Keluaran Dalam Negeri Kasar Suku Tahunan Suku Ketiga 2014 Quarterly Gross Domestic Product Third Quarter 2014 NEGARA BRUNEI DARUSSALAM Jabatan Perangkaan Jabatan Perancangan dan Kemajuan Ekonomi (JPKE) Jabatan Perdana Menteri Department of Statistics Department of Economic Planning and Development (JPKE) Prime Minister’s Office
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Keluaran Dalam Negeri Kasar Suku Tahunan Suku Ketiga 2014
Quarterly Gross Domestic Product
Third Quarter 2014
NEGARA BRUNEI DARUSSALAM
Jabatan Perangkaan Jabatan Perancangan dan Kemajuan Ekonomi (JPKE) Jabatan Perdana Menteri
Department of Statistics Department of Economic Planning and Development (JPKE) Prime Minister’s Office
Keluaran Dalam Negeri Kasar Suku Tahunan
JPKE, Brunei Darussalam Q3 2014
- 1 -
Prestasi Pertumbuhan, Suku Ketiga 2014
Dalam tempoh suku ketiga 2014 (Q3 2014), Keluaran Dalam Negeri Kasar (KDNK)
bagi Negara Brunei Darussalam pada harga semasa dianggarkan berjumlah BND
4,428.7 juta berbanding BND 4,944.0 juta pada Q2 2014.
Dari segi pertumbuhan KDNK pada harga tetap, Q3 2014 mencatatkan penurunan
sebanyak 0.2 peratus tahun-ke-tahun. Ini adalah disebabkan oleh penurunan dalam
Sektor Minyak & Gas sebanyak 3.2 peratus (y-o-y). Manakala, Sektor Bukan Minyak
& Gas meningkat sebanyak 1.8 peratus (y-o-y) (Carta 1 dan Jadual 1).
Carta 1 : Kadar Pertumbuhan KDNK Pada Harga Tetap, Q3 2014
Keluaran Dalam Negeri Kasar Suku Tahunan
JPKE, Brunei Darussalam Q3 2014
- 2 -
KDNK Mengikut Pengeluaran
Sektor Pertanian, Perhutanan & Perikanan meningkat sebanyak 4.3 peratus (y-o-y)
disebabkan oleh peningkatan dalam pengeluaran Ternakan dan Sayur-sayuran, Buah-
buahan & Pertanian Lain masing-masing sebanyak 8.5 peratus (y-o-y) dan 1.7 peratus
(y-o-y). Pada Q2 2014, sektor ini mencatatkan pertumbuhan positif sebanyak 7.0
peratus (y-o-y). Pada harga semasa, sektor Pertanian, Perhutanan & Perikanan
dianggarkan berjumlah BND 36.4 juta pada Q3 2014 berbanding BND 35.7 juta pada Q2
2014 (Jadual 1, Lampiran 1 & 2).
Sektor Industri terus menurun sebanyak 2.5 peratus selepas penurunan sebanyak 0.9
peratus (y-o-y) pada Q2 2014. Ini adalah disebabkan oleh pertumbuhan negatif bagi
sektor Pembuatan sebanyak 11.0 peratus (y-o-y). Manakala, sektor Perlombongan dan
Pembinaan kedua-duanya telah meningkat sebanyak 0.9 peratus (y-o-y) diikuti oleh
Elektrik & Air sebanyak 0.7 peratus (y-o-y). Pada harga semasa, sektor Industri bernilai
BND 2,868.8 juta pada Q3 2014 berbanding BND 3,340.5 juta pada Q2 2014 (Jadual
1, Lampiran 1 & 2).
Sektor Perkhidmatan terus berkembang sebanyak 1.9 peratus (y-o-y), selepas
pertumbuhan 2.3 peratus (y-o-y) pada Q2 2014. Kewangan telah mencatatkan
pertumbuhan tertinggi sebanyak 2.8 peratus (y-o-y), diikuti oleh Pengangkutan &
Perhubungan sebanyak 2.2 peratus (y-o-y), Perdagangan 1.9 peratus (y-o-y),
Perkhidmatan Kerajaan 1.8 peratus (y-o-y), Perkhidmatan Persendirian 1.6 peratus (y-o-
y) dan Hartanah & Pemilikan Tempat Kediaman 1.1 peratus (y-o-y). Pada harga
semasa, sektor Perkhidmatan bernilai BND 1,523.5 juta pada Q3 2014 berbanding BND
1,567.8 juta pada Q2 2014 (Jadual 1, Lampiran 1 & 2).
