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5/6/20 — GCCL Seminar The Buzzard Flock: Synthetic Sky Catalogs for Precision Cosmology Joe DeRose (UC Santa Cruz & UC Berkeley)
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German Centre for Cosmological Lensing - The Buzzard Flock: … · 2021. 1. 19. · Role of Cosmological Simulations in Modern Surveys The Mock as the Test Pipeline and algorithm

Jan 31, 2021

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  • 5/6/20 — GCCL Seminar

    The Buzzard Flock: Synthetic Sky Catalogs for Precision CosmologyJoe DeRose (UC Santa Cruz & UC Berkeley)

  • Low Redshift Universe Tests of LCDM

    Stage III and Stage IV galaxy surveys will put LCDM to the test, but only if we can understand our systematics.

    Hildebrandt et al. 2018

  • Role of Cosmological Simulations in Modern Surveys

    The Mock as the TestPipeline and algorithm developmentSystematics estimation and tests of marginalization schemesCase study - the Dark Energy Survey

    The Mock as the Model (not in this talk, but I also work on this)Accurate predictions for non-linear observablesCovariances

  • The Dark Energy SurveyImaging survey of the southern sky

    ~5000 sq. degrees4m Blanco Telescope on Cerro Tololo, Chile5 bands: grizy

    Done taking 6 years of data, results published for first year (Y1) and working on analyzing first 3 years (Y3)

  • DES Year 1 Cosmology: 3x2-point

    galaxies x galaxiesangular clustering

    lensing x lensingcosmic shear

    galaxies x lensinggalaxy-galaxy lensing

  • Testing 3x2-point with Mocks

    Is my pipeline accurate enough for the statistical precision of my data?Robustness to modeling assumptions/observational systematics

    galaxy bias, redshift distributions, intrinsic alignments, baryons, shear calibration, etc.

  • Is my pipeline accurate enough for the statistical precision of my data?Robustness to modeling assumptions/observational systematics

    galaxy bias, redshift distributions, intrinsic alignments, baryons, shear calibration, etc.

    Testing 3x2-point with Mocks

  • Is my pipeline accurate enough for the statistical precision of my data?Robustness to modeling assumptions/observational systematics

    galaxy bias, redshift distributions, intrinsic alignments, baryons, shear calibration, etc.

    RequirementsHigh enough resolution to model all measurements accurately, e.g. clustering and lensingFlexible enough to model many samples and their cross-correlationsMany times the volume of the survey (must be inexpensive)

    Testing 3x2-point with Mocks

  • Our Solution: The Buzzard Flock

    JDR et al 2019

    Low Resolution Lightcones

    1050, 2600, 4000 Mpc/h

    Source Galaxy Catalog(Metacalibration)

    Error Model

    Photo-z

    Sample Selection

    Lens Galaxy Catalog(redMaGiC)

    Cluster Catalog(RedMaPPer)

    CALCLENS

    ADDGALS

    High Resolution Tuning Box

    SHAM

    p(delta|L,z)

    Input Cosmology

    LuminosityFunction

    f_red(L,z)Color ModelTraining Set

    L_cen(M,z)

  • Sub-halo Abundance Matching

    Simple 1-to-1 matching between (sub)halos in simulation and galaxies via rank order in cumulative abundanceTraditionally 1 free parameter: scatter in galaxy property at fixed halo property

  • AM Can Model a Diversity of Clustering Statistics

    100

    200r p

    wp(r

    p)

    0

    10

    20

    s⇠̂ 0

    (s) SHAM

    SDSS

    100 101

    r[h�1 Mpc]

    �10

    0

    10

    20

    s⇠̂ 2

    (s)

    9.8 < M⇤ < 10.2

    100 101

    r[h�1 Mpc]

    10.2 < M⇤ < 10.6

    100 101

    r[h�1 Mpc]

    10.6 < M⇤ < 11.2

    Use different proxy, ! , where ! is a free param yields good

    fits to all statistics other than in lowest mass sample.

    vα = vvir (vpeakvvir )

    α

    α

    JDR in prep.

  • AM Can Model a Diversity of Clustering Statistics

    Can fit lowest stellar mass bin with orphan model, but inconsistent with more massive samples. A persistent problem!

    100

    200r p

    wp(r

    p)

    0

    10

    20

    s⇠̂ 0

    (s)

    SHAM

    SDSS

    100 101

    r[h�1 Mpc]

    �10

    0

    10

    s⇠̂ 2

    (s)

    9.8 < log M⇤ < 10.2

    100 101

    r[h�1 Mpc]

    10.2 < log M⇤ < 10.6

    100 101

    r[h�1 Mpc]

    10.6 < log M⇤ < 11.2

    JDR in prep.

