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Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent Temperature and Precipitation Anomalies Forecast for next 10 days – continuation of stormy pattern La-Nina Status Three Month Climate Outlook Water Supply Numbers and Idaho Spring Flood
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Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Jan 04, 2016

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Page 1: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook

IDWR Briefing, March 10th 2011Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service

National Snow Movies

Recent Temperature and Precipitation Anomalies

Forecast for next 10 days – continuation of stormy pattern

La-Nina Status

Three Month Climate Outlook

Water Supply Numbers and Idaho Spring Flood Outlook

Page 2: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.
Page 3: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.
Page 4: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Snow Water Equivalent February 8th, 2011

Snow Water Equivalent February 8th, 2011

Page 5: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Snow Water Equivalent March 11th, 2011

Snow Water Equivalent March 11th, 2011

Page 7: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.
Page 8: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Temperature and Precipitation at Boise

Temperature and Precipitation at Boise

Page 9: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Perceptible Water ImagePerceptible Water Image

Page 10: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Thursday - March 11th IR Satellite Imagery / 500 mb heights

Thursday - March 11th IR Satellite Imagery / 500 mb heights

Page 11: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Thursday, March 10th (Morning) 500 mb heights / model precipitation

Thursday, March 10th (Morning) 500 mb heights / model precipitation

Page 12: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Thursday, March 10th (Noon)500 mb heights / model precipitation

Thursday, March 10th (Noon)500 mb heights / model precipitation

Page 13: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Thursday, March 10th (evening)Thursday, March 10th (evening)

Page 14: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Saturday, March 11thSaturday, March 11th

Page 15: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Sunday, March 12thSunday, March 12th

Page 16: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Sunday, March 13thSunday, March 13th

Page 17: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Monday, March 14thMonday, March 14th

Page 18: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Tuesday, March 15thTuesday, March 15th

Page 19: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Wednesday, March 16thWednesday, March 16th

Page 20: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Thursday, March 17thThursday, March 17th

Page 21: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Total Precipitation Ending Thursday, March 17thTotal Precipitation Ending Thursday, March 17th

Page 22: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Mature La-Nina Beginning to Weaken

Mature La-Nina Beginning to Weaken

Page 23: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Cross Section Along EquatorCross Section Along Equator

Page 24: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

SST Outlook: NCEP CFS Forecast Issued 6 March 2011

SST Outlook: NCEP CFS Forecast Issued 6 March 2011

Most CFS ensemble forecasts predict the a return to near normal sea-surface

conditions by mid-summer 2011.

Page 25: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Temperature Precipitation

U. S. Seasonal OutlooksMarch 2011

Page 26: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Temperature Precipitation

U. S. Seasonal OutlooksMarch - May 2011

Page 27: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Near Normal Water Supply Expected in Most Areas of Idaho in 2011

Near Normal Water Supply Expected in Most Areas of Idaho in 2011

Page 28: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Average Spring Flood Threat in Most Areas of Idaho in 2011

Average Spring Flood Threat in Most Areas of Idaho in 2011

Exceptions:

Large snow pack and Forecast River Volumes have slightly elevated flood risk in:

-Portions of Upper Snake River Basin

-Bear River Basin

Page 29: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Significant Rises expected on Lower Elevation Streams

Significant Rises expected on Lower Elevation Streams

Weiser River

Page 30: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Malheur RiverMalheur River

Page 31: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Owyhee RiverOwyhee River

Page 32: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Payette River at LowmanPayette River at Lowman

Page 33: Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, March 10 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service National Snow Movies Recent.

Current Information on WebCurrent Information on Web

www.weather.gov/boise

www.nwrfc.noaa.govwww.nwrfc.noaa.gov