitrarily, to the

discrimination of Rohingya. For instance, when Rohingya leave northern Rakhine for

Yangon, Bangladesh or elsewhere their names are taken off the family list – the effect is

to wipe any memory of them from the state. This makes it very difficult for them to

prove they were not an illegal immigrant from Bangladesh if they return.

From 1995 Temporary Registration Certificates (“white cards”) were issued to many

Muslims in Rakhine.162 Although these cards were intended to be temporary, they

remained recognised until 2015, when they were revoked. The Moe Pwint project began

in 2011 and involved the issuance of some 3.5 million citizenship cards to those without

documents by 2013.163 Many Rohingya faced challenges in receiving the cards, however.

There was little trust in the state to respect what paper work Rohingya did submit due

160 Khin Maung Kyi, “Indians in Burma: Problems of an Alien Subculture in a Highly Integrated Society,” 657; Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 29. 161 ICG, “Myanmar: The Politics of Rakhine State,” 11. 162 Ibid. 163 San Yamin Aung, “'Smarter' National ID Cards in the Pipeline,” The Irrawaddy, 20 September 2013, https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/smarter-national-id-cards-pipeline.html.

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to fears it would be confiscated, and there was little understanding of the process

involved.164

In late 1991 and early 1992, approximately 250,000 Rohingya refugees again arrived in

Bangladesh;165 following another military operation in northern Rakhine State, during

which the Tatmadaw “confiscated Muslim land for their camps and for agriculture to

provide for their food, levied arbitrary taxes, and imposed forced labour on the

villagers”.166 HRW describes the situation as such: “The Burmese army slashed and

burned its way through villages, killing hundreds and forcing a new outflow of

refugees”.167 All but 28,000 were eventually repatriated to Myanmar,168 although

questions remain on how voluntary the repatriation was.169

The operations of the Tatmadaw in northern Rakhine State were similar to operations

in other ethnic areas of Myanmar, although the brutality levelled against the Rohingya

was evidently of a greater intensity. A Rohingya man interviewed for this study, who

previously served as a captain in the Tatmadaw in Rakhine State, described how they

commonly received orders to make what he referred to as “no man on land” – to destroy

all villages in the vicinity with no regard for human life.170 “Rohingya were systematically

persecuted”, he argued, and cited extra-judicial killings of Rohingya civilians by security

forces.171 He recalls that military leaders would tell Rohingya that they did not view them

as people.172 When this captain later was transferred to serve in Kayin State, he would

receive the same “no man on land” scorched earth orders.173 These activities against

ethnic insurgents and communities suspected of supporting them have been well

164 Kayleigh Long, “Northern Rakhine Facing Major Political Shake-Up,” Myanmar Times, 15 September 2015, https://www.mmtimes.com/national-news/16481-northern-rakhine-facing-major-political-shake-up.html. 165 UNHCR, “UNHCR Global Report: Special Programme: Myanmar/Bangladesh Repatriation and Reintegration Operation,” (United Nations High Commission for Refugees, 1999), http://www.unhcr.org/3e2d4d617.pdf. 166 ICG, “Myanmar: The Politics of Rakhine State,” 5. 167 HRW, ““The Government Could Have Stopped This”,” 15. 168 Trevor Wilson, “Burma: Does International Attention Make a Difference for the Rohingya?,” Asia Rights, 28 October 2012, http://asiapacific.anu.edu.au/blogs/asiarights/2012/10/28/burma-does-international-attention-make-a-difference-for-the-rohingya/. 169 HRW, ““The Government Could Have Stopped This”,” 16. 170 Former Tatamdaw Captain, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 23 February, 2016. 171 Ibid. 172 Ibid. 173 Ibid.

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documented in eastern Myanmar and are known as the “four cuts” policy; to reduce

access to food, funds, recruits and information. The use of rape and sexual violence

against minorities across the country has been well documented.

Under military rule there were also occasions of communal violence in which Muslim

communities across the country were targeted. In July 1988, anti-Muslim violence

arrived on the streets of Taunggyi and other towns.174 In 1997 anti-Muslim incidents

occurred in Mandalay, during which monks vandalised mosques and desecrated

Korans.175 Unrest was also reported in Taungoo, Pyay, Mawlamyine, and Pyinmana.176

Again, in 2001 groups of Buddhists attacked Muslim communities in Taungoo, Pyay,

Bago and Sittwe.177 In 2006, fatal anti-Muslim violence was also reported in various

towns of Magwe Division.178 Monks have often been involved.179 Ashin Wirathu was

jailed in the early 2000s for instigating anti-Muslim violence.180

There has been speculation that the occurrence of such incidents under military rule

was orchestrated by the government or pro-government parties to direct popular

discontent away from the military government and towards Muslim communities.181

The 1988 violence in Taunggyi occurred at the peak of anti-government protests that

year. The spark was the distribution of pamphlets of alleged Muslim authorship,

encouraging Muslim men to marry Buddhist women, a recurring concern of the Buddhist

174 Fink, Living Silence: Burma under Military Rule, 225; Smith, Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity, 3. 175 Matthews, “The Legacy of Tradition and Authority: Buddhism and the Nation in Myanmar,” 39, 50. 176 HRW, “The Resistance of the Monks,” 62. 177 “Crackdown on Burmese Muslims,” (Washington DC, USA: Human Rights Watch, 2002), 1, https://www.hrw.org/legacy/backgrounder/asia/burmese_muslims.pdf. 178 Human Rights Documentation Unit of the National Coalition Government of the Union of Burma, “Burma Human Rights Year Book 2006,” (Human Rights Documentation Unit of the National Coalition Government of the Union of Burma, 2007), 535, http://www.ibiblio.org/obl/docs4/HRDU2006-CD/religion.html; US Embassy Yangon, “Communal Riots in Magwe Division,” (22 February: US Embassy Cable, 2006). 179 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 10; Egreteau, “Burmese Indians in Contemporary Burma: Heritage, Influence and Perceptions since 1988,” 50. 180 Nirmal Ghosh, “Buddhism's Right-Wing Face in Myanmar,” The Straits Times, 30 March 2015, http://www.stasiareport.com/the-big-story/asia-report/myanmar/story/buddhisms-right-wing-face-myanmar-20150330. 181 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 10; Lambrecht, “Burma (Myanmar),” 27; Lintner, Outrage: Burma's Struggle for Democracy, 195; Smith, Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity, 3.

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nationalist movement.182 While some monks may have been co-opted to take part, it

appears that many did so voluntarily.183 As a result of the clashes, the government

introduced emergency measures, including a ban on public gatherings.184 Selth argues

that it is difficult to see how such incidents of anti-Muslim violence could occur without

the government’s knowledge that it was imminent, given the high levels of surveillance

in Myanmar during that period.185 Furthermore, authorities were often accused of doing

little to stop the violence, or even encouraging and participating in it. This contrasted

sharply to the military’s heavy-handed response to anti-government protests.

A Rohingya political leader in Sittwe Township said that by the 2000s, there was no law

and order for Rohingya in Rakhine State. Rakhine could assault Rohingya with impunity,

something he said was increasingly true in the few years before 2012.186 Security forces

were said to side with Rakhine in everyday disputes, and took no action against those

committing violence towards Muslims.187 Muslims faced disproportionate

discrimination on travel and law enforcement. It was very difficult for Muslims to travel

outside of their township, and bribes were demanded.188 Violence between

communities was common. If in the wrong part of town at night, Rohingya were afraid

that they would be found by “Rakhine extremists”, who would beat them and “call us

kula”.189 The fears were mutual. One Maramargyi respondent noted that the

relationship between communities in the past was “difficult”, and that he was always

worried about being attacked by Muslims as he crossed predominantly Muslim

182 Fink, Living Silence: Burma under Military Rule, 225. Muslim men marrying Buddhist women and converting them to Islam is perceived as a demographic threat, and rumours are spread that the conversion involves stamping on a picture of the Buddha. The story was also frequently included in hate speech spread during democratic transition. Ibid.; Ghosh, “Buddhism's Right-Wing Face.” 183 Matthews, “The Legacy of Tradition and Authority: Buddhism and the Nation in Myanmar,” 39. 184 Lintner, Outrage: Burma's Struggle for Democracy, 195. 185 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 10. 186 Rohingya Political Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 187 Rohingya Man (55yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 188 Ibid. 189 Muslim Business Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015; Rohingya Man (55yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015.

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neighbourhoods to return home each evening.190 Discrimination intensified under the

watch of General Khin Nyunt, who heavily restricted the movements of Rohingya.191

In the post-independence period Muslims increasingly faced persecution. This was

particularly true for Rohingya, but across the country the place of Muslims in the

national community was questioned. This was due in large part to the increasing co-

optation of Buddhism by the state and the alignment of religion and national identity.

The Rohingya did not fit into this conception of the nation and their persecution,

particularly in the period after the 1970s, reflects efforts by the state to define them as

outsiders. Military operations regularly removed the Rohingya from the boundaries of

the nation by force. The emergence of the taing-yintha framework hardened

conceptions of the nation to the exclusion of the Rohingya. Violence, both in the form

of insurgency and communal violence assisted in the consolidation of exclusive forms of

national and communal identities.

4.4Bamar-Kula?

Today, it is very difficult to separate ethnic from religious identities in Myanmar. When

asked their ethnicity it is common for Myanmar Muslims to reply with their religion,192

although this also reflects the fact that the Myanmar term usually translated into English

as “ethnicity” (lumyo) is perhaps better translated literally as “person-type”. This

conception of identity is reflected in this study via the use of a broad definition of

communal identity. This is just one way in which the language that respondents in this

research used indicated the links between ethnicity and religion in Myanmar. The use of

language reflected relations between religious communities, and their relation to

Myanmar state and broader society. Respondents from both Buddhist and Muslim

communities (outside of Rakhine State) frequently used the word Bamar to refer to

Buddhist communities. This is despite the fact that Buddhists in Myanmar represent a

190 Maramargyi Man (40yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 March, 2016. The Maramargyi are a predominantly Buddhist ethnic community in Rakhine State. 191 Rohingya Political Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 192 KHRG, “Hpapun Interview: U a---, July 2013,” (Karen Human Rights Group, 18 August, 2014), http://www.khrg.org/2014/08/13-69-a1-i1/hpapun-interview-u-july-2013; The Republic of the Union of Myanmar, “Final Report,” 55.

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variety of ethnicities beyond the majority Bamar. Typically, Muslims were referred to as

kula by many Buddhist respondents or simply as Muslim by Muslim respondents.

Myanmar Muslims have been known by various names, including Pathi, kula and

zerbadee. While Selth notes that these names are typically disliked by Myanmar

Muslims, due to the implication that they are not truly Myanmar because of their

religion,193 Pathi was suggested as an identity marker by some Myanmar Muslims before

the 2014 census,194 and some Myanmar Muslims today retain the Pathi name.195

Zerbadee was a term usually used to refer to children of mixed Indian Muslim and

Buddhist marriages,196 but is not commonly used today. The meaning or origin of kula is

frequently questioned and there is discussion over whether it is a pejorative term.

During the course of this research, numerous Muslim and Hindu respondents noted that

they felt it had a pejorative meaning, something also found by Nyi Nyi Kyaw.197 At the

very least, the use of the word kula infers that the person is not truly Myanmar. It is a

term usually used to refer to people from the Indian subcontinent, but is also used to

refer to Muslims of Chinese or Myanmar heritage. Kula is also used as a root word for

several longer words for items which came to Myanmar from the subcontinent, in which

contexts it holds no pejorative meaning.198

The terms Bamar and kula may have been used by respondents in this research for the

sake of convenience. In social interactions, however, language is important. Choice of

language not only reflects but also constructs social realties. Referring to the Buddhist

community as Bamar also infers that all Bamar are Buddhist. Therefore, if one is of a

different religion, they cannot be accepted as Bamar, or even perhaps as Myanmar.

193 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 6. 194 Melissa Crouch, “Myanmar's Muslim Mosaic and the Politics of Belonging,” New Mandala, 4 November 2014, http://asiapacific.anu.edu.au/newmandala/2014/11/04/myanmars-muslim-mosaic-and-the-politics-of-belonging/. 195 Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Muslim Minorities in Transitional Societies: Different Myanmar Muslims Groups' Different Experiences in Transition,” in Burma/Myanmar in Transition: Connectivity, Changes and Challenges (Chiang Mai University: International Conference on Burma/Myanmar Studies, 2015), 11. Burmese Muslim Community Leader, interview, 12 July, 2016. 196 Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 33-34. 197 Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Alienation, Discrimination, and Securitization: Legal Personhood and Cultural Personhood of Muslims in Myanmar,” The Review of Faith and International Affairs 13, no. 4 (2015): 56. 198 For more information see Kenneth Wong, 24 April, 2017, http://kennethwongsf.blogspot.com.au/2017/04/opening-can-of-worms-in-burmese.html.

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From the perspectives of many Myanmar Muslims – who consider themselves to be both

Bamar and Myanmar – the use of these words in this way is a slight against them. It

infers that Muslims cannot be taing-yintha or are not truly Myanmar. It also illustrates

the entrenched religious and ethnic categories in Myanmar and the close link between

religion and ethnicity for many people.

4.5RohingyaIdentity

There is great deal of controversy surrounding the usage of the term “Rohingya”. In

general, the international community, including media and human rights groups, accept

the term. In Myanmar, however, the term is generally condemned and Muslims in

Rakhine State are more commonly known as “Bengali”. This is due in large part to the

fact that Rohingya are not recognised as taing-yintha, and the widespread use of the

word “Bengali” to refer to the Rohingya reflects a state-backed belief that they are

recent immigrants from Bangladesh. Cowley and Maung Zarni perceive Bengali as “a

racist local reference”, which helps to colour Rohingya as illegal immigrants who

threaten national security, “a portrayal that the bulk of the Burmese have accepted as

a fact over the past five decades”.199

The earliest recorded use of the term Rohingya was in 1799, by a surgeon with the British

East India Company, Francis Buchanan. Buchanan recorded a community of

“Mohammedans, who have long settled in Arakan, and who called themselves

Rooingya”.200 This is commonly cited to show that Rohingya is an “ancient” ethnic

category. Leider, however, does not agree that this source indicates an ethnic category.

Instead, he argues that Buchanan’s “Rooingya” is a reference to geographical location.

According to Leider, the name “Rohingya” is derived from “the Indianized form of

Rakhine, i.e. Rakhanga”.201 In Leider’s own words; “When there is hardly any evidence

199 Cowley and Maung Zarni, “The Slow-Burning Genocide of Myanmar's Rohingya,” 685. 200 Francis Buchanan, “A Comparative Vocabulary of Some of the Languages Spoken in the Burma Empire,” SOAS Bulletin of Burma Research 1, no. 1 (2003 (1799)): 55. italics in original. 201 Leider, “Rohingya: The Name, the Movement and the Quest for Identity,” 219. Berlie suggests instead that the origins of the term may be derived from ‘Rohang’, or ‘Ram’, the name for Arakan in ancient Arabic. Berlie, The Burmanization of Myanmar's Muslims, 9. In contrast, Yegar thought that the term means “the dear ones” or “the compassionate ones”. Yegar, The Muslims of Burma: A Study of a Minority Group, 25.

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and the context so little understood, interpretation becomes a matter of speculation

rather than reasoning”.202

The debate over the term Rohingya is tied into the contested history of the Muslim

community of northern Rakhine State. Leider defines the Rohingya as “a political and

militant movement”.203 According to this argument, the identity has its origins in the

late 1940s and 1950s, and the movement to form the Mayu Frontier. Leider views this

identity “not as a fixed category, but as a recent process that is still in the move”.204

Similarly, Rakhine nationalist and scholar Aye Chan argues that the first usage of

“Rohingya” was in the early 1950s, by “a few Bengali intellectuals”.205 Likewise, Taylor

states that Rohingya “is a term never heard of prior to the late 1950s”,206 and notes that

it “developed into a claim to establish a separate ethnicity with political rights”.207 The

evidence provided by these scholars is used to indicate that the Rohingya migrated from

Bengal during the British period – thus excluding them from “national race” recognition.

Indeed, the term was never used in colonial records, or the 1931 census.208 The

government of Myanmar firmly positions itself on this side of the debate. Former

President Thein Sein has said that “there are no Rohingya among the races” of

Myanmar.209 “We do not accept the term ‘Rohingya’ which has never existed in the

country’s history” a President’s Office statement reads, positing that the “term has been

maliciously used by a group of people with a wider political agenda”.210

Like other border communities in Myanmar, the Rohingya share cultural and linguistic

characteristics with communities across Myanmar’s borders. Lewa notes that “the

202 Leider, “Rohingya: The Name, the Movement and the Quest for Identity,” 222. 203 Ibid., 208. 204 Ibid. 205 Aye Chan, “The Development of Muslim Enclave in Arakan (Rakhine) State of Burma,” in Influx Viruses: The Illegal Muslims in Rakhine State, ed. U Shaw Zan & Aye Chan (New York: Arakanese in United States, 2005), 21. 206 Taylor, “Myanmar in 2012: Mhyaw Ta Lin Lin or Great Expectations,” 201. 207 “Book Review: The Burmanization of Myanmar's Muslims,” Journal of Southeast Asian Studies 41, no. 1 (2010): 176. 208 “Myanmar in 2012: Mhyaw Ta Lin Lin or Great Expectations,” 201. 209 APHR, “The Rohingya Crisis,” 4. 210 Tim McLaughlin, “Un's Ban Ki Moon Links Rohingya-Crisis to Reform's Stalling,” Mizzima, 13 November 2014, http://archive-3.mizzima.com/mizzima-news/rohingya-issues/item/14711-un-s-ban-ki-moon-links-rohingya-crisis-to-reforms-stalling/14711-un-s-ban-ki-moon-links-rohingya-crisis-to-reforms-stalling.

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Rohingya Muslims are ethnically and religiously related to the Chittagonians of southern

Bangladesh”.211 Although there is little consensus on its linguistic origins, the Rohingya

language is distinct. It has been called a unique dialect related to Chittagonian.212 Yegar

describes it as a mixture of Rakhine, Bengali and Urdu.213 It is a distinctive mix of Bengali,

Burmese, Hindi and English, according to Smith.214 He argues that the fact that this

language is unique shows that the Muslim community of northern Rakhine State has

become distinct.215 Indeed, if the linguistic connection to ethnicity is used as a standard

(as it was by the British in their construction of many of today’s taing-yintha), then the

Rohingya can certainly be called an ethnic category.

While it is certain that the Muslim community of Rakhine State has deep historic roots,

some Rohingya did arrive during the colonial period,216 although it is not clear how

permanent this migration was or the exact numbers of arrivals. In regards to post-

independence migration to Rakhine State, Myanmar political analyst Khin Zaw Win has

noted that “illegal immigration would make up only a small percentage of the present

community living in Northern Rakhine State”.217 The history of fluid borders, large-scale

migration from the 17th century as documented by Charney, Buchannan’s note, and the

linguistic factor all indicate that the existence of a Muslim community in northern

Rakhine State cannot be labelled a recent phenomenon derived from the British period.

The revival of the use of the term Rohingya by that community in the post-independence

period should be understood at least in part as a result of particular political institutions

raised by the modern Myanmar state. The category of Rohingya is used to legitimise

political claims within the contexts of the 1982 Citizenship Law and a political system in

211 Lewa 2002, cited in Leider, “Rohingya: The Name, the Movement and the Quest for Identity,” 215. 212 HRW, ““The Government Could Have Stopped This”,” 13, 46. 213 Between Integration and Secession: The Muslims Communities of the Southern Philippines, Southern Thailand, and Western Burma/Myanmar, 51. 214 Martin Smith, “The Muslim Rohingya of Burma,” Arakan Rohingya National Organisation, 11 October 2006, http://www.rohingya.org/portal/index.php/rohingya-library/26-rohingya-history/75-the-muslim-rohingya-of-burma.html. 215 Ibid. 216 Yegar, Between Integration and Secession: The Muslims Communities of the Southern Philippines, Southern Thailand, and Western Burma/Myanmar, 27, 95; Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 7. 217 Khin Zaw Win, “Mudding through in Rakhine Is Not Enough,” Tea Circle, 11 September 2017, https://teacircleoxford.com/2017/09/11/muddling-through-in-rakhine-is-not-enough/.

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which claims for membership must be made on an ethnic basis. The literature which

views Rohingya not as an ethnic group but as a “political” identity neglects

contemporary knowledge on ethnicity. As stressed by the earlier chapters of this thesis,

identity is constructed – often in reaction to political institutions – and all ethnic

identities in Myanmar hold some political meaning. In this way, Rohingya identity is no

different from any other contemporary identity in Myanmar today. The Rohingya’s

exclusion from the taing-yintha regime should be understood as symptomatic of a

dangerous ethno-nationalistic nation building project by a xenophobic regime.

4.6ContemporaryRakhineGrievances

This section will make some comments on contemporary Rakhine grievances. The

concerns of this predominantly Buddhist community are crucial to this thesis as the

Rakhine community have been central to the conflict in Rakhine State and their

perspectives will need to be taken into account in order to resolve the conflict. The data

for this section was collected in Rakhine State between 2015 and 2016, after the

violence under investigation. While questions refer to longer-term Rakhine concerns,

responses reflect the post-violence situation. To solve this problem, primary data is

complemented by earlier secondary sources, although these are limited. The greatest

concerns for Rakhine elites and community members were related to the linked issues

of land and federalism. These are concerns about the future and reflect fears of threats

to Rakhine identity and self-determination. There are perceived to be two related

threats to both Rakhine land and a federal Rakhine State: the Muslim population, and

the Myanmar government.

A Rakhine Sayadaw summarised these perceived dual threats:

Rakhine land had been occupied first by the Burmese, for approximately

40 years, then the British for approximately 100 years, then the Japanese for 3

years. Now the biggest issue is the Muslims trying to occupy our land. We have

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no chance for self-determination. If we want to solve this issue, we need

federalism.218

The Sayadaw further noted that Rakhine State needed federalism for the rule of law to

be achieved, and so that communities could live alongside each other, but only after

determining citizenship issues for Muslim communities.219 A Rakhine political leader

noted that land was the biggest issue in Rakhine State, and that power must be

decentralized, “for our ethnicity”. He noted his belief that “The Rakhine people came

here 3026 years ago… This kingdom and people had a very high civilization, but are

under Burmese colonisation. We still have no self-determination. This is the absolute

issue”.220 An ANP representative in the Rakhine State Hluttaw noted that the biggest

issues for Rakhine State were the “Bengali immigration issue, resource sharing and

confiscated land issues”.221 He argued that decentralization of power was essential “for

the survival of us [Rakhine]”, as “Rakhine State doesn’t enjoy its share of revenue, and

does not have very much say in the administration of its own affairs”.222 Indeed, since

independence there has been extremely little development in Rakhine State, notes

Smith, “only a steady regression in the quality of roads, transport, housing, education,

employment and life in general”.223 This politician expressed his low hopes for

Naypyidaw and noted; “Rakhine is at their mercy”.224 Religion is highly politicised in

Rakhine State. Buddhist Sasana flags are seen at political rallies where Sayadaw share

the podium with politicians. Rakhine academic Khin Maung Saw emphasises that the

Buddhist religion is an integral part of Rakhine identity, stating that “[a]ll Arakanese

(Rakhaings) were and are devout Buddhists”.225 The next sections outline these

perceived threats to Rakhine identity from Muslim communities and from the Myanmar

state.

218 Sittwe-Based Sayadaw (1), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 March, 2016. 219 Chakravarti, The Indian Minority in Burma: The Rise and Decline of an Immigrant Community. 220 Rakhine Minor Political Party Chairperson, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 4 March, 2016. 221 ANP Parliamentarian, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 3 March, 2016. 222 Ibid. 223 Smith, Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity, 244. 224 ANP Parliamentarian, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 3 March, 2016. 225 Khin Maung Saw, Arakan, a Neglected Land and Her Voiceless People, 132.

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4.6.1MuslimThreat

Selth noted in 2003 that Rakhine Buddhists do not perceive the Muslim population “as

a political or security threat, as much as an economic, social and cultural problem”.226

This may have changed by 2010 as the political situation altered and the Muslim

population posed an electoral challenge for ethnic Rakhine political parties. In

interviews for this research, the Muslim population was most often presented as a

threat to the interests of the Rakhine community; in particular land and federalism. This

is often framed as a demographic threat, and there are fears of a “hidden agenda” to

Islamise or secede Rohingya-dominated areas from Rakhine State or from Myanmar.

Like elsewhere in Myanmar, there is a strong belief among Rakhine communities that

many Rohingya are in Rakhine State illegally. Those Rohingya who do hold citizenship

documents, however, remain discriminated against on the basis of their religion or the

fact that they, unlike Rakhine, are not taing-yintha. Unlike elsewhere in Myanmar,

respondents in Rakhine State generally did not identify the Rohingya community as a

religious threat to Buddhism. Much of the debate has been framed in competing

histories of the region, and debates over who constitute the real indigenous inhabitants

of the area now known as Rakhine State.

A central part of what numerous respondents referred to as a Muslim “hidden agenda”

or “master plan” is the Rohingya identity. A 2012 statement released by the ethno-

nationalist RNDP refers to the “fabricated history” of the Rohingya.227 Many Rakhine

view the Rohingya identity as an invented identity, and are opposed to the recognition

of Rohingya people as an indigenous “national race” of Myanmar. There is a fear that if

the Rohingya were recognised as an ethnic group, they would make further claims,

which may come at the expense of Rakhine land. A Rakhine politician in Sittwe stated

that “the Rohingya issue is the main problem” between Muslim and Rakhine people, as

“kula making themselves Rohingya is a problem for our land”.228 “Rohingya people are

226 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 12. 227 HRW, ““All You Can Do Is Pray”,” 26-27. 228 Rakhine Minor Political Party Chairperson, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 4 March, 2016.

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not in the world, and not in Arakan history”, he argued.229 A prominent Rakhine human

rights activist in Sittwe suggested that if the Muslim community wants to use the name

Rohingya, it is no problem, but if they want to use the name to claim indigeneity,

however, the Rakhine people and Myanmar government should be worried about the

“hidden agenda” of Muslims in Rakhine and overseas.230 Khin Maung Saw summarises

the view of many Rakhine, arguing that “the term “Rohingya” was “invented” for the

sake of a political movement and to define a political movement used by the

secessionists”.231 In particular, there is a concern that a recognised “Rohingya” ethnic

group would want the re-creation of the 1960s Mayu Frontier. Among Rakhine

communities, it is widely believed that religious and political leaders abroad support

Muslims in Rakhine State to take over Rakhine land. It is said that Rohingya organisations

based in Bangladesh are supported by international terrorist organisations. Rakhine

leaders say that these groups have an agenda to Islamise Rakhine State, and call it

Arakanistan, or Arkani. Khin Maung Saw’s book argues that the Rohingya “are still trying

to Islamize Arakan and then the whole of Burma by all means”.232 This suspicion is

extended to INGOS and the UN, who are suspected of supporting the Rohingya to the

neglect of Rakhine.

A Sayadaw in a Sittwe monastery described how the Rohingya identity contributed to

tensions between Rakhine and Muslims before 2012. The biggest issue between Rakhine

and Muslims, he said, was that the Muslims have to realise that they are illegal

immigrants. The relationship in the past was easier, he said, because Muslims were

accepted as guests (èthe), and recognised the Rakhine as the hosts (einshin).233 A

Rakhine politician stated this sentiment in different terms.

In my father’s generation, there was no problem between Rakhine and

kula. Kula respected Rakhine at that time. That was because the Rakhine were

the owners, and kula the servants. They were servant and owner. There was no

problem between those people. The problems arose because some kula tried to

229 Ibid. 230 Rakhine Human Rights Activist, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 4 March, 2016. 231 Khin Maung Saw, Arakan, a Neglected Land and Her Voiceless People, 143. 232 Ibid., 107. 233 Sittwe-Based Sayadaw (1), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 March, 2016.

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make their own self-determination in this land. They made the problem and their

intention is simple. They want to be a recognised ethnicity.234

A Rakhine women’s rights activist in Sittwe explained that Rakhine people are afraid of

the Rohingya identity, as it is a threat to Rakhine history. “Maybe they just want

citizenship rights, or maybe they have more plans, I don’t know. As a human, we can

understand that we want rights, and so do they. The fear is that they have a different

view, and created a fake history.”235

As noted previously, both Rakhine and Rohingya histories of Rakhine State and the

Arakan Kingdom exaggerate the role of their community at the expense of the other.

This can be seen in the presence of the other community in each history. While Rohingya

histories claim widespread Muslim influence on the Mrauk-U dynasty, Rakhine histories

downplay any influence or Muslim presence. Some Rakhine leaders fear that if the

Rohingya identity is accepted, this will legitimise the Rohingya version of history at the

expense of the Rakhine version – a threat to Rakhine identity, their rich history and

therefore their claim to the land. The Rohingya identity, supported by the spectre of

powerful international Islamic forces, is then interpreted by the Rakhine as a serious

threat to Rakhine interests on several fronts. A Rakhine Buddhist monk said that “the

Rohingya name is very dangerous for the future of Rakhine State”.236

The 1942 violence between Muslim and Rakhine populations in Rakhine State is vividly

remembered in Rakhine communities. Khin Maung Saw summarised it as “a blood bath

of racial riots”, in which “Khawtaw Kalas were helped by the Muslim deserters of the

British Indian Army”.237 He argues that the Muslims “vandalized, raped and slew…

Khawtaw Kalas wanted to commit ethnic cleansing of the Rakhiangs (Arakanese) living

in Maungdaw”.238

234 Rakhine Minor Political Party Chairperson, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 4 March, 2016. 235 Rakhine Women's Rights Activist, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 3 March, 2016. 236 Rakhine Buddhist Monk, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015. 237 Khin Maung Saw, Arakan, a Neglected Land and Her Voiceless People, 113. 238 Ibid., 114. Memories of the 1942 violence remain polarised. Alam describes “a pogrom massacring about 1,00,000 innocent Rohingya Muslims, driving out 80,000 of them across the border to East Bengal,

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There are also demographic concerns. A common Rakhine complaint against the

Rohingya is that they have large families, posing a demographic threat. It is widely

believed among Rakhine that the Muslim population is rapidly expanding – due both to

a high birth-rate and illegal immigration from Bangladesh. While there is little data or

evidence to substantiate these claims, they are deeply felt in Rakhine communities. In a

March 2016 interview, Rakhine village administrators identified a demographic threat,

and tied it to concerns about land, saying that “Muslims wanting to occupy Rakhine

land” was their biggest concern. These narratives are also repeatedly situated in a

gendered discourse.

The Muslim population is growing day-by-day. They influence our land. They

want to occupy our land. They want to spread false news to the world, and say that

Rakhine people are aggressive. They commit rape to our Rakhine girls. President

Thein Sein doesn’t care about this. He gave full human rights to Muslims, including

economic rights and education.239

In another Rakhine village, respondents noted that the growing population of Muslims

was the main issue people were concerned about, due to the fact that Muslims were

claiming Rakhine land.240 Similarly, the Rakhine politician argued that Muslims had been

attempting to take Rakhine land for decades; “They were always trying to take our land,

they were always trying to invade and occupy our land, their main objective is to become

a higher population so that they can influence our land”.241 These concerns are

repeatedly heard to relate to land, rather than a threat to race or religion. “Muslims try

to create a conflict by occupying our land; land is a big issue here”, said the village

leaders. These concerns have been dominant for decades, they noted, and said that in

devastating their settlements and depopulating the Muslims [sic]”. Alam, “A Short History of Arakan and Rohingyas.” 239 Rakhine Village Administrators, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 240 Rakhine Village Men (33yo & 58yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 10 March, 2016. 241 Rakhine Minor Political Party Chairperson, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 4 March, 2016.

