Integrating new observing and monitoring systems into operational networks Steve Noyes Executive Director, EUMETNET EIG Presentation to the Supersites.

Integrating new observing and monitoring systems into operational networks

Steve Noyes

Executive Director, EUMETNET EIG

Presentation to the Supersites Coordination Workshop June 2013

GIE/EIG EUMETNET, Registered Number 0818.801.249 - RPM Bruxelles

Austria Belgium Croatia Cyprus Czech Rep. Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Italy

Latvia Luxemburg Malta Montenegro Netherlands Norway Poland Portugal Serbia Slovenia Spain Sweden The FYROM Switzerland United Kingdom

30 EUMETNET MembersThe National Met Services

of:


EUMETNET Mission

To help its Members to develop and share their individual and joint capabilities through cooperation programmes that enable enhanced networking, interoperability, optimisation and integration within Europe; and also to enable collective representation with European bodies in order that these capabilities can be exploited effectively.

From EUMETNET Strategy


Relation to Supersites• EUMETNET Members are users of the Supersites• The Toulouse and London VAAC are operated by 2

EUMETNET Members• During a major volcanic event, the national weather

service will be sitting alongside the geophysical experts briefing governments on the airborne component of the eruption

• Weather forecast models are used to drive dispersion and air quality models – these need good quality input data from the supersites to initialise the models

• We also need ash and gas cloud monitoring data to verify and validate our model predictions

The EUMETNET Observations ProgrammeThe Obs Programme is a mandatory (all 30 Members participate) Programme of EUMETNET. Covers non-space based observations and is designed to complement and not duplicate space capabilities.


Observations Programme

Key Output:

The EUMETNET Composite Observing System (EUCOS) is the primary output of the Observation Programme in the form of standardised, quality controlled observations for use by downstream users including for example:

• Weather forecasting and numerical modelling

• Climate monitoring and climate services

• Civil protection and emergency response

• Transport (road, rail, maritime and aviation)

• Defence

• Energy (extraction, generation, demand management, distribution)


The current EUCOS network

• All European automated weather balloon observations• All measurements from European commercial aircraft• 4 moored buoys and all European drifting buoys• European Voluntary Observing Ships• European weather balloon observations• European synoptic weather stations• Selected European wind profilers (+ wind profiles derived

from weather radar data)• Selected European weather radars• Selected European GNSS sites and Analysing Centres


EUCOS Performance Standards• Describes Performance Standards, Monitoring and

Change Control Procedures for all EUCOS networks• Defining targets on (typically):

– Percentage of observations received from Network– Percentage received by HH+100 Threshold target.– Percentage received by HH+50 Breakthrough target.– Accuracy targets of particular parameters

(e.g. temperature, wind speed and direction, pressure, humidity)


EUCOS Performance Standards - example


Monitoring: EUCOS network performance Q1 2012Q1 2012 Network

Target: 95% Target: 90% Target: 95%

93.8% 99.6% 99.9%

Target: 95% Target: 75% Target: 95% Target: 97% Target: 95%

89.3% 81.7% 96.2% 96.2% 91.2%

Ocean platform Target: 95% Target: 75% Target: 95% Target: 95% Target: 90% 01400 Ekofisk 93.8% 87.3% 96.6% 93.9% 85.5%

Annual based target: * Target: 75% Target: 95% Target: 90% Target: 75%

4,453 obs 85.0% 95.3% 81.0% 73.0%

1,131 obs

(equals 25%)

Quarterly target:** Target: 90% Target: 95%

3 Mio. obs 94.2% 97.3%

3,742,676 Target: 780

(equals 125%) 928

Target: 140

147

Moored buoys Target: 90% Target: 90% Target: 95% E-SURFMAR 96.7% 74.9% 99.1%

Drifting buoys Target: 88% Target: 90% Target: 95% E-SURFMAR 96.4% 87.9% 96.8%

Automated VOS ships Daily avg target: Target: 90% Target: 95% E-SURFMAR 1,000 obs 96.7% 98.8%

1,180 obs

(equals 118%)

Conventional VOS ships Daily avg target: Target: 90% Target: 95% E-SURFMAR 250 obs 82.3% 93.8%

285 obs

(equals 114%)

E-WINPROF

Wind profiler Target: 85% Total WP network 87.8%20 operational WP 99.2%6 non-operational WP 72.1%

Weather radars No target defined**Total WRWP network 74.1%33 operational WRWP 81.3%68 non-operational WRWP 68.0%

**: Because WRWP systems only provide data if hydrometeors are detected no target on data availability is defined.

*: The AMDAR target bases on an annual target of 12 Mio. messages. The 2010 performance displays the AMDAR observations including additional data e.g. DWD, Met Office and Météo France sub-3-hourly data (gross) and the EUCOS funded observations (net).

performance in comparison to previous quarter:

up target achieved

dow n <10% below target

stable (<1% range) =>10% below target

Target: 85%

--- --- ---95.6%

99.8%

90.4%

Timeliness HH+60

--- --- ---Target: 85%

97.1%

99.8%

91.5%

--- --- ---

--- --- ---

--- --- ---

--- --- ---

---

ASAP units

---

E-AMDAR

--- ---

Profile distribution

daily profiles

daily airports

Surface stations--- --- ---

Radiosonde stations---

Data availabilityTimeliness HH+50 (Radiosondes: TEMP AB)

