Leadership Southeast Georgia
February 25, 2011
1 Examine the Data for Education in Georgia
2 Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates
3 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
4 What Can We Do?
Examine the Data for Education in Georgia
Academic Achievement Milestones
School Readiness
Literacy by 3rd Grade
Numeracy by 8th Grade
High School Graduation
Workforce and/or College Ready
Percent of Children Age 3-5 Enrolled in Early Education, 2008
Source: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
New
Jer
sey
Con
nect
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and
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alifo
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rgia
Mic
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awar
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aS
outh
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d S
tate
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tuck
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ahom
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ness
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ska
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ota
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oW
est V
irgin
iaM
onta
naA
rizon
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evad
a
Georgia63%
UnitedStates61%
NAEP 2009 4th Grade Reading At or Above Basic
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
0
20
40
60
80
100
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ssa
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Georgia63%
UnitedStates65%
NAEP 2009 8th Grade Math At or Above Basic
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
0
20
40
60
80
100
Nor
th D
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DC
UnitedStates71%
Georgia67%
Source: NCES (2010). Public School Graduates and Dropouts: School Year 2007-08.
0
20
40
60
80
100
Wis
con
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Nev
ada
UnitedStates74.9% Georgia
65.4%
High School Graduation Rates: State-by-State Rankings
Georgia High School Graduation Rates
Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards.
YearHigh School
Graduation RateNumber of High
School Non-Grads
2007 72% 28,883
2008 75% 27,248
2009 79% 23,567
2010 81% 21,803
Total 101,501
Economic Impact ofGeorgia Non-Graduates
Education Pays
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Earnings & unemployment for full-time workers age 25 & older, not seasonally adjusted.
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT
Unemployment Rate Dec 2010Median Wkly Earnings
(& approx. annual)
15% 10% 5% 0% 0 200 600 1000
4.6Bachelor’s Degree
& Higher$1,139 ($59,228)
7.9Some college/
Associate Degree$727 ($37,804)
9.8HS Graduates,
No College$633 ($32,916)
15.7Less than a High School Diploma
$438 ($22,776)
Unemployment Rates by Education Level
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2010.
Unemployment Rates by County, Dec. 2010
Source: Georgia Department of Labor; State average = 10.2%
State Service Delivery Regions
Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion
How much could YOUR region benefit from this additional income currently being foregone?
Source: Isley, P. & Hill, J. “Updated Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion in Georgia: 2005 Estimate,” Georgia Southern University. April 2007. *According to GSU study, totals may not add due to rounding.
Region 1 $2.2 billion
Region 2 $1.2 billion
Region 3 $4.2 billion
Region 4 $1.1 billion
Region 5 $1.1 billion
Region 6 $1.0 billion
Region 7 $1.1 billion
Region 8 $0.9 billion
Region 9 $0.9 billion
Region 10 $2.0 billion
Region 11 $1.0 billion
Region 12 $1.1 billion
TOTAL $18 billion*
Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion
Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children.
INDIVIDUALS THE COMMUNITY
Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth
Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity
Higher health care & criminal justice costs
Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood
Higher public services costs
Less voting; Less volunteeringLow rate of community involvement
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
KEY ISSUE
#1Early Life Experiences
KEY ISSUE
#2Academic Achievement K-12
KEY ISSUE
#3Transitions to Work or College
Family Income Affects School Readiness
Source: National Center for Education Statistics. (2004). Early Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998-99.
Achievement Gap as Children Enter Kindergarten
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36
Age of child in months
Voc
abu
lary
Siz
eDisparities in Early Vocabulary Growth
Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.”
Professional Families 1,116 words
Working Class Families 749 words
Welfare Families 525 words
Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study
41%
36%
29%
20%
13%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Never onwelfare as adult
Own home
Earn $2,000+monthly
Program group No-Program group
Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.
66%
15%
45%
34%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Graduated HSon Time
ReceivedSpecial
Education
Program group No-program group
Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study
Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE
#1#1Early Life ExperiencesEarly Life Experiences
KEY ISSUE
#2Academic Achievement K-12
KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE
#3#3Transitions to Work or CollegeTransitions to Work or College
6th Grade Outcomes Can Predict Failure to Graduate High School
Source: Balfanz, R. (2007). Preventing Student Disengagement and Keeping Students on the Graduation Path in Urban Middle-Grades Schools: Early Identification and Effective Intervetions.
Flag in Sixth Grade
Percent with this flag who…
Attended ≤ 80%
Failed Math
Course
Failed English Course
Suspended Out of School
Un-satisfactory
Behavior
Graduated on time 13 13 12 16 24
Did not graduate 83 81 82 80 71
Cost of Student Retention in Georgia (2010)
59,999 X $8,760 =More than $525
million
Georgia students retained in 2009
Average annual cost of education
per student
Total cost of student retention in 2009 for
Georgia
Source: Georgia Department of Education; Partnership Calculation
Example for Bulloch County School System:
453 X $8,356 = $3,785,268
Essential Building Blocks of High Performing States
Higher Standards
Rigorous Curriculum
Clear Accountability System
Statewide Student Information System
Leadership Training
3rd Grade Reading Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps
70%
80%
90%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010
All Students Black Hispanic White
Source: Georgia Department of Education.
% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010
All Students Black Hispanic White
8th Grade Math Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps
Source: Georgia Department of Education.
% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
All Students Black Hispanic White
High School Graduation Rates in Georgia:Closing the Gaps
Source: Georgia Department of Education.
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE
#1#1Early Life ExperiencesEarly Life Experiences
KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE
#2#2Academic Achievement K-12Academic Achievement K-12
KEY ISSUE
#3Transitions to Work or College
Source: U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2009.
The Demands of America’s New Economy
The number of jobs for workers with a bachelor’s degree or higher will increase from 38 million in 2006 to 43 million by 2016 – a growth rate of nearly 15 percent.
12 of the 20 fastest growing occupations require an associate degree or higher.
Are They College Ready?
Source: ACT. “The Condition of College & Career Readiness: Class of 2010.”
Percent of Georgia High School Graduates Prepared for College Courses
Remediation Among College Freshmen
Source: University System of Georgia
Percent of 1st-time Freshmen in Georgia’s Public Colleges & Universities Requiring Learning Support
15.217.2 17.9 18.7 19.6 19.5
0
5
10
15
20
25
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
What Can We Do?
Look at the Data for your Community
Benchmark against similar communities
(demographically alike; geographic proximity)
Track data over time (e.g., 5-year trends)
Consider multiple sources
(KIDS COUNT, Department of Education, Georgia School Council Institute, etc.)
Southeast GA – Low Birthweight Babies
Source: Georgia Family Connection Partnership. KIDS COUNT Data.
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Bryan Co.
Bulloch Co
Camden Co
Chatham Co.
Effingham Co.
Glynn Co.
Liberty Co.
Long Co.
McIntosh Co.
Screven Co.
State of Georgia
Southeast GA – Children in Poverty
Source: Georgia Family Connection Partnership. KIDS COUNT Data.
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Bryan Co.
Bulloch Co
Camden Co.
Chatham Co.
Effingham Co.
Glynn Co.
Liberty Co.
Long Co.
McIntosh Co.
Screven Co.
State of Georgia
Southeast GA – Enrollment in Public Pre-K
Source: Georgia Governor’s Office of Student Achievement.
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Bryan Co.
Bulloch Co
Camden Co
Chatham Co.
Effingham Co.
Glynn Co.
Liberty Co.
Long Co.
McIntosh Co.
Screven Co.
State of Georgia
Southeast GA – 3rd Grade Reading Performance-- Percent Students Meeting/Exceeding CRCT --
Source: Georgia School Council Institute.
70%
80%
90%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Bryan Co.
Bulloch Co
Camden Co
Chatham Co.
Effingham Co.
Glynn Co.
Liberty Co.
Long Co.
McIntosh Co.
Screven Co.
State of Georgia
Southeast GA – 8th Grade Math Performance-- Percent Students Meeting/Exceeding CRCT --
Source: Georgia School Council Institute.
65%
75%
85%
95%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Bryan Co.
Bulloch Co
Camden Co
Chatham Co.
Effingham Co.
Glynn Co.
Liberty Co.
Long Co.
McIntosh Co.
Screven Co.
State of Georgia
Southeast GA – High School Graduation Rates
Source: Georgia Governor’s Office of Student Achievement.
55%
65%
75%
85%
95%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Bryan Co.
Bulloch Co
Camden Co.
Chatham Co.
Effingham Co.
Glynn Co.
Liberty Co.
Long Co.
McIntosh Co.
Screven Co.
State of Georgia
Southeast GA – Adults 25+ w/ Bachelor’s Degree or Higher
Source: U.S. Census. American Community Survey. Data represent 5-year estimates for 2005-2009 time period.
26.8%24.7%
19.3%
29.0%
13.7%
26.6%
15.2%
11.1%12.9% 11.8%
27.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Improving the Pipeline:Low Birth Weight in 2008
GOAL: Reduce the number of low birth weight babies by 10 percent in Bulloch County.
Bulloch County Georgia
Total # of births 892 146,464
# of low weight births 81 14,014
low birth weight rate 9.1% 9.6%
RESULT: 8 healthier babies!Source: Georgia Department of Community Health. Georgia Partnership Calculation.
73
8.2%
Improving the Pipeline:High School Graduation in 2010
GOAL: Improve the number of graduates by 10 percent in Bulloch County.
Bulloch County Georgia
Total # of Graduates 534 91,561
Graduation Rate 82.2% 80.8%
RESULT: 53 more high school graduates!
Source: Georgia Department of Education. Georgia Partnership Calculation.
587
90.3%
Aligning Educational Strategies
Aligned Acts of Improvement
Random Acts of Improvement
GOALS
GOALS
How Will You Insulate the Birth to Work Pipeline?
LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS
Childcare Providers
Afterschool Programs
Academic Supports
Job Training
Civic Opportunities
Early Childhood
K – 12 SystemPost Secondary
Work & Career
ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES
Transportation Health Housing Financial
Source: The Forum for Youth Investment