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Human-Computer Interaction, Universität Hamburg Prof. Dr. Frank Steinicke Holodeck, Matrix, Simulacron - The Ultimate Display in the Year 2030
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Page 1: Holodeck, Matrix, Simulacron - The Ultimate Display in the Year 2030

Human-Computer Interaction, Universität HamburgProf. Dr. Frank Steinicke

Holodeck, Matrix, Simulacron - The Ultimate Display in the Year 2030

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Sneak Preview of the Future...

“No one can see into the future. What I try to do is outline possible futures.”

–Sir Arthur Charles Clarke

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A Glance at the Future ...

.... in 15 years

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The Ultimate Display

Ivan E. Sutherland

Information Processing Techniques

Office, ARPA, OSD

We live in a physical world whose properties we have come to know well through long familiarity. We sense an involvement with this physical

world which gives us the ability to predict its properties well. For example, we can predict where objects will fall, how well-known shapes look

from other angles, and how much force is required to push objects against friction. We lack corresponding familiarity with the forces on charged

particles, forces in non-uniform fields, the effects of nonprojective geometric transformations, and high-inertia, low friction motion. A display

connected to a digital computer gives us a chance to gain familiarity with concepts not realizable in the physical world. It is a looking glass into a

mathematical wonderland.

Computer displays today cover a variety of capabilities. Some have only the fundamental ability to plot dots. Displays being sold now generally

have built in line-drawing capability. An ability to draw simple curves would be useful. Some available displays are able to plot very short line

segments in arbitrary directions, to form characters or more complex curves. Each of these abilities has a history and a known utility.

It is equally possible for a computer to construct a picture made up of colored areas. Knowlton's movie language, BEFLIX [1], is an excellent

example of how computers can produce area-filling pictures. No display available commercially today has the ability to present such area-filling

pictures for direct human use. It is likely that new display equipment will have area-filling capability. We have much to learn about how to make

good use of this new ability.

The most common direct computer input today is the typewriter keyboard. Typewriters are inexpensive, reliable, and produce easily transmitted

signals. As more and more on-line systems are used, it is likely that many more typewriter consoles will come into use. Tomorrow's computer

user will interact with a computer through a typewriter. He ought to know how to touch type.

A variety of other manual-input devices are possible. The light pen or RAND Tablet stylus serve a very useful function in pointing to displayed

items and in drawing or printing For input to the computer. The possibilities for very smooth interaction with the computer through these devices

is only just beginning to be exploited. RAND Corporation has in operation today a debugging tool which recognizes printed changes of register

contents, and simple pointing and moving motions for format relocation. Using RAND's techniques you can change a digit printed on the screen

by merely writing what you want on top of it. If you want to move the contents of one displayed register into another, merely point to the first

and "drag" it over to the second. The facility with which such an interaction system lets its user interact with the computer is remarkable.

Knobs and joysticks of various kinds serve a useful function in adjusting parameters of some computation going on. For example, adjustment of

the viewing angle of a perspective view is conveniently handled through a three-rotation joystick. Push buttons with lights are often useful.

Syllable voice input should not be ignored.

In many cases the computer program needs to know which part of a picture the man is pointing at. The two-dimensional nature of pictures makes

it impossible to order the parts of a picture by neighborhood. Converting from display coordinates to find the object pointed at is, therefore, a

time-consuming process. A light pen can interrupt at the time th at the display circuits transfer the item being pointed at, thus automatically

indicating its address and coordinates. Special circuits on the RAND Tablet or other position input device can make it serve the same function.

What the program actually needs to know is where in memory is the structure which the man is pointing to. In a display with its own memory, a

light pen return tells where in the display file the thing pointed to is, but not necessarily where in main memory. Worse yet, the program really

needs to know which sub part of which part the man is pointing to. No existing display equipment computes the depths of recursions that are

needed. New displays with analog memories may well lose the pointing ability altogether.

