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IMOS 2012 IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013 Node Plans for 2010 - 2013 Leadership from: Smith, Buxton, Thompson, Swadling, Sainsbury, Schiller Tasmania has a large marine research community with diverse interests….
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Page 1: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

IMOS 2012

IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013

Node Plans for 2010 - 2013

Leadership from:Smith, Buxton, Thompson, Swadling, Sainsbury, Schiller

Tasmania has a large marine research community with diverse interests….

Page 2: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

IMOS 2013

IMOS and the Tassie Node philosophy• Its underlying scientific rationale is to link

the physics to the fish, really….

• New in 2012• 2nd IMOS glider arrived • IMOS AUV transects completed• 2nd IMOS acoustic curtain deployed to monitor

movements of key species• Stronger links to Victoria and northern Bass Strait

Page 3: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

• Tas IMOS ‘Facility’ Leaders– Benthic: Neville Barrett– Gliders: Peter Thompson– Maria Island NRS: Tim Lynch– Acoustic curtains: Jayson Semmens– Other moorings: Christopher Watson– SOOP: Rudy Kloser……(physics to fish)

– Remote sensing: Edward King– Bass Strait:

IMOS 2013

Page 4: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Rudy Kloser CSIRO [email protected]

Special thanks to:

Sealord Australian Longline Marine National Facility

IMOS CSIRO Wealth from Oceans flagship

CSIRO CPR Anthony Richardson, Marine Instrumentation Matt Sherlock, Jeff Cordell and Andreas Marouchos

SOOP by Rudy Kloser, phytoplankton, zooplankton,midtrophic level fish, commercially caught fish

Page 5: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Basin scale monitoring

Samples from 600-800 m

Net and Acoustic depth stratified (200 m day night strata) sampling along Trans Tasman transect in June

2008

Page 6: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Ocean basin studies using fishing vessels

Australia

New Zealand

0 m

1500 m

17th June

21st June

Integrated Marine Observing System 38 kHz vessel of opportunity acoustic data

Validation experiments• Midwater nets with attached acoustic-optical system

MIDOC net AOS 38 kHz

AOS DSLR

Density, biodiversity and biogeography of micronekton at the scale of an ocean basin with nets, acoustics and optics

Profile of net deployment

Page 7: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

IMOS 2012

IMOS• AATAMS sub facility led by Jayson Semmens at UTas

– 2 curtains– 1 at Maria Island

» Just recovered!– 2nd at Cape Barren Island

Significant co-investment in infrastructure from:

CSIRO (David Smith)UTas (Colin Buxton)Ocean Tagging Network

Deployed in January 2012

Page 8: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

IMOS 2013(Photos: Darren Moore)

Storm Bay

(Photo: Tony Sprent)

GPS Buoy

Bass Strait

Sub-Facility 11e:

Satellite Altimetry CAL/VAL:• First sea surface height bias data stream was

provided to the mission team in late October 2010 – the data has been highly valued.

• CSIRO co-invests in additional instruments for validation of Storm Bay model

• This stream gets enhanced and updated as new mooring and altimeter data comes online.

• Enquiries: Christopher Watson ([email protected])

Page 9: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

National Reference Stations NUTRIENTS!

Key* - long term site# - infrastructure deployed+ - Telemetry^ BGC sampling

Page 10: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Declining silicate but not nitrate?

IMOS 2012

time (year)

1940 1960 1980 2000

nitra

te (µ

M)

0

2

4

6

8

10

Mean

silic

ate

(µM

)

0

1

2

3

4

5NO3

Si

Supply ≠ mixing

[Si] ↓ rise in

other taxa

Toxic dino blooms?

Annual mean values (n = 60)Maria Island

Long-term changes in temperate Australian coastal waters: implications for phytoplankton. Thompson, Baird, Ingleton, Doblin. Marine Ecology Progress Series 394: 1-19 2009.

