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Habitability Index for Transiting Exoplanets Rory Barnes, Nicole Evans, Victoria S. Meadows
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Habitability Index for Transiting Exoplanetsvplapps.astro.washington.edu/vpltools/hite/HITETutorial.pdfWhich Planet to Observe to Find Life? Transit Depth Orbital Period Transit Duration

Jan 28, 2021

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  • Habitability Index for Transiting Exoplanets

    Rory Barnes, Nicole Evans, Victoria S. Meadows

  • Find nearby transiting exoplanets with TESS

    Maybe interesting atmospheric molecules with JWST

    Biosignatures with some mythical 12-20m class spacecraft

    NASA’s Plan to Find Life on Exoplanets

  • We could have 100s of planet candidates of bright, nearby stars to observe

    But only a few potentially habitable planets can be observed with JWST

    How do we prioritize??

  • Transit Observables: Orbital Period Transit Duration Transit Depth Times of Transit Impact Parameter*

  • Transit Observables: Orbital Period Transit Duration Transit Depth Times of Transit Impact Parameter*

    }

    *Not usually measured for Kepler

  • Transit Observables: Orbital Period Transit Duration Transit Depth Times of Transit Impact Parameter*

    By some other means, we must determine: Stellar Mass Stellar Radius Stellar Temperature

    From these parameters we can calculate planetary properties

  • Which Planet to Observe to Find Life?

    Liquid

    Water

    Possib

    le

    Surfac

    e

    Kasting et al. (1993)

  • Yes!No

    No

    Which Planet to Observe to Find Life?

    Kasting et al. (1993)

  • Which Planet to Observe to Find Life?

    The Runaway Greenhouse ~300 W/m2

    The HZ Limits are ∝ the Outgoing Radiation Flux

    The Maximum Greenhouse

    65 W/m2

    Kasting et al. (1993)

  • No

    Which Planet to Observe to Find Life?

    The HZ Limits are ∝ the Outgoing Radiation Flux

    Kasting et al. (1993)

  • No

    Stellar Luminosity Albedo

    EccentricitySemi-major axis

    The HZ Limits are ∝ the Outgoing Radiation Flux

    Which Planet to Observe to Find Life?

    Kasting et al. (1993)

  • No

    Stellar Luminosity Albedo

    EccentricitySemi-major axisNote Eccentricity-Albedo Degeneracy

    Which Planet to Observe to Find Life?

    The HZ Limits are ∝ the Outgoing Radiation Flux

    Kasting et al. (1993)

  • Let us define a “habitable” exoplanet as one for which:

    The emitted flux lies between Fmax = 300 W/m2 and Fmin = 65 W/m2

    AND

    Is terrestrial-like.

    What is the likelihood that these conditions are met?

  • Which Planet to Observe to Find Life?

    Transit Depth Orbital Period

    Transit Duration Impact Parameter*

    Stellar Radius Stellar Mass Stellar Temp( )( )Luminosity Semi-major Axis Eccentricity Albedo Density H

    Where H = the likelihood of habitability “The Habitability Index for Transiting Exoplanets”

  • Luminosity from Radius, Temp., Stefan-Boltzmann Law Semi-major axis from Period and Kepler’s 3rd Law Planetary Density poorly constrained ->

    “Rockiness” only assessed probabilistically

    Eccentricity can be constrained by - Minimum: Duration, Period, Stellar Radius, Mass

    (difficult for Kepler; Impact Parameter helps a lot) - Maximum: Orbital stability (if multi-planet)

    Albedo is very difficult to constrained

    Calculate H: Scan through permitted e-a parameter space [0,0.8] H = (Fraction with right Flux) * (Probability of Rockiness)

    Comparative Habitability of Transiting Exoplanets

  • Comparative Habitability of Kepler planets

    0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5Scirc

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1.0H

    abita

    bilit

    y In

    dex

    Constrained by Maximum FluxConstrained by Minimum Flux

    Both Limits Constrain

    1 RE

    1.75 RE

    2.5 RE

    E

    V

    M

    Incident Radiation (circular orbit)

  • Time to Get Your Hands Dirty!

    Download HITE at: http://vplapps.astro.washington.edu/vpltools.html Also available at: https://github.com/RoryBarnes/HITE

    Compile with “gcc -o hite hite.c -lm”

    Try the two cases provide (earth.in, kepler452b.in)

    Study Questions: Why doesn’t H=1.0 for Earth? Is Kepler-452 b more habitable than Earth?

    Now try it online: http://vplapps.astro.washington.edu/hite