Great Basin Seasonal Outlook

Great Basin Seasonal Outlook

August – November 2022

Basil Newmerzhycky Shelby Law Gina Palma

Temperature & PrecipitationLast 30 Days

Temperature Precipitation

Precipitation Last 2 Weeks of June- Early Monsoon -

Soil Moisture Anomaly (% Normal)

“Fuel-cast”

Current Fuel Conditions: Live Fuel Moisture

ERC Charts

End of JulyEnd of June

100-Hr Fuels

Evaporative Demand Drought Index

Drought Monitor Drought Outlook

July 27th 2022 July 21st – October 31st , 2022

Drought Monitor and Outlook

Drought, WeatherFuels, Snowpack:

What Happens From Here?

La Nina? El Nino? La Nada?

El Nino/Neutral/La Nina

Strong El Nino/La NinaModerate El Nino/La NinaWeak El Nino/La Nina

Precipitation Accumulation: Aug 1-7

NOAA CPC 8-14 Day Outlook

Temperature Precipitation

1 Month Outlook: Aug 2022

Temperature Precipitation

3 Month Outlook: Sep-Nov 2022

Temperature Precipitation

Putting the Pieces Together

August 2022

September 2022

October-November 2022

Shelby: [email protected]

Questions?Basil: [email protected]

Gina: [email protected]

@GreatBasinCC