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FIBRIA APP WITH THIS PRESENTATION IS AVAILABLE FOR DOWNLOAD AT APPLE STORE AND GOOGLE PLAY.
Itaú BBA’s 10th Annual LatAm CEO ConferenceMay, 2015
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The information contained in this presentation may include statements whichconstitute forward-looking statements, within the meaning of Section 27A of the U.S.Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities ExchangeAct of 1934, as amended. Such forward-looking statements involve a certain degree of risk and uncertainty with respect to business, financial, trend, strategy and otherforecasts, and are based on assumptions, data or methods that, although consideredreasonable by the company at the time, may turn out to be incorrect or imprecise, ormay not be possible to realize. The company gives no assurance that expectationsdisclosed in this presentation will be confirmed. Prospective investors are cautionedthat any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performanceand involve risks and uncertainties, and that actual results may differ materially fromthose in the forward-looking statements, due to a variety of factors, including, but notlimited to, the risks of international business and other risks referred to in thecompany’s filings with the CVM and SEC. The company does not undertake, andspecifically disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whichspeak only for the date on which they are made.
Disclaimer
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Company Overview1Pulp and Paper Market2Financial and Operational Highlights3
Agenda
Final Remarks
4
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Company Overview
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A Winning Player
Port Terminal Pulp Unit
Três Lagoas
Santos
AracruzPortocel
Caravelas
BelmonteVeracel
Jacareí
Superior Asset Combination Main Figures – 1Q15 LTM
Pulp capacity million tons 5,300
Net revenues R$ billion 7.4
Total Forest Base (1) thousand hectares 968
Planted area (1) thousand hectares 561
Net Debt R$ billion 9.0
Net Debt/EBITDA (in Dollars) (2) X 2.3
Net Debt/EBITDA (in Reais) X 2.9
Source: Fibria
(1) Including 50% of Veracel, excluding forest partnership areas and forest bases linked to the sales of Losango and forest assets in Southern Bahia State.(2) For covenants purposes, the Net Debt/EBITDA ratio is calculated in Dollars.
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Fibria’s Units Industrial Capacity
* Veracel is a joint venture between Fibria (50%) and Stora Enso (50%) and the total capacity is 1,120 thousand ton/year
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Worldwide presence
Strong global customer base
Long-term relationships
Focus on customers with stable business
Customized pulp products and services
Sound forestry and industrial R&D
Focus on less volatile end-use markets such as tissue
Efficient logistics set up
Low dependence on volatile markets such as China
Low credit risk
100% certified pulp (FSC and PEFC/Cerflor)
Sales Mix by End Use - Fibria Highlights
Fibria’s Commercial Strategy
Sales Mix by Region - Fibria
Region - 1Q15 End Use - 1Q15
Europe46%
N.America
17%
Asia26%
Other11%
30%20%
29% 29% 24% 18%26% 26% 30% 22% 28%
31% 30%19% 22% 26%
27%17%
37%46%
46% 41%35% 44%
43% 41% 36% 42%43% 35% 36%
46% 42% 39%40%
46%
22% 25%14% 20%
31% 28%20% 23% 25% 26%
21% 26% 26% 26% 27% 25% 23% 26%
11% 9% 11% 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 9% 10% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 11%
4Q101Q112Q113Q114Q111Q122Q123Q124Q121Q132Q133Q134Q131Q142Q143Q144Q141Q15
North America Europe Asia Other
Tissue48%
Printing &Writing
35%
Specialties17%
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Pulp Supply Agreement: Puma Project
Logistics and commercial
structure synergies;
Ensure sales volumes;
Ensure pulp market access withKlabin brand.
Logistics and commercialoptimization and synergies;
Support customers’ growth andenhance customers ’ needs;
Potential development of newcustomers.