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that time “a lot of Muslims have attacked Rakhine houses, destroyed houses and

harassed Rakhine girls in Maungdaw and Buthidaung”.242

It is feared that a Rohingya identity accepted by the state would open the door for land

to be designated for the Muslim population, at the expense of Rakhine. Aside from this,

citizenship for Muslims – either as Rohingya or otherwise – and the voting and political

rights that accompany this, would pose a significant threat to Rakhine control of Rakhine

State under any federal system. The Rakhine ethnic myth presents the Rakhine people

as the rightful owners of Rakhine land. There would be stiff opposition to any power-

sharing deal between Rakhine and Muslims under any federal system. The ethno-

nationalist ANP successfully won the majority of seats in Rakhine State in the 2015

election – due in part to the fact that voting rights had been stripped from Rohingya.

While authors such as Khin Maung Saw and some activists in Sittwe argue that if the

Muslim community abandoned the label “Rohingya” they would be welcome to

citizenship (including Muslims who may have migrated as late as the 1970s),243 there are

significant reasons to doubt this. Not least is a deep Islamophobia in their language. Khin

Maung Saw charges that “‘Rohingyas’ are NOT “the world’s most persecuted minority”,

instead the Rohingyarists are terrorists!! Behind the mask of the ‘Poor Rohingya

Refugees’ there is a ‘crooked smile’ of Islamists”.244 Furthermore, Rohingya who have

been granted citizenship under the nomenclature “Bengali” remain segregated from

Rakhine and suffer the same restrictions as those who do not have citizenship,245 while

Kaman also remain segregated despite their taing-yintha status. The Rohingya identity

is widely opposed by Rakhine communities, and cannot be entirely separated from the

concerns related to land, federalism and the demography as summarised above.

There is deep concern that the international community is focused on the conditions for

Rohingya while neglecting Rakhine communities. While the needs of Rohingya may be

242 Rakhine Village Administrators, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 243 Khin Maung Saw, Arakan, a Neglected Land and Her Voiceless People, 202; Rakhine Human Rights Activist, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 4 March, 2016. 244 Khin Maung Saw, Arakan, a Neglected Land and Her Voiceless People, 201. 245 Shibani Mahtani, “Myanmar’s Rohingya See Little Benefit from New Citizenship Effort,” The Wall Street Journal, 30 December 2014, https://www.wsj.com/articles/myanmar-rohingya-see-little-benefit-from-new-citizenship-effort-1419983854.

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greater than that of Rakhine, both communities suffer poverty and low access to

livelihoods and opportunities. These conditions, along with the continued under-

representation of both communities in governance, contribute to the replication of

conditions which foster conflict and violence.

4.6.2MyanmarThreat

From the perspective of many Rakhine elites and community members interviewed, the

Myanmar government is another threat to Rakhine land and federalism and their

interests more broadly. Like other ethnic minorities in Myanmar, the Rakhine have long

been discontent with the centralised and oppressive rule of the Myanmar government.

The 1784 Burmese invasion of Rakhine is remembered in Rakhine communities into the

present for the brutality levelled against the Rakhine, and the theft of the Maha Muni

Buddha image, said to have been sculpted in the presence of the Buddha himself in

Arakan. Khin Maung Saw writes that due to the theft, “the pride of Arakan was

degraded”, and claims that some Rakhine still refer to the Burmese as the “Thugs of the

Buddha Statue” up to the present time.246 “The Burmese totally forgot that they shared

the same language, culture and the religion with the Arakanese, their conquest resulted

in a complete destruction of Arakan and her people. The Burmese troops had a great

amount of savagery in their disposition”, Khin Maung Saw further laments.247 The

Arakanese Kingdom was abolished forever, and the Rakhine remember the occupation

as a humiliation.

After the Burmese annexation of Arakan, the Arakanese (Rakhaings) in

Arakan were tortured. The Burmese Royal Armies looted the colossal statue of

Maha Muni from the Arakan City of Mrauk-U and they used the Arakanese

prisoners of war, about thirty thousand including the last King of Arakan Maha

Thamada, as slave labour to carry that colossal image across the mountain range

and for other slavery works.248

246 Khin Maung Saw, Arakan, a Neglected Land and Her Voiceless People, 101. 247 Ibid. 248 Ibid., 102.

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Furthermore, during the First Anglo-Burmese War, the “Royal Burmese Army lead by the

famous Field Marshal Maha Bandoola had a great amount of savagery and war crimes

in Arakan [sic]”, Khin Maung Saw writes, “Maha Bandoola was the national hero for the

Burmese but for the Arakanese he was noted as a barbaric warrior”.249 Today, Maha

Bandoola is promoted as a Myanmar national hero – and many public places bear his

name, including a main road and well-known public park in downtown Yangon.

Rakhine communities suffered discrimination and further lost control of their land under

military rule. Land was confiscated by the military without compensation. Resource

extraction projects gave little benefit to Rakhine communities, including under the USDP

government. One Rakhine civil society organisation leader in Sittwe noted that this

continues today.

Rakhine State has rich gas deposits, but Rakhine are not included in

discussions or decisions about it. When they take it, Rakhine get no profits. We

only get land confiscation and relocation. This is a big problem for Rakhine. There

are many Chinese workers, but they only hire Rakhine for labouring.250

The most important and frequently mentioned resource project in Rakhine State during

this period has been pipelines connecting oil and gas fields off the coast of Rakhine State

to Kunming in China’s Yunnan Province. The 2008 deal with state-owned China National

Petroleum Corp saw a gas pipeline, known as the Shwe Gas pipeline, become

operational in 2013 and a crude oil pipeline become operational in April 2017. The

pipeline has been incorporated into Beijing’s “One Belt One Road” policy and reduces

China’s dependence on oil transported via the strategically vulnerable Malacca Strait.251

The project has been criticised in Myanmar for associated land confiscation and minimal

benefits for local communities.

Like the rest of the country, Rakhine communities were historically subjected to travel

restrictions under military rule (although not to the same extent as Rohingya), and

249 Ibid., 104. 250 Rakhine Civil Society Organisation Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015. 251 Lucy Hornby, “China and Myanmar Open Long-Delayed Oil Pipeline,” Financial Times, 11 April 2017, https://www.ft.com/content/21d5f650-1e6a-11e7-a454-ab04428977f9.

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Rakhine State fell from one of the wealthiest regions of the country to among the least

advantaged today. Ethnic Rakhine and communist insurgencies were powerful across

Rakhine State in the decades after independence. Ambitions for ethnic autonomy and

federalism were long seen as a serious threat by Myanmar’s military rulers. Similarly,

Rakhine communities perceive the Myanmar government as a threat to Rakhine identity

and ethnic interests. The mistrust of the state found all over Myanmar is certainly

present in Rakhine. “When one saw a uniform, we never thought it is a civil servant there

to help people, but just an authority. People always had fear of authority”, noted a

Rakhine women’s rights activist.252

Although the Burmese were “so cruel like savages” towards the Rakhine, Khin Maung

Saw argues that the British were worse, as they planted “poisonous seeds on Arakan

soil”: “Chittagonian Bengali Muslims”.253 This also reflects how Rakhine communities

have viewed the Muslim population as a tool of their oppressors, both British and

Myanmar. Indeed, a common refrain from Rakhine leaders was that the Myanmar

government has attempted to channel Rakhine discontent with governance away from

the central government and towards the Muslim communities. This is achieved through

constructing the Rohingya as a greater and more urgent threat to Rakhine identity and

interests. Rakhine and Rohingya are set against each other to compete for limited

resources. As one civil society leader put it: “the Burmese government is playing the

Muslim card, to play the Rakhine people”.254

Naypyidaw’s restrictions on travel for Muslims and the poor standards of education are

perceived as part of a policy designed to breed discontent and tension between

communities.255 While many Rakhine youth travel within Myanmar or overseas to take

up employment, Muslims are largely confined to their townships, and travel outside of

Rakhine State is out of the question for most. As a result the population of Muslims is

much more visible than the Rakhine population. Extreme travel restrictions on Muslims

252 Rakhine Women's Rights Activist, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 3 March, 2016. 253 Khin Maung Saw, Arakan, a Neglected Land and Her Voiceless People, 106-07. 254 Rakhine Women's Rights Activist, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 3 March, 2016. 255 Rakhine Civil Society Organisation Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015.

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means they are confined to their townships in northern Rakhine State, on land which

the Rakhine see as theirs. Due to the lack of rights and opportunities for Muslims, they

will often work for less income than Rakhine people.256 They are then seen to be taking

opportunities from Rakhine. Stories of Myanmar immigration officials accepting bribes

from Bangladeshi nationals to gain entry to Myanmar are cited as proof of such

government policy. Rakhine leaders suggest that the government’s objective has been

to scapegoat Muslims for the poor economic and political conditions that Rakhine

communities suffer.

An example of such divide and rule policies emerged before the 2010 elections. The

USDP had offered the Rohingya citizenship rights in exchange for votes, in order to

reduce the Rakhine parties’ electoral gains. White cards were distributed to 750,000

potential voters in northern Rakhine State. Six Rohingya USDP candidates won in

Rakhine State, three at the national level and three at the state level, although the USDP

did not deliver its promise of more rights. The ICG noted that the extension of voting

rights to the Rohingya at the expense of Rakhine parties political success fuelled

communal tensions in Rakhine, and contributed to the outbreak of violence in 2012.257

It also gave further weight to the perspective that Naypyidaw followed a divide and rule

policy in Rakhine State, encouraged mistrust towards the Myanmar government, and

increased support for ethnic Rakhine parties.

Deep mistrust towards the Rohingya and the Myanmar state are deeply entrenched in

Rakhine communities. From the perspective of many Rakhine leaders, the government’s

objective is to distract the Rakhine people from their exploitation and oppression at the

hands of the Myanmar government. There is a strong sense of economic

disempowerment behind resentment towards the central government. Despite

widespread Rakhine opposition to the Myanmar government, however, police and

armed forces’ “pogroms” against Rohingya have been supported by Rakhine Buddhists,

as Selth has noted.258 In particular, there are serious concerns about the Rohingya

256 Rakhine Women's Rights Activist, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 3 March, 2016. 257 ICG, “Myanmar: The Politics of Rakhine State,” 6. 258 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 12.

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identity and the perceived hostile elements behind it. Concerns of a Rohingya threat to

Rakhine land, federalism and self-determination are widespread.

4.7Conclusion

This chapter has traced the process of identity formation before the period of

democratic transition in Myanmar from 2010. The communal and national identities

considered in this chapter were established and had become political identities before

2010. They were political in that they carried political meaning, concerned the state, or

made claims on the state. Belonging to certain ethnic or religious categories guaranteed

political access, while membership of others did not. Communities unrecognised by the

state made claims for recognition, with varying degrees of success.

While communal identities held little political salience in the pre-colonial period,

identities consolidated under British rule, where Muslims began to be constructed as

alien to Myanmar. Identity has continued to hold high political import throughout the

post-independence era. The institutionalisation of communal identity strengthened due

to violence and insurgency, themselves also products of the military regime’s

xenophobia and construction of the political community. Citizenship is determined by

ethnic identity under the Citizenship Law of 1982 and the framework of taing-yintha.

Rohingya communities were excluded from citizenship, while almost all Muslims were

excluded from the taing-yintha framework, with the exception of the Kaman. Other

Muslim minorities and other minorities also questioned their place in the nation as the

military regime promoted exclusive ethno-nationalist forms of the nation. As shown,

there are also concerns among Rakhine communities about their own position in a

Myanmar-dominated state.

The historical institutionalist argument argues that the fact the communal violence

under democratic transition was directed towards Muslim communities can be traced

to the fact that Muslim communities have historically been subject to a high level of

exclusion from the political community, and have been constructed as a threat to the

Buddhist nature of Myanmar. When democratic transition came, these questions were

to be brought to the forefront. Deep tensions between Rohingya and Rakhine

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communities were exacerbated by a political system that constructed Rohingya as a

threat to Rakhine interests electorally, creating a greater urgency to the threat. Across

the country, questions of the borders of the nation, and who was to be included or

excluded from the new Myanmar were opened. The following chapter will examine how

these questions of identity were opened at transition.

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Chapter5:

BorderActivationandPolarisation:Reconstitutingthe

BoundariesThis chapter considers the processes of identity border activation and polarisation

during this episode of democratic transition and communal violence in Myanmar. The

historical institutionalist argument argues that democratic transition raises questions of

belonging. These questions were to be answered by drawing on identities previously

constructed and politicised, even as the boundaries of these identities were continually

manipulated by institutional change. In the previous chapter it was shown how the

political community in Myanmar has historically been defined to the exclusion of

Muslims and Rohingya in particular. National and communal identities held political

meanings which hinged on the institutions of the state. Change in these institutions

meant that the relationship between identities and the state also changed, opening an

opportunity to redefine who belonged and who did not. Just as the outcome of

transition was uncertain, so was the final relationship between communal groups and

the nation and state. Just who belonged to the nation was under contestation, and

various claims were made. Identity was crucial to this period of transition and rising

nationalism – of which communal violence was just one aspect. This chapter shows how

questions of Myanmar national identity opened during democratic transition, that

communal groups polarised around this question, and that the uncertainty of transition

strengthened constructions of a Rohingya or a Muslim threat to the Myanmar nation.

The strengthening of the construction of Muslims as a threat to the political community

during democratic transition reflects the exclusionary nature of debates regarding

citizenship and belonging that were raised in this period. These processes also reflect

another aspect in the web of democratic transition and nation-building – the fear of a

minority and the threat that they are perceived to pose to the nation. This is dealt with

in this chapter as an aspect of the modern nation-state, and the ethno-nationalist basis

upon which so many are established. In the process of defining who does belong, those

who do not belong must also inevitably be defined.

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As noted earlier, mobilisation for communal violence cannot be understood as the result

of any one singular process. The activation of boundaries and polarisation are processes

which contribute towards mobilisation. Van Klinken equates identity formation with the

question of “why followers follow”.1 Threats to identity are a powerful reason to engage

in violence.2 This is a central argument of this thesis – that fear of loss of identity is a

powerful enough reason to justify perpetration of violence. The processes of boundary

activation and polarisation were evident across the country. In Rakhine State, the

borders of communal identities polarised, and the space between Rakhine and Rohingya

identities widened. Across Myanmar, the emerging conflict made religion pertinent

where it was not before. Religion became more relevant to everyday events as

polarisation took place. This had negative effects for Muslim communities across the

country. The uncertainty and opportunity of democratic transition created contestation

over the borders of belonging.

5.1BoundaryActivationandPolarisationinRakhineState:TheKaman

In Sittwe, the activation of existing boundaries of identity and the polarisation across

boundaries was remarkable. The events of 2012 and the following years polarised

communities further than the already tense relations, and strengthened the boundaries

between identities. The ways in which identities were activated and polarised in this

period is usefully illustrated by the case of the Kaman communities of Sittwe. In many

ways, the Kaman identity lies on the boundaries of Rakhine, Myanmar and Muslim

identities. They are the only Muslim community recognised as taing-yintha and are

listed under “Rakhine” on that list. Due to their recognition by the state as taing-yintha

they are entitled to citizenship under the 1982 Citizenship Law, although many Kaman

did not hold identity cards at the time of research – a common problem for minorities

across the country. In 2012, however, questions of the nature of the Myanmar state and

the place of minorities within it were increasingly raised. This had consequences for the

Kaman who faced exclusion and a restriction of their rights – many to a life-threatening

1 Van Klinken, Communal Violence and Democratization in Indonesia: Small Town Wars, 139. 2 Gurr and Harff, Ethnic Conflict in World Politics, 96.

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extent.3 The situation of the Kaman must be appreciated as a consequence of the

processes of nation-building under democratic transition, and in particular the

reinterpretation of the character of the nation that accompanies a transition such as

this.

The inclusion of the Kaman in the conflict showed that the boundary between identities

in Myanmar had not only been activated, but had undergone significant polarisation.

The violence of 2012 brought greater polarisation, extending beyond Rohingya

communities. Regardless of whether or not they held citizenship cards, Kaman were

restricted from Sittwe town and faced discrimination on livelihoods and travel. These

concerns were heard in a Kaman village in March 2016:

Before the conflict, we could travel to Yangon. We cannot even travel

outside of Sittwe Township now. Even if we have citizenship cards, we cannot

travel because of our religion. At the immigration office or at the airport the

immigration people say “you cannot travel due to your religion – Islam”.4

As suggested in this quote, restrictions by the state have reinforced popular perceptions

that Muslims – of any ethnic category – are entitled to less rights and opportunities than

Buddhists. This policy lends legitimacy to claims that Kaman hold no place in Rakhine

State or in the Myanmar nation. Another Kaman respondent said that the government

had stopped issuing identity cards to Kaman; “the government stopped giving us cards

these days; they say it is because we are Muslim”.5 She also noted that even those with

citizenship cards cannot travel to Yangon; “the immigration department at the airport

don’t let us travel to Yangon because we are Kaman Muslims”.6 Kaman reported that if

they travel to Sittwe town or to Rakhine villages they face violence.7 The government

has sought to keep Muslims out of Sittwe town in order to prevent violence via a policy

of segregation. However, there are few barriers for Muslims to travel into the town from

3 Efforts on behalf of the NLD government since 2016 to provide Kaman Muslims with citizenship cards and permit their travel have alleviated some concerns of Kaman communities. 4 Sittwe Kaman Village Focus Group, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 11 March, 2016. 5 Kaman Women (26yo & 46yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 11 March, 2016. 6 Ibid. 7 Sittwe Kaman Village Focus Group, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 11 March, 2016.

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nearby IDP camps or villages. As noted by respondents, however, it would be dangerous

for them to travel to Sittwe. The threat of violence from Rakhine communities is the

main deterrent. This remains the case at the time of writing.

It was commonly heard in interviews with respondents from Rakhine communities in

Sittwe that that the population of “real” Kaman is quite low; and that most people who

say they are Kaman are actually “Bengalis pretending to be Kaman”. One Sayadaw in

Sittwe noted that “the majority of these Muslims are Bengali. Kaman Muslims are a very

small population; there are really only about 6000 Kaman in Rakhine. Others lie about

their ethnicity to get citizenship”.8 These remarks deserve scrutiny and should not be

taken at face value. They are a good example of the extent of polarisation as well as a

reflection of efforts to reframe the conflict to the exclusion of all Muslims. This is

reflected in the response of a Kaman woman who reported that “they [Rakhine and the

government] say that Muslims and kula are the same”.9 This suggests that the category

of Kaman has become broadly categorised as similar to Rohingya or Bengali Muslims –

although whether this is due to allegations of the fabrication of Kaman ethnicity for

citizenship benefits or due to a broader tangling of the two ethnic categories due to their

shared religion is unclear; and these two factors are not necessarily unrelated.

The exclusion of the Kaman from society after the violence suggests the widening of the

boundary between Rakhine and Muslim, as well as significant polarisation across those

boundaries. It suggests also a shifting of the boundary, to the exclusion of a community

who formerly were included. A significant result of polarisation was the construction of

a powerful message that this was Rakhine land, which belonged to Rakhine. Only they

would have the privilege of living in the state capital and the social, economic and

politics benefits that came with it. The USDP government reinforced this view and

legitimised it with its own policy of keeping Muslims out of Sittwe.

8 Sittwe-Based Sayadaw (1), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 March, 2016. The ICG suggests that it is “probably correct” that some Rohingya have received citizenship as Kaman after bribing officials. Without any evidence, however, it is difficult to substantiate these allegations. ICG, “Myanmar: The Politics of Rakhine State,” 23. 9 Kaman Women (26yo & 46yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 11 March, 2016. This quote suggests that to this respondent’s mind kula does not mean Muslim.

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In Thandwe, Kaman and other Muslim communities were also persecuted after the

violence. Although Thandwe was known as a town where Rakhine and Muslims had long

lived in relative harmony, boundaries also firmed there and communities became

polarised. As in Sittwe, Kaman in Thandwe were conflated with Rohingya. Polarisation

was evident through the ceasing of interfaith marriage after 2012.10 One Rakhine

business leader, also the secretary of the Thandwe branch of MaBaTha, expressed worry

about the future of Rakhine State, and threats from “Bengalis” who “are crossing from

northern Rakhine State and marrying Rakhine girls to get into Rakhine blood and take

Rakhine State”.11 He noted his belief that “Kaman and Rakhine were peaceful until

Bengalis began mixing with the Kaman, now Kaman and Rakhine are divided… Kaman

are ethnics of Myanmar, but problems came because of mixing with Bengalis”.12 The

boundaries between Rohingya and Kaman were becoming blurred as they polarised

away from the Rakhine identity. The ANP Thandwe Chairperson and the Thandwe

MaBaTha Chairperson respectively identified the greatest issues facing the people of

Thandwe as “Bengalis coming here illegally”, and the “human trafficking of Bengalis into

Thandwe”.13 The Thandwe MaBaTha Chairperson also cited the experiences of northern

Rakhine State:

If we stick with human rights, Buddhism will go weak within 50 years in

Myanmar. For Buddhists, we have monogamy and a small birth rate. Therefore,

we are already losing to Muslims who are breeding quickly. For example,

Buthidaung is 90% Muslim. Even without terrorists and guns they have developed

dominance. This is due to immigration problems and human rights… Giving

10 Thandwe ANP Politician, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 14 June, 2016; Kaman Community Leader and Moulvi, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 May, 2016; Thandwe Kaman Village Focus Group, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 May, 2016; Rakhine Muslim Mosque Leader, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 May, 2016. 11 Rakhine Community Leader, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016. 12 Ibid. 13 Thandwe ANP Politician, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 14 June, 2016; Thandwe MaBaTha Chairperson, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016.

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Muslims citizenship, or guest citizenship, is a main human right that is of concern

for us.14

Here, similar concerns of Rakhine demography and land to that held in northern Rakhine

State are expressed. Concerns of a threat to the ethnic and religious composition of a

future Rakhine State are expressed by this Sayadaw. Like elsewhere in Myanmar, the

conflict in northern Rakhine State was linked to local issues and affected local Muslim

populations. Muslims were prevented from travelling outside of the town, as rumours

of an illegal Bengali threat spread. This was used by political parties and nationalist

organisations for their own political and economic benefit. The polarisation of identity

across the boundaries of Muslim and Rakhine identity is evident, both in speech, in

action and in the policy of government.

5.2ARohingyaThreatandaMuslimThreat

In a broad survey of attitudes towards change across Myanmar during this period of

democratic transition, Mullen found that “[m]any individuals named driving Muslims

out of Myanmar as a priority of the transition”.15 As the violence simmered in Rakhine

State and the transition continued, similar questions were also being considered across

the country. These were questions of the character of the nation and of where its

boundaries lay. Where did “belonging” start and end? Who would be included within

the boundaries of the political community? These questions were first asked of the

Rohingya. Subsequent polarisation brought the questions to other communities of

Muslims in Myanmar beyond Rohingya and Kaman. In part, questions of belonging were

transferred from the conflict in Rakhine and in the tangling of ethnic and religious

identities. This would not have been possible, however, without the activation of historic

anxieties towards Muslims by democratic transition. This affected Muslims across the

country.

14 Thandwe MaBaTha Chairperson, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016. 15 Matthew Mullen, Pathways That Changed Myanmar (London: Zed Books, 2016), 199.

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During this period of democratic transition, narratives of Muslims in Myanmar were

situated in the context of a recently-emerged narrative of Muslims as guests and of

taing-yintha as the hosts. Nyi Nyi Kyaw has noted how this dichotomy of guests and

hosts serves to first construct Myanmar Muslims as in debt to Buddhists, and second to

situate Muslims as acting “ungratefully” towards Buddhists. 16 He notes how this

narrative began as a reference to Rohingya in Rakhine State but has shifted to include

Muslims in Myanmar generally.17 The same language of guests and hosts was used by

respondents during this research.18

In the wake of the 2012 Rakhine State violence, long-standing Islamophobia, particularly

towards those with South Asian heritage, determined that most of Myanmar society

found more sympathy with the Rakhine Buddhist victims of the violence. After the 2012

violence, media reports across the country “incited antagonism towards Rohingya”.19

The sangha also responded in support of Buddhist communities in Rakhine State, and

began to question the place of Muslims in both Rakhine State and greater Myanmar. On

9 June 2012, a group of 300 monks assembled at the Shwedagon Pagoda in Yangon to

pray for the victims in Rakhine State. Signs were seen amongst the crowd with slogans

such as “Defend Rakhine State” and “Kick Out The Bengali Terrorists”.20

In a sermon posted on YouTube in February 2013, just months before the Meiktila

violence, Ashin Wirathu warns of the Muslim threat in Myanmar and draws parallels to

Rakhine State. He preaches that if Buddhists continue to support Muslim businesses,

their population will increase, their children will pose a danger to the Sasana, and

Myanmar land would be under threat as it is in Rakhine State.21 A representative from

MaBaTha also cited the Kyauk Ni Maw case in Rakhine State as a precursor to rising

16 Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Alienation, Discrimination, and Securitization: Legal Personhood and Cultural Personhood of Muslims in Myanmar,” The Review of Faith & International Affairs 13, no. 4 (2015): 56-57. 17 Ibid., 57. 18 Sittwe-Based Sayadaw (1), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 March, 2016. 19 Wilson, “Burma: Does International Attention.” 20 James Hookway, “Myanmar Clashes Spur Web Usage, Crackdown,” The Wall Street Journal, 11 June 2012, http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702303444204577458381714792276. 21 YouTube, Sayardaw Wirathu Pyaw Te' Naingan Ye (Sayadaw Wirathu Speaks Politics) (2013), https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEUWjWYQSs4.

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nationalism in Myanmar.22 Other instances from outside of Rakhine State were also

cited by the representative, such as the apparent refusal of the Yar Zar Min bus

company, owned by a Muslim family, to give Buddhist staff leave to celebrate the

Kathein festival,23 a case also mentioned by Ashin Wirathu in the aforementioned online

sermon.24 “Nationalism arose due to the discontent over these instances. Muslims were

inciting Buddhists, and we needed to protect our Buddhism”, said the MaBaTha

representative.25 Ashin Wirathu has described Muslims as “mad dogs”, who “breed

quickly”, are “very violent” and “eat their own kind”.26 Ashin Wirathu’s Facebook page

is constantly updated with details of “Muslim” atrocities from across the world,

including murders and bomb attacks, but predominantly rape, which he claims is being

used in an attack on Myanmar’s population.27 Muslims in Myanmar were presented as

a threat to the future of the country and the case for restricting their participation in the

political community was being made.

As far away as Lashio, towards the Chinese border in northern Shan State, information

regarding the Rakhine State conflict was spread. Communal activists distributed hate

speech about the Rohingya and concern grew about a religious threat from Muslims in

Myanmar generally. In Lashio, several sources reported interactions with a man from

Rakhine State who arrived in the town in the first half of 2013. He carried documents

and DVDs carrying information about the Kyauk Ni Maw rape and murder and evidence

of Buddhist statues destroyed by Muslims, which were ultimately distributed from a

MaBaTha affiliated monastery.28 “In the DVDs was hate speech against Muslims. After

that, people hated Muslims more and more”, said one respondent who was approached

by the man.29 The information entered the local CSO network via influential leaders

22 MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016. 23 Ibid. 24 YouTube, Sayardaw Wirathu Pyaw Te' Naingan Ye (Sayadaw Wirathu Speaks Politics). 25 MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016. 26 APHR, “The Rohingya Crisis,” 7. 27 Alex Preston, “Saffron Terror: An Audience with Burma's 'Buddhist Bin Laden' Ashin Wirathu,” GQ Magazine, 11 February 2015, http://www.gq-magazine.co.uk/comment/articles/2015-02/12/ashin-wirathu-audience-with-the-buddhist-bin-laden-burma. 28 Lashio-Based Journalist, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 2 August, 2016; Former ABSDF Soldier, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 10 August, 2016. 29 Lashio-Based Journalist, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 2 August, 2016.

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sympathetic to the information, and anti-Muslim sentiment was soon widespread.30

Respondents in Lashio reported growing mistrust between religions after the Rakhine

State conflict, then again after the Meiktila violence. The response of one man captured

the changing dynamics in Lashio as anti-Muslim sentiment swept the country and is

worth quoting at length.

Before the Rakhine problems, there was no hate towards Muslims. Inter-

marriage was common, and many Shan women married Muslims since the British

times. After the conflict, Shan women were no longer interested in Muslim men in

the schools and colleges. The hate for Muslims started in Rakhine. The phone internet

became very good, and information was spread there about Muslims attacking

homes. We could see on Facebook that the Maungdaw riots were two-sided, and the

hate came from that. After the very one-sided attacks in Meiktila, we could see the

hate from the Bamar. After Meiktila the Bamar knew that they could defeat Muslims,

and were glad that they could punish them. After Rakhine, the relationship changed.

Before, people didn’t really care about religions in incidents or disputes. After, people

always ask Indians what their religion is – Hindu or Muslim? Bamar Buddhists began

to avoid Muslim shops, and say that they should not support them… Some people

don’t really know about Hinduism, and think all kula are Islamic. If we travel to

central Myanmar, we have to fly a Buddhist flag on our car. But the Shan know

Muslims are okay, and don’t hate them.31

A civil society leader in Lashio echoed this response. “After Rakhine and again after

Meiktila there were a lot of changes in the relationships between Buddhists and

Muslims”, she said, and noted that those spreading hate speech were “pushing people

to create conflict, and radical nationalists followed the CSOs”.32 Another noted that

people stopped buying from Muslim shops as “those kinds of ideas entered Buddhists’

minds”.33 There was discrimination towards Muslim children at school, and many

anecdotes recounted this, including a rumour that a Muslim doctor was poisoning

30 Former ABSDF Soldier, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 10 August, 2016. 31 Hindu Community Leader, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 2 August, 2016. 32 Civil Society Leader, interview, Lashio, Shan State, Myanmar, 10 August, 2016. 33 Lashio CSO Member, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 10 August, 2016.

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Buddhist children with immunisation injections.34 A shop-owner in Lashio noted that

Buddhist stopped shopping at her store after hate speech was increasingly spread, and

customers alleged she poisoned the food she was selling to Buddhists.35 Similarly, a

respondent in Mandalay who worked in interfaith projects noted that students who had

attended MaBaTha Dhamma Schools were scared to visit the mosque, as they feared

they would be poisoned there by Muslims.36 The boundaries of religious identities had

been activated and strengthened. Religion became salient and relevant to what were

previously everyday interactions in which religion was peripheral. The interactions

across the boundaries of identity had been polarised and concerned all Muslims.

