GSF Global Franchises: The search for quality, yield and growth in an uncertain world. Clyde Rossouw Portfolio Manager October 2012
GSF
Global Franchises: The search for quality, yield
and growth in an uncertain world. Clyde Rossouw
Portfolio Manager
October 2012
Page 2 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Target audience
This document is only for professional investors, professional financial advisors and, at
their exclusive discretion, their clients. No other person should rely on the information
contained in this document.
If you plan to show this to your clients, please ensure that you comply with any applicable
local marketing regulations.
This document is not to be generally distributed to the public.
At front of document – before the Key Facts page
Page 3 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Agenda
● Key Fund facts
● Key benefits
● Performance
● Team, philosophy, process and portfolio characteristics
● Why invest in global franchise companies?
● Portfolio holdings
● Summary
● Appendix – biographies
Page 4 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Fund Structure Luxembourg SICAV (Société d’investissement à capital variable)
UCITS Yes, with extended investment powers
Portfolio Manager Clyde Rossouw
Performance comparison index* MSCI AC World NR USD*
Outperformance target* 3-5% per annum gross of fees over the full market cycle, assumed to be around 7 years
Objective The investment objective of the Fund is to achieve long-term capital growth primarily through
investment in shares of companies around the world. The Fund will have a blend of investments and
will be unrestricted in its choice of companies either by size or industry, or in terms of the
geographical make-up of the portfolio. The Fund will focus investment on stocks deemed by the
manager to be of high quality which are typically associated with global brands or franchises
Fund size US$504.9m (30 September 2012)
Share classes A, C,F, I, S
A share annual management fee 1.5% Admin service fee 0.3%
Key Fund Facts
Internal guidelines subject to change, not necessarily with shareholder notification
*Investment objective and performance target will not necessarily be achieved
Source: Investec Asset Management, October 2012
Update
Monthly
Page 5 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Key benefits
● Highly differentiated “global franchise” philosophy
● Record of long-term outperformance
− participating meaningfully in up markets
− with smaller draw-downs in down markets
− lower than average absolute volatility
● Concentrated portfolio and not benchmark constrained
● Low historic correlation with traditional benchmarks
● Managed by a globally integrated investment team based in London and Cape
Town
We seek to invest in companies with business models which can provide some
certainty in uncertain markets
Page 6 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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1 month 3 months YTD 1 year 3 years p.a. 5 years p.a.
Since
inception p.a.*
Investec GSF Global Franchise A Acc Gross USD 1.4% 4.6% 13.3% 20.1% 11.3% 3.8% 4.2%
MSCI AC World NR (MSCI World NR pre 1/10/11) 3.2% 6.8% 12.9% 21.0% 7.3% -2.2% -0.9%
Relative performance -1.7% -2.3% 0.4% -0.9% 4.0% 6.0% 5.1%
Quartile ranking 4 4 1 1 1 1 1
Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund Performance track record
Cumulative performance in USD
Update
Monthly
G:\Depts\Marketing\Presentations\Hamilton Brown Graphics\¬MASTER
GSF\MASTER_Global Franchise\Evidence\GSF Lipper
Performance_USD_Global
Past Performance figures are not audited and should not be taken as a guide to the future
Source: Lipper, dates to 30 September 2012, NAV based, (inclusive of all annual management fees but excluding any initial charges), gross income reinvested, in USD
*Inception date: 10 April 2007. The performance quoted is synthesised and is based on the OEIC Investec Global Select Equity Fund I shares that were launched on 10
April 2007 and then merged into the Global Franchise Fund on 3 July 2009 and takes into account the difference in total fees between
the Global Select Equity Fund I share class and the Global Franchise Fund A share class
Comparative index has changed to MSCI AC World Index from 1 October 2011
Annualised performance in USD
-60.0%
-50.0%
-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
Apr 07 Dec 07 Jul 08 Feb 09 Sep 09 Apr 10 Dec 10 Jul 11 Feb 12 Sep 12
Investec GSF Global Franchise A Acc MSCI AC World NR (MSCI World NR pre 1/10/11)
20.8
-6.8
Page 7 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund Performance track record
Annual performance in USD
Update
Monthly
G:\Depts\Marketing\Presentations\Hamilton Brown Graphics\¬MASTER
GSF\MASTER_Global Franchise\Evidence\GSF Lipper
Performance_USD_Global
Past Performance figures are not audited and should not be taken as a guide to the future
Source: Lipper, dates to 30 September 2012, NAV based, (inclusive of all annual management fees but excluding any initial charges), gross income reinvested, in USD
*Inception date: 10 April 2007. The performance quoted is synthesised and is based on the OEIC Investec Global Select Equity Fund I shares that were launched on 10
April 2007 and then merged into the Global Franchise Fund on 3 July 2009 and takes into account the difference in total fees between
the Global Select Equity Fund I share class and the Global Franchise Fund A share class
Comparative index has changed to MSCI AC World Index from 1 October 2011
-50.0%
-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
2007 (Apr) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (YTD)
Investec GSF Global Franchise A Acc Gross USD
MSCI AC World NR (MSCI World NR pre 1/10/11)
Page 8 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Volatility Positive months %
Negative months %
Max Drawdown
Worst month
Best month
Tracking Error
Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund
MSCI AC World (net)
Attractive relative risk characteristics
Past performance figures are not audited and should not be taken as a guide to the future.
