Ipsos Global @dvisor: Power to the People

1 ©Ipsos.11

Global @dvisor: Power to the People?Part 2

January 2017

©Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.

©Ipsos.

2 ©Ipsos.

Contents

1

2

3

Society is broken and Confidence in institutions

Nativism

‘Populist’ measures

4

5

6

Voting behaviour

Country in decline

Is the system broken?

7 Exclusionism

Part 1: Is the system broken? (previously released)

SOCIETY IS BROKEN AND CONFIDENCE IN INSTITUTIONS

©Ipsos.3

4 ©Ipsos.

Most feel society is broken (especially Poland, Spain, Brazil and Mexico)…

GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?

Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016

58%

79%

78%

77%

76%

74%

73%

72%

72%

70%

66%

61%

56%

55%

53%

53%

52%

51%

47%

38%

37%

32%

32%

31%

Total

Poland

Spain

Brazil

Mexico

South Africa

Hungary

Serbia

South Korea

Argentina

United States

Germany

Great Britain

Peru

Turkey

Italy

France

Sweden

Australia

Belgium

Canada

India

Israel

Japan

Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree

Q5 To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements – “Society is broken”

5 ©Ipsos.

How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following…


COMPLETE CONFIDENCE

FAIR AMOUNT OF CONFIDENT

NOT VERY MUCH CONFIDENCE

NO CONFIDENCE AT ALL

The Justice System, including the courts

Banks

International Institutions

Political parties

4% 20% 5% 33% 38%

The Media

6% 30% 6% 33% 25%

6% 30% 5% 35% 24%

5% 32% 10% 35% 18%

4% 23% 5% 39% 28%

4% 28% 7% 39% 22%

Big Companies

The Government

2% 12% 6% 37% 43%


6 ©Ipsos.

Spain has the least confidence in International Institutions, as do many other Europeans –and Israel



52%

77%

66%

65%

64%

63%

63%

59%

59%

54%

54%

53%

52%

52%

51%

51%

51%

49%

46%

43%

41%

39%

29%

28%

Total

Spain

Israel

France

Italy

Serbia

Belgium

Germany

Great Britain

Australia

United States

South Korea

Argentina

Brazil

Poland

Turkey

Canada

Hungary

Mexico

Japan

Peru

Sweden

India

South Africa

No confidence/not very much confidence

Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? International Institutions

7 ©Ipsos.

Spain and Italy have the least confidence in their banks



59%

92%

80%

75%

74%

72%

72%

69%

67%

63%

60%

60%

60%

58%

57%

56%

53%

52%

51%

50%

45%

35%

34%

18%

Total

Spain

Italy

Germany

Belgium

Hungary

Israel

France

Great Britain

Sweden

Argentina

Poland

Brazil

Turkey

Serbia

Mexico

Australia

South Korea

United States

Peru

Canada

Japan

South Africa

India


Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Banks

8 ©Ipsos.

Confidence is marginally higher for the justice system, but very low in LATAM



59%

84%

84%

83%

75%

74%

74%

67%

64%

60%

59%

59%

58%

57%

56%

52%

52%

49%

48%

48%

44%

37%

34%

32%

Total

Argentina

Peru

Mexico

Serbia

South Korea

Spain

Hungary

Italy

Poland

Belgium

South Africa

Turkey

Israel

Brazil

Australia

France

Canada

Germany

United States

Great Britain

Sweden

India

Japan


Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The justice system including the courts

9 ©Ipsos.

Most lack confidence in big companies



61%

82%

77%

73%

72%

70%

69%

68%

66%

66%

65%

64%

64%

61%

60%

60%

60%

59%

57%

53%

51%

46%

32%

31%

Total

Spain

South Korea

Israel

Germany

Serbia

Argentina

Great Britain

Belgium

France

Poland

Hungary

Canada

Australia

Mexico

Sweden

Italy

Peru

United States

Turkey

Brazil

Japan

South Africa

India


Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Big Companies

10 ©Ipsos.

Two in three lack confidence in their media



68%

87%

85%

78%

76%

75%

75%

73%

71%

70%

70%

69%

68%

67%

67%

65%

65%

64%

63%

61%

57%

57%

51%

39%

Total

Hungary

Serbia

Spain

Mexico

Great Britain

Israel

Italy

Australia

Poland

Germany

Sweden

France

South Korea

United States

Belgium

Turkey

Japan

Brazil

Argentina

Canada

Peru

South Africa

India


Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The media

11 ©Ipsos.

Most countries are not confident about their government – especially negative in Mexico and Spain



71%

90%

89%

84%

82%

82%

81%

81%

80%

78%

77%

75%

70%

69%

66%

66%

66%

64%

64%

60%

60%

58%

50%

35%

Total

Mexico

Spain

South Korea

Poland

Hungary

South Africa

Brazil

Italy

Israel

France

Belgium

Germany

Serbia

Australia

Great Britain

Peru

Sweden

United States

Canada

Japan

Argentina

Turkey

India


Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The Government

12 ©Ipsos.

Of all institutions, countries have the least confidence in their political parties



81%

94%

92%

90%

89%

88%

88%

87%

86%

86%

85%

83%

82%

81%

80%

79%

79%

75%

74%

72%

71%

68%

65%

59%

Total

Spain

Mexico

Hungary

Serbia

Israel

Peru

Poland

South Korea

Italy

Belgium

France

Brazil

Argentina

Germany

Australia

Great Britain

South Africa

United States

Sweden

Canada

Japan

Turkey

India


Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Political parties

NATIVISM

©Ipsos.13

14 ©Ipsos.