In Meiktila, inflammatory material describing the Kyauk Ni Maw case and 969 sermons

in the form of DVDs were also spreading after the Rakhine violence.37 Movies and

pamphlets about the Rakhine conflict containing hate speech against Muslims were

distributed by Buddhist organisations.38 After the Rakhine violence, another respondent

noted, the 969 movement grew, and their sermons were more and more frequent.39

The Meiktila MaBaTha Chairperson noted that after the Rakhine conflict, “people in

Meiktila were still sleepy, as Rakhine is very far from here”.40 From his perspective, many

were not yet alert to the Muslim threat. Some in Meiktila did not believe that the

violence could happen there, as people were living together, and furthermore, the town

was surrounded by military bases and was home to many government staff.41

“After Rakhine, information about the Rakhine conflict was showed, and it stimulated

Meiktila people”, said one activist in Meiktila.42 As in Lashio, what were previously social

or economic problems became religious problems. Hindu community organisers in

Meiktila also noted increased discrimination after the Rakhine conflict.43 Some six or

34 Community Organiser, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 1 August, 2016. 35 Ibid. 36 Interfaith Activist, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 5 July, 2016. 37 Political Activist, interview, Meiktila Township, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 6 September, 2016. 38 Meiktila Resident and Activist, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 6 September, 2016. 39 Meiktila Resident, interview, Meiktila Township, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 6 September, 2016. 40 Meiktila MaBaTha Chairperson, interview, Meiktila Township, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 6 September, 2016. 41 Meiktila Resident and Activist, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 6 September, 2016. 42 Meiktila Interfaith Activist, interview, Meiktila, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 7 September, 2016. 43 Hindu Community Leaders, interview, Meiktila Township, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 8 September, 2016.

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seven months before the violence, Buddhist parents stopped sending their children to a

private tuition with Muslim teachers, and told the teacher “it is because you are kula”.44

One Sayadaw in Meiktila said that he had become concerned about “rude Muslims” in

Meiktila after the violence in Rakhine State.45 Polarisation encouraged fears, distrust

and self-segregation – the conditions which were to raise violence.

Things were no different in Mandalay, where anti-Muslim sentiment had been

increasing since the Rakhine violence. The 969 movement began creating “disturbances”

since then, according to one Muslim leader.46 A Mandalay doctor and community

organiser said that after the Kyauk Ni Maw case, “Rakhine were furious, and the police

could not control it. It spread to the whole of Burma… It is connected”.47 After Meiktila,

hate speech and rumours increased again in Mandalay.48 An interfaith activist noted that

“after Toungup, Muslims were a little bit worried. Then after Meiktila, people were very

worried. Meiktila is so close, and the fear spread. Mostly Muslims were concerned about

that, not Buddhists”.49 The upheaval in a Mandalay interfaith group in the aftermath of

the Rakhine violence illustrates how polarisation affected the city. This group had

secretaries from various different religions but focused on activities outside of religion,

while bringing people from diverse religions together. After the Rakhine violence, some

members “developed misunderstandings, and came to not like Islam”, and the group’s

activities were ceased.50 Religious leaders came together to form another interfaith

committee to maintain religious harmony, in response to growing anti-Muslim

sentiment.51

In a 2015 survey regarding violence across six Myanmar cities, Schissler, Walton and

Phyu Phyu Thi found that many people “articulated a narrative about Islam in general

and in Myanmar, that posits Islam as an intrinsically violent religion and Muslims in

44 Meiktila Resident, interview, Meiktila Township, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 6 September, 2016. 45 Meiktila-Based Sayadaw, interview, Meiktila Township, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 7 September, 2016. 46 Panthay Community Leader, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 11 July, 2016. 47 Mandalay-Based Doctor, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 13 July, 2016. 48 Burmese Muslim Community Leader, interview, 12 July, 2016. 49 CSO Activist, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 13 July, 2016. 50 Christian Community Leader, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 25 July, 2016. 51 Christian Pastor, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 7 July, 2016.

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Myanmar as potentially dangerous”.52 Those interviewed expressed fears of Islam

“swallowing” Buddhism in Myanmar.53 Central to this narrative is an understanding of

Islam as an expansionist religion that seeks to overtake other religions. In 2013 Aung San

Suu Kyi noted to the BBC that, “Fear is not just on the side of the Muslims, but on the

side of the Buddhists as well”, and that, “there’s a perception that Muslim power, global

Muslim power, is very great”.54 Such a perspective is common in Myanmar, and is

evident in the statements of Buddhist nationalist organisations and politicians. As a

result, vigilance is seen as necessary from Buddhists to protect their religion from this

apparent threat.55

Fears of a Muslim threat are often related to international events, and reflect a “global

threat felt to be both descending upon the country and growing within it”.56 Many in

Myanmar cite events in the Middle-East to justify their fears of Islam and Muslims, and

researchers have noted parallels between discourses of Islam globally and in Myanmar,

particularly in the context of the “War on Terror”.57 A Christian leader involved in

interfaith activities noted how his Buddhist friends would use examples from the

Middle-East to “blame Islam” for conflict and violence.58 Similarly, in a 2013 sermon,

Ashin Wirathu uses the spectre of Muslims dominating the economy with the backing

of Saudi Arabian oil money to encourage his audience to isolate Muslims economically

and socially.59

Such global references are not limited to contemporary events, although they are likely

highly influenced by them. These narratives are also historical. For example, it is

commonly cited that Afghanistan, Malaysia or Indonesia were once Buddhist areas.

“Arab traders came there, married many wives, forced them to convert, had Muslim

52 Schissler, Walton, and Phyu Phyu Thi, “Threat and Virtuous Defence,” 7. 53 Ibid., 8. 54 BBC, “Suu Kyi Blames Burma Violence on 'Climate of Fear',” BBC, 24 October 2013, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-24651359. 55 Schissler, Walton, and Phyu Phyu Thi, “Threat and Virtuous Defence,” 9. 56 Ibid., 11. 57 Ibid., 10; Aye Thein, “Putting Myanmar’s “Buddhist Extremism” in an International Context,” Tea Circle, 1 September 2017, https://teacircleoxford.com/2017/09/01/putting-myanmars-buddhist-extremism-in-an-international-context/. 58 Christian Community Leader, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 25 July, 2016. 59 YouTube, Sayardaw Wirathu Pyaw Te' Naingan Ye (Sayadaw Wirathu Speaks Politics).

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children and influenced the original religion until Buddhism disappeared”, it is said.60

Both these global and historical references are used to colour all Muslims. A MaBaTha

leader expressed concerns that Myanmar would also one day be a Muslim nation, and

stated that “not all Muslims are extremists, but all extremists are Muslims”.61

Across the country, information about the Rakhine violence and hate speech towards

Muslims had been spread and concerns of a Muslim threat to Buddhism in Myanmar

were widespread. Religious communities became increasingly polarised. The Rakhine

violence and subsequent spread of hate speech brought about a new salience in

religious identity across the country and characterised what were previously ordinary

interactions through a religious frame. For many, there was an urgency to act to protect

Buddhism, and the uncertain period of transition away from authoritarian rule was an

opportunity to cement Buddhist influence in the country. While this is most evident in

Rakhine State, fears of the loss of Myanmar’s Buddhist character are also evident

elsewhere in the country. The perceived need to consolidate Buddhist influence was

central to the warnings sounded by Buddhist nationalist organisations. Narratives of a

threat from Islam, regardless of their accuracy, demanded a response from Buddhists.

Suspicion of Muslims grew, and the content of Myanmar Buddhist identity strengthened

in opposition to Muslims and Islam as violence continued.

5.3Conclusion

The activation of boundaries and polarisation across them during democratic transition

is a crucial element of the historical institutionalist argument. Democratic transition

opened questions of the nation, its boundaries and of who belonged. These questions

open at democratic transition because before democratic politics can occur, the polity,

or the political community, must be defined. Just who belongs to the nation, however,

is not derived from any democratic principle. Nationalism fills this gap and is a

prerequisite to democratic politics. As democratic transition took place, there was

competition to define inclusion and exclusion, and fears that communities would not

60 MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016. 61 Ibid.

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have positions of privilege in the new conception of the nation. This was an opportunity

to reshape the character of the nation. The politics of nation-building and exclusion

during this period of uncertainty encouraged polarisation across identity groups.

Communal violence was just one part of this, and should be understood both as a result

of polarisation and as a factor which fed back into uncertainties and fears.

Of the three factors necessary for communal violence during this period of democratic

transition in Myanmar – a political community historically defined exclusively, the

promotion of exclusionary forms of nationalism by elites and the availability of non-

elites to perpetrate violence – this chapter has stressed the first condition and

elaborated upon the second. The historical exclusion and construction of Muslims as a

threat determined that it was Muslim communities, and Rohingya in particular, whose

place in the nation was questioned. They were demonised, and in some cases

dehumanised, as narratives of a Muslim threat spread. This narrative was often spread

by political, religious and community leaders, as documented in this chapter. Due to the

fact that identity is best understood at where it meets other identities, the act of

defining the excluded serves an important function. For many, the act of defining

“Myanmar” was achieved through the definition of those who were not “Myanmar”.

The chasm between Buddhists and Muslims grew across the country.

Identity can help us to understand “why followers follow” – it is a crucial element of

mobilisation. This is something we must understand if we want to explain why people

become involved in acts of violence which seem irrational to the outside observer. The

question of why individuals become involved in violence cannot be explained simply by

instrumentalist accounts of the violence for political or economic gain, which construct

followers as duped by elites. The activation of the boundaries of identity and

polarisation across these boundaries explains in part why people became involved in

violence. Identities were not inconsequential. Identity was dearly held, and threats to

these identities were taken seriously and warranted defence. The anti-Muslim hate

speech which was spread touched upon these existing fears and insecurities of a loss of

identity. These discourses were backed by religious and political leaders, some of the

most influential actors in the country. The next chapter follows the patterns of

engagement between the state, Rakhine ethno-nationalists and Buddhist nationalist

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organisations as elites responded to the opportunities and threats of transition by

promoting exclusionary forms of nationalism.

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Chapter6:

ActorConstitutionandBrokerage:OrganisingNationalismThis chapter is concerned with the formation of relevant new actors during the period

of democratic transition and communal violence in Myanmar and the ways in which

these actors interacted with each other. In particular this chapter is interested in the

formation of Buddhist nationalist organisations in both Rakhine State and greater

Myanmar and how these organisations related to each other and to political parties,

including the then-governing USDP and leading Rakhine political party RNDP, which later

merged with the ALD to become the ANP. The Buddhist nationalist movement and

Rakhine political parties have been linked to instances of communal violence either

through instigation or organisation. The contentious politics process of actor

constitution and mechanisms of scale shift and of brokerage are particularly important.

Members of the influential sangha were key players in actor constitution and brokerage.

Buddhist nationalist groups made claims on the USDP government to recognise their

influence and fill their demands. As shown by this chapter, the result was an informal

coalition between Myanmar and Rakhine Buddhist nationalists who successfully

influenced the USDP. Elites’ appeals to exclusionary forms of nationalism can be seen

throughout this chapter.

This chapter argues that political opportunities and threats which arose in the early

stage of democratic transition were seized by actors. The early stages of democratic

transition in 2010 provided an open political system which had long been absent in

Myanmar. Political parties around the country began to organise to contest the elections

that year. In Rakhine State, the RNDP was formed and ran on a successful ethno-

nationalist platform. They sought to claim back Rakhine land for the Rakhine people,

and their rhetoric reflected the grievances commonplace in Rakhine: land rights, self-

determination and autonomy. Political freedoms also allowed Buddhist nationalists to

network and organise throughout Myanmar.

There were also threats that the movement was reacting to. The rape and murder in

Kyauk Ni Maw in May 2012 provoked anger across the country and foreshadowed the

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violence in Sittwe in early June that year. Muslims were framed as they had long been

constructed historically; as the aggressors, intent on taking Rakhine land or Islamising

Myanmar. Buddhist nationalists in Rakhine State and greater Myanmar felt an urgency

to mobilise support. During this period of institutional change and uncertainty, Buddhist

nationalists in Myanmar institutionalised their movement – illustrated by the shift from

the 969 movement to MaBaTha (from a network to an organisation) – with increasing

brokerage with Rakhine Buddhist organisations and political parties. These actors shared

common concerns and goals, and their relationship had benefits for both parties, as will

be shown in this chapter. These processes should again be seen as contributing towards

the mobilisation of support for communal violence.

Buddhist nationalist organisations increasingly made demands upon the USDP

government, which it had little motivation to resist. This is illustrated in this chapter by

the examples of the Race and Religion Protection Laws and the anti-white card

movement. The USDP appeared to push back against the influence of these groups

periodically but ultimately filled their demands. It is most likely that the USDP judged

that the risks of challenging monastics and appearing to neglect the protection of

Buddhism carried dire political risks. Increasingly during the 2015 electoral campaign the

USDP’s loose alliance with nationalist organisations such as MaBaTha solidified and the

party appealed to nationalism to win votes. The party (with its military background) was

framed as one which could defend Myanmar’s religious character – in contrast to the

NLD which was increasingly accused of being too close to Muslims and unable to protect

the country from a perceived Muslim threat.

The processes evaluated in this chapter resulted in the disenfranchisement of Rohingya

Muslims in Rakhine State and the introduction of discriminatory legislation. Toleration

of those who preached anti-Muslim speech and a failure to arrest perpetrators of the

violence also produced an environment in which anti-Muslim violence went unpunished

and appeared to be endorsed by the state. The conditions and mechanisms which

produced communal violence went unchallenged. This pattern can be identified

between 2012 and 2015 – from the emergence of the 969 movement at a national level

to the peak of Buddhist nationalism patronage at the 2015 election.

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6.1ActorConstitutioninRakhineState

This section outlines the organisation of political parties and nationalist organisations in

Rakhine lay and monastic society in the period preceding and throughout the period

under study. There is a focus on the main actors and the opportunities and threats they

mobilised in reaction to.

6.1.1PoliticalParties

The constitution of political parties in Rakhine State is notable among Myanmar’s ethnic

states for the degree of unity and success that they have achieved. The RNDP was

formed to contest the 7 November 2010 elections, and had its registration approved in

June of that year. In the 2010 election, the RNDP achieved better results than any other

ethnic party in the country, winning 35 of the 44 seats it contested in both state and

union legislatures.1 The RNDP was the only party to have a greater number of seats than

the USDP in any state or regional parliament. The party ran on an ethno-nationalist

platform. Dr Aye Maung, who was the chairperson of the party from its formation until

late 2017, was quoted as saying in August 2010; “Our party is the only nationalist party

of Arakan State to carry out the state's interest and development, so many people in our

state support our party morally and physically”.2 The party did not accept Muslim

members at the time of formation, according to a Rohingya politician who attempted to

join.3

The propensity for the electoral success of ethnic Rakhine parties was previously seen

in the success of the then dominant ALD in the 1990 elections. The party had been

formed in 1989 and was the third most successful party nationally after the NLD and

Shan Nationalities League for Democracy in 1990. The ALD chose to boycott the 2010

1 Bill O'Toole, “How the USDP Went from Courting to Spurning Rakhine State's Muslims,” The Myanmar Times, 3 November 2014, http://www.mmtimes.com/index.php/national-news/12150-how-the-usdp-went-from-courting-to-spurning-rakhine-state-s-muslims.html. 2 Mizzima, “Rakhine Nationalities Development Party,” Mizzima 2010, https://web.archive.org/web/20101207000329/http://www.mizzima.com/political-pro/new-parties/rndp.html. 3 Rohingya Political Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015.

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election, but re-registered in April 2012. While the RNDP was known as an ethno-

nationalist party, the ALD was better known for campaigning to amend the 2008

Constitution.4 A deal was struck in June 2013 between the ALD and RNDP to merge the

two parties into the ANP. In March 2014 the Union Electoral Commission approved the

registration of the ANP,5 which the ICG called “a powerful political force in the state,

with strong legitimacy and organisational strength”.6 Shortly after the merge former

RNDP secretary Khin Pyi Soe noted that the objectives of the party were

democratisation, federalism and development of Rakhine State.7 The representative

also stated;

party policy is that we don’t accept the Bengalis nor do we recognise the

name ‘Rohingya’. We support the 1980 and 1983 laws. This is in fact the policy of

our RNDP. The ALD will also need to accept this policy because it is the will of all

Arakanese people.8

Muslim respondents in Sittwe reported that discrimination from RNDP members and

supporters worsened after the RNDP’s 2010 success. A Muslim businessman noted that

discrimination against Muslims grew after the 2010 elections, due to the RNDP’s

growing influence, and the fact that the Rakhine State Chief Minister was ethnically

Rakhine. He noted that “Rakhine parties made propaganda against Rohingya, and made

the Rakhine hate Rohingya through hate speech”.9 Another respondent also noted that

the relationship had declined since 2009, with more violence between communities.10

He believes this was because “Muslims were trying to make Buddhists suffer”.11

Evidence suggested that members of the RNDP were connected to violence in Rakhine

State in 2012 and 2013. HRW documented how the RNDP and local sangha advocated

4 Naw Say Phaw Waa, “Rakhine Parties Formalise Merger,” The Irrawaddy, 21 June 2013, http://www.mmtimes.com/index.php/national-news/7194-rakhine-parties-formalise-merger.html. 5 Ministry of Information, “Rakhine National Party Allowed as Political Party,” news release, 7 March, 2014, http://www.moi.gov.mm/moi:eng/?q=announcement/7/03/2014/id-1159. 6 ICG, “Myanmar: The Politics of Rakhine State,” 15. 7 DVB, “Arakan Alliance,” Democratic Voice of Burma, 9 March 2014, http://www.dvb.no/interview/arakan-alliance-burma-myanmar/38244. 8 Ibid. 9 Muslim Business Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 10 Maramargyi Man (40yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 March, 2016. 11 Ibid.

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for the expulsion of Muslims and their isolation from social and economic life before the

2012 violence.12 Researchers found that the RNDP played an “instrumental role in

stoking fear and encouraging isolation of and violence against the Rohingya”.13 A

statement released by Dr Aye Maung on 26 July 2012 says; “the present Bengali

population causes threats for the whole Arakan people and other ethnic groups”.14

Furthermore, HRW notes;

The party statement denies the existence of the Rohingya and refers to a

“fabricated history,” stating the “Bengalis” are “damaging Arakan people and

national sovereignty.” Finally, it urges a “complete solution,” including a call to

“temporarily relocate” Rohingya “so that they do not reside mixed or close to Arakan

people in Arakan State territorial towns and villages,” and to “transfer non-Burmese

Bengali nationals to third countries”.15

Prior to the violence of October 2012, “local government officials, members of the RNDP

and Arakanese community members” met publically to discuss the expulsion of the

Muslim communities. Muslims attended these meetings in various townships. They

were not permitted to give input, and were told they should move away from the area.16

U Oo Hla Saw, then secretary-general of the RNDP, denies party involvement in the

violence but admitted that local members of the party could have been involved, while

a military intelligence officer told media that the “RNDP members were among the

instigators”.17 Another RNDP parliamentarian said that some grassroots members were

“extreme” and indicated that the party had difficulty balancing the requests of members

of the community.18 Kean has noted;

12 HRW, ““All You Can Do Is Pray”,” 24. 13 Ibid., 26. 14 Ibid. 15 Ibid., 26-27. 16 Ibid., 43. 17 Jason Szep and Andrew RC Marshall, “In Myanmar, Ethnic Party Taps Dangerous Nationalist Fervor,” Reuters, 11 November 2012, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/11/us-myanmar-rndp-idUSBRE8AA0FK20121111. 18 Thomas Kean, “Religious Conflict and Myanmar's Parliament: The Silence in the House,” in Communal Violence in Myanmar, ed. Nick Cheesman and Htoo Kyaw Win (Yangon: Myanmar Knowledge Society, 2015), 61.

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The sincerity of senior party members who try to distance themselves

from those involved in the violence should be seriously questioned. In some cases,

they have publicly supported members arrested for alleged participation in mob

violence against Muslims.19

In 2013, for example, RNDP chairperson Dr Aye Maung defended Thandwe RNDP

chairperson U Maung Pu, who had been arrested for participation in the violence. Dr

Aye Maung said “authorities have arrested civil society and party leaders as casually as

if they are catching chickens or birds”, and defended U Maung Pu’s character.20

6.1.2Sangha

Although MaBaTha was the most influential Buddhist nationalist organisation in

Myanmar during the period, they carried less influence in Sittwe and northern Rakhine

State. MaBaTha is not as influential as elsewhere in the country due to the presence of

powerful Rakhine nationalist monastic organisations. MaBaTha’s main Rakhine State

office is in Sittwe, although their activities are focused in Thandwe.21 It should be noted,

however, that influence is not necessarily determined by membership of an

organisation, and individual monastics are also known for their own charisma.

The most influential sangha organisation in Sittwe since 2012 has been the Yahanpyo

Mya Sigan Teinthein Ye Aphwè. This organisation has no official English name, but can

be translated as the Young Monks’ Organisation for Maintaining Discipline (hereafter

Young Monks’ Organisation).22 MaBaTha is constituted by monks from all over

Myanmar, while the Young Monks’ Organisation is made up of monks only from Rakhine

State. A Sittwe-based Sayadaw cites the Young Monks’ Organisation’s objective to be

“the protection of Rakhine nationalists”.23 A MaBaTha representative in Yangon stated

19 Ibid. 20 Min Thein Aung, “More Detained as Violence in Rakhine State Is Blamed on ‘Outsiders’,” Radio Free Asia, 10 April 2013, http://www.rfa.org/english/news/myanmar/thandwe-10042013185750.html. 21 Thandwe MaBaTha Chairperson, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016; MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016. 22 “Discipline” here is meant in its Buddhist sense – abiding by the rules of the dhamma. 23 Sittwe-Based Sayadaw (1), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 March, 2016.

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that there was no direct relationship between the two organisations, but that they were

connected indirectly as they were striving for the same goals.24

A senior member of the Young Monk’s Organisation notes that the organisation was

formed after the first wave of violence in June 2012. One of their first actions was to

take measures to block aid reaching displaced Muslim communities.25 Monks created

checkpoints on the road to the camps and turned people they suspected of delivering

aid around. The organisation also released statements demanding that Rakhine not

associate with Muslims.26 The concerns of the organisation reflect those held generally

in Rakhine communities. “Rakhine continues to give natural resources with little return”,

the member noted, and said the biggest issues for Rakhine are “education, health and

land confiscation”.27 The objectives of his organisation are “to put Rakhine people in

their rightful place, and to control the communities so that conflict doesn’t occur

again”.28 He advises his followers “to live separately” from Muslims, as “living together

is creating the conflict”.29 Illustrating the political influence of the Young Monk’s

Organisation, its representative Ashin Sanda Wara addressed the crowd before Dr Aye

Maung at an ANP rally in Sittwe in December 2015.30

Rakhine nationalists mobilised in response to changing opportunity and threat

structures during democratic transition. There was the rare opportunity to engage in

meaningful politics to work for the future of Rakhine State following the 2010 election.

There were also threats to Rakhine land and identity that needed to be mobilised

against. These came in the form of domination from the USDP and military who

threatened Rakhine autonomy and self-determination, but also in the form of the

Muslim population, understood as a threat to autonomy, self-determination and

therefore Rakhine identity. Meanwhile, across the Rakhine Yoma, Burmese Buddhist

24 MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016. 25 Sittwe-Based Sayadaw (2), interview, Sittwe, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 26 Hanna Hindstrom, “Burma's Monks Call for Muslim Community to Be Shamed,” The Independent, 24 July 2012, http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/burmas-monks-call-for-muslim-community-to-be-shunned-7973317.html. 27 Sittwe-Based Sayadaw (2), interview, Sittwe, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 28 Ibid. 29 Ibid. 30 Author’s observation. See also RFA Burmese, Sittwe Residents Want Dr Aye Maung as ANP Leader (Radio Free Asia Burmese, 2015), https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRWV-XoWYTQ.

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nationalists were mobilising in reaction to their own set of opportunities and threats.

This movement was also linked to the Rakhine nationalist movement through diffusion

and brokerage.

6.2BuddhistNationalisminMyanmar:LocalOriginsofthe969Movement

The 969 movement can be understood primarily as the expression of anti-Muslim

sentiment in Myanmar, although the motivations that individuals have for supporting

the movement are likely to be diverse and are not limited to anti-Muslim sentiment. It

is a widespread movement, and support can be found all over Myanmar. The 969

movement has no strict structure, and is a loose network rather than an organisation. It

has been supported by influential monastics and government figures.

The 969 logo (image 6.1) has accompanied the rise of the movement and can be found

on houses and businesses in neighbourhoods and markets across the country. The

symbol features the numbers “969” in Myanmar script, representing “the nine great

qualities of the Buddha, the six great qualities of the dhamma (his teachings), and the

nine great qualities of the sangha (monkhood), the “triple gems” of Buddhism”.31 Below

the numbers are found four lions, representing the ancient Buddhist King Asoka. The

symbol’s Mawlamyine-based designer Ashin Sadama notes; “If someone wants to do

something good for the Buddhist religion, the country or the people, he or she must

have the spirit of the king Ashoka”.32 These images are situated on a chakra wheel, which

is then usually on a Myanmar Sasana flag.

31 Matthew J. Walton, “A Primer on the Roots of Buddhist/Muslim Conflict in Myanmar, and a Way Forward,” IslamiCommentary, 3 October 2013, http://islamicommentary.org/2013/10/matthew-walton-a-primer-on-the-roots-of-buddhistmuslim-conflict-in-myanmar-and-a-way-forward/. 32 Carlos Sardiña Galache, “Who Are the Monks Behind Burma's '969' Campaign?,” Democratic Voice of Burma, 10 May 2013, http://www.dvb.no/news/features-news/the-monks-behind-burma%E2%80%99s-%E2%80%9C969%E2%80%9Dmovement-2/28079.

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Figure 6.1: The 969 movement logo

The numerals 969 are intended to pose a challenge to the numerals 786 – used by

Muslim communities to mark businesses which sell halal food or are Muslim-owned. The

numbers 786 represent the first verse of the Koran – Bismillah hi rahmani rahim – which

translates as “In the Name of God, the Most Gracious, the Most Compassionate”.33

According to Nyi Nyi Kyaw, leaders of the 969 movement have noted that one of the

most important reasons for the development of the symbol was as a response to 786.34

Rumours circulate in Myanmar of a Muslim conspiracy to keep money within their own

community by only doing business with each other, in shops marked with 786. As the

sum of the three numbers equals 21, a widespread conspiracy theory stipulates that the

numerology reflects Muslims’ plans to take over the country in the 21st century.

A senior MaBaTha representative, when explaining the history of 969, cited a book

written in the 1930s by Moulvi Shwe Hpi, a Burmese Muslim.35 This book is often cited

as the trigger for violence between Burmese Buddhist and Indian communities in

colonial Burma in the late 1930s. The representative argued that Shwe Hpi instructed

Burmese Muslims to only support Muslim-owned businesses, which were to be marked

33 Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Islamophobia in Buddhist Myanmar: The 969 Movement and Anti-Muslim Violence,” in Islam and the State in Myanmar: Muslim-Buddhist Relations and the Politics of Belonging, ed. Melissa Crouch (New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2016), 195. 34 Ibid. 35 Moulvi is a term used in Myanmar and South Asia to refer to a qualified Islamic scholar.

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by the numbers 786.36 “Sometimes, we need to envy their actions”, said the

representative, and stated that the 969 movement could unite Buddhists in Myanmar.37

The 969 movement was mobilised with an anti-Muslim agenda. Soon after its

mobilisation, the 969 movement ran a “buy Buddhist” campaign to boycott Muslim

businesses and isolate them economically.

The 969 movement has some origins in official patronage. A Reuters special report

documents that in the early 1990s the military regime sought to win support from the

sangha after monastic participation in anti-government protests in 1988. The

Department for the Promotion and Propagation of the Sangha was created under the

Ministry of Religious Affairs, and headed by a government officer by the name of U Kyaw

Lwin.38 Kyaw Lwin was close to junta leaders such as Than Shwe and Khin Nyunt. In 1992,

upon the request of the then top general Saw Maung, the department published a book

containing a collection of Kyaw Lwin’s writings titled “How to Live as a Good Buddhist”,

which was republished in 2000 with the new title “The Best Buddhist”. The latter

publication had on its cover an early version of what is now the 969 logo.39 Kyaw Lwin

also published a short manifesto in 1997 titled “969” with a publisher called Hna Phet

Hla.40 The publication urged readers to “openly display the numbers on their homes,

businesses and vehicles”.41 Kyaw Lwin and Ashin Wirathu met in 1992 and maintained

contact until Kyaw Lwin’s death in 2001.42 There is no indication, however, that any of

these texts contained overt anti-Muslim sentiment comparable to what the 969

movement would later publish after 2012.

Van Klinken and Su Mon Thazin Aung note the beginnings of “a new anti-Muslim project”

in 2001, in which “monks proclaimed a new identity-based framing of the anti-Muslim

36 The use of 786 dates back much further than the 1930s and is used by Muslims in South and Southeast Asia. See Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Islamophobia in Buddhist Myanmar: The 969 Movement and Anti-Muslim Violence,” 195-97. 37 MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016. 38 Andrew RC Marshall, “Myanmar's Offical Embrace of Extreme Buddhism,” Reuters Special Report, 27 June 2013, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-myanmar-969-specialreport-idUSBRE95Q04720130627. 39 Ibid. 40 Kyaw Zwa Moe, “A Radically Different Dhamma,” The Irrawaddy, 9 March 2017, https://www.irrawaddy.com/from-the-archive/radically-different-dhamma-2.html; Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Islamophobia in Buddhist Myanmar: The 969 Movement and Anti-Muslim Violence,” 185. 41 Kyaw Zwa Moe, “A Radically Different Dhamma.” 42 Marshall, “Myanmar's Offical Embrace.”

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riot that was not related to specific economic or political grievances”.43 While perceived

threats to Buddhism have been a recurring feature of Buddhist nationalist movements

in Myanmar – for example the concerns over Buddhism’s sponsorship by the state

during the colonial period – there did appear to be an increase in specifically anti-Muslim

rhetoric in the late 1990s and early 2000s. In 2001, for instance, a book titled Myo Pyauk

Hmar So Kyauksaya (Fear of the Disappearance of the Race) was published.44 The book

advocated cutting economic and social ties with Muslims and particularly called for the

prohibition of interfaith marriages.45 These repertoires of action and demands are also

made by both the 969 movement and MaBaTha. These both reflected and spread anti-

Muslim sentiment.

Tracing the origins of the 969 movement is particularly difficult, in part because different

members cite different histories, perhaps to purposefully obscure the recent

background of the movement. A member of MaBaTha’s Central Committee and editor

of its publications reported that the movement started very early in locations such as

Dawei, Hinthada and areas of Shan State. He was unsure exactly when the use of 969 as

a symbol began, but said it was “after independence”.46 Another senior representative

of MaBaTha, however, says that the use of 969 began in Mawlamyine in 1984, when a

Muslim man was found to be distributing pamphlets encouraging Muslim men to marry

Buddhist women.47 These claims should be treated with scepticism, as leaders of the

movement have an interest in exaggerating its short history.

43 Gerry van Klinken and Su Mon Thazin Aung, “The Contentious Politics of Anti-Muslim Scapegoating in Myanmar,” Journal of Contemporary Asia 47, no. 3 (2017): 358. 44 Ye Myint Win notes that a book with almost exactly the same title, Myo Pyauk Hmar So Kyauk Hla Dè, and similar anti-Muslim content was published in the 1950s by Shwe Doe Be Aung. Ye Myint Win, “A Case Study of Violence and Recovery in Meikhtila, Myanmar” (Masters Thesis, Mahidol University, 2017), 37. Nyi Nyi Kyaw found that in 1989 state newspapers published a series of articles presenting a Muslim threat to Buddhism under a similar name, Amyo Pyauk Hmar So Kyauk Hla Pa The, which Nyi Nyi Kyaw translates as “We Fear Deracination!”. Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Islamophobia in Buddhist Myanmar: The 969 Movement and Anti-Muslim Violence,” 194. The slogan of the Department of Immigration and Population was formerly “The earth will not swallow a race to extinction but another will.” 45 Kyaw Zwa Moe, “A Radically Different Dhamma.” 46 MaBaTha Central Committee Member, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 22 June, 2017. 47 MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016.