Jadual 1 : Kadar Pertumbuhan KDNK Mengikut Pengeluaran
Sektor Pengeluaran Kadar pertumbuhan tahun-ke-tahun (%)
Q3 2013 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
KDNK
Sektor Minyak & Gas dan Bukan Minyak & Gas Sektor Minyak & Gas Sektor Bukan Minyak & Gas Swasta Kerajaan
Sektor Aktiviti Ekonomi
Sektor Pertanian, Perhutanan dan Perikanan Sektor Industri Sektor Perkhidmatan
(3.9)
(11.7)
2.4 3.0 1.5
1.0 (9.7) 2.4
0.8
(1.5)
2.5 2.6 2.3
7.0 (0.9) 2.3
(0.2)
(3.2)
1.8 1.8 1.8
4.3 (2.5) 1.9
Keluaran Dalam Negeri Kasar Suku Tahunan
JPKE, Brunei Darussalam Q3 2014
- 3 -
KDNK Mengikut Perbelanjaan
Perbelanjaan Penggunaan Persendirian (PCE) terus meningkat sebanyak 2.1 peratus
(y-o-y), selepas pertumbuhan 2.3 peratus (y-o-y) pada Q2 2014. Pada harga semasa,
PCE dianggarkan berjumlah BND 1,124.4 juta pada Q3 2014 berbanding BND 1,148.1
juta pada Q2 2014. Perbelanjaan Penggunaan Kerajaan (GCE) terus meningkat
sebanyak 1.9 peratus (y-o-y), selepas pertumbuhan 2.1 peratus (y-o-y) pada Q2 2014.
GCE pada harga semasa bernilai BND 968.4 juta dalam Q3 2014 berbanding BND
960.8 juta pada Q2 2014 (Jadual 2 dan Lampiran 3 & 4).
Pembentukan Modal terus berkembang sebanyak 1.1 peratus (y-o-y) selepas kenaikan
1.4 peratus (y-o-y) pada Q2 2014. Ini adalah disebabkan oleh kenaikan dalam
Pembinaan sebanyak 2.3 peratus (y-o-y). Manakala, Mesin dan Peralatan telah
menurun sebanyak 0.5 peratus (y-o-y). Pada harga semasa, Pembentukan Modal
dianggarkan berjumlah BND 911.5 juta pada Q3 2014 berbanding BND 703.9 juta pada
Q2 2014. (Jadual 2 dan Lampiran 3 & 4).
Eksport Barangan dan Perkhidmatan telah menurun sebanyak 2.2 peratus (y-o-y),
selepas pertumbuhan positif sebanyak 2.7 peratus (y-o-y) pada Q2 2014. Ini adalah
disebabkan oleh penurunan pada Eksport Perkhidmatan dan Eksport Barangan masing-
masing sebanyak 7.4 peratus (y-o-y) dan 0.7 peratus (y-o-y). Eksport Barangan dan
Perkhidmatan pada harga semasa bernilai BND 3,326.5 juta pada Q3 2014 berbanding
BND 3,786.4 juta pada Q2 2014 (Jadual 2 dan Lampiran 3 & 4).
Import Barangan dan Perkhidmatan meningkat sebanyak 17.9 peratus (y-o-y), selepas
penurunan 2.0 peratus (y-o-y) pada Q2 2014. Peningkatan adalah disebabkan oleh
kenaikan bagi Import Barangan sebanyak 24.4 peratus (y-o-y). Manakala, Import
Perkhidmatan menurun sebanyak 0.7 peratus (y-o-y). Pada harga semasa, Import
Barangan dan Perkhidmatan bernilai BND 1,953.5 juta berbanding BND 1,725.4 juta
pada Q2 2014 (Jadual 2 dan Lampiran 3 & 4).
Jadual 2 : Kadar Pertumbuhan KDNK Mengikut Perbelanjaan
Komponen Perbelanjaan Kadar pertumbuhan tahun ke-tahun (%)
Q3 2013 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
KDNK
PCE
GCE
Pembentukan Modal
Eksport Barangan dan Perkhidmatan
tolak : Import Barangan dan Perkhidmatan
(3.9)
1.1
(0.3)
4.8
(9.2)
4.4
0.8
2.3
2.1
1.4
2.7
(2.0)
(0.2)
2.1
1.9
1.1
(2.2)
17.9
Keluaran Dalam Negeri Kasar Suku Tahunan
JPKE, Brunei Darussalam Q3 2014
- 4 -
Nota :
1) KDNK suku tahunan ini adalah berasaskan siri KDNK baru yang menggunakan tahun 2000 sebagai tahun asas.