Page 11: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Modelling 101

• Predicting ecosystem responses from basic data

IMOS 2013

nutrients

phytoplankton

zooplankton

Page 12: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Nutrients: vertical mixing and silicate as a limiting nutrient

• Grant (1971) ‘Variation in silicate concentration atPort Hacking station, Sydney, in relation to phytoplankton growth’ in the Aust J Mar Freshw Res 22:49–54

IMOS 2012

Page 13: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

NRSLa Niña of 2011

IMOS 2012

Time (months and years)

Jun/09 Oct/09 Feb/10 Jun/10 Oct/10 Feb/11 Jun/11 Oct/11

mon

thly

sout

hern

osc

illatio

n in

dex

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

El Niño

La Niña

Austral year

Page 14: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Nutrients at Maria IslandSmall

differences between El Nino and La Nina

BUT there was something odd in 2012

High SILICATE

IMOS 2013

El Niño

La Niña

Nitrate ~ 3x silicate

Page 15: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Nutrients at Port Hacking

IMOS 2012

High SILICATE

El NiñoLa Niña

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Nutrients at North Stradbroke Island

IMOS 2012

High SILICATE

El Niño La Niña

Page 17: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Surface nutrients at Yongala

IMOS 2012

High SILICATE ~ 10x Maria Is.

El Niño La Niña

Page 18: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

El Nino versus La Nina• Behrenfeld et al.

estimated the 1997-98 La Nina caused a 5 petagram C increase in oceanographic PP relative to the following El Nino…– A challenge for us is to

substantiate ΔPP as well and the sequestration of that carbon

IMOS 2012

Austral summer La Nina

Austral summer El Nino

Page 19: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

IMOS 2013

NRS nutrient

datastrong shifts between

years (from el nino to la nina)

sampling was adequate to resolve inter-annual variability

Spatial-temporal patterns…..

Page 20: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Conceptual model for nitrogen supply to WA Coast

Adapted from Thompson, P.A., Wild-Allen, K., Lourey, M., Rousseaux, C., Waite A.M., Feng, M.,Beckley L.E. 2011. Nutrients in an oligotrophic boundary current: Evidence of a new role for theLeeuwin Current. Progress in Oceanography. (in press, accept 21/02/2011)

• Thin layer of high nitrate, low DO, colder, fresher water at ~ 24 and 25°S

• Captured by LC, dragged south at base of LC

• Where LC cools it intrudes into this layer and mixes to surface

• 3 modes south of 28°S– Eddy– Vertically mixed LC– Stratified LC

Page 21: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Picoplankton around Australia• For most Australian

waters the dominant biomass is < 2µm.

• Can characterize these by pigment and flow cytometry– Synechococcus– Prochlorococcus, the

world’s most abundant species (~1027

individuals) discovered in 1986 by Penny Chisholm. Picture courtesy of Paul Thomson (UWA)

Page 22: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

SCOR WG 137 2012

Picoscell counts

increase at mid latitudes on both coastProchloro-coccus

Percentage increase in 2011 (La Nina) relative to 2010 (El Nino).

Samples analysed by Paul Thomson (UWA)

Page 23: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

IMOS 2012

Interannual variability 2010 vs 2011

YON

NSI

PHB

MAI KA

IES

PR

OT

NIN

DAR

mea

n ch

la (µ

g L-1

)

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

Rottnest Island

0

100

200

300

400

* * *

KangarooIsland

0

100

200

300

400

500

chlaperidinin (dinos)19-but (pelago)Fuco (diatoms)Neo (greens)Prasino (greens)19-hex (coccos)allo (cryptos)zea (cyanos)DVchla (prochloro)chlb (greens)

* * **

Port Hacking

0

50

100

150

200

*

666%

4781%

North Stradbroke Island

0100200300400500600

Yongala

0

100

200

300

* * **

* * *

Esperance

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

* * * * *

Maria Island

0

50

100

150

200

250

* * *

Merry Christmas 2011

ND

All marker pigments normalized to chlorophyll aand as % of 2010.

