House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 1 Florida House of Representatives House Redistricting Subcommittee Staff Presentation on Options for: The State House Map Regarding: Options for major population centers; Tradeoffs between whole counties versus cross-jurisdictional communities; and Options for racial and language minority communities. Last Updated: Monday, October 17, 2011
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House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 1
Florida House of Representatives
House Redistricting Subcommittee
Staff Presentation on Options for:
The State House Map
Regarding:
Options for major population centers;
Tradeoffs between whole counties versus cross-jurisdictional communities; and
Options for racial and language minority communities.
Last Updated: Monday, October 17, 2011
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 2
Statewide __________________________________________________________________________________________
28 Counties must be split in the State House Map by virtue of population
Policy Issues: Counties that must be split by region are (the number next to each county represents the number of House districts each county’s population creates):
Northwest: Escambia (1.90) , Okaloosa (1.15), Bay (1.08) and Leon (1.76)
Northeast and North Central: Duval (5.52), Clay (1.22), St. Johns (1.21), Alachua (1.58), Marion (2.11) and Volusia (3.16)
Central: Lake (1.90), Seminole (2.70), Orange (7.31), Osceola (1.71), Polk (3.84), Brevard (3.47), Hernando (1.10) and Pasco (2.97)
Southeast: St. Lucie (1.77), Palm Beach (8.43), Broward (11.16), Miami-Dade (15.93)
Southwest: Hillsborough (7.85), Pinellas (5.85) , Manatee (2.06), Sarasota (2.42), Lee (3.95) and Collier (2.05)
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 3
Potential Regional and Cross-Regional Groupings
Policy Issues:
Northwest Region (Yellow): 11.98 House districts
Northeast Region (Blue): 5.98 House districts
Central Region (Pink): o Orange and Seminole Together: 10.01 House districts o Orange and Osceola Together: 9:03 House districts
Southwest Region (Green): 4.97 House Districts
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 4
Nine Cities Must Be Split in the House Map
They are:
Tallahassee
Jacksonville
Orlando
Tampa
St. Petersburg
Port St. Lucie
Fort Lauderdale
Hialeah
Miami
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 5
Regional Population Shifts Based on Existing House Districts
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 6
Overpopulated House districts are in:
Central Florida
Southwest Florida
Areas Outside of Tampa Bay Underpopulated House districts are in:
Northwest Florida
North Central Florida
Coastal Communities of Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade Counties
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 7
Florida’s Most Populated Counties are:
Miami-Dade
Broward
Palm Beach
Hillsborough
Orange
Pinellas
Duval
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 8
Duval County __________________________________________________________________________________________
Current State House Map (2002)
The populations of the counties neighboring Duval County are:
Nassau County 73,314
Baker County 27,115
Clay County 190,865
St. Johns County 190,039
14
13
19
16
15
17
18
12
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 9
HPUBH0018 by Mr. Henry Kelley
House District 11:
o Population Deviation: -721 or -.46%
o Black VAP: 19.71%
o Hispanic VAP: 3.5%
House District 14:
o Population Deviation: 279 or .18%
o Black VAP: 11.35%
o Hispanic VAP: 7.52%
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 10
House District 15:
o Population Deviation: -206 or -.13%
o Black VAP: 28.92%
o Hispanic VAP: 7.98
House District 16:
o Population Deviation: 333 or .21%
o Black VAP: 61.24%
o Hispanic VAP: 2.86%
House District 17:
o Population Deviation: 245 or .16%
o Black VAP: 23.01%
o Hispanic VAP: 7.64%
House District 18:
o Population Deviation: 469 or .30%
o Black VAP: 12.77%
o Hispanic VAP: 9.51%
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 11
HPUBH0079 by Mr. Keith Laythum
House District 32:
o Population Deviation: 1681 or 1.07%
o Black VAP: 15.36%
o Hispanic VAP: 5.01%
House District 33:
o Population Deviation -583 or -.37%
o Black VAP: 8.32%
o Hispanic VAP: 6.22%
32
35
34
36 33
37 39
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 12
House District 34:
o Population Deviation: -4422 or -2.82%
o Black VAP: 47.48%
o Hispanic VAP: 4.65%
House District 35:
o Population Deviation: 862 or .55%
o Black VAP: 50.56%
o Hispanic VAP: 4.2%
House District 36:
o Population Deviation: 319 or .2%
o Black VAP: 20.07%
o Hispanic VAP: 10.05%
House District 37:
o Population Deviation: 1778 or 1.13%
o Black VAP: 15.95%
o Hispanic VAP: 8.47%
House District 39:
o Population Deviation: -4822 or -3.08%
o Black VAP: 10.74%
o Hispanic VAP: 7.65%
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 13
Duval County currently has two majority-minority Black districts (Districts 14 and 15). Below is a map of Duval County with all VTDs with a Black VAP percentage of 40 or greater.
