DemoCamp17.Toronto.Canada Ignite Presentation, Led by: Thomas Purves ThomasPurves.com WirelessNorth.ca
Jan 28, 2015
DemoCamp17.Toronto.Canada
Ignite Presentation,Led by: Thomas Purves
ThomasPurves.comWirelessNorth.ca
Why I’m here. An Infamous Chart.
Posted April 2007
Touched a nerve
Tens of thousands of visitors
150 Blog comments
100s of links
Hundreds more comments on Digg and other sites
Front page of Digg
Somewhat remarkable for a post related to Canadian Telecom regulatory policy.
Why Wireless Matters
Innovation – Wireless IS the new last mile All computing is moving to the cloud, the web The network is the computer (finally) BUT this future of computing relies ubiquitous
connectivity Prevalent, ubiquitous, affordable wired and
wireless connectivity Culture and Economic growth (what sectors
do not now depend on computers and connectivity)
Canadian Landscape
Some of worst data rates in the developed world.
A country of Blackberry addicts, but low accessibility to most advanced devices.
Dominated by on-deck content and services, crap accessibility to open content, open services.
High pricing to consumers, lagging wireless penetration, lagging adoption behaviours
Devices are overpriced in Canada
Contract lengths are obscene
Canada is the only country with 3 year contracts
6, 12, 18, 24 month contracts standard everywhere else
New Devices are transforming Wireless Except in Canada
Why does Canada suck?
Only one GSM carrier Little competitive behaviour Small market w/ no foreign ownership Curse of blackberry CRTC + industry Canada asleep at switch
On the bright side it could be worse: Cuba, North Korea for example have far less access than we have
Victims of our own crackberryaddiction
Canadian success story Poor browser Is really good at email Email is so 1999 Appeals to a lucrative niche w/ moderate
data needs but high willingness to pay
Since the Chart, has it gotten any better?
YES Telus Unlimited PC card data access $75/month
YES Bell / Telus unlimited “on device” browsing. At least on Some devices, other restrictions
NO Roger’s unlimited plans shuts off the internet to third party apps. Rogers data rates have gone UP from 30$ / MB to
$50 / MB (WTF!)
How much is $50/MB (WTF!) ?
Cost to fill equivalent of a 1.44MB floppy drive circa 1992? $72 + GST/PST
Cost to fill equivalent of a $30 2GB MicroSDcard? $102,400 + GST/PST
Cost to listen to a single mp3 (5MB) streaming? $250 + GST/PST
Data cost per hour at theoretical HSPA speed? (3.7Mbs)? $1260 / Hour + GST/PST
The last time in the history of computing anything cost $50/MB
What can we do about it?
New spectrum Auctions has created opportunities for• New wireless policies • New wireless entrants• New / Disruptive Business models
Cost to play• About 1.5 to 2 Billion CAD• Expensive, risky
What is Canada’s Future?
Future of wireless - Optimism
1. Optimistic pt1
“The rosy future: new entrants kick ass, telusgoes gsm too, iphones come to canada, cheap highly capable and android and other devices from china flood into Canada, spectrum auction comes with just the right rules/incentives to open up the mobile platform to widespread innovation, Rim comes out with a great browser. Canada leapfrogs UK / US on the way to 4G...
Future of wireless - Optimism
1. Optimistic pt2
...by 2015 canada is exporting its model to other countries as a world leader in services, network operation, and hand set manufacture. A company that goes on to become the next great facebook/google/microsoft is founded in a dorm room in 2010 in canada is now fertile ground for experiments in uber-connectivity”
Future of wireless – Not Optimism
2. Pessimistic pt1
“THE GLOOM FUTURE: the auction fails. new entrants tied up in litigation over tower sharing never achieving rollout, spectrum goes fallow, a series of dithering governments forestalls the 700mhz auction, fails on any other effective measure of stimulate competition or openness and access...
Future of wireless – Not Optimism
2. Pessimistic pt2
... bell telus rogers use their complete domination of the pipes to lock down media distribution in canada on wired and wireless pipes though descriminatory pricing and all hope of net neutrality dies in canada. At birth all canadians are allocated 10mb of outside internet access. Canadasproductivity gap with the US widens, eventually Castro dies and north and south korea reunite and both these countries have greater freedom of access to the internet than canadians.”
What to Do about it
Be aware of what you are missing Don’t sign up for a 3 year data plan Talk or write to your MP (it works) Buy an unlocked phone Support the new entrants (if they are better) Build kick-ass mobile apps anyway, and sell to
the global market Stay in touch: WirelessNorth.ca