2) KDNK suku tahunan disusun menggunakan pendekatan pengeluaran dan perbelanjaan, kedua-
duanya pada harga semasa (nominal) dan harga tetap (sebenar). 3) KDNK mengikut pengeluaran dikategorikan seperti berikut :
a) Mengikut Sektor Minyak dan Gas dan Bukan Minyak dan Gas - Sektor minyak dan gas terdiri dari penggalian minyak dan gas, dan pembuatan
gas cecair asli (LNG) - Sektor bukan minyak dan gas yang terbahagi kepada sektor swasta dan kerajaan
terdiri dari aktiviti ekonomi selebihnya. b) Mengikut Sektor Aktiviti Ekonomi
(i) Sektor pertanian, perhutanan dan perikanan : - sayur-sayuran, buah-buahan dan lain pertanian - ternakan - perhutanan - perikanan (ii) Sektor industri :
- perlombongan - pembuatan - pembinaan - elektrik dan air
(iii) Sektor perkhidmatan : - pengangkutan dan perhubungan - perdagangan (borong dan runcit) - kewangan (bank dan insuran) - hartanah dan pemilikan tempat kediaman
- perkhidmatan persendirian (hotel dan restoran, perkhidmatan perniagaar, kesihatan dan pendidikan, perkhidmatan rumahtangga dan lain-lain perkhidmatan persendirian)
- perkhidmatan kerajaan 4) KDNK mengikut perbelanjaan dikategorikan seperti berikut :
a) Perbelanjaan penggunaan persendirian (PCE), b) Perbelanjaan penggunaan kerajaan (GCE), c) Pembentukan modal (I), mengandungi :
- Pembentukan modal tetap kasar (GFCF) dalam Pembinaan Mesin dan peralatan
- Perubahan dalam stok (Δ stok) d) Eksport (X), mengandungi :
- Eksport barangan - Eksport perkhidmatan
e) Tolak : Import (M), mengandungi : - Import barangan - Import perkhidmatan
5) Siri KDNK suku tahunan tidak dibuat penyesuaian bagi faktor musim dan kadar pertumbuhan dikira dari tahun ke tahun, iaitu membandingkan suku tahun semasa dengan suku tahun yang sama pada tahun sebelumnya.
Quarterly Gross Domestic Product
JPKE, Brunei Darussalam Q3 2014 - 5 -
Growth Performance, Third Quarter 2014
In the third quarter of 2014 (Q3 2014), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Brunei
Darussalam at current prices was estimated at BND 4,428.7 million compared to
BND 4,944.0 million in Q2 2014.
In terms of GDP growth at constant prices, Q3 2014 recorded a decline of 0.2 per
cent year-on-year. This was mainly attributed to the decrease of the Oil & Gas sector
by 3.2 per cent (y-o-y). Meanwhile, the Non Oil & Gas sector increased by 1.8 per
cent (y-o-y). (Chart 1 and Table 1).
Chart 1 : GDP Growth Rates At Constant Prices, Q3 2014
Quarterly Gross Domestic Product
JPKE, Brunei Darussalam Q3 2014 - 6 -
GDP by Production
The Agriculture, Forestry & Fishery sector increased by 4.3 per cent (y-o-y) due to
increases in production of Livestock and Poultry and Vegetables, Fruits & Other
Agriculture by 8.5 per cent (y-o-y) and 1.7 per cent (y-o-y) respectively. In Q2 2014, this
sector registered a positive growth of 7.0 per cent (y-o-y). At current prices, the
Agriculture, Forestry & Fishery sector was valued at BND 36.4 million in Q3 2014
compared to BND 35.7 million in Q2 2014 (Table 1 and Appendix 1 & 2).
The Industrial sector continued to decline by 2.5 per cent (y-o-y) after a decrease of 0.9
per cent (y-o-y) in Q2 2014. This was due to the negative growth of Manufacturing by
11.0 per cent (y-o-y). Meanwhile, both Mining and Construction increased by 0.9 per
cent (y-o-y) followed by Electricity & Water by 0.7 per cent (y-o-y). The Industrial sector
at current prices was valued at BND 2,868.8 million in Q3 2014 compared to BND
3,340.5 million in the Q2 2014 (Table 1 and Appendix 1 & 2).
The Services sector continued to grow by 1.9 per cent (y-o-y), after an increase of 2.3
per cent (y-o-y) in Q2 2014. Finance recorded the highest growth of 2.8 per cent (y-o-y),
followed by Transport & Communication 2.2 per cent (y-o-y), Trade 1.9 per cent (y-o-y),
Government services 1.8 per cent (y-o-y), Private Services 1.6 per cent (y-o-y) and Real
Estate & Ownership of Dwellings 1.1 per cent (y-o-y). At current prices, the Services
sector was valued at BND 1,523.5 million in Q3 2014 compared to BND 1,567.8 million
in Q2 2014 (Table 1 and Appendix 1 & 2).
