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valuation: Logical Fallacies (Insufficient Eviden
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Evaluation : Logical Fallacy (Insufficient Evidence)

Jan 19, 2015

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Alwyn Lau

 
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Page 1: Evaluation : Logical Fallacy (Insufficient Evidence)

Evaluation: Logical Fallacies (Insufficient Evidence)

Page 2: Evaluation : Logical Fallacy (Insufficient Evidence)

What, again, is an ARGUMENT?

Page 3: Evaluation : Logical Fallacy (Insufficient Evidence)

Criteria for Cogency

1. Premises are true

2. Premises are relevant to the conclusion

3. Premises provide good reason to believe conclusion is true

Page 4: Evaluation : Logical Fallacy (Insufficient Evidence)

What is a FALLACY?

An argument which contains a mistake in reasoning

Page 5: Evaluation : Logical Fallacy (Insufficient Evidence)

Fallacies

• Fallacies of Insufficient Evidence – premises do not bring enough evidence to bear on the conclusion

• Fallacies of Relevance – premises are irrelevant to the conclusion!

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Fallacies of Insufficient Evidence

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#1 Fallacy of Unqualified Authority

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How do you evaluate a doctor’s

expertise?

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The kung-fu expert’s choice?

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How do you DISCREDIT someone in authority?

• How much training does the person have? What are his credentials and qualifications?

• Is the person an authority on the issue at hand?

• Could the person be biased?

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Page 13: Evaluation : Logical Fallacy (Insufficient Evidence)

Does USING something make you an authority on that item?

Is Tiger Woods an expert in the making of golf clubs?

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Persuasiveness is NOT the same as cogency

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When the LACK of evidence is used to support your

conclusion…!

#2 Fallacy of

Appeal to Ignorance

Page 16: Evaluation : Logical Fallacy (Insufficient Evidence)

• God exists. No one has proven that He doesn’t.

• God doesn’t exist. No one has proven that He does.

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“If Anwar thinks he is innocent of the charges then he should prove it.” Dr. Mahathir Mohamad

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The Problem: You can then argue for

ANYTHING!

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#3 Fallacy of False Alternatives

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• Either you support Pakatan OR you condemn Malaysia to injustice and oppression!

• Why don’t you, as a Chinese, celebrate Chinese New Year? Are you anti-Chinese?

• “It’s us. Or rust” (Advertisement)

• Najib’s approval rating has gone up. Either the rating is false or the people are stupid!

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#4 Fallacy of Loaded Question

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Examples

• When are you going to stop acting so immature?

• Do you still steal from your boss?

• Is the assignment deadline always to rigid?

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#5 Fallacy of False Cause

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• I don’t believe I failed. I should’ve used my lucky pen.

• The SPM results have fallen steeply over the years. Obviously, the influence of the Internet is detrimental to studying.

• Air-Asia passengers have dropped a little; it must be because people are st

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CAUSE vs. CORRELATION

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#6 Fallacy of Generalization

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• All girls like flowers.

• “Anyone can make a million dollars! I did it by age 35.”

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For sampling

• Was the sample taken at random?

• What kinds of questions were asked? And how were the questions asked?

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#7 Fallacy of Slippery Slope

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• Don’t fire the rocket in these snowy mountains. The rocket could cause an avalanche, and the avalanche could destroy the ski-hotel and the village below. Hundreds could die.

• If we don’t raise our army spending, soon Chinese will surpass us as a military power. Who knows when we’ll all be speaking Chinese and eating chop suey?

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Page 34: Evaluation : Logical Fallacy (Insufficient Evidence)

#8 Fallacy of Weak Analogy

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• There’s nothing wrong with separating bathrooms based on race. After all, don’t we separate bathrooms based on men and women?

• Coke is like family. You can never have enough. Coca-Cola. Always.

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#9 Fallacy of Inconsistency

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• “Smoking is a sin because if you smoke that means you don’t care about your health”, said Brian whilst eating his chow kuey teow…

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• Police: Did you get a good look at the bank robber?

• Witness: Yes, I saw his face clearly. It was William, the security guard.

• Police: And were you able to recognise his voice?

• Witness: No, I couldn’t hear what he said because of the ski mask he was wearing.

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Quick Test• Skeptics have tried for centuries to prove

that reincarnation is a myth and no one has ever succeeded. Therefore, we should conclude that reincarnation is a fact.

• Ford cars are so troublesome. I own two, and they give me nothing but headaches.

• Either you support preferential treatment for the Indians or you’re anti-Indian.

• Sunway is a better college than Taylor’s; I know this is true because Dr. Lee (the Dean of Business at Sunway) told me so)

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A fallacy does NOT imply that the conclusion is false!