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6.2.1ScaleShift

Despite some connections to regime officials, however, the 969 movement was

primarily a grassroots phenomenon. In 2012 the 969 movement mobilised its resources

to gain nation-wide influence. Rather than a formal organisation, the 969 movement

was a “network of Sayadaws”.48 The scale of the movement shifted from the local to the

national. The reasons why the movement successfully mobilised are many, but the

changing threat and opportunity structures under democratic transition were central.

The mobilisation of resources took a very visible form, firstly in the form of a conference

organised by a little known monastic organisation led by five monks in Mawlamyine in

October 2012 – the official beginning of the 969 movement.49

The movement was mobilised in response to a series of perceived threats in 2012. First,

the Muslim-owned Ya Zar Min bus company requested its Buddhist staff to work through

the Buddhist holiday of Kathein, a festival in which robes are donated to monks. Second

was the rape and murder in Rakhine State in May 2012. A MaBaTha representative is

very clear that the mobilisation of nationalist sentiment under the 969 banner was in

response to these events. “Muslims were inciting Buddhists, and we needed to protect

our Buddhism”, he says, explaining that nationalism rose due to a “fear that Buddhism

would disappear” and the 969 symbol was made.50

These events of course took place in the political context of 2012, and in particular the

April 2012 by-election in which the NLD was so successful. Ashin Wirathu and others

were already criticising the NLD as being too close to Muslims in early 2013.51 The NLD’s

victory in 2012 concerned the conservative and nationalistic monastics who perceived

Buddhism as under threat and in need of a strong government to protect it. The 969

movement viewed the NLD as a party under the influence of Islamists, and was

concerned that Buddhism was under threat not only from Islam but also from the NLD,

48 Ibid. 49 MaBaTha Central Committee Member, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 22 June, 2017; Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Islamophobia in Buddhist Myanmar: The 969 Movement and Anti-Muslim Violence,” 204. 50 MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016. 51 See, for example, YouTube, Sayardaw Wirathu Pyaw Te' Naingan Ye (Sayadaw Wirathu Speaks Politics).

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which was too weak to protect it. Many nationalists saw the NLD as a threat to Buddhist

that required a response.

As well as the presence of these threats, there were also opportunities to mobilise

nationalist sentiment across the country. An opportunity was emerging from Rakhine

State. A MaBaTha respondent frames this in terms of the widespread anger and unity

under the name of nationalism after the rape and murder in Kyauk Ni Maw in May

2012.52 This was an opportunity for Myanmar nationalists to engage in brokerage with

Rakhine nationalists and to spread the concerns related to a Muslim threat, and

particularly a Rohingya threat, across the country. Rakhine nationalist organisations and

the Buddhist nationalist movement in Myanmar shared fears of a Muslim threat and

aligned on this platform. The situation in Rakhine State fuelled the anti-Muslim

sentiments and propaganda on which the greater Buddhist nationalist movement

survived, while Rakhine nationalist organisations could rely on the influential Buddhist

nationalist movement to support its political, social and legislative agenda. Both also felt

a threat from the NLD, whose rhetoric on human rights over protecting the religion and

national security was perceived as a threat to Buddhism. This was brokerage between

Rakhine and Myanmar nationalists.

The 969 movement was successful in mobilising and shifting scale from a local audience

to a national audience because of how it framed its claims. The movement identified a

fear which was deeply ingrained in Myanmar Buddhist society – the loss of the religion

to a foreign other. On this occasion the threat was from Muslims and Islam, although in

the past the same threats had been identified from other sources. The movement also

offered solutions to the threat – for Buddhists to come together and support each other

economically and socially. People concerned about the disappearance of their religion

could easily identify with the movement and take part in its repertoires of action. The

969 movement succeeded in frame alignment. The movement offered solutions that

were familiar to Myanmar society. It called upon the Myanmar government to take up

the traditional role of the state – the protection of the religion.

52 MaBaTha Central Committee Member, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 22 June, 2017.

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Even after the 969 movement was officially launched in October 2012 and shifted to a

national level, its local nature remained. “In other places, they will spread the symbol

on their own. Other townships use the logo for their own purposes”, noted Ashin

Sadama.53 While it had national reach, the movement was used for different purposes

in different places, and continued to have different meanings to its various followers

and supporters. The mobilisation and scale shift of the 969 movement in October 2012

can be understood as a response to political opportunity and threat structures.

Furthermore, this was diffusion and brokerage. The message of the movement reached

new audiences across the country, propelled by the outrage over the rape and murder

in Rakhine State, and the information and hate speech spreading at that time. The

establishment of a network of monks across the country in 2012 represented an early

stage of brokerage, connecting monastics with similar concerns across the country. This

successful brokerage was soon to be formalised and institutionalised.

6.2.2InstitutionalisationofBuddhistNationalism:MaBaTha

If the 969 movement was the beginning of brokerage, then the formation of MaBaTha

was the institutionalisation of Buddhist nationalism in the Myanmar polity. While the

969 movement can be understood as an expression of rising nationalism in Myanmar,

MaBaTha became a vehicle for its promotion and influence, formally and informally. As

well as giving the network of nationalists a coherent structure and voice in the form of

an organisation, it cemented the Buddhist nationalist movement as an actor in national

politics and the 2015 election. Although not of direct relevance to the period under

investigation in this thesis, since June 2017 MaBaTha has mostly rebranded itself as the

Buddha Dhamma Parahita Foundation in reaction to a directive by MaHaNa stating that

MaBaTha was not formed in accordance with existing sangha laws.54

MaBaTha was formed on 27 June 2013 at a meeting of 1,530 monks in Insein Township,

Yangon. MaHaNa banned the use of the 969 symbol for political or religious means in

53 Galache, “Who Are the Monks.” 54 See Matthew J. Walton, “Misunderstanding Myanmar’s Ma Ba Tha”, Asia Times, 9 June 2017, http://www.atimes.com/article/misunderstanding-myanmars-ma-ba-tha/.

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September 2013,55 leaving MaBaTha as the preeminent nationalist organisation.

MaBaTha’s “more centralized structure and explicitly legal-political strategy” gives it

greater influence than the 969 movement, notes Pedersen.56 The organisation’s charter

notes its objectives to be the formation of the organisation in different locations and

levels across Myanmar (to the township and ward/village administrative levels), the

establishment of faith-based legislation, and cultural and moral education of the

younger generation. While MaHaNa banned the use of the 969 symbol, it has made few

attempts to censor MaBaTha. As Schonthal and Walton note, several MaHaNa

monastics also hold high-ranking positions in MaBaTha.57

MaBaTha’s charter outlines the structure of the organisation. On the central committee

sits; nine advisor monks; one chair (monk); three vice chairs (monks); a secretary

(monk); five assistant secretaries (monks); and members (80 monks and 35 lay persons).

A central executive body has a more exhaustive structure and includes an international

relations department, legal affairs department and cultural department. The central

actors of MaBaTha have been largely the same monastics and lay people who were

involved in the 969 movement.58

The institutionalisation of the nationalist movement in MaBaTha was also accompanied

by the addition of new actors. Perhaps the most notable actor to join MaBaTha was the

Sitagu Sayadaw, one of the most influential and popular Sayadaw in the country, who

is generally known as a moderate. The Sitagu Sayadaw may have seen MaBaTha as an

organisation in which he could deploy his influence in the sangha. The inclusion of the

Sayadaw may also, however, have served to legitimate the organisation to those who

would otherwise have been turned off by its divisive rhetoric. While Gravers argues that

the role of the Sitagu Sayadaw was “obviously to take the violence out of the movement

55 May Sitt Paing, “Buddhist Committee's 969 Prohibitions Prompts Meeting of Movement Backers,” The Irrawaddy, 10 September 2013, http://www.irrawaddy.org/burma/buddhist-committees-969-prohibitions-prompts-meeting-of-movement-backers.html. 56 Pedersen, “Myanmar in 2014: Tacking against the Wind,” 235. 57 Schonthal and Walton, “The (New) Buddhist Nationalisms? Symmetries and Specificities in Sri Lanka and Myanmar,” 85. 58 Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Islamophobia in Buddhist Myanmar: The 969 Movement and Anti-Muslim Violence,” 205.

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in order to protect the position and image of Buddhism”,59 the reasons may be more

complicated and opaque. The Sitagu Sayadaw has been known to engage in anti-Muslim

rhetoric himself.60 In an October 2017 sermon, at the height of military atrocities against

civilians in northern Rakhine State, Sitagu told his military audience that the killing of

non-Buddhists could be excusable if it was done with the intention of protecting the

religion.61

While MaBaTha’s main concern is certainly the protection of Buddhism from a Muslim

threat, MaBaTha is also concerned with the preservation and practice of Buddhism

independent of a threat from Islam. This complicates the characterisation of MaBaTha

simply as an anti-Muslim organisation. It also means that individuals who support or

become involved in MaBaTha do so with different motivations, something reflected in

interviews conducted for this study. Some individuals from MaBaTha did not identify

any threats to Buddhism outside of a Muslim threat when asked. Others expressed

concerns about incorrect interpretations of the dhamma and practices of Buddhism, and

saw MaBaTha as a mediator which could resolve such debates.62 They described

MaBaTha as an organisation which sought to educate the younger generations on the

correct interpretations and rituals of Buddhism.63 Welfare relief after natural disasters

was also cited as an objective of MaBaTha.64 These aims are not necessarily independent

of a Muslim threat for all members, however. The MaBaTha chairperson in Thandwe

framed MaBaTha’s education programmes in terms of protecting the religion from a

Muslim threat;

Most Buddhists in Burma are traditional, casual Buddhists. They don’t

know the real meanings of the Dhamma, that’s why intermarriage occurs

59 Gravers, “Politically Engaged Buddhism: Spiritual Politics or Nationalist Medium?,” 318; “Anti-Muslim Buddhist Nationalism in Burma and Sri Lanka: Religious Violence and Globalized Imaginaries of Endangered Identities,” Contemporary Buddhism 16, no. 1 (2015): 14. 60 Nick Cheesman, “The Right to Have Rights,” in Communal Violence in Myanmar, ed. Nick Cheesman and Htoo Kyaw Win (Yangon: Myanmar Knowledge Society, 2015), 146-47. See also, for example, Sitagu, (Youtube: mg atee, 2014), https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FDk4CST48PQ. 61 Paul Fuller, “Sitagu Sayadaw and Justifiable Evils in Buddhism,” New Mandala, 13 November 2017, http://www.newmandala.org/sitagu-sayadaw-justifiable-evils-buddhism/. 62 MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016; MaBaTha Sayadaw, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 13 July, 2016. 63 MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016. 64 Ibid.

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between religions. That’s why ex-Buddhist women stamp on images of the

Buddha. They don’t have an understanding of the Dhamma.65

While MaBaTha does have interests aside from the protection of the religion from a

Muslim threat, often these are not necessarily independent of that concern. These other

objectives, while important, should not be overemphasised. Their overemphasis comes

at the risk of detracting from the organisation’s primary activity: promoting a Buddhist

conception of the nation that excludes Muslims and has been linked to fatal violence.

6.3FromPatiencetoPatronage:USDP-MaBaThaBrokerage

The 969 movement and MaBaTha made claims on the state. In Tilly and Tarrow’s

framework, these claims are both standing and program claims – they claimed that as

monastics or Buddhists they had a privileged voice that must be respected, and they

called upon the government to act in a certain way. These claims were backed by

substantial public support. Although these claims were primarily made upon the USDP

government, they had implications for any party hoping to contest the 2015 election. In

the context of the changing political opportunity structures of democratic transition, the

state tolerated a wide repertoire of claim-making performances from these nationalist

organisations. This is despite the fact that monastic involvement in political affairs is

deemed illegal by the 2008 Constitution and is also banned by a MaHaNa directive. The

USDP allowed MaBaTha a lot of leniency under the law and their relationship with the

nationalist movement travelled a path from patience to patronage. These interactions

with the state shaped the form that MaBaTha took and the performances and claims it

made. The USDP allowed the movement to make a wide range of claims upon the state.

MaBaTha’s influence on the USDP government is well illustrated by the case of the Race

and Religion Protection Laws, first proposed by MaBaTha and subsequently adopted by

the government. The Race and Religion Protection Laws consist of four pieces of

legislation; the Religious Conversion Law, the Population Control Healthcare Law, the

Buddhist Women’s Special Marriage Law and the Monogamy Law. Under the population

65 Thandwe MaBaTha Chairperson, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016.

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control law, local authorities may apply to the president to implement the law in their

localities if they deem “resources are unbalanced”, or note “a high population growth

rate and a high birth rate”.66 On presidential approval, women must leave at least 36

month between each birth. The Buddhist Women’s Special Marriage Law requires

Buddhist women to seek permission from local authorities before marrying a man from

outside their religion. Failure to do so is punishable by up to three years imprisonment

and a 50,000 kyat (US$36) fine. Under the Religious Conversion Law permission must be

acquired for conversion, a process which involves submitting an application detailing

good reasons for conversion and appearing before a township registration board. If the

law is violated, one faces a maximum of two years imprisonment and a 200,000 kyat

(US$150) fine. Finally, the Monogamy Law bans polygamy in Myanmar.

The UN, human rights groups and civil society groups expressed concerns about the

discriminatory nature of the legislation and expressed fears the laws would violate the

rights of women and minorities, particularly the Rohingya community.67 Ashin Wirathu

retorted with insulting and derogatory comments towards the UN Special Rapporteur

on Human Rights and labelled the local civil society groups “traitors”.68 Aung San Suu Kyi

66 Guy Dinmore and Shwe Yee Saw Myint, “President Signs Off on Population Control Law,” Myanmar Times, 25 May 2015, http://www.mmtimes.com/index.php/national-news/14648-president-signs-off-on-population-control-law.html. 67 OHCHR, “Myanmar: Un Expert to Assess Human Rights Situation in Rakhine and Northern Shan States,” news release, 5 January, 2015, http://www.ohchr.org/EN/NewsEvents/Pages/DisplayNews.aspx?NewsID=15464&LangID=E; Nobel Zaw, “Union Parliament Passes Population Control Bill,” The Irrawaddy, 7 April 2015, http://www.irrawaddy.org/burma/union-parliament-passes-population-control-bill.html; Salil Shetty, “Open Letter on the Four Proposed Laws Aimed at “Protecting Race and Religion”,” (Amnesty International, 14 April, 2015), https://www.amnesty.org/en/documents/asa16/1456/2015/en/; Mizzima, “Discriminatory 'Race and Religion' Bills Threaten Tensions Ahead of Elections: Aphr,” Mizzima, 22 August 2015, http://www.mizzima.com/news-election-2015-election-news/discriminatory-%E2%80%98race-and-religion%E2%80%99-bills-threaten-tensions-ahead; Matt Roebuck, “A Mass Call from Myanmar's Civil Society to Drop 'Nation, Race and Religion' Bills,” ibid., 28 January, http://archive-3.mizzima.com/mizzima-news/myanmar/item/17277-a-mass-call-from-myanmar-s-civil-society-to-drop-nation-race-and-religion-bills/17277-a-mass-call-from-myanmar-s-civil-society-to-drop-nation-race-and-religion-bills. 68 Asian Correspondent, “Extremist Burmese Monk Wirathu Calls Un Envoy a 'Whore',” Asian Correspondent, 19 January 2015, http://asiancorrespondent.com/129936/extremist-burmese-monk-wirathu-calls-un-envoy-a-whore/; HRW, “World Report 2015: Events of 2014,” (Washington, DC: Human Rights Watch, 2015), 124, https://www.hrw.org/report/2015/01/29/world-report-2015/events-2014.

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also criticised the laws on the basis of women’s rights, but was silent on their violation

of human rights or religious freedoms.69

Regardless, the bills had significant grassroots support. The campaign for the legislation

saw a petition gather over two million signatures in support of the bills, according to

government spokesperson Zaw Htay.70 The petition and a request for the four pieces of

legislation were submitted to President Thein Sein in July 2013.71 The president did not

act on the request until February 2014, when he consulted the speaker of the house and

a decision was made to have relevant government departments draft the bills.72 All four

were signed into law by the president (the final step of the legislative process) by August

2015. According to one senior member of MaBaTha, the passage of this legislation was

its greatest achievement – “the life of MaBaTha”.73

The USDP response to the bills was characterised by some as “how populism is being

balanced with prudence”.74 Against the appeal of the NLD, the USDP appeared to have

decided that their best approach before the 2015 election was to promote themselves

as the guardians of Myanmar and its Buddhist character, and appeal to the nationalistic

sangha for support. This can explain in part why the Thein Sein government never

challenged monks who spread anti-Muslim sentiment, despite their evidently unlawful

activity. Other factors were also no doubt important. Monastics have an unparalleled

status in Myanmar society and carry a lot of respect. To appear to be challenging the

monkhood would carry severe political risks.

The shape of an apparent informal pact between MaBaTha and the USDP became

clearer in June 2015 when MaBaTha began to urge voters to boycott parties that “didn’t

69 Richard Horsey, “New Religious Legislation in Myanmar,” (SSRC Conflict Prevention and Peace Forum, 13 February, 2015), 7, http://www.burmalibrary.org/docs21/Horsey-2015-02-New_Religious_Legislation_in_Myanmar-en.pdf. 70 Hnin Yadanar Zaw and Antoni Slodkowski, “Insight - Myanmar's Radical Monks Shaping Historic Election,” Reuters, 1 November 2015, http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-myanmar-monks-insight-idUKKCN0SQ1A020151101. 71 Horsey, “New Religious Legislation,” 2. 72 Ibid. 73 MaBaTha Central Committee Member, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 22 June, 2017. 74 Horsey, “New Religious Legislation,” 2.

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support Buddhism” in the November 2015 elections.75 Ashin Wirathu is known to not

support Aung San Suu Kyi. He has alleged that she said the Race and Religion Protection

Laws are against human rights, saying that “[these comments] means she is against us”

and “[t]here’s no way she should run the country”.76 In June 2015, a MaBaTha secretary

told monastic followers to rally support for the USDP over the NLD.77 By September,

MaBaTha monastics were telling voters that it was of “dire importance” that “a political

party supported by Islamists and foreign countries” did not win the election, leaving little

doubt that it was the NLD in question.78

A MaBaTha representative stated that “nationalism is the aim, not support for any

party”, although conceded that MaBaTha does tell supporters to “vote to support race,

religion and the teachings of Buddha”. He conceded that some members may support

the USDP or other parties, “because they think that the NLD is joining with the OIC

[Organisation of Islamic Cooperation]”.79 This representative expressed remorse that

Aung San Suu Kyi was not supporting the sangha’s campaign to protect race and religion

like she had supported the participation of monks in the 2007 democracy

demonstrations.80 Another MaBaTha representative said that the organisation did not

support any party in 2015 but that “there is a distinct dislike of the NLD in MaBaTha”.

“Compared to the NLD”, he said, “MaBaTha likes the USDP – because of the Race and

Religion Protection Laws”.81

MaBaTha representatives lauded the achievements of the USDP government and

President Thein Sein. One Sayadaw noted that “the reason [for political and social

change in Myanmar] is U Thein Sein… he was the foundation for these changes”.82

Another Sayadaw said that “U Thein Sein saved the sasana” with support for MaBaTha’s

75 Moe Myint, “Ma Ba Tha Embraces Political Fray, Risking Election Year Sanction,” The Irrawaddy, 9 June 2015, http://www.irrawaddy.org/burma/ma-ba-tha-embraces-political-fray-risking-election-year-sanction.html. 76 Preston, “Saffron Terror.” 77 Lawi Weng, “Support Incumbents, MaBaTha Leader Tells Monks,” The Irrawaddy, 23 June 2015, http://www.irrawaddy.com/election/news/support-incumbents-ma-ba-tha-leader-tells-monks. 78 Salai Thant Zin and Zarni Mann, “MaBaTha: NLD Is the Party of “Islamists”,” ibid., 21 September, http://www.irrawaddy.com/election/news/ma-ba-tha-nld-is-the-party-of-islamists. 79 MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016. 80 Ibid. 81 MaBaTha Central Committee Member, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 22 June, 2017. 82 MaBaTha Sayadaw, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 13 July, 2016.

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legislative agenda in particular, but also through his government’s “respect for religious

associations, especially Buddhist ones”, more generally.83 This Sayadaw, a local

MaBaTha chairperson, was disappointed that the NLD had taken over government from

the USDP in 2016.

Now the new government is different from the U Thein Sein government, so

most of the Sayadaws are very sad about that. But as monks, we are not interested

in politics. We are fighting to protect the religion and race. We are interested in

nationalism and religion, but not politics.84

The informal nature of the pact between the USDP and MaBaTha should be stressed. As

suggested by the responses above, it is seen as unsuitable for monks to be involved in

politics. The informal and limited nature of any pact is also illustrated by public clashes

between the USDP and MaBaTha over issues such as a proposed building development

near the Shwedagon Pagoda in Yangon.85 There were instances during the same period

in which the two actors publically disagreed, and it would be simply wrong to imply that

every supporter of MaBaTha also supported the USDP. McCarthy and Menager have also

detailed the experience of one MaBaTha supported who did not support the USDP.86

Furthermore, prominent MaBaTha members were at the same time endorsing other

political parties which supported MaBaTha’s agenda. The National Prosperity Party was

formed with the support of Ashin Wirathu, who attended its opening ceremony with

Ashin Parmoukka, then another leading MaBaTha monastic.87

A member of the Central Executive Committee of the USDP in northern Shan State

disputed any link between the USDP and MaBaTha, and argued that “the USDP is open

83 Meiktila MaBaTha Chairperson, interview, Meiktila Township, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 6 September, 2016. 84 Ibid. 85 Oren Samet, “The Threat of Myanmar's Extremist Monks,” New Mandala, 27 August 2015, http://www.newmandala.org/the-threat-of-myanmars-extremist-monks/. 86 Gerard McCarthy and Jacqueline Menager, “Gendered Rumours and the Muslim Scapegoat in Myanmar's Transition,” Journal of Contemporary Asia 47, no. 3 (2017): 406. 87 Salai Thant Zin, “Ma Ba Tha Leaders Open Nationalist Party Offices in Pathein,” The Irrawaddy, 7 October 2015, http://www.irrawaddy.com/election/news/ma-ba-tha-leaders-open-nationalist-party-offices-in-pathein.

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to all, and is focused on equality and all the ethnic groups in the country”.88 He

mentioned USDP members in Lashio who are “very close” with religious minorities, and

noted that a former USDP MP protected a mosque and Muslim communities during

communal violence in Lashio in 2013;

We want to prove that we are working on this problem. We don’t know about

MaBaTha here. As you can see, the USDP would not protect the Lashio Gyi mosque if

we were connected to MaBaTha! MaBaTha could come and burn our office if we

protected the mosque like that. If some people have more extreme views, then

maybe they have a link to MaBaTha, I don’t know. But not in Lashio.89

This USDP member alleged that the problem of hate speech and violence was caused by

“outsiders” from central Myanmar. He perceived any link between the USDP and

MaBaTha as incredulous, and expressed a fear of them.90

6.3.1SeekingSupportintheSangha

The USDP was also brokering other support from within the sangha. During the early

stages of democratic transition USDP MP and power-broker Aung Thaung approached

and requested help from one prominent Mandalay Sayadaw.91 The Sayadaw was asked

to cooperate as a mediator between the transitioning government and the democratic

movement across Myanmar. In return, Aung Thaung offered him “whatever he

wanted”.92 When the Sayadaw asked for permission to hold a celebration for the

anniversary of the 2007 Saffron Revolution, he claims he received large donations from

the USDP as well as from the family of Aung Thaung for the event.93 The USDP

government also provided transport, security and other services to the Sayadaw.

88 USDP Shan State (North) Central Executive Committee Member, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 11 August, 2016. 89 Ibid. 90 Ibid. 91 Prominent Mandalay Sayadaw, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 14 July, 2016. 92 Ibid. 93 Ibid.

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This Sayadaw suspects that he was approached due to the fact that although he was

involved in the democratic movement the government did not consider him to be as

anti-military as other monks. Although he was under surveillance during the military

period, he was never arrested like many of his contemporaries. “They thought I was

flexible and could be negotiated with”, he noted, suggesting that the military needed

the support of the sangha for their political project; “the military was holding the tail of

a tiger. They wanted to let it go, but were afraid”.94 Through influential monastics, the

USDP could gain support in the electorate.

Aung Thaung served as a member of the Pyithu Hluttaw from 2011 to 2015 as member

the Mandalay Region constituency of Taung Tha, his birthplace.95 Formerly the Minister

of Industry in the military regime, Aung Thaung and his family became among the

wealthiest in Myanmar during military rule.96 He was close to former dictator Senior

General Than Shwe, and it is commonly noted that the two would often meet for

breakfast, a rare privilege in the Tatmadaw hierarchy.97 He is often thought to have been

a key organising figure behind the Depayin massacre of 2003 which targeted democracy

activists and almost resulted in the death of Aung San Suu Kyi.98 At that time, Aung San

Suu Kyi’s convoy was attacked by a mob and an unknown but substantial number of

people were killed.99 In 2012, President Thein Sein removed Aung Thaung from a team

seeking a peace agreement with the Kachin Independence Organisation, in a move

widely perceived as an attempt to marginalise hardliners. He was then subjected to

United States Treasury Sanctions in October 2014, for “undermining the positive

political and economic transition in Burma” and “perpetuating violence, oppression and

94 Ibid. 95 Aung Zaw, “Aung Thaung: Why Now, Why Him, and Who's Next?,” The Irrawaddy, 10 November 2014, http://www.irrawaddy.org/commentary/aung-thaung-now-whos-next.html. 96 Seamus Martov, “What Does the Future Hold for Aung Thaung & Sons?,” ibid., 3 November, www.irrawaddy.org/from-the-irrawaddy-archive-burma/future-hold-aung-thaung-sons.html. 97 Aung Zaw, “Aung Thaung: Burma's Untouchable Minister,” ibid., June 2007, http://www2.irrawaddy.org/article.php?art_id=7327. 98 Seamus Martov, “What Does the Future Hold for Aung Thaung & Sons?,” ibid., 3 November 2014, www.irrawaddy.org/from-the-irrawaddy-archive-burma/future-hold-aung-thaung-sons.html. 99 According to the Irrawaddy, the government reported five deaths while activists said that 70 had been killed. Zarni Mann, “A Decade Later, Victims Still Seeking Depayin Massacre Justice,” ibid., 31 May 2013, https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/a-decade-later-victims-still-seeking-depayin-massacre-justice.html.

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corruption”,100 fuelling speculation about his involvement in the Buddhist nationalist

movement and communal violence. In July 2015 Aung Thaung suffered a cerebral

haemorrhage and was flown to hospital in Singapore, where he passed away.

There was much speculation about a formal link between the USDP and the Buddhist

nationalist movement after Aung Thaung visited Ashin Wirathu in a well-publicised May

2012 meeting. The meeting occurred the day following the rape and murder in Kyauk Ni

Maw, Rakhine State.101 Both Aung Thaung and Ashin Wirathu denied any substantial link

between them, and both stated that after the 2012 meeting there was no further

contact.102 The aforementioned Sayadaw successfully recruited by Aung Thaung,

however, believed that the USDP had also used monks such as Ashin Wirathu for their

political agenda.103 There has been other speculation about links between high-ranking

members of the USDP and MaBaTha, including a line of communication between

President Thein Sein and Ashin Wirathu via the Mandalay Chief Minister.104 Min Zin

claims that the Union government has encouraged Chief Ministers to build “Sayar Dagar

Setsanye” (patron-client relationships) with MaBaTha monastics.105 This is not

surprising, as relations between the government and influential monastics fit a long-

established pattern in Myanmar politics.

Under the USDP government these relationships legitimised anti-Muslim sentiment and

gave free reign to those inciting and committing violence against Muslims. It was evident

to Buddhist nationalists that the government had given them free reign to do as they

pleased. “By letting us give speeches to protect our religion and race, I assume they are

supporting us”, said Ashin Wimala.106 Indeed, monastics in Mandalay noted that under

the USDP government it was very easy for MaBaTha to get permission from authorities

to hold public sermons, even when others were denied.107 Then Religious Affairs

100 Department of the Treasury, “Announcment of Treasury Sanctions against Aung Thaung,” news release, 31 October, 2014, http://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Pages/JL2680.aspx. 101 Van Klinken and Su Mon Thazin Aung, “The Contentious Politics of Anti-Muslim Scapegoating in Myanmar,” 367. 102 Sanay Lin, “Head to Head.”; Preston, “Saffron Terror.” 103 Prominent Mandalay Sayadaw, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 14 July, 2016. 104 Min Zin, “Anti-Muslim Violence in Burma,” 388. 105 Ibid., 383. 106 Marshall, “Myanmar's Offical Embrace.” 107 Buddhist Monks, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 7 July, 2016.

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Minister U Sann Sint also expressed sympathy for the organisation in 2013. “I don’t think

they are preaching to make problems,” he told media.108 In another case of apparent

state support in Bago in April 2013, a Muslim man was sued by a police chief for the

offense of removing a 969 sticker from a betel nut shop. He was sentenced to two years

in prison for outraging religious feelings.109 Min Zin has argued that attempts to grasp

success in the 2015 election in “a strengthened constituency based on Burman-Buddhist

parochialism have tempted both hardliners and so-called reformists toward taking

advantage of anti-Muslim conflict”.110 Evidently, the movement had at least implicit

support from the state.

One monastic in Mandalay reported that he had previously been approached by a

member of MaBaTha and was requested to join the organisation in return for cash and

other material benefits. He was required to “preach hate speech against other religions,

in particular Muslims, and to make trouble for the NLD”.111 He believes he was

approached because he was well-known for participating in the 2007 anti-government

protests and subsequently spending time in prison.112

Some of the most serious allegations about ties between the USDP and Buddhist

nationalist organisations came in the aftermath of the assassination of well-known

lawyer and NLD member U Ko Ni, who was also Muslim, in January 2017. Authorities

determined that the motivation for the murder was “extreme patriotism” on behalf of

those who arranged the killing – two former military officers.113 Police have confirmed

that USDP parliamentarian Lwin Zaw Tun was with the culprits in a tea shop in Yangon

when the plan to kill U Ko Ni was hatched, although he himself is not a suspect in the

case and has denied allegations he was involved.114 Lwin Zaw Tun was a friend one of

108 Marshall, “Myanmar's Offical Embrace.” 109 Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Islamophobia in Buddhist Myanmar: The 969 Movement and Anti-Muslim Violence,” 199. 110 Min Zin, “Anti-Muslim Violence in Burma,” 389. 111 Buddhist Monks, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 7 July, 2016. 112 Ibid. 113 Mratt Kyaw Thu, “'Patriotism' Behind U Ko Ni Assassination, Says Minister,” Frontier Myanmar, 25 February 2017, http://frontiermyanmar.net/en/patriotism-behind-u-ko-ni-assassination-says-minister; Htoo Thant, “Mp Threatens Lawsuit against Murder Speculators,” The Irrawaddy, 28 February 2017, http://www.mmtimes.com/index.php/national-news/nay-pyi-taw/25118-mp-threatens-lawsuit-against-murder-speculators.html. 114 Mratt Kyaw Thu, “'Patriotism' Behind U Ko Ni Assassination.”