  • ADDGALS

    Adding Density Determined Galaxies to Lightcone Simulations

    Run subhalo abundance matching model on high resolution simulation, measure !p(δ |L, z)

    Wechsler, JDR in prep.

    Mr, z = [�21.8, 0.0] Mr, z = [�21.8, 0.3] Mr, z = [�21.8, 0.7] Mr, z = [�21.8, 1.2]

    Mr, z = [�20.8, 0.0]

    Mr, z = [�19.9, 0.0]

    10�1 100

    Mr, z = [�18.9, 0.0]

    10�1 100 10�1 100 10�1 100

    Addgals

    SHAM

    R� [h�1 Mpc]

    p(R

    �)

  • ADDGALS

    Wechsler, JDR in prep.

    Adding Density Determined Galaxies to Lightcone Simulations

    Run subhalo abundance matching model on high resolution simulation, measure !Sample from this distribution to populate low-res light cones

    p(δ |L, z)

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    r pw

    p(r p

    )

    Mr < �22100

    150

    200

    Mr < �21

    SHAM

    Addgals T1

    Addgals L1

    Addgals L2

    SDSS

    10�1 100 101

    rp[h�1 Mpc]

    50

    100

    150

    r pw

    p(r p

    )

    Mr < �2010�1 100 101

    rp[h�1 Mpc]

    50

    75

    100

    125

    Mr < �19

  • SEDs & Colors

    Wechsler, JDR in prep.

    SDSS

    kcorrect

    Addgals

    �22 < Mr < �21

    p(c)

    �21 < Mr < �20

    1 2

    u � g0.0 0.5 1.0

    g � r0.2 0.4 0.6

    r � i

    �20 < Mr < �19

    0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6

    i � z

    Paste SED template fits from SDSS as a function of !

    Templates not constrained to bluer than rest frame g.Can generate any optical, NIR, NUV photometry by integrating SEDs over relevant bandpasses

    Mr, z

  • SEDs & Colors

    Paste SED template fits from SDSS as a function of ! :

    Not perfect at higher redshifts:Red sequence well modeled, but blue cloud off by redshift dependent shift.Provides something reasonably complex for algorithm testing

    Mr, z 0.00.1

    COSMOS

    Buzzard

    Shifted Buzzard

    z = 0.20 � 0.43

    0.0

    0.1z = 0.43 � 0.63

    0.0

    0.1z = 0.63 � 0.90

    0.0 2.5g � r

    0.0

    0.1

    0 1r � i

    z = 0.90 � 1.30

    0 1i � z

    p(c)

    JDR et al 2019

  • Wechsler, JDR in prep.

    Color-dependent clustering

    Impart color dependence to clustering signal by conditional abundance matching SEDs to galaxies

    Rank SEDs by g-r color at fixed !Rank simulated galaxies by distance to nearest massive halo at fixed !

    Mr

    Mr

    100

    101

    102

    103

    wp(

    r p)

    �22 < Mr < �21

    Addgals

    SDSS

    �21 < Mr < �20 �20 < Mr < �19

    10�1 100 101

    1

    2

    3w

    p(r p

    )/w

    p(r p

    )tot

    10�1 100 101

    rp [h�1Mpc]10�1 100 101

  • Wechsler, JDR in prep.

    Color-dependent clustering

    Impart color dependence to clustering signal by conditional abundance matching SEDs to galaxies

    Successfully matches quenched fraction as function of rResidual issues due to lack of orphans in SHAM

    100

    101

    102

    103

    wp(

    r p)

    �22 < Mr < �21

    Addgals

    SDSS

    �21 < Mr < �20 �20 < Mr < �19

    10�1 100 101

    1

    2

    3w

    p(r p

    )/w

    p(r p

    )tot

    10�1 100 101

    rp [h�1Mpc]10�1 100 101

  • CALCLENS

    Spherical harmonic transform Poisson solver (Becker 2013)Ray-tracing on nside=8192 healpix gridCalculate shear, convergence for all galaxies

    �0.4

    �0.2

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.2 z < 0.43

    ⇠+⇠�

    10�1 100 101 102�0.4

    �0.2

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.63 z < 0.9

    DES Y1 ⇠+ scale cut

    DES Y1 ⇠� scale cut

    0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

    ✓[arcmin]