Source: Investec Asset Management. Data to 30 September 2012. Performance is gross of fees in USD
Returns are calculated on a bid to bid basis of the S class with gross income reinvested in USD. Relevant fund TERs
have been added back. Inception date: 30 April 2007
Risk statistics since inception to 30 September 2012
Update
Monthly
Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund 15.3% 63% 37% -40.8% -12.14% 12.03% 9.25%
MSCI AC World (net) 20.4% 50% 50% -53.7% -18.96% 11.22% -
G:\Depts\Marketing\Presentations\Hamilton Brown Graphics\¬MASTER
GSF\MASTER_Global Franchise\Evidence\Global Franchise
evidence.xlsx\Attractive risk
Page 9 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Attractive risk-adjusted returns
Since inception annualised return & risk versus peer group*
Past performance figures are not audited and should not be taken as a guide to the future
Source: Lipper, data to 30 September 2012, NAV based, (inclusive of all annual management fees but excluding any initial
charges), in USD. *Inception is 30 April 2007
\\mercury\gdrive\Depts\Marketing\Presentations\Hamilton Brown
Graphics\¬Evidence\Performance vs Std deviation\Since
Inception\SI Perf vs Std deviation.xlsx\Global
Update
Monthly
-18.0
-16.0
-14.0
-12.0
-10.0
-8.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0 22.0 24.0 26.0 28.0 30.0 32.0 34.0 36.0 38.0
Annualis
ed
perf
orm
ance %
chang
e
Annualised standard deviation
Investec GSF Global Franchise A Acc
MSCI AC World NR (MSCI World NR pre 1/10/11)
Lipper Global Equity Global
GSF
Team, philosophy, process and portfolio
characteristics
Page 11 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Alessandro DicorradoInvestment Specialist
Global Franchise
Clyde RossouwStrategy Leader
Rob ForsythInvestment Specialist
Michael du PlessisInvestment Specialist
Global Franchise amended 20 July 2012
Contrarian Equity TeamTeam of 7 Portfolio Managers
& Analysts
Abrie PretoriusInvestment Specialist
● Managed by part of a globally integrated investment team based in London and Cape Town
● Led by portfolio manager, Clyde Rossouw, who has 18 years industry experience
● A team of five investment professionals with specialist research experience
● Supported by an independent trading team, performance, risk and attribution team of 20 specialists globally
Globally integrated investment team
Page 12 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Investment philosophy
● Few companies can consistently and reliably compound shareholder wealth at
superior rates of return over the long term
● We believe that a concentrated portfolio of these exceptionally high quality
companies, when selected with an absolute value bias, will earn attractive
returns with less than average absolute volatility
● We invest in businesses that display the best combination of growth, quality,
yield and valuation
Our research process is exclusively focused on seeking to identify companies that
possess rare and exceptional qualities, at compelling valuations
Page 13 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Highly differentiated “global franchise” philosophy
High Quality Sustainable Growth
Compelling Valuation
Measure value in absolute terms based on the free cash flow yield for each investment • Do not consider value in relative terms i.e. comparing P/Es or other measures across countries or sectors globally
Above Average Yield
Enduring franchises that consistently
support high returns
• High barriers to entry / competitive advantage
• Stable or growing industries
• Low capital intensity
Sustainable and free cash flow growth
• Company to generate a Free Cash Flow well
in excess of “risk free” long bond yields
Consistently shown to compound
shareholder wealth at superior rates of
return over the long term
• Dominant “intangible” assets eg. strong
brands, patents, licenses and copyrights