Attitudes are divided on immigration – but most countries are against uncontrolled immigration


[Country] would be stronger if we stopped immigration

Immigrants take jobs away from real [nationality]

Immigrants take important social services away from real [nationality]

[Country] would be better off if we let in all immigrants who wanted to come here

34% 22% 6% 18% 9% 11%

When jobs are scarce, employers should prioritise hiring people of this country over immigrants

17% 17% 7% 22% 16% 20%

16% 19% 22% 6% 16% 21%

19% 19% 21% 7% 15% 18%

5% 8% 7% 21% 21% 37%

STRONGLY AGREE

SOMEWHAT AGREE

SOMEWHAT DISAGREE

STRONGLY DISAGREE


These days I feel like a stranger in my own country

17% 21% 22% 6% 15% 19%

15 ©Ipsos.

Just over half think employers should prioritize hiring locals over immigrants – especially in Serbia, Hungary, Turkey and Israel



56%

81%

76%

74%

73%

64%

63%

62%

60%

60%

58%

57%

56%

55%

54%

51%

51%

50%

48%

46%

45%

45%

38%

17%

Total

Serbia

Hungary

Turkey

Israel

Peru

Argentina

India

South Africa

Italy

United States

Poland

Brazil

Mexico

South Korea

Australia

France

Spain

Great Britain

Belgium

Canada

Germany

Japan

Sweden


Q9 When jobs are scarce, employers should prioritize hiring people of this country over immigrants

16 ©Ipsos.

Europeans tend to be more worried about immigration’s impact on social/public services (Turkey most worried again overall)



39%

63%

50%

50%

50%

49%

49%

47%

46%

46%

46%

44%

40%

39%

37%

37%

35%

29%

27%

27%

21%

19%

19%

17%

Total

Turkey

Belgium

Hungary

Israel

Argentina

France

Italy

India

Spain

United States

South Africa

Great Britain

Australia

Serbia

Germany

Canada

South Korea

Brazil

Peru

Sweden

Mexico

Poland

Japan


Q9 Immigrants take important social services away from real [nationality]

17 ©Ipsos.

Concern about immigration’s impact on jobs highest in Turkey, India and Argentina



35%

62%

51%

48%

47%

43%

42%

41%

40%

37%

37%

36%

35%

34%

33%

32%

32%

32%

26%

24%

23%

22%

12%

9%

Total

Turkey

India

Argentina

South Africa

United States

Israel

Peru

Italy

Belgium

Australia

Hungary

Spain

South Korea

France

Brazil

Canada

Great Britain

Mexico

Serbia

Poland

Germany

Japan

Sweden


Q9 Immigrants take jobs away from real [nationality]

18 ©Ipsos.

Most countries are against uncontrolled immigration , but people are split on whether immigration should be stopped – highest in Turkey, Israel, Hungary, Belgium and Italy


58%

77%

72%

72%

72%

69%

69%

67%

65%

64%

61%

61%

57%

56%

56%

56%

54%

53%

51%

48%

47%

46%

36%

29%

Total

Israel

Belgium

Hungary

Serbia

France

Canada

Great Britain

Italy

Turkey

South Africa

Poland

United States

Sweden

Germany

Australia

South Korea

Spain

Argentina

Mexico

Brazil

Peru

Japan

India

Strongly/Somewhat disagree

34%

61%

52%

49%

47%

46%

45%

40%

38%

38%

37%

37%

34%

31%

31%

30%

28%

27%

24%

19%

19%

17%

14%

12%

Total

Turkey

Israel

Hungary

Belgium

Italy

India

France

US

Serbia

Germany

South Africa

Argentina

Great Britain

Poland

Australia

Spain

Sweden

Canada

Peru

Mexico

Brazil

Japan

South Korea

Strongly/Somewhat agree

Q9 [Country] would be better off if we let in all immigrants who wanted to come here

Q9 [Country] would be stronger if we stopped immigration


19 ©Ipsos.

Overall people are split on whether or not they feel a stranger in their own country. High in Turkey, South Africa and Brazil, and amongst Western countries most prevalent in Italy, Belgium and the US


38%57%

54%49%

46%45%

44%43%

42%40%39%

38%37%

36%36%

36%35%35%

35%34%34%

22%20%

14%

TotalTurkey

South AfricaItaly

BrazilUnited States

BelgiumSerbia

HungaryFrance

IndiaGermany

MexicoGreat Britain

AustraliaSpainPeru

ArgentinaPoland

South KoreaCanadaSweden

IsraelJapan

Strongly/ Somewhat agree

Q14_1. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - These days I feel like a stranger in my own country


20 ©Ipsos.

ArgentinaAustralia

BelgiumBrazil

Canada

France

Germany

Hungary

India

Italy

Japan

Mexico

Poland

South Africa

South Korea

Spain

Sweden

Turkey

Great BritainUS

Israel

Peru

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Syst

em is

Bro

ken

Nativism

Nativism vs. System is Broken: Categorizing Countries

Feel the system is broken and HIGHER nativist sentiment

Feel system is broken but LOWER nativist sentiment

SUPPORT FOR ‘POPULIST’ MEASURES

©Ipsos.21

22 ©Ipsos.