Table 1 : GDP Growth Rates by Production
Production Sectors Year-on-year growth rates (%)
Q3 2013 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
GDP Oil & Gas and Non Oil & Gas Sectors Oil & Gas sector Non Oil & Gas sector Private Government Economic Activity Sectors Agriculture, Forestry & Fishery sector Industrial sector Services sector
(3.9)
(11.7)
2.4 3.0 1.5
1.0 (9.7) 2.4
0.8
(1.5)
2.5 2.6 2.3
7.0 (0.9) 2.3
(0.2)
(3.2)
1.8 1.8 1.8
4.3 (2.5) 1.9
Quarterly Gross Domestic Product
JPKE, Brunei Darussalam Q3 2014 - 7 -
GDP by Expenditure
Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) continued to increase by 2.1 per cent (y-o-y),
after an increase of 2.3 per cent (y-o-y) in Q2 2014. At current price, PCE was valued at
BND 1,124.4 million in Q3 2014 compared to BND 1,148.1 million in Q2 2014.
Government Consumption Expenditure (GCE) continued to increase by 1.9 per cent (y-
o-y) after an increase of 2.1 per cent (y-o-y) in Q2 2014. GCE at current price was
valued at BND 968.4 million in Q3 2014 compared to BND 960.8 million in Q2 2014
(Table 2 and Appendix 3 & 4).
Capital Formation continued to grow by 1.1 per cent (y-o-y) after a 1.4 per cent (y-o-y)
increase in Q2 2014. This was contributed by growth in Construction at 2.3 per cent (y-
o-y). Meanwhile, Machinery and Equipment declined by 0.5 per cent (y-o-y). At current
price, Capital Formation was valued at BND 911.5 million in Q3 2014 compared to BND
703.9 million in Q2 2014 . (Table 2 and Appendix 3 & 4).
Exports of Goods and Services decreased by 2.2 per cent (y-o-y), after a positive
growth of 2.7 per cent (y-o-y) in Q2 2014. This was contributed by decline in Exports of
Services and Exports of Goods by 7.4 per cent (y-o-y) and 0.7 per cent (y-o-y)
respectively. Exports of Goods and Services at current prices was valued at BND
3,326.5 million in Q3 2014 compared to BND 3,786.4 million in Q2 2014 (Table 2 and
Appendix 3 & 4).
Imports of Goods and Services increased by 17.9 per cent (y-o-y) after a decrase of 2.0
per cent (y-o-y) in Q2 2014. The growth was due to the increase in Imports of Goods by
24.4 per cent (y-o-y). Meanwhile, Imports of Services declined by 0.7 per cent (y-o-y). At
current prices, Imports of Goods and Services was valued at BND 1,953.5 million
compared to BND 1,725.4 million in Q2 2014 (Table 2 and Appendix 3 & 4).
GDP PCE GCE Capital Formation Exports of Goods and Services less : Imports of Goods and Services
(3.9)
1.1
(0.3)
4.8
(9.2)
4.4
0.8
2.3
2.1
1.4
2.7
(2.0)
(0.2)
2.1
1.9
1.1
(2.2)
17.9
Quarterly Gross Domestic Product
JPKE, Brunei Darussalam Q3 2014 - 8 -
Notes : 1) The quarterly GDP is based on the new GDP series with 2000 as the base year.
2) The quarterly GDP is compiled by both the production and expenditure approaches at current (nominal) and constant (real) prices.
3) GDP by production is categorised as follows : a) By Oil & Gas, and Non Oil & Gas Sectors
- Oil & Gas sector comprising mining of oil and gas, and liquefied natural
gas (LNG) manufacturing,
- Non Oil & Gas sector which is further divided into the private and government sectors, consisting of the other economic activities.
b) By Economic Activity Sectors
(i) Agriculture, forestry and fishery sector - Vegetables, fruits and other agriculture - Livestock and poultry - Forestry - Fishery
(ii) Industrial sector : - Mining - Manufacturing - Construction - Electricity & water.
(iii) Services sector : - Transport & communication - Trade (retail and wholesale) - Finance (banking and insurance) - Real estate and ownership of dwellings
- Private services (hotels and restaurants, business services, health and education services, domestic services and other private services)
- Government services.
4) GDP by expenditure is categorised as follows : a) Personal consumption expenditure (PCE), b) Government consumption expenditure (GCE), c) Capital formation (I), consisting of :
- Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) in Construction Machinery and equipment
- Change in stocks (Δ stocks) d) Exports (X), consisting of :
- Exports of goods - Exports of services
e) Less : Imports (M), consisting of : - Imports of goods - Imports of services
5) The quarterly GDP series is not seasonally-adjusted and all growth rates are computed on a year-on-year basis, i.e. the current quarter compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
________________________________
Lampiran
Appendix
______________________________
2013 & 2014
Jenis Aktiviti Ekonomi Kind of Economic Activity
Pada Harga Semasa 2013 I II III IV 2014 I II III IV At Current Prices