12/9/2014 1 Exploring Transitions in the Complex Domain Expanding upon the Cynefin Knowledge Framework @tonyjoyce Working draft v14 @tonyjoyce 2 This is the starting place for my search 12/9/2014 http://www.cognitive-edge.com/blogs/dave/2011/10/a_typology_of_foresight.php
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• A new layered framework is presented as strata of Ordered, Uncertain and Emergent – Does this layering illuminate the ABIDE criteria?
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Chaotic Affirmative Emergent
Expanding on the Cynefin Framework
Disorder Ambiguous Complex
Unknown Simple Complicated
Fuzzy set
Ordered set
Uncertain
set
Emergent set 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 19
Within Emergence
• We also have a different domain that originates near ritual dissent, an affirmation of each other
– A new “way of talking”
– Found in the study of hermeneutics
– Also in informatics of classification; see Bowker & Starr’s “Classification and its Consequences”
• Note, the Fuzzy set – chaotic, disorder and unknown – remains indeterminate until history (retrospective) is apparent
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A Dynamic Knowledge Framework
Unknown
Disorder
Chaotic Affirmative
Ambiguous
Simple Complicated
Complex
Emergent
Cynefin
hook or
catastrophic
fold
(Act/prob
e/react)
act-sense-
respond
Ordered
set
Transitory
submodel
Under
Tension
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Anticipation (appreciative awareness)
Chaotic Affirmative Emergent
The Expanded Cynefin Contexts
Disorder Ambiguous Complex
Unknown Simple Complicated
Easy (able to manage)
Deliberate (awareness of dynamic)
Exploit
Gamble
Intentioned coherence
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Emergence is a Realm of Tension
• A Tension that is intractable – It is the distance across the catastrophic fold – Released in spurts of innovation and paradigm shifts
• It is a permanent feature of social activity because networks are constantly changing
• The change has intensified with modern technology and it is now more visible through this expanded Cynefin framework
• Can be visualized in terms of KM metaphors using C Kurtz’s dimensional form of Cynefin (“eyes”)
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“Three Strands in a Braid: Identity Interaction in Social Software” – Cynthia Kurtz
Catastrophic fold
Emergence (committing + realizing)
Probe-Sense-Respond
Affirmation (selecting + relating)
Act-Sense-Respond
Network
Building
Network
Pruning
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Conclusions
• Collaboration is a form of dispositional coherence
• Bricolage is a distinct form of dispositional coherence
• Affirmation, i.e. the generative aspect of appreciative inquiry, is dispositional coherence
• As we can see in the Dynamic Knowledge Framework, emergence is different from the intentional complexity of Alice Juarreo’s “Dynamics in Action; Intentional Behavior as a Complex System”
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Future Work
• Articulation of a learning practices boundary case