Generally the balance of opinion is in favour of ‘populist’ measures – though more so for controlling the price of foodstuffs than nationalizing natural resources



The government should nationalize natural resources even if this means slower job growth

The government should control the price of the Basic Foodstuffs (Staples)

[Country] should stop terrorism at all costs even if that means ignoring people’s civil rights

20% 23% 24% 9% 14% 11%

[Country] should prioritize hiring [nationalities] over foreigners even if that means slower job growth

15% 21% 27% 13% 13% 11%

32% 26% 18% 7% 9% 8%

23% 22% 20% 7% 14% 13%

STRONGLY AGREE

TEND TO AGREE

TEND TO DISAGREE

STRONGLY DISAGREE

23 ©Ipsos.

Majority in favour of controlling price of foodstuffs – support tends to be higher in emerging economies, but is also high in France, Israel, Italy and Spain


58%80%

78%76%

73%70%70%69%69%

66%66%

65%62%

60%56%

54%53%

51%49%

45%41%

31%25%

19%

TotalArgentina

IsraelIndia

SerbiaTurkey

HungarySpain

ItalyFrance

PeruBelgium

South AfricaMexico

BrazilSouth Korea

AustraliaCanada

Great BritainPoland

GermanyUS

SwedenJapan


Q14_2. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - The government should control the price of the Basic Foodstuffs (Staples)


24 ©Ipsos.

Countries with recent experience of terrorism are likely to prioritise stopping terrorism over protecting civil rights (such as Turkey, France, India, Israel and Belgium), also high in Serbia


45%74%

69%63%

59%57%

55%50%50%

48%47%

43%42%

41%40%

38%37%37%

35%34%

31%31%

30%25%

TotalSerbiaTurkey

IndiaFrance

IsraelBelgium

PeruHungarySwedenPoland

Great BritainSouth Africa

AustraliaGermany

South KoreaUS

BrazilItaly

MexicoCanada

SpainArgentina

Japan


Q14_4. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - ... should stop terrorism at all costs even if that means ignoring people's civil rights


25 ©Ipsos.

Support for prioritising jobs for national citizens is especially high in Turkey, Israel, Serbia, LATAM, and India


44%70%

63%62%

61%57%

56%54%54%

50%49%

48%43%

42%39%

39%37%

36%33%

32%30%

22%21%

10%

TotalTurkey

IsraelSerbia

ArgentinaPeruIndia

South KoreaMexicoFrance

SpainItaly

BrazilPoland

USHungary

South AfricaAustralia

CanadaGermany

Great BritainJapan

BelgiumSweden


Q14_3. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - ... should prioritize hiring [nationalities] over foreigners even if that means slower job growth


26 ©Ipsos.

Highest support for nationalising natural resources in emerging economiesGLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?

36%63%

58%58%

48%44%

42%41%

39%36%

34%34%

32%32%

31%30%

29%28%28%

27%27%

27%22%

14%

TotalSerbia

IndiaArgentina

PeruMexicoTurkey

ItalySpain

FranceGreat Britain

AustraliaHungary

IsraelBrazil

CanadaSouth Korea

PolandBelgium

South AfricaSweden

USGermany

Japan


Q14_5. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - The government should nationalize natural resources even if this means slower job growth


VOTING BEHAVIOUR

©Ipsos.27

28 ©Ipsos.

So-called “populist” positions more attractive than unattractive – especially ‘standing up for the common people against the elite’, but also a party that prioritises nationals over immigrants – and radical change more popular than status quo. But a number of ‘pluralist’ positions are just as popular, like listening to alternative points of view/experts, or being prepared to make compromise.



A political party or leader that prioritises people born in [country] over immigrants

A political party or leader that stands up for common people against the elite

A political party or leader that wants to radically change the status quo

A political party with a leader who says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others

A political party or leader that has been in power before

22% 22% 12% 27% 8% 9%

36% 27%12% 18%

4% 3%

20% 24% 24% 17% 9% 6%

20% 25% 13% 23% 10% 8%

A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country

A political party or leader that listens to alternative points of view

11% 18% 14% 31% 14% 11%A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to [country]

25% 27% 12% 25% 6% 5%

24% 32%13% 21% 7% 4%

27% 29% 13% 22% 6% 3%

34% 33%11% 16% 3%2%

A political party or leader that is prepared to make compromises

A political party or leader that stands up for the rights of minorities

MUCH MORE LIKELY

SOMEWHAT MORE LIKELY

SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY

MUCH LESS LIKELY

Q. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference?

6% 12% 14% 43% 11% 14%

29 ©Ipsos.

