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General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels May 2004 Dr. Giuliano GRASSI EUBIA Secretary General [email protected] www.eubia.org T. +32 (0) 2 28 28 420 F. +32 (0) 2 28 28 424 Rond Point Schuman, 6 B-1040 Brussels Belgium European Biomass Industry Association
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General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

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Page 1: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

General framework of

European Initiatives for

Biofuels

May 2004

Dr. Giuliano GRASSIEUBIA Secretary General

[email protected]

T. +32 (0) 2 28 28 420F. +32 (0) 2 28 28 424

Rond Point Schuman, 6B-1040 Brussels Belgium

European Biomass Industry Association

Page 2: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Several issues relate to the valorisation ofbiomass resources :

¥ Agricultural policies and food production(global and structural food overproduction in EU)

¥ Need of energy sources(indispensable for economic development)

¥ Water availability(emerging problem)

¥ Desertification(+6 million ha/year around the world)

¥ Market liberalisation and globalisation

Context

Page 3: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Biomass: organic matter produced through thephotosynthetic process

Bioenergy: refers to the overall technical means throughwhich biomass is produced, converted and used

Biofuels: energy carriers which can be found underdifferent forms (solid, liquid, gaseous) and derivatedfrom biomass feedstocks (mainly from dedicated starch,sugar, oil or lignocellulosic crops, or agro-forestalresidues).

Introduction

A few definitions:

Page 4: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Why is biomass so interesting?

1. Renewable resource available virtually anywhere

2. Considerable potential in the long term (residues andplantation in the long term)

3. Capacity to penetrate all energy market sectors (heating,power & transport) as well as the basic chemicalsmarket

4. Important related advantages:- net CO2-neutrality;- decrease noxious gas emissions (SO2,etc.);- favour employment in rural areas;- contributes to the fight against desertification.

Introduction

Page 5: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Biodiversity

- Plants (multicellular organisms): > 248,420- Algae: > 26,900- Blue-green algae: > 4,760

Number of known species:

¥ At present, only a very limited number of vegetalspecies are exploited (a few hundreds), mainly for foodproduction.

¥ For a future relevant bioenergy contribution, a deepand worldwide research on photosynthetic highly-efficient energy crops is needed, especially regardingC-4 crops (because more productive).

Page 6: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Biodiversity

Examples of photosynthetic efficiency* :(* photosynthetic efficiency = crop energy content / solar radiation energy)

%27Maximum (few hours) sweet sorghum:

7

0.9-1.7

1

0.07-0.26

2.1

2.5

0.05

%Maximum in laboratory experiments:

%Eucalyptus:

%Reeds:

%North Europe forestry:

%Sugar beet plantations:

%Sugar cane Ð Sweet sorghum plantations:

%Global terrestrial biomass efficiency (average):

An increase of 1% in photosynthetic efficiencywould provide ~100 MWh/ha.year

Page 7: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Water resources on the globe

Water availability

105

28

37

1720

510

3 6 4

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

South America North America Africa Asia Europe

1950 2000

x 10

00 c

ub

ic m

eter

/ p

erso

n

Page 8: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Worldwide conventional resources(estimation)

- Accumulated underground during 500 million years -

¥ Sediments (total organic carbon content): 1016 t

¥ Coal: 10,000 billion t

¥ Kerogene 107 billion t of C (insoluble organic material in sediments, origin of petroleum)

¥ Petroleum: - total estimated stock: 1,000 billion TOE - oil already removed: 120 billion TOE - recoverable amount (ÒP-50 reservesÓ): 116 billion TOE

¥ Current annual oil consumption: 4.8 billion TOE/y (the amount accumulated during 2.3 million years)

¥ Present oil recovery level: ~ 50% total field stock

¥ Gas, peat, other dispersed carbon: 106 billion t of C

Page 9: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Worldwide biomass resources

¥ World biomass production:- Terrestrial: ~ 80 B TOE/a- Acquatic: ~ 20 B TOE/a

¥ Worldwide biomass stock: ~ 370 B TOE/a

¥ Estimation of biomass potential residues (2100):- min: ~ 2,1 B TOE/a- med: ~ 6,6 B TOE/a- max: ~ 28,3 B TOE/a

¥ Energy total consumption (2000): ~ 9 625 B TOE/a

B TOE: Billion of Tonnes Oil Equivalent (1 TOE ~ 2,4 t dry biomass)

Page 10: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

European biomass resources

¥ Biomass potential (2050)- UE-15 ~ 500 M TOE/a- UE-25 ~ 600 M TOE/a

¥ EU guideline regarding biomass use:- for 2010 ~ 135 M TOE/a- for 2020 ~ 200 M TOE/a

¥ Current consumption (EU-15; 2001):- Primary energy: ~ 1486 M TOE/a- Biomass: ~ 57 M TOE/a

M TOE: Million of Tonnes Oil Equivalent (1 TOE ~ 2,4 t dry biomass)

(3.8%)

Page 11: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

To sum up

Biomass resources are abundant andavailable almost anywhere in the EU andworldwide, but with water constraints.