▶ Agreement benefits:
Mutual value creation, with better servicing for both Companies customer’s base
▶ Pulp volumes:• Minimum of 900 kt of hardwood for the first 4 years• 75% of 900 kt for the fifth year (phase out 1)• 50% of 900 kt for the sixth year (phase out 2)
▶ Selling price based on the average net price charged by Fibria at the Port of Paranaguá ( FOB Paranaguá)
▶ Operational startup: Mar/2016
▶ Sales destination: Globally, except for South America
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(1) Controlling group(2) Free Float 40.14% + Treasury 0.06%
VotorantimIndustrial S.A. (1)
29.42%
BNDESParticipações (1)
30.38%
FreeFloat (2)
40.20%
• Only 1 class of shares →100% voting rights
•
100% tag along rights (Brazilian corporate law establishes 80%)• Board of Directors with minimum 20% independent members
• Financial Statements in International Standards – IFRS
• Adoption of Arbitration Chamber
• SEC Registered ADR Level III program
• Indebtedness and Liquidity• Market Risk Management• Risk Management• Corporate Governance• Related Parties Transactions• Anti-Corruption• Information Disclosure• Securities Trading• Antitrust• Genetically Modified Eucalyptus
FiscalCouncil
Board ofDirectors
20% independentmembers
Role of CEO andchairman is split
Personnel andRemuneration
Committee
StatutoryAudit
Committee
FinanceCommittee
SustainabilityCommittee
InnovationCommittee
GeneralMeeting
Listed on Novo Mercado , highest level at BM&FBovespa: Policies approved by the Board of Directors:
Shareholder Structure and Corporate Governance
30%independent
members
100%independent
members
50% independentmembers
45% independentmembers -
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Expected scenario for 2013 in Nov’2012
BHKP CAPACITY CHANGES
Realized scenario in 2013
1,270
100
-155
-410
-140
-60
605
1,310
Eldorado
UPM Fray Bentos
Sappi Cloquet
Jari
Cellulose du Maroc
Sodra Tofte
Net
BEKP demand growth*
1,275
320
555
-155
-410
1,585
1,080
Eldorado
Suzano Maranhão
Montes del Plata
Sappi Cloquet
Jari
Net
BEKP demand growth*
DELAYED
UnexpectedClosures
In 2013, we stressed the difference between the expected scenarioand the realized one...
*Source: PPPC Outlook for Eucalyptus Market Pulp November 2012 *Source: PPPC Outlook for Eucalyptus Market Pulp September 2014
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As a result we had better prices than expected
Consultants: Hawkins Wright, RISI and Brian McClay (published in the end 2012 for 2013 prices)
BHKP Delivered to Europe (USD/t)
765
772767
784
772
788
814
795
770
791
740
750
760
770
780
790
800
810
820
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 Annual 2013
Consultants average for 2013 Realized PIX/FOEX price
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BHKP CAPACITY CHANGES
The “better than expected scenario” happened again last year...
Realized scenario in 2014
1,770
-105
-85
-65
-120
-70
100235
550
1,100
230
BEKP demand growth
Net
Ence Huelva
Old Town
APRIL Rizhao
Sodra Tofte
Sappi Cloquet
UPM
Oji Nantong*
Montes del Plata
Suzano Maranhão
Eldorado
1,7341,380
2,660
-120
-115
560
830
1,275
230
BEKP demand growth**
Net
Sodra Tofte
Sappi Cloquet
Oji Nantong*
Montes del Plata
Suzano Maranhão
Eldorado
Expected scenario for 2014 in Dec’13
More unexpectedmill closures
*Partly integrated to existing PM**Source: PPPC Outlook for Eucalyptus Market Pulp November 2013
*Approved license only for 500,000 t/y
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… and also better prices than initially projected
BHKP Delivered to Europe (USD/t)
782
737
696
718
733
768752
729734
746
640
660
680
700
720
740
760
780
800