The total population for the VTDs highlighted above is 189,262, which is well over the population for a House district.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 14
The map below creates one district, which is actually just over twice the population needed for an ideal population.
The district shown above, which is 77 people over the ideal population for two House districts, has a Black VAP of 52%.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 15
Orange County __________________________________________________________________________________________
Current State House Map (2002)
Currently, Orange County has a population of 1,145,956, which is enough for roughly 7.3 House districts, depending on how many county splits you have. Thinking that at least one district will need to share portions of Orange County with a neighboring county, it is important that all of these counties be viewed from the regional perspective. The populations of the counties neighboring Orange County are:
Brevard County 543,376
Volusia County 494,593
Seminole County 422,718
Lake County 297,052
Polk County 602,095
Osceola County 268,685
41
38
39
36
40 49
32
33 35
37 34
79
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 16
The City of Orlando
HPUBH0047 by Mr. Graham Stacey
Policy Issues:
The population of the City of Orlando is too large for the ideal population of a House district and must be split.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 17
HPUBH0047 by Mr. Graham Stacey
House District 12:
o Population Deviation: 4 or .002%
o Black VAP: 9.36%
o Hispanic VAP: 14.79%
House District 14:
o Population Deviation: 14 or .008%
o Black VAP: 12.19%
o Hispanic VAP: 16.82%
12
16
14
15
38
37
17
19
18
32
20
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 18
House District 15:
o Population Deviation 11 or .006%
o Black VAP: 10.73%
o Hispanic VAP: 28.19%
House District 16:
o Population Deviation: -15 or -.01%
o Black VAP: 40.9%
o Hispanic VAP: 17.16%
House District 17:
o Population Deviation: -13 or -.009%
o Black VAP: 34.24%
o Hispanic VAP: 15.77%
House District 18:
o Population Deviation: 23 or .014%
o Black VAP: 11.66%
o Hispanic VAP: 40.21%
House District 19:
o Population Deviation: -2 or -.002%
o Black VAP: 21.23%
o Hispanic VAP: 29.59%
House District 20:
o Population Deviation: -9 or -.006%
o Black VAP: 9.68%
o Hispanic VAP: 6.64%
House District 32:
o Population Deviation: -5 or -.004%
o Black VAP: 9.92%
o Hispanic VAP: 36.45%
House District 37:
o Population Deviation: 38 or .024%
o Black VAP: 12.75%
o Hispanic VAP: 17.65%
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 19
Currently, Orange County has one majority-minority Black district (District 39). The map below illustrates the VTDs that have a Black Voting Age Population above 40%.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 20
According to the 2010 Census, Orange County has a Hispanic Voting Age Population of 220,285, which is over the ideal population of a House district. The map below illustrates the VTDs that have a Hispanic Voting Age Population of 40% or greater.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 21
Currently, a House district that crosses into both Orange and Osceola Counties traditionally elects a Hispanic. According to the 2010 Census, Osceola County has a Hispanic Voting Age Population of 84,875, which is over half of the ideal population for a House district. The map below illustrates the VTDs in Osceola County that have a Hispanic VAP of 40% or greater:
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 22
Hillsborough and Pinellas Counties __________________________________________________________________________________________
Current State House Map (2002)