The main biomass contribution will likelybe directed to :è the strategic transport sectorè co-generation (heat and power)

2

3

1 Depletion of fossil fuel resources :~ 50% of recoverable petroleum alreadyconsumed

Page 12: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Bioenergy in EuropeRES and Bioenergy shares on total Gross Inland Consumption(EU -% - 2001; indicated percentages relate to bioenergy only)

Source: EUROSTAT

1,0% 1,2% 1,3% 1,3% 2,0%2,0%

3,3%3,4%

3,5%3,8%

4,6%

8,5%

9,1%

10,0%

15,7%

19,4%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Unite

d Kin

gdom

Luxem

bourgIre

land

Belgiu

m

The N

ethe

rland

sG

erm

any

Spain

Greec

e

Italy

EU-15

Franc

ePor

tuga

lDenm

arkAus

tria

Sweden

Finla

nd

Bioenergy Other RES

Page 13: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Bioenergy targets in Europe

13551,144,5Total

-0,200,08Bioethanol

-0,700,28Biodiesel

180,90,4Liquid biofuels

151,81,2Gaseous biomass

10248,442,9Solid biomass

White Papergoals for 2010

20001995Biomass resource

Composition and objectives related to bioenergy in EU(MTOE)

Source: Kopetz, 2003 in Renewable Energy in Europe (EREC) Draft copy January 2004

Page 14: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

EU framework for biofuels

European directive 2003/30/CE (May 2003) :promotion of the use of biofuelsand other renewable fuels for transport

Minimum proportion of biofuels and otherrenewable fuels that should be placed on themarkets of each member state (in %*) :

5,75 %

2 %

By December 31st 2010:

By December 31st 2005:

*: calculated on the basis of energy content of all petrol and diesel fortransport purposes placed on the markets at the corresponding date.

Page 15: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

EU framework for biofuels

- Bioethanol (+ bio-ETBE)- Biodiesel- Biogas- Biomethanol (+ bio-MTBE)- Biodimethylether (DME)- Synthetic biofuels- Biohydrogen- Pure vegetable oil

EU Directive 2003/30/CE :

Biofuels with the major technical and economic potential:

Page 16: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Overview of fuel properties

Diesel engines Otto engines

Die

sel

Bio

-die

sel

DM

E

F-T

die

sel

Gaso

lin

e

Eth

an

ol

ETB

E

Meth

an

ol

MTB

E

Chemical formula C12H6 Methyl ester

CH3O-CH3

Paraf-fins

C8H15 C2H5-

OH C4H9-OC2H5

CH3OH C4H9-OCH3

Cetane number 50 54 55-60 > 74 8 11 - 5 -

Octane number (MON) - - - - 86 92 105 92 100

Density (kg/l) 0.84 0.88 0.67 0.78 0.75 0.80 0.74 0.79 0.74

LHV (MJ/kg @ 15¡C) 42.7 37.3 28.4 44.0 41.3 26.4 36.0 19.8 35.2

Stoich. air/fuel ratio (kg/kg) 14.5 12.3 9.0 - 14.7 9.0 - 6.5 -

Oxygen content (wt-%) 0-0.6 9.2-11.0

- ∼∼∼∼ 0 - - - - -

Kinematic viscosity (mm2/s) 4 7.4 - 3.6 - - - - -

Flash point (¡C) 77 91-135 - 72 - - - - -

Boiling temperature - - - - 30-190

78 72 65 55

Page 17: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Biofuels with the major technicaland economic potential

¥ For each biofuel: advantages and drawbacks ifcompared between them or to other fuels

¥ The economic aspect will be the main driver of thepenetration on the different energy market sectors

¥ Competitiveness will be based on the industrial costs ofthe end-products; an estimation for february 2004 (oil at37 $/bbl) is:

(Variations according the country)

~ 350 - 450 Û/TOE

Page 18: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Best competitiveness levels(short term)

Bioethanol (from sugar beets at 18 Û/t)- Bioethanol azeotropic (96¡): ~ 480 Û/TOE- Bioethanol dehydrated (100¡): ~ 540 Û/TOE