On average a high proportion of people is more likely to vote for a political party or leader that stands up for common people against the elite


13%

17%

21%

26%

28%

27%

42%

35%

34%

31%

39%

34%

40%

42%

37%

44%

40%

43%

37%

44%

49%

36%

59%

36%

25%

26%

26%

27%

26%

31%

17%

24%

25%

31%

24%

31%

26%

25%

31%

26%

30%

28%

35%

28%

24%

38%

20%

27%

30%

20%

25%

21%

21%

23%

15%

18%

17%

17%

18%

20%

22%

18%

19%

17%

15%

13%

16%

16%

14%

12%

6%

18%

13%

30%

16%

22%

19%

12%

17%

9%

16%

14%

8%

11%

4%

9%

10%

6%

8%

10%

10%

4%

9%

6%

12%

12%

12%

5%

8%

3%

5%

4%

4%

9%

4%

3%

7%

3%

6%

3%

2%

3%

4%

4%

2%

4%

3%

3%

2%

4%

7%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

5%

6%

3%

4%

4%

1%

2%

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

2%

4%

1%

4%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

S out h KoreaJapan

Germ anyFranc eP ol and

S w edenBraz i l

T urkeyIt a l y

Bel g i umIndi a

Great Br i t a i nS out h Af r i c a

Arg ent i naAust ra l i a

M exi c oUS

S pai nC anada

P eruS erb i aIs rae l

H ung aryT ot a l

Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader

Q19_1. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that stands up for common people against the elite?


30 ©Ipsos.

Just under half attracted by radically changing the status quo, especially high in SpainGLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?

11%

11%

9%

11%

13%

12%

14%

19%

12%

18%

16%

21%

19%

18%

30%

27%

24%

29%

25%

27%

31%

31%

36%

20%

16%

17%

25%

25%

24%

25%

25%

19%

28%

22%

27%

24%

26%

28%

19%

24%

26%

23%

28%

28%

24%

26%

26%

24%

26%

30%

36%

34%

17%

20%

31%

20%

23%

22%

31%

27%

24%

26%

15%

22%

29%

20%

23%

23%

22%

21%

15%

24%

17%

26%

12%

15%

12%

32%

17%

24%

20%

32%

16%

18%

14%

19%

20%

18%

12%

12%

10%

11%

9%

5%

11%

17%

15%

10%

11%

11%

17%

8%

11%

10%

11%

4%

8%

5%

11%

7%

9%

5%

5%

7%

10%

6%

6%

11%

7%

9%

14%

5%

7%

4%

16%

3%

4%

7%

6%

2%

2%

6%

6%

3%

7%

4%

4%

10%

4%

5%

7%

6%

4%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

G e r m a n y

P o l a n d

S o u t h K o r e a

A u s t r a l i a

I s r a e l

J a p a n

C a n a d a

H u n g a r y

S w e d e n

F r a n c e

G r e a t B r i t a i n

A r g e n t i n a

U S

B e l g i u m

B r a z i l

I t a l y

S e r b i a

T u r k e y

P e r u

I n d i a

M e x i c o

S o u t h A f r i c a

S p a i n

T o t a l


Q19_2. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that wants to radically change the status quo?


31 ©Ipsos.

People are likely to say that the fact that a party or leader has been in power before has less influence on

their voting behavior – but more of a turn-off in LATAM


2%4%

2%4%

6%3%

4%4%5%

6%3%

8%6%

4%4%

7%3%3%

15%7%

10%15%

16%6%

8%7%

9%8%

6%9%

8%11%10%

9%14%

9%11%

13%14%

11%15%15%

9%18%

17%17%

23%12%

34%38%

50%37%

39%39%

35%36%

46%38%

58%35%

31%59%59%

33%54%

51%38%

48%40%

44%37%

43%

36%23%

17%11%

13%17%

14%22%

13%16%

11%19%

10%12%12%

7%18%

17%9%

8%10%

5%9%

14%

14%11%

9%14%

12%13%

22%16%

12%11%

9%11%

13%7%

7%18%

6%9%

10%10%

13%9%

9%11%

6%17%

13%26%

24%19%

17%11%

14%19%

5%17%

30%5%4%

24%3%

5%19%

9%10%

11%6%

14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

JapanFranc e

Bel g i umS erbi a

Arg ent i naI t a l y

S out h KoreaP ol and

S pai nH ung ary

Aust ra l i aBraz i l

M exi c oGreat Br i t a i n

C anadaP eru

S w edenGerm any

T urkeyI s rae l

USS out h Af r i c a

Indi aT ot a l


Q19_3. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that has been in power before


32 ©Ipsos.

On average close to half of people is more likely to vote for a political leader who says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others – especially Hungary and Turkey


2%14%

19%16%

17%10%

14%20%19%

17%25%

18%18%

16%22%

24%23%

22%27%

20%21%

34%32%

20%

5%20%

18%21%

21%29%

26%23%24%29%

22%30%30%

31%26%

25%28%

29%26%

34%36%

26%28%

25%

30%22%19%

16%7%

10%16%

11%5%

12%10%

12%12%

15%10%

5%24%

12%10%

14%8%

10%15%

13%

19%22%

21%24%

30%30%

27%21%

23%28%

24%24%

25%25%

24%21%

20%23%23%

23%21%

21%17%

23%

21%16%

10%12%

11%14%

9%13%

15%10%

10%11%

10%7%

11%14%

4%8%7%

3%11%

4%6%

10%

23%6%

13%10%

15%6%

8%12%

14%4%

8%5%5%5%

7%12%

3%7%7%

6%3%

5%2%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

J a p a nP o l a n d

B r a z i lI t a l y

M e x i c oS o u t h K o r e a

G e r m a n yU S

S o u t h A f r i c aG r e a t B r i t a i n

S e r b i aC a n a d a

A u s t r a l i aB e l g i u m

I n d i aP e r u

F r a n c eS p a i n

A r g e n t i n aS w e d e n

I s r a e lT u r k e y

H u n g a r yT o t a l

Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Make no difference Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader

Q19_4. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party with a leader who says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others


33 ©Ipsos.

