Gustav R. Grob, F.EI Gustav R. Grob, F.EI President President , International Clean , International Clean Energy Energy Consortium Consortium ICEC ICEC Chairman, ISO Chairman, ISO Committee Committee on on Technical Technical Energy Energy Systems Systems Analyses Analyses Executive Executive Secretary Secretary , International , International Sustainable Sustainable Energy Energy Organization Organization
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Gustav R. Grob, F.EI President, International Clean Energy ... · Gustav R. Grob, F.EI President, International Clean Energy Consortium ICEC Chairman, ISO Committee on Technical Energy
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Gustav R. Grob, F.EIGustav R. Grob, F.EIPresidentPresident, International Clean , International Clean EnergyEnergy ConsortiumConsortium ICECICEC
Chairman, ISO Chairman, ISO CommitteeCommittee on on TechnicalTechnical EnergyEnergy Systems Systems AnalysesAnalysesExecutiveExecutive SecretarySecretary, International , International SustainableSustainable EnergyEnergy OrganizationOrganization
SOLAR PV & THERMAL ENERGY DIRECT WIND POWERHYDRO POWER / TIDAL / WAVE POWEROCEAN & GEOTHERMAL ENERGYBIOMASS / BIOGAS ENERGYAMBIENT ENERGYMUSCLE POWERNOVEL ENERGY SYSTEMS
SUSTAINABLE ENERGY SUPPLY
INEVITABLE CLIMAX OFMINERAL ENERGY
HAZARDOUS ANDDEPLETING ENERGY
CONSUMPTION(FOSSIL & FISSILE)
[YEARS]
200
100
ENERGY[PWh]
ENERGY HISTORY & FORECAST
t
E
RENEWABLE ENERGY CONSUMPTION
TOTAL USABLEENERGY ON EARTH
DEPLETION OF FINITE ENERGY RESOURCES
OPTION A
OPTION B
MAXIMUM
OPTION 0 (ZERO-SUBSTITUTION)
SOURCE : ISEO
PRESENT SITUATION
TOTAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION
Renewable Energy Option Immediately Feasible Theor. Potential- Bio energy 50 PWh/year 78- Hydropower 8 14- Geothermal Electricity Conventional 2- Geothermal Electricity / Hot Dry Rock 20 388- Geothermal Heat 4- Wind Power 53 160- Solar PV Power 6- Solar Thermal Power 40 435- Solar Active Heat 20- Solar Passive Heat (Buildings) 10- Ocean Energy (Waves and Tides) 15 202- Heat Pumps 10 50- Muscle Energy (Food Chain) 1 10- Novel Energy Technologies (R&D) 100 200
Total RE potential 339 PWh/year 1537
TRUE ENERGY COST
0
10
20
30
40
50
60Nuc
lear
Gas
Fire
d
Oil
Fire
d
Coa
l Fire
d
Bio
mas
s
Hyd
ro P
ower
Oce
an W
ave
Win
d Pow
er
Sol
ar T
herm
al
Geo
The
mal
OTE
C
PV
ENERGY SYSTEM
EURO
CEN
TS /
kWh
Extra RiskExternal CostCarbon CreditMax Net CostMin. Net Cost
W O R L D E N E R G Y S C E N A R I O 2000 - 2050
0 . 0
5 0 . 0
1 0 0 . 0
1 5 0 . 0
2 0 0 . 0
2 5 0 . 0
3 0 0 . 0
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
So u r c e f o r F i n i t e E n e r g y D a t a : A SP O a t w w w . p e a k o i l . n e t & K y o t o P r o t o c o l
WO R L D E N E R G Y D E M A N D
2 % A N N U A L G R O W T H RE NE WABLE E NE RGY DE M AND GROWT H AV . 5. 2 %