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 Annual 2014
Consultants average for 2014 Realized PIX/FOEX price
Consultants: Hawkins Wright, RISI and Brian McClay (published in the end 2013 for 2014 prices)
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Shipments of Eucalyptus Pulp
(1) Source: PPPC World 20 – January/2015
Global Market BEKP Demand
Paper Capacity increase in China
2014 2015 Total
FORECAST REALIZED PREVIOUSFORECASTLATEST
FORECAST PREVIOUS LATEST
Woodfree 256 256 760 760 1,016 1,016
Tissue 1,390 1,278 727 1,365 2,117 2,643
Cartonboard 2,100 1,326 380 730 2,480 2,056
Total 3,746 2,860 1,867 2,855 5,613 5,715
Source: Fibria and Independent Consultants
680 kt
78 kt 114 kt264 kt 224 kt
18%
23% 7%
32% 23%
Total NorthAmerica
WesternEurope
China Others
3M2015 vs. 3M2014 (2)
(1) Source: PPPC World 20 – December/2014
2014 vs. 2013 (1)
1,734 kt
92 kt
386 kt717 kt 537 kt
11%
5%6%
20%13%
Total NorthAmerica
WesternEurope
China Others
(2) Source: PPPC World 20 – March/2015
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Source: PPPC and Fibria
Closures of Hardwood Capacity Worldwide(000 ton)
Capacity closures DO happen
-910
-85
-1,260-1,180
-540-500
-105
-1,085
-445
-750
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015-2017 E (1)
(1) As of April 2015
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Total Cash Cost of BHKP delivered to Europe (US$/t)
Source: Hawkins Wright (Outlook for Market Pulp, April 2015) | Fibria’s 1Q15 considering a FX of R$/US$2.8737. | “Brazil” 2014 considering FX of R$/US$3.05.Gray bar includes cash expenses as Interest, CAPEX, SG&A and Taxes (Source: RISI and Fibria).
1Q15 net price:US$ 560/t
W/K
Among the industry’s lowest cash cost producers
453419
351312 286
329
207 199
7087
105
4464
27
7255
China USA Canada Indonesia Chile/Uruguay Iberia Brazil Fibria
Cash Cost (US$/t) Delivery (US$/t)
SG&A
Capex
Interest
Income Tax
Capacity
(k tons):1,925 1,610 1,030 3,785 4,695 2,015 = 28,99013,930 5,300
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Gross capacity addition should not be counted as the only factorinfluencing pulp price volatility…. (1)
List Price bottoming at US$650/t in 2011 and US$724/t in 2014
C a p a c i t y
( 0 0 0 t o n
)
0,0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
2,0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1.000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Valdivia
APPHainan
Veracel Nueva Aldea
Santa Fé
Mucuri
FrayBentos
KerinciPL3
TrêsLagoas
Rizhao
APP Guangxi
ChenmingZhanjiang
EldoradoMontesdel Plata
Maranhão
Guaíba II
APP SouthSumatra (2)
Klabin
OjiNantong
B H K P p r i c e s -
C I F E u r o p e
( U S $
/ t o n
)
(1) Source: Hawkins Wright , Poyry and Fibria Analysis. Pulp price estimates according to Hawkins Wright (Dec/14), Brian McClay (Jan/14) and RISI (Dec/14)(2) Partially integrated production
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Lowest volatility among commodities
Commodities Historical Volatility (US$) (1)
Low volatility of hardwood pulp price, even though new capacities have
come on stream in the period
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
J a n - 1 2
M a r - 1 2
M a y - 1 2
J u l - 1 2
S e p - 1
2
N o v - 1 2
J a n - 1 3
M a r - 1 3
M a y - 1 3
J u l - 1 3
S e p - 1
3
N o v - 1 3
J a n - 1 4
M a r - 1 4
M a y - 1 4
J u l - 1 4
S e p - 1
4
N o v - 1 4
J a n - 1 5
M a r - 1 5
Iron Ore Soy Bean Crude Oil Sugar BHKP (FOEX Europe) Exchange Rate (USD/BRL)
172
116
81
5148
37
Source: Bloomberg
100 = January 1 st , 2012
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FX and Pulp Price explain 80% of Fibria’s EBITDA Margin