On average just under half attracted by a political party or leader that prioritises people born in own country – again Hungary and Turkey top


7%11%

15%17%

21%17%

20%18%

20%18%

14%18%

21%25%26%

28%28%

26%31%

22%29%

34%42%

22%

13%19%

17%19%

16%21%

18%21%

19%21%

27%24%

23%20%20%

20%24%

29%25%

34%27%

26%20%

22%

12%34%

15%12%

21%11%

19%9%9%

14%12%

21%8%

11%15%9%

9%5%

10%7%

4%8%

12%12%

22%27%

26%29%

23%27%

27%31%32%

26%34%

25%34%

27%23%

29%27%

28%27%

26%27%

22%17%

27%

11%7%

12%10%

6%11%

7%12%

10%9%

7%6%

8%9%7%

6%8%8%

3%7%

8%4%

5%8%

35%3%

14%13%13%

14%9%8%

10%12%

5%5%

7%8%

9%8%

5%5%5%5%5%

6%4%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

S w e d e nJ a p a n

G e r m a n yS p a i n

F r a n c eG r e a t B r i t a i n

B r a z i lA u s t r a l i a

C a n a d aB e l g i u m

S o u t h K o r e aP o l a n dM e x i c o

U SI t a l y

A r g e n t i n aI n d i aP e r u

S e r b i aI s r a e l

S o u t h A f r i c aT u r k e y

H u n g a r yT o t a l


Q19_5. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that prioritises people born in ... over immigrants


34 ©Ipsos.

On average people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that is prepared to make compromises – but less so in Italy and Israel


9%5%

19%14%

12%13%14%

18%16%

15%21%

22%19%

25%35%

45%34%

20%35%35%

38%37%

41%24%

18%27%

22%30%

31%36%35%

36%38%

40%34%

34%38%

32%27%

18%29%

43%33%

35%32%33%

32%32%

18%32%

9%24%

10%15%15%

11%16%

11%20%

10%11%10%

9%17%

8%10%

13%10%

5%3%

7%13%

24%25%

28%23%

17%27%

28%27%

24%27%

18%21%

26%24%

18%11%

18%21%

12%16%

15%17%

14%21%

15%8%

15%7%

16%7%

6%5%

5%6%

4%9%

5%6%

5%6%

6%3%

5%3%

6%6%

4%7%

16%3%

7%4%

13%3%

1%3%

0%1%

3%4%

1%3%

6%3%

5%2%2%2%

4%3%3%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

I t a l yJ a p a nI n d i a

F r a n c eI s r a e l

B e l g i u mG e r m a n y

S o u t h K o r e aS w e d e n

G r e a t B r i t a i nP o l a n d

U SA u s t r a l i a

S e r b i aA r g e n t i n a

B r a z i lT u r k e y

C a n a d aH u n g a r y

S p a i nP e r u

S o u t h A f r i c aM e x i c o

T o t a l


Q19_6. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that is prepared to make compromises


35 ©Ipsos.

A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country is more likely to receive support across countries – but less so in richer countries


7%

15%

16%

17%

17%

20%

19%

16%

23%

21%

14%

19%

20%

33%

32%

44%

40%

39%

41%

45%

47%

42%

45%

27%

23%

28%

30%

29%

30%

28%

30%

35%

28%

30%

37%

34%

34%

27%

29%

23%

28%

31%

29%

26%

25%

30%

31%29%

13%

17%

32%

24%

15%

10%

11%

16%

15%

19%

8%

10%

11%

17%

7%

9%

10%

10%

8%

6%

12%

4%

5%13%

40%

32%

18%

23%

26%

26%

31%

26%

21%

22%

27%

28%

26%

13%

19%

17%

17%

15%

16%

15%

10%

14%

14%22%

10%

6%

3%

5%

8%

10%

7%

6%

6%

5%

9%

7%

6%

5%

9%

3%

1%

3%

4%

4%

4%

7%

3%6%

8%

4%

1%

3%

4%

6%

2%

3%

6%

3%

4%

2%

3%

5%

4%

3%

4%

2%

2%

4%

2%

3%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

S o u t h K o r e a

G e r m a n y

J a p a n

F r a n c e

B e l g i u m

U S


S w e d e n

I t a l y

P o l a n d

I s r a e l

C a n a d a

A u s t r a l i a

B r a z i l

I n d i a

S e r b i a

A r g e n t i n a

S p a i n

T u r k e y

M e x i c o

H u n g a r y


P e r u

T o t a l


Q19_7. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country


36 ©Ipsos.