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1.0

    �⇠/

    ⇠hal

    ofit

    JDR et al 2019

  • Realistic Observables: Lens Galaxies

    0.0

    2.5DES Y1

    Buzzard Mean

    0.0

    2.5

    0.0

    2.5

    ✓w(✓

    )0.0

    2.5

    101 102

    ✓[arcmin]

    0.0

    2.5

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    hci

    g � r

    DES Y1

    Buzzard

    r � i i � z

    0 10.0

    0.2

    �(c

    )

    0 1z�

    0 1

    Robust red-sequence allows high fidelity redMaGiC sample selection

  • Realistic Observables: Source Galaxies

    Metacalibration like sample selected with similar S/N properties as data.BPZ run on fluxes with Y1 like photometric errors.

    101 102

    ✓[arcmin]

    �1

    0

    1

    104⇥

    ✓⇠+(✓

    )

    101 102

    ✓[arcmin]

    0.0

    2.5

    101 102

    ✓[arcmin]

    0.0

    2.5

    101 102

    ✓[arcmin]

    0

    5

    DES Y1

    Buzzard Y1 Mean

    0.0 0.50

    2

    4

    6

    n(z

    )[de

    g�2 ]

    0.0 0.50

    2

    4

    6

    0 1z

    0.0

    2.5

    5.0

    n(z

    )[de

    g�2 ]

    DES Y1

    Buzzard BPZ

    Buzzard True

    0 1 2z

    0

    1

    2

  • Buzzard sims used in a 11/14 of “DES Y1 Results”

    Gatti, Vielzeuf et al.Hoyle et al.

    Chang et al. 2018

    MacCrann, JDR et al. 2018

    Gruen, Friedrich, Krause, JDR et al.Friedrich, Gruen, JDR, Krause et al.

    Density Split Statistics

    Redshift Estimation 3x2pt Parameter Inference

    Mass Mapping

  • Highlight: Validating the 3x2pt Pipeline

    MacCrann, JDR et al. 2018

    Constrained biases on inference to

  • Highlight: Validating the 3x2pt Pipeline

    MacCrann, JDR et al. 2018

    Results corroborated from an independent simulation.

  • Ongoing/Future Work

  • DES Y3

    Many new things coming for DES Y3 3x2pt:Source redshift calibration using self-organizing maps with a combination of many band photo-zs and spectroscopyShear-ratio and clustering redshift informationHigher order bias modeling Higher order IA modelingSmall scale GGL non-locality mitigationLens magnification modelingMultiple lens samples

  • DES Y3

    Many new things coming for DES Y3 3x2pt:Source redshift calibration using self-organizing maps with a combination of many band photo-zs and spectroscopyShear-ratio and clustering redshift informationHigher order bias models to mitigate scale dependent bias effects Higher order IA modelsSmall scale GGL non-locality mitigationLens magnification modelingMultiple lens samples

    Currently being tested using updated suite of 70 Buzzard simulations(DeRose + DES Collab. in prep.)

  • DESI Lensing Mock Challenge

    HSC (~630 deg2)

    HSC (~90 deg2)

    HSC (~680 deg2)

    KiDS (~750 deg2) DES (~500 deg2)

    Figure from 1611.00036 w/ additions by C. Blake

  • DESI Lensing Mock Challenge

    Stage 0: DESI lenses and generic source catalogues (e.g.compare measurement codes, photo-z dilution corrections for \Delta\Sigma)

    Stage 1: DESI lenses and source catalogues tailored to specific lensing surveys (HSC, KiDS, DES), for tests of systematics related to sources (e.g. photo-z dilution, “boost” correction, multiplicative shape calibration) (We are here)

    Stage 2: Tests of systematics related to lenses (e.g. optimal lens weights, fibre collisions, redshift incompleteness, inhomogeneity in lens catalogues, lens systematic weights)

    Stage 3: Test cosmological fitting pipeline (e.g. combined-probe covariance, modelling)

    Ongoing work by Chris Blake, JDR, Johannes Lange, Alexie Leauthaud, Suhkdeep Singh, Ji Yao, and more

  • e.g. KiDS-like Mock

    Figs. from C. Blake

  • Summary

    Cosmological Simulations are essential for testing nearly all facets of current galaxy surveysWe have designed an algorithm that allows us to produce realistic suites of galaxy catalogs including:

    Non-linear biasLensingPhotometric errorsPhoto-zs

    We have used these in DES to test our Y1 3x2pt analysis and ongoing Y3 analysesThese will also be used for lensing work in DESI

    Thanks!