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the accused – the two graduated in the same batch of officers from Myanmar’s

prestigious Defence Services Academy.115 In September 2015 Lwin Zaw Tun donated 40

million kyat (approximately $US30,000) to MaBaTha. The donation was accepted by

Ashin Wirathu and publicised widely.116

6.3.2TheUSDPandtheConstructionofaMuslimThreat

As considered above, Muslims were increasingly constructed as outside of, and a threat

to, ideas of the Myanmar nation during the period of military rule. The USDP

government was also involved in the construction of such a threat during their term in

government under democratic transition. Concerns about an internal threat from

Muslims heightened the perceived need for a strong party in government (in this case

the USDP with military backing). It also provided MaBaTha with fuel for its campaign for

the protection of Buddhism in the rejection of the NLD and support for the USDP.

Following the first instances of violence in 2012 in Rakhine State, then director of the

President’s Office Zaw Htay posted to Facebook;

It is heard that Rohingya Terrorists of the so-called Rohingya Solidarity

Organization are crossing the border and getting into the country with the weapons.

That is Rohingyas from other countries are coming into the country. Since our Military

has got the news in advance, we will eradicate them until the end! I believe we are

already doing it… we don’t want to hear any humanitarian issues or human rights

from others. Besides, we neither want to hear any talk of justice nor want anyone to

teach us like a saint.117

This quote not only reflects entrenched Islamophobia in government, but also serves to

construct Muslims – this case Rohingya Muslims – as a threat. The term “Rohingya” is

conflated with a minority within the group who commit violence. It also infers that those

115 Htoo Thant, “MP Threatens Lawsuit.” 116 Wa Lone, “USDP Candidate Donates Big to MaBaTha,” ibid., 3 September 2015, http://www.mmtimes.com/index.php/national-news/16287-usdp-candidate-donates-big-to-ma-ba-tha.html. 117 Joseph Allchin, “The Rohingya, Myths and Misinformation,” Democratic Voice of Burma, 22 June 2012, http://www.dvb.no/analysis/the-rohingya-myths-and-misinformation/22597.

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who believe in human rights would be unable to protect the nation, a reference to the

NLD. Similar comments are made by other representatives of government. Even after

charging two ex-military men for the assassination of lawyer U Ko Ni in 2017, police

suggested to reporters that they could not discount that the murder may have been

carried out by members of the Muslim community.118

Under the USDP government, a number of people (up to 100 according to some reports),

were arrested and accused of belonging to an armed group called the Myanmar Muslim

Army. An unknown number have been jailed.119 Serious doubts have been raised over

the existence of such a group by security experts, and the families of those arrested have

protested their innocence.120 It has been reported that the prosecution failed to produce

any evidence in court, instead simply telling the court room that they had received

evidence about the allegations “from above”.121 The defence lawyer for several of the

accused asked the police chief in court “when did they [the Myanmar Muslim Army]

start? Where is their headquarters? Where are their training bases? And so on”, but the

police chief could not answer and admitted that he did not know.122 The lawyer believes

that the aim of this “fake story” from the USDP government was to “discredit Muslims

generally in Myanmar”, and to “show the international community the risk of Islamic

State in Myanmar”.123 Since the NLD came to power, there has been no mention of the

alleged group by the government, although cases were continuing in court in July

2016.124

As well as courting Buddhist nationalists and supporting their exclusive conceptions of

the Myanmar nation, the USDP contributed to a construction of a Muslim threat during

this period of democratic transition. This sent a strong signal of support to nationalists,

and had profound consequences for Muslims during this period. The construction of an

118 Mratt Kyaw Thu, “'Patriotism' Behind U Ko Ni Assassination.” 119 Khin Su Wai, “Dozen Convicted in ‘Muslim Army’ Trial,” The Irrawaddy, 8 December 2015, http://www.mmtimes.com/index.php/national-news/mandalay-upper-myanmar/18022-dozen-convicted-in-muslim-army-trial.html. 120 Galache and Pedrosa, “In Myanmar, Muslims Arrested.” 121 Fortify Rights, “Myanmar: Fair Trial Denied in “Muslim Army” Case, Torture Alleged,” Fortify Rights, 6 November 2015, http://www.fortifyrights.org/publication-20151206.html. 122 Mandalay-Based Lawyer, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 13 July, 2016. 123 Ibid. 124 Ibid.

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imminent threat from a domestic Muslim insurgency in Myanmar may also have

discredited the NLD in the eyes of some voters. The narrative appealed to concerns that

the party was too close with Muslims and favoured human rights at the cost of national

security.

6.4TheRakhineNexus

The loose alliance between the USDP and MaBaTha also connected with another vital

set of actors – Rakhine nationalists and political parties. As noted, the RNDP held a

majority of elected seats in the state parliament after the 2010 election, although they

did not have a majority once the allocated seats for the military were considered. The

RNDP indicated shortly after the 2010 election that they were willing to work with the

USDP for the development of Rakhine State, and Aung Thaung extended an olive branch

to the party.125 Dr Aye Maung even suggested “a local power-brokering deal” may be on

the table.126

The relationship between the RNDP/ANP and USDP was strained during the period of

government, however, and USDP parliamentarians in the union legislature were said to

find the Rakhine MPs to be too “extreme” in their views.127 The relationship soured

early, when in 2011 when then MP retired Major General Maung Oo, former Home

Affairs Minister and Regional Commander in Rakhine State under the SPDC government,

insulted the Rakhine people and political parties.128 Several issues created contention

between the parties throughout this period of government, including; unaddressed

issues of land confiscation and related resource projects that had begun under the

former military government; decentralisation of power to state parliaments; the

125 Thein Zaw, “USDP Ministers Reach out to RNDP,” Mizzima, 26 November 2010, https://web.archive.org/web/20101206220437/http://mizzima.com/news/election-2010-/4614-usdp-ministers-reach-out-to-rndp-lawmakers-elect.html. 126 Htet Aung Kyaw, “Burma's New Leaders Court Arakan Party,” Democratic Voice of Burma, 30 November 2010, http://www.dvb.no/elections/burma%E2%80%99s-new-leaders-court-arakan-party/13135. See also, BNI, “Narinjara: Two Elected Ministers Meet RNDP Delegates,” Burma News International, 27 November 2010, http://e-archive.bnionline.net/index.php/news/narinjara/9859-two-elected-ministers-meet-rndp-delegates.html. 127 Kean, “Religious Conflict and Myanmar's Parliament: The Silence in the House,” 57. 128 Mizzima, ““The Rakhine People Will Not Support Our Rival Party”,” Mizzima, 26 July 2011, http://archive-1.mizzima.com/opinion/interviews/5672-the-rakhine-people-will-not-support-our-rival-party.

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government’s attempts to verify the citizenship status of Muslims in Rakhine State; and

lingering ill-feeling regarding the USDP’s distribution of white cards before the 2010

election.

The RNDP/ANP were motivated in part to broker relations with MaBaTha in order to

influence the USDP. Pedersen notes that “by presenting themselves as defenders of the

country’s “Western door”, Rakhine nationalists have been able to generate widespread

sympathy and support from Buddhists elsewhere in the country.”129 An important part

of this was brokerage with Buddhist nationalist organisations. Perhaps the first case

which brought this to light, as noted by van Klinken and Su Mon Thazin Aung, was the

campaign against the proposal for the OIC to open a mission in Myanmar.130 Opposition

to the mission was expressed as early as September 2012 in a public meeting in

Sittwe.131 Before the end of the year Buddhist nationalists had mobilised thousands to

demonstrate against the OIC in Yangon and Mandalay, forcing the President’s Office to

cancel the previously announced mission.132 The RNDP/ANP and MaBaTha were

beginning to demonstrate the influence they could hold over the USDP government.

The mobilisation of the RNDP/ANP-MaBaTha relationship and its propensity to affect

USDP policy was again glaringly obvious in the disenfranchisement of Temporary

Registration Certificate (“white card”) holders, most of who were Rohingya. It was first

proposed by the RNDP/ANP and was vocally supported by MaBaTha, and eventually the

USDP government. The expulsion of white card holders from the political process was

gradual. The RNDP spoke of its objective to disenfranchise white card holders via

amendments to election laws as early as mid-2013.133 Dr Aye Maung was quoted as

saying; “If we give Bengalis political rights, we will lose control of the region ... Bengalis

living peacefully in Rakhine have the right to work and the right to move freely, but they

should not have the right to vote.”134 The first legislative action was in September 2014,

129 Pedersen, “Myanmar in 2014: Tacking against the Wind,” 235. 130 Van Klinken and Su Mon Thazin Aung, “The Contentious Politics of Anti-Muslim Scapegoating in Myanmar,” 361. 131 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition,” 8. 132 Ibid. 133 Bill O'Toole, “RNDP Pushes to Tighten Voting Eligibility Criteria,” The Myanmar Times, 18 August 2013, http://www.mmtimes.com/index.php/national-news/7888-rndp-pushes-to-tighten-voting-eligibility-criteria.html. 134 Ibid.

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when President Thein Sein enacted an amendment, submitted to parliament by the

ANP, prohibiting white card holders from being members of political parties.135 In

October the lower house of parliament passed legislation to the effect that white card

holders were not able to vote in a proposed but not-to-be May 2015 referendum. It is

worth noting that while the original bill gave white card holders the vote, this was

removed following an unchallenged proposal from NLD representative Daw Khin San

Hlaing.136 The legislation did not pass both houses of parliament until early February

2015, however. By that time voting rights for white card holders had been added back

into the bill, upon the request of the president, and to the disappointment of Rakhine

MPs.137 It remains unknown why the president and USDP were insistent on giving white

card holders the vote, given that Rohingya communities would most likely vote for the

NLD over the USDP. Was the president under the impression that they would support

the USDP as they had done in 2010? Or was he attempting to push back against the

rising tide of Islamophobic nationalism?

The president’s position quickly changed, however, following a backlash from Buddhist

nationalists who once again demonstrated their capacity to mobilise crowds.138

Nationalist groups planned a week of demonstrations, and Ashin Wirathu released a

public statement the day after the legislation was passed warning that if white card

holders were allowed to vote he would “lead in meting out the retribution”.139 MaBaTha

leader Ashin Parmoukka also framed the white card issue as a threat to religion, saying

“[w]e will do what we should be doing to any government or any organization that

harms the nation and [will ensure] religion in this country does not disappear”.140 Less

135 Ei Ei Toe Lwin, “White Card-Holders Cut from Voting in Referendum,” ibid., 24 November 2014, http://www.mmtimes.com/index.php/national-news/12372-white-card-holders-cut-from-voting-in-referendum.html. 136 Ibid. 137 Lawi Weng, “‘White Card’ Holders Eligible to Vote on Constitutional Reform,” The Irrawaddy, 3 February 2015, https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/white-card-holders-eligible-vote-constitutional-reform.html. 138 Hanna Hindstrom, “Burma's Favorite Scapegoat,” Foreign Policy, 26 February 2015, http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/02/26/burmas-favorite-scapegoat/; Usaid Siddiqui, “Myanmar's Buddhist Terrorism Problem,” Al Jazeera America, 18 February 2015, http://america.aljazeera.com/opinions/2015/2/myanmars-buddhist-terrorism-problem.html. 139 Yen Snaing, “Weeks of Protests Planned against Suffrage for White Card Holders,” The Irrawaddy, 5 February 2015, http://www.irrawaddy.org/burma/week-protests-planned-suffrage-white-card-holders.html. 140 Ibid.

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than a week after passing the legislation, President Thein Sein announced that all white

cards would expire on 31 March 2015, disenfranchising the Rohingya community and

other holders of white cards.141

U Shwe Maung identifies as Rohingya and represented the northern Rakhine State

constituency of Buthidaung in the Pyithu Hluttaw between 2011 and 2016. He told

media that “the move to disenfranchise white card holders was a reflection of the

increased political influence of Rakhine politicians and activists as well as hardline

monks”, as told by Mizzima news.142 It appears that the USDP had resigned its hopes of

receiving votes from the Rohingya communities in northern Rakhine State by this time.

Instead, they were appealing to Buddhist nationalists for support. The case of the white-

cards shows this engagement. Brokerage between the RNDP/ANP and MaBaTha had

been successful, and this powerful grouping could exercise strong influence over the

USDP and its policy.

6.5Conclusion

This chapter has traced the constitution of Buddhist nationalist actors in Myanmar

during democratic transition and the mechanism of brokerage between such actors and

the state. This is another process crucial to mobilisation, as actor constitution

encourages a greater sense of group identity. Rakhine nationalist organisations and

political parties organised in response to both the opportunity of a more open political

system and to perceived threats of a Muslim threat to Rakhine identity and interests.

The Buddhist nationalist movement in greater Myanmar, primarily in the form of the

969 movement before the more institutionalised MaBaTha, responded to similar threats

and drew on the conflict in Rakhine State in their rationale. Although MaBaTha also cites

141 While Rohingya in northern Rakhine State constituted the vast majority of white card holders, some Myanmar of Chinese or Indian descent also carried white cards. Nyein Nyein, “Govt Revokes Voting Rights for ‘White Card’ Holders,” ibid., 12 February, https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/govt-revokes-voting-rights-white-card-holders.html. 142 Tim McLaughlin, “A Presidential Challenge to the Politics of Exclusion?,” Mizzima, 7 January 2015, http://archive-3.mizzima.com/opinion/features/item/16604-a-presidential-challenge-to-the-politics-of-exclusion/16604-a-presidential-challenge-to-the-politics-of-exclusion.

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concerns about threats to Buddhism that are unrelated to a Muslim threat, the

movement was very much mobilised in response to perceived threats from Muslims.

There are two important instances of brokerage surveyed in this chapter. Both

contributed to the strengthening of the Buddhist nationalist movement. The first case

of brokerage was between MaBaTha and the USDP. A loose coalition was evidently

formed before the 2015 elections. The USDP tolerated the activities of the nationalists,

even when they appeared to be illegal. There were some indications that the USDP was

reluctant to overtly support the nationalist organisation. However, to challenge the

powerful sangha carried political dangers which were perceived to be too high.

Eventually, the USDP endorsed MaBaTha and went into the 2015 elections campaigning

on a nationalist platform, presenting the party as the protectors of Buddhism and

national security. Second was the brokerage of the relationship between Rakhine

nationalists, primarily represented by the RNDP then the ANP, and Buddhist nationalists

in greater Myanmar, in the form of MaBaTha. These actors shared concerns about both

Muslims in Myanmar and the NLD. Their relationship was evident through their

collaboration in making demands on the USDP government to restrict the political,

economic and social activities of Muslims. These alliances have been shown through

analysis of the cases of the Race and Religion Protection Laws and the

disenfranchisement of white card holders.

The loose nature of the USDP-MaBaTha alliance has been stressed in this chapter. There

were instances during the same period in which the two actors publically disagreed, and

not every supporter of MaBaTha also supported the USDP. Rather, the USDP patronised

the organisation in an attempt to win votes. Similarly, MaBaTha supported the USDP

because it had supported legislation and policies backed by nationalists with an

objective to protect Buddhism. On 8 November 2015 the loose coalition of Buddhist

nationalists and the USDP could not compete with the popularity of the NLD and failed

to harvest votes at the ballot box.

The promotion of exclusionary forms of nationalism by elites is one of three factors

necessary for communal violence during this period of democratic transition in

Myanmar. The role of elites in forming collective actors has been detailed. Elites did very

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little to hinder the strengthening of exclusive conceptions of the nation and were central

to the ongoing construction of Muslims as a threat. The dynamics of democratic

transition created the conditions for cooperation between these diverse actors.

Furthermore, elites framed their actions around the spectre of communal violence.

Democratic transition influenced communal violence, but communal violence also

influenced the transition. The USDP’s period in government created an environment in

which political parties failed to challenge the influence of members of the sangha who

spread anti-Muslim sentiment and were often implicated in the instigation of anti-

Muslim violence. It appeared increasingly evident that the USDP was supporting anti-

Muslim violence, and the conditions and mechanisms responsible for producing violence

remained in place.

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Chapter7:

Interpretation:BlameDisplacementandReplicationCommunal violence occurs for multiple reasons and concerns multiple actors who act

with various motivations. This makes multiple interpretations of the violence possible

both during and after the fact. It is invariably the case, however, that in the aftermath

of violence, the diverse reasons for violence are reduced to one or more dominant

interpretations. This thesis introduces the process of interpretation to the contentious

politics literature. Brass has previously noted that interpretation is a crucial process in

any episode of communal violence, and that the interpretation of violence in divided

societies will inevitably be contested.1 Violence is “transformed into something bigger

and more “meaningful” through interpretation after the event”, he notes.2 This is

certainly true for the case of communal violence during democratic transition in

Myanmar, where instances with perhaps little “communal” characteristics have been

reinterpreted to fit into a broader narrative during and after the event. In the context of

the historical institutionalist argument of this thesis, this chapter is most concerned with

the promotion of exclusionary forms of nationalism by elites in their construction of

interpretations of the violence, but also reflects existing exclusive constructions of the

political community and the mobilisation of non-elites for violence.

It will be argued in this chapter that the dominant interpretations which emerged after

communal violence in Myanmar aligned with and reproduced the dominant narratives

in which they were situated, reflecting the historical institutional explanation. The

interpretations which become dominant after the violence do so due to their ability to

reproduce an existing discourse and the power structures which accompany it. Duncan

has noted that the interpretation of violence which becomes dominant after the fact is

one which fits with existing narratives and reflects what people already believe.3

Similarly, Brass has argued that an analysis of the process of interpretation will identify

“the power relations that are expressed through” dominant narratives – narratives

1 Brass, Theft of an Idol: Text and Context in the Representation of Collective Violence, 14-15. 2 Ibid., 12. 3 Duncan, Violence and Vengeance: Religious Conflict and Its Aftermath in Eastern Indonesia, 66.

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which are “no more or less valid than other equally coherent explanations”.4 The

uncovering of the construction of such dominant narratives, he argues, “selectively

reveals and hides local power relations from view”.5 A major consequence of how

violence is interpreted is the displacement of blame.6 This also serves to reproduce the

mechanisms which produce violence. The argument found in this thesis is not only that

an analysis of the process of interpretation reveals power structures, but that the

process of interpretation itself often reproduces these existing structures. This is evident

in the dominant narratives of the violence in Myanmar.

Some four dominant explanations of the violence recurred in interviews for this research

and will be summarised and analysed in this chapter. These explanations are; communal

explanations, reflecting essentialist notions of difference between communities;

political explanations, which argue that the violence took place for political gain;

economic interpretations of the violence which state that the violence was conducted

for material gain; and explanations of the state as discriminatory, which argue that the

government orchestrated the violence with a intent to disadvantage Muslims or with

intent of genocide. These four categories are approximate, and many respondents drew

upon more than one of these. It will also be shown that “economic” explanations of the

violence actually reflected communal discourses.7 The state’s interpretations of the

violence and its rhetoric in the context of democratic transition will also be analysed.

The dominant explanations and the state’s response contributed to the displacement of

blame, and resulted in little sanction for those who perpetrated or instigated violence.

Additionally, this chapter will show that different narratives emerge in different levels

of scale and in different communities. What is interpreted locally as a conflict with very

local causes can be interpreted nationally as a national conflict. This was the case across

Myanmar. In the locations studied in this thesis, there were local explanations for the

violence cited by respondents. These explanations looked to local factors such as new

building developments, land disputes, economic competition, crimes or disputes

4 Brass, Theft of an Idol: Text and Context in the Representation of Collective Violence, 61. 5 Ibid. 6 The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 16. 7 Brass has made a similar observation in the context of India. Ibid., 215.

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between individuals, or medium to long term migration patterns. Nationally, the same

violence fell into narratives of political manoeuvring in Naypyidaw and of a clash of

religious communities with consequences for the nation. While this contrast exists for

each case of violence in the period, it will be shown to be most stark in the case of Sittwe.

Finally, it should not be surprising that the interpretations of the violence were different

in different communities at the local level. The violence was placed into different

narratives of threat which appealed to different audiences. The aim of this chapter is

not to suggest that any explanation was more or less correct than any other, although

problems with explanations will be identified. This chapter will instead focus on

explaining why these particular explanations became dominant where they did, and

how they served to replicate the violence and hinder solutions or otherwise. Finally, as

argued throughout this thesis, this chapter will show that while democratic transition

had implications for communal violence, communal violence also impacted the

trajectory of the democratic transition during this period. The interpretation of violence

was central to this.

7.1CommunalExplanations

Many explanations for communal violence encountered during this research reflected a

discourse of communalism which essentialised the other and made primordial claims

about the violence. Nationally, this discourse could be said to be the dominant

explanation for the violence, although the allocation of blame to the state was also very

common. Often, these explanations were given in tandem.

A narrative which frames Muslims as aggressors and Rakhine as simply defending

themselves, their community and identity was heard repeatedly during interviews in

Sittwe. “Muslims wanted to start the conflict. But Rakhine people did not want violence,

they wanted stability. But kula wanted to create conflict in a violent fashion”, said a

Rakhine minor political party leader.8 A civil society leader argued that Rakhine did not

8 Rakhine Minor Political Party Chairperson, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 4 March, 2016.

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have any leadership or organisation during the violence and “were just living normally”.9

Similarly, the MaBaTha chairperson in Thandwe argued that the Kyauk Ni Maw rape and

murder case caused “some Buddhists to develop hatred and nationalism”.10 One

Sayadaw credited Rakhine people for their patience with Muslims, and for preventing

the total destruction of Aung Mingalar quarter. “Many more Muslims would have been

killed by Rakhine if the Rakhine didn’t have patience”, he suggested.11 This attitude was

also reflected in other interviews. “According to our religion we must be patient with

the Muslims, even though they fought with our people. We cannot kill anyone, as we

would break the Buddhist rules”, said one man, “some people have some

communication with Muslims, but not much. Only some people, because the Rakhine

give sympathy to them”.12

This essentialised notion of both Muslim and Buddhist communities was particularly

evident in the response of one women’s rights activist. Her explanation for the violence

was primarily primordial, arguing that “wherever you have different people living

together” there is conflict.13 When she first heard of the violence she says she could not

believe it, and worried “how could Rakhine control their emotions, when they don’t

have the knowledge and education”.14 During this discussion Rakhine were also

characterised as “honest”, while Muslims were characterised as dishonest, and it was

alleged that they had burnt down their own houses during the violence in order to win

aid from the international community – a common allegation in Myanmar.15 Muslims

were also said to lack education, and to be easily manipulated by extremists. It was

frequently heard that Muslims lack education and are therefore difficult to live

alongside. A MaBaTha monastic in Mandalay also stated that “educated Muslims are

okay for communication and understanding, but there are also people in that religion

9 Rakhine Civil Society Organisation Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015. 10 Thandwe MaBaTha Chairperson, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016. 11 Sittwe-Based Sayadaw (1), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 March, 2016. 12 Sittwe Rakhine Village Focus Group, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 13 Rakhine Women's Rights Activist, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 3 March, 2016. 14 Ibid. 15 Ibid.

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who are unemployed and uneducated so are not okay for communication between

religious communities”.16 In this narrative, construction of Rakhine or Buddhists

generally as peaceful but easily incited into some kind of crime of passion in defence of

their religion is used to displace blame for acts of violence and destruction.

Within Rakhine communities in Sittwe, the dominant explanations for the violence were

that Muslim communities organised and perpetrated the violence of June 2012.

Explanations of this type refer to Muslims or Rohingya as a monolithic group and reflect

a polarisation deepened in the years of segregation following the violence of 2012. In

one focus group, a respondent said that “the Muslims wanted to create the conflict, and

this is the main reason for the conflict”.17 This claim is based in the same narratives and

stereotypes of a Muslim or Rohingya threat to Rakhine interests discussed in Chapter 4

of this thesis. Two village administrators claimed that “the conflict happed due to the

agenda of Muslims. They occupy our land and rape Rakhine girls”.18 The Muslim

communities attacked Rakhine “because they have a master plan, and they want an

autonomous area”, according to a civil society leader in Sittwe.19

While the violence in Sittwe is remembered through this lens of a Rohingya threat to

Rakhine land, for many outside of Rakhine State the violence was interpreted through

the lens of a Muslim threat to the Buddhist identity of Myanmar.20 This illustrates how

the same violence has multiple interpretations. This communal discourse is very evident,

for instance, in the following response from the Meiktila MaBaTha Chairperson, a

monastic who expressed his belief that “Islam has a long term ambition to destroy

Buddhism” and constructed Muslims as fundamentally different from Buddhists and

others.

Muslims are different, in particular. Although we also have Christians and

Hindus here, it is the Muslims who are different. Hindus and Christians are good.

16 MaBaTha Sayadaw, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 13 July, 2016. 17 Sittwe Rakhine IDP Camp Focus Group, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 March, 2016. 18 Rakhine Village Administrators, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 19 Rakhine Civil Society Organisation Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015. 20 MaBaTha Central Committee Member, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 22 June, 2017.

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But Islam is not acceptable. There are problems. People are welcome in Christian,

Hindu and Buddhist monasteries and churches, but are never allowed into the

Muslim mosque. Shops around the mosque are not allowed to have Bamar

owners. I am a Buddhist, so I do not hate, I don’t hate Islam. But I hate extremists,

and most extremists are Muslims. I don’t teach to hate, I teach to be careful.

Buddhists are not extreme. I don’t teach to kill Muslims.21

Essentialised notions of other religious communities were not limited to responses from

Buddhist nationalist organisations, however. A monastic who spoke of harmony and

helped to prevent violence against Muslims in Mandalay in 2014 made the following

characterisations of Muslims;

In the 1990s, I myself also spoke about nationalism and taught to be

scared of Muslims. I had heard that Muslims want to influence Buddhism and are

paid to marry Buddhist women and so on. I agree now that in the world Muslims

are a danger. In the past, Burmese Muslims had lived peacefully. Then the British

brought Muslims from India and discriminated against Burmese Muslims. When

I say Muslims are a danger, I don’t mean all, but some. They don’t like freedom

of religion. If one wants to convert out of Islam, they threaten him with swords.

In the past, it was democracy and communism fighting. Now the enemy of

democracy is Muslims. They are becoming more extreme, globally. Muslims also

hate freedom of expression, and attack the media. They will oppose democracy,

globally. 22

These allegations are based in a narrative of Islam as a threat globally, and fears of

Muslims in Myanmar are placed in that context for many as noted in Chapter 5. Other

essentialised notions about Muslims were often repeated by different actors. These

included notions that any place where Muslims live will have trouble, that if the Muslim

population becomes larger than a small minority then Muslims begin to demand rights

and opportunities disproportionate to what they are deemed to be entitled to, and that

21 Meiktila MaBaTha Chairperson, interview, Meiktila Township, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 6 September, 2016. 22 Prominent Mandalay Sayadaw, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 14 July, 2016.

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“not all Muslims are terrorists, but all terrorists are Muslim”. These were most

commonly repeated by representatives of MaBaTha, but also repeated by other

members of the sangha and civil society, and are shared widely on social media across

Myanmar.

Other communal interpretations were based in a local or national context and also

involved essentialist notions of Buddhists as well as Muslims. According to one Meiktila-

based Sayadaw, the killing of a monk during violence there in 2013 was taken as an insult

to Buddhism. “When they heard the news, everyone who loved their religion came to

town”, he said, referring to those who perpetrated the violence.23 This response infers

that many Buddhists have strong feelings towards Buddhism and are hot-blooded when

it is under threat or insulted. This is also a form of blame displacement, removing blame

from the perpetrators of the violence and allocating it to another community – Muslims

– who are told to bear the responsibility for aggravating Buddhists. This response

excuses perpetrators of violence as simply standing up for the protection of their

religion.

A communal discourse and primordial explanations for the violence were common in

the interpretations of the violence and have been summarised here. The process of

polarisation is also evident in these responses. Its recurrence here illustrates that the

contentious processes of communal violence are dynamic, occur simultaneously and

interact with each other. These views sit within a discourse about Muslims which is

based on exclusive interpretations of the Myanmar nation. The negative

characterisations of Muslims seen in these responses do reflect widespread sentiment

in Myanmar and are an obstacle to preventing future violence and the maintenance of

broader social harmony. This discourse is deeply entrenched in Myanmar and is very

difficult to challenge. As noted earlier, many of the respondents in this research are

religious, community and political leaders who influence the views of many others. In

particular, it is very difficult for anyone in Myanmar to challenge the views of religious

leaders.

23 Meiktila-Based Sayadaw, interview, Meiktila Township, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 7 September, 2016.

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7.2EconomicExplanations

Economic arguments have been made to explain communal violence both by

respondents and in the literature. Typically, economic explanations for the violence

claim that the violence took place either to benefit one communal group at the expense

of the other, or to allow elites or other individuals to access economic opportunities at

the expense of those affected by the violence. These are instrumentalist explanations

which posit that identity is used as a cover for economic interests. These claims and their

shortcomings will be summarised here, before a brief discussion of the value of these

economic explanations.

It was heard in every case study location that the violence took place because of jealousy

towards Muslims’ economic success and in an attempt to even the competition and take

business from Muslims. It was suggested that the violence was instigated or perpetrated

by individuals who wanted a greater share of the economy. In one location, there was

strong evidence of the aftermath of violence being used for economic gain. An

influential businessman, who was also the secretary of the local MaBaTha chapter, was

alleged to have used his contacts in the government to prohibit Muslims from travelling

freely in and out of the town following communal violence there.24 This hindered

Muslims’ capabilities to do business and to get education, as there is no university in this

small town.25

Brass has noted that economic explanations such as these obscure the mechanisms

which produce violence, and instead appeal to notions of human nature’s capability for

violence and greed.26 These interpretations of the violence do scapegoat the violence to

impulses of greed or jealousy. The looting of businesses during the violence in Myanmar

does suggest that some individuals became involved for short-term economic gain.

There is also evidence that individual actors took economic advantage of the violence

after the fact. However, these arguments are never purely economic. Although often

24 Document on file with the author. 25 James T Davies, “Segregation and Violence in Rakhine State,” New Mandala, 21 February 2017, http://www.newmandala.org/segregation-violence-rakhine-state/. 26 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 307.

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presented as economic explanations, communalism is a common theme in these

responses. If it is asked why Muslim businesses were targeted instead of Buddhist

competitors, why Muslims’ land was cleared for resources projects, or why Muslims’

trade was restricted and not that of other communities in the wake of the violence, then

it becomes clear that such economic explanations have a strong communalist strand.

Thus, while many of these are presented as economic explanations, they actually reflect

a communal discourse.

Muslim respondents often mentioned an intention to take land from Muslim

communities as a factor behind the violence in Rakhine State. A Kaman political leader

in Yangon argued that the USDP and military planned the violence to facilitate the Shwe

Gas pipeline.27 In a Kaman village, one respondent noted that “Rakhine people are trying

to influence Muslim people because they believe this land is Rakhine land”.28 The

Rohingya political leader in Sittwe also argued that the violence took place “for racial

purposes, to take our lands”, and that “the Rakhine want to control the land, they hate

Muslims”.29 That is, there were economic drivers behind the violence, but also along

communal lines.