A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to the

country would divide support


5%4%

3%7%

5%8%8%8%

11%8%

12%11%

8%8%

16%15%

13%14%

12%15%

20%20%

25%11%

10%11%

12%11%15%

15%18%17%

15%19%

15%18%

21%23%

15%17%

19%19%

22%21%

25%27%

25%18%

24%12%

36%9%

17%16%

11%12%12%

13%11%

16%17%

12%20%

7%15%

19%22%

5%5%

9%10%

14%

27%37%

32%27%

42%34%

34%30%

29%39%

27%25%

39%38%

23%30%

36%27%

30%29%

28%25%

26%31%

14%20%

12%26%

14%15%

20%18%

18%14%

15%16%

10%11%

14%15%

11%11%

9%18%

12%12%

6%14%

20%16%

3%21%

7%13%

9%15%

16%7%

21%14%

5%7%

12%17%

7%10%

5%11%

10%8%7%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

F r a n c eA u s t r a l i a

J a p a nI s r a e l

G e r m a n yB e l g i u mC a n a d a

U SA r g e n t i n a

S o u t h K o r e aT u r k e y

H u n g a r yS w e d e n

G r e a t B r i t a i nB r a z i l

M e x i c oS p a i n

I t a l yP o l a n d

P e r uS o u t h A f r i c a

I n d i aS e r b i a

T o t a l


Q19_8. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? -A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to [country]


37 ©Ipsos.

Across countries, people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that listens to alternative points of view


20%25%

37%28%

21%26%

30%24%

36%21%

29%27%

29%38%

34%50%

36%44%

49%43%

47%43%

50%34%

34%32%

22%32%

39%36%

33%39%

29%45%

38%41%

40%31%

36%22%

37%30%

26%32%

28%33%

32%33%

30%19%16%

21%11%

14%14%

16%8%

8%9%

13%9%8%

9%7%

8%12%

6%4%

7%9%

2%11%

13%19%

17%15%

23%19%16%

18%17%

19%20%

16%19%19%

16%14%

16%9%

14%15%

13%11%

11%16%

3%4%

4%2%

4%4%

4%3%

6%5%

2%2%2%1%

3%4%

1%3%

3%3%

2%2%

3%3%

1%2%

5%1%2%2%

3%0%

4%2%2%1%1%

2%3%2%

1%2%

3%2%2%2%2%2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

JapanP ol and

Braz i lFranc e

S out h KoreaGerm any

It a l yS w eden

Indi aIs rae l

Aust ra l i aBel g i um

Great Br i t a i nS erb i a

UST urkey

C anadaH ung ary

M exi c oP eru

Arg ent i naS pai n

S out h Af r i c aT ot a l


Q19_9. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? -A political party or leader that listens to alternative points of view


38 ©Ipsos.

On balance people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that stands up for the rights of minorities


3%18%

16%19%

18%17%

15%22%

34%27%

21%25%

21%28%

25%25%26%

33%35%

40%31%

38%41%

25%

15%20%

23%22%24%

27%30%

25%16%

24%30%

28%32%

27%31%32%

32%26%

27%24%

35%31%

29%27%

35%10%

21%9%

23%8%

16%13%

17%8%

15%11%

10%9%

9%10%

11%17%

9%6%

10%3%

6%12%

31%33%

30%40%

27%26%

32%24%

19%27%

26%29%

30%26%

26%26%23%

17%20%

19%17%

18%17%

25%

12%9%

7%5%

4%12%

5%8%

6%9%

6%2%

5%6%

5%4%

5%3%

6%6%

4%5%

4%6%

4%10%

3%5%

4%10%

2%9%8%

6%3%

4%2%

5%3%3%

4%4%4%

6%3%

4%4%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

JapanT urkeyP ol andS erb i aFranc e

Israe lGerm anyH ung ary

Braz i lInd i a

Bel g i umS w eden

Great Br i t a i nUS

Aust ra l i aC anada

S pai nI t a l y

Arg ent i naM exi c o

S out h KoreaP eru

S out h Af r i c aT ot a l


Q19_10. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for.Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? -A political party or leader that stands up for the rights of minorities


PART 1: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?

(PREVIOUSLY RELEASED)

©Ipsos.39

COUNTRY IN DECLINE

©Ipsos.40

41 ©Ipsos.

Overall, there is a sense that society is broken and that their country is in decline (though people tend to be optimistic that this is recoverable). People are also on balance likely to feel that their generation has had a worse life than their parents and are even more pessimistic for the future prospects for today’s youth.


“To what extent, if at all, do you feel that your generation will have had a better or worse life than your parents’ generation, or will it have been the same?

“…is in decline”

29%

29%

19%

10%

7%5% AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

DON'T KNOW

“…society is broken”“Do you think [country] can recover from

it’s decline or is it irreversible”*

9%

22%

19%26%

18%5% MUCH BETTER

SLIGHTLY BETTER

ABOUT THE SAME

SLIGHTLY WORSE

MUCH WORSE

DON'T KNOW

“And to what extent, if at all, do you feel that today’s youth will have had a better or worse life

than their parents’ generation, or will it have been about the same?”

28%

29%

20%

10%

8%5% AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT


DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

DON'T KNOW

67%

15%

18%CAN RECOVER

IS IRREVERSIBLE

DON'T KNOW

7%

19%

20%28%

20%

6% MUCH BETTER

SLIGHTLY BETTER

ABOUT THE SAME

SLIGHTLY WORSE

MUCH WORSE

DON'T KNOW

Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016.* Asked of all those who think their country is in decline

42 ©Ipsos.

Over half think their country is in decline (although not yet irreversible)


“…is in decline” “Do you think [country] can recover from its decline or is it irreversible”*

28%

29%

20%

10%

8%5%

AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT


DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

DON'T KNOW67%

15%

18%CAN RECOVER IS IRREVERSIBLE

DON'T KNOW

Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016.* Asked of all those who think their country is in decline

43 ©Ipsos.

Majority in 14 nations think their country is in decline – especially South Africa, South Korea, Italy and Brazil….