• Strong balance sheets and highly cash
generative
• Strong management teams
Page 14 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Investment process Implement investment decisions through a disciplined framework
Focused universe
creation & idea
generation
Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3
Fundamental
research & analysis Portfolio construction
• Proprietary stock selection tools rank companies
globally
• Franchise companies exhibit key characteristics:
• High returns on capital
• High and sustainable margins
• Low leverage and low capital intensity
• Sustainable above average growth
• Bottom up, fundamental research based
approach
• Strong focus on the quality of the business and
free cash flow approach to value
• Concentrated portfolio of the BEST IDEAS
• 25 – 40 companies
– Portfolio weightings determined by best
combination of growth, yield and quality
6000 to 250 companies 250 to 40-50 companies 25-40 companies
(V2 for Retail)
These internal parameters are subject to change, not necessarily with notice to shareholders
Page 15 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Portfolio construction
We aim to remain fully invested at all times. Cash can build up temporarily as a result of
our inability to find undervalued stocks
Position size ● At least 1% at purchase
● Maximum individual position size: 10%
● Typical number of stocks: 25-40
● Maximum sub-sector/industry position size: 20%
● Unconstrained at super-sector level
Sector ● Sector and industry weightings are a product of our bottom-up stock selection process
● The characteristics that we seek are typically found in companies producing branded
consumer goods, and pharmaceuticals, media and advertising
Country ● Country weightings are a product of our bottom-up stock selection process. The typical
concentrations in our portfolios are Europe (non-UK), North America and the UK
These internal parameters are subject to change, not necessarily with notice to shareholders
Page 16 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Largest recent buy AB InBev – truly global blue chip company
Source: DataStream, company data, Investec Asset Management, as at 30 June 2012
This is not a buy or sell recommendation for any particular stock
Quality
7 out of top 10 global beer brands in the world
Growth
Sustainable profit growth - world's largest brewer
with nearly 25% global market share
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
% E
BIT
DA
Marg
in
EB
ITD
A in $
m
Page 17 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Largest recent buy AB InBev – truly global blue chip company
● 14 brands that generate over USD 1bn p.a. in revenue
● No. 1 or No. 2 position in many of the world’s most profitable beer markets
● Especially strong in the U.S., Brazil, and China – countries that are expected to drive the majority of global
industry volume growth for the next several years
Yield
Free Cash Flow yield
Valuation
Share price and market earnings expectations
Source: Investec Asset Management, as at 30 June 2012
This is not a buy, sell or hold recommendation for any particular security
Page 18 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Investment process Sell discipline
Stocks are sold when:
● Stock has reached fair value:
− Free Cashflow Yields approach weighted average
long bond yields
− Trading meaningfully above replacement value of
assets (including intangibles)
● Better risk-adjusted idea has emerged:
− Meaningful improvement in the Quality and/or
Value of the portfolio
● Investment case is no longer applicable:
− Change in macro/regulatory/Industry environment
− Change in company fundamentals
− Adverse change in a company's corporate
governance policies
We trade infrequently and base
the decision to SELL a security on
the same principles as the
decision to BUY
GSF
Why invest in global franchise
companies?