Biodiesel (without support) ~ 930 Û/TOE

Biomethanol

- (from biomass pellets (H2) at 50 Û/t) ~ 480 Û/TOE- (from natural gas at 3$/MBTU) ~ 360 - 290 Û/TOE

Biohydrogen- (from residues at 20 Û/t; _~37%) ~ 550 Û/TOE- (from natural gas; _~63%) ~ 290 - 500 Û/TOE

Biodimethylether ~ 600 (?) Û/TOE

- (from coal Ð Lurgi process*) ~ 580 Û/TOE

*: 404 Û/TOE in 1981 increased 2%/year

Fischer-Tropsch ~ 700 (?) Û/TOE

Page 19: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Investments and production costs

-2527751,037HTU diesel

-46215301,938Pyrolysis oil

-462970-1,0401,395F-T diesel

-588--DME

2944621,0271,357Methanol

-420350 ?678 ?Ethanol (wood)

-840330562Ethanol (sugar crops)

252630213291RME

Long termMedium termLong termShort term

Production costs[Û/TOE]

Specific investment[Û/TOE biofuel.day]

(20 years of operation)

Source: ECN. van Thuijl et al. An overview of biofuels technologies, marketsand policies in Europe. January 2003

Page 20: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Bioethanol: promising & competitive biofuel

Brasil

Boom expected in the futureFlexible fuel car (able to use anymixture ETOH + gasoline)

~ 2.5 billion $ (12.5 mio m3)Bioethanol market value:

5.9 $/t CO2CO2 trade-off value:

~ 112 $/m3 (140 $/t) at the moment;~ 15% reduction expected in the future

Bioethanol production cost:

~ 20 mio t/ySugar production:

~ 7 mio m3 hydrated/y, or~ 7.5 mio m3 anhydrous/y

ETOH production:

(0.14+0.14) = 0.28 d.t/t caneResidues (bagasse + waste):

~ 75 li/t caneBioethanol yield:

7.5 t sugar/haSugar yield (average):

~ 5 mio ha (potential: 33 mio ha)Area:

sugar cane (308 mio t.cane/year)Crop:

Page 21: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Bioethanol: promising & competitive biofuel

European Union

Market value: - Europe: 590 Û/t - USA: 500 Û/t

Estimated production cost of bioethanol from most promising crops (e.g.sweet sorghum): approx. 250 Û/t

Production cost of bioethanol from conventional crops (wheat, corn,sugar beets): approx. 400-500 Û/t

Many countries (following E.C. directive) start to plan significantinvestments (in particular Germany)

Bioethanol energy activity: very modest

Page 22: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Integrated Bio-energy Complex

With simultaneous production of animal feed andfuel pellets, bioethanol can be sold at 250 Û/t.

ΑΑΑΑ

Fuel -pellets for heating BioethanolFeed -pellets150,000 t 210,000 t 70,000 t

sweet sorghum plantation

harvesting

cane crushing

grain storage

grain drying

pelleting

bagasse

pelleting

bioethanol plant(fermentation / distillation / dehydration)

20,000 ha

Fuel -pellets for heating BioethanolFeed -pellets150,000 t 210,000 t 70,000 t

sweet sorghum plantation

sweet sorghum plantation

harvesting

cane crushing

grain storagegrain storage

grain drying

pelleting

bagasse

pelleting

bioethanol plant(fermentation / distillation / dehydration)

20,000 ha

Page 23: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Synthesis gas routes

H2 + CO

2:1 3:12:1

Methanol Fischer-Tropsch Methane Oxo synthesis

1:1

+ Olefin

Products

- Formaldehyde- Gasoline- Aromatics- Olefin

- Gasoline- Middle distillates- Waxes

- Aldehyde

Page 24: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Agricultural set-aside in the EU

¥ Total utilised agricultural area (UAA)

million hectares167TOTAL

million hectares36- CC-10:

million hectares131- EU-15

¥ Current set-aside areamillion hectares6- EU-15

This corresponds to 4.7% of the current EU-25 UAA

¥ Total area

km23,972,869TOTAL

km2738,574- CC-10:

km23,234,295- EU-15

Page 25: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Agricultural set aside area in the EU-15

Source: European Commission, Directorate-General for Agriculture. (2002-2003)