The suggestion that the violence took place to confiscate land from Rohingya

communities has also been made by Sassen, who suggests that identity has been used

instrumentally to draw attention away from the economic motivations.30 The evidence

presented, however, remains weak and problematic, as discussed by Jones.31 Perhaps

most problematic is the fact that the Shwe Gas pipeline in Kyauk Phyu Township, the

main evidence presented by Sassen, cannot explain violence towards Muslim

communities elsewhere in Rakhine State or elsewhere in Myanmar.32

While these economic explanations do have several weaknesses, they do highlight

important aspects of the violence. There are economic aspects to the conflict in Rakhine

27 Kaman Community Leader, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 24 February, 2016. 28 Sittwe Kaman Village Focus Group, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 11 March, 2016. 29 Rohingya Political Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 30 Sassen, “The Assault on the Rohingya Is Not Only About Religion — It’s Also About Land.” 31 Lee Jones, “A Better Political Economy of the Rohingya Crisis,” New Mandala, 26 September 2017, http://www.newmandala.org/better-political-economy-rohingya-crisis/. 32 Ibid.

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State and in Myanmar more generally. As discussed earlier in this thesis, many of the

Rakhine grievances towards the Myanmar government are based in the economic

exploitation and denigration of Rakhine State. Political transition and the economic

opportunity it appears to promise may create incentives for communities or elites to

reclaim valuable land, as suggested by Charney.33 This may well be part of why Muslim

communities have been blocked from entering Rakhine State’s bustling capital of Sittwe,

or other towns. There is an important economic aspect to segregation since 2012 which

cannot be overlooked.

Furthermore, there is also a continuity running through these explanations which

reflects the historical construction of Muslim communities as a threat, and in this case

an economic threat. As noted earlier in this thesis, South Asians dominated the economy

during the colonial period, and discontent over this issue was capitalised on by the

nationalist movement then. Perceptions of Muslims in Myanmar as rich, greedy or

predatory have been perpetuated and widespread in recent decades.34 Fears of

economic domination by Muslims in a post-transition Myanmar have been used by the

contemporary Buddhist nationalist movement to justify the economic isolation of

Muslims.

Any explanation based solely on economic factors, however, has severe shortcomings.

In particular it cannot explain why certain communities are targeted in violence and not

others. Why are the Rohingya targeted in violence in Rakhine State, for example? There

are also questions as to why Kaman communities – a recognised taing-yintha identity –

are also excluded, but why this is not extended to other minorities of other religions or

ethnicities. Importantly, Prasse-Freeman has suggested a nuanced explanation which

highlights some of the economic aspects of democratic transition and communal

violence, suggesting that economic disenfranchisement in a period of rapid change has

made violence against minorities an efficient method of strengthening national identity

33 Michael Charney and Eaint Thiri Thu, Video and Transcript of Charney Cornell Talk, “Rohingya Crisis” on History, Migrants, Refugees, Ethnicity, and the State in Myanmar (Academia.com2017), https://www.academia.edu/35716233/Video_and_transcript_of_Charney_Cornell_talk_Rohingya_Crisis_on_history_migrants_refugees_ethnicity_and_the_state_in_Myanmar. 34 See, for example, McCarthy and Menager, “Gendered Rumours and the Muslim Scapegoat in Myanmar's Transition.”; Nyi Nyi Kyaw, “Islamophobia in Buddhist Myanmar: The 969 Movement and Anti-Muslim Violence.”

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and accessing resources.35 Indeed, communal and national identity cannot be ignored.

These aspects of the conflict in Rakhine State and in wider Myanmar suggest a strong

drive to establish a local or national identity based on one dominant communal identity.

This cannot be explained by land or elite business interests. On an individual level, there

is some evidence that people did become involved in the violence for economic reasons.

However, there is no evidence to suggest that this was a particularly decisive factor in

any case of violence, or for a plurality of people who were involved in the violence. While

economic factors at democratic transition may have heightened the urgency to reclaim

land from Muslim communities, the primary factor here is communal identity. Economic

explanations can be useful to highlight certain aspects of the violence and segregation

but there remains much that they cannot explain.

7.3PoliticalExplanations

Political explanations of the violence were also common. These took various forms, but

most frequently argued that the USDP or military – either alone or in collaboration

together with Buddhist nationalists or other groups – had orchestrated the violence for

their own political gain. Other research has also highlighted the prevalence of similar

political explanations for the communal violence in Myanmar.36 Both Rohingya and

Rakhine respondents in Sittwe claimed that the state was creating the violence for its

own gain or to benefit the other community. These are incompatible narratives and both

cannot be wholly accurate. Yet respondents from both communities were able to

present some evidence supporting their claims.

For the most part, however, Rohingya and Kaman respondents in Sittwe primarily

explained the violence as a result of the RNDP/ANP’s divisive ethno-nationalism or

instigation rather than political manoeuvrings by the USDP, although this was also often

part of the explanation. The Rohingya political leader in Sittwe stated that “Rakhine

terrorists”, particularly those from Rakhine political parties, caused the violence against

35 Prasse-Freeman, “The Rohingya and the World.” 36 Matthew J. Walton, Matt Schissler, and Phyu Phyu Thi, “Behind Myanmar's Religious Tensions,” Nikkei Asian Review, 10 August 2016, http://asia.nikkei.com/Viewpoints-archive/Viewpoints/Walton-Schissler-and-Phyu-Phyu-Thi-Behind-Myanmar-s-religious-tensions.

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his community.37 He argued that the RNDP leadership organised the attacks, with

backing from the national USDP government.38 Others said that after the 2010 elections,

the RNDP “made propaganda against Rohingya, and made the Rakhine hate Rohingya

through hate speech”.39 The same respondents argued that the USDP government

supported those who attacked Muslims in Sittwe. Many questioned the state’s official

narratives of the Kyauk Ni Maw murder and Maungdaw violence. It was often said that

Rohingya in Maungdaw had simply gathered to pray, but police accused them of making

a problem and open-fired.40 “The government created this conflict and blamed the

Rohingya through their propaganda”, one respondent said.41

Evidence claimed to show that the state was behind the violence included the failure of

security forces to respond effectively, despite their large presence in towns such as

Sittwe, Meiktila and Lashio which are all close to large military areas. The Rohingya man

who formerly served as a captain in the Tatmadaw believed that security forces did not

interfere in the violence because they had orders from the government not to do so.42

The Rohingya political leader in Sittwe also said the police response indicated that the

USDP government was behind the violence. Neither police nor military tried to stop the

attackers – “they encouraged the people!”, he declared.43 These claims were also based

on the fact that Dr Aye Maung was involved in the 2012 Rakhine Inquiry Commission on

Sectarian Violence in Rakhine State (hereafter Inquiry Commission), which was set up by

the USDP government to investigate the violence and which largely exonerated Rakhine

communities from blame from the violence. There were no Rohingya representatives on

the commission. The former Tatmadaw captain argued that;

37 Rohingya Political Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 38 Ibid. 39 Muslim Business Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 40 Rohingya Man (51yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 8 December, 2015. 41 Muslim Business Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. Indeed, the government often cast blame on the Rohingya for the violence in 2012. It is worth repeating that shortly after the June violence, then President’s Office director Zaw Htay posted to Facebook an allegation that “Rohingya Terrorists of the so-called Rohingya Solidarity Organization are crossing the border and getting into the country with the weapons”. Allchin, “The Rohingya, Myths and Misinformation.” 42 Former Tatamdaw Captain, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 23 February, 2016. 43 Rohingya Political Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015.

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It seems there was some deal between Dr Aye Maung and U Thein Sein.

Aye Maung has no trouble dealing with the U Thein Sein government and easily

gets what he wants in parliament. Now Dr Aye Maung is intent on making

Muslims stateless and boat people.44

Claims of the state’s involvement in the violence for political gain were made across the

country. A Muslim community leader in Yangon said the violence was “purposely

created” by the USDP government so that people were glad to see the military come to

their defence after the police failed to protect communities.45 This explanation posits

that the Tatmadaw was using religion as a “political tool” to tell democrats “we are still

around”.46 A Kaman community leader in Thandwe argued that the USDP, ANP and

MaBaTha spread the conflict and “defended Pongyis from action under the law because

they want to get votes from Buddhists”.47 A Sayadaw in Mandalay also argued that

“MaBaTha can be assumed to have been founded by the USDP, and maybe even U Thein

Sein himself”, with particular support from U Aung Thaung, in order “to get power

through instability”.48 A similar narrative was told by a Panthay Muslim leader in

Mandalay, who believed that the USDP and MaBaTha were trying to create trouble for

the NLD through religious strife.49 These claims were reflected in the response from a

lawyer in Mandalay, who argued;

This so-called religious conflict was instigated; it was orchestrated by the

military government and their puppets. MaBaTha is just a tool, a proxy of the

USDP. It was organised by U Aung Thaung, the notorious killer and Nazi-style

USDP leader, with U Wirathu. He is not a monk, but a child killer.50

A Mandalay doctor also expressed his opinion that the conflict was controlled by the

government who were using religion divisively as a political tool.51 A civil society leader

in Lashio argued that the “government was the architect” for the rising anti-Muslim

44 Former Tatamdaw Captain, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 23 February, 2016. 45 Muslim Community Leader, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 26 October, 2016. 46 Ibid. 47 Thandwe-Based Lawyer, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016. 48 Mandalay-Based Sayadaw, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 11 July, 2016. 49 Panthay Community Leader, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 11 July, 2016. 50 Mandalay-Based Lawyer, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 13 July, 2016. 51 Mandalay-Based Doctor, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 13 July, 2016.

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sentiment in the CSO community there in 2012 and 2013, and noted that the “USDP and

MaBaTha are the same, they just changed the colour of their clothes”.52 Similar

explanations were also heard from a journalist and a former journalist in Lashio.53 In

Meiktila, a Muslim community leader noted his belief that the violence was “a political

play” by the USDP, but that there were also economic reasons for the violence;

The USDP wanted to win the Meiktila by-election in 2012, but they were

not successful, so they created the conflict. Most people were angry under the

military during social and economic crises. So the government diverted this

attention to Muslims. The USDP and Buddhist economic groups stimulated the

conflict in Meiktila.54

As can be seen, the narrative that the USDP contributed to the violence for political

outcomes was widespread in the narratives presented by various respondents. The

same type of explanation was also cited by Rakhine community leaders in Sittwe. While

the dominant narrative in Rakhine communities in Sittwe was that Muslims started the

violence in order to take Rakhine land, many Rakhine leaders also argue that the

Myanmar government played a role, in a continuation of their divide and rule game in

Rakhine State. In particular, it was often heard in interviews that the government

orchestrated the violence as a distraction from resource extraction projects which were

exploiting Rakhine. This explanation has both economic and political aspects. A Rakhine

civil society leader who was involved in the anti-Shwe Gas campaign firmly believes that

the violence was organised in 2012 by the government to distract Rakhine interest away

from the gas pipeline. She says that the Muslim religious leaders organised their

community to attack Rakhine, but the government controlled the conflict “from

behind”. At that time, the anti-Shwe Gas campaign “was growing stronger and stronger,

with 260,000 signatures on the petition”, she noted.55 Her argument was that the

Muslim “master plan” to take over Rakhine land was used by the government to create

trouble between Rakhine and Muslims, making the conflict a more pressing issue than

52 Civil Society Leader, interview, Lashio, Shan State, Myanmar, 10 August, 2016. 53 Former Lashio-Based Journalist, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 3 August, 2016; Lashio-Based Journalist (2), interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 3 August, 2016. 54 Meiktila Interfaith Activist, interview, Meiktila, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 7 September, 2016. 55 Rakhine Civil Society Leader, interview, Sittwe, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015.

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the gas pipeline. Other Rakhine respondents also believed that the government “created

the conflict to turn Rakhine interests a different way” or “to organise a distraction” from

the gas pipeline.56 There is an apparent irony here. Although the USDP is widely believed

to have orchestrated the violence for its own political gain, the main consequence for

the party has been the attribution of responsibility for the violence to it – something

that will remain its legacy.

7.4StateasDiscriminatory

Another explanation saw the state as discriminatory and intent on marginalising Muslim

communities in general and Rohingya in particular – even to the point of genocide. This

explanation was sometimes given alongside political explanations, yet it should be

understood as distinct. Political explanations cite the benefits for political parties and

individual politicians from communal violence. In contrast, the explanations cited here

constructed the state as fundamentally discriminatory and argued that the state was

motivated to disadvantage Muslims and present them as lesser citizens, or as outside of

the Myanmar national political community. This was not due to potential political

benefits from pandering to Buddhist nationalist organisations, but instead due to a

prejudice on behalf of the state.

The explanation frequently placed the recent violence within a long-term plan by the

Myanmar state to discriminate against Rohingya and divide communities. The narrative

of persecution of Muslims by the state was often dated to the 1970s. The Rohingya

political leader in Sittwe cited increased discrimination under U Khin Nyunt, including

travel restrictions in the 1990s.57 Several respondents noted that the government took

no action against those who harassed Rohingya.58 The lack of action from police was said

to encourage hostile behaviour among Rakhine.

56 Rakhine Civil Society Organisation Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015; Rakhine Buddhist Monk, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015. 57 Rohingya Political Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 58 Ibid.; Muslim Business Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015.

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The government wouldn’t protect us, and wouldn’t let us travel without a

bribe. If you were alone at night, you could be beaten by Buddhists. If we

complain to the police, no action was taken. The government gives passage to

the Rakhine to do as they like.59

A Muslim community leader in Yangon argued that the violence was created by the

USDP government and by nationalist groups. “They want Muslims to be notorious”, he

said. “The government supports these nationalist movements. There is no law enforced,

or action against hate speech”.60 A Kaman community leader argued;

U Thein Sein has made no changes for anyone. He is the very worst. A

dictator, a liar and a fox. The worst person, the worst president. Nothing has

changed. Look at Myitsone or Leptadaung. U Than Shwe was better. Thein Sein

talks about democracy but there is no change. Than Shwe was honest at least.

The Government is the problem. They made this violence.61

In Mandalay, two Buddhist monks argued that the USDP supported MaBaTha and that

this was evident through the fact that MaBaTha could always get permission to hold

public sermons when others could not.62 “MaBaTha was founded by the USDP, and the

USDP has support from the Tatmadaw. They are all the same, a circle of support with

money from U Aung Thaung, the USDP and their cronies”, they argued.63

For some Rohingya respondents, the 2012 violence was the latest step in a strategic

process of genocide. The former Tatmadaw captain noted that when he received his

identification card in 1974 he was registered not as Rohingya but as Rakhine Muslim,

so they can say there are no Rohingya, this is a very strategic plan… They

have tried to wipe out the Rohingya since 2012, like Ne Win and Khin Nyunt

59 Rohingya Man (51yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 8 December, 2015. 60 Burmese Muslim Civil Society Organisation Leader, interview, Yangon, Myanmar, 3 February, 2016. 61 Kaman Community Leader and Moulvi, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 May, 2016. 62 Buddhist Monks, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 7 July, 2016. 63 Ibid.

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before them… The situation became worse after U Thein Sein took power. He

talks democratic, but is distrustful. He is worse than Hitler.64

“This is the government’s plan to make Muslims illegal”, said one Rohingya political

party representative in Yangon.65 “This drama was crafted by the government to put

Muslims in trouble, to drive them into the sea. The plan is for the depletion of Muslims

from Rakhine”, he noted.66 One Rohingya politician said the violence in Rakhine State

was well planned and organised by the RNDP and USDP – even “by the president

himself”, he suggested. “This is not genocide, yet, but it is the starting point.

Dehumanisation and polarisation are the start of genocide”, he stated in 2015.67

It was often the USDP or military as an institution or high ranking members who were

said to bear responsibility for the violence. In contrast to this, local USDP members were

sometimes singled out to be exempt from blame. For example, in one discussion with

Muslim leaders in Lashio the USDP government was said to be behind the violence and

broader discrimination against Muslims. However, individual ministers from the

government were also credited with calming the situation.68 Also in Lashio, many

respondents cited the case of a local USDP official who had protected Muslims and the

mosque from violence there, while they also blamed the USDP more broadly for creating

the violence.

7.5TheState,“Outsiders”,andtheRuleofLaw

The USDP government was cautious in allocating responsibility for the violence. This is

due in part to its attempts to appeal to Buddhist nationalism to secure votes as detailed

in the previous chapter, but also due to the fact that actors of the state including its

security forces have been implicated in the violence. This section will analyse two

explanations for the violence frequently given by the state and national-level politicians;

64 Former Tatamdaw Captain, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 23 February, 2016. 65 Rohingya Political Party Information Officer, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 22 February, 2016. 66 Ibid. 67 Rohingya Politician, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 26 October, 2015. 68 Muslim Community Leaders Focus Group, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 3 August, 2016.

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a result of interference by “outsiders”, and as a result of a lack of rule of law. This

rhetoric displaces blame for the violence, allowing both instigators and perpetrators to

go without reprimand. The dominant narrative presented by the state is politicised,

becomes polarised and remains unresolved. Meanwhile, the power structures and

narratives which permitted the violence to occur are allowed to continue and are even

replicated by the rhetoric of the state and other actors.

Perhaps the most notable group of people that the state has allocated blame to are

“outsiders” or “strangers”, usually translated as lusein in Burmese. After communal

violence in Thandwe, southern Rakhine State, in September 2013, President Thein Sein

noted that the “rioters who set fire to the villages are outsiders”.69 It is not only the

president who pointed its finger in that vague direction, but also witnesses of the

violence, the media and analysis of the violence by foreign researchers.70 This ill-defined

group of people has been scapegoated responsibility for violence in both Rakhine State

and other locations in Myanmar.

In various instances of violence during this period, there was evidence that people had

come from outside of the local area to engage in violence. Respondents in each case

study for this thesis also attributed the violence to “outsiders”. Yet, in every location

visited for this research, respondents also knew people locally who had been involved

in the violence, or had participated in it themselves. The term “outsiders” may be used

to protect one’s community from repercussion for their involvement in the violence. Yet

the use of the term was often not as vague as it has been presented by the state and in

the media. There was often broad agreement as to just who these outsiders were.

Variously, outsiders were defined as “Bengalis from northern Rakhine”, “Rakhine from

northern Rakhine”, “extreme Bamar from central Myanmar”, “migrant workers” who

69 Aung Shin, ““The Police Let Them Burn Our Homes”,” Myanmar Times, 5 October 2013, http://www.mmtimes.com/index.php/national-news/8353-the-police-let-them-burn-our-homes.html. 70 See, for example; Peter Popham, “'They Stood Shouting at Us to Come out and Be Killed',” The Independent, 9 April 2013, http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/they-stood-shouting-at-us-to-come-out-and-be-killed-anti-muslim-violence-in-central-burma-has-left-8566460.html; Justice Trust, “Hidden Hands,” 3; Nirmal Ghosh, “Myanmar: Old Monsters Stirring up Trouble,” The Straits Times, 2 June 2013, https://drkokogyi.wordpress.com/2013/06/02/myanmar-old-military-monsters-stirring-up-trouble/.

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had settled locally for 10 to 15 years, or kalay kachay – unemployed troublemakers –

from a nearby town.

The point here is not that both local people and outsiders were apparently involved in

the violence, but that the varied nature of the violence and diversity of those involved

in it allowed it to be interpreted in ways that were beneficial for those constructing

particular narratives. Deeming that the violence was committed by outsiders is

politically convenient. Outsiders could be whoever it is convenient to be. The vagueness

of language means that it is the listener rather than the speaker who decides just who

an outsider is. The term may suggest shadowy elements of the state or military, hired

thugs or religious extremists of varying persuasions. These interpretations displaced

blame, ensured that the mechanisms contributing to the violence remained uncovered,

and allowed the violence to be reproduced. The allocation of blame to this secretive

group which has never been properly defined has allowed the state to make very few

attempts to track down these “outsiders”, despite the abundance of evidence in the

form of photographs and videos taken by witnesses to the violence and shared openly

on social media.

As well as serving to displace the blame for the violence, the USDP government on many

occasions in fact spoke out in defence of those monks who appeared to be instigating

the violence. The best example is again of Ashin Wirathu. Shortly before the violence in

Thandwe Township, Ashin Wirathu had preached in villages nearby those in which the

violence occurred. Respondents from the area were adamant that these sermons had

instigated the violence, and noted that relations between Buddhists and Muslims had

changed immediately after the sermons, and 969 stickers began appearing on

businesses and homes.71 Buddhists stopped greeting Muslims in the streets and stopped

doing business with them – known repertoires of Ashin Wirathu, the 969 movement and

MaBaTha. Similar patterns emerged elsewhere. Ashin Wirathu is said to have preached

in a nearby town before the violence began in Lashio. It was a Facebook post which was

shared by Ashin Wirathu that is credited with instigating the violence in Mandalay. In

71 Kaman Man, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 May, 2016; Rakhine Muslim Mosque Leader, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 May, 2016.

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June 2013, just months after the Meiktila violence, during which “969” was marked on

the walls of destroyed Muslim buildings, President Thein Sein described 969 as “a

symbol of peace” and defended Ashin Wirathu, calling him “a son of Lord Buddha”.72

As well as assigning the blame to “outsiders”, both the USDP government and the NLD

opposition looked to the lack of rule of law as an explanation for communal violence.

Cheesman has also noted the tendency for both Aung San Suu Kyi and members of the

USDP government to appeal to the rule of law as an antidote to communal violence.73 A

lack of rule of law, however, is only one factor behind instances of communal violence,

and a broad, ill-defined factor at that. Similar to referring to outsiders, the rule of law is

a politically convenient factor for the state to appeal to, due to its wide appeal and

multiple possible interpretations. Rule of law could represent either equality between

Rohingya and Rakhine under a reformed legal system in which citizenship laws are

brought in to line with international standards, or, alternatively, the enforcement of the

existing 1982 Citizenship Law which restricts Rohingya citizenship under the exclusive

taing-yintha framework. It is pleasing to multiple audiences. Cheesman has argued that

the multiple interpretations of the rule of law language “serves as a shield against

criticism over handling of the violence” on behalf of the state, which can simply claim to

be enforcing the rule of law.74 Rule of law explanations for communal violence were a

politically convenient tool.

Attributing the occurance of communal violence soley to a lack of rule of law is also

blame displacement and a form of scapegoating. When a lack of rule of law is said to be

behind the violence, those who encouraged anti-Muslim sentiment, hate speech and

violence – as well as those who took part in the violence – are let free from blame. The

wide and vague interpretations of the concept of the rule of law or other political

solutions mean that the blame is not effectively attributed anywhere. The rule of law is

a difficult issue to reform and few specifics have been noted by those deploying its

rhetoric. It could take years and even decades to establish responsive legislatures and

reform entrenched corruption and discrimination in the bureaucracy, judiciary and

72 Marshall, “Myanmar's Offical Embrace,” 2. 73 Cheesman, “What Does the Rule of Law Have to Do with Democratization (in Myanmar)?,” 227-31. 74 Ibid., 229.

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security forces, itself just one interpretation of the term. Brass also notes that the state’s

focus on one particular explanation for communal violence means that all other factors

are ignored, while the one factor selected by the state is politicised and solutions

blocked.75 This was the case in Myanmar, where the language of the rule of law and

potential solutions to the violence became politicised and unresolved. This has been

reflected in the case of citizenship verification for Muslim communities in Rakhine State.

The politicised nature of the issue has made it an issue of contention between the

RNDP/ANP and both the previous USDP and current NLD governments. Views on the

issue polarised and blocked progress of the verification process.

7.6ReplicatingNarrativesandPowerStructures

What explains the popularity of these narratives over others? How did some accounts

come to be dominant narratives while others were neglected? Duncan notes in the

context of Indonesia that the conflict developed on understandings of dominant

interpretations as fact.76 Understanding these perspectives is therefore just as

important as understanding how the violence did occur. The narratives documented

above dominated because they aligned with what people already believed. They fit

easily into established narratives of threat and opportunity, and dominated due to their

power to replicate the same narrative. In other words, in the contest of ideas that

emerges during the process of interpretation, confirmation bias plays a large role.

As noted above, multiple competing accounts cannot all be wholly accurate. Claims that

the state instigated the violence to distract Rakhine attention from mineral resource

projects do not fit well with claims that the state instigated the violence in order to drive

Muslims out of Sittwe and allow the RNDP and USDP to succeed politically. During

fieldwork, however, such contradictions in responses were the norm rather than an

exception. Different narratives of how the violence began or unfolded were heard from

different communities. This should not be surprising, especially in Sittwe where

communities have been separated since the violence in 2012 and there has been little

75 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 308. 76 Duncan, Violence and Vengeance: Religious Conflict and Its Aftermath in Eastern Indonesia, 14.

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communication or reconciliation since then. Many accounts heard did not fit with the

accounts of the violence in the press and subsequent human rights reports or other

domestic or international analysis. This is not to say that such accounts were any less

real or any less important. Dominant explanations on the ground may be just as factual

as what is presented by any “objective observer”. It is certain that explanations widely

accepted among communities central to the violence will be more important in shaping

how future conflict develops and how it is resolved than the explanations presented by

an outside observer.

That narratives of the state as a threat exist across Myanmar should not come as a

surprise. This is also reflected in the theory. As Job notes, populations are more likely to

view the typical “third-world” state as a provider of threats, rather than as protection

from them.77 In Myanmar there is deep mistrust of security forces, and the bureaucratic

levels of government which people usually meet are plagued with corruption. Mistrust

and views of the state as predatory and discriminatory are found particularly in minority

communities at the peripheries of the country. Here, state resources are scarce and civil

war and state violence have been common. The persistence of narratives of the state as

responsible for violence should not be surprising and are factually accurate in various

ways. That these narratives are common and are reproduced in Rohingya Muslim

communities in particular, given the especially discriminatory policy of government

towards these groups in recent history, is not surprising and does reflect reality.

As noted, communal explanations for the violence were common across respondents.

These explanations drew on existing narratives of Muslims as hostile towards Buddhists,

or seeking to displace Buddhism in the region. When violence began in 2012, these

narratives were again activated across the country and appealed to by elites. Similarly,

the established taing-yintha framework – which situated the Rohingya as outside of the

political boundaries of the nation and constructed the Rohingya as a threat to the

stability of those boundaries – was strengthened by interpretations of the violence.

Muslims were seen as instigating violence, and the incentives to include them inside

conceptions of the nation appeared to be low.

77 Job, “The Insecurity Dilemma,” 12.

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The potential for the process of interpretation to place recent violence into existing

narratives and to thereby reproduce such narratives is illustrated by the examples given

by respondents. Recent events of communal violence were likened to other acts of

violence which were said to be perpetrated by the state. Communal violence was then

placed in the same category. A doctor in Mandalay likened communal violence to the

Depayin massacre of 2003. It is commonly believed that government sponsored thugs –

either from the regime supported Union Solidarity and Development Association (USDA,

the predecessor to the USDP), or hired thugs known as Swan Arr Shin – were responsible

for the state-directed violence. The doctor says that “the government created the

violence so they didn’t take action, like in Depayin when Aung San Suu Kyi was attacked.

Maybe those who didn’t take action were given promotions and the victims were sent

to jail instead of the perpetrators”.78 Narratives such as these placed the recent violence

into an existing, familiar narrative.

Similarly, interpretations of the violence dominant in Rakhine communities align with

existing narratives and are therefore powerfully reproduced. In late 2012, one RNDP

leader told BBC News that “we are trapped between Islamisation and Burmanisation”.79

An ANP politician also argued in 2016 that the government “doesn’t want us to spread

nationalism. They arrest the Buddhist nationalists only after protests from Muslims.

They don’t listen to the Buddhists”.80 The narrative that the violence was orchestrated

by the state, using Muslims to violently oppose Rakhine, fits well into the established

discourse of Rakhine repression. This interpretation also absolves the perpetrators of

violence and political leaders of any blame for the violence, which is instead shifted onto

Muslims and the state. This perpetuates existing power structures and inequalities and

allows certain actors to benefit from the violence.

This blame displacement is also evident in explanations which assign responsibility for

the violence to a lack of rule of law or undefined “outsiders”. This has allowed the

mechanisms which produce violence to remain unchallenged and have replicated the

78 Mandalay-Based Doctor, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 13 July, 2016. 79 Feargal Keane, “The Burmese Monks Who Preach Intolerance against Muslim Rohingya,” BBC News, 21 November 2012, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-20427889. 80 Thandwe ANP Politician, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 14 June, 2016. This quote can also be said to constitute a claim on the government to respond to ANP demands.

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power structures and communal discourses which allow the violence to occur. The state

has taken little action against those instigating violence or participating in it. As a result,

blame for the violence has been allowed to lie on Muslim communities through their

construction as a threat under the dominant communal explanations outlined earlier.

As shown, the USDP struggled to challenge these narratives and instead appealed to an

exclusionary form of nationalism for electoral benefit. The mechanism of diffusion is also

in play here. The state’s attempts to construct a Muslim threat sit in a global narrative

of an Islamic threat, particularly since the “War on Terror”. There government could

claim to be part of a wider alliance against the hostile forces of Islamic terrorism

internationally.81 This narrative allows the state to use extraordinary force against

civilians who it claims are supporters of an international terrorist network. The

mechanism of diffusion means that this narrative is broadly accepted in Myanmar, as it

aligns with widespread beliefs, many prejudiced, about Muslims in Myanmar and

internationally.

The narratives which become dominant during the interpretation of communal violence

are those which are most reproducible due to their placement in a known discourse.

These narratives replicate existing power structures often in part because they are a

product themselves of local and national power relations.

7.7ImplicationsforAungSanSuuKyiandtheNLD

Communal violence and its interpretations during this period of democratic transition

had overall negative effects for the NLD. This affected the NLD little during the period,

however, as shown by its convincing win at the 2015 elections. Rather, the long term-

ramifications of communal violence and Buddhist nationalism are likely to have a much

more negative effect on the NLD’s capacity to rule. Interpretations of the violence had

implications for the NLD in two very different ways. First, there was a perception that

the NLD had failed to stand up for the rights of minority Muslim communities. Across

the country, Muslims were concerned that the Myanmar emerging from democratic

transition was increasingly one in which they were not welcome. By mid-2016, Muslim

81 Selth, Burma's Muslims: Terrorists or Terrorised?, 28.

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community leaders in Lashio noted that Aung San Suu Kyi had done nothing on the issue

of communal violence and “was just like U Thein Sein”.82 There was palpable discontent

towards the fact that “there is no role for Muslims allowed now, even though Muslims

sacrificed blood in the fights for independence and democracy”.83 Kaman community

leaders in Thandwe noted the need for international pressure on the NLD. “We believe

in Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, but we are worried about MaBaTha and hardliners”.84 At the

time of research, Rohingya respondents remained largely sympathetic towards Aung

San Suu Kyi, although disappointed with her silence regarding their worsening situation.

“We want Aung San Suu Kyi to be president, but she is not interested in the affairs of

Rohingya. It clashes with Rakhine and Buddhist sentiment if she was”, said one political

party representative.85 In the early months of the NLD government, a civil society

researcher in Lashio noted that “the NLD don’t seem to stand for and represent

minorities. Before, they came here and said good things, but their actions have not been

so good”.86

Secondly and conversely, a competing interpretation posited that the NLD had not done

enough to support Buddhist groups and was supporting Muslim communities instead.

As noted in the previous chapter, respondents from Rakhine political parties and

Buddhist nationalist organisations generally did not support the NLD during this period.