Page 20 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Portfolio characteristics High quality reflected by strong credit ratings and low CDS spreads
● Strong business models and management
● Low capital intensity
● Strong balance sheets
● Portfolio has AA average rating
● CDS spread below many AAA and AA sovereigns
Compelling Valuation
High Quality Sustainable Growth Above Average Yield
Sources: Investec Asset Management, Company reports, Bloomberg, 30 September 2012
Update
Quarterly
Data
from Abrie
G:\Depts\Marketing\Presentations\Hamilton Brown Graphics\¬MASTER
GSF\MASTER_Global Franchise\Evidence\Global Franchise
evidence.xlsx\Credit Rating
Credit
rating
CDS spread
(bps)
Coca-Cola A+ 45.90
Colgate-Palmolive AA- 38.08
Pfizer A+ 52.80
Johnson & Johnson AAA 31.94
Kellogg's A- 54.14
Kimberly Clark A 42.40
Nestle AA+ 31.47
Pepsi AA+ 49.54
P&G AA- 45.62
Unilever A+ 30.18
Microsoft AA+ 25.01
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Jan-0
9
Jul-0
9
Jan-1
0
Jul-1
0
Jan-1
1
Jul-1
1
Jan-1
2
Jul-1
2
Jan-1
3
Nestle 5Y CDS spreads (bps)
Unilever 5Y CDS spreads (bps)
UK Government 5Y CDS spreads (bps)
Page 21 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Est. % sales from
Emerging Markets
Coca-Cola 57%
Colgate-Palmolive 45%
Pfizer 18%
Johnson & Johnson 14%
Kellogg's 15%
Kimberly Clark 32%
L'Oreal 24%
Nestle 41%
Pepsi 29%
P&G 37%
Unilever 54%
Anheuser-busch Inbev 56%
Portfolio characteristics Emerging markets exposure provide sustain long term growth prospects
● The Global Franchise investment universe has
demonstrated long term sustainable earnings growth
benefiting from:
− Competitive advantages (brands, patents etc)
− Stable growing industries
− Disciplined capital allocation
Update
Quarterly
Data
from Abrie
Sources: Investec Asset Management, Company reports, Bloomberg, and DataStream
This is not a buy or sell recommendation for any particular stock as at 30 September 2012 .
Attractive Valuation
High Quality Sustainable Growth Above Average Yield G:\Depts\Marketing\Presentations\Hamilton Brown Graphics\¬MASTER
GSF\MASTER_Global Franchise\Evidence\Global Franchise
evidence.xlsx\Est % Sales table
G:\Depts\Marketing\Presentations\Hamilton Brown Graphics\¬MASTER
GSF\MASTER_Global Franchise\Evidence\Global Franchise
evidence.xlsx\Sheet1
Franchise Universe EW Share price and EPS in
20
40
60
80
100
120
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000
Jul 92
Jun 9
3A
pr
94
Feb
95
De
c 9
5O
ct 96
Aug 9
7Jun 9
8A
pr
99
Feb
00
De
c 0
0O
ct 01
Aug 0
2Jun 0
3A
pr
04
Feb
05
De
c 0
5O
ct 06
Aug 0
7Jul 08
Ma
y 0
9M
ar
10
Jan 1
1N
ov 1
1S
ep 1
2
Price [LHS]
EPS 12m Fwd. [RHS]
Page 22 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Many global franchise stocks are currently at multi-decade
attractive valuation levels
Source: Sanford Bernstein, 30 September 2012
Update
Quarterly
Data
from Abrie
Compelling Valuation
High Quality Sustainable Growth Above Average Yield Staples free cash flow yield less corporate bond yield
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
2
77 79 80 81 83 84 85 87 88 89 91 92 93 95 96 97 99 00 01 03 04 05 07 08 09 11
Perc
ent
(%)
G:\Depts\Marketing\Presentations\Hamilton Brown Graphics\¬MASTER
GSF\MASTER_Global Franchise\Evidence\Global Franchise
evidence.xlsx\Staples
● Strong cash generation
● Free Cash Flow Yield and Dividend Yield
significantly above developed market bond and
corporate yields
Page 23 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Portfolio characteristics Absolute valuations are attractive
Global franchise stocks are trading at
historically attractive levels
Attractive Valuation
High Quality Sustainable Growth Above Average Yield
Sources: Investec Asset Management, Company reports, Bloomberg, 30 September 2012
This is not a buy or sell recommendation for any particular stock
*December 2012 PE is Bloomberg consensus numbers
Update
Quarterly
Data
from Abrie
G:\Depts\Marketing\Presentations\Hamilton Brown Graphics\¬MASTER
GSF\MASTER_Global Franchise\Evidence\Global Franchise
evidence.xlsx\PE Table
Franchise Universe EW forward PE
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
Jul 92
Jul 93
Jul 94
Jul 95
Jul 96
Jul 97
Jul 98
Jul 99
Jul 00
Jul 01
Jul 02
Jul 03
Jul 04
Jul 05
Jul 06
Jul 07
Jul 08
Jul 09
Jul 10
Jul 11
Jul 12
Page 24 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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A challenging macroeconomic environment
Key investment challenges:
● Negative returns on “risk free” assets
● Inflation vs. deflation
− Quantitative easing
− Deleveraging and stagnant economic activity in the West
● Shorter economic and market cycles
Page 25 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Negative real yields Fear combining with greed?