(1) Excludes Conpacel | (2) 2014 year end market consensus | (3) According to Focus Report (Brazilian Central Bank – Apr. 30th, 2015) | (4) According to Poyry – full cost estimate - includesManufacturing + Delivered costs to Rotterdam + Depreciation + ROCE of 9%
Each 10% depreciation of the Real increases EBITDA by approx. R$770 million
1,522
2,5261,964 2,253
2,796 2,791
2009 (1) 2010 (1) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Exchange Rate Average (R$/US$)
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA (R$ million)
29%40% 34% 36% 40% 39%
Marginal producer cost (US$/t) (4)
Fibria net pulp price(US$/t)
MarketConsensus
456
670 639581
610 572 566
660627
676657
680 676912
1,1791,067 1,133
1,281 1,310
1,719
Fibria net pulp price(R$/t)
2.00 1.76 1.67 1.952.10 2.29
3.08 (3)
N t l t i it h t i k i it f hi h th
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No exposure to eletricity shortage risks, in spite of which thecompany has benefited from the sale of its surplus energy
Management initiatives seeking to maintain the cash cost below inflation.(Utilities: 1Q15: R$25/t I 4Q14: R$37/t I 1Q14: R$18/t)
549572
1915 10 ( 11 ) ( 7 ) ( 3 )
1Q14 Wood FX Materials andServices
EnergyConsumption
Utilities Others 1Q15
+ 4.2%
Cash Production Cost – Total and Ex-Downtime (R$/t)
524 472 548549 472572
1Q14 4Q14 1Q15
Cash Cost ex-Downtime Cash Cost
Cash Production Cost (R$/t)
C h P d i C l i f 3 7% h
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Fibria Cash Production Cost (1) (R$/ton)
Consistentlycontrolling the
productioncash cost at alevel belowthe inflation
pace.
25
Cash Production Cost saw a annual increase of 3.7% over the past6 years
432 448471 473
505 519
2009 (2) 2010 (2) 2011 2012 2013 2014
CAGR: + 3.7%
(1) Constant Currency (2) Excludes Conpacel
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Net Results (R$ million) – 1Q15
1,007
(1,685)(566)
(123) (44) (85)
(448)643
179(22)
AdjustedEBITDA
FX Debt /MtM Debt
Hedge
MtMOperational
Hedge
Swap/ZCCsettlements
NetInterest
Deprec.,amortiz. and
depletion
Income Taxes
Other FX andmonetaryvariations
Others Net Income(Loss)
FX Debt∆
deffered
∆ ∆
MtMhedge
∆
swap ZCC
(1)
current
(1)
Includes non-recurring expenses/non-cash and other financial income/expenses .
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Free Cash Flow (1) – 1Q15 LTM (R$ million)
3,119
1,001(1,645)(322) ( 149 ) (34) 32
Adjusted EBITDA Capex Interest(paid/received)
Working Capital Taxes Others Free Cash Flow
(1) Does not include non-recurring items.
FCF/ton: US$76
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Indebtdeness
Net Debt (Million)
2.42.7 2.9
2.4 2.4 2.3
8,445 8,327 9,352
3,732 3,135 2,915
Mar/14 Dec/14 Mar/15R$ US$
Gross Debt and Interest Expenses (Million)
6,970 7,5498,991
3,080 2,842 2,803
Mar/14 Dec/14 Mar/15R$ US$
Net Debt/EBITDA (US$)
Debt Amortization Schedule (US$ Million) Average Tenor (months) and Cost of Debt * in US$ (% p.a.)
113
545
657
241205
339
438
623
363
8419 3
600
Liquidity 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Pre-payment BNDES ECN ACC/ACE Voto IV Bond
(cash)
(revolver)
58 4435
Interest (US$)
- 22%
Net Debt/EBITDA (R$)
47
55 54
Mar/14 Dec/14 Mar/15
3.7
3.43.5
- 40%
(*) Considering the portion of debt in reais fully adjusted by the market swap curves at the endof each period.
Capital Structure: Fibria has achieved the lowest leverage ratio among
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Net Debt/EBITDA (x) (1)
Fibria Arauco CMPC Klabin Suzano
S&P BBB-/Stable BBB-/Stable BBB-/Negative BBB-/Negative BB/Stable
Moody’s Ba1/Positive Baa3/Stable Baa3/Negative - Ba2/Stable
Fitch BBB-/Stable BBB/Stable BBB+/Stable BBB-/Negative BB/Stable
(1) Fibria’s historical data in BRL.