The Thandwe ANP Chairperson disputed the NLD’s election victory in Thandwe in 2015,

and said that “the NLD won here because of Bengalis voting on white cards. The truth

and justice was lost. The opposite won”.87

These responses reflect small segments of the community who participated in this

research and not the general support for the NLD at that time, which remained very high

as evidenced in their success in the then recent 2015 election. These responses perhaps

reflected the early whisperings of discontent with the NLD and the gradual decline of

82 Muslim Community Leaders Focus Group, interview, Lashio Township, Shan State, Myanmar, 3 August, 2016. 83 Ibid. 84 Kaman Community Leader and Moulvi, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 May, 2016. 85 Rohingya Political Party Information Officer, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 22 February, 2016. 86 Civil Society Organisation Researcher, interview, Lashio, Shan State, Myanmar, 5 August, 2016. 87 Thandwe ANP Politician, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 14 June, 2016. As white cards had been abolished prior to the election this politician is alleging electoral fraud.

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the NLD’s popularity as they faced the challenges of governing. The story of the NLD

during the period of study rather remained one of widespread popularity. The NLD and

Aung San Suu Kyi refrained from taking a strong position on the violence or growing

Buddhist nationalism generally, and instead often caved to the demands of nationalists.

This was most evident when the NLD refused to run any Muslim candidates in the 2015

election. Tolerating Buddhist nationalism did not cost the NLD many votes.

In contrast, the party potentially risked losing a lot of popularity by challenging Buddhist

nationalists, something illustrated by the response to one of the few comments Aung

San Suu Kyi has made on the topic of communal violence. In the brief window between

the Maungdaw violence and the Sittwe violence in early June 2012, Aung San Suu Kyi

was quoted in the media as saying;

Maybe some people wouldn’t like me saying this but I have to say what I

must say regardless of whether they like it or not. When you are the majority in

a society, then you are the strong party. If you are strong then you must be

generous and sympathetic. I would like to see all people in Burma get along with

each other regardless of their religion and ethnicity.88

On different occasions during fieldwork, two individual Rakhine monastics identified

these words spoken by Aung San Suu Kyi as contributing to the violence in Sittwe and

being at odds with their own perspective. One Sayadaw placed these words alongside

the Kyauk Ni Maw, Toungup and Maungdaw incidents as the most important factors

behind the Sittwe violence.89 Another Sayadaw recalled what he believed were the

offending comment as “the majority of people should not influence the minority of

people”.90 The then opposition leader’s comments were interpreted in Rakhine

communities as blaming the Rakhine people for the violence and as a failure of Aung

San Suu Kyi to appreciate the threat against Rakhine from the Muslim population. These

words were seized by nationalistic forces as evidence that the NLD would not support

88 Hanna Hindstrom, “State Media Issues Correction after Publishing Racial Slur,” Democratic Voice of Burma, 6 June 2012, http://www.dvb.no/news/state-media-issues-correction-after-publishing-racial-slur/22328. 89 Sittwe-Based Sayadaw (1), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 March, 2016. 90 Sittwe-Based Sayadaw (2), interview, Sittwe, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016.

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Rakhine interests, and that Rakhine must vote for ethnic parties. Rakhine nationalists

promote another solution, this one more situated in a communal discourse: that

Rakhine and Muslim communities are incompatible, and are unable to live together.91

7.8Conclusion

The interpretation and reinterpretation of violence during and after its actualisation

affected how these conflicts continued and how the violence was replicated. The

analysis of this process in this chapter has synthesised competing narratives of

communal violence during this period of democratic transition. As per the historical

institutionalist argument, these narratives reflect and had consequences for the

reinterpretation of Myanmar’s political community during this period of transition. The

interpretations which came to dominate discourse promoted exclusionary forms of

nationalism, which reflected historical conceptions of the nation. It has also been shown

that these explanations contributed towards the reproduction of violence.

The dominant interpretations at different scales of analysis were found to be

substantially different. While the violence in northern Rakhine State was interpreted

locally as primarily about identity and land, nationally it was interpreted as a religious

conflict and the threats to Buddhism were stressed. While both of these explanations fit

into the broader communal discourse, the former is very much situated in an ethnic

basis, while the latter is seen through a religious lens. At a local level there were also

diverse explanations for the violence. In the same towns, different communities

presented contradictory explanations of how and why the violence occurred. This

should not be surprising, but should be taken as indicative of how diverse

interpretations of the same events are possible and how different explanations of the

violence fit into established narratives in different communities. Interpretations of the

violence differed between locations as different framings appealed to different

audiences. While local Muslim communities may have explained the violence as a result

of USDP fear-mongering to appeal to hardline Buddhist nationalists, to local Buddhists

the violence was about the defence of their religion from a hostile “foreign” religion. At

91 Ibid.

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the local level in Sittwe, people were familiar with a story of Rohingya as a threat to

Rakhine identity, land, future autonomy and even to Rakhine history. Nationally, this

story was unfamiliar. What was familiar was a story of the Buddhist religion facing a

foreign threat and of Muslims as problematic in the dominant conception of the nation.

For many, this also fitted into the narrative of the political dynamics before the 2015

election. This chapter has suggested that the narratives which become dominant during

the interpretation of communal violence are those which are most easily placed in a

known discourse.

Dominant interpretations replicated not only existing narratives, but also the power

structures which accompanied them. This occurred in part through blame displacement.

Communal explanations looked to essentialist notions of Muslims as violent and

defended those who engaged in the violence with stereotypes of Buddhists as simply

defending their religion against a hostile threat. Economic explanations also reflected

the communal discourse on further inspection. The state’s broad allocation of blame to

“outsiders” and vague notions of the rule of law reflected its attempts to avoid

confrontation with Buddhist nationalists. The result was that no action was taken

against those inciting or engaging in violence, the blame for violence was scapegoated

and existing power structures left to continue, along with the conditions which fostered

violence to begin with.

The mechanism of polarisation was also evident during the process of interpretation.

The violence created less trust in the state, evident through the blame levelled towards

the USDP. Rohingya and other Muslim respondents in particular were affected by this,

although other cases of polarisation were also evident. The widespread belief that

certain monastics were behind anti-Muslim violence and the recent rise in anti-NLD

Buddhist nationalism had also produced an increasingly polarised sangha, something

evident from interviews and cited by those from both inside and outside Buddhist

nationalist organisations.92 Buddhist and Muslim communities polarised due to the

narratives of the violence which emerged and subsequent distrust created between

92 MaBaTha Central Committee Member, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 22 June, 2017; Prominent Mandalay Sayadaw, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 14 July, 2016.

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communities. The contentious processes and mechanisms which have been covered in

this thesis, including boundary activation, polarisation, actor constitution, brokerage

and interpretation can all be found in this chapter. All of these processes were occurring

concurrently, reflecting the dynamic analysis of the contentious politics approach.

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Chapter8:

Insecurity:FearandPerpetrationofViolenceThis chapter analyses relationships between communities and their relationships with

the state. There is a focus in this chapter on security forces and their reform during this

period of communal violence and democratic transition. It has been noted that a

condition behind every instance of communal violence is the failure of the state to

prevent it.1 The relationship is considerably more complicated than this, however. The

inability of the state to protect communities produces insecurity in relations between

communities, as well as between communities and the state. With no protection from

the state, measures taken by one community to enhance their own defence are often

interpreted offensively by others, therefore making violence more likely. Job has written

that under the weak state there exists “an internal predicament in which individuals and

groups acting against perceived threats to assure their own security or securities

consequently create an environment of increased threat and reduced security”.2 As

documented in Chapter 3, security forces were reformed during this period. This had

consequences for relationship between communities and the state in Myanmar.

Crucially, the response of security forces was discriminatory and included the

perpetration of violence, and this cannot be neglected in any analysis. Division and

discrimination between communities in Rakhine State has historically been reinforced

and promoted by oppressive government policies.

This chapter introduces the concept of insecurity into the contentious politics literature.

Insecurity can be considered an environmental mechanism, which spurs the attribution

of threat or opportunity. As noted in the analytical framework of this thesis,

environmental mechanisms are defined in contentious politics as “externally generated

influences on conditions affecting social life”.3 Such influences are interpreted,

opportunity or threat attributed, and action taken. Across Myanmar, insecurity was

1 Stuart J. Kaufman, “An 'International' Theory of Inter-Ethnic War,” Review of International Studies 22 (1996): 151. 2 Job, “The Insecurity Dilemma,” 18. 3 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 25.

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evident in responses to this research. In Rakhine State, this insecurity was clear in

anxieties among Rakhine communities of a Rohingya threat to interests of land,

federalism, identity and history. In Myanmar more generally, these anxieties are felt as

a threat to the Buddhist identity of the nation.

This chapter first considers how communal violence emerged in Sittwe in June 2012

through a reconstruction of events. It is clear that anxieties were had in both Rakhine

and Rohingya communities of a threat to life or physical wellbeing from the other

community. There was little confidence in the state to prevent the violence. This chapter

will also analyse a case of neighbouring villages in Sittwe Township which avoided

violence, despite conditions which suggested communal violence may occur.

Throughout this chapter it will again be found that during this period of democratic

transition there was a perceived need to redefine who belonged in the political

community, reflecting the historical institutionalist argument of this thesis.

The willingness of non-elites to perpetrate violence is a necessary condition for

communal violence. This chapter finds that violence was perpetrated in the name of

defending ones’ own identity group or oneself. Fears of a loss of life or harm to wellbeing

are easier to understand in Sittwe than in other locations in Myanmar. It is estimated

that the population of Sittwe was split approximately 70-30 or 60-40 between the

majority Buddhist population and the minority Muslim population.4 Nationally, Muslims

constitute only four per cent of the population. Yet there were deep, historically

situated, fears of a loss of identity which legitimised violence in its defence. These fears

sit in the context of the historical exclusion and threat construction of Muslim

communities. Narratives of communalism, perpetuated by influential religious and

political leaders, also contributed to fears of a loss of identity and the legitimation of

4 There is little reliable data regarding population in Myanmar previous to the 2014 Census. The estimates given here are arrived at by considering the current urban population of Sittwe (147,899) and the number of displaced Muslims in Sittwe Township (92,903). These numbers remain problematic, however, as many in these camps previously resided in rural areas of Sittwe Township or in other townships of Rakhine State, and other minority communities including Hindus or other communal minorities are not considered in these estimates. Furthermore, an unknown but significant number of people have fled to Bangladesh or elsewhere by boat following the violence, making it very difficult to measure the population of Sittwe before the violence of 2012. UNOCHA, “Rakhine Response Plan (Myanmar),” (United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, 2013), 4, https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/Snapshot_Rakhine_UNOCHA_12_Aug2013.pdf.

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violence. Finally, this chapter will consider how religious leaders promoted a justification

for violence within a Buddhist framework. Perceived threats to identity are crucial to

understanding why non-elites became involved in violence.

8.1Rumours,TensionsandDefence

In the case of communal violence Sittwe in June 2012, both Rakhine and Rohingya

communities attributed threat to the other, and to the inability of security forces to

protect them. Against a history of divided communal relations in Sittwe, tensions were

raised after a series of incidents between communities across Rakhine State: the rape

and murder in Kyauk Ni Maw, the massacre in Toungup, and the violence in Maungdaw.

The demographics of Sittwe were split almost evenly between Muslim and Rakhine

communities, meaning that the threat perceptions were high. These events were all

interpreted in a communal lens. Communities took defensive measures to protect

themselves. In doing so, groups unwittingly risked being interpreted as offensive by

others, and therefore increased the risk of violence. This continued until offense was

deemed to be the best defence against hostile neighbours. Under military rule, the state

had frequently failed to protect communities from violence. Sittwe itself previously

suffered communal violence in 1994 and 2001. In 2012, however, the failure of security

forces to effectively respond allowed the violence to worsen and occur in other parts of

Sittwe town and the surrounding villages. The way in which the violence unfolded and

the testimonies of those involved show that the mechanism of insecurity contributed to

violence.

The events in Kyauk Ni Maw, Toungup and Maungdaw were all geographically far from

Sittwe, yet they influenced the situation in the state capital heavily. Many respondents

noted that the tensions between communities in Sittwe grew after the Kyauk Ni Maw

rape and murder,5 then again after the Toungup and Maungdaw violence.6 One

respondent went so far as to say that until the Kyauk Ni Maw case there was no tension,

and people lived “side-by-side with mutual trust”.7 As tensions rose and rumours of

5 Rakhine Village Administrators, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 6 Rakhine Man (46yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 7 Rakhine Woman (60yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 March, 2016.

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impending violence spread in Sittwe after the rape and murder in Kyauk Ni Maw,

communities and individuals took measures to prepare for defence.

A Rakhine woman heard from a Muslim friend three days before the violence that

Muslims were organising in the mosque and she began planning how to defend herself.8

Another respondent took preparatory measures and moved her children and herself

away from the town.9 She had also heard that Muslims were gathering in the mosque

on the edge of Narzi quarter, and that a rumour was spreading that some people from

the Rakhine community had thrown rocks at the mosque.10 One Rakhine respondent

reported seeing Muslims preparing for violence, and was warned by a “kind Muslim

man” that it would occur.11 One respondent moved her daughters out of Sittwe to stay

with family in another township, and later wished she had also moved her valuables

along with herself and husband.12 Others also moved out of Sittwe before the violence,

as the uncertainty of the other communities’ intentions grew.13 Security concerns were

paramount. A Rakhine civil society organisation leader noted that security forces had

simply stood by while Muslims destroyed Rakhine villages in Maungdaw.14 Regardless

of the accuracy of this information rumours that security forces were unable or unwilling

to protect communities would have heightened the sense of insecurity and need for

defence.

The necessity to prepare for violence was due to the uncertainty and suspicion of the

other communities’ intentions. Preparation was also deemed necessary due to a serious

deficit of trust in security forces, as well as commonly held perceptions in both Rakhine

and Muslim communities that authorities favour the other community.15 The realisation

8 Sittwe Rakhine IDP Camp Focus Group, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 March, 2016. 9 Rakhine Woman (60yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 March, 2016. 10 Ibid. 11 Sittwe Rakhine IDP Camp Focus Group, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 March, 2016. 12 Rakhine Woman (45yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 March, 2016. 13 Sittwe Rakhine IDP Camp Focus Group, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 March, 2016. 14 Rakhine Civil Society Organisation Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015. 15 Following the violence, the RNDP alleged that the government was only arresting Rakhine who had violated the curfew, and was not investigating Muslims. Narinjara, “31 Arakanese Imprisoned on Charge

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that communities had to prepare to defend themselves reflects the fact that in previous

instances of violence the military had failed to advert the violence before it started and

that their eventual response had been heavy-handed. It was these same conditions

which meant that preparatory defensive measures were interpreted as offensive. The

situation in Sittwe escalated each day after the Kyauk Ni Maw case. “Ordinary people

were very angry” said one respondent, “and then the conflict broke out suddenly, and

grew”.16

8.2ViolenceinSittwe

The immediate cause of any case of violence does not necessarily enhance our

understanding of these instances of violence. In cases of communal violence in

Myanmar and elsewhere it is often mundane or minor disputes which have taken on a

communal interpretation. The Sittwe violence differs however, in that there is no

widespread understanding of how the violence began. In other instances of communal

violence there is a clear spark that drew people onto the streets, and is unanimously

identified by all respondents. Even if the interpretation of a particular “spark” varies, it

is usually agreed what the immediate cause was. Unusually, the matter of how the

violence in Sittwe began remains a source of dispute between communities.

Various elites from Rakhine communities separately told a similar story of Muslims

throwing rocks at a Rakhine funeral.17 The details and occasion of this incident could not

be clarified. One Muslim respondent said that the funeral story was fabricated, and

supposedly happened on Saturday 9 June.18 Other Rakhine respondents reported that

Muslims organised the violence, but that they do not know how the violence started

and had not heard of the funeral instance. Muslim respondents overwhelmingly

reported that elements of the Rakhine community had organised the violence. Again,

of Violating Section 144,” Narinjara, 9 July 2012, http://narinjara.com/31-arakanese-imprisoned-on-charge-of-violating-section-144/. 16 Rakhine Civil Society Leader, interview, Sittwe, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015. 17 Rakhine Buddhist Monk, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015; Rakhine Minor Political Party Chairperson, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 4 March, 2016; Rakhine Civil Society Leader, interview, Sittwe, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015; Sittwe-Based Sayadaw (2), interview, Sittwe, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 18 Rohingya Man (25yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015.

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however, there was no agreed instance which triggered the violence. Questions about

how the violence began elicited responses regarding people from the other community

throwing rocks, or congregating inside religious buildings or elsewhere, with intentions

to attack.

It is suggested that in the context of poor security guarantees from the government and

of high levels of tension and suspicion between communities, it would not have taken a

lot to start the violence. Rumours of attack from the other community abounded, and

people were preparing for violence. When Rakhine communities saw Muslims gathering

in the mosque, ostensibly for defensive purposes, they had to assume that Muslims

were planning offense. Similarly, when Muslim communities saw Rakhine families send

women, children, the elderly, and their valuables out of the town, leaving only young

men gathering on the streets, insecurity dictated that they must assume that these

measures are offensive.

Following the Maungdaw violence, Muslim communities gathered on the streets and in

the mosques. Perhaps they met to discuss the situation, or perhaps to prepare to defend

their neighbourhood. Rumours of Rakhine youth throwing rocks at mosques

circulated.19 Respondents from both communities noted that they interpreted the

gathering of large crowds on the streets and mosques as aggressive. One Rakhine

respondent noted that “Muslims were gathering with the intention of attacking Rakhine

due to the Toungup and Kyauk Ni Maw incidents, so we knew this conflict would happen

in Sittwe”.20 Although this respondent could not know whether the intentions of those

gathering were offensive or defensive, they had to interpret these actions as offensive

for the sake of their own security.

Violence began on Saturday 9 June, and was soon active in various neighbourhoods.

Interviews indicate that it was either carried by active individuals, or began as pre-

emptive attacks under local dynamics after residents heard of violence in other

neighbourhoods or nearby villages and feared an attack on their own. It continued on

19 Rohingya Man (55yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 20 Rakhine Woman (45yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 March, 2016.

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10 June when Muslim residents fled to the Muslim dominated neighbourhood of Narzi

which was spared violence on that day.21

On the same day, there was violence between a Rohingya village and a Rakhine village

close in proximity to each other. Administrators from the Rakhine village heard rumours

that nearly 100 Rohingya were arming themselves and preparing to descend upon the

Rakhine village.22 They attempted a pre-emptive strike on the Rohingya village. The

encountered the Rohingya villagers in the fields between the villages, where violence

ensued and a number of people were killed. The Rakhine then attacked the Rohingya

village itself. The village leader from the Rohingya village reported that over one

thousand Rakhine from some 11 different villages arrived to destroy and loot his village,

including livestock and rice in storage. In total, some 250 structures were reported

destroyed.23

By Monday 11 June, the violence had truly reached Narzi. On Tuesday 12 June, there

was a full assault on the overwhelmingly Muslim neighbourhood. First the south section

of Narzi was burnt, forcing Muslims to the north of the neighbourhood. According to

one Muslim respondent, the attackers appeared to be organised, and it seemed “they

planned to kill everyone”.24 Another Rohingya man said that the attacks on Narzi were

well planned. He recognised some of the attackers, and noted that both Rakhine from

Narzi and outsiders were involved.25 A Rakhine monk reported that Rakhine homes in

Narzi were first burnt by Muslims, before retaliation occurred by Rakhine.26 Homes of

Rohingya, Kaman, Maramargyi and Rakhine families were destroyed in Narzi. The ISCI

and Wade have documented the organisation of perpetrators by Rakhine community

leaders, including the transportation of armed men from villages outside Sittwe to areas

such as Narzi.27

21 Rohingya Man (55yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 22 Rakhine Village Administrators, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 23 Rohingya Village Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 11 March, 2016. 24 Muslim Business Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 25 Rohingya Man (55yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 26 Rakhine Buddhist Monk, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 7 December, 2015. 27 Green, MacManus, and Venning, “Countdown to Annihilation,” 74; Wade, Myanmar's Enemy Within: Buddhist Violence and the Making of a Muslim “Other”, 8.

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Villagers from another Rakhine village also travelled to engage in violence in Narzi and

in villages closer to home. They reported being called by Narzi residents to the area.

Engagement in the violence was justified on the grounds of protecting their community.

“At that time, Rakhine villages were burnt by Muslims. We had to go to defend Rakhine

people”, noted one man.28 In other cases, perpetrators were not asked to come, but

they had heard of the unfolding violence and wanted to protect those from their

community. “We heard that Muslims were trying to attack Rakhine people. Even though

there was police and military there, they were not able to control the conflict”, said

another.29 Rakhine respondents who had been displaced from Narzi reported that

Rakhine from downtown had come by motorcycle to Narzi quarter to engage in the

violence after hearing news of Muslims attacking Rakhine.30

This section has attempted to show how the violence began in Sittwe in June 2012 and

why some individuals took part in it. As tensions rose in Sittwe, preparation for defence

was driven by the mechanism of insecurity; there was no confidence in the state to

protect communities. There was also an uncertainty of the intentions of the other

community – conditioned by polarisation and exclusive notions of communal and

national identities under policies of successive governments. These conditions also

meant that communities, in the interests of self-preservation, had to interpret the

defensive measures taken by other communities as offensive. As both communities

expected an attack from the other, offense was determined to be the best defence, and

pre-emptive strikes occurred, resulting in serious violence. Individuals justified their

involvement in the violence based on defence and communal solidarity. In most areas,

the violence stopped when the communities were segregated, either through success

of one side in the violence, or forcibly by security forces. The response of the police and

to a lesser extent the military, however, was characterised by ineffectiveness, abuse,

and perpetration of violence.

28 Rakhine Man (46yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 29 Rakhine Man (34yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 March, 2016. 30 Sittwe Rakhine IDP Camp Focus Group, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 March, 2016.

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8.3ResponseofSecurityForces

There was an expectation that if any communal violence did occur, the military would

respond. It was the military who were first on the scene on previous occasions of

violence, even if their response was late, biased or ineffective. One Muslim man who

participated in this research was working at the Sittwe docks when rumours of

impending violence between the majority communities of the town reached him. His

Rakhine colleagues urged him to take the Muslim workers to a safe place. Instead,

however, he recalled 2001, when the military had largely contained violence between

communities in the town. “Rohingya thought the same would happen again”, he

remembers, and did not act on this advice.31 He was not alone in this assessment. Others

also expected the military to control the situation as they had during violence in 1994

and 2001.32 The widespread lack of trust in the police led many to place reliance on the

military to respond when the police could not.

Unlike previous instances of violence, however, it was the police rather than the military

who were the first respondents in 2012, reflecting the reform of security forces in recent

years. The military only arrived after the president announced a State of Emergency on

10 June. By this time the violence was well underway, active in various neighbourhoods

and villages with many people involved. Respondents reported that police or the military

either perpetrated violence against Muslims, did not or could not act to stop the

violence, or arrived on the scene after the violence was over. In many locations the

military did not arrive until it was too late.

Abuses by security forces have been documented. HRW found that “a wave of concerted

violence by various state security forces against Rohingya communities began” after the

State of Emergency was announced, including killings, mass arrests and looting by

police, paramilitary Lon Htein riot police and the (now defunct) NaSaKa border security

force.33 HRW also found excessive use of force against Rohingya victims of the violence,

as well as violations of religious rights.34 Research by the ISCI also found that authorities

31 Muslim Business Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 32 Rohingya Man (55yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015; Rohingya Man (64yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 4 December, 2015. 33 ““The Government Could Have Stopped This”,” 1-2. 34 Ibid., 29-31.

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not only allowed massacres to take place, but in some instances also participated.35 U

Shwe Maung, then a USDP parliamentarian for Buthidaung constituency in northern

Rakhine State, claimed that police had allowed Buddhists to break the announced 6pm-

6am curfew in order to destroy Muslim homes.36

Primary data shows that police were incapable or unwilling to control the situation. The

Rohingya political leader says that the police and military did nothing to attempt to stop

the violence. More than just standing idly by, “they encouraged the people”, he says.37

Another Rohingya man also reported seeing perpetrators starting fires in plain view of

the police, and alleged that some police also started fires.38 During the violence in Narzi,

one man saw police “standing, watching, and occasionally shooting Rohingya... Behind

the police were Rakhine with petrol, throwing it onto Rohingya houses”.39 He witnessed

police shoot at Rohingya men and a Hindu man.

The Mosque near the Hindu houses was burning. A Hindu man was

attempting to stop the fire spreading to his house, and Rohingya were trying to

stop the fire in the mosque. I saw police shoot them all. A Rohingya man and a

Hindu man died.40

Another respondent also witnessed Lon Htein shooting Rohingya.41 HRW heard similar

reports from witnesses in Narzi immediately after the violence in 2012.42 As Narzi was

burning, security forces moved the Muslim community to the outskirts of town. People

were overcrowded into military vehicles, and some reportedly died of suffocation.43 The

Muslim business leader reported that he was required to pay a large bribe to police to

take his community to a safe location. He gave the money after they fired live rounds

above his head to frighten him.44 Security forces were also alleged to have unlawfully

35 Green, MacManus, and Venning, “Countdown to Annihilation,” 76. 36 ALTSEAN Burma, “Unrest in Burma's Arakan State: A Chronology of Events,” (Alternative ASEAN Network on Burma, 13 June, 2012), 4, http://www.altsean.org/Reports/ArakanState2012.php. 37 Rohingya Political Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 38 Rohingya Man (55yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 39 Muslim Business Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 40 Ibid. 41 Rohingya Man (55yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 42 HRW, ““The Government Could Have Stopped This”,” 26. 43 Muslim Business Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 2 December, 2015. 44 Ibid.

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arrested large numbers of people from villages in Maungdaw Township in northern

Rakhine State between 12 and 24 June, only returning them after ransoms were paid.45

Such a response was not unique to Rakhine State. The response of security forces in

other instances of violence in the period has also been found to be insufficient. The ICG

stated that the response of security forces in Meiktila in March 2013 was “clearly

inadequate”.46 Police disarmed Muslims and led them into crowds of Buddhists who

subsequently massacred them, although in other cases saved the lives of Muslims.47

Video footage emerged, seemingly filmed by police, showing police standing by while

homes are destroyed and Muslims beaten.48 Naypyidaw’s response to the Lashio

violence in May 2013 was swifter than in Meiktila, and the Tatmadaw was quickly

deployed. Yet again, however, security forces were unwilling or unable to stop the

violence.49 Some reports also noted fire brigades standing by as Muslim properties were

burned.50 Quintana reported “police inaction during the early stages of violence” in both

Meiktila and Lashio.51 It Mandalay, it was Buddhist monks and interfaith networks which

defused the situation, not security forces. Religious leaders who calmed the situation

there reported that police were ineffective.52

In part, the poor response of police can be attributed to the fact that they lacked training

and experience – having only taken responsibility for such events in 2011. They were

also working under a new and unclear command structure. Respondents close to police

in Sittwe at that time report that during the early stages of the violence, police were

unclear about whether they were to respond to orders from the civilian Chief Minister,

or from MPF Headquarters in Naypyidaw.53 Confusion and a hesitancy of officers on the

ground to give orders without receiving clear instruction could have been one factor

45 HRW, ““The Government Could Have Stopped This”,” 28. 46 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition,” 13. 47 PHR, “Massacre in Central Burma,” 13, 15. 48 BBC, “Burma Riots: Video Shows Police Failing to Stop Attack,” BBC, 22 April 2013, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-22243676. 49 Fuller, “Myanmar Struggles.” 50 APHR, “The Rohingya Crisis,” 8. 51 Quintana, “Statement by Tomás Ojea Quintana,” 4. 52 Mandalay-Based Sayadaw, interview, Mandalay Region, Myanmar, 11 July, 2016. 53 Security Consultant, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 21 March, 2017.

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behind the poor police response. It was the MFP which requested Naypyidaw to

announce a State of Emergency and deploy the military.54

However, the poor response of security forces also reflects their role as representatives

of a state which privileges some communities over other. Muslims, and Rohingya

Muslims in particular, have historically suffered disproportionately at the hands of the

military and other state actors, and Muslims are prohibited from rising through the ranks

of security forces. Another likely factor behind the failure of police to protect Muslim

communities was the high proportion of ethnic Rakhine officers in the police force in

Rakhine State. Selth notes that “MPF officers were clearly sympathetic to local Buddhists

and some reportedly joined in attacks against Rohingya Muslims”.55 Rakhine officers

would have been influenced by their own prejudice, as well as by pressure to stand on

the side of their own community. A report prepared for the Centre for Diversity and

National Harmony (CDNH) cites a MPF officer who notes that Rakhine officers are

subject to a societal pressure which restricts their ability to treat communities equally.56

The ICG has made a similar observation:

Police in the area are overwhelmingly made up of Rakhine Buddhists who

are at best unsympathetic to Muslim victims and at worst may have been

complicit in the violence against them. The army, recruited nationally and rotated

into the region, has been better at maintaining security.57

The response of the military after their deployment was more even-handed and

effective, although there were also reports of military brutality and an unwillingness to

stop the violence. HRW found that the military deployment had a cooling effect on the

conflict and stemmed the violence. One Rohingya explained the situation as such to

HRW: “The police are Arakan, too. They hate us. The army is Burmese [Burman]. They

are protecting us”.58 In one village, it was said that the violence appeared imminent,

54 Personal Communication with Security Consultant based in Yangon, 12 June 2017. 55 Selth, “Burma's Security Forces,” 22. 56 CDNH, “Building Resilience to Communal Violence: Lessons from Rakhine State,” (Yangon: Centre for Diversity and National Harmony, September, 2017), 68, https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B5jiWpgLuBvkbGxhOVg4NWF0T1k/view. 57 ICG, “The Dark Side of Transition.” 58 HRW, ““The Government Could Have Stopped This”,” 20.

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until the military arrived and calmed the situation,59 suggesting that the military may

have diverted the violence.

The response of security forces was characterised by ineffectiveness, abuse and even

perpetration of violence against vulnerable Muslim communities. While the level of

professionalism and reputation of security forces may be one explanation as to the

effectiveness of the institutions, prejudice and a history of discrimination was also an

important factor. The state had long viewed Muslims in Rakhine State as there

illegitimately, and successive governments had repeatedly driven them out of the

country through pogroms and persecution.

8.4SecuritySolutions

Amidst the violence taking hold of Sittwe and surrounding villages, there were also

notable instances of solidarity and maintenance of peace across communal division. In

a Kaman village, respondents reported that when the violence began, many young

people from the village were downtown working. Rakhine protected them, and urged

them to return to their village for safety as soon as they could.60 Another Rakhine

respondent reported that her life was saved by a Muslim friend.61 These instances reflect

the fact that generalisation of communities are inaccurate and dangerous, show that it

was a minority of people who were engaged in the violence, and perhaps offer lessons

on how violence can be avoided. Furthermore, comparing locations which did not

experience violence to those which did can suggest particular factors which contribute

to violence.

In one set of villages, effective measures were taken to avoid communal violence. There,

a Rakhine village and a Rohingya village neighbour each other. The two villages had

reportedly long had a good relationship, and maintain a symbiotic economic

relationship, with Rohingya labourers working on the Rakhine farms and the trade of

59 Maramargyi Women, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 11 March, 2016; Maramargyi Man (55yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 11 March, 2016. 60 Sittwe Kaman Village Focus Group, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 11 March, 2016. 61 Rakhine Woman (60yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 6 March, 2016.