Currently, Hillsborough County has a population of 1,229,226, which is the population for 7.85 districts and Pinellas County has a population of 916,542, which is the population for 5.85 districts, depending on how many splits each county would have. The populations of the counties neighboring the Tampa Bay area are:
Pasco County 464,697
Polk County 602,095
Manatee County 322,833
58
54
45 48
50
51 52
53
55
68
47 60 61
57 59
56
62
63 67
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 23
HPUBH0079 by Mr. Keith Laythum
House District 48:
o Population Deviation: -1513 or -.97%
o Black VAP: 19.1%
o Hispanic VAP: 21.39%
House District 49:
o Population Deviation: -4978 or -3.18%
o Black VAP: 9.03%
o Hispanic VAP: 13.86%
House District 50:
o Population Deviation: 410 or .26%
o Black VAP: 9.93%
o Hispanic VAP: 17.36%
57
53
58
62
64
63
65
66
50 48 52
61 51
60
59
49
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 24
House District 51:
o Population Deviation: 1494 or .95%
o Black VAP: 43.27%
o Hispanic VAP: 18.26%
House District 52:
o Population Deviation: 2115 or 1.35%
o Black VAP: 12.5%
o Hispanic VAP: 19.68%
House District 53:
o Population Deviation: 462 or .29%
o Black VAP: 3.55%
o Hispanic VAP: 7.33%
House District 57:
o Population Deviation: 5126 or 3.27%
o Black VAP: 2.56%
o Hispanic VAP: 7.44%
House District 58:
o Population Deviation: 86 or .05%
o Black VAP: 4.49%
o Hispanic VAP: 8.28%
House District 59:
o Population Deviation: 4956 or 3.16%
o Black VAP: 7.56%
o Hispanic VAP: 15.4%
House District 60:
o Population Deviation: 993 or .63%
o Black VAP: 11.92%
o Hispanic VAP: 20.11%
House District 61:
o Population Deviation: 3191 or 2.04%
o Black VAP: 12.54%
o Hispanic VAP: 47.94%
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 25
House District 62:
o Population Deviation: 167 or .11%
o Black VAP: 7.76%
o Hispanic VAP: 7.3%
House District 63:
o Population Deviation: -665 or -.43%
o Black VAP: 31.49%
o Hispanic VAP: 5.58%
House District 64:
o Population Deviation: 458 or .29%
o Black VAP: 2.73%
o Hispanic VAP: 5.06%
House District 65:
o Population Deviation: 181 or .12%
o Black VAP: 6.45%
o Hispanic VAP: 8.52%
House District 66:
o Population Deviation: -893 or -.57%
o Black VAP: 8.88%
o Hispanic VAP: 17.87%
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 26
The Tampa Bay region has two districts that were majority-minority Black districts in 2002 (District 55 and 59). The map below illustrates the VTDs that have a Black Voting Age Population above 40%.
The total population of the VTDs shaded above is 195,706 which are above the ideal population for a House district and the Black VAP of those VTDs is 63%.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 27
Currently, Hillsborough County also has a district that was a Hispanic-access district at 38% VAP when it was built in 2002. Below is map of the VTDs that have a Hispanic VAP of 40% or greater.
The total population of the VTDs shaded above is 165,228 which are over the ideal population of a House district. The Hispanic VAP for those VTDs is 53%.
.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 28
Tradeoffs Between Whole Counties Versus Cross-Jurisdictional Communities __________________________________________________________________________________________
Example 1: The Villages Lake, Sumter and Marion Counties look like this:
Policy Issues:
Lake County’s population is enough for 1.90 House districts and could not be able to be kept whole in a House plan
Sumter County’s is enough for .6 House districts, and could be kept whole in a House plan
Marion County’s population is enough for 2.11 House districts and could not be able to be kept whole in a House plan
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 29
With the population of The Villages and that of an ideal population, it is possible to keep Sumter County whole, which is the only one of the three that can be kept whole.
Policy Issues:
District drawn above has a deviation of -701.
