1 Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI Paste co- brand logo here Scottish Public Opinion Monitor September 2013
Nov 28, 2014
1
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here
Scottish Public Opinion Monitor September 2013
2
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here
Scottish Parliament voting
3
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here
Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?
Voting intention for Scottish Parliament elections
Base: All giving a voting intention = 816; all certain to vote = 61% (629). Data collected among 1,000 Scottish adults 16+, 9th-15th September 2013
38%
37%
15%
9%
All giving a voting intention
41%
37%
13%
7%
Certain to vote
SNP lead
+1
SNP lead
+4
SNP
Labour
Cons.
Lib Dem
SNP
Labour
Cons.
Lib Dem
4
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here
Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Labour SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other
41%
37%
13%
7%
2%
Scottish Parliament Election
Result
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
Voting intention for Scottish Parliament elections
5
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here
Perceptions of key figures
6
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here
Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the
Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/Scottish Green Party/?
Satisfaction with party leaders
Base: All. Data collected among 1,000 Scottish adults 16+, 9th-15th September 2013
Alex Salmond
Johann Lamont
Patrick Harvie
David Cameron
Ruth Davidson
Willie Rennie
Satisfied Dissatisfied Don’t know Net
satisfaction
+8
+6
-28
0
+11
-5
48%
37%
32%
31%
27%
22%
40%
31%
60%
31%
16%
27%
12%
32%
8%
38%
58%
50%
7
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here
Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the
Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/Scottish Green Party/?
Satisfaction with leaders among own party supporters
Base: All. Data collected among 1,000 Scottish adults 16+, 9th-15th September 2013
Alex Salmond
Johann Lamont
David Cameron
Ruth Davidson
Willie Rennie
Satisfied Dissatisfied Don’t know Net
satisfaction
+66
+64
+39
+39
+44
78% 14% 8%
81% 15% 4%
57% 18% 25%
58% 19% 23%
57% 13% 30%
8
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here
Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime
Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?
Satisfaction with party leaders trend
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 May-13 Sep-13
Alex Salmond Johann Lamont Ruth Davidson Willie Rennie Patrick Harvie David Cameron
48%
37%
31%
22%
27%
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
32%
9
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here
Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime
Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?
Net Satisfaction with party leaders trend
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 May-13 Sep-13
Alex Salmond Johann Lamont Ruth Davidson Willie Rennie Patrick Harvie David Cameron
+8 +5 0 -5
+11
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
-28
10
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here
10
Paste co-
brand logo
here
Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as Deputy First Minister/Leader of the Better Together
Campaign?
31%
32%
37%
17%
31%
52%
Don't know
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
Satisfaction with campaign leaders
30%
23%
47%
11%
16%
73%
Don't know
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
All Own campaign supporters
Nicola Sturgeon Alistair Darling
11
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here Technical details
• This presents the topline results from Scotland
• Results are based on a survey of 1,000 respondents
conducted by telephone
• Fieldwork dates: 9th – 15th September 2013
• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using
census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private
sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly
Public Sector Employment series data
• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to
computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of
“don’t know” categories
• Results are based on all respondents (1,000) unless
otherwise stated
12
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-
brand logo
here
Thank you [email protected] | 0131 240 3269
[email protected] | 0131 240 3264 @IpsosMORIScot