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fish and other goods between the villages. The close nature of this relationship was

evident at the time of research and people could be seen comfortably socialising with

members of the other community in both villages – a stark difference to other villages

in the area where self-segregation had become the norm. Rakhine villagers also have to

cross the Rohingya village to reach Sittwe town.62 When their Rohingya villagers

required goods from Sittwe their neighbours would travel to purchase these for them;

a necessity due to travel restrictions on Muslims.63

The violence did not occur in these villages in June 2012, although members of both

villages reported fearing that it would.64 Large numbers of Muslims displaced from Narzi

arrived in the Rohingya village, raising concerns in the Rakhine village of a retaliatory

attack against them.65 Instead of violence, however, communication was made between

the villages to ensure that peace was maintained.66 Rakhine villagers and village leaders

encouraged members of their community not to become involved in the violence, and

maintained a presence in their own village, in case the conflict did come.67 The Rohingya

village leader also encouraged people not to become involved in the violence, and he

maintained telephone contact with the Rakhine village leader.68

The Rakhine were maintaining the presence of fighting-age men in their village and

raising their defences. In the Rohingya village, the population was expanded as people

displaced from Narzi arrived. Suspicions were high on both sides. As per the mechanism

of uncertainty, defensive actions as described by the Rakhine could easily have been

attributed as a threat by the Rohingya village. Alternatively, the gathering of displaced

62 Rakhine Village Men (33yo & 58yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 10 March, 2016. 63 Ibid. 64 Ibid.; Rohingya Village Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 10 March, 2016. 65 Rakhine Village Men (33yo & 58yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 10 March, 2016. 66 Rohingya Village Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 10 March, 2016; Rakhine Village Men (33yo & 58yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 10 March, 2016. 67 Rakhine Village Men (33yo & 58yo), interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 10 March, 2016. 68 Rohingya Village Leader, interview, Sittwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 10 March, 2016.

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Muslims in the Rohingya village could have unsettled the Rakhine community to make a

preventative offensive attack. Why did this not happen?

This question is very difficult to answer, although some factors do suggest why violence

was avoided. In these villages, the relationship between communities was evidently

much stronger than in other villages visited or in Sittwe town. In other locations, most

respondents reported no current contact with the other community, even between

villages in close proximity. If contact did exist, the relationship was purely economic, and

limited, even in locations where violence was avoided in 2012. There was evidently a

stronger level of trust between villagers as well as village leaders in this particular

location. This thesis suggests that trust was strengthened by the mutually dependent

economic relationship as well as the close relationship between village leaders. The

Rohingya village leader said that they knew violence would hurt the community.69 In this

particular case, it appears that the strong relationship between villages, strong

leadership, and economic interdependence prior to the violence was important.

These findings are complicated, however, by the situation in another village where

violence did occur. There, the Rohingya village leader also reported a close former

relationship with the nearby Rakhine village leader. This did not stop the violence,

however, and the Rohingya village leader now points the blame at the Rakhine village

leader, as an organiser of the Rakhine mob which arrived to destroy the village.70

Furthermore, many neighbouring villages previously had good relations and close

economic ties before 2012.

A possible explanation for these discrepancies can be drawn from the literature. Tajima

has argued that communal violence would not occur in locations in which informal

security structures existed prior to transition.71 In the Indonesian context, he found that

these structures developed in remote locations, largely out of the reach of the state.

Due to their isolation from the state, they had developed their own patterns of dispute

resolution without risking communal violence. Such villages would not have been

69 Ibid. 70 Ibid. 71 Tajima, The Institutional Origins of Communal Violence, 9.

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affected by reforms of security forces and the withdrawal of authoritarian rule in more

urban areas, argues Tajima.72 Whether this was the case in these villages in Sittwe

Township, however, remains out of the scope of this thesis, and was not a priority of

this research.

8.5Dhamma,anditsDefence

This chapter makes the case for taking seriously the mechanism of insecurity in cases of

communal violence. Fears of violence were also compounded by existing narratives of a

Muslim or Rohingya threat to Rakhine land and identity, often packaged as a Rohingya

“hidden agenda”. Violence elsewhere in Myanmar was also in response to a perceived

Muslim threat. This threat was documented in chapters 4 and 5. Islam and Muslims were

widely understood to pose a threat to the Buddhist character of Myanmar and had been

constructed as outside of the political community. In the context of the Buddhist precept

of non-violence, however, lay Buddhist and sangha involvement in violence has

surprised some observers.

There is no shortage of evidence to suggest that actors from Buddhist nationalist

organisations have incited violence and engaged in speech encouraging violence.

Religious justifications for violence have historically been used by some Buddhists.

Gravers has shown how Buddhism has been intertwined with exclusive conceptions of

the nation in Myanmar, and how violence has been justified in the defence of the

religion.73 Foxeus has noted that Buddhists myths are used to justify violence and killing

in defence of the Sasana in Myanmar.74 His focused study of a weikza75 Buddhist

organisation found that its followers regarded Buddhism as an “ultimate concern”,

72 Ibid., 10. 73 Gravers, “Anti-Muslim Buddhist Nationalism in Burma and Sri Lanka: Religious Violence and Globalized Imaginaries of Endangered Identities,” 3, 15. 74 Niklas Foxeus, “The World Emperor's Battle against the Evil Forces,” in Champions of Buddhism: Weikza Cults in Contemporary Burma, ed. Benedicte Brac de la Perriere, Guillaume Rozenberg, and Alicia Turner (Singapore: NUS Press, 2014), 101. 75 Two distinctive forms of Theravada Buddhism were formed in 19th century Myanmar; vipassana and weikza. Although vipassana is dominant today, weikza remains popular. A wekzado (the master of weikza) is a cult figure, completing work of salvation, and guarding Buddhists and Buddhism. Kate Crosby, “The Other Burmese Buddhism,” in Champions of Buddhism: Weikza Cults in Contemporary Burma, ed. Benedicte Brac de la Perriere, Guillaume Rozenberg, and Alicia Turner (Singapore: NUS Press, 2014), xxii.

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something “more important than anything else in the universe”.76 Foxeus argues that

this is generally true for Myanmar Buddhists.77 Within weikza congregations, foreign

influence can be perceived as “a threat to the survival of Buddhism in Burma”.78 In order

for the Sasana to be preserved society must be ordered through the elimination of “evil

forces”, including false views and ideologies such as communism or “heretical religions”

such as Islam.79 While this weikza cult offers an “extreme” interpretation of Buddhism,

Foxeus suggests that “the organization largely reflects and articulates values, concerns,

and attitudes that exist among the majority population in Burma”.80 Similar narratives

are also found in other Theravada Buddhist polities such as Sri Lanka.81 Gravers has also

suggested in the context of Myanmar that the “most important catalyst for sectarian

violence is the widespread discourse on Buddhism being in danger – that is, being under

threat from globalization, and first of all from Islam”.82

It is clear that in some interpretations, when Buddhism is threatened the use of violence

in its defence is justified. It is important, however, not to suggest that Theravada

Buddhism practiced in Myanmar or elsewhere is intrinsically violent, or to suggest that

there is a greater capacity in any religion than in any other. Like any other religion, the

vast majority of followers espouse and follow a doctrine of peace and non-violence.

Following Gravers, it is suggested here that it is much more useful to ask under which

circumstances some religious actors justify violence, and how religion is used in this

justification.83

Concerns of a threat to Buddhism are certainly held in MaBaTha as well as more widely

in Myanmar society, and powerful religious leaders spoke of the violence in these terms.

“People are worried that the dhamma will disappear”, noted a MaBaTha representative.

“Anybody that does actions for MaBaTha’s teachings does it for Buddhist longevity, for

76 Foxeus, “The World Emperor's Battle against the Evil Forces,” 89. italics in original. 77 Ibid. 78 Ibid., 83. 79 Ibid., 97. 80 Ibid., 105. 81 See, for example, Tessa J. Bartholomeusz, In Defense of Dharma (London: RoutledgeCurzon, 2002). 82 “Politically Engaged Buddhism: Spiritual Politics or Nationalist Medium?,” 313. 83 Gravers, “Anti-Muslim Buddhist Nationalism in Burma and Sri Lanka: Religious Violence and Globalized Imaginaries of Endangered Identities,” 4.

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the dhamma”.84 He argued that in times of threat to the religion “some approaches may

seem extreme, but this is what you must do when Buddhism is under threat… Even

monks will have to come out of their robes and engage in violence.”85 The threat to

Buddhism identified by this individual was solely a threat from Muslims and Islam.

For this MaBaTha representative, the justification for violence did not come from the

writings of Buddha. He argued that “these responses to extreme measures are not

directly taught” by the Buddha, but instead come from interpretations of cases during

the life of the Buddha and since. The representative cited cases of noted nationalist

monks from the colonial period, such as U Ottama and U Wizara, who had taken up

weapons to fight the British, and cited the Democratic Karen Benevolent Army in eastern

Myanmar, which has “soldiers and weapons to fight those who threaten Buddhism”.86

He argued that “the lesson is that you cannot live peacefully next people who are

threatening you. You must get rid of the threat.”87 Another representative argued that

“the Buddha said we need to keep our race and protect our race… to keep nationalism

in our mind”.88 Ashin Parmoukka has also suggested that violence was justifiable, not by

the scriptures of Buddhism, but in the defence of the religion if it was under threat.89

Another MaBaTha Sayadaw, however, said that there were no circumstances in which

killing was permitted, even in defence of the dhamma – “especially for a monk”.90 This

same Sayadaw, however, was charged by local Muslim communities with inciting

violence against them in 2013. This interpretation of a Buddhist justification for violence

in evidently contested, but does help us to understand why some individuals

perpetrated violence in Myanmar. Violence was legitimised in defence of a religious

identity perceived to be under threat. Religion was interpreted this way by a number of

religious actors.

84 MaBaTha Central Committee Member, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 22 June, 2017. 85 Ibid. 86 Ibid. 87 Ibid. 88 MaBaTha Representative, interview, Yangon Region, Myanmar, 8 April, 2016. The source of this information was not produced or explained when asked further by the researcher. 89 Wade, Myanmar's Enemy Within: Buddhist Violence and the Making of a Muslim “Other”, 195. 90 Thandwe MaBaTha Chairperson, interview, Thandwe Township, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 15 June, 2016.

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8.6Conclusion

This chapter has investigated how the mechanism of insecurity between groups

contributed to communal violence in Sittwe in June 2012. Across the country, there

were deep anxieties of a threat from Muslims. In Rakhine State, Rohingya communities

were considered a threat not only to Rakhine identity and interests, but often as a threat

to life or physical wellbeing. The immediateness of this threat gave license to the

perpetration of violence in Sittwe in June 2012. Due to the almost even split of the

population of Sittwe at that time between Buddhist and Muslim residents, the perceived

threats of loss of land and life to the other community appear easier to understand.

However, insecurities and anxieties about loss of identity also legitimated violence in

other locations of Myanmar as well. There are deeply held concerns about threats from

religious minorities elsewhere in the country and violence has occurred in locations

where Muslims constitute small proportions of the population. This does not appear to

make the fear of a constructed historically Muslim threat any less real.

In the historical institutionalist argument made in this thesis, it is suggested that three

factors were necessary for communal violence during this period of democratic

transition in Myanmar; the historical exclusive definition of the nation, the promotion

of exclusionary forms of nationalism by elites at transition, and the availability of non-

elites to perpetrate violence. These three factors can be found in this chapter. Fears of

a loss of identity and Buddhist justifications for violence in defence of that identity were

promoted by religious leaders, legitimising the perpetration of violence by non-elites.

Elites implicitly and explicitly supported those inciting violence and engaged in

constructing Muslims and Rohingya as a threat or as outside of Myanmar’s political

community. Again, this was historically defined. Throughout democratic transition there

was an impulse to redefine who belonged and who did not.

The dynamic of insecurity complements other explanations of why the violence

occurred, as it contributes to our understanding of state-society and communal relations

and the context in which violence developed. This is relevant not only to Sittwe, but to

wider Myanmar and other contexts as well. Of course, however, communal violence

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does involve large numbers of diverse people becoming involved for various different

reasons, and it is impossible to know all of these. There is also evidence that some were

involved for opportunities to loot businesses; to take action on personal grudges against

a neighbour of a different religion; and instances of individuals coerced into the violence

or taking part to prove their loyalty to their community. This chapter also considered

locations in Sittwe Township which were not affected by violence. Further research on

why some villages experienced violence while others did not will certainly enhance our

understanding of communal violence and may suggest how to avoid communal violence

in the future.91

Rather than treating the state or its security forces as a single entity, an appreciation of

the separate institutions of the state and an examination of their changing mechanisms

is required. Changes in the structure and operations of security forces can contribute to

how communal violence develops, as it changes the dynamics of relations between

communities and between communities and the state. Evidently, the changing relations

between security forces and communities did impact the violence. This reflects the

contentious politics literature and its search for mechanisms as well as the changing

political opportunity structures that actors react to.

91 The CDNH has done some important work in this regard. CDNH, “Building Resilience.”

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Chapter9:ConclusionThis thesis has sought to make some explanations as to why communal violence

occurred in Myanmar during this period of democratic transition. The contentious

politics approach has looked for “the mechanisms and processes that triggered the

outbreak [of contention], created the objects of contention, formed the alignments, and

polarized the contenders”.1 A historical institutionalist argument has been made. In

particular, three factors have been identified which contributed to this case of

communal violence during democratic transition; a historically exclusive definition of

the political community, elites who appeal to exclusionary forms of communal or

national identity at transition, and the availability of non-elites willing to perpetrate

violence.

The first necessary factor is the exclusive definition of the political community before

transition. Before democracy can be practiced, there needs to be a consensus about

who is included in the polity. Democratic transition inevitably raises questions of exactly

who “the people” are. Debates of the constitution, citizenship and the federal form of

the nation are opened. These are questions of the boundaries of the nation, of who is

to be included, and of the positions of different communities in its conception. To

answer these questions, different versions of nationalism arise. In a nation which has

historically defined membership on an exclusive basis, the probability that dangerous

forms of nationalism will arise is very high.

In Myanmar, it is the Rohingya population who most obviously have historically been

excluded from the political community. This thesis has also shown that other minorities,

including Muslim minorities, are also excluded under the 1982 Citizenship Law and the

framework of taing-yintha – “national races”. Under democratic transition, these

questions of belonging opened. Muslim minorities were targeted in violence due to their

historical exclusion, and their historical construction as a threat. Other contemporary

factors including violence against Rohingya and international narratives of Islam and

Muslims globally also heightened perceptions of Myanmar Muslims as different or as a

1 McAdam, Tarrow, and Tilly, Dynamics of Contention, 330.

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threat to Buddhism and therefore conceptions of the Myanmar nation. The uncertainty

of transition and the processes of boundary activation and polarisation strengthened

the already entrenched narratives of Muslims as a threat. For many, the Rohingya and

Muslims more generally were to be excluded from the political community of Myanmar,

a continuation of their historical exclusion and construction as a threat to the nation.

The second factor identified as necessary for communal violence during democratic

transition in this case is elites who appeal to exclusionary forms of communal or national

identity during transition. In a political context where relations between communities

are divided this is almost inevitable. There are incentives for ethno-nationalist parties to

rise and appeal to exclusionary notions of national or communal identity. These are

responses to political incentives as well as reflections of deeply felt anxieties. Historically

demonised groups are constructed as a threat to the self-determination – and therefore

to the future existence – of another group. Political elites often share these concerns

with, and consolidate support around, their own communal group. As questions of the

boundaries of the nation open during democratic transition, communal groups compete

for influence in the new system. There is competition to shape the future institutions

and the inclusion or roles of different communities in these institutions, or the exclusion

of others from them.

In Rakhine State, the construction of the Rohingya as a threat to Rakhine land, self-

determination under a decentralised political system and therefore threats to Rakhine

identity and interests was established in the decades before democratic transition.

Distrust of the central government as traditional oppressors of the Rakhine

compounded the threats that communities and leaders felt to their identity. The strong

sense of the Rakhine identity as under siege from these dual threats created incentives

for political leaders to appeal to exclusionary forms of ethno-nationalism in Rakhine

State. The continued construction of Muslim communities as a threat contributed

towards violence, which served to consolidate the support base of Rakhine ethno-

nationalism as communities polarised further in the wake of the violence. Segregation

backed by religious leaders and the state also contributed to polarisation.

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Elites also appealed to exclusionary forms of national identity outside of Rakhine State.

This was shown in the brokerage between Buddhist nationalist organisations, the USDP

government and the RNDP/ANP. Elites advocated the need to protect the Buddhist

character of the nation while they appealed to and helped to construct notions of a

Muslim threat. Opposition parties also appealed to Buddhist nationalism. The NLD

barred Muslim candidates from the 2015 election and did not challenge rising divisive

nationalism. Dominant explanations for the violence by elites also displaced blame, and

replicated the conditions and mechanisms which generated violence.

Finally, the third necessary condition for communal violence in this period of democratic

transition was the availability of non-elites willing to perpetrate violence. The

mobilisation of perpetrators of violence needs to be understood as deeply related to the

first two conditions outlined here and as a function of the combination of processes

documented in this thesis. In Myanmar, the exclusion was present – Muslims and

Rohingya Muslims in particular – were constructed not only as outside of the political

community, but also as a threat. The construction of this threat strengthened during

democratic transition as interpretations of the nation opened and were contested. The

promotion of exclusionary ideas and activation of fears of another community as a

threat to their own by elites also encouraged non-elites to engage in violence. Violence

occurs when the costs of not engaging in violence appear to outweigh the risks of

engaging in violence. Communities and individuals engaged in violence due to fears of

loss of life and identity. In Rakhine State, anxieties of a Rohingya threat to Rakhine

interests of land, self-determination and the future of their very identity justified

engaging in violence. Furthermore, Rakhine communities perpetrated violence because

they keenly felt a threat to their own life or wellbeing in the period immediately

preceding the violence. Threats to the intertwined conceptions of Buddhist and national

identity were also deeply felt across Myanmar. These threats, historically situated and

reinforced by elites, justified violence in defence of identity.

This thesis reached these conclusions by tracing the processes which made up the

episode of communal violence during democratic transition in Myanmar via a

contentious politics framework. Chapter 3 outlined how the reforms of democratic

transition should be understood as changing political opportunity structures which alter

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the opportunities and threats actors reacted to. Democratic transition gave rise to long-

prohibited engagement in party politics, a limited but novel extent of decentralisation,

and the emergence of divisive ethno-nationalist parties. The media was liberalised, yet

there were few checks on dangerous speech. It was in this context that minority

communities were increasingly constructed as an electoral threat. Chapter 4 looked at

the process of how communal and national identities were formed in Myanmar before

democratic transition began and showed how these conceptions constructed Muslim

communities and the Rohingya in particular, as outside of the political community. The

1982 Citizenship Law and taing-yintha framework have been shown to be central to this

definition. This exclusive definition of the nation was a necessary condition behind

communal violence in Myanmar. In Chapter 5 it was noted how the political salience of

these existing identities opened as a function of democratic transition, understood in

that chapter as the process of border activation, and the polarisation of communities

across these boundaries. The history of the exclusion of Muslims meant that it was the

place of Muslims, and again Rohingya in particular, in the national community who were

most under suspicion. This construction was strengthened as communal violence

occurred and communities polarised further. These historical and institutional factors

can explain why the violence occurred when it did, as well as why this was violence

against Muslim communities. Questions of the boundaries of the nation were opened

by democratic transition. Communities historically constructed as outside of and as a

threat to the national community had their place questioned – violently.

Actors were given serious consideration in Chapter 6. It was shown how political actors

reacted to changing institutions not only by constituting new actors in the forms of

nationalist organisations and political parties, but also how actors related to each other

– the process of brokerage. The ways in which for elites appealed to and promoted

exclusionary forms of communal and national identity was shown. Appeals to dangerous

forms of nationalism on behalf of influential elites meant that those responsible for

inciting or perpetrating violence were rarely held to account, allowing the conditions

and mechanisms for the production of communal violence to remain in place. The

highest levels of political and religious leadership in the country promoted exclusionary

forms of nationalism – legitimating the perpetration of violence. Chapter 7 considered

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the interpretation of communal violence and stressed its interactiveness with

democratic transition. Interpretation was presented as a process in the contentious

politics framework. Dominant communal explanations of the violence replicated the

conditions for its operation. These narratives reflected what people already believed

and were shown to fit with existing discourses of threat. Blame for the violence was

often scapegoated to “outsiders” and vague notions of a rule of law deficit by the state,

political opposition, media and other observers. The main consequences were blame

displacement and the replication of the conditions and mechanisms which allowed the

violence to take place.

Chapter 8 gave a place to insecurity in the contentious politics literature and considered

why non-elites became involved in communal violence in Myanmar. In some cases

violence was perpetrated as a response to anxieties of loss of life or harm to wellbeing

of oneself or community. In many cases, however, non-elites perpetrated violence due

to fears of a loss of identity. Fears of an existential threat to a national or communal

identity can mobilise perpetrators of violence. In Myanmar, Buddhist justifications of

violence were framed in the same narratives of threat to religious identity, something

intimately tied to national identity in the country.

This thesis has suggested that mobilisation of support for violence cannot be understood

as one distinct process. It is contiguous with the episode of communal violence during

democratic transition. Mobilisation was a result of the numerous processes

documented in this thesis. The group identities central to this episode were established

in the historical process of identity formation. Boundary activation and polarisation

activated and strengthened these boundaries, a process encouraged by democratic

transition. Actor constitution strengthens group identity by bringing individuals together

to make collective claims on the state or other actors. Together with brokerage, actor

constitution allows elites to appeal to identities. Interpretation bolstered communal

narratives, polarising communities further, displacing blame and allowing communal

violence to be replicated.

The historical institutionalist explanation has suggested causal mechanisms between

democratic transition and communal violence. On the basis of a single-country study, it

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would be unwise to suggest that the three factors necessary for communal violence

during democratic transition in Myanmar apply to all cases. However, if the same

conditions exist, democratic transition in any state will open the same questions of the

boundaries of the nation and of who is to be included and excluded from them.

Questions have been raised of the new institutional forms and the places of different

individuals and communities in the new constitution, federal system and electoral

system. With the same conditions and mechanisms in place as in Myanmar, there will

be a high risk of communal violence in other states undergoing democratic transition.

Beyond the main historical institutionalist explanation, it has also been argued that

communal violence should not be understood simply as a unidirectional result of the

processes of democratic transition. The contentious politics approach used in this thesis

is dynamic and stresses the interaction of mechanisms and processes. Democratic

transitions do produce mechanisms and conditions which contribute to communal

violence. But communal violence also interacted with democratic transition in other

ways. It became part of the rhetoric of the state, the opposition and other actors who

sought to move the transition in certain directions. Communal violence and its

interpretations and reinterpretations were politicised and used as political rhetoric.

These processes, concocting with actor constitution and brokerage, interacted heavily

with continuing instances of communal violence. As shown in this thesis, the meaning

of the violence changed across time and location. While the violence in Sittwe may have

been about land, demographics and communal identity for many people there, it carried

a religious meaning elsewhere in Myanmar. The way that the violence was interpreted

influenced how it was enacted in places outside of Rakhine State. Political contexts

shaped the violence, but the violence also shaped these political contexts.

The conclusion to this thesis must raise the question of how institutionalised communal

violence has become, or may become, in any future Myanmar democracy. There is an

obvious connection between exclusionary forms of nationalism and democracy.

Electoral politics do create incentives to appeal to such forms of nationalisms. In India,

Brass found “a direct causal link between riots and electoral/political competition”, and

argued that “riots are a product of actions designed to consolidate one community or

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the other or both at the local, regional and national levels into a cohesive political bloc”.2

Similarly, van Klinken found that communal violence during democratic transition in

Indonesia was simply a part of politics,3 although this did not become institutionalised.

One of Brass’ findings was that communal violence should not be expected between two

communities if one does not have a large enough population to influence an election.4

This finding, however, does not fit well into the Myanmar context, as most instances of

violence occurred in locations where the Muslim population was insignificant

electorally. This inconsistency may be explained by the context of violence. While Brass

documents violence in an established democratic system, Myanmar’s period of

democratic transition featured different dynamics. Furthermore, it goes without saying

that reducing the problem to one of democracy is too simple. Many plural states have

democratic systems and are free from communal violence. Furthermore, democratic

institutions can peacefully manage communal conflict rather than agitate it.

It appears too early in Myanmar’s democratic transition to determine how common the

phenomenon of communal violence will be, yet a short appraisal of the situation to the

present is not an optimistic one. Instances of communal violence have continued,

although on a smaller scale than what occurred between 2012 and 2014. Buddhist

nationalist organisations have continued to be influential in Myanmar’s politics. The NLD

government has made some moves to challenge MaBaTha through the early stages of

its term in government. Problematically, however, no actor of political force has

emerged to promote an inclusive form of nationalism which attempts to bridge current

divides. Without this, it will be very difficult to challenge the divisive forms of Buddhist

nationalism which have dominated Myanmar’s transition.

Compounding polarisation, an insurgent group, ARSA, emerged in 2016 in northern

Rakhine State claiming to represent the Rohingya. The military has responded with

brutal military force against communities as well as insurgents. This has driven

communities further apart again in Rakhine State again and contributed to hostility

towards Muslim communities across the country. There is a serious likelihood that

2 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 258. 3 Van Klinken, Communal Violence and Democratization in Indonesia: Small Town Wars, 140. 4 Brass, The Production of Hindu-Muslim Violence, 220.

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crimes against humanity have been perpetrated against Rohingya communities in

northern Rakhine State, although the government continues to deny observers access

to the area. Over 600,000 people have been displaced by the operations since August

2017, and Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) has estimated that over 6,700 people have

been killed.5 In 2017 the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, Prince Zeid bin Ra’ad

al-Hussein, described the military’s operations as “a textbook example of ethnic

cleansing” and the United States echoed this characterisation.6 In March 2018 the UN

special rapporteur to Myanmar, Yanghee Lee, stated her analysis that the crimes “bear

the hallmarks of genocide”, echoing a call by Zeid bin Ra’ad the previous week for

Myanmar to allow international monitors into the country to investigate suspected “acts

of genocide”.7

While this new development in Rakhine State is not the focus of this thesis, some

comments can be made in regard to it in light of the findings of this research. The

brutality of the military’s response, and its support among Rakhine communities and

others in Myanmar suggests a greater drive to forcibly redefine the national community

during the ongoing democratic transition. Extreme nationalism has continued to grow

and this new violence is its extreme expression. Some implications of the violence are

already clear, as public support for the military has seemingly increased in the wake of

“clearance operations”, and the NLD government has increasingly sided with the military

or at least failed to challenge them publically. This is likely due to a combination of; elites

within the NLD sharing the widespread suspicion of the Rohingya which this thesis has

found to be widespread across Myanmar society; and attempts by politicians to appeal

to the majority Buddhist constituency on which the success of any national-level party

in a democratic Myanmar will rest. As a result, the once strong international support for

Aung San Suu Kyi, the NLD and Myanmar’s transition has rapidly decreased, and Aung

5 Médecins Sans Frontières, “MSF Surveys Estimate That at Least 6,700 Rohingya Were Killed During the Attacks in Myanmar,” Relief Web, 14 December 2017, https://reliefweb.int/report/myanmar/msf-surveys-estimate-least-6700-rohingya-were-killed-during-attacks-myanmar. 6 ICG, “Myanmar's Rohingya Crisis Enters a Dangerous New Phase,” 7. 7 Al Jazeera, “UN: Myanmar Should Be Investigated for Crimes Against Rohingya,” Al Jazeera, 9 March 2018, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/03/myanmar-investigated-crimes-rohingya-180309105233347.html; AFP, “Myanmar Events ‘Bear Hallmarks of Genocide’: Yanghee Lee,” Mizzima, 13 March 2018, http://www.mizzima.com/news-domestic/myanmar-events-%E2%80%98bear-hallmarks-genocide%E2%80%99-yanghee-lee.

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San Suu Kyi in particular has been the target of much of the criticism due to her

perceived complicity in the violence, or at least her failure to challenge it in any way.8

Future research on communal violence during this period of democratic transition in

Myanmar will approach the topic from other perspectives and new evidence may come

to light which challenges some of the conclusions found in this thesis or highlights any

limitations of the contentious politics approach used here. The contentious politics

approach, however, has been valuable in allowing a diversity of literatures to be

deployed to explain the diverse phenomena of democratic transition and communal

violence. The approach does position communal violence within the institutions of

democratic transition, and in particular in the changing political opportunity structures

of democratic transition. This approach has also allowed consideration of how identities

are constructed through their interactions with the state, and has permitted history and

the historical construction of identity to be considered. This approach has also been

found to be flexible. The environmental mechanism of insecurity and the process of

interpretation have been suggested as additions to the contentious politics literature.

As well as considerations of approach, there remains much research to do on and

around the issues of democratic transition, communal violence and nationalism in

Myanmar. The international dimension of Buddhist nationalism and broader issues of

anti-Muslim sentiment has been referred to in this thesis, but little remains known of

the diffusion of this information between Myanmar, its region, and the world. There is

space for investigation of these networks between Theravada Buddhist-majority

nations, including Sri Lanka. Understanding the publication, distribution and translation

patterns of global discourses of Islam to a Myanmar audience both online and in print

may be instrumental in our understanding of this important phenomenon. Some

international aspects of anti-Muslim sentiment have been noted in this thesis, but it has

8 See, for example; Anne Barker, “Myanmar: Aung San Suu Kyi May Face Genocide Charges over Rohingya Crisis, Un Official Says,” ABC News, 18 December 2017, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-18/myanmars-aung-san-suu-kyi-may-face-charges-over-rohingya-deaths/9269662; Christian Caryl, “In 2017, No One Has Fallen Further Than Aung San Suu Kyi,” Washington Post, 20 December 2017, https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/democracy-post/wp/2017/12/20/in-2017-no-one-has-fallen-further-than-aung-san-suu-kyi/?utm_term=.e2ce80ac3b49.

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not been a central concern. The localisation of these discourses and the ways in which

they feed back into international narratives deserves more attention.

Further to this, interviews indicated that a Buddhist justification for violence in defence

of the dhamma rests on a contested interpretation within the sangha and within

Myanmar society. More research on the specific interpretations of when violence may

be permitted in Buddhism and the extent to which this interpretation is widespread

would be useful. As well as further research on Buddhism in Myanmar, there is a need

for greater academic understanding of the situation of the country’s diverse Muslim

communities, although important work has begun.9 Many opportunities remain for the

study of how Islam is practiced in Myanmar and the relations of various communities to

society and the state in a rapidly changing context.

Finally, this thesis has offered an analysis of the communal violence Myanmar

experienced during the early years of its political transition. The methodology used here

has traced the processes and mechanisms which made up this episode, drawing on in-

depth interviews with those close to these events. This thesis has shown the ways in

which communal violence and exclusionary forms of nationalism arose from democratic

transition, and the interaction of these phenomena. There is no simple relationship

between democratic transition and communal violence or nationalism, but the case of

Myanmar has highlighted several problematic features with important implications for

Myanmar and other states moving towards democracy.

9 See, for example, Melissa Crouch, ed. Islam and the State in Myanmar: Muslim-Buddhist Relations and the Politics of Belonging (New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2016).

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