2010 to 2011 represented a strong shift from el nino to la nina

Pigment sampling was adequate to resolve inter-annual variability at the Class level for phytoplankton

dinos

Page 24: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Conclusions

• La Nina impacts:Mid latitudes

= more tropical

East coast = more coastal

SW more active STF

SCOR WG 137 2012

More Prochlorococcus= more tropical

More greensAndPrasinophytes

More phytoplankton(chlorophyll a)

Page 25: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Longer termPhytoplanktonSpatial patterns

Sydney’s redtides of the 1990s(Noctiluca scinitillans)

Photos courtesy of Iain Suthers

Page 26: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Noctiluca• A recent

(2002) arrival in SE Tasmania*– Climate

change?– Temperature

tolerance?

• New toxic species: Alexandriumtamarense

Courtesy of Iain Suthers UNSW*Thompson, P.A., P. I. Bonham and K.M. Swadling. 2008. Phytoplankton blooms in the HuonEstuary, Tasmania: top down or bottom up control? Journal of Plankton Research. 30:735-753.

Page 27: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Toxic Algal Bloom!

• Closed east coast commercial and recreational harvest of:– Rock lobster– Shellfish

• Scallops, crabs, mussels, abalone, periwinkles etc

– Fish (scale fish) IMOS 2013

Alexandrium tamarense

Magro, K.L., Arnott, G.H., and Hill, D.R.A., (1997). Algal Blooms in Port Phillip Bay from March 1990 to February 1995: Temporal and Spatial Distribution and Dominant Species, Port Phillip Bay Environmental Study Technical Report No.27

Alexandrium tamarense

Page 28: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Speculative Conclusions

WEALTH FROM OCEANS

La Nina conditions inject Si into coastal waters in northern Australia

Transport of this south in the EAC determines the [Si] along the east coast of Tasmania in the following year

The structure of the La Nina water column also seems to favour dinos

picture by frank olsen

Page 29: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Glider Track

25 days operation6 cross-shelf transects~450 km travelled2345 profiles from surface to 10m above bottomMaximum depth 155m

Page 30: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Courtesy of Emlyn Jones (CSIRO)

Model: Glider Data

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Data Assimilating Coastal Model: Comparison with GHRSST

Jones, E. M., Oke, P. R., Rizwi, F. R. and Murray, L. Assimilation of glider and mooring data into a coastal ocean model. Submitted to Ocean Modelling, (in revision).

Page 32: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Flinders MPA (east of Bass Strait)

Freycinet (off Wineglass Bay)Huon MPATasmanian Fracture MPA

(south of Maatsuyker)

AUV benthic surveys

Neville Barrett Craig Johnson

Page 33: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Superscience Postdoctoral Fellow

Williams et al. ‘Monitoring of benthic reference sites’, IEEE Robotics and Automation Magazine, 19 (1) pp. 73-84. ISSN 1070-9932 (2012)

Johnson et al. ‘Climate change cascades: Shifts in oceanography, species' ranges and subtidal marine community dynamics in eastern Tasmania’, Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology, 400 (1-2) pp. 17-32. ISSN 0022-0981 (2011)

Edgar and Barrett ‘An assessment of population responses of common inshore fishes and invertebrates following declaration of five Australian marine protected areas’, Environmental Conservation, 39 (3) pp. 271-281.

Leaper et al. Comparing large-scale bioregions and fine-scale community-level biodiversity predictions from subtidal rocky reefs across south-eastern Australia’, Journal of Applied Ecology, 49 (4) pp. 851-860. ISSN 0021-8901 (2012)

Page 34: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

IMOS 2013

UPTAKE: ANiMMSThe Australian National Network in Marine Science is collaboration

between James Cook University, The University of Tasmania and The University of Western Australia. ANNIMS has recently funded five synthesis teams to address issues in marine science of national and international importance.