Capital Structure: Fibria has achieved the lowest leverage ratio amongits Latin American peers
2.4 2.3
2.72.7 2.9
4.8 4.5 4.54.1
3.9
1.7 1.72.4
3.0
4.2
2.93.1
3.1 3.4 3.6
3.6 3.7 3.6 3.2
14.8
13.2
11.7 11.18.9 7.7
4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1T15
Fibria Suzano Klabin CMPC Arauco Eldorado
A consistent and disciplined approach focused on reducing debt
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A consistent and disciplined approach focused on reducing debtand its cost
Debt (US$ million) x Leverage (US$) Interest (US$ million) x Cost of Debt (US$)
Free Cash FlowIncrease
InterestReduction
Cost of DebtReduction
This dynamicscreates a virtuous
cycle
8.6
2.9
6.3
2.8
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Mar/15
Gross Debt Net Debt
7.5
4.1 4.23.3
2.6 2.4 2.3 473414 408
350268
200 178
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM
6.3 5.9 5.55.2 4.6
3.4 3.5*
(*) Considering the portion of debtin reais fully adjusted by the market swap curves ofMar. 31, 2015.
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Principal: US$ 600 million
Issuance Date: May/2014
Coupon: 5.25% a.a.
Bookbuilding: 11.5x
Spread over T10Y: 275.0 bps
Highlights
- SEC registered;
- IG Documentation;
- Stretch Debt maturities;
- Fibria 2021 early redemption of US$430 million (78%of the total).
Fibria 2024
Data as of Aug 07, 2014:
Rating Maturity Volume T-Spread Coupon
Fibria Ba1 / BBB- / BBB- 2024 US$ 600 MM 275 bps 5.25%
Braskem Baa3/BBB-/BBB- 2024 US$ 500 MM 340 bps 6.45%
Petrobras Ba2/BBB-/BBB- 2024 US$ 2,5 bi 350 bps 6.28%BNDES Baa2/BBB 2024 US$ 500 MM 362 bps 6.32%
Klabin BBB-/BBB- 2024 US$ 500 MM 269 bps 5.25%
Odebrecht Baa3/BBB/BBB 2029 US$ 500 MM 263 bps 5.25%
New issuance better priced than Investment Grade issuers
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113 140 140 143150 160
175
225
COPEC Ecopetrol Raizen Fibria Colbun Braskem Molymet TGI (O&G)
LatAm Investment Grade Loans Spread over Libor (bps) (1)
Avg. Term 4 years 5 years 4 years 5 years 6 years 5 years 5 years 5 years
(1) As of April 2015
…and performing better than Investment Grade issuers
Secondary G-Spread to Maturity (bps) (1)
231 262 244
92
283 300333
372 381431 433 428
525
Globopar 22 Embra er 23 Bras il Foods 24 Vale 22 Fibria 24 Votorantim 24 Klabin 24 Gerdau 24 Samarco 24 Bras kem 24 Petrobras 24 Odebrecht 25 Eletrobras 21
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Fibria has a low correlation with Brazil…
(1) Source: Bloomberg as of April 2015
Bonds Correlation (1)G-Spread (bps) (1)
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Fibria 2024 Braskem 2024 Klabin 2024 Odebrecht 2023
Petrobras 2024 Gerdau 2024 Samarco 2024 Brazil 2025
0.90.8
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.0
FIBRBZ '24 vs.PETBRA '24
FIBRBZ '24 vs.BRAZIL '25
FIBRBZ '24 vs. CDSBrazil
Correlation Since May 2014 Correlation Since January 2015
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Fibria has the simplest and most transparent call in the industry
Negative Neutral Positive
Pulp supply ✔
Closures/conversions ✔
Inefficient capacities in China ✔
Demand ✔‣ Fiber and grade substitution ✔‣
Tissue ✔‣ China ✔
Pulp price ✔
Brazil GDP ✔
Energy crisis ✔
FX ✔
Capex inflation ✔
Cost inflation ✔
Rating ✔
Tax ✔
Corporate Governance ✔
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35Final Remarks
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Max Value Project – Zero base budgeting
▶ Budget developed primarily based on inputconsumption indicators
▶ Only one discussion cycle, initially based onbudgetary guidelines
▶ Individual discussion for each expenditure package,
including Sustaining CAPEX and OPEX▶ Discussion details based on the materiality of the
expense within the package
▶ Robust basis increasing the visibility of the rationalefor the proposed budget amounts
Zero Base Budgeting encourages a questioning andchallenging attitude of the status quo
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Max Value Project – Turning areas per hectare into square meter
• The targeted area represents only 0.6% of the land owned by Fibria;• Real estate thinking: minimum value creation of R$500 million NPV .