1 21 23 22 78

353

53

370

629

14281525

1175

289230225208105104653427262

0

300

600

900

1200

1500

1800

Luxe

mbo

urg

Nethe

rland

sBelg

ium

Irela

ndGre

ece

Portu

gal

Austri

aFin

land

Denm

ark

Italy

Sweden

Unite

d Kin

gdom

Germ

any

Spain

Franc

e

1000 ha

Other set-aside

Industrial set-aside

Page 26: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

European set-aside energy potential

6 million hectaresset-aside (UE-15 - 2002/2003)

è Theoretic potential comprised between6 - 23 MTOE

of biofuels

è This corresponds to1,9 Ð 7,4 %

of the energy value of the biofuels used in the Europeantransport sector (312 MTOE in 2001)

Page 27: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Potential evolution of biofuels andalternative fuels in Europe

Total consumption in the transport sector (2001):312 M TOE / year

Target evolution for biofuels and alternative fuels in the EU

3,16,2

10,815,5 17,8

62,0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

MT

OE

/ a

2000 2005 2007 2009 2010 2020

Page 28: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Estimation of agricultural land neededfor the 2020 objective

(if covered exclusively by biofuels)

This corresponds to approx. 11 % of total UAA of UE-25 (~ 167 M ha)

¥ Assumption on the distribution of the 62 MTOE (2020 target):- 80% bioethanol + biomethanol (i.e. 49.6 MTOE)- 10% biodiesel (i.e. 6.2 MTOE)- 10% biohydrogen (i.e. 6.2 MTOE)

¥ Average yields for each biofuel:- Bioethanol + biomethanol : 4.30 TOE/ha- Biodiesel: 1.35 TOE/ha- Biohydrogen: 3.30 TOE/ha

¥ Corresponding areas to be cultivated yearly:- For bioethanol + biomethanol : 11.53 M ha- For biodiesel: 4.59 M ha- For biohydrogen: 1.87 M ha

ðTotal agricultural area needed ~ 18 M ha/year

Page 29: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Estimation of agricultural landneeded for the 2020 objective

6,26,2

49,6

1,88

4,59

11,53

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Bioethanol +Biomethanol

Biodiesel Biohydrogen

En

erg

y p

rod

uct

ion

(M

TO

E)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Req

uir

ed a

gri

cult

ura

l lan

d (

M h

a)Energy production

Required agricutural land

∨ Total required area: 18 M ha (11% of the UE-25 UAA)

Page 30: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Employment related to biofuels

(resource prod. + power gen.)1,650Bioelectricity

(prod. + transp. + handling) 3,000-5,000Solid:

(resource prod. + process)

Bioethanol 18,000-28,000Biomethanol 12,000-16,000Vegetable oil 29,000

Liquid:

(from mining to fuel manuf.)235Nuclear

925Coal

(on-shore extraction)(off-shore extraction)(refining+distribution)

400450

195+400 = 595

Crude oil

430Natural gas

Biofuels

Nr. of direct jobs/MTOE produced per yearSector

(data for industrialised countries)

Page 31: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Employment related to bioethanol

¥ European Union (estimation) ~ 20,100 jobs per M TOE eth./year è 1 job for 50 TOE bioeth./year

¥ Brasil: (for 1 M TOE bioethanol/year): ~ 63,000 jobs (agric. sector)

~ 25,240 jobs (industry)~ 88, 240 jobs TOTAL

è 1 job for 7 TOE bioeth./year

~ 1 M TOE / yearbioethanol from maize

~ 7,980 jobsagric. sector (54%)

~ 5,320 jobsin industry andservices (36%)

~ 1,560 jobsplant construction

(11%)

¥ USA

14,860 jobs

è 1 job for 67 TOE bioeth./year

Page 32: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Bioethanol: noxious emissions reduction

1 million m3

bioethanol

...reduces...

î 2,2 milliontonnesCO2

î 1,2tonnes SO2

î 6,95tonnes NOx

Page 33: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Two paths for biohydrogen production

Pellets (60$/t)

Charcoal (120$/t)

Bioethanol (250$/t) *

Coal (50$/t)

Oil (220$/t = 30$ Bbl)

Nat. gas (150$/1,000 m3)

Nafta (250$/t)

FromBiomass resources

FromFossil

resources

18.2 t

7 t

4.1 t

10.1 t

5.1 t

6400 m3

4.8 t

1 ton H2

*: with heat input from solid residues

Page 34: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Conclusion

¥ World-wide, the potential of biomassresources is very high and very promising.

¥ In particular, biofuels are expected toprovide a considerable contribution to thetransport sector (probably ~20% by 2020)

Page 35: General framework of European Initiatives for Biofuels

Thank youfor your attention

EUBIAEuropean Biomass Industry Association

www.eubia.org