– SYNTHESIS OF BIOPHYSICAL PROCESSES RELATED TO RANGE SHIFTING SPECIES IN SOUTH EAST AND SOUTH WEST AUSTRALIA

– TEAM: Stewart Frusher, Gretta Pecl, Alistair Hobday, Neil Holbrook, Graham Edgar, Beth Fulton, Reg Watson, Peter Thompson, Nicole Hill, Thomas Wernberg, Daniel Smale, Ben Radford, Ming Feng, Jennifer Sunday, Amanda Bates

– Will use CPR and NRS data for phytoplankton and zooplankton

• Other ANiMMs projects– Understanding climate drivers and predicting the future for coastal Australian ecosystems:– The roles of waves, tides, eddies and cross-shelf flows in carbon exchange:– Triangulating climate records from fish, marine invertebrates and trees to understand ocean warming:

Page 35: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

ANiMMS

• Understanding the global redistribution of species in a changing climate

• Amanda Bates et al.

• In review: Nature Climate Change

IMOS 2013

Page 36: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

IMOS 2013

UPTAKE: INFORMD, NECTAR• INFORMD

new significant FRDC funded project in SE (2012) led by Scott Condie using IMOS data

NECTAR (National eResearch Collaboration Tools and Resources)

new investment in using IMOS data in Tasmania.

Page 37: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Conclusions

WEALTH FROM OCEANS

• First 5 years have been a great success

• Room for improvement in terms of:– Integration– Data availability– Products– Spatial coverage

picture by frank olsen

Page 38: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Declining Spring Bloom?

• Ocean colourdata to assess spring bloom dynamics

IMOS 2012

Long-term changes in temperate Australian coastal waters: implications for phytoplankton. Thompson, Baird, Ingleton, Doblin. Marine Ecology Progress Series 394: 1-19 2009.

Page 39: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Observational Science

Photons

Algal cellgrowth process

acclimationsbiochemical

morphological

Species levelinteractions

with theenvironment

•Processes•Growth•Losses

•sinking•grazing

LocalEcosystem

levelInteractions & Higher tropic

levels

Nutrientsnitrogen

silica

Page 40: IMOS and the proposed Tassie Nodeimos.org.au/fileadmin/user_upload/shared/IMOS... · IMOS 2012. IMOS and the Tassie Node 2013. Node Plans for 2010 - 2013. Leadership from: Smith,

Less phytoplankton?

• Tendency (significant trend) for the growth rate of the spring bloom to decline over the first 10 years of available SeaWifsdata.

IMOS 2012

Long-term changes in temperate Australian coastal waters: implications for phytoplankton. Thompson, Baird, Ingleton, Doblin. Marine Ecology Progress Series 394: 1-19 2009.

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CSIRO.

IMOS Observations: pelagic

• ARGOs: vital to the large scale hydrodynamics

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Data Assimilating Coastal Model: Summary• The assimilation of data from a relatively sparse coastal observing

network has improved our state estimates.• The EnOI approach is very computationally efficient when compared

with other algorithms (e.g. EnKF, 3D/4D Var)• Current work includes the estimation of model parametersJones, E. M., Oke, P. R., Rizwi, F. R. and Murray, L. Assimilation of glider and mooring data into a

coastal ocean model. Submitted to Ocean Modelling, (Under revision).

Possible Future Work:Generate a 2 year reanalysis similar to BRAN for the SETas region

• Assimilate glider, mooring and remote sensing data• Withhold the SB sampling data for validation

Objective array design (OSE/OSSE’s) using the DA tools?

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Data Assimilation: EnOI -Glider Data

43

Australian Coastal Modelling and information systems | Coastal Environmental Modelling Team

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Rise in dinoflagellates?• From the Huon

Estuary– Significant rise in

peridinin (found only in dinoflagellates) relative to chorophyll a = more dinos

IMOS 2012

Thompson, P.A., P. I. Bonham and K.M. Swadling. 2008. Phytoplanktonblooms in the Huon Estuary, Tasmania: top down or bottom up control? Journal of Plankton Research. 30:735-753.

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IMOS 2012

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IMOS 2013

IMOS and the Tassie Node

• Other facilities are crucial to achieving our vision:

– Argo Floats– Ships of Opportunity– Deep water moorings– Ocean Gliders– Satellite Remote Sensing