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PULP- Growth with discipline
- Best portfolio of projects
BIO-ENERGY- Complementary to pulp
- Ensyn
INDUSTRY
CONSOLIDATION ?
OTHER OPPORTUNITIES- Portocel
- Land and forest
PotentialGrowth
Prospects
Fibria is seeking value creation for its shareholders with capital discipline
The maturity of synergies captured since Fibria’s creation improved its
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593 593 605 584 648 651
900826 766 678 699
2009* 2010* 2011 2012 2013 2014
The maturity of synergies captured since Fibria s creation improved itsoperating indicators…
+15%
PRODUCTION VOLUME(000 t)BEST PRACTICES AND OPERATING STABILITY
Historical Value Inflation Effect**
-21%
CASH COST(R$/ton)
Historical Value Inflation Effect**
-21%
SG&A(R$ million)STRUCTURE AND PROCESS SIMPLIFICATION
1,522
2,5261,964
2,253
2,796 2,791
2009* 2010* 2011 2012 2013 2014
29%
40%34% 36%
40% 39%
EBITDA(R$ million) - EBITDA MARGIN(%)
* Excludes Conpacel | ** IPCA index considered to calculate the inflation effect.
432 448 471 473505 519
656 624 596549 545
2009* 2010* 2011 2012 2013 2014
4,600
5,0545,184
5,299 5,271 5,274
2009* 2010* 2011 2012 2013 2014
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42Back up
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Due to productivity gains in its forests, Fibria had the opportunity to
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p y g pp yexplore this new ownership model
MAI* Pulp:(adt/ha/year)
10.6 10.912.1
15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
FIBRIA’S GAINS IN IMACEL DUE TO INVESTMENTS IN BIOTECHNOLOGY(TONS OF PULP/HA/YEAR)
2012 field trials = 11.9
Conservative assumption
*MAI: Mean annual increment
Actions:• Genetic improvement• Excellence in forestry management• Superior industrial efficiency
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Supply structural changes puts pressure on the industry
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Supply structural changes puts pressure on the industry
MARKET PULP CAPACITY RANKING 2014 (000T) MAIN PROJECTS
Project Country Capacity Timing Fiber Status
CMPC Guaíba II Brazil 1.3 Mt 2Q2015 BEKP Confirmed
Klabin Paraná Brazil 1.5 Mt 2Q2016 BEKP/BSKP/Fluff
Confirmed
APP South Sumatra Indonesia 2.0 Mt 1Q2017 BHKP Confirmed
Fibria Três Lagoas II Brazil 1.75 Mt - BEKP Unconfirmed
COST CURVE EVOLUTION
U S D
/ A
d t , 2 0 1 3 c o s t
l e v e
l
Cumulative Capacity Million t/a
Cost positionof marginal
producer
Source: Hawkins Wright , Poyry and Fibria Analysis (as of December 2014).
0 2000 4000 6000
ENCECanfor
Resolute ForestSodra
IPDomtarMercer
EldoradoIlim
Weyerhaeuser
Stora EnsoMetsa Group
Paper ExcellenceGeorgia Pacific
UPM-KymmeneCMPC
SuzanoArauco
APRIL
Fibria
Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp (BSKP)
Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp (BHKP)
Unbleached Kraft Pulp (UKP)
Mechanical Pulp (MP)
Gl b l M k t P l D d
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Global Market Pulp Demand
Demand growth rate
Hardwood (BHKP) vs. Softwood (BSKP) (000 ton)
Hardwood demand will continue to increase at a faster pace than Softwood
Source: PPPC
Source: PPPC. Excludes Sulphite and UKP market pulp (Mar/15)
NBSK vs. BHKP - Prices(1)
(1) Source: FOEX |Average spread in the last 5 years.