Source: Bloomberg, Investec Asset Management to 30 September 2012
US 7-10 year index linked bond yields
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
Ma
r 97
Sep 9
7
Ma
r 98
Sep 9
8
Ma
r 99
Sep 9
9
Ma
r 00
Sep 0
0
Ma
r 01
Sep 0
1
Ma
r 02
Sep 0
2
Ma
r 03
Sep 0
3
Ma
r 04
Sep 0
4
Ma
r 05
Sep 0
5
Ma
r 06
Sep 0
6
Ma
r 07
Sep 0
7
Ma
r 08
Sep 0
8
Ma
r 09
Sep 0
9
Ma
r 10
Sep 1
0
Ma
r 11
Sep 1
1
Ma
r 12
Sep 1
2
Page 26 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Liquidity We have not stopped the QE/LTRO/RRR presses yet…
Central Banks balanced sheets ECB, BOE, FED, PBOC, BOJ
$12.2trn
ECB €2.9trn
BOE £345bn
FED $2.9trn
BOJ ¥27.8trn
PBOC RMB 28trn
Source: Bloomberg, Investec Asset Management, as at 31 December 2011
Page 27 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Uncertain cycles The global economy could have peaked already
CitiGroup G10 Economic Surprise Index
Source: Bloomberg to 30 September 2012
-150
-100
-50
50
100
Ma
y 0
7
Jul 07
Sep 0
7
No
v 0
7
Jan 0
8
Ma
r 08
Ma
y 0
8
Jul 08
Sep 0
8
No
v 0
8
Jan 0
9
Ma
r 09
Ma
y 0
9
Jul 09
Sep 0
9
No
v 0
9
Jan 1
0
Ma
r 10
Ma
y 1
0
Jul 10
Sep 1
0
No
v 1
0
Jan 1
1
Ma
r 11
Ma
y 1
1
Jul 11
Sep 1
1
No
v 1
1
Jan 1
2
Ma
r 12
Ma
y 1
2
Jul 12
Sep 1
2
MAJOR ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
GSF Current positioning
Page 29 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Name Weight PE FCF Yield DY EM % Sales
Anheuser-busch Inbev ( Budweiser, Beck's, Stella Artois ) 5.4% 17.9 7.7 2.5 56%
Microsoft Corp (Windows, Office, Xbox, Bing) 5.2% 9.6 11.4 2.9 13%
Japan Tobacco (Camel, Winston, Mild Seven, B&H) 5.2% 13.4 7.5 3.2 26%
Imperial Tobacco Group (Davidoff, Gauloises, West) 4.9% 10.9 5.9 4.9 34%
Samsung Electronics (Samsung) 4.5% 8.4 5.6 0.6 75%
Unilever (Axe, Knor, Blue Band, Lipton, Dove, Lux, Flora, Omo) 4.5% 16.6 5.4 3.5 54%
Reckitt Benckiser Group (Nurofen, Finish, Vanish, Dettol, Strepsils) 4.4% 14.5 6.6 3.7 32%
Nestlé (Nescafe, Maggi ,Nesquik) 4.2% 16.6 4.5 3.7 41%
Pfizer (Lipitor, Viagra, Celebrex, Zoloft, Norvasc) 4.1% 11.0 8.5 3.6 18%
Johnson & Johnson 3.9% 12.8 6.8 3.7 14%
Total/Average 46.3% 13.2 7.0 3.2 36.3%
Global Franchise Top 10 An attractive mix of Value and Growth
Not a buy, sell or hold recommendation
Source: Investec Asset Management as at 30 September 2012
Data
from Abrie
Update
Monthly
A concentrated portfolio
G:\Depts\Marketing\Presentations\Hamilton Brown Graphics\¬MASTER
GSF\MASTER_Global Franchise\Evidence\Global Franchise
evidence.xlsx\Top 10
Page 30 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Top holdings Japan Tobacco – Looking beyond the country
● World's third largest tobacco company with brands
sold in 120 countries
● 66% of the cigarette market in Japan (4th largest in
the world)
● Compelling valuation – FCF Yield 7.5%
● Trading at significant discount to global tobacco peer
group
Source: DataStream, company data, Investec Asset Management, March 2012
This is not a buy or sell recommendation for any particular stock
Attractive and improving ROIC – trend looks set to
continue
12.7%
35.9%
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Dividend per share Dividend Payout Ratio
Increasing dividend yield
Page 31 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Top holdings Microsoft Corp... re-inventing itself
Source: DataStream, company data, Investec Asset Management, December 2011
This is not a buy or sell recommendation for any particular stock
Microsoft versus Coca Cola