Other Types of Display

If the task of the display is to serve as a looking-glass into the mathematical wonderland constructed in computer memory, it should serve as

many senses as possible. So far as I know, no one seriously proposes computer displays of smell, or taste. Excellent audio displays exist, but

unfortunately we have little ability to have the computer produce meaningful sounds. I want to describe for you a kinesthetic display.

The force required to move a joystick could be computer controlled, just as the actuation force on the controls of a Link Trainer are changed to

give the feel of a real airplane. With such a display, a computer model of particles in an electric field could combine manual control of the

position, of a moving charge, replete with the sensation of forces on the charge, with visual presentation of the charge's position. Quite

complicated "joysticks" with force feedback capability exist. For example, the controls on the General Electric "handyman" are nothing but

joysticks with nearly as many degrees of freedom as the human arm. By use of such an input/output device, we can add a force display to our

sight and sound capability.

“The ultimate display would, of course, be a room within which the computer can control the existence of matter.”

Ivan E. Sutherland

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“A chair displayed in such a room would be good enough to sit in...

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... handcuffs displayed in such a room would be confining,...

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... and a bullet displayed in such a room would be fatal.”

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“With appropriate programming such a display could literally be the Wonderland into which Alice walked.”

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L. & A. Wachowski: The Matrix, 1999

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Plato: Allegory of the Cave, ~380 BC

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R. W. Fassbinder: World on a Wire, 1973

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D. F. Galouye: Simulacron-3, 1964

Daniel F. Galouye * 1920; † 1976

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The ULTIMATE DISPLAY

... back then

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D. C. Engelbart: Mother of all Demos, 1968

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Déjà-vu?

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Xerox PARC: Xerox Alto, 1973

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Apple Inc.: Apple Macintosh, 1984

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S. Mann: Intelligent Image Processing, 2001  

GUI

metaphorsexplorative

CLI

commandsstrict

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office assumption in 60-90s

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2015: digital natives are ubiquitous

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Interaction in GUIs is asymmetric

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user perceives computer with high visual fidelity ...

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… computer observes user only in terms of set of events

user := MouseEvent | KeyEvent

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computers start to see, hear and feel with us ...

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Microsoft HoloLens, 2015

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Gordon E. Moore“With unit cost falling as the number of components per circuit rises, by 1975 economics may dictate squeezing as many as 65,000 components on a single silicon chip.”

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Reliability

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“Moore’s Law will hold until 2030”, IDF 2007

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In 15 year ...• Let TY denote number of transistors in

the year Y

• rekursive description by Moore’s law:

• in 15 years, we have

TY +1.5 = 2 · TY

TY +15 = 2 · TY +13.5 = ... = 210 · TY = 1024 · TY1024

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1024

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Realistic Perspective Projections, SIGGRAPH, 2012

Real TeapotVirtual Teapot

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1024X

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Natural User Interfaces …

… with a little bit of magic!

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(Super-)Natural User Interfaces

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SNUI

• Our definition: A SNUI is an interface that can be operated by a user who only knows about intuitive/naive physics, but which is not limited to real-world physics.

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Comfortable long-term VR?

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24h Self-Experiment, ACM SUI 2014

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24h Self-Experiment, ACM SUI 2014

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Ultimate Display! ≙

Ultimate Dystopia?

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Stereoscopic 2½D Widgets, GI VR/AR 2013

Page 45: Holodeck, Matrix, Simulacron - The Ultimate Display in the Year 2030

Human-Computer InteractionUniversität Hamburg

informatikdie zukunft

Page 46: Holodeck, Matrix, Simulacron - The Ultimate Display in the Year 2030

Human-Computer InteractionUniversität Hamburg

Thanks!

informatikdie zukunft

Page 47: Holodeck, Matrix, Simulacron - The Ultimate Display in the Year 2030

Human-Computer InteractionUniversität Hamburg

Questions?Discussion!

informatikdie zukunft