Timeliness HH+100 (Radiosondes: TEMP CD) Achieving 100 hPa Achieving 50 hPa

Individual targets subprogrammes


Monitoring: EUCOS network performance Q1 2012

Examples of a EUCOS network component- Aircraft Observations (E-AMDAR)- Drifting Buoys (E-SURFMAR)- GNSS water vapour (E-GVAP)


E-AMDAR Daily coverage – 31st January 2013


E-AMDAR Network Performance 2012 EUCOS Objectives for E-AMDAR

2008 2012 ACTUAL(Gross)

2012 ACTUAL(Nett)

Number of airports in EUCOS area observed daily

140 152 143

Number of 3 hourly observed airports 40 41 371

Total daily number of profiles within EUCOS area

780 845(866 M-F/794 WE)

7211

Data over Sensitive EUCOS Areas 27% 35.86% 30.48%

WWW contribution 12% 8.02%2 6.82%2

Annual number of E-AMDAR funded observations

12M 14.37M 11.10M3

Total number of E-AMDAR aircraft equipped with development WVSS-II units

3 2/14 2/1 4

Timeliness T + 50 90% 94,2% 94,2%

Timeliness T + 100 95% 97,2% 97,2%


Drifting Buoys (network)

January 2013

Eumetnet drifting buoys in redNon-Eumetnet drifting buoys in blue

All buoys on the map are measuringair pressure at least


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

janv-03 janv-04 janv-05 janv-06 janv-07 janv-08 janv-09 janv-10 janv-11 janv-12 janv-13

Pe

rce

nt

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13

Nu

mb

er

of

bu

oy

s

Arctic

Others (e.g. EC)

Upgrades Argos

Upgrades Iridium

SVP-BW

Argos SVP-B

Iridium SVP-B

FGGE-W

FGGE

Drifting Buoys (availability & timeliness)

Percentage of reports sent onto theGTS less than 50 minutes after the

observation time

The long term target has been definitely reached in May 2012 thanks to the use of

Iridium instead of Argos for data transmission

Long term target : 90%

Short term target : 70%

Number of E-SURFMARoperating drifting buoys

The number of operating buoys has beenback above the target of 100 since August

Target : 100


GNSSDATA COVERAGEStatus map from 20091112 09:17 from the E-GVAP validation site.

Validation statistics and graphs are created automatically and shown via click at each square representing a GPS site


Total number of ZTD observations per month.

Order 14 million.


Expansion of network• An MoU has been signed between EUPOS and EUMETNET

(to provide a framework for the geodetic meteorological collaboration between the parties), and about specific access to data from,

• Hungary• Poland• Latvia• Bulgaria

• National MoUs between the local NMHS and the national Geodetic agency are now being discussed.


EUPOS sites, http://www.eupos.hu/map_out.php

Why is all this important for volcanic ash observations?


Operational users need:

• To know availability and anticipated timeliness• To know quality and bias of individual observations• To have confidence in the data before they invest in

using it in their systems or decision making processes• To understand the strengths and weaknesses of the data• To have a cost effective solution through integration with

existing operational networks rather than set up new independent systems

• To have complementary capabilities in an integrated system

E-PROFILE Operational Service

(EUMETNET – vertical profile observations)


Network of Weatherradar profiles


Mission

E-WINPROF operational service• Provides vertical profiles of wind measurements from WP and WR

from a network of locations across Europe.• Improve the overall usability of wind profiler data for operational

meteorology.• Provide support and expertise to both profiler operators and end

users.

Addition of Lidar and Ceilometer (ALC) observations• Provides vertical backscatter profiles from ALC

– Analysis of the user requirements for ALC observations.– Production of business case.– Implementation and operational acceptance.


Ceilometer Stations over Europe

Courtesy of W. Thomas (DWD)


What information does a ALC provide

Cloud

Boundary Layer

aerosol/dust/ash

[Heese et al., 2010]

A ALC provides much more than the cloud base…


Summary

• Important when developing R&D investments to plan for operational implementation

• Ensures operational user needs are considered at an early stage

• Standardisation, harmonisation, integration, complementarity, quality assurance, bias statistics and assured availability of information are important performance characteristics for operational users

• EUVONET roadmap and the EUMETNET observations programme both envisage a transition from H2020 R&D to operational implementation of non-space based volcanic ash monitoring systems later this decade.


Contact Details

Steve NoyesExecutive Director

GIE/EIG EUMETNET European Meteorological Services' Network

www.eumetnet.eu

GIE EUMETNET Secretariatc/o L’Institut Royal Météorologique de Belgique

Avenue Circulaire 31180 Bruxelles, Belgique

Registered Number 0818.801.249 - RPM Bruxelles

Tel: +32 (0)2 373 05 18Fax: +32 (0)2 890 98 58

Email: [email protected]

Integrating new observing and monitoring systems into operational networks Steve Noyes Executive Director, EUMETNET EIG Presentation to the Supersites.

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