● World’s largest software corporation
● AAA rated company
Microsoft ROIC – profitability still strong and improving
CAGR 16Yr 10Yr 5Yr 3Yr 16Yr 10Yr 5Yr 3Yr
Revenue 16.5% 10.7% 9.6% 5.0% 5.0% 7.3% 8.7% 6.8%
Net Income 18.7% 10.2% 11.6% 9.4% 7.5% 8.6% 9.4% 9.0%
Free Cashflow 18.3% 7.2% 13.9% 10.2% 7.5% 9.9% 5.8% 10.0%
Microsoft Coca-Cola Company
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
55.0%
60.0%
65.0%
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Page 32 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Top holdings Unilever – Leaner, fitter, hopefully quicker than before
● Attractive portfolio of assets with 85% of sales #1 or #2, and low private label exposure
● Improvements in strategy, operations and culture led by a new highly competent management team
● Attractive valuation offers substantial margin of safety
Source: DataStream, company data, Investec Asset Management, March 2012
This is not a buy or sell recommendation for any particular stock
Unilever: Relative Fwd PE* vs. Peer Group (1990 to date)
Excellent brands and market position
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
Dec-8
9
Feb-9
0
Ap
r-92
Jun
-93
Aug
-94
Oct-
95
Dec-9
6
Feb-9
8
Ap
r-99
Jun
-00
Aug
-01
Oct-
02
Dec-0
3
Feb-0
5
Ap
r-06
Jun
-07
Aug
-08
Oct-
09
Dec-1
0
Feb-1
2
Average: 102
"Premium"...Average Premium: +17%
"Purgatory"...Average Discount: -11%
Source: FactSet, Company reports, Bernstein estimates
*3m rolling except last 3m
Page 33 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
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Top holdings Nestlé – The quintessential global franchise stock
Source: DataStream, company data, Investec Asset Management , May 2012
This is not a buy or sell recommendation for any particular stock
Nestle share price has outperformed the market through
multiple cycles (1973-2012) due to compounding
(CAGR:13.1%) and steadily increasing exposure to EM
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
% o
f sale
s
Popula
tion (
m)
% of Nestle Sales
EM Population (Million)
Develop Market Population(Million)
EM is adding 1bn new emerging market consumers by
2020
50
500
5,000
Jan-9
0
Jan-9
1
Jan-9
2
Jan-9
3
Jan-9
4
Jan-9
5
Feb
-96
Feb
-97
Feb
-98
Feb
-99
Feb
-00
Mar-
01
Mar-
02
Mar-
03
Mar-
04
Mar-
05
Ap
r-06
Ap
r-07
Ap
r-08
Ap
r-09
Ap
r-10
May-1
1
May-1
2
Lo
g s
cale
MSCI World Nestle
Page 34 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
10801
Sector and geographic allocation
Sector allocation Geographic allocation
The portfolio may change significantly over a short period of time
Source: Investec Asset Management as at 30 September 2012
Update
Monthly
Data comes from
Factsheet
Consumer Staples 56.0%
Information Technology
16.5%
Health Care12.5%
Consumer Discretionary
3.0%
Cash 9.3%
North America39.1%
Europe Ex UK23.6%
United Kingdom
18.3%
Japan5.2%
Emerging Markets
4.5%
Cash9.3%
G:\Depts\Marketing\Presentations\Hamilton Brown Graphics\¬MASTER
GSF\MASTER_Global Franchise\Evidence\Global Franchise
evidence.xlsx\Allocation Pie Charts
Page 35 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
10801
Current portfolio characteristics Focus on quality and value
● Low gearing, low capital intensity (growth requires
less capital)
● Overweight consumer staples (defensive and ideal for
declining equity markets)
● Overweight consumer cyclicals with dominant
intangibles (relatively defensive and likely to recover
in line with cyclicals)
● No banks, but selected financials
