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Saurabh KalraGlobal Logistics and Supply Chain ManagementApril 2011 batch
S P Jain School of Global Management (Singapore Dubai)
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Why Foton
Number one in China and growing at rapid pace
2020 Development strategy
Becoming one of worlds top vehicle manufacturer
Established strong partnership and joint ventures with globalleaders Cummins; Daimler
Potential growth of automotive sector in India Stupendous!!
Driver for Foton in India Relevant local experience, world
best proven Foton technology and innovative principles
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Industry Analysis Indian Commercial
Vehicle (CV) Indian Commercial Vehicle Industry 4th largest Domestic market - 90%, balance contributed by exports
CV domestic Industry grow at 25% FY14E, 20% FY13E
CV export grow at 30% FY13E Increase in logistics spending and hike in railway freight
good indicators for growth in CV industry
Sources :
1. Karvy Institutional Equities India Research April 2012
2. Avendus, India Equity research Automobiles, Commercial Vehicles, Feb 23. 20123. Care Research Indian Commercial Vehicle Industry September 2011
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Industry Analysis Indian CV (Cont..)
Ashok Leyland, Volvo Eicher, Tata Motors 3 biggest players
Other potential threats M&M and Navistar JV, Swaraj
Mazda
Dominance of top 3 players due to sales and service network
resale value
diversified product portfolio
captive financing abilities CV industry highly dependent on interest rates, fuel prices
and raw material prices
Sources :
1. Karvy Institutional Equities India Research April 2012
2. Avendus, India Equity research Automobiles, Commercial Vehicles, Feb 23. 20123. Care Research Indian Commercial Vehicle Industry September 2011
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Industry Analysis - LCV
LCV mainly due to growing need for last mile transportation
LCV CAGR 19% FY12E FY14E (domestic market)
SCV export CAGR 23% FY12E FY14E
Sources :
1. Karvy Institutional Equities India Research April 2012
2. Avendus, India Equity research Automobiles, Commercial Vehicles,
Feb 23. 2012
3. Care Research Indian Commercial Vehicle Industry September 2011
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Industry Analysis - MHCV
MHCV CAGR - 10% FY13E; 6% FY12E (domestic market)
MHCV flat growth in FY12E due to expiration of Jawaharlal
Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission scheme in Dec 11
and moderation in IIP growth HCV CAGR 13.3% FY12E FY14E (domestic) mainly due
to completion of golden Quadrilateral & North-South-East-
West corridor
Sources :
1. Karvy Institutional Equities India Research April 2012
2. Avendus, India Equity research Automobiles, Commercial Vehicles,
Feb 23. 2012
3. Care Research Indian Commercial Vehicle Industry September 2011
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Foton - Supply Chain Strategy for India
Control of end to end Supply Chain Cost desired
Why : Upsurge in technological developments expected
Results : Higher price and stiff competition
Costs include development costs in case of domesticmanufacturing and import costs in case of imports
Importance of distribution channel:
Product availability
High after sales service levels desired
Some major components in supply chainstrategy discussed in subsequent slides
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Facility Decisions
A test market (e.g. Andhra Pradesh) to be selected for
vehicle sales. spare parts distribution and after sales service
Subsequently, direct retail shop delivery of vehicles from
Pune in selected states Distribution network to be expanded pan India in subsequent
years
Centralized warehouses in major metros like Delhi, Kolkata,
Chennai with increase in volume
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Make/Buy decision
Initially, Engine to be outsourced to domestic/ overseas vendor
Engine to be assembled inhouse in subsequent years
Other components To be bought out
This would result in cost saving, risk sharing and benefits ofleveraging technology developed vendor base
Initially some components to be imported from China,
Indonesia, Pakistan, Kenya
Localization of imported components in subsequent years: Development cost minimized in initial years
Cost savings in later years
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Inventory Decisions
Inventory decisions Tactical and operational
Inventory decisions highly dependent on demand of product,
supply of components, roll out time etc
First year inventory decisions to be based on First year sales forecast
Quick product delivery at customer end
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Export/ Domestic market
Product development and Supply Chain strategy initially to
be based on domestic market
Export considerations in subsequent years
E.g. choice of Mumbai/ Gujarat/ Chennai as a port for exportin later years
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Thank you
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