For our Environment „Energiewende“ Energy for the Future ! Dr. Harry Lehmann Federal Environmental Agency – Germany [email protected]
For our Environment „Energiewende“ Energy for the Future ! Dr. Harry Lehmann Federal Environmental Agency – Germany [email protected].
Dec 31, 2015
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For our Environment
„Energiewende“
Energy for the Future !
Dr. Harry Lehmann
Federal Environmental Agency – Germany
Harry Lehmann – UBA – [email protected] - May - 2015
Energiewende – the first 35 Years
Sources: Öko Institut; BMU; Rocky Mountain Institute; Wuppertal Institut; „Growian“ von Uli Harder; H.Lehmann
1973 – Oil Crisis
Since 2000 Phase Out
Starting with REN
Share of RES in electricity consumption
19901992
19941996
19982000
20022004
20062008
20102012
20142016
20182020
20222024
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
3.4
3.1
3.6
3.8
4.3
4.7
4.8
4.1
4.5 5.2 6.2
6.6 7.7
7.6 9.3
10.2
11.6 14
.215
.116
.317
.0 20.4 23
.6 25.3
perc
enta
ge
40-45 percentage until 2025
Source Yearly Monitoring Report – Data Status: 08/2014
StromEinspG
EEG – FIT
Harry Lehmann – UBA – [email protected] - Feb. 2015
Wind and PV are cheaper than other decarbonisation Options
Niv
ellie
rte
Stro
mge
steh
ungs
kost
en in
€/M
Wh
Reduction of energy consumptionin buildings – building codes
Harry Lehmann – UBA – [email protected] - Feb. 2015
Harry Lehmann – UBA – [email protected] - Feb. 2015
The prices for electricity on the wholesale market have not been rising, but are falling steadily
Price of a 2014 baseload future at the EEX
Price of a 2014 Peakload future at the EEX
March 15, 2011: Decision to shut down 8 nuclear power plants
Harry Lehmann – UBA – [email protected] - Feb. 2015
Energiewende – second halftime
Sources: BMU; H. Lehmann;
Harry Lehmann – UBA – [email protected] - Feb. 2015
Goals of energy and climate policyTimeline 2050; All relevant sectors; Specific Goals, over 100 specific Measures, Funding
ClimateRenewableEnergies
Efficiency
GHG(vs. 1990)
Electricpower
Totalshare
Primary energy
Energy productivity
Modernising buildings
2020 - 40 % 35% 18% - 20%
increaseto
2,1% / a
doublerate
1% -> 2%
2030 - 55 % 50% 30%
2040 - 70 % 65% 45%
2050 - 80-95 % 80% 60% - 50%
Harry Lehmann – UBA – [email protected] - Feb. 2015
„Energiewende“ TODAYA triple approach - 100 measures in three areas
Renewable energy sources: • Rapid, continuous expansion • Cost-efficient and environmentally friendly
Future grids: • Flexible and powerful• Integration of electricity from renewable sources
Efficiency: • Reduce energy consumption• Ensure efficiency
Harry Lehmann – UBA – [email protected] - Feb. 2015
Energiewende future – GHG Neutral Germany
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1990 2010 UBA THGND 2050
Emissionen in Mio.t CO
2Äq
Approach by a systemical and holistic analysis and scenarios
20501 t/cap
Electricity
Industry
Waste
TransportHeating Cooling
Land Use
Agriculture
Energiewende is a chance for Germany
The Energiewende …
… Ensures Germany‘s climate protection aims
… Creates jobs
… Leads to sustainable growth with national added value
… Is our chance to pioneer and advance on the path to a sustainable modern world.
Harry Lehmann – UBA – [email protected] - Feb. 2015
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