Global
Franchise
MSCI (AC)
World
Free Cash Flow Yield 6.9% 6.7%
Dividend Yield 3.1% 2.7%
ROCE 15.5% 13.2%
Price/Earnings 13.4 13.1
Average Market Capitalisation $117.3bn $14.9bn
Tracking error 9.3%
Current Beta 0.68
*The above reflects the portfolio characteristics of the Investec Global Franchise Fund as at 30 September 2012
**Comparative index has changed to MSCI AC World Index from 1 October 2011
The portfolio may change significantly over a short period of time. Source: Investec Asset Management
Data
from Abrie
Update
Monthly
Page 36 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
10801
Summary
● Differentiated philosophy and process
● Bottom-up, fundamental research-based approach
● A concentrated portfolio with a focus on quality and value
− Quality and Value criteria eliminate most businesses
● Seeks long-term outperformance: by participating meaningfully in up markets and losing
less in down markets
● Aim to have the same consistency and relative predictability in our investment results,
as the companies we seek to hold in the portfolio
● Seek to invest in companies with business models which can provide some certainty in
uncertain markets
● Manage the absolute risks that are most likely to jeopardise the achievement of long-
term total returns
GSF Thank you www.investecassetmanagement.com
Page 38 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
10801
Abrie Pretorius
Investment Analyst
6 years with the firm
6 years of industry experience
Abrie is an Analyst in the Contrarian team at Investec
Asset Management with a particular focus on the Global
Franchise and Global Contrarian Strategies. Abrie
joined the Contrarian team in 2009 from the
Performance and Risk team where he spent three years
as a risk analyst. During this time, Abrie was
instrumental in developing the risk model capabilities in
our London and Cape Town offices.
Abrie graduated from the University of the North West,
Potchefstroom Campus with a Master of Science
degree in Quantitative Risk Management: Investment
Management (Cum Laude). Abrie is a CFA
Charterholder.
Clyde Rossouw
Portfolio Manager
13 years with the firm
18 years of industry experience
Clyde is a Portfolio Manager at Investec Asset
Management with a focus on multi-asset absolute return
and low volatility real return equity investing. His
portfolio manager duties include the flagship Multi-Asset
Investec Opportunity Strategy that he has run since
February 2003 and the two equity-oriented Investec
Global Opportunity Equity and Global Franchise
Strategies. Clyde joined Investec Asset Management in
November 1999, initially as an asset allocation and
sector allocation strategist.
Prior to Investec Asset Management, Clyde was
awarded a study bursary by Sanlam where he worked
for eight years, including five years in asset
management. His experience in investments there
included fixed income analysis and portfolio
management.
Clyde graduated from the University of Cape Town with
a Bachelor of Science (Statistics and Actuarial Science)
degree. He was awarded the Certificates in Actuarial
Techniques in 1995, and Finance and Investments in
1997 by the Institute of Actuaries in London. Clyde is a
CFA Charterholder.
Alessandro Dicorrado
Analyst
1 year with the firm
8 years of industry experience
Alessandro is an analyst in the Contrarian team at
Investec Asset Management.
Previously he worked at JP Morgan Chase & Co as a
fixed income derivatives salesperson in London.