The Cities of Fruitland Park, Leesburg and Tavares are all split in the district above.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 30
Example #2: Keeping Barrier Islands Whole Manatee and Sarasota Counties look like this:
Policy Issues:
Manatee County’s population is enough for 2.06 House districts and could not be kept whole in a House plan.
Sarasota County’s population is enough for 2.42 House districts and could not be kept whole in a House plan.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 31
SW-16
All four districts above are over the ideal population for a House district, which would indicate that a third district in each county needs to be created.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 32
A district that incorporated all of the barrier islands in both counties would look like this:
Policy Issues:
The yellow district above has a population deviation of -219.
The cities of Bradenton, Sarasota and Venice are split by the yellow district.
The other districts in Manatee and Sarasota are still over the ideal population for a House district and would need to be split further. This could be another Manatee/Sarasota split or a split outside of the two counties.
Since both counties needs to be split anyway, there is no tradeoff if a barrier island district were created that included both counties.
Coincidentally, the Manatee-Bradenton Airport, which crosses into both counties, is also in the yellow district above.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 33
However, looking to the southern portion of the yellow district, the residents of the southern end of Manasota Key may potentially be more closely linked to northern Charlotte County as it is closer for them to drive south to get to the bridge to get to the mainland versus driving north. More analysis would need to be done to confirm that.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 34
Example #3: Keystone Heights The boundaries for Keystone Heights are currently in both Bradford and Clay Counties. It looks something like this:
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 35
Bradford and Clay Counties look like this:
Policy Issues:
Bradford County has the population of .18 House districts and could be kept whole within a House plan.
Clay County has the population of 1.22 House districts and would need to be split within a House plan.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 36
Given the populations of both counties, a district could be built that county both the Bradford and Clay County portions of Keystone Heights, while keeping Bradford County whole within the district. It could potentially look something like this:
Policy Issues:
The population deviation for the district above is -834.
The district is able to keep all of Bradford County (and the cities within it) whole, while keeping all of Keystone Heights and Penney Farms whole, while leaving all of Orange Park and Green Cove Springs outside of the district. The district uses the boundary lines for both cities as a border as well.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 37
Example #4: Dunnellon
Dunnellon lies on the border of Citrus and Marion Counties and looks something like this:
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 38
Citrus and Marion Counties look like this:
Policy Issues:
The population of Citrus County is enough for .90 House districts and could be kept whole within a House plan.
The population of Marion County is enough for 2.11 House districts and would need to be split in a House plan.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 39
Given the populations of both counties, a district could be built that county both the Citrus and Marion County portions of Dunnellon, while keeping Citrus County whole within the district. It could potentially look something like this:
Policy Issues:
The population deviation for the district above is +334.
The district is able to keep all of Citrus County (and the cities within it) whole, while keep Dunnellon whole as well.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 40
Example #5: The Community of Poinciana The Poinciana community is in both Osceola and Polk Counties and looks something like this:
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 41
Osceola and Polk Counties look like this:
Policy Issues:
The population for Polk County is enough for 3.84 House districts and would have to be split in a House plan.
The population for Osceola County is enough for 1.71 House districts and would also have to be split in a House plan.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 42
Since both counties have to be split, a district that includes both the Polk and Osceola County portions of Poinciana can be built. It could look something like this:
Policy Issues:
The population deviation for the district above is -930.
No city is split in this district.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 43
Example #5: Dixie and Gilchrist Counties The boundary of Dixie County is drawn in such a way that has a contiguous to a point section of its border that crosses into Gilchrist County. The portion of that boundary looks like this:
Policy Issues:
The population of Dixie County is enough for .10 House districts and could be kept whole within a House plan. In order to keep the county whole, because of that non-contiguous portion that crosses into Gilchrist County, a least a portion of Gilchrist County would need to be in the district as well.
The population of Gilchrist County is enough for .11 House districts and could be kept whole within a House plan.
House Redistricting Subcommittee – October 17, 2011 – Staff Presentation – Page 44
Given the populations of both counties, they could both be kept whole and linked together, in order to keep Dixie County whole. The beginning of that district would look like this:
Policy Issues:
The district above has a population of 33,361, which is 123,316 short of the ideal population for a House district.
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