57%

77%

73%

73%

72%

70%

69%

69%

67%

64%

61%

60%

58%

57%

55%

53%

50%

49%

47%

44%

42%

40%

38%

22%

Total

South Africa

South Korea

Italy

Brazil

Hungary

Mexico

Spain

France

Belgium

Serbia

United States

Argentina

Great Britain

Turkey

Sweden

Poland

Australia

Germany

Peru

Israel

Japan

Canada

India


Q5 To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements – “Your country is in decline”

44 ©Ipsos.

…But are optimistic that it can recover (although less so in Japan, Belgium and Germany)


67%

85%

84%

84%

82%

81%

80%

78%

76%

72%

69%

68%

66%

66%

65%

61%

60%

60%

60%

60%

53%

52%

51%

24%

15%

5%

9%

2%

15%

8%

11%

9%

15%

11%

13%

10%

16%

11%

19%

19%

15%

14%

17%

17%

28%

29%

21%

34%

T o t a l

P e r u

M e x i c o

I s r a e l

I n d i a

A r g e n t i n a

B r a z i l


T u r k e y

S w e d e n

P o l a n d

U n i t e d S t a t e s

S e r b i a

A u s t r a l i a

S p a i n

I t a l y

H u n g a r y

C a n a d a

F r a n c e


G e r m a n y

B e l g i u m

S o u t h K o r e a

J a p a n

Can recover Irreversible

Q6 And do you think [country] can recover from its decline or is it irreversible ?

Base: 9,525 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016

45 ©Ipsos.

And there is significant pessimism for current and future generations in France, Belgium, Hungary, South Korea, Italy and Spain


44%

65%

63%

61%

60%

56%

56%

54%

53%

47%

46%

44%

43%

41%

40%

39%

38%

38%

38%

35%

33%

30%

22%

19%

Total

Hungary

Serbia

France

Italy

South Korea

Spain

Japan

Belgium

United States

Canada

Germany

Great Britain

South Africa

Turkey

Israel

Mexico

Sweden

Australia

Brazil

Poland

Argentina

India

Peru

Slightly/Much worse

48%

67%

66%

65%

63%

60%

56%

55%

55%

53%

53%

52%

50%

47%

45%

44%

44%

42%

38%

37%

36%

30%

22%

20%

Total

France

Belgium

Spain

South Korea

Hungary

Great Britain

Italy

Japan

Canada

Germany

United States

Serbia

Turkey

Sweden

Australia

Israel

South Africa

Brazil

Mexico

Poland

Argentina

India

Peru

Slightly/Much worse

Q7 To what extent, if at all, do you feel that your generation will have had a better or worse life than your parents’ generation, or will it have been the same?

Q8 And to what extent, if at all, do you feel that today’s youth will have had a better or worse life than their parents’ generation, or will it have been about the same?


SYSTEM IS BROKEN

©Ipsos.46

47 ©Ipsos.

Strong feeling in many countries that the people in charge don’t care about ‘people like me’, and instead favour rich and powerful.


Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks about their views

To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules

[Country] needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful

Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me

42% 27% 15% 5% 6% 4%

The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful

36% 29% 18% 6% 7% 5%

28% 21% 19% 6% 11% 14%

40% 23% 17% 6% 7% 6%

37% 27% 18% 6% 7% 4%

STRONGLY AGREE

SOMEWHAT AGREE

SOMEWHAT DISAGREE

STRONGLY DISAGREE

31% 29% 21% 7% 8% 4%

Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me


48 ©Ipsos.

Most feel the system favours the rich and powerful – especially Mexico, Peru, Hungary, Israel and Spain



63%

81%

74%

72%

72%

72%

71%

71%

70%

70%

69%

68%

67%

67%

65%

63%

62%

60%

59%

59%

53%

45%

34%

31%

Total

Mexico

Peru

Hungary

Spain

Israel

Australia

India

South Korea

France

United…

Brazil

Great Britain

Italy

Canada

Turkey

Argentina

South Africa

Belgium

Serbia

Poland

Japan

Germany

Sweden


Q10 [Country] needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful

69%

83%

82%

81%

80%

79%

79%

75%

74%

71%

70%

69%

69%

68%

68%

67%

67%

66%

65%

64%

63%

59%

55%

39%

Total

Hungary

Mexico

Serbia

Israel

Peru

Spain

Italy

South Korea

Belgium

France

Brazil

United…

Turkey

Australia

Poland

Great Britain

Germany

Argentina

South Africa

India

Canada

Japan

Sweden


Q10 The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful

49 ©Ipsos.

Most people feel politicians don’t care about them, especially parts of LATAM and continental Europe



64%

78%

77%

76%

75%

73%

72%

70%

70%

69%

66%

65%

65%

65%

64%

63%

61%

61%

58%

57%

56%

53%

42%

39%

Total

Mexico

Peru

France

Spain

Hungary

Italy

Poland

Serbia

Brazil

United States

Argentina

South Africa

South Korea

India

Belgium

Turkey

Australia

Great Britain

Israel

Canada

Germany

Sweden

Japan


Q10 Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me

50 ©Ipsos.