He graduated from UCL in 2004 with a BSc (Hons)
degree in Economics and holds a Masters degree in
Finance from the London Business School. He has
passed Level one of the CFA Programme.
Updated
for 2012
Biographies
Page 39 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
10801
Michael du Plessis
Analyst
1 year with the firm
3 years of industry experience
Mike is an analyst for the Contrarian team at Investec
Asset Management.
Previously he worked as an analyst at Regarding
Capital Management in Cape Town.
He graduated from Nottingham University in 2007 with a
BA (hons) degree in Business Management before
studying at Cass Business School where he graduated
in 2008 with an MSc in Finance and Accounting.
Updated
for 2012
Rob Forsyth
Sector Head: Industrial,
Consumer and Technology
17 years with the firm
17 years of industry experience
Rob is an analyst in Investec Asset Management’s
South African Equities team, as well as the sector head
of industrials, a position he assumed in 2003.
Prior to focussing on this role full time, Rob was a
sector equity portfolio manager, whose responsibilities
included the Momentum Industrial Fund (Unit Trust) and
a building block of the SYmmETRY range called the Old
Mutual Industrial and Consumer Fund. In addition, Rob
managed the Investec Growth Strategy for two years to
2001 and the Investec Global Consumer Strategy for
close to two years, after its launch in 1996.
Rob joined Investec Asset Management in 1995 as an
investment analyst. He graduated from the University of
Cape Town with a Bachelor of Business Science
(Finance) degree.
Biographies
Page 40 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
10801
Contact details
Telephone: +44 (0)20 7597 1900
Email: [email protected]
Investec Asset Management
Woolgate Exchange
25 Basinghall Street
London
EC2V 5HA
United Kingdom
www.investecassetmanagement.com
Telephone calls may be recorded for training and quality assurance purposes.
Issued by Investec Asset Management, October 2012
Page 41 | Investec GSF Global Franchise Fund | CONFIDENTIAL
10801
Important information GSF
This communication is not for general public distribution. If you are a private investor and receive it as part of a general circulation, please contact us
at +44 (0)20 7597 1900.
The value of this investment, and any income generated from it, will be affected by changes in interest rates, general market conditions and other
political, social and economic developments, as well as by specific matters relating to the assets in which it invests. The Fund’s investment objective
will not necessarily be achieved and investors are not certain to make profits; losses may be made. Past performance should not be taken as a guide
to the future. Performance would be lower had initial charges been included and will vary between different share classes dependant upon their
applicable charges. Returns to individual investors will vary in accordance with their personal tax status and tax domicile.
All the information contained in this communication is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete. Any opinions stated are honestly
held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon. This is not a buy, sell or hold recommendation for any particular security. The portfolio
may change significantly over a short period of time.
This communication is provided for general information only. It is not an invitation to make an investment nor does it constitute an offer for sale. The
full documentation that should be considered before making an investment, including the Prospectus, or Key Investor Information Documents, which
set out the fund specific risks, is available from Investec Asset Management.
The Fund is domiciled in Luxembourg. This communication should not be distributed to private customers who are resident in countries where the
Fund is not registered for sale or in any other circumstances where its distribution is not authorised or is unlawful. Please visit
www.investecassetmanagement.com/registrations to check registrations by country. In Switzerland, the Key Investor Information Documents,
Prospectus and Report & Accounts may be obtained free of charge from the Swiss Representative and Paying Agent, RBC Dexia Investor Services
Bank S.A., Esch-sur-Alzette, Badenerstrasse 567, P.O. Box 101, CH-8066 Zurich. In Germany, the Prospectus and Report & Accounts (available in
English) and Key Investor Information Documents (available in English and German) may be obtained free of charge from the German
Representative, J.P. Morgan AG, Junghofstraße 14, 60311 Frankfurt am Main.
In the USA, this communication should only be read by institutional investors, professional financial advisers and, at their exclusive discretion, their
eligible clients, but must not be distributed to US Persons.
THIS INVESTMENT IS NOT FOR SALE TO US PERSONS.
Telephone calls may be recorded for training and quality assurance purposes. Issued by Investec Asset Management Limited which is authorised and
regulated by the Financial Services Authority, October 2012.