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
40.000
1 9 9 8
1 9 9 9
2 0 0 0
2 0 0 1
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 3
2 0 0 4
2 0 0 5
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
2 0 1 2
2 0 1 3
2 0 1 4
2 0 1 5
2 0 1 6
2 0 1 7
2 0 1 8
2 0 1 9
Hardwood Softwood
2014 - 2019 CAGR:Hardwood: +2.5%Softwood: +0.8%
000 ton 1999 2009 2019Growth1999-2009
Growth2009-2019
Hardwood 16.3 24.8 33.6 52% 35%
Eucalyptus 6.0 15.9 23.9 165% 50%
Softwood 19.0 21.4 24.8 13% 16%
Market Pulp 35.3 62.1 58.5
Paper Production – Runnability with BHKP
Source: RISI conference, August 2014.
Average spread:US$ 111
Spread Apr./15:US$99
400
500
600
700800
900
1000
1100
0
50
100
150
200
J a n
/ 1 0
M a r
/ 1 0
M a y
/ 1 0
J u l / 1 1
S e p
/ 1 1
N o v / 1 1
J a n
/ 1 1
M a r
/ 1 1
M a y
/ 1 1
J u l / 1 1
S e p
/ 1 1
N o v / 1 1
J a n
/ 1 2
M a r
/ 1 2
M a y
/ 1 2
J u l / 1 2
S e p
/ 1 2
N o v / 1 2
J a n
/ 1 3
M a r
/ 1 3
M a y
/ 1 3
J u l / 1 3
S e p
/ 1 3
N o v / 1 3
J a n
/ 1 4
M a r
/ 1 4
M a y
/ 1 4
J u l / 1 4
S e p
/ 1 4
N o v / 1 4
J a n
/ 1 5
M a r
/ 1 5
Spread Average spread BHKP NBSK
Benefiting From China’s Growth
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World Tissue Consumption, 1991-2013 (3)
Per Capita Consumption of Tissue by World Region (3)China's Share of Market Pulp (2)
24
1515
12
7 6 5
1
N.America
WestEurope
Japan Oceania EastEurope
LatAm China Africa
10% 10%12% 14%
21%
17%
22%23% 23% 23%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Eucalyptus Hardwood Total % Compared to the global Market Pulp
(Kg/capita/year)
(million t) (kg/person/year)
Between 2005 and 2014,the Chinese market shareof eucalyptus shipmentsincreased by 19 p.p. (totalmarket pulp: + p.p.)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1991 1996 2001 2006 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013N.America W.Europe E.Europe L.America
Middle East Japan China Asia FEOceania Africa
LTM GrowthRate +4.2%
Benefiting From China s Growth
(1) PPPC – Pulp China – Flash Report – March 2015
(2) PPPC – W20. Coverage for chemical market pulp is 80% of world capacity(3) RISI
(million t)
1.856
805
525 460
47 10 9
2.254
1.062
503 599
49 40 1
BHKP Total LatinAmerica
Indonesia Others* USA Canada WesternEurope
1Q2014
1Q2015
Latin America is theleading exporter of BHKPto China, accounting toapproximately 47% ofChina's total imports in1Q15.
(‘000s t)
* includes Russia, China, Thailand and New Zealand.
China’s Hardwood Imports of BHKP by Country (1)
Global Paper Consumption
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Global Paper Consumption
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Developed Markets Emerging Markets
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Developed Markets Emerging Markets
CAGR 1996 – 2006Developed Markets: + 1.7%Emerging Markets : + 6.0%
85,291
117,611
15,548
37,474
P&WConsumption(000 tons) (1)
TissueConsumption(000 tons) (1)
114,507
CAGR 2007 – 2016Developed Markets: - 4.0%Emerging Markets : + 4.1%
CAGR 1996 – 2006Developed Markets: + 2.4%Emerging Markets : + 6.9%
CAGR 2007 – 2016Developed Markets: + 1.4%Emerging Markets : + 6.7%
26,877