Close to two-thirds on average favour outspoken politicians



65%

79%

79%

79%

76%

74%

72%

71%

70%

68%

66%

66%

64%

64%

64%

60%

59%

59%

58%

57%

53%

51%

49%

47%

Total

Argentina

Hungary

Israel

Serbia

Spain

Peru

Poland

France

South Korea

Belgium

India

Mexico

Germany

Great Britain

United States

Australia

Italy

Sweden

Canada

Turkey

Brazil

South Africa

Japan


Q10 Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks about their views

51 ©Ipsos.

Similarly most people feel misunderstood by experts, especially Spain, France and Mexico



60%

74%

73%

72%

70%

69%

67%

65%

64%

64%

62%

60%

60%

60%

59%

58%

57%

55%

55%

53%

52%

46%

45%

38%

Total

Spain

France

Mexico

Hungary

Peru

Argentina

Italy

Poland

United States

Turkey

South Africa

Australia

India

Great Britain

Canada

Belgium

South Korea

Brazil

Israel

Serbia

Germany

Japan

Sweden


Q10 Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me

52 ©Ipsos.

Big variation in desire for a strong leader willing to break the rules - especially high in France



49%

80%

69%

68%

66%

66%

65%

60%

54%

51%

50%

50%

48%

44%

42%

42%

41%

41%

40%

39%

36%

35%

23%

21%

Total

France

Israel

Italy

South Korea

Turkey

India

Poland

Belgium

Peru

Australia

Great Britain

Brazil

Serbia

South Africa

Hungary

Mexico

Canada

United States

Japan

Argentina

Spain

Sweden

Germany


Q10 To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules

EXCLUSIONISM

©Ipsos.53

54 ©Ipsos.

On balance, people are still more likely to feel that opening up their country to foreign business and trade is an opportunity rather than a threat, but across the world people are split on whether their country should protect itself or open up more to the world.



26% 42%

31% 37%

OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO FOREIGN BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN TRADE IS A THREAT TO [YOUR COUNTRY]

OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO FOREIGN BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN TRADE IS AN OPPORTUNITY FOR [YOUR COUNTRY]

[COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO PROTECT ITSELF FROM TODAY’S WORLD

[COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO OPEN ITSELF UP TO TODAY’S WORLD

BOTH/DON’T KNOW

BOTH/DON’T KNOW

32%

32%

55 ©Ipsos.

People tend to view globalisation as an opportunity, rather than a threat – but not in Italy and France


26%

21%

20%

20%

18%

19%

21%

25%

20%

24%

29%

34%

21%

28%

29%

32%

26%

29%

22%

28%

31%

38%

22%

33%

42%

55%

54%

54%

51%

50%

50%

50%

49%

49%

46%

45%

44%

44%

39%

39%

37%

37%

35%

34%

33%

28%

27%

26

T o t a l

P e r u



S w e d e n

P o l a n d

H u n g a r y

I s r a e l

S p a i n

S e r b i a

M e x i c o

A r g e n t i n a

B r a z i l

I n d i a


T u r k e y

C a n a d a

B e l g i u m

S o u t h K o r e a

G e r m a n y

A u s t r a l i a

I t a l y

J a p a n

F r a n c e

Opening up [country's] economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is a threat to [your country]

Opening up [country's economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is an opportunity for [your country]


56 ©Ipsos.

Peru, Mexico and Argentina want to open up more to the world – but North Americans more likely to say they should protect themselves from the world


31%

47%

39%

39%

37%

36%

36%

36%

34%

33%

33%

32%

32%

32%

31%

29%

28%

27%

26%

25%

24%

22%

21%

19%

37%

25%

25%

34%

25%

22%

24%

27%

25%

32%

28%

47%

38%

24%

38%

38%

45

40%

56%

43%

45%

51%

48%

62

T o t a l


C a n a d a

I s r a e l

A u s t r a l i a

B r a z i l

F r a n c e

I t a l y

G e r m a n y

B e l g i u m

S o u t h K o r e a

A r g e n t i n a

H u n g a r y

J a p a n

T u r k e y

I n d i a

S e r b i a

S w e d e n

M e x i c o



S p a i n

P o l a n d

P e r u

Agree most that [country] needs to take more steps to protect itself from today’s world Agree most that [country] needs to take more steps to open itself up to today’s world


57 ©Ipsos.

MethodologyGLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?

• These are the findings of a Global @dvisor survey into the political mood around the world. In total 16,597 interviews were conducted between October 21 – November 4 among adults aged 18-64 in the US and Canada, and adults aged 16-64 in all other countries.

• The survey was conducted in 23 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system. The countries reporting herein are Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States of America.

• Between 500 and 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis via the Ipsos Online Panel. The sample was 1000+ inAustralia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Spain and the United Stated of America. In all other countries the sample was 500+. The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval with a poll of 1,000 accurate to +/- 3.5 percentage points and of 500 accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points. For more information on Ipsos’ use of credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website.

• In countries where internet penetration is approximately 60% or higher the data output generally reflects the overall population. Of the 23 countries surveyed online, 17 yield results that are balanced to reflect the general population: Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hungary, Israel, Italy, Japan, Poland, South Korea, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Great Britain and the United States. The 6 remaining countries surveyed – Brazil, India, Mexico, Peru, South Africa and Turkey - have lower levels of internet connectivity and reflect online populations that tend to be more urban and have higher education/income than the general population.

• Where results do not sum to 100, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses or the exclusion of don't knows or not stated responses.

• Